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2022-08-25 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0354
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-5.88%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
56.5%
in alpha space · 89.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.62%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRXTRONTron0.0654990.064971-0.81%0.063287-3.38%0.0135✗0.58151k2022-09-01
GTGateEthereum4.5674.5255-0.91%4.3083-5.66%0.0038✓0.77827k2022-09-01
AAVEAaveEthereum93.3592.4294-0.99%86.42-7.42%0.0381✗1.546.7M2022-09-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.17415.1228-0.99%5.5317+6.91%0.0867✗0.14158k2022-09-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.016660.016492-1.01%0.01325-20.47%0.1731✓0.67173k2022-09-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7340.725928-1.10%0.674-8.17%0.0172✗1.335.0M2022-09-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058560.005791-1.12%0.005808-0.83%0.0488✗0.672,6192022-09-01
KCSKuCoinnative9.7639.6445-1.21%9.143-6.35%0.0120✓0.951.8M2022-09-01
FORTFortaEthereum0.26920.265933-1.21%0.2309-14.23%0.0740✓0.98109k2022-09-01
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.165330.163322-1.21%0.15694-5.07%0.1050✗2.116042022-09-01
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09090.08975-1.27%0.0821-9.68%0.0235✓0.9613k2022-09-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.0080.994871-1.30%0.9574-5.02%0.0007✓0.553.6M2022-09-01
WOOWOOEthereum0.17250.170238-1.31%0.149-13.62%0.0604✓1.061,7802022-09-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3216440.317425-1.31%0.297461-7.52%0.0088✓1.08743k2022-09-01
XTZTezosTezos1.6691.647-1.32%1.5398-7.74%0.0073✓1.09355k2022-09-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023030.022724-1.33%0.02281-0.96%0.0589✗0.80419k2022-09-01
ETHEthereumEthereum1,695.271,672.30-1.35%1,586.23-6.43%0.0383✗1.33608.4M2022-09-01
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.98e-7-1.36%8.80e-7-3.30%0.0361✗0.8217k2022-09-01
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.672.6327-1.40%1.97-26.22%0.2560✓0.5093k2022-09-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin56.6255.8283-1.40%57.56+1.66%0.0983✗0.9913.5M2022-09-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11160.110022-1.41%0.1013-9.23%0.0236✓0.86255k2022-09-01
GMTGMTEthereum0.7910.779563-1.45%0.6827-13.69%0.0353✓1.42259k2022-09-01
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.04851.0333-1.45%0.9424-10.12%0.0094✓1.211.0M2022-09-01
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9980.983346-1.47%1.059+6.11%0.1579✗1.221.3M2022-09-01
PROPropyEthereum0.730.719256-1.47%0.71-2.74%0.0120✓0.36105k2022-09-01
COMPCompoundEthereum51.4850.7156-1.48%48.03-6.70%0.0292✗1.2215k2022-09-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075880.074752-1.49%0.07449-1.83%0.0779✗1.1929k2022-09-01
STORJStorjEthereum0.608460.599407-1.49%0.54872-9.82%0.0006✓1.2845k2022-09-01
ZECZcashZcash67.7566.7374-1.49%58.98-12.94%0.0471✓1.122.0M2022-09-01
NANOnanopayBase0.9588910.944359-1.52%0.9001-6.13%0.0066✓0.8084k2022-09-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10980.10813-1.52%0.0996-9.29%0.0342✓0.703,6712022-09-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.13421.1169-1.53%1.047-7.69%0.0064✓0.8553k2022-09-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.09890.097387-1.53%0.0925-6.47%0.0124✓0.93430k2022-09-01
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.580.570999-1.55%0.489-15.69%0.0714✓1.222,3272022-09-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039930.0393-1.58%0.03845-3.71%0.0340✗0.822,7072022-09-01
MOVRMoonriverBase13.461513.2489-1.58%12.1573-9.69%0.0210✓0.9539k2022-09-01
ORCAOrcaSolana0.81970.806629-1.59%0.8971+9.44%0.2065✗1.46205k2022-09-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37540.369318-1.62%0.346-7.83%0.0194✗1.23205k2022-09-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03890.038267-1.63%0.0353-9.25%0.0175✓0.9286k2022-09-01
C98Coin98Ethereum0.42470.417776-1.63%0.4267+0.47%0.0975✗1.1189k2022-09-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49610.487991-1.63%0.4685-5.56%0.0355✗1.11400k2022-09-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23840.234479-1.64%0.2265-4.99%0.0579✗1.35133k2022-09-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009140.008989-1.65%0.00869-4.92%0.0182✗0.766.4M2022-09-01
XMRMoneroMonero153.94151.384-1.66%154.26+0.21%0.0868✗0.991.2M2022-09-01
