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2022-08-27 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0432
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-4.42%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
26.9%
in alpha space · 36.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.00%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum82.1181.9135-0.24%87.18+6.17%0.0780✗1.556.7M2022-09-03
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015180.015107-0.48%0.01336-11.99%0.1161✓0.67165k2022-09-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6590.655576-0.52%0.669+1.52%0.0323✗1.195.0M2022-09-03
XVSVenusEthereum4.874.8424-0.57%4.84-0.62%0.0081✗0.851.6M2022-09-03
GMTGMTEthereum0.68530.681162-0.60%0.678-1.07%0.0098✗1.44257k2022-09-03
GTGateEthereum4.3764.3494-0.61%4.2494-2.89%0.0155✓0.77798k2022-09-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.6822.6656-0.61%2.976+10.96%0.1168✗0.66650k2022-09-03
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5090.505837-0.62%0.519+1.96%0.0382✗1.242,6092022-09-03
GITCOINGITCOIN2.08592.0726-0.64%2.2636+8.52%0.1005✗1.2213k2022-09-03
XTZTezosTezos1.46761.4581-0.65%1.5227+3.75%0.0545✗1.11336k2022-09-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06750.067036-0.69%0.07135+5.70%0.0745✗1.2028k2022-09-03
WOOWOOEthereum0.15240.151188-0.80%0.1524+0.00%0.0190✗1.091,7802022-09-03
UNIUniswapEthereum6.0566.0068-0.81%6.305+4.11%0.0617✗1.3210.1M2022-09-03
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016060.001593-0.82%0.001655+3.05%0.0481✗0.98538k2022-09-03
TRXTRONTron0.0629350.06242-0.82%0.06311+0.28%0.0170✗0.59151k2022-09-03
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4041.3925-0.82%1.482+5.56%0.0742✗1.18130k2022-09-03
COMPCompoundEthereum46.0945.7059-0.83%47.89+3.91%0.0592✗1.2412k2022-09-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2968890.294281-0.88%0.292785-1.38%0.0059✓1.09620k2022-09-03
KCSKuCoinnative9.1349.0534-0.88%9.192+0.63%0.0247✗0.941.6M2022-09-03
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.472.4479-0.90%1.93-21.86%0.2325✓0.5189k2022-09-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10150.100572-0.91%0.1012-0.30%0.0150✗0.87212k2022-09-03
STORJStorjEthereum0.541550.536518-0.93%0.54122-0.06%0.0217✗1.2843k2022-09-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.0352.5366-0.93%60.19+13.50%0.1460✗0.9913.0M2022-09-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.34920.345918-0.94%0.3659+4.78%0.0686✗1.24191k2022-09-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.0419.8505-0.95%18.9-5.69%0.0361✓1.2923.0M2022-09-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.09080.089934-0.95%0.0949+4.52%0.0633✗0.95414k2022-09-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.9630.953788-0.96%0.9676+0.48%0.0200✗0.563.6M2022-09-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03480.034467-0.96%0.0354+1.72%0.0359✗0.9186k2022-09-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056180.005563-0.97%0.005893+4.90%0.0644✗0.672,5882022-09-03
DODODODOEthereum0.12460.123386-0.97%0.1258+0.96%0.0288✗0.931.9M2022-09-03
SOLSolanaSolana31.5431.2302-0.98%31.12-1.33%0.0081✓1.1668.8M2022-09-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.16485.1135-0.99%5.1775+0.25%0.0138✗0.14138k2022-09-03
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.96610.95625-1.02%0.9295-3.79%0.0161✓1.22999k2022-09-03
ETHEthereumEthereum1,491.221,475.90-1.03%1,557.70+4.46%0.0675✗1.35597.1M2022-09-03
NANOnanopayBase0.8828390.87364-1.04%0.885648+0.32%0.0218✗0.8184k2022-09-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash115.26114.0325-1.06%117.83+2.23%0.0442✗1.134.8M2022-09-03
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08450.083588-1.08%0.0824-2.49%0.0048✓0.9414k2022-09-03
ZECZcashZcash61.3660.6857-1.10%62.7+2.18%0.0440✗1.131.9M2022-09-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum109.8878-1.12%10.12+1.20%0.0352✗1.18439k2022-09-03
LSKLiskEthereum1.04881.037-1.13%1.0572+0.81%0.0280✗0.8551k2022-09-03
MOVRMoonriverBase12.539112.3968-1.13%12.6808+1.13%0.0324✗0.9635k2022-09-03
FORTFortaEthereum0.2680.264943-1.14%0.2308-13.88%0.1285✓0.94100k2022-09-03
XMRMoneroMonero145.16143.495-1.15%154.44+6.39%0.0836✗1.001.2M2022-09-03
C98Coin98Ethereum0.3760.371683-1.15%0.4418+17.50%0.1842✗1.1289k2022-09-03
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9360.925127-1.16%1.037+10.79%0.1265✗1.221.4M2022-09-03
DIADIAEthereum0.367740.363436-1.17%0.3754+2.08%0.0421✗0.9651k2022-09-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.336220.332243-1.18%0.33497-0.37%0.0181✗0.9852k2022-09-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22010.217479-1.19%0.212-3.68%0.0120✓1.34133k2022-09-03
