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2022-08-26 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0779
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-5.09%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
24.2%
in alpha space · 37.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.42%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.57e-77.20e-7-4.91%8.64e-7+14.14%0.1943✗0.82192k2022-09-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain11.74411.2-4.63%14.875+26.66%0.2906✗0.484.8M2022-09-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,981.548,634.98-3.86%10,076.20+12.19%0.1737✗1.367.3M2022-09-02
LUNATerraTerra 20.000123060.00011838-3.80%0.00024148+96.23%0.7252✗0.86340k2022-09-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.78814.607-3.78%7.9584+66.21%0.5502✗0.254.2M2022-09-02
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9280.893464-3.72%1.008+8.62%0.1265✗0.414.2M2022-09-02
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.39830.385668-3.17%0.3186-20.01%0.1752✓1.11152k2022-09-02
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085260.082578-3.15%0.0801-6.05%0.0295✓0.07637k2022-09-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.2216.679-3.14%17.08-0.81%0.0339✗0.711.2M2022-09-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.24891.2098-3.13%1.1047-11.55%0.0774✓0.941.5M2022-09-02
CELLCellframeEthereum0.33230.322182-3.04%0.3031-8.79%0.0445✓1.16112k2022-09-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.3936.3058-2.90%19.34-48.27%0.6174✓0.871.8M2022-09-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.318.0694-2.90%9.58+15.28%0.1780✗0.452.3M2022-09-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0231980.022528-2.89%0.025779+11.13%0.1365✗0.12250k2022-09-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.08664.9413-2.86%7.5477+48.38%0.4266✗0.215.1M2022-09-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.9132.9437-2.85%32.45-4.31%0.0055✓1.4416.0M2022-09-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2254.1048-2.84%3.82-9.59%0.0579✓0.98269k2022-09-02
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.693.586-2.82%5.1574+39.77%0.3717✗0.593.5M2022-09-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.327.1179-2.76%7.59+3.69%0.0801✗1.11638k2022-09-02
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.30274.1843-2.75%5.0427+17.20%0.2009✗1.00169k2022-09-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.036890.035899-2.69%0.03437-6.83%0.0292✓1.0031k2022-09-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6321.5893-2.62%1.534-6.00%0.0182✓1.2196k2022-09-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007650.007455-2.55%0.00814+6.41%0.1040✗1.13503k2022-09-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.235.102-2.45%5.99+14.53%0.1662✗0.402.8M2022-09-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.20770.202657-2.43%0.2187+5.30%0.0879✗0.822.8M2022-09-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.9226.7552-2.41%7.3+5.46%0.0922✗1.0314.0M2022-09-02
METISMetisEthereum31.130.3912-2.28%31.7+1.93%0.0690✗1.88348k2022-09-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014860.001452-2.28%0.001528+2.83%0.0612✗0.729,9742022-09-02
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10060.098331-2.26%0.1196+18.89%0.2065✗0.75247k2022-09-02
QNTQuantEthereum98.2396.0567-2.21%92.78-5.55%0.0225✓0.853.5M2022-09-02
XYMSymbolnative0.0454970.044492-2.21%0.043204-5.04%0.0220✓0.5233k2022-09-02
XEMNEMnative0.0438050.042856-2.17%0.044071+0.61%0.0402✗0.8632k2022-09-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,587.8020,142.28-2.16%20,019.30-2.76%0.0074✓0.9513k2022-09-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06260.061261-2.14%0.0619-1.12%0.0278✗1.221.0M2022-09-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0207260.020286-2.13%0.020785+0.28%0.0362✗0.8313k2022-09-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.05291.0309-2.09%1.0939+3.89%0.0807✗1.494.9M2022-09-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1244.0385-2.07%4.42+7.18%0.0956✗0.371.9M2022-09-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013750.001346-2.06%0.001355-1.44%0.0178✓0.802.0M2022-09-02
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.255716-2.06%0.1972-24.47%0.2597✓0.0191k2022-09-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003120.003056-2.04%0.002989-4.20%0.0096✓0.891.1M2022-09-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12460.12211-2.00%0.1352+8.51%0.1100✗0.584.1M2022-09-02