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18370.180623-1.68%0.1809-1.52%0.0947✗1.362,2552022-09-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.3811.1889-1.68%10.09-11.34%0.0224✓1.18439k2022-09-01
GLMGolemEthereum0.26260.258174-1.69%0.2424-7.69%0.0021✓0.9583k2022-09-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.06360.062524-1.69%0.0557-12.42%0.0367✓1.15258k2022-09-01
XVSVenusEthereum5.695.5936-1.69%4.91-13.71%0.0730✓0.841.6M2022-09-01
SOLSolanaSolana35.2534.653-1.69%31.62-10.30%0.0128✓1.1570.1M2022-09-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22890.225004-1.70%0.2105-8.04%0.0021✓1.0070k2022-09-01
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5411.5147-1.71%1.461-5.19%0.0437✗1.16138k2022-09-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.81051.7793-1.72%1.7801-1.68%0.0729✗1.06980k2022-09-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0042.952-1.73%2.946-1.93%0.0413✗0.63669k2022-09-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143260.140776-1.73%0.13757-3.97%0.0608✗1.22213k2022-09-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.61554.6496-1.74%52.447-5.70%0.0094✓0.74332k2022-09-01
ZENHorizenBase17.1916.8878-1.76%15.87-7.68%0.0132✓1.10130k2022-09-01
DIADIAEthereum0.411010.403782-1.76%0.37505-8.75%0.0092✓0.9462k2022-09-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.374150.367534-1.77%0.34021-9.07%0.0115✓0.9687k2022-09-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.007040.006915-1.78%0.00616-12.50%0.0719✓0.641.2M2022-09-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,561.8621,176.25-1.79%20,133.65-6.62%0.0180✗1.00485.5M2022-09-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04070.03997-1.79%0.0367-9.83%0.0280✓0.8411k2022-09-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash130.69128.3353-1.80%116.73-10.68%0.0184✓1.114.9M2022-09-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30560.299958-1.85%0.2842-7.00%0.0108✓0.953.4M2022-09-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.365110.358364-1.85%0.31561-13.56%0.0602✓0.98435k2022-09-01
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06030.05918-1.86%0.0569-5.64%0.0229✗0.91112k2022-09-01
ELAElastosEthereum1.8561.8213-1.87%1.789-3.61%0.0478✗0.96146k2022-09-01
XECeCashnative0.000039470.000038732-1.87%0.00004614+16.90%0.2358✗0.891.7M2022-09-01
SCSiacoinnative0.00420.004121-1.88%0.00402-4.29%0.0429✗0.99152k2022-09-01
MANADecentralandEthereum0.840180.824373-1.88%0.78027-7.13%0.0074✓0.91507k2022-09-01
DODODODOEthereum0.14080.138148-1.88%0.1272-9.66%0.0175✓0.951.9M2022-09-01
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017620.001728-1.91%0.00149-15.44%0.0868✓0.90590k2022-09-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5710.560034-1.92%0.514-9.98%0.0088✓1.1288k2022-09-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047920.046995-1.93%0.0454-5.26%0.0119✓0.6816k2022-09-01
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26080.255693-1.96%0.2187-16.14%0.1556✓0.0187k2022-09-01
STEEMSteemnative0.24180.237042-1.97%0.2258-6.62%0.0128✓0.90510k2022-09-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7440.72933-1.97%0.668-10.22%0.0251✓0.92322k2022-09-01
BTTCBTTC9.20e-79.02e-7-1.98%8.90e-7-3.26%0.0413✗0.792.4M2022-09-01
UMAUMAEthereum2.9462.8876-1.98%2.735-7.16%0.0034✓0.84749k2022-09-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.15750.154342-2.00%0.1435-8.89%0.0044✓1.00178k2022-09-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1910.187167-2.01%0.171-10.47%0.0176✓1.06500k2022-09-01
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.069790.068364-2.04%0.06427-7.91%0.0140✓1.112.4M2022-09-01
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027320.02676-2.05%0.02463-9.85%0.0040✓1.273,4352022-09-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3566.2254-2.05%5.77-9.22%0.0183✓0.8410.1M2022-09-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00680.00666-2.06%0.006401-5.87%0.0095✓0.4457k2022-09-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2621.2359-2.07%1.198-5.07%0.0360✗0.982.1M2022-09-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.9822.5038-2.07%19.3-16.01%0.0654✓1.2924.1M2022-09-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04690.045927-2.07%0.0441-5.97%0.0262✗0.97182k2022-09-01
AVTAventusEthereum1.441.4101-2.07%1.53+6.25%0.0774✗-0.06115k2022-09-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06910.067665-2.08%0.058-16.06%0.0924✓0.90116k2022-09-01
ADACardanoCardano0.46420.454469-2.10%0.4576-1.42%0.0780✗1.0440.7M2022-09-01
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13090.128154-2.10%0.124-5.27%0.0366✗1.0135k2022-09-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.431.3999-2.10%1.32-7.69%0.0063✓0.95182k2022-09-01
