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2022-08-28 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0664
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.82%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
29.0%
in alpha space · 16.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.30%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
UNIUniswapEthereum5.7395.7406+0.03%6.488+13.05%0.0927✓1.3010.0M2022-09-04
AAVEAaveEthereum78.5778.581+0.01%88.85+13.08%0.0887✓1.506.5M2022-09-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.5318.5116-0.10%19.01+2.59%0.0035✓1.3222.5M2022-09-04
FLOWFlownative1.6921.6897-0.14%1.95+15.25%0.1127✗1.341.2M2022-09-04
WOOWOOEthereum0.13810.137894-0.15%0.1523+10.28%0.0756✗1.041,7802022-09-04
GITCOINGITCOIN2.00341.998-0.27%2.3166+15.63%0.1206✗1.2013k2022-09-04
GMTGMTEthereum0.64630.644481-0.28%0.7071+9.41%0.0605✗1.41242k2022-09-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.32610.324921-0.36%0.357+9.48%0.0654✗1.26176k2022-09-04
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.014780.014722-0.39%0.01286-12.99%0.1509✓0.69165k2022-09-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6450.642222-0.43%0.687+6.51%0.0395✗1.224.8M2022-09-04
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4890.486769-0.46%0.5+2.25%0.0018✓1.252,6092022-09-04
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.361.3535-0.48%1.498+10.15%0.0747✗1.17128k2022-09-04
COMPCompoundEthereum43.8543.6288-0.50%48.47+10.54%0.0772✗1.2312k2022-09-04
GTGateEthereum4.32284.3006-0.51%4.2121-2.56%0.0384✓0.77775k2022-09-04
DODODODOEthereum0.11820.11759-0.52%0.13+9.98%0.0785✗0.961.8M2022-09-04
XVSVenusEthereum4.824.7944-0.53%4.91+1.87%0.0043✓0.861.6M2022-09-04
XTZTezosTezos1.4261.4182-0.55%1.5561+9.12%0.0675✗1.11319k2022-09-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.08540.084888-0.60%0.0958+12.18%0.0991✗0.96409k2022-09-04
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8281.8168-0.61%1.96+7.22%0.0377✗1.6890k2022-09-04
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015870.001577-0.62%0.001563-1.51%0.0308✓0.96538k2022-09-04
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.332.3154-0.63%1.98-15.02%0.1683✓0.5293k2022-09-04
SUSHISushiEthereum1.00430.997966-0.63%1.1582+15.32%0.1206✗1.24973k2022-09-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068970.068504-0.68%0.07376+6.95%0.0469✗1.1927k2022-09-04
TRXTRONTron0.0613920.060973-0.68%0.063547+3.51%0.0276✗0.60142k2022-09-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.3311.251-0.70%13.72+21.09%0.1743✗1.061.9M2022-09-04
SOLSolanaSolana30.4530.2249-0.74%32.17+5.65%0.0354✗1.1867.0M2022-09-04
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.320.317615-0.75%0.3125-2.34%0.0427✓1.16146k2022-09-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash112.59111.7474-0.75%118.36+5.12%0.0314✗1.144.7M2022-09-04
KCSKuCoinnative8.8168.75-0.75%9.394+6.56%0.0490✗0.961.5M2022-09-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.93340.926188-0.77%0.9786+4.84%0.0430✗0.533.6M2022-09-04
STORJStorjEthereum0.524370.520197-0.80%0.55389+5.63%0.0332✗1.3041k2022-09-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2912770.288939-0.80%0.299008+2.65%0.0096✗1.08593k2022-09-04
ETHEthereumEthereum1,426.631,414.96-0.82%1,579.04+10.68%0.0789✗1.35597.1M2022-09-04
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07920.078549-0.82%0.0828+4.55%0.0309✗0.9614k2022-09-04
