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2022-08-24 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1463
186 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.25%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
55.9%
in alpha space · 90.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.17%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum88.4187.7657-0.73%84.85-4.03%0.0644✗1.546.5M2022-08-31
TRXTRONTron0.064820.064322-0.77%0.063428-2.15%0.0230✗0.58164k2022-08-31
GTGateEthereum4.49224.4556-0.82%4.3008-4.26%0.0141✗0.78827k2022-08-31
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7270.719628-1.01%0.673-7.43%0.0185✗1.345.0M2022-08-31
SUNSun TokenTron0.0057610.005702-1.03%0.005668-1.61%0.0366✗0.672,6422022-08-31
XTZTezosTezos1.60061.5836-1.06%1.5108-5.61%0.0222✗1.09388k2022-08-31
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3088440.305554-1.07%0.29809-3.48%0.0439✗1.08778k2022-08-31
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017340.017151-1.09%0.01358-21.68%0.1905✓0.67167k2022-08-31
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.2746.2043-1.11%5.746-8.42%0.0228✓0.8510.1M2022-08-31
KCSKuCoinnative9.6319.5223-1.13%9.001-6.54%0.0045✓0.951.8M2022-08-31
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.3865.3224-1.18%5.8014+7.71%0.0957✗0.15169k2022-08-31
FORTFortaEthereum0.270.266731-1.21%0.2325-13.89%0.0748✓0.98112k2022-08-31
STORJStorjEthereum0.587630.580478-1.22%0.55118-6.20%0.0299✗1.2845k2022-08-31
WOOWOOEthereum0.17250.170398-1.22%0.1531-11.25%0.0389✓1.071,7802022-08-31
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0910.089877-1.23%0.0821-9.78%0.0285✓0.9713k2022-08-31
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.166880.164776-1.26%0.15568-6.71%0.0781✗2.126042022-08-31
ETHEthereumEthereum1,656.741,635.68-1.27%1,554.00-6.20%0.0336✗1.33608.4M2022-08-31
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5880.580465-1.28%0.475-19.22%0.1226✓1.221,8732022-08-31
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11040.108939-1.32%0.1033-6.43%0.0025✓0.87255k2022-08-31
COMPCompoundEthereum51.1750.4912-1.33%47.14-7.88%0.0094✓1.2315k2022-08-31
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023590.023277-1.33%0.02304-2.33%0.0417✗0.81444k2022-08-31
LTCLitecoinLitecoin56.4655.6954-1.35%53.84-4.64%0.0293✗0.9913.5M2022-08-31
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03011.0161-1.36%0.9535-7.44%0.0287✓0.553.7M2022-08-31
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9560.942714-1.39%1.078+12.76%0.2119✗1.221.3M2022-08-31
BFCBifrostEthereum0.074280.073244-1.39%0.07274-2.07%0.0689✗1.1929k2022-08-31
GMTGMTEthereum0.78610.775132-1.40%0.6723-14.48%0.0530✓1.40267k2022-08-31
LSKLiskEthereum1.11721.1016-1.40%1.0708-4.16%0.0258✗0.8553k2022-08-31
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.20e-79.07e-7-1.41%8.70e-7-5.43%0.0105✓0.8217k2022-08-31
C98Coin98Ethereum0.41070.404912-1.41%0.439+6.89%0.1516✗1.1189k2022-08-31
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.04441.0297-1.41%0.9427-9.74%0.0111✓1.211.0M2022-08-31
ORCAOrcaSolana0.81510.803567-1.41%0.9023+10.70%0.2094✗1.47205k2022-08-31
NANOnanopayBase0.9351460.92191-1.42%0.894603-4.34%0.0204✗0.7977k2022-08-31
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22390.220693-1.43%0.2184-2.46%0.0757✗1.35124k2022-08-31
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21970.216509-1.45%0.2112-3.87%0.0388✗1.0067k2022-08-31
ZECZcashZcash67.6966.7064-1.45%59.88-11.54%0.0368✓1.122.0M2022-08-31
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1710.168467-1.48%0.1824+6.67%0.1656✗1.352,1742022-08-31
PROPropyEthereum0.740.728964-1.49%0.73-1.35%0.0256✗0.38105k2022-08-31
