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2022-08-29 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0414
185 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.97%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
31.4%
in alpha space · 57.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.43%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum85.7685.2999-0.54%91.3+6.46%0.1051✗1.516.3M2022-09-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01510.015009-0.60%0.01272-15.76%0.1485✓0.69165k2022-09-05
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.242.2255-0.65%1.97-12.05%0.1097✓0.5097k2022-09-05
GTGateEthereum4.3974.3654-0.72%4.0071-8.87%0.0668✓0.77765k2022-09-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6840.678539-0.80%0.676-1.17%0.0266✗1.244.6M2022-09-05
TRXTRONTron0.0634370.062912-0.83%0.062937-0.79%0.0152✗0.60129k2022-09-05
GMTGMTEthereum0.68130.674955-0.93%0.6925+1.64%0.0605✗1.42226k2022-09-05
KCSKuCoinnative9.19.0084-1.01%9.414+3.45%0.0677✗0.961.5M2022-09-05
FORTFortaEthereum0.25660.253918-1.05%0.2337-8.92%0.0607✓0.9185k2022-09-05
XTZTezosTezos1.53571.5189-1.10%1.546+0.67%0.0453✗1.12308k2022-09-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96560.954846-1.11%0.9784+1.33%0.0375✗0.533.6M2022-09-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.34990.345902-1.14%0.3741+6.92%0.1095✗1.27176k2022-09-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072840.072007-1.14%0.07261-0.32%0.0375✗1.1927k2022-09-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.28365.2226-1.15%5.0514-4.39%0.0300✓0.14117k2022-09-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.554010.547601-1.16%0.55546+0.26%0.0462✗1.3039k2022-09-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3052850.301726-1.17%0.298688-2.16%0.0165✗1.08560k2022-09-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.09240.091268-1.23%0.0939+1.62%0.0522✗0.97404k2022-09-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.3319.0928-1.23%19.44+0.57%0.0504✗1.3222.5M2022-09-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058740.005802-1.23%0.00602+2.48%0.0537✗0.682,4852022-09-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.05760.056883-1.24%0.0558-3.12%0.0087✓1.14258k2022-09-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10450.103197-1.25%0.104-0.48%0.0292✗0.87196k2022-09-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5250.51845-1.25%0.487-7.24%0.0317✓1.262,6092022-09-05
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08430.083244-1.25%0.0818-2.97%0.0062✓0.9614k2022-09-05
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016360.001615-1.26%0.001564-4.40%0.0085✓0.97484k2022-09-05
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.69e-7-1.27%8.90e-7+1.14%0.0439✗0.8116k2022-09-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.06211.0486-1.28%1.0444-1.67%0.0168✗0.8448k2022-09-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22190.219062-1.28%0.209-5.81%0.0151✓1.30133k2022-09-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin55.7955.0608-1.31%60.36+8.19%0.1162✗0.9912.8M2022-09-05
SOLSolanaSolana32.4131.983-1.32%32.18-0.71%0.0354✗1.1965.9M2022-09-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1010.099668-1.32%0.1025+1.49%0.0459✗0.732,9872022-09-05
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.9870.973948-1.32%0.9577-2.97%0.0131✓1.22963k2022-09-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03650.036014-1.33%0.0367+0.55%0.0420✗0.9486k2022-09-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.2810.1409-1.35%10.8+5.06%0.0929✗1.22339k2022-09-05
ETHEthereumEthereum1,551.651,530.60-1.36%1,618.01+4.28%0.0891✗1.36608.4M2022-09-05
NANOnanopayBase0.9187330.905966-1.39%0.898557-2.20%0.0119✓0.8270k2022-09-05
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9890.975234-1.39%1.044+5.56%0.0989✗1.251.4M2022-09-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46070.454256-1.40%0.4722+2.50%0.0665✗1.13364k2022-09-05
ZECZcashZcash63.7562.8482-1.41%63.41-0.53%0.0368✗1.131.9M2022-09-05
COMPCompoundEthereum48.5747.8822-1.42%48.36-0.43%0.0406✗1.2511k2022-09-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash119.61117.9011-1.43%125.75+5.13%0.0927✗1.154.6M2022-09-05
MOVRMoonriverBase12.660212.4761-1.45%12.9054+1.94%0.0577✗0.9733k2022-09-05
XVSVenusEthereum5.125.0442-1.48%4.93-3.71%0.0017✓0.861.6M2022-09-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,286.9719,984.16-1.49%19,794.58-2.43%0.0150✓1.00485.5M2022-09-05
WOOWOOEthereum0.1640.161547-1.50%0.1562-4.76%0.0068✓1.091,7282022-09-05