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.93320.925167-0.86%0.9726+4.22%0.0223✗1.22972k2022-09-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum1.951.9331-0.87%2.31+18.46%0.1503✗1.22255k2022-09-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.43490.431093-0.88%0.4695+7.96%0.0598✗1.12364k2022-09-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03450.034197-0.88%0.0365+5.80%0.0439✗0.9386k2022-09-04
MOVRMoonriverBase12.06211.9535-0.90%13.1461+8.99%0.0731✗0.9735k2022-09-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.519.4238-0.91%10.54+10.83%0.0845✗1.20386k2022-09-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.3852.8896-0.92%60.93+14.14%0.1191✗0.9812.8M2022-09-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10130.100369-0.92%0.1033+1.97%0.0089✓0.87200k2022-09-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.0055190.005468-0.92%0.005979+8.34%0.0741✗0.672,5882022-09-04
NANOnanopayBase0.8625010.854301-0.95%0.900625+4.42%0.0344✗0.8177k2022-09-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.1755.1228-1.01%5.256+1.57%0.0227✗0.13119k2022-09-04
LSKLiskEthereum1.03841.0278-1.03%1.0588+1.96%0.0105✗0.8550k2022-09-04
APEApeCoinEthereum4.6494.601-1.03%4.798+3.20%0.0113✗1.348.9M2022-09-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21340.211185-1.04%0.2041-4.36%0.0638✓1.30133k2022-09-04
FORTFortaEthereum0.26380.261051-1.04%0.2325-11.87%0.1370✓0.9394k2022-09-04
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.60e-78.51e-7-1.05%8.90e-7+3.49%0.0263✗0.8116k2022-09-04
ZECZcashZcash61.1760.5219-1.06%63.8+4.30%0.0270✗1.131.9M2022-09-04
MANADecentralandEthereum0.748320.74031-1.07%0.80657+7.78%0.0653✗0.89509k2022-09-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.05820.057577-1.07%0.057-2.06%0.0364✓1.16252k2022-09-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6310.624229-1.07%0.671+6.34%0.0510✗0.93235k2022-09-04
GLMGolemEthereum0.23620.233657-1.08%0.2399+1.57%0.0047✓0.9579k2022-09-04
C98Coin98Ethereum0.36730.363333-1.08%0.4349+18.40%0.1542✗1.1289k2022-09-04
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19030.188207-1.10%0.2046+7.51%0.0607✗1.00146k2022-09-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.313630.310146-1.11%0.36077+15.03%0.1308✗0.90378k2022-09-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,554.0319,335.27-1.12%20,004.73+2.30%0.0113✓1.00474.0M2022-09-04
XMRMoneroMonero146.4144.7596-1.12%155.77+6.40%0.0509✗0.981.2M2022-09-04
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9160.905731-1.12%1.045+14.08%0.1147✗1.241.4M2022-09-04
DIADIAEthereum0.363040.358965-1.12%0.38677+6.54%0.0526✗0.9745k2022-09-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09960.098478-1.13%0.1029+3.31%0.0273✗0.733,2112022-09-04
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5250.519086-1.13%0.528+0.57%0.0072✓1.0678k2022-09-04
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum1.9441.922-1.13%2.121+9.10%0.0724✗1.1547k2022-09-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.79351.1822-1.18%53.273+2.86%0.0232✗0.74328k2022-09-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20240.19996-1.21%0.211+4.25%0.0305✗1.0261k2022-09-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.328060.324101-1.21%0.34915+6.43%0.0521✗0.9850k2022-09-04
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05540.05473-1.21%0.0577+4.15%0.0317✗0.9399k2022-09-04
RADRadworksEthereum2.082.0547-1.22%2.31+11.06%0.0991✗0.79384k2022-09-04
QTUMQtumQtum2.98252.9462-1.22%3.2367+8.52%0.0710✗1.0126k2022-09-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27310.269764-1.22%0.2908+6.48%0.0532✗0.963.2M2022-09-04
CHRChromiaEthereum0.15920.157244-1.23%0.1782+11.93%0.0936✗1.382,2552022-09-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4880.481988-1.23%0.534+9.43%0.0764✗1.1486k2022-09-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0130020.012842-1.23%0.013172+1.31%0.0109✓0.641.3M2022-09-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.231.2148-1.24%1.35+9.76%0.0840✗0.95154k2022-09-04