UOSUltraEthereum0.340.333237-1.99%0.34352+1.04%0.0439✗0.95321k2022-09-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.045.9206-1.98%7.11+17.72%0.1891✗0.422.1M2022-09-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.162.1173-1.98%2.19+1.39%0.0514✗1.24299k2022-09-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.474.382-1.97%4.95+10.74%0.1285✗0.461.3M2022-09-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.55411.3267-1.97%12.614+9.17%0.1237✗1.1210.4M2022-09-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066650.006534-1.96%0.006468-2.96%0.0040✓0.4457k2022-09-02
RADRadworksEthereum2.252.2059-1.96%2.25+0.00%0.0311✗0.79451k2022-09-02
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4310.422677-1.93%0.423-1.86%0.0149✓0.998,3142022-09-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10240.10044-1.91%0.103+0.59%0.0408✗1.103.9M2022-09-02
XLMStellarStellar0.1038590.101908-1.88%0.104596+0.71%0.0383✗0.867.8M2022-09-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5046.3825-1.87%6.93+6.55%0.0976✗1.0719.5M2022-09-02
FTTFTXEthereum25.9725.4903-1.85%26.31+1.31%0.0453✗0.967.5M2022-09-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1494.0724-1.85%4.612+11.16%0.1264✗0.142.4M2022-09-02
API3Api3Ethereum1.6831.6521-1.84%1.701+1.07%0.0427✗0.95782k2022-09-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.47730.468651-1.81%0.4979+4.32%0.0723✗0.82625k2022-09-02
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6470.635281-1.81%0.657+1.55%0.0464✗0.89253k2022-09-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2740.269131-1.78%0.27-1.46%0.0137✓0.73826k2022-09-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.313.0647-1.77%14.03+5.49%0.0889✗1.231.2M2022-09-02
AVTAventusEthereum1.361.336-1.77%1.48+8.82%0.1018✗-0.04124k2022-09-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012430.000012211-1.76%0.00001218-2.01%0.0109✓0.94948k2022-09-02
HIVEHivenative0.53430.52499-1.74%0.5541+3.71%0.0666✗0.881.6M2022-09-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.975.8662-1.74%6.91+15.75%0.1699✗0.432.5M2022-09-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0635310.062428-1.74%0.061662-2.94%0.0025✓1.041.9M2022-09-02
GALAGALAEthereum0.04980.04894-1.73%0.0499+0.20%0.0337✗1.00251k2022-09-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023340.022941-1.71%0.02248-3.68%0.0092✓0.78444k2022-09-02
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35560.3496-1.69%0.3535-0.59%0.0269✗1.11175k2022-09-02
STXStacksnative0.36120.355118-1.68%0.3635+0.64%0.0400✗1.17450k2022-09-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04330.042576-1.67%0.0438+1.15%0.0424✗0.98180k2022-09-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037830.037199-1.67%0.03809+0.69%0.0354✗0.822,8422022-09-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28310.278387-1.66%0.3024+6.82%0.0960✗0.937.6M2022-09-02
BANDBandEthereum1.2231.2026-1.66%1.31+7.11%0.1032✗1.24534k2022-09-02
XVGVergenative0.003030.00298-1.66%0.00313+3.30%0.0639✗1.03537k2022-09-02
ADACardanoCardano0.43170.424558-1.65%0.4544+5.26%0.0828✗1.0440.7M2022-09-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13960.137305-1.64%0.1381-1.07%0.0198✗0.98638k2022-09-02
SCSiacoinnative0.003910.003846-1.63%0.00396+1.28%0.0434✗1.00158k2022-09-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.72351.6954-1.63%1.798+4.32%0.0736✗1.041.2M2022-09-02
UMAUMAEthereum2.72.656-1.63%2.743+1.59%0.0445✗0.86749k2022-09-02
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066250.065172-1.63%0.0671+1.28%0.0408✗0.829142022-09-02
ELAElastosEthereum1.7731.7444-1.61%1.76-0.73%0.0224✗0.94145k2022-09-02
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.56e-7-1.60%8.90e-7+2.30%0.0502✗0.802.4M2022-09-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021860.021515-1.58%0.02024-7.41%0.0490✓0.8513.4M2022-09-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044580.043879-1.57%0.04476+0.40%0.0298✗0.7016k2022-09-02
QTUMQtumQtum3.12053.0719-1.56%3.1377+0.55%0.0357✗1.0128k2022-09-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.013330.013123-1.55%0.01333+0.00%0.0248✗0.641.4M2022-09-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04720.046474-1.54%0.0486+2.97%0.0587✗0.98843k2022-09-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.6925.6046-1.54%6.365+11.82%0.1326✗0.385.3M2022-09-02
PROPropyEthereum0.730.718821-1.53%0.72-1.37%0.0067✓0.35105k2022-09-02
KSMKusamaHydration44.5243.8385-1.53%47.83+7.43%0.1013✗0.99610k2022-09-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06340.062432-1.53%0.057-10.09%0.0780✓0.91116k2022-09-02