COTICOTIEthereum0.0990.097522-1.49%0.0899-9.19%0.0216✓0.94430k2022-08-31
DEXEDeXeEthereum32.9549-1.50%2.922-2.60%0.0291✗0.63693k2022-08-31
XMRMoneroMonero150.55148.2683-1.52%149.22-0.88%0.0698✗1.001.2M2022-08-31
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03770.037126-1.52%0.0349-7.43%0.0028✓0.9381k2022-08-31
CVCCivicEthereum0.14810.145838-1.53%0.1445-2.43%0.0544✗1.00149k2022-08-31
GLMGolemEthereum0.25570.251791-1.53%0.2447-4.30%0.0318✗0.9584k2022-08-31
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48610.478572-1.55%0.4594-5.49%0.0300✗1.11400k2022-08-31
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37380.367928-1.57%0.3462-7.38%0.0182✗1.24215k2022-08-31
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040140.039507-1.58%0.03845-4.21%0.0251✗0.822,7072022-08-31
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5481.5235-1.58%1.43-7.62%0.0115✓1.17138k2022-08-31
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00910.008955-1.59%0.00858-5.71%0.0048✓0.756.4M2022-08-31
SOLSolanaSolana34.8834.3249-1.59%31.5-9.69%0.0124✓1.1575.2M2022-08-31
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.772.7257-1.60%2.03-26.71%0.2629✓0.5093k2022-08-31
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046560.045814-1.60%0.04593-1.35%0.0463✗0.6916k2022-08-31
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.141860.139584-1.60%0.13698-3.44%0.0595✗1.23223k2022-08-31
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.367940.36203-1.61%0.33416-9.18%0.0188✓0.9687k2022-08-31
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0910.9106-1.62%10.1-8.93%0.0021✓1.18439k2022-08-31
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12490.122876-1.62%0.1236-1.04%0.0702✗1.0135k2022-08-31
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11180.109978-1.63%0.1003-10.29%0.0473✓0.703,6712022-08-31
XVSVenusEthereum5.725.6241-1.68%4.86-15.03%0.0924✓0.841.6M2022-08-31
SCSiacoinnative0.004090.004021-1.69%0.00404-1.22%0.0677✗0.99152k2022-08-31
AMPAmpEthereum0.006980.006862-1.69%0.00619-11.32%0.0621✓0.641.3M2022-08-31
XECeCashnative0.000038750.000038095-1.69%0.00004452+14.89%0.2121✗0.881.7M2022-08-31
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04020.039519-1.69%0.0357-11.19%0.0476✓0.8511k2022-08-31
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017290.0017-1.70%0.001503-13.07%0.0664✓0.89653k2022-08-31
DIADIAEthereum0.403120.396265-1.70%0.3717-7.79%0.0042✓0.9462k2022-08-31
LCXLCXEthereum0.06410.063009-1.70%0.0577-9.98%0.0145✓1.15266k2022-08-31
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,367.1221,003.32-1.70%20,048.26-6.17%0.0172✓1.00485.5M2022-08-31
ZENHorizenBase17.0116.7198-1.71%15.53-8.70%0.0036✓1.10130k2022-08-31
MANADecentralandEthereum0.83270.818469-1.71%0.77191-7.30%0.0001✓0.92507k2022-08-31
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29830.293201-1.71%0.2809-5.83%0.0174✗0.953.4M2022-08-31
MOVRMoonriverBase13.867113.6277-1.73%12.38-10.72%0.0351✓0.9640k2022-08-31
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.49554.5358-1.73%51.915-6.45%0.0021✓0.74332k2022-08-31
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026920.026447-1.76%0.02455-8.80%0.0063✓1.273,2032022-08-31
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash130.34128.0288-1.77%115.16-11.65%0.0349✓1.124.9M2022-08-31
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5620.551902-1.80%0.515-8.36%0.0027✓1.1388k2022-08-31
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7210.708036-1.80%0.663-8.04%0.0075✓0.91322k2022-08-31
ELAElastosEthereum1.8271.7941-1.80%1.818-0.49%0.0742✗0.96147k2022-08-31
STEEMSteemnative0.23530.231049-1.81%0.2291-2.63%0.0488✗0.90510k2022-08-31