FLOWFlownative1.8231.8008-1.22%1.951+7.02%0.0935✗1.331.2M2022-09-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6520.644054-1.22%0.688+5.52%0.0755✗0.94266k2022-09-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.45670.451092-1.23%0.4583+0.35%0.0271✗1.12386k2022-09-03
GLMGolemEthereum0.24240.239422-1.23%0.2386-1.57%0.0062✓0.9681k2022-09-03
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.69e-7-1.23%8.70e-7-1.14%0.0091✓0.8117k2022-09-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.911.7513-1.25%14.03+17.90%0.1887✗1.131.9M2022-09-03
SUSHISushiEthereum1.06121.0478-1.26%1.1328+6.75%0.0906✗1.25981k2022-09-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,036.6919,783.24-1.26%19,835.47-1.00%0.0127✗1.00474.0M2022-09-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20670.204082-1.27%0.2102+1.69%0.0398✗1.0261k2022-09-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.37451.6971-1.29%52.516+0.27%0.0232✗0.74332k2022-09-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10350.10215-1.30%0.102-1.45%0.0057✓0.713,4822022-09-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.06040.059612-1.31%0.0556-7.95%0.0581✓1.14252k2022-09-03
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7574.6944-1.32%4.756-0.02%0.0269✗1.379.3M2022-09-03
OPTIMOptimism1.0251.0114-1.32%1.195+16.59%0.1844✗1.743.4M2022-09-03
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.961.9336-1.35%1.881-4.03%0.0102✓1.7294k2022-09-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.13220.130413-1.35%0.13707+3.68%0.0620✗1.21210k2022-09-03
ZENHorizenBase15.214.9939-1.36%15.52+2.11%0.0457✗1.11125k2022-09-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.14190.139972-1.36%0.1418-0.07%0.0232✗1.01166k2022-09-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27960.275736-1.38%0.2804+0.29%0.0264✗0.953.3M2022-09-03
STEEMSteemnative0.22110.21803-1.39%0.2228+0.77%0.0308✗0.91504k2022-09-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00870.008579-1.39%0.00869-0.11%0.0206✗0.776.4M2022-09-03
ORCAOrcaSolana0.790.779007-1.39%0.8416+6.53%0.0918✗1.43161k2022-09-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.329760.325169-1.39%0.36179+9.71%0.1168✗0.99391k2022-09-03
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11860.116947-1.39%0.1211+2.11%0.0452✗1.0232k2022-09-03
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03660.036089-1.40%0.0358-2.19%0.0005✓0.8411k2022-09-03
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05690.056099-1.41%0.0578+1.58%0.0390✗0.9099k2022-09-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022610.02229-1.42%0.02203-2.57%0.0041✓0.76444k2022-09-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1461.1297-1.42%1.159+1.13%0.0356✗0.992.1M2022-09-03
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19570.192876-1.44%0.2036+4.04%0.0642✗1.00149k2022-09-03
MANADecentralandEthereum0.778420.767178-1.44%0.78775+1.20%0.0357✗0.92512k2022-09-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,933.0019,643.46-1.45%19,875.80-0.29%0.0213✗0.9511k2022-09-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131780.012985-1.46%0.013081-0.74%0.0139✓0.651.4M2022-09-03
XECeCashnative0.000036880.000036341-1.46%0.00004471+21.23%0.2163✗0.901.7M2022-09-03
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0281.9981-1.48%2.045+0.84%0.0348✗1.1549k2022-09-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.00660.006502-1.48%0.00602-8.79%0.0705✓0.651.1M2022-09-03
CBKCobakEthereum0.864060.85109-1.50%0.86852+0.52%0.0302✗0.9814k2022-09-03
XVGVergenative0.002920.002875-1.53%0.00311+6.51%0.0889✗1.03520k2022-09-03
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16930.166709-1.53%0.1738+2.66%0.0556✗1.382,1742022-09-03
RADRadworksEthereum2.142.1072-1.53%2.26+5.61%0.0780✗0.79407k2022-09-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.510.502061-1.56%0.52+1.96%0.0467✗1.1488k2022-09-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1710.168325-1.56%0.17-0.58%0.0208✗1.08434k2022-09-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012160.000011967-1.58%0.0000123+1.15%0.0369✗0.94895k2022-09-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.78791.7595-1.59%1.7905+0.15%0.0283✗1.0733k2022-09-03
DASHDashDash45.1344.413-1.59%46.77+3.63%0.0616✗0.98486k2022-09-03
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064280.063257-1.59%0.06279-2.32%0.0039✓1.122.4M2022-09-03