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19730.194309-1.52%0.1986+0.66%0.0361✗1.00152k2022-09-02
BORABORAKlay Token0.280990.276801-1.49%0.29376+4.54%0.0744✗1.0512k2022-09-02
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5460.537883-1.49%0.538-1.47%0.0159✗1.0996k2022-09-02
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05740.056548-1.48%0.0568-1.05%0.0174✗0.90104k2022-09-02
DASHDashDash44.343.6435-1.48%45.69+3.14%0.0598✗0.98504k2022-09-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03780.037245-1.47%0.0367-2.91%0.0027✓0.8411k2022-09-02
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12070.118933-1.46%0.1218+0.91%0.0384✗1.0233k2022-09-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.2712.0909-1.46%13.76+12.14%0.1454✗1.131.9M2022-09-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.77411.7484-1.45%1.788+0.79%0.0379✗1.0838k2022-09-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.170.167559-1.44%0.168-1.18%0.0181✗1.08464k2022-09-02
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02460.024248-1.43%0.0246+0.00%0.0327✗1.283,4352022-09-02
ZENHorizenBase15.5215.3-1.42%15.53+0.06%0.0309✗1.12130k2022-09-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1511.1349-1.40%1.181+2.61%0.0539✗0.992.1M2022-09-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.331610.326963-1.40%0.35346+6.59%0.0921✗0.99418k2022-09-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.291.272-1.40%1.31+1.55%0.0432✗0.96182k2022-09-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.006570.006479-1.39%0.00602-8.37%0.0642✓0.651.2M2022-09-02
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0352.0068-1.39%2.034-0.05%0.0300✗1.1655k2022-09-02
XECeCashnative0.000036680.000036173-1.38%0.00004622+26.01%0.2579✗0.901.7M2022-09-02
ORCAOrcaSolana0.80010.789042-1.38%0.889+11.11%0.1397✗1.43193k2022-09-02
IMXImmutableEthereum0.77510.764414-1.38%0.829+6.95%0.0967✗1.092.1M2022-09-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27920.275394-1.36%0.281+0.64%0.0338✗0.963.4M2022-09-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5090.502141-1.35%0.508-0.20%0.0279✗1.1488k2022-09-02
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.154180.152119-1.34%0.15905+3.16%0.0743✗2.086042022-09-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.1430.14109-1.34%0.141-1.40%0.0138✗1.01190k2022-09-02
STEEMSteemnative0.22130.218345-1.34%0.2233+0.90%0.0354✗0.91528k2022-09-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.5310.3903-1.33%10.18-3.32%0.0035✓1.19466k2022-09-02
MANADecentralandEthereum0.778130.767814-1.33%0.77622-0.25%0.0240✗0.92523k2022-09-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22450.221559-1.31%0.2219-1.16%0.0205✗1.33133k2022-09-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,240.7219,975.83-1.31%19,953.74-1.42%0.0132✓1.00485.5M2022-09-02
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16190.159783-1.31%0.1768+9.20%0.1209✗1.382,1742022-09-02
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7744.7121-1.30%4.706-1.42%0.0182✗1.379.8M2022-09-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.14751.4744-1.29%53.741+3.06%0.0537✗0.75340k2022-09-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.05990.059148-1.26%0.0558-6.84%0.0420✓1.14258k2022-09-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008480.008374-1.25%0.00875+3.18%0.0550✗0.776.4M2022-09-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20820.205599-1.25%0.2088+0.29%0.0300✗1.0266k2022-09-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6620.653736-1.25%0.713+7.70%0.1002✗0.94304k2022-09-02
C98Coin98Ethereum0.38790.383102-1.24%0.436+12.40%0.1454✗1.1289k2022-09-02
GLMGolemEthereum0.24330.240321-1.22%0.2409-0.99%0.0161✗0.9683k2022-09-02
SUSHISushiEthereum1.06851.0554-1.22%1.1131+4.17%0.0710✗1.25981k2022-09-02
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.60e-78.50e-7-1.20%8.90e-7+3.49%0.0581✗0.8217k2022-09-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.131480.129921-1.19%0.13722+4.37%0.0721✗1.22210k2022-09-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10120.100002-1.18%0.1-1.19%0.0102✓0.723,6712022-09-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.7485.68-1.18%6.292+9.46%0.1157✗0.935.2M2022-09-02
CBKCobakEthereum0.867510.857417-1.16%0.87122+0.43%0.0300✗0.9813k2022-09-02
DIADIAEthereum0.368280.36403-1.15%0.3771+2.39%0.0491✗0.9753k2022-09-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.336050.332173-1.15%0.33413-0.57%0.0199✗0.9870k2022-09-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.44910.443957-1.15%0.466+3.76%0.0645✗1.12400k2022-09-02