GLMGolemEthereum0.24840.244657-1.51%0.2373-4.47%0.0070✓0.9679k2022-09-05
DODODODOEthereum0.13110.129121-1.51%0.1279-2.44%0.0147✓0.991.7M2022-09-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.19453.3708-1.52%53.71-0.89%0.0246✗0.74322k2022-09-05
XMRMoneroMonero152.71150.359-1.54%157.52+3.15%0.0707✗0.981.3M2022-09-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21020.20695-1.55%0.2097-0.24%0.0382✗1.0260k2022-09-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023360.022996-1.56%0.02235-4.32%0.0085✓0.82419k2022-09-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6720.661437-1.57%0.662-1.49%0.0240✗0.94217k2022-09-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037920.037322-1.58%0.03742-1.32%0.0223✗0.802,7072022-09-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.006490.006386-1.60%0.00599-7.70%0.0486✓0.631.1M2022-09-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.335860.330409-1.62%0.35378+5.34%0.0906✗0.91366k2022-09-05
RADRadworksEthereum2.132.0952-1.63%2.31+8.45%0.1170✗0.79368k2022-09-05
STEEMSteemnative0.22570.221989-1.64%0.222-1.64%0.0222✗0.90501k2022-09-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.34760.341884-1.64%0.34064-2.00%0.0206✗0.9947k2022-09-05
ORCAOrcaSolana0.78240.769459-1.65%0.8257+5.53%0.1064✗1.46161k2022-09-05
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17250.169637-1.66%0.1872+8.52%0.1327✗1.392,2552022-09-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.2910.286152-1.67%0.2822-3.02%0.0099✓0.973.2M2022-09-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008910.008761-1.68%0.00891+0.00%0.0358✗0.775.8M2022-09-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.70991.6812-1.68%1.6684-2.43%0.0166✓0.991.1M2022-09-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1230.120899-1.71%0.1229-0.08%0.0416✗1.0227k2022-09-05
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067420.066261-1.72%0.06802+0.89%0.0461✗0.819142022-09-05
DIADIAEthereum0.38550.37887-1.72%0.38052-1.29%0.0283✗0.9845k2022-09-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.1480.145433-1.73%0.1448-2.16%0.0207✗1.02149k2022-09-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06370.062594-1.74%0.0559-12.24%0.0907✓0.91105k2022-09-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03730.036644-1.76%0.0367-1.61%0.0212✗0.8010k2022-09-05
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025540.02509-1.76%0.02511-1.68%0.0322✗1.283,3752022-09-05
ZENHorizenBase16.4416.1499-1.76%16.1-2.07%0.0242✗1.11107k2022-09-05
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20190.198312-1.78%0.2046+1.34%0.0558✗1.00133k2022-09-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06060.059517-1.79%0.0571-5.78%0.0182✓0.9598k2022-09-05
ELAElastosEthereum1.7681.7357-1.83%1.752-0.90%0.0322✗0.93121k2022-09-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.43811.228-1.84%12.633+10.45%0.1459✗1.1410.4M2022-09-05
PROPropyEthereum0.740.726387-1.84%0.72-2.70%0.0007✓0.3384k2022-09-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012480.00001225-1.85%0.00001261+1.04%0.0525✗0.96828k2022-09-05
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.74e-7-1.85%8.90e-7+0.00%0.0380✗0.792.1M2022-09-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1891.167-1.85%1.17-1.60%0.0268✗0.991.8M2022-09-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1740.170743-1.87%0.173-0.57%0.0389✗1.05363k2022-09-05
ADACardanoCardano0.45050.441918-1.90%0.4987+10.70%0.1451✗0.9837.9M2022-09-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0137010.013439-1.91%0.013125-4.20%0.0076✓0.651.3M2022-09-05
GITCOINGITCOIN2.14532.1041-1.92%2.3084+7.60%0.1220✗1.2013k2022-09-05
SUSHISushiEthereum1.10211.0808-1.93%1.2398+12.49%0.1679✗1.25973k2022-09-05
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33670.330129-1.95%0.307-8.82%0.0439✓1.17146k2022-09-05
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9551.9168-1.95%1.916-1.99%0.0409✗1.6890k2022-09-05
APEApeCoinEthereum4.9834.8856-1.95%4.75-4.68%0.0051✓1.358.8M2022-09-05
HIVEHivenative0.54610.535363-1.97%0.5388-1.34%0.0277✗0.871.3M2022-09-05
XVGVergenative0.003010.00295-1.99%0.00309+2.66%0.0714✗1.02498k2022-09-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5270.516508-1.99%0.533+1.14%0.0598✗1.1583k2022-09-05
UMAUMAEthereum2.8562.799-1.99%2.722-4.69%0.0062✓0.88734k2022-09-05
MANADecentralandEthereum0.795360.779449-2.00%0.7895-0.74%0.0350✗0.90509k2022-09-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.2664.1807-2.00%4.501+5.51%0.0780✗0.172.3M2022-09-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04410.043211-2.02%0.0446+1.13%0.0555✗0.97166k2022-09-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1025.9789-2.02%6.361+4.24%0.0725✗0.434.9M2022-09-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,303.8019,893.80-2.02%19,866.30-2.15%0.0217✗0.9413k2022-09-05