ZENHorizenBase14.814.6141-1.26%16.45+11.15%0.0935✗1.09119k2022-09-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.71521.6936-1.26%1.9099+11.35%0.0954✗1.0931k2022-09-04
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03570.035247-1.27%0.0364+1.96%0.0141✗0.7911k2022-09-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021620.021345-1.27%0.02157-0.23%0.0092✓0.8612.4M2022-09-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.006420.006338-1.28%0.00608-5.30%0.0560✓0.631.1M2022-09-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04550.044919-1.28%0.0506+11.21%0.0967✗0.98843k2022-09-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.99340.980671-1.28%1.0925+9.98%0.0737✗1.514.6M2022-09-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008480.008371-1.29%0.00892+5.19%0.0461✗0.766.2M2022-09-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022140.021855-1.29%0.02226+0.54%0.0000✓0.81419k2022-09-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.13960.137792-1.30%0.1437+2.94%0.0189✗1.01149k2022-09-04
STEEMSteemnative0.21830.215462-1.30%0.2251+3.11%0.0231✗0.90528k2022-09-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011770.000011613-1.33%0.00001284+9.09%0.0788✗0.95886k2022-09-04
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11840.116788-1.36%0.1229+3.80%0.0277✗1.0230k2022-09-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1291.1135-1.37%1.166+3.28%0.0236✗0.981.9M2022-09-04
CBKCobakEthereum0.846260.834506-1.39%0.86904+2.69%0.0181✗0.9814k2022-09-04
ORCAOrcaSolana0.78420.773276-1.39%0.8485+8.20%0.0591✗1.48161k2022-09-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1640.161715-1.39%0.174+6.10%0.0489✗1.07399k2022-09-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.55910.411-1.40%13.046+23.55%0.1999✗1.1310.4M2022-09-04
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02420.023859-1.41%0.02502+3.39%0.0184✗1.283,4352022-09-04
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06190.061016-1.43%0.0562-9.21%0.1030✓0.91107k2022-09-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,646.4019,363.41-1.44%19,865.80+1.12%0.0042✓0.9411k2022-09-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.131720.129805-1.45%0.13852+5.16%0.0369✗1.23210k2022-09-04
BTTCBTTC8.50e-78.38e-7-1.46%8.80e-7+3.53%0.0317✗0.782.3M2022-09-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.66561.6412-1.47%1.6865+1.25%0.0047✓0.991.2M2022-09-04
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.062290.061374-1.47%0.06473+3.92%0.0280✗1.112.2M2022-09-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037320.036769-1.48%0.03774+1.13%0.0077✓0.812,7072022-09-04
UMAUMAEthereum2.6072.5684-1.48%2.771+6.29%0.0563✗0.86734k2022-09-04
DASHDashDash44.1443.4853-1.48%47.59+7.82%0.0682✗0.97466k2022-09-04
XVGVergenative0.002890.002846-1.52%0.00311+7.61%0.0654✗1.02508k2022-09-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13370.131669-1.52%0.1462+9.35%0.0815✗1.02553k2022-09-04
PROPropyEthereum0.730.718553-1.57%0.73+0.00%0.0082✓0.3384k2022-09-04
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.159770.157236-1.59%0.15518-2.87%0.0604✓2.076362022-09-04
ADACardanoCardano0.42910.422257-1.59%0.5035+17.34%0.1535✗0.9939.2M2022-09-04
ELAElastosEthereum1.7331.7053-1.60%1.762+1.67%0.0112✓0.94137k2022-09-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28230.277747-1.61%0.3127+10.77%0.0980✗0.907.1M2022-09-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04190.041221-1.62%0.0444+5.97%0.0522✗0.97175k2022-09-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.8095.7142-1.63%6.663+14.70%0.1440✗0.425.3M2022-09-04
