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2022-08-20 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1895
186 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.98%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
45.7%
in alpha space · 79.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.22%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.06e-76.59e-7-6.74%7.59e-7+7.47%0.1824✗0.76164k2022-08-27
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain10.89410.1893-6.47%13.227+21.42%0.2832✗0.421.4M2022-08-27
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.36064.1362-5.15%5.0801+16.50%0.2133✗0.142.1M2022-08-27
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.69225.4067-5.01%5.259-7.61%0.0192✓0.162.1M2022-08-27
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana5.0514.8156-4.66%4.23-16.25%0.1266✓0.062.1M2022-08-27
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.091570.087603-4.33%0.08547-6.66%0.0199✓0.09959k2022-08-27
TRBTellor TributesEthereum41.6639.8999-4.23%38.17-8.38%0.0055✓0.931.8M2022-08-27
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.898.5165-4.20%8.4-5.51%0.0097✓0.442.2M2022-08-27
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.9193.78-3.55%4.134+5.49%0.1390✗0.92127k2022-08-27
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.36491.3166-3.54%1.3728+0.58%0.0942✗0.981.2M2022-08-27
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.825.6223-3.40%5.29-9.11%0.0417✓0.362.9M2022-08-27
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.48593.3723-3.26%3.7353+7.15%0.1305✗0.531.5M2022-08-27
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.4117.8237-3.18%17.54-4.73%0.0217✓0.701.8M2022-08-27
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4874.3477-3.10%4.212-6.13%0.0127✓0.361.6M2022-08-27
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.074.9205-2.95%4.59-9.47%0.0471✓0.421.1M2022-08-27
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.061.0299-2.84%–pending––1.1112k2022-08-27
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,129.2020,531.61-2.83%19,933.00-5.66%0.0213✓0.957,5932022-08-27
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.127.8935-2.79%7.33-9.73%0.0141✓1.12638k2022-08-27
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037450.036425-2.74%0.03599-3.90%0.0413✗1.0023k2022-08-27
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0224990.02193-2.53%0.023238+3.28%0.0647✗0.13240k2022-08-27
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.4086.2468-2.52%5.784-9.74%0.0702✓0.134.5M2022-08-27
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015070.001469-2.49%0.00137-9.11%0.0287✓0.781.6M2022-08-27
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana3.81153.7167-2.49%4.2655+11.91%0.1913✗1.00169k2022-08-27
QNTQuantEthereum104.84102.3193-2.40%94.38-9.98%0.0359✓0.843.4M2022-08-27
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.526.3649-2.38%6.18-5.21%0.0086✓0.391.3M2022-08-27
FISStafiEthereum0.36660.357908-2.37%–pending––0.911922022-08-27
CHZChilizEthereum0.18320.178867-2.37%0.22+20.09%0.2510✗0.821.3M2022-08-27
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03940.038474-2.35%0.0348-11.68%0.0485✓0.9777k2022-08-27
RADRadworksEthereum2.412.3534-2.35%2.14-11.20%0.0491✓0.86833k2022-08-27
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.78711.7474-2.22%1.7824-0.26%0.0794✗1.11667k2022-08-27
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0146880.014364-2.21%0.013178-10.28%0.0540✓0.601.9M2022-08-27
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4630.453088-2.14%0.412-11.02%0.0412✓1.019,8012022-08-27
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014460.001415-2.13%0.001454+0.55%0.0650✗0.719,7092022-08-27
XEMNEMnative0.0450830.044133-2.11%0.044708-0.83%0.0582✗0.8534k2022-08-27