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06390.06288-1.60%0.0572-10.49%0.0856✓0.90111k2022-09-03
UMAUMAEthereum2.6712.6283-1.60%2.744+2.73%0.0517✗0.86749k2022-09-03
ELAElastosEthereum1.7581.7298-1.60%1.771+0.74%0.0331✗0.94143k2022-09-03
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.56e-7-1.61%8.80e-7+1.15%0.0357✗0.802.4M2022-09-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04740.046634-1.62%0.0485+2.32%0.0490✗0.97843k2022-09-03
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.550.541099-1.62%0.527-4.18%0.0154✓1.0984k2022-09-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.7845.6901-1.62%6.609+14.26%0.1537✗0.395.3M2022-09-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.291.2689-1.64%1.29+0.00%0.0262✗0.96170k2022-09-03
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024690.024276-1.68%0.02472+0.12%0.0311✗1.283,4352022-09-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038280.037634-1.69%0.03762-1.72%0.0079✓0.822,8422022-09-03
PROPropyEthereum0.750.737182-1.71%0.73-2.67%0.0063✓0.3486k2022-09-03
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068190.06702-1.72%0.06648-2.51%0.0002✓0.829142022-09-03
QTUMQtumQtum3.12693.0728-1.73%3.1511+0.77%0.0353✗1.0127k2022-09-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.17310.9796-1.73%12.627+13.01%0.1511✗1.1210.4M2022-09-03
HIVEHivenative0.53350.524205-1.74%0.5434+1.86%0.0449✗0.891.6M2022-09-03
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4120.404742-1.76%0.412+0.00%0.0278✗0.998,1172022-09-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04360.04283-1.76%0.0443+1.61%0.0436✗0.98175k2022-09-03
SCSiacoinnative0.003890.003821-1.77%0.00397+2.06%0.0482✗1.00152k2022-09-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28890.283796-1.77%0.303+4.88%0.0748✗0.927.4M2022-09-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.78241.7508-1.77%1.7051-4.34%0.0159✓1.051.2M2022-09-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045180.044379-1.77%0.04477-0.91%0.0157✓0.6916k2022-09-03
BORABORAKlay Token0.282280.277243-1.78%0.29127+3.18%0.0599✗1.0512k2022-09-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8295.7246-1.79%6.507+11.63%0.1368✗0.8610.1M2022-09-03
IMXImmutableEthereum0.78960.775425-1.80%0.8243+4.39%0.0720✗1.082.0M2022-09-03
ADACardanoCardano0.450.441889-1.80%0.4804+6.76%0.0940✗1.0440.7M2022-09-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0634220.062264-1.83%0.062675-1.18%0.0171✓1.041.7M2022-09-03
FTTFTXEthereum25.825.3257-1.84%26.2+1.55%0.0436✗0.967.4M2022-09-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14040.137811-1.84%0.1379-1.78%0.0104✓0.97624k2022-09-03
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35690.35017-1.89%0.354-0.81%0.0221✗1.11175k2022-09-03
UOSUltraEthereum0.340040.333514-1.92%0.35+2.93%0.0578✗0.94321k2022-09-03
STXStacksnative0.36380.356812-1.92%0.361-0.77%0.0235✗1.17432k2022-09-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.234.1485-1.93%4.797+13.40%0.1466✗0.142.3M2022-09-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.280.274601-1.93%0.269-3.93%0.0133✓0.72772k2022-09-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3036.1813-1.93%6.499+3.11%0.0595✗0.935.2M2022-09-03
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.3827-1.94%1.49+5.67%0.0744✗-0.04115k2022-09-03
XLMStellarStellar0.1055940.103538-1.95%0.105238-0.34%0.0249✗0.857.4M2022-09-03
METISMetisEthereum30.0529.4645-1.95%30.98+3.09%0.0692✗1.89327k2022-09-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.112.0687-1.96%2.25+6.64%0.0964✗1.23281k2022-09-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.226.0978-1.96%6.85+10.13%0.1206✗0.432.5M2022-09-03
API3Api3Ethereum1.691.6568-1.96%1.68-0.59%0.0234✗0.94704k2022-09-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06080.0596-1.97%0.0608+0.00%0.0323✗1.23984k2022-09-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12360.121157-1.98%0.1363+10.28%0.1235✗0.573.9M2022-09-03
BANDBandEthereum1.2211.1968-1.98%1.319+8.03%0.1097✗1.24518k2022-09-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.04791.027-1.99%1.0729+2.39%0.0587✗1.494.7M2022-09-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.594.4978-2.01%4.96+8.06%0.1026✗0.471.3M2022-09-03
KSMKusamaHydration45.8444.9191-2.01%48.81+6.48%0.0930✗0.99572k2022-09-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030410.00298-2.01%0.002948-3.06%0.0018✓0.891.1M2022-09-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.8912.8329-2.01%2.941+1.73%0.0534✗1.583.8M2022-09-03