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.421.3943-1.81%1.31-7.75%0.0018✓0.95182k2022-08-31
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06060.059496-1.82%0.0574-5.28%0.0223✗0.91120k2022-08-31
CBKCobakEthereum0.946690.929426-1.82%0.89656-5.30%0.0256✗0.9713k2022-08-31
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.365710.359001-1.83%0.31794-13.06%0.0588✓0.98435k2022-08-31
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070090.068801-1.84%0.06618-5.58%0.0131✓0.818802022-08-31
DODODODOEthereum0.14080.138205-1.84%0.1276-9.38%0.0181✓0.971.9M2022-08-31
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1860.182556-1.85%0.168-9.68%0.0153✓1.06519k2022-08-31
BTTCBTTC9.10e-78.93e-7-1.87%8.80e-7-3.30%0.0362✗0.802.6M2022-08-31
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.85031.8156-1.88%1.7276-6.63%0.0182✓1.07862k2022-08-31
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.071010.069672-1.88%0.06211-12.53%0.0441✓1.112.4M2022-08-31
BORABORAKlay Token0.29790.292283-1.89%0.31172+4.64%0.1309✗1.0412k2022-08-31
AVTAventusEthereum1.381.3536-1.91%1.52+10.14%0.1122✗-0.06105k2022-08-31
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.25990.254933-1.91%0.247-4.96%0.0310✓0.0187k2022-08-31
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.241.2162-1.92%1.205-2.82%0.0533✗0.982.1M2022-08-31
UMAUMAEthereum2.9322.8757-1.92%2.728-6.96%0.0007✓0.84749k2022-08-31
XVGVergenative0.003210.003148-1.93%0.00335+4.36%0.1279✗1.03537k2022-08-31
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.1762.1338-1.94%1.915-11.99%0.0021✓1.73114k2022-08-31
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2642.2196-1.96%2.012-11.13%0.0252✓1.1560k2022-08-31
SUSHISushiEthereum1.19711.1736-1.96%1.0347-13.57%0.0470✓1.24981k2022-08-31
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06760.066266-1.97%0.0595-11.98%0.0496✓0.91113k2022-08-31
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.0122.5537-1.98%19.13-16.86%0.0824✓1.2924.5M2022-08-31
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006680.006547-2.00%0.006495-2.77%0.0202✗0.4457k2022-08-31
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,418.4020,987.96-2.01%19,990.40-6.67%0.0120✓0.9511k2022-08-31
ADACardanoCardano0.45770.448478-2.01%0.4458-2.60%0.0604✗1.0442.0M2022-08-31
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04640.045465-2.02%0.044-5.17%0.0295✗0.98184k2022-08-31
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15090.147848-2.02%0.1395-7.55%0.0034✓0.97614k2022-08-31
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30230.296172-2.03%0.2885-4.57%0.0323✗0.928.2M2022-08-31
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38710.37916-2.05%0.3513-9.25%0.0065✓1.10174k2022-08-31
DASHDashDash49.1348.1106-2.07%44.55-9.32%0.0152✓0.97504k2022-08-31
UOSUltraEthereum0.340780.333679-2.08%0.35+2.71%0.1065✗0.92321k2022-08-31
HIVEHivenative0.55770.546068-2.09%0.5573-0.07%0.0769✗0.891.8M2022-08-31
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013050.000012777-2.09%0.00001208-7.43%0.0020✓0.91864k2022-08-31
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2850.279003-2.10%0.282-1.05%0.0563✗0.72826k2022-08-31
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.60.587306-2.12%0.528-12.00%0.0373✓1.09102k2022-08-31
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0678370.066399-2.12%0.061277-9.67%0.0153✓1.021.7M2022-08-31
XLMStellarStellar0.1094820.107159-2.12%0.104365-4.67%0.0282✗0.867.8M2022-08-31
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.96541.9236-2.12%1.7939-8.72%0.0023✓1.0633k2022-08-31
GITCOINGITCOIN2.44032.3884-2.13%2.1594-11.51%0.0241✓1.2013k2022-08-31
