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2022-08-21 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1954
186 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.04%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
53.2%
in alpha space · 93.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.13%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.4136.4495+0.57%5.639-12.07%0.0528✗0.8510.1M2022-08-28
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.068490.068443-0.07%0.06229-9.05%0.0126✗1.122.4M2022-08-28
AAVEAaveEthereum85.8985.417-0.55%78.57-8.52%0.0647✗1.556.3M2022-08-28
CBKCobakEthereum0.963870.957127-0.70%0.84626-12.20%0.0306✓0.9712k2022-08-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7220.715959-0.84%0.645-10.66%0.0260✗1.364.8M2022-08-28
GTGateEthereum4.56934.5304-0.85%4.3228-5.39%0.0272✗0.77827k2022-08-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022570.022374-0.87%0.02214-1.91%0.0724✗0.87444k2022-08-28
BORABORAKlay Token0.301990.299258-0.90%0.29294-3.00%0.0783✗1.0413k2022-08-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3088290.30601-0.91%0.291277-5.68%0.0542✗1.08843k2022-08-28
TRXTRONTron0.0659240.065322-0.91%0.061392-6.87%0.0057✓0.59179k2022-08-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.11855.0706-0.94%5.175+1.10%0.0342✗0.14171k2022-08-28
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017360.01719-0.98%0.01478-14.86%0.0871✓0.67159k2022-08-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059150.005856-1.00%0.005519-6.69%0.0054✓0.672,6422022-08-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.391.3759-1.01%1.23-11.51%0.0208✓0.95182k2022-08-28
COMPCompoundEthereum50.9150.3835-1.03%43.85-13.87%0.0209✓1.2315k2022-08-28
GITCOINGITCOIN2.4782.4523-1.04%2.0034-19.15%0.0862✓1.2113k2022-08-28
ZECZcashZcash64.6263.9427-1.05%61.17-5.34%0.0629✗1.122.0M2022-08-28
XTZTezosTezos1.63271.6156-1.05%1.426-12.66%0.0183✓1.11494k2022-08-28
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08980.088854-1.05%0.0792-11.80%0.0210✓0.989,9252022-08-28
ETHEthereumEthereum1,617.841,600.72-1.06%1,426.63-11.82%0.0123✗1.33548.6M2022-08-28
KCSKuCoinnative9.6289.5255-1.06%8.816-8.43%0.0135✗0.951.9M2022-08-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash119.67118.3802-1.08%112.59-5.92%0.0564✗1.114.9M2022-08-28
FORTFortaEthereum0.27050.267505-1.11%0.2638-2.48%0.0801✗0.98132k2022-08-28
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.164090.162227-1.14%0.15977-2.63%0.1874✗2.126362022-08-28
LSKLiskEthereum1.09121.0784-1.17%1.0384-4.84%0.0447✗0.8655k2022-08-28
STORJStorjEthereum0.588840.581817-1.19%0.52437-10.95%0.0191✗1.2945k2022-08-28
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9190.907983-1.20%0.916-0.33%0.1248✗1.211.2M2022-08-28
WOOWOOEthereum0.17680.174669-1.21%0.1381-21.89%0.1345✓1.051,7442022-08-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin55.6855.0048-1.21%53.38-4.13%0.0654✗1.0013.1M2022-08-28
PROPropyEthereum0.730.72112-1.22%0.73+0.00%0.0488✗0.38105k2022-08-28
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.022630.022352-1.23%0.02162-4.46%0.0510✗0.8813.4M2022-08-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046740.046165-1.23%0.04418-5.48%0.0208✗0.6816k2022-08-28
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5621.5428-1.23%1.36-12.93%0.0122✓1.19156k2022-08-28
C98Coin98Ethereum0.42860.423313-1.23%0.3673-14.30%0.0357✓1.1175k2022-08-28
FLOWFlownative2.1632.1357-1.26%1.692-21.78%0.1077✓1.311.2M2022-08-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11150.110084-1.27%0.1013-9.15%0.0006✓0.86259k2022-08-28
NANOnanopayBase0.9277620.915915-1.28%0.862501-7.03%0.0151✗0.7970k2022-08-28