LRCLoopringEthereum0.340.334439-1.64%0.3674+8.06%0.0695✗1.07170k2022-09-04
STXStacksnative0.35290.3471-1.64%0.3678+4.22%0.0313✗1.17410k2022-09-04
HIVEHivenative0.52820.51948-1.65%0.5439+2.97%0.0261✗0.871.3M2022-09-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.2516.1469-1.67%7.155+14.46%0.1277✗1.0619.0M2022-09-04
API3Api3Ethereum1.61.573-1.69%1.729+8.06%0.0732✗0.94623k2022-09-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12020.118171-1.69%0.1386+15.31%0.1470✗0.553.8M2022-09-04
IMXImmutableEthereum0.77440.761267-1.70%0.8453+9.16%0.0809✗1.041.9M2022-09-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.344.2661-1.70%4.88+12.44%0.1232✗0.491.3M2022-09-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6395.5424-1.71%6.265+11.10%0.1030✗0.8610.1M2022-09-04
FTTFTXEthereum25.3524.9152-1.72%26.4+4.14%0.0359✗0.967.3M2022-09-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.061750.060688-1.72%0.063218+2.38%0.0169✓1.051.7M2022-09-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044180.043419-1.72%0.04481+1.43%0.0168✓0.6416k2022-09-04
METISMetisEthereum29.2628.7562-1.72%30.11+2.90%0.0031✓1.88304k2022-09-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2756.1667-1.73%6.686+6.55%0.0605✗0.895.2M2022-09-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.875.7686-1.73%6.73+14.65%0.1441✗0.442.1M2022-09-04
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4120.404875-1.73%0.424+2.91%0.0231✗1.018,1172022-09-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.1612.9304-1.74%14.56+10.64%0.0930✗1.131.0M2022-09-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0964.0245-1.75%4.597+12.23%0.1294✗0.162.3M2022-09-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2750.270153-1.76%0.269-2.18%0.0209✓0.73710k2022-09-04
QNTQuantEthereum92.3190.6795-1.77%95.29+3.23%0.0305✗0.843.3M2022-09-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09920.097435-1.78%0.1045+5.34%0.0452✗1.093.6M2022-09-04
XLMStellarStellar0.1027360.100886-1.80%0.106324+3.49%0.0335✗0.837.1M2022-09-04
AVTAventusEthereum1.391.3642-1.85%1.49+7.19%0.0899✗-0.07105k2022-09-04
GALAGALAEthereum0.04930.048365-1.90%0.0516+4.67%0.0421✗1.00249k2022-09-04
KSMKusamaHydration45.444.5365-1.90%50.61+11.48%0.1056✗0.98560k2022-09-04
SCSiacoinnative0.003930.003855-1.90%0.00402+2.29%0.0192✓0.99158k2022-09-04
BANDBandEthereum1.1921.1693-1.91%1.336+12.08%0.1060✗1.20491k2022-09-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029870.002929-1.95%0.002943-1.47%0.0159✓0.911.1M2022-09-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9983.9192-1.97%4.41+10.31%0.1092✗0.392.0M2022-09-04
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6450.632161-1.99%0.673+4.34%0.0429✗0.86242k2022-09-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0203860.019976-2.01%0.020714+1.61%0.0176✓0.8213k2022-09-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067080.006573-2.01%0.006455-3.77%0.0278✓0.4358k2022-09-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06040.059183-2.01%0.0625+3.48%0.0259✗1.26908k2022-09-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5111.4804-2.03%1.573+4.10%0.0334✗1.2088k2022-09-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013460.001318-2.04%0.001339-0.50%0.0026✓0.802.1M2022-09-04
XEMNEMnative0.0429950.042112-2.05%0.044132+2.64%0.0276✗0.8529k2022-09-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.9330.2886-2.07%32.46+4.95%0.0353✗1.4914.6M2022-09-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.045.9142-2.08%6.81+12.75%0.1310✗0.441.9M2022-09-04