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012910.000012639-2.10%0.00001216-5.81%0.0099✓0.91827k2022-08-27
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0033930.003322-2.09%0.003041-10.37%0.0438✓0.831.0M2022-08-27
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.362.3117-2.04%2.11-10.59%0.0256✓1.23259k2022-08-27
API3Api3Ethereum1.861.8223-2.03%1.69-9.14%0.0261✓0.92657k2022-08-27
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10340.101316-2.02%0.1016-1.74%0.0412✗0.72220k2022-08-27
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0694280.068047-1.99%0.063422-8.65%0.0156✓1.021.9M2022-08-27
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068550.006719-1.99%0.00674-1.68%0.0284✗0.4757k2022-08-27
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021560.021146-1.92%0.020673-4.11%0.0213✗0.8213k2022-08-27
FTTFTXEthereum26.6926.1878-1.88%25.8-3.33%0.0360✗0.958.6M2022-08-27
XLMStellarStellar0.1090190.106968-1.88%0.105594-3.14%0.0335✗0.877.4M2022-08-27
HIVEHivenative0.54280.532636-1.87%0.5335-1.71%0.0495✗0.891.9M2022-08-27
XYMSymbolnative0.0491230.048206-1.87%0.0454-7.58%0.0317✓0.5330k2022-08-27
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.336.2134-1.84%6.22-1.74%0.0214✗0.381.9M2022-08-27
ELAElastosEthereum1.8571.8235-1.81%1.758-5.33%0.0146✓0.96156k2022-08-27
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2390.234794-1.76%0.2201-7.91%0.0084✓1.36110k2022-08-27
ADACardanoCardano0.45130.443413-1.75%0.45-0.29%0.0709✗1.0542.0M2022-08-27
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.256754-1.74%0.2612-0.04%0.0177✗0.0181k2022-08-27
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.290.285006-1.72%0.28-3.45%0.0213✗0.73878k2022-08-27
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04580.045015-1.71%0.0436-4.80%0.0201✗0.97201k2022-08-27
XVGVergenative0.003280.003224-1.71%0.00292-10.98%0.0431✓1.04520k2022-08-27
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20230.198879-1.69%0.1957-3.26%0.0375✗1.00146k2022-08-27
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068880.067723-1.68%0.06819-1.00%0.0505✗0.819772022-08-27
STEEMSteemnative0.23310.229218-1.67%0.2211-5.15%0.0123✓0.90550k2022-08-27
KSMKusamaHydration48.5447.7359-1.66%45.84-5.56%0.0114✓0.97560k2022-08-27
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039560.038908-1.65%0.03828-3.24%0.0280✗0.832,6252022-08-27
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2287.1089-1.65%7.044-2.55%0.0454✗1.0214.0M2022-08-27
DIADIAEthereum0.399830.393262-1.64%0.36774-8.03%0.0165✓0.9470k2022-08-27
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30030.295387-1.64%0.2889-3.80%0.0273✗0.938.2M2022-08-27
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.370190.364139-1.63%0.32976-10.92%0.0402✓1.10426k2022-08-27
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007250.007132-1.63%0.00757+4.41%0.1171✗1.07435k2022-08-27
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06020.059221-1.63%0.0569-5.48%0.0115✓0.96112k2022-08-27
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7080.696632-1.61%0.663-6.36%0.0021✓0.88271k2022-08-27
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6110.601217-1.60%0.55-9.98%0.0290✓1.12103k2022-08-27
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026420.026002-1.58%0.02469-6.55%0.0161✗1.273,2032022-08-27
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.742.6968-1.58%2.47-9.85%0.0613✓0.5093k2022-08-27
UMAUMAEthereum2.8242.7796-1.57%2.671-5.42%0.0047✓0.83749k2022-08-27
METISMetisEthereum32.4531.9403-1.57%30.05-7.40%0.0385✗1.86383k2022-08-27
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.221.201-1.56%1.146-6.07%0.0058✓0.982.2M2022-08-27
AVTAventusEthereum1.391.3683-1.56%1.41+1.44%0.0279✗-0.04105k2022-08-27