XVGVergenative0.003280.003211-2.11%0.00318-3.05%0.0611✗1.03537k2022-09-01
DASHDashDash49.1848.1392-2.12%44.79-8.93%0.0062✓0.96504k2022-09-01
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2892.2404-2.13%2.05-10.44%0.0105✓1.1460k2022-09-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30740.300792-2.15%0.2936-4.49%0.0385✗0.927.8M2022-09-01
SUSHISushiEthereum1.20061.1746-2.16%1.06-11.71%0.0180✓1.24981k2022-09-01
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.192.1426-2.17%1.955-10.73%0.0262✗1.72114k2022-09-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,605.6021,133.66-2.18%20,192.40-6.54%0.0196✓0.9512k2022-09-01
HIVEHivenative0.56910.556625-2.19%0.5486-3.60%0.0461✗0.881.7M2022-09-01
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070310.068767-2.19%0.06737-4.18%0.0353✗0.819142022-09-01
XLMStellarStellar0.1104010.107975-2.20%0.105077-4.82%0.0314✗0.857.8M2022-09-01
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3950.386289-2.21%0.3534-10.53%0.0141✓1.09174k2022-09-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0691720.067634-2.22%0.062347-9.87%0.0109✓1.031.7M2022-09-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1550.151552-2.22%0.141-9.03%0.0061✓0.96668k2022-09-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9911.9466-2.23%1.803-9.44%0.0039✓1.0633k2022-09-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.054.9368-2.24%4.79-5.15%0.0018✓0.411.3M2022-09-01
CBKCobakEthereum0.951410.93001-2.25%0.8799-7.52%0.0106✓0.9613k2022-09-01
GALAGALAEthereum0.05480.053566-2.25%0.0506-7.66%0.0108✓0.99256k2022-09-01
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4580.447504-2.29%0.414-9.61%0.0098✓0.998,8922022-09-01
KSMKusamaHydration48.5447.4252-2.30%47.43-2.29%0.0675✗0.98607k2022-09-01
RADRadworksEthereum2.322.2664-2.31%2.24-3.45%0.0428✗0.80520k2022-09-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.846.6803-2.34%6.91+1.02%0.0596✗0.382.1M2022-09-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0144820.014143-2.34%0.013315-8.06%0.0173✓0.631.4M2022-09-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.60.585821-2.36%0.527-12.17%0.0312✓1.09102k2022-09-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.5496.3939-2.37%6.087-7.05%0.0275✓0.325.3M2022-09-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3526.2008-2.38%6.313-0.61%0.0808✗0.925.2M2022-09-01
XYMSymbolnative0.0473860.046258-2.38%0.042711-9.87%0.0439✓0.5233k2022-09-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2960.288918-2.39%0.276-6.76%0.0035✓0.72826k2022-09-01
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21790.212656-2.41%0.2038-6.47%0.0260✗1.00149k2022-09-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.86.6363-2.41%6.87+1.03%0.0602✗0.372.7M2022-09-01
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38010.370769-2.45%0.3184-16.23%0.0660✓1.26152k2022-09-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05290.051601-2.46%0.0486-8.13%0.0053✓0.95877k2022-09-01
BORABORAKlay Token0.304110.2966-2.47%0.30195-0.71%0.0893✗1.0413k2022-09-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013930.000013585-2.47%0.00001229-11.77%0.0374✓0.92900k2022-09-01
QNTQuantEthereum106.79104.1459-2.48%95.02-11.02%0.0341✓0.843.5M2022-09-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015970.001557-2.49%0.001534-3.94%0.0337✗0.719,9742022-09-01
FLOWFlownative2.1372.0836-2.50%2.047-4.21%0.0714✗1.301.2M2022-09-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015250.001487-2.51%0.001346-11.76%0.0467✓0.772.0M2022-09-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.136.9509-2.51%6.927-2.85%0.0692✗1.0619.5M2022-09-01
FTTFTXEthereum27.9427.238-2.51%26.91-3.69%0.0531✗0.957.5M2022-09-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.84712.5231-2.52%12.73-0.91%0.0919✗1.1010.4M2022-09-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.7114.5919-2.53%4.485-4.80%0.0177✓0.092.4M2022-09-01
GITCOINGITCOIN2.47642.4138-2.53%2.2908-7.49%0.0299✗1.2013k2022-09-01
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86580.843851-2.54%0.8299-4.15%0.0571✗1.082.2M2022-09-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50980.49663-2.58%0.5023-1.47%0.0672✗0.81625k2022-09-01
API3Api3Ethereum1.9431.8922-2.62%1.693-12.87%0.0491✓0.91782k2022-09-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034950.003403-2.62%0.002879-17.63%0.1083✓0.861.1M2022-09-01
XEMNEMnative0.0478160.046562-2.62%0.044086-7.80%0.0030✓0.8432k2022-09-01