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067120.065718-2.09%0.06708-0.06%0.0019✓0.829142022-09-04
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30440.297979-2.11%0.3157+3.71%0.0331✗1.08112k2022-09-04
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.25548-2.11%0.1803-30.92%0.3487✓0.0191k2022-09-04
XYMSymbolnative0.0443960.043447-2.14%0.042185-4.98%0.0414✓0.5228k2022-09-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015030.001469-2.23%0.00152+1.13%0.0178✓0.709,7092022-09-04
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09810.095902-2.24%0.1213+23.65%0.2176✗0.76247k2022-09-04
UOSUltraEthereum0.363890.355707-2.25%0.35382-2.77%0.0268✓0.94321k2022-09-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9662.8987-2.27%2.981+0.51%0.0060✓1.493.8M2022-09-04
OPTIMOptimism1.0541.0298-2.29%1.174+11.39%0.0916✗1.733.3M2022-09-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.165.0398-2.33%5.8+12.40%0.1305✗0.442.5M2022-09-04
BORABORAKlay Token0.292940.285943-2.39%0.28914-1.30%0.0127✓1.0412k2022-09-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035520.034658-2.43%0.03585+0.93%0.0109✓1.0131k2022-09-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.21020.204983-2.48%0.2134+1.52%0.0215✓0.822.9M2022-09-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.097.8844-2.54%9.26+14.46%0.1499✗0.482.1M2022-09-04
CTKShentuOsmosis0.840.818223-2.59%0.982+16.90%0.1732✗0.404.2M2022-09-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.8616.6827-2.60%7.375+7.49%0.0748✗1.0413.1M2022-09-04
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0229630.022322-2.79%0.025674+11.81%0.1375✗0.11262k2022-09-04
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.38864.2661-2.79%5.1362+17.04%0.1628✗1.00147k2022-09-04
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.65553.553-2.80%4.6707+27.77%0.2600✗0.593.7M2022-09-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.236.1488-2.83%18.92-49.14%0.6636✓0.711.6M2022-09-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.1063.9898-2.83%4.053-1.29%0.0071✓1.00245k2022-09-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.26.9963-2.83%7.74+7.50%0.0756✗1.12534k2022-09-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.6716.1893-2.88%17.39+4.32%0.0551✗0.72952k2022-09-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49960.485075-2.91%0.5043+0.94%0.0200✓0.83625k2022-09-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008250.008003-2.99%0.00793-3.88%0.0347✓1.12477k2022-09-04
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.086380.083782-3.01%0.07814-9.54%0.0711✓0.06598k2022-09-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.2011.1645-3.04%1.1233-6.47%0.0566✓0.901.5M2022-09-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,473.378,194.77-3.29%9,437.49+11.38%0.1102✗1.366.5M2022-09-04
LUNATerraTerra 20.00012510.000120833-3.41%0.00025377+102.85%0.7244✗0.77352k2022-09-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.55375.3639-3.42%7.0178+26.36%0.2642✗0.205.2M2022-09-04
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.78e-77.42e-7-4.63%9.24e-7+18.83%0.2006✗0.85542k2022-09-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.38211.8059-4.65%13.539+9.34%0.1256✗0.506.1M2022-09-04
XECeCashnative0.000046760.000044457-4.93%0.00004432-5.22%0.0226✓0.861.7M2022-09-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.43525.1437-5.36%7.4422+36.93%0.3639✗0.244.6M2022-09-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8763.6519-5.78%3.038-21.62%0.1977✓0.60650k2022-09-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.