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.172.1422-1.28%1.828-15.76%0.0056✓1.72115k2022-08-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.4110.2756-1.29%9.51-8.65%0.0347✗1.17318k2022-08-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075220.074221-1.33%0.06897-8.31%0.0401✗1.1929k2022-08-28
MANADecentralandEthereum0.852550.841006-1.35%0.74832-12.23%0.0288✓0.92524k2022-08-28
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.30e-79.17e-7-1.37%8.60e-7-7.53%0.0139✗0.8218k2022-08-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48960.48284-1.38%0.4349-11.17%0.0020✓1.11400k2022-08-28
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0721.0572-1.38%0.9332-12.95%0.0089✓1.211.1M2022-08-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.14990.14778-1.41%0.1396-6.87%0.0388✗1.00149k2022-08-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143850.14181-1.42%0.13172-8.43%0.0447✗1.24246k2022-08-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22980.226533-1.42%0.2134-7.14%0.0692✗1.35111k2022-08-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1090.107445-1.43%0.0996-8.62%0.0075✓0.713,8252022-08-28
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17590.173389-1.43%0.1592-9.49%0.0437✗1.351,5232022-08-28
GMTGMTEthereum0.8040.79247-1.43%0.6463-19.61%0.0673✓1.43373k2022-08-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.2240.220785-1.44%0.2024-9.64%0.0092✓1.0067k2022-08-28
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8760.863425-1.44%0.84-4.11%0.0138✓0.434.4M2022-08-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.10110.099645-1.44%0.0854-15.53%0.0640✓0.94414k2022-08-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1743.1278-1.45%3.876+22.12%0.2750✗0.63803k2022-08-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.370860.365459-1.46%0.32806-11.54%0.0157✓0.9690k2022-08-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.07791.0622-1.46%0.9334-13.41%0.0763✓0.553.9M2022-08-28
ORCAOrcaSolana0.85690.844379-1.46%0.7842-8.48%0.0669✗1.47214k2022-08-28
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2292.1964-1.46%1.944-12.79%0.0120✓1.1560k2022-08-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04020.03961-1.47%0.03732-7.16%0.0195✗0.832,6252022-08-28
SCSiacoinnative0.004210.004148-1.47%0.00393-6.65%0.0412✗0.99152k2022-08-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29490.290478-1.50%0.2731-7.39%0.0292✗0.953.5M2022-08-28
ZENHorizenBase16.7316.4792-1.50%14.8-11.54%0.0016✓1.11125k2022-08-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.70.689369-1.52%0.631-9.86%0.0004✓0.92324k2022-08-28
GLMGolemEthereum0.26280.258789-1.53%0.2362-10.12%0.0006✓0.9584k2022-08-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009450.009305-1.53%0.00848-10.26%0.0207✓0.756.4M2022-08-28
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12430.122359-1.56%0.1184-4.75%0.0639✗1.0139k2022-08-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.02481.0088-1.57%0.9934-3.06%0.1257✗1.474.7M2022-08-28
XECeCashnative0.000039550.000038928-1.57%0.00004676+18.23%0.2685✗0.891.8M2022-08-28
AVTAventusEthereum1.381.3581-1.59%1.39+0.72%0.0182✗-0.05105k2022-08-28
XVSVenusEthereum5.915.8157-1.60%4.82-18.44%0.1071✓0.841.6M2022-08-28
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04120.04054-1.60%0.0357-13.35%0.0412✓0.9011k2022-08-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.007180.007065-1.61%0.00642-10.58%0.0336✓0.651.3M2022-08-28
SOLSolanaSolana36.4835.8932-1.61%30.45-16.53%0.0537✓1.1675.2M2022-08-28
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02710.026662-1.61%0.0242-10.70%0.0245✗1.273,2032022-08-28