DASHDashDash47.4646.5006-2.02%47.59+0.27%0.0472✗0.98458k2022-09-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0892.0463-2.04%2.117+1.34%0.0624✗1.1646k2022-09-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29810.29199-2.05%0.3046+2.18%0.0646✗0.916.9M2022-09-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.139560.13668-2.06%0.13844-0.80%0.0431✗1.23210k2022-09-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.534.4363-2.07%4.72+4.19%0.0744✗0.501.1M2022-09-05
XLMStellarStellar0.1059180.10372-2.07%0.10507-0.80%0.0333✗0.837.0M2022-09-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0638280.062504-2.08%0.062695-1.78%0.0289✗1.051.6M2022-09-05
C98Coin98Ethereum0.42380.414963-2.09%0.4308+1.65%0.0660✗1.1689k2022-09-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04910.048067-2.10%0.0496+1.02%0.0559✗1.00814k2022-09-05
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.158390.155056-2.11%0.158-0.25%0.0689✗2.046362022-09-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.84121.8024-2.11%1.8663+1.36%0.0618✗1.1031k2022-09-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066960.006554-2.11%0.00635-5.17%0.0213✓0.4258k2022-09-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5530.541268-2.12%0.522-5.61%0.0100✓1.0777k2022-09-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.296.1555-2.14%6.64+5.56%0.0871✗0.462.1M2022-09-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2830.276816-2.19%0.271-4.24%0.0033✓0.73686k2022-09-05
AVTAventusEthereum1.441.4082-2.21%1.45+0.69%0.0278✗-0.06105k2022-09-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1774.0846-2.21%4.31+3.18%0.0634✗0.401.9M2022-09-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4951.4619-2.21%1.465-2.01%0.0313✗1.19128k2022-09-05
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26150.255665-2.23%0.1628-37.74%0.4511✓0.0191k2022-09-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.6826.5309-2.26%6.734+0.78%0.0528✗0.905.0M2022-09-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.022670.022147-2.31%0.02134-5.87%0.0158✓0.8711.8M2022-09-05
QNTQuantEthereum101.1698.8256-2.31%93.14-7.93%0.0382✓0.863.4M2022-09-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015290.001494-2.32%0.001468-3.99%0.0000✓0.709,4152022-09-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36640.357854-2.33%0.355-3.11%0.0187✓1.09155k2022-09-05
CBKCobakEthereum0.875420.85496-2.34%0.85582-2.24%0.0252✗0.9815k2022-09-05
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4410.430668-2.34%–pending––1.028,3142022-09-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.07991.0545-2.35%1.1527+6.74%0.1262✗1.514.5M2022-09-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014010.001368-2.36%0.00133-5.05%0.0081✓0.802.1M2022-09-05
UOSUltraEthereum0.360850.35227-2.38%0.35-3.01%0.0163✓0.92339k2022-09-05
XEMNEMnative0.0445650.043505-2.38%0.043718-1.90%0.0257✗0.8530k2022-09-05
XYMSymbolnative0.0444460.043386-2.39%0.041483-6.67%0.0322✓0.5228k2022-09-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.048160.047008-2.39%0.0442-8.22%0.0452✓0.6716k2022-09-05
API3Api3Ethereum1.7291.6875-2.40%1.69-2.26%0.0248✗0.95604k2022-09-05
FTTFTXEthereum27.3426.6817-2.41%26.62-2.63%0.0217✓0.987.3M2022-09-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.386.2238-2.45%6.72+5.33%0.0878✗0.451.7M2022-09-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.612.2887-2.47%14.53+15.32%0.1941✗1.081.9M2022-09-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.331.2969-2.49%1.37+3.01%0.0785✗0.96142k2022-09-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0209940.020471-2.49%0.020653-1.62%0.0289✗0.8213k2022-09-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14470.141057-2.52%0.1398-3.39%0.0163✓1.03535k2022-09-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10320.100601-2.52%0.1303+26.26%0.2775✗0.77235k2022-09-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum3534.1151-2.53%18.31-47.69%0.6054✓0.691.5M2022-09-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.05250.051165-2.54%0.0508-3.24%0.0175✓1.00248k2022-09-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13060.12727-2.55%0.1447+10.80%0.1423✗0.573.7M2022-09-05
UNIUniswapEthereum6.3396.1767-2.56%6.576+3.74%0.0950✗1.329.9M2022-09-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.315.1738-2.56%5.7+7.34%0.1078✗0.452.3M2022-09-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.76.5268-2.58%7.382+10.18%0.1493✗1.0718.5M2022-09-05