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.35320.346077-2.02%0.3093-12.43%0.1009✓1.13152k2022-09-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5316.3988-2.02%6.861+5.05%0.0805✗1.0719.3M2022-09-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006740.006603-2.04%0.006407-4.94%0.0257✓0.4458k2022-09-03
GALAGALAEthereum0.05090.049858-2.05%0.05-1.77%0.0128✓0.99252k2022-09-03
QNTQuantEthereum94.3892.4383-2.06%93.83-0.58%0.0236✗0.863.4M2022-09-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001370.001341-2.08%0.001326-3.19%0.0034✓0.802.1M2022-09-03
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.157620.154335-2.08%0.15784+0.14%0.0435✗2.086362022-09-03
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023030.022549-2.09%0.02059-10.59%0.0822✓0.8613.0M2022-09-03
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.255713-2.10%0.1834-29.79%0.3323✓0.0191k2022-09-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014540.001423-2.13%0.001499+3.09%0.0593✗0.729,7092022-09-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.186.048-2.14%6.87+11.17%0.1317✗0.421.9M2022-09-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2124.1215-2.15%4.492+6.65%0.0898✗0.372.0M2022-09-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10330.101032-2.20%0.1018-1.45%0.0186✓1.093.7M2022-09-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0206730.020218-2.20%0.020633-0.19%0.0287✗0.8313k2022-09-03
XEMNEMnative0.0447080.043692-2.27%0.043496-2.71%0.0041✓0.8530k2022-09-03
XYMSymbolnative0.04540.044365-2.28%0.042307-6.81%0.0423✓0.5230k2022-09-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.813.4803-2.32%15.21+10.22%0.1332✗1.231.1M2022-09-03
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6630.647546-2.33%0.671+1.21%0.0445✗0.89248k2022-09-03
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10160.099226-2.34%0.119+17.13%0.1894✗0.76247k2022-09-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007570.007385-2.44%0.00798+5.42%0.0888✗1.13477k2022-09-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035990.035105-2.46%0.03443-4.33%0.0093✓1.0031k2022-09-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.295.1585-2.49%5.78+9.26%0.1180✗0.422.6M2022-09-03
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31440.306579-2.49%0.3208+2.04%0.0570✗1.16112k2022-09-03
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.26554.1515-2.67%5.037+18.09%0.2034✗1.00158k2022-09-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative3332.1069-2.71%32.23-2.33%0.0184✓1.4415.4M2022-09-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.1344.0205-2.75%4.026-2.61%0.0112✓0.98245k2022-09-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0446.8497-2.76%7.29+3.49%0.0726✗1.0213.7M2022-09-03
CTKShentuOsmosis0.840.816822-2.76%1.014+20.71%0.2204✗0.414.2M2022-09-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.220.213889-2.78%0.2171-1.32%0.0231✓0.823.1M2022-09-03
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0232380.022572-2.87%0.026685+14.83%0.1686✗0.12258k2022-09-03
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.73533.6273-2.89%4.8007+28.52%0.2862✗0.593.7M2022-09-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.631.5829-2.89%1.543-5.34%0.0133✓1.2093k2022-09-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.48.1552-2.91%9.31+10.83%0.1371✗0.462.1M2022-09-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.337.1104-3.00%7.65+4.37%0.0844✗1.11592k2022-09-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum38.1737.021-3.01%19.02-50.17%0.6574✓0.851.7M2022-09-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.2595.1002-3.02%7.3234+39.25%0.3640✗0.215.2M2022-09-03
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085470.082812-3.11%0.07801-8.73%0.0591✓0.07613k2022-09-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.5416.9345-3.45%17.13-2.34%0.0186✓0.71965k2022-09-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,782.658,457.11-3.71%9,785.94+11.42%0.1597✗1.376.8M2022-09-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.37281.3214-3.75%1.1337-17.42%0.1438✓0.931.6M2022-09-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.57530.552176-4.02%0.5007-12.97%0.0896✓0.82625k2022-09-03
LUNATerraTerra 20.00013390.000128267-4.21%0.00026115+95.03%0.7195✗0.85340k2022-09-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.08014.8594-4.34%7.5278+48.18%0.4403✗0.254.6M2022-09-03
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.59e-77.23e-7-4.74%8.93e-7+17.72%0.2200✗0.82198k2022-09-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.22712.5897-4.82%13.804+4.36%0.0969✗0.486.1M2022-09-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.