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.762.7153-1.62%2.33-15.58%0.1055✓0.5093k2022-08-28
BANDBandEthereum1.3521.3301-1.62%1.192-11.83%0.0083✓1.23518k2022-08-28
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6110.601104-1.62%0.489-19.97%0.0894✓1.223,1462022-08-28
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38480.378559-1.62%0.34-11.64%0.0017✓1.10175k2022-08-28
DODODODOEthereum0.13930.137039-1.62%0.1182-15.15%0.0517✓1.002.1M2022-08-28
XMRMoneroMonero154.56152.0491-1.62%146.4-5.28%0.0580✗1.001.1M2022-08-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51330.504901-1.64%0.4996-2.67%0.0676✗0.82694k2022-08-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5720.562615-1.64%0.488-14.69%0.0341✓1.1390k2022-08-28
IMXImmutableEthereum0.87370.859361-1.64%0.7744-11.37%0.0010✓1.082.2M2022-08-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1080.106227-1.64%0.0992-8.15%0.0340✗1.073.7M2022-08-28
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070570.069408-1.65%0.06712-4.89%0.0446✗0.829772022-08-28
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38410.377769-1.65%0.32-16.69%0.0436✓1.28182k2022-08-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,518.6221,163.57-1.65%19,554.03-9.13%0.0166✓1.00463.8M2022-08-28
OPTIMOptimism1.1761.1565-1.66%1.054-10.37%0.0715✗1.723.6M2022-08-28
LUNATerraTerra 20.000090380.00008888-1.66%0.0001251+38.42%0.4210✗0.83327k2022-08-28
SUSHISushiEthereum1.211.1898-1.67%1.0043-17.00%0.0495✓1.251.0M2022-08-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05140.050538-1.68%0.0455-11.48%0.0120✓0.97798k2022-08-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.95854.033-1.68%51.793-5.76%0.0293✗0.75340k2022-08-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.7633.1912-1.68%30.93-8.38%0.0676✗1.4416.5M2022-08-28
MOVRMoonriverBase14.107113.8691-1.69%12.062-14.50%0.0476✓0.9644k2022-08-28
BTTCBTTC9.00e-78.85e-7-1.69%8.50e-7-5.56%0.0366✗0.803.0M2022-08-28
DASHDashDash46.846.0027-1.70%44.14-5.68%0.0520✗0.98493k2022-08-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.9722.5755-1.72%18.53-19.33%0.0738✓1.2924.5M2022-08-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.370780.364394-1.72%0.31363-15.41%0.0519✓1.02418k2022-08-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.64410.4603-1.73%10.559-0.80%0.1153✗1.1110.4M2022-08-28
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017780.001747-1.73%0.001587-10.74%0.0111✓0.89790k2022-08-28
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.256571-1.73%0.261-0.04%0.0180✗0.0187k2022-08-28
UMAUMAEthereum2.9142.8633-1.74%2.607-10.54%0.0135✓0.84749k2022-08-28
XVGVergenative0.003260.003203-1.75%0.00289-11.35%0.0034✓1.04537k2022-08-28
GALAGALAEthereum0.0540.053056-1.75%0.0493-8.70%0.0225✗1.00253k2022-08-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.1812.9495-1.75%11.33-14.04%0.0256✓1.132.4M2022-08-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.06540.064252-1.76%0.0582-11.01%0.0108✓1.15289k2022-08-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1870.183687-1.77%0.164-12.30%0.0109✓1.07608k2022-08-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.94841.9138-1.78%1.7152-11.97%0.0078✓1.0636k2022-08-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2431.2208-1.78%1.129-9.17%0.0157✓0.982.2M2022-08-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.356.2367-1.78%5.87-7.56%0.0242✓0.382.1M2022-08-28
DIADIAEthereum0.413340.405875-1.81%0.36304-12.17%0.0225✓0.9370k2022-08-28
UOSUltraEthereum0.320010.314217-1.81%0.36389+13.71%0.2349✗0.92353k2022-08-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2880.28272-1.83%0.275-4.51%0.0424✗0.73878k2022-08-28