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05180.050686-2.15%0.0484-6.56%0.0148✓0.96827k2022-08-31
GALAGALAEthereum0.05490.053707-2.17%0.0503-8.38%0.0023✓0.99256k2022-08-31
XYMSymbolnative0.0482590.047209-2.18%0.043128-10.63%0.0564✓0.5330k2022-08-31
IMXImmutableEthereum0.85810.839088-2.22%0.8327-2.96%0.0607✗1.072.2M2022-08-31
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0143020.013984-2.23%0.013176-7.87%0.0192✓0.631.5M2022-08-31
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4520.441914-2.23%0.418-7.52%0.0077✓0.998,8922022-08-31
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099910.000097681-2.23%0.00022156+121.76%0.8699✗0.80329k2022-08-31
FLOWFlownative2.1472.099-2.24%2.072-3.49%0.0702✗1.311.2M2022-08-31
KSMKusamaHydration48.9947.8778-2.27%47.42-3.20%0.0534✗0.99606k2022-08-31
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4066.2593-2.29%6.25-2.44%0.0574✗0.925.2M2022-08-31
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50890.49715-2.31%0.5054-0.69%0.0678✗0.81625k2022-08-31
RADRadworksEthereum2.342.2853-2.34%2.13-8.97%0.0188✓0.81636k2022-08-31
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.195.0686-2.34%4.79-7.71%0.0308✓0.401.4M2022-08-31
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.856.6887-2.35%6.4-6.57%0.0209✓0.372.7M2022-08-31
FTTFTXEthereum27.5526.8972-2.37%26.73-2.98%0.0545✗0.957.6M2022-08-31
BANDBandEthereum1.3641.3316-2.37%1.275-6.52%0.0346✗1.23534k2022-08-31
STXStacksnative0.38670.377514-2.38%0.365-5.61%0.0398✗1.15487k2022-08-31
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.1226.9515-2.39%6.628-6.94%0.0202✓1.0619.5M2022-08-31
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.946.7714-2.43%6.7-3.46%0.0136✓0.382.1M2022-08-31
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034260.003342-2.44%0.002994-12.61%0.0554✓0.861.1M2022-08-31
XEMNEMnative0.0462280.045098-2.44%0.043941-4.95%0.0276✗0.8432k2022-08-31
RARESuperRareEthereum0.22010.2147-2.45%0.201-8.68%0.0022✓1.00152k2022-08-31
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10520.102612-2.46%0.1161+10.36%0.1677✗0.69247k2022-08-31
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015350.001496-2.50%0.001342-12.57%0.0595✓0.782.0M2022-08-31
QNTQuantEthereum108105.292-2.51%96.47-10.68%0.0337✓0.853.5M2022-08-31
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13280.129466-2.51%0.1324-0.30%0.0575✗0.553.9M2022-08-31
APEApeCoinEthereum5.3125.1786-2.51%4.761-10.37%0.0022✓1.3510.1M2022-08-31
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.8166.6422-2.55%6.047-11.28%0.0749✓0.305.3M2022-08-31
API3Api3Ethereum1.9361.8866-2.55%1.65-14.77%0.0763✓0.91782k2022-08-31
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5514.1769-2.56%14.14-2.82%0.0755✗1.231.3M2022-08-31
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00160.001559-2.57%0.00156-2.50%0.0455✗0.709,9742022-08-31
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0222610.021685-2.59%0.02152-3.33%0.0441✗0.8113k2022-08-31
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0342.9549-2.61%2.959-2.47%0.1017✗1.574.0M2022-08-31
QTUMQtumQtum3.47983.3882-2.63%3.149-9.51%0.0101✓0.9934k2022-08-31
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0456.8574-2.66%6.142-12.82%0.0277✓1.2910.3M2022-08-31
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.8313.4605-2.67%12.5-9.62%0.0024✓1.122.0M2022-08-31
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11460.111537-2.67%0.1026-10.47%0.0154✓1.073.7M2022-08-31
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.94.7672-2.71%4.449-9.20%0.0637✓0.082.4M2022-08-31
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8860.86135-2.78%0.91+2.71%0.0820✗0.434.3M2022-08-31