BANDBandEthereum1.3831.3467-2.62%1.292-6.58%0.0421✗1.22534k2022-09-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.6824.5583-2.64%4.31-7.95%0.0341✓0.321.9M2022-09-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.613.2395-2.65%13.45-1.10%0.0921✗1.111.9M2022-09-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0225110.021914-2.65%0.021111-6.22%0.0184✓0.8113k2022-09-01
UOSUltraEthereum0.374470.364427-2.68%0.3455-7.74%0.0101✓0.93321k2022-09-01
APEApeCoinEthereum5.3795.2338-2.70%4.764-11.43%0.0015✓1.3510.1M2022-09-01
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.30774.1912-2.70%4.8782+13.24%0.2203✗1.00171k2022-09-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13780.134013-2.75%0.1398+1.45%0.0799✗0.553.9M2022-09-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11240.109301-2.76%0.117+4.09%0.1160✗0.70250k2022-09-01
QTUMQtumQtum3.47713.3807-2.77%3.1819-8.49%0.0071✓0.9930k2022-09-01
STXStacksnative0.39980.388608-2.80%0.3628-9.25%0.0104✓1.15470k2022-09-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.865.6943-2.83%5.79-1.19%0.0424✗0.382.9M2022-09-01
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0236.8224-2.86%6.315-10.08%0.0109✓1.2910.3M2022-09-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11590.112583-2.86%0.1049-9.49%0.0026✓1.073.7M2022-09-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7214.2964-2.88%14.02-4.76%0.0641✗1.221.3M2022-09-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0212.9336-2.89%2.931-2.98%0.1072✗1.584.0M2022-09-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008010.007777-2.91%0.00795-0.75%0.0999✗1.14513k2022-09-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0233430.022659-2.93%0.026903+15.25%0.1789✗0.11250k2022-09-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.5837.3558-3.00%7.184-5.26%0.0464✗1.0214.0M2022-09-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.181.1443-3.03%1.1541-2.19%0.1103✗1.484.9M2022-09-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.22450.217687-3.03%0.2143-4.54%0.0394✗0.802.6M2022-09-01
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7240.701906-3.05%0.669-7.60%0.0117✓0.87253k2022-09-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.8936.7129-3.11%21.47-43.34%0.4762✓0.881.8M2022-09-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.482.4024-3.13%2.28-8.06%0.0306✓1.21299k2022-09-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023910.023158-3.15%0.02063-13.72%0.0569✓0.8613.4M2022-09-01
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.084050.081316-3.25%0.08-4.82%0.0101✓0.09637k2022-09-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06760.065361-3.31%0.0612-9.47%0.0178✓1.221.0M2022-09-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.71975.5272-3.36%6.7053+17.23%0.2038✗0.155.0M2022-09-01
OPTIMOptimism1.1781.1378-3.41%1.178+0.00%0.1527✗1.723.6M2022-09-01
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.25274.1074-3.42%4.1452-2.53%0.0459✗0.542.9M2022-09-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.041110.039686-3.46%0.03497-14.94%0.0593✓0.9828k2022-09-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.118.7883-3.53%9.54+4.72%0.1114✗0.432.4M2022-09-01
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9230.887944-3.80%0.974+5.53%0.1218✗0.434.2M2022-09-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.1435.7183-3.83%32.92-11.36%0.0166✓1.4316.0M2022-09-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.38941.336-3.84%1.1439-17.67%0.0924✓0.921.5M2022-09-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.067.7466-3.89%7.62-5.46%0.0591✗1.10638k2022-09-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.4217.7006-3.91%17.1-7.17%0.0133✓0.701.4M2022-09-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7214.5299-4.05%3.853-18.39%0.0965✓0.95225k2022-09-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.811.7359-4.09%1.533-15.30%0.0427✓1.19103k2022-09-01
METISMetisEthereum35.2333.7748-4.13%30.57-13.23%0.0282✓1.87365k2022-09-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.37170.35627-4.15%0.3074-17.30%0.0699✓1.13111k2022-09-01
LUNATerraTerra 20.000131320.000125098-4.74%0.00027606+110.22%0.8474✗0.82340k2022-09-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.57665.302-4.92%7.8225+40.27%0.4013✗0.183.5M2022-09-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.86213.1421-5.19%12.927-6.75%0.0123✓0.423.8M2022-09-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,795.519,269.33-5.37%9,216.45-5.91%0.0872✗1.367.3M2022-09-01
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.04e-77.59e-7-5.55%8.97e-7+11.60%0.2220✗0.80192k2022-09-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.