STEEMSteemnative0.23750.23312-1.84%0.2183-8.08%0.0201✗0.90528k2022-08-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15560.152729-1.85%0.1337-14.07%0.0398✓0.97616k2022-08-28
STXStacksnative0.3950.387596-1.87%0.3529-10.66%0.0161✓1.15492k2022-08-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30620.300451-1.88%0.2823-7.81%0.0257✗0.928.2M2022-08-28
ELAElastosEthereum1.8761.8406-1.89%1.733-7.62%0.0310✗0.95151k2022-08-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.39180.384368-1.90%0.3261-16.77%0.0444✓1.25239k2022-08-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.4714.1952-1.90%13.16-9.05%0.0417✗1.231.4M2022-08-28
APEApeCoinEthereum5.195.0904-1.92%4.649-10.42%0.0389✗1.3510.9M2022-08-28
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05970.058549-1.93%0.0554-7.20%0.0327✗0.92112k2022-08-28
ADACardanoCardano0.46240.453461-1.93%0.4291-7.20%0.0447✗1.0442.0M2022-08-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03770.036967-1.94%0.0345-8.49%0.0220✗0.9581k2022-08-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.1113.0504-1.95%2.966-4.66%0.1226✗1.575.0M2022-08-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04730.046374-1.96%0.0419-11.42%0.0079✓0.98192k2022-08-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4596.3316-1.97%6.275-2.85%0.0799✗0.935.3M2022-08-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.086.9403-1.97%6.251-11.71%0.0024✓1.0719.5M2022-08-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06960.068227-1.97%0.0619-11.06%0.0099✓0.91121k2022-08-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10060.098608-1.98%0.0981-2.49%0.0609✗0.69234k2022-08-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067710.006636-2.00%0.006708-0.93%0.0537✗0.4555k2022-08-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.79081.7546-2.02%1.6656-6.99%0.0508✗1.07698k2022-08-28
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6360.623114-2.03%0.525-17.45%0.0641✓1.1296k2022-08-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,749.398,569.45-2.06%8,473.37-3.15%0.1188✗1.367.3M2022-08-28
XLMStellarStellar0.1109770.108694-2.06%0.102736-7.43%0.0262✗0.867.4M2022-08-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06750.066109-2.06%0.0604-10.52%0.0260✗1.211.2M2022-08-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.566.422-2.10%6.04-7.93%0.0251✓0.381.5M2022-08-28
HIVEHivenative0.56380.551873-2.12%0.5282-6.31%0.0412✗0.891.9M2022-08-28
KSMKusamaHydration50.6449.5678-2.12%45.4-10.35%0.0072✓0.99543k2022-08-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0692790.067794-2.14%0.06175-10.87%0.0043✓1.021.9M2022-08-28
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7280.71235-2.15%0.645-11.40%0.0144✓0.89263k2022-08-28
QTUMQtumQtum3.46923.3942-2.16%2.9825-14.03%0.0345✓0.9943k2022-08-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.4347.2734-2.16%6.861-7.71%0.0397✗1.0214.0M2022-08-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021910.021436-2.17%0.020386-6.96%0.0279✗0.8213k2022-08-28
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21190.20731-2.17%0.1903-10.19%0.0101✓1.00149k2022-08-28
XYMSymbolnative0.0510480.049937-2.18%0.044396-13.03%0.0670✓0.5330k2022-08-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013480.000013178-2.24%0.00001177-12.69%0.0255✓0.91827k2022-08-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0146590.01433-2.25%0.013002-11.30%0.0349✓0.651.8M2022-08-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,631.3021,140.21-2.27%19,646.40-9.18%0.0177✓0.957,5932022-08-28
FTTFTXEthereum27.7227.0906-2.27%25.35-8.55%0.0250✗0.958.5M2022-08-28
API3Api3Ethereum1.9141.8701-2.29%1.6-16.41%0.0695✓0.90657k2022-08-28
UNIUniswapEthereum7.2117.0452-2.30%5.739-20.41%0.0811✓1.2910.7M2022-08-28