QTUMQtumQtum3.18233.099-2.62%3.3484+5.22%0.1024✗1.0226k2022-09-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.21590.210221-2.63%0.2073-3.98%0.0061✓0.823.1M2022-09-05
SCSiacoinnative0.004070.003962-2.64%0.00402-1.23%0.0389✗1.00158k2022-09-05
STXStacksnative0.37010.360168-2.68%0.3681-0.54%0.0505✗1.17398k2022-09-05
KSMKusamaHydration50.1248.7613-2.71%51.33+2.41%0.0758✗1.00560k2022-09-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032380.003148-2.77%0.002935-9.36%0.0474✓0.931.2M2022-09-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0230850.02244-2.79%0.025549+10.67%0.1323✗0.11262k2022-09-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.8313.4288-2.90%14.28+3.25%0.0893✗1.13959k2022-09-05
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.066510.06456-2.93%0.06402-3.74%0.0189✓1.112.1M2022-09-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06170.05989-2.93%0.0625+1.30%0.0733✗1.25851k2022-09-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10630.103151-2.96%0.104-2.16%0.0351✗1.093.4M2022-09-05
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.084290.081775-2.98%0.07583-10.04%0.0744✓0.04535k2022-09-05
FLOWFlownative1.9191.8617-2.99%1.919+0.00%0.0638✗1.361.3M2022-09-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.468.2069-2.99%9.21+8.87%0.1273✗0.492.0M2022-09-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.036770.035663-3.01%0.03562-3.13%0.0235✓1.0140k2022-09-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2034.0756-3.03%4.075-3.05%0.0242✓0.99245k2022-09-05
BORABORAKlay Token0.301060.29177-3.09%0.28593-5.03%0.0054✓1.0412k2022-09-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.88113.7613-3.09%4.9518+27.59%0.2899✗0.613.3M2022-09-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.152.0831-3.11%2.34+8.84%0.1464✗1.23238k2022-09-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.5230.506565-3.14%0.5193-0.71%0.0450✗0.82586k2022-09-05
BANDBandEthereum1.2631.2233-3.15%1.307+3.48%0.0957✗1.20471k2022-09-05
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.684.5324-3.15%4.7997+2.56%0.0819✗1.00150k2022-09-05
LUNATerraTerra 20.00013170.000127321-3.32%0.00040493+207.46%1.1763✗0.79366k2022-09-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32230.311551-3.34%0.3145-2.42%0.0361✗1.09112k2022-09-05
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86930.84017-3.35%0.8473-2.53%0.0348✗1.071.8M2022-09-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.5532.4215-3.36%39.67+18.24%0.2386✗1.5013.5M2022-09-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.26281.2195-3.43%1.1375-9.92%0.0473✓0.911.4M2022-09-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008530.008233-3.48%0.00785-7.97%0.0202✓1.12477k2022-09-05
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6980.67366-3.49%0.663-5.01%0.0057✓0.88234k2022-09-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2767.0202-3.52%7.368+1.26%0.0742✗1.0512.5M2022-09-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6151.5578-3.54%1.573-2.60%0.0392✗1.2085k2022-09-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.0155.7994-3.58%6.141+2.09%0.0786✗0.879.9M2022-09-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.77785.5706-3.59%7.2089+24.77%0.2629✗0.215.2M2022-09-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.2216.5835-3.70%17.32+0.58%0.0612✗0.72921k2022-09-05
METISMetisEthereum32.4931.1843-4.02%30.53-6.03%0.0255✓1.90288k2022-09-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.747.4249-4.07%7.53-2.71%0.0417✗1.13504k2022-09-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2763.1373-4.23%2.972-9.28%0.0410✓0.53650k2022-09-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.77712.1986-4.53%13.008+1.81%0.0766✗0.507.6M2022-09-05
OPTIMOptimism1.1741.1201-4.59%1.199+2.13%0.1109✗1.743.3M2022-09-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.473.3045-4.77%3.005-13.40%0.0575✓1.533.8M2022-09-05
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9460.900096-4.85%1.056+11.63%0.1705✗0.444.2M2022-09-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,081.728,635.16-4.92%9,493.61+4.54%0.1284✗1.376.5M2022-09-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.65e-78.22e-7-5.05%8.55e-7-1.19%0.0612✗0.87930k2022-09-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.07745.7387-5.57%7.3781+21.40%0.2580✗0.275.2M2022-09-05
XECeCashnative0.000049930.000046953-5.96%0.00004372-12.44%0.0501✓0.871.7M2022-09-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.