LSKLiskEthereum1.05081.0388-1.14%1.0393-1.10%0.0127✗0.8653k2022-09-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.6820.4449-1.14%18.87-8.75%0.0617✓1.2923.6M2022-09-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03580.035396-1.13%0.035-2.23%0.0021✓0.9386k2022-09-02
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9250.914596-1.12%1.084+17.19%0.1873✗1.221.4M2022-09-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash116.16114.8873-1.10%116.4+0.21%0.0293✗1.134.9M2022-09-02
DODODODOEthereum0.12730.125905-1.10%0.1232-3.22%0.0079✓0.971.9M2022-09-02
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08570.084763-1.09%0.0821-4.20%0.0186✓0.9414k2022-09-02
XMRMoneroMonero142.81141.2601-1.09%153.67+7.60%0.0985✗1.001.2M2022-09-02
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9421.9212-1.07%1.899-2.21%0.0129✗1.72106k2022-09-02
FORTFortaEthereum0.26450.261706-1.06%0.2313-12.55%0.1101✓0.94106k2022-09-02
STORJStorjEthereum0.556410.55071-1.02%0.53972-3.00%0.0018✓1.2945k2022-09-02
ETHEthereumEthereum1,508.021,492.59-1.02%1,575.69+4.49%0.0734✗1.34608.4M2022-09-02
NANOnanopayBase0.88010.871142-1.02%0.876412-0.42%0.0176✗0.8184k2022-09-02
SOLSolanaSolana31.7431.421-1.01%31.24-1.58%0.0107✗1.1670.1M2022-09-02
ZECZcashZcash61.160.4946-0.99%60.36-1.21%0.0139✗1.132.0M2022-09-02
FLOWFlownative1.8511.833-0.97%1.965+6.16%0.0885✗1.331.2M2022-09-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.14945.1002-0.96%5.402+4.91%0.0595✗0.14158k2022-09-02
XVSVenusEthereum5.135.081-0.95%4.86-5.26%0.0322✓0.861.6M2022-09-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95920.950054-0.95%0.9679+0.91%0.0266✗0.563.6M2022-09-02
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.063210.062611-0.95%0.06497+2.78%0.0530✗1.122.4M2022-09-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070150.069493-0.94%0.07182+2.38%0.0500✗1.1929k2022-09-02
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.492.4668-0.93%1.98-20.48%0.2125✓0.5193k2022-09-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10290.101946-0.93%0.1007-2.14%0.0001✓0.87238k2022-09-02
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95780.948971-0.92%0.93-2.90%0.0028✓1.221.0M2022-09-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin52.7152.2361-0.90%61.02+15.77%0.1696✗0.9913.1M2022-09-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.0055380.005489-0.90%0.005767+4.13%0.0590✗0.672,6192022-09-02
KCSKuCoinnative9.2329.1495-0.89%9.161-0.77%0.0148✗0.951.8M2022-09-02
MOVRMoonriverBase12.120112.0139-0.88%12.8342+5.89%0.0798✗0.9639k2022-09-02
TRXTRONTron0.0615520.061017-0.87%0.062628+1.75%0.0345✗0.59151k2022-09-02
GITCOINGITCOIN2.16622.1474-0.87%2.2074+1.90%0.0451✗1.2313k2022-09-02
WOOWOOEthereum0.15620.154888-0.84%0.1524-2.43%0.0007✓1.091,8902022-09-02
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5170.512722-0.83%0.479-7.35%0.0505✓1.232,6092022-09-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.08870.087982-0.81%0.0931+4.96%0.0702✗0.95430k2022-09-02
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1546.1062-0.78%6.406+4.09%0.0666✗1.3110.3M2022-09-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.33970.337093-0.77%0.3489+2.71%0.0521✗1.24191k2022-09-02
COMPCompoundEthereum45.9245.5716-0.76%45.81-0.24%0.0229✗1.2414k2022-09-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7232.7023-0.76%3.028+11.20%0.1364✗1.594.0M2022-09-02
OPTIMOptimism1.0191.0113-0.76%1.234+21.10%0.2239✗1.743.5M2022-09-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6715.6285-0.75%5.831+2.82%0.0477✗0.8710.1M2022-09-02
GMTGMTEthereum0.70530.700223-0.72%0.6722-4.69%0.0203✓1.44258k2022-09-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015860.015747-0.71%0.01324-16.52%0.1638✓0.67171k2022-09-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2890820.287027-0.71%0.292616+1.22%0.0349✗1.09696k2022-09-02
XTZTezosTezos1.48281.4735-0.63%1.4907+0.53%0.0274✗1.10355k2022-09-02
GTGateEthereum4.37994.3532-0.61%4.2655-2.61%0.0094✓0.77827k2022-09-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.670.666206-0.57%0.668-0.30%0.0209✗1.285.2M2022-09-02
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3861.3785-0.54%1.488+7.36%0.0932✗1.18130k2022-09-02
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015660.001558-0.51%0.001603+2.36%0.0425✗0.98558k2022-09-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.6812.6706-0.39%2.96+10.41%0.1123✗0.66653k2022-09-02
AAVEAaveEthereum82.7282.4927-0.27%88.39+6.85%0.0912✗1.556.7M2022-09-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.