FIDABonfidaSolana0.470.459172-2.30%0.412-12.34%0.0124✓1.009,5622022-08-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015010.001466-2.31%0.001503+0.13%0.0932✗0.729,7092022-08-28
RADRadworksEthereum2.382.3247-2.32%2.08-12.61%0.0308✓0.84833k2022-08-28
XEMNEMnative0.0462330.045155-2.33%0.042995-7.00%0.0307✗0.8333k2022-08-28
FISStafiEthereum0.37150.362785-2.35%–pending––0.911922022-08-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.038180.037277-2.36%0.03552-6.97%0.0464✗0.9923k2022-08-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.18720.182727-2.39%0.2102+12.29%0.2181✗0.821.5M2022-08-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015180.001481-2.45%0.001346-11.35%0.0220✓0.771.6M2022-08-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.5946.4281-2.52%5.809-11.90%0.0756✓0.274.9M2022-08-28
CELLCellframeEthereum0.33660.328074-2.53%0.3044-9.57%0.0347✗1.15110k2022-08-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.482.4165-2.56%1.95-21.37%0.0976✓1.22281k2022-08-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0037420.003645-2.59%0.002987-20.18%0.1179✓0.851.0M2022-08-28
QNTQuantEthereum110.77107.8825-2.61%92.31-16.67%0.0751✓0.843.4M2022-08-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7241.6784-2.65%1.511-12.35%0.0097✓1.20121k2022-08-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.044.9052-2.67%4.34-13.89%0.0817✓0.431.3M2022-08-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13810.134359-2.71%0.1202-12.96%0.0562✓0.584.4M2022-08-28
METISMetisEthereum34.7633.8112-2.73%29.26-15.82%0.0342✗1.87365k2022-08-28
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.13534.0211-2.76%4.3886+6.13%0.1832✗1.00171k2022-08-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4794.3552-2.76%3.998-10.74%0.0549✓0.321.6M2022-08-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0234270.022762-2.84%0.022963-1.98%0.0192✓0.11240k2022-08-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05121.0201-2.96%–pending––1.1112k2022-08-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.27.9415-3.15%7.2-12.20%0.0090✓1.12638k2022-08-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.945.7508-3.18%5.16-13.13%0.0728✓0.373.1M2022-08-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.30191.2589-3.30%1.201-7.75%0.0441✗0.951.2M2022-08-28
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.68123.5542-3.45%3.6555-0.70%0.0803✗0.551.8M2022-08-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.9718.3069-3.50%16.67-12.12%0.0263✓0.701.7M2022-08-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana5.1014.9133-3.68%4.096-19.70%0.1743✓0.082.2M2022-08-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.938.5817-3.90%8.09-9.41%0.0176✓0.432.4M2022-08-28
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.091060.087333-4.09%0.08638-5.14%0.0028✓0.09972k2022-08-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.91985.6539-4.49%5.5537-6.18%0.0019✓0.172.4M2022-08-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009470.009024-4.71%0.00825-12.88%0.0193✓1.14456k2022-08-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum44.3642.2617-4.73%37.2-16.14%0.0422✓0.891.8M2022-08-28
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.12e-76.71e-7-5.80%7.78e-7+9.19%0.2205✗0.76170k2022-08-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.96864.6607-6.20%5.4352+9.39%0.1715✗0.192.1M2022-08-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.0944.7442-6.87%4.106-19.40%0.0518✓0.97133k2022-08-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.73811.8537-6.94%12.382-2.79%0.0856✗0.441.6M2022-08-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.