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.40980.398349-2.79%0.3203-21.84%0.1370✓1.27152k2022-08-31
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.5657.3529-2.80%7.033-7.03%0.0205✓1.0214.0M2022-08-31
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.412.3417-2.83%2.15-10.79%0.0083✓1.21299k2022-08-31
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7270.706388-2.84%0.663-8.80%0.0075✓0.88253k2022-08-31
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8764.7375-2.84%4.337-11.05%0.0678✓0.321.9M2022-08-31
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023820.023134-2.88%0.02026-14.95%0.0773✓0.8713.4M2022-08-31
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06690.06496-2.90%0.0622-7.03%0.0342✗1.221.0M2022-08-31
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.15.9215-2.93%5.61-8.03%0.0310✓0.363.1M2022-08-31
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.01912.6309-2.98%11.825-9.17%0.0046✓1.1110.4M2022-08-31
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.00820.007955-2.99%0.00799-2.56%0.0771✗1.14513k2022-08-31
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0234390.022737-3.00%0.030314+29.33%0.2948✗0.11239k2022-08-31
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.3336.1982-3.03%19.03-49.02%0.5868✓0.881.8M2022-08-31
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.17661.1405-3.07%1.1463-2.58%0.0998✗1.494.9M2022-08-31
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.56794.427-3.09%4.8276+5.69%0.1503✗1.00173k2022-08-31
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.4534.3289-3.16%32.41-8.58%0.0332✗1.4216.0M2022-08-31
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.084250.081486-3.28%0.08149-3.28%0.0058✓0.09737k2022-08-31
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.87695.6757-3.42%6.6294+12.80%0.1655✗0.164.5M2022-08-31
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.040160.03875-3.51%0.03519-12.38%0.0338✓0.9825k2022-08-31
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.298.9509-3.65%8.84-4.84%0.0148✓0.432.6M2022-08-31
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.3417.6667-3.67%17.27-5.83%0.0219✓0.701.5M2022-08-31
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7661.7012-3.67%1.522-13.82%0.0353✓1.19114k2022-08-31
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.047.7428-3.70%7.66-4.73%0.0605✗1.12638k2022-08-31
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.34224.1814-3.70%4.0516-6.69%0.0025✓0.532.5M2022-08-31
OPTIMOptimism1.2261.1804-3.72%1.129-7.91%0.0656✗1.733.6M2022-08-31
METISMetisEthereum35.7634.3101-4.05%31.03-13.23%0.0188✓1.87365k2022-08-31
CELLCellframeEthereum0.37370.358233-4.14%0.3041-18.62%0.0908✓1.15111k2022-08-31
CHZChilizEthereum0.24240.232235-4.19%0.2179-10.11%0.0115✓0.822.3M2022-08-31
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,349.198,948.56-4.29%9,021.07-3.51%0.0945✗1.367.3M2022-08-31
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7244.5156-4.41%3.743-20.77%0.1264✓0.96172k2022-08-31
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.53831.4646-4.79%1.1394-25.93%0.1916✓0.931.4M2022-08-31
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.61725.3312-5.09%7.8611+39.95%0.4000✗0.182.6M2022-08-31
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain14.33913.5495-5.51%13.005-9.30%0.0137✓0.433.0M2022-08-31
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.05e-77.55e-7-6.21%9.25e-7+15.01%0.2532✗0.77180k2022-08-31
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.062010.026356-57.50%–pending––0.8612k2022-08-31
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.