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0046.895-1.56%6.056-13.54%0.0614✓1.2810.7M2022-08-27
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.9026.7947-1.55%6.531-5.38%0.0176✗1.0719.5M2022-08-27
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06590.064881-1.55%0.0639-3.03%0.0345✗0.93126k2022-08-27
UOSUltraEthereum0.305140.300444-1.54%0.34004+11.44%0.1722✗0.90366k2022-08-27
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1810.17826-1.51%0.171-5.52%0.0154✗1.06608k2022-08-27
LUNATerraTerra 20.000088070.00008674-1.51%0.0001339+52.04%0.4811✗0.88327k2022-08-27
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14930.147045-1.51%0.1404-5.96%0.0070✓0.99616k2022-08-27
DASHDashDash45.7545.0655-1.50%45.13-1.36%0.0535✗0.97521k2022-08-27
QTUMQtumQtum3.34613.2964-1.48%3.1269-6.55%0.0004✓0.9848k2022-08-27
LCXLCXEthereum0.06170.060798-1.46%0.0604-2.11%0.0534✗1.12303k2022-08-27
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.0452.2706-1.45%52.374-1.26%0.0414✗0.74349k2022-08-27
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3056.2136-1.45%6.303-0.03%0.0643✗0.935.3M2022-08-27
AMPAmpEthereum0.007130.007027-1.44%0.0066-7.43%0.0280✓0.651.3M2022-08-27
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,139.2320,835.34-1.44%20,036.69-5.22%0.0145✗1.00469.5M2022-08-27
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.58e-7-1.43%8.70e-7+0.00%0.0572✗0.803.3M2022-08-27
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.23610.0903-1.42%11.173+9.15%0.1608✗1.1010.8M2022-08-27
XVSVenusEthereum5.885.7967-1.42%4.87-17.18%0.1284✓0.851.6M2022-08-27
STXStacksnative0.38960.384097-1.41%0.3638-6.62%0.0050✓1.11493k2022-08-27
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04030.039731-1.41%0.0366-9.18%0.0336✓0.9111k2022-08-27
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5570.549158-1.41%0.51-8.44%0.0133✓1.1390k2022-08-27
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12230.120581-1.41%0.1186-3.03%0.0382✗1.0239k2022-08-27
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009240.009111-1.40%0.0087-5.84%0.0059✓0.756.2M2022-08-27
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.06521.0504-1.39%0.963-9.59%0.0572✓0.554.3M2022-08-27
XMRMoneroMonero149.22147.1679-1.38%145.16-2.72%0.0393✗0.991.2M2022-08-27
SOLSolanaSolana35.2934.8058-1.37%31.54-10.63%0.0364✓1.1675.2M2022-08-27
XECeCashnative0.000038990.000038455-1.37%0.00003688-5.41%0.0053✓0.881.8M2022-08-27
GALAGALAEthereum0.05230.051583-1.37%0.0509-2.68%0.0405✗1.00253k2022-08-27
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.1313.9393-1.35%13.8-2.34%0.0554✗1.221.4M2022-08-27
GMTGMTEthereum0.7990.788264-1.34%0.6853-14.23%0.0637✓1.42398k2022-08-27
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51720.510256-1.34%0.5753+11.23%0.1644✗0.83713k2022-08-27
GLMGolemEthereum0.25490.251493-1.34%0.2424-4.90%0.0140✗0.9583k2022-08-27
BFCBifrostEthereum0.077040.076014-1.33%0.0675-12.38%0.0552✓1.1929k2022-08-27
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.322.0031-1.33%20.04-10.13%0.0237✓1.3024.7M2022-08-27
MOVRMoonriverBase13.707113.5269-1.31%12.5391-8.52%0.0249✓0.9544k2022-08-27
ORCAOrcaSolana0.86120.849998-1.30%0.79-8.27%0.0066✓1.49224k2022-08-27
SCSiacoinnative0.004150.004096-1.30%0.00389-6.27%0.0020✓1.00152k2022-08-27
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,539.618,430.07-1.28%8,782.65+2.85%0.1139✗1.367.3M2022-08-27
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22070.217872-1.28%0.2067-6.34%0.0015✓1.0172k2022-08-27
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06680.065945-1.28%0.0608-8.98%0.0164✓1.211.3M2022-08-27
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017260.001704-1.26%0.001606-6.95%0.0130✓0.87806k2022-08-27
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37130.366618-1.26%0.3569-3.88%0.0305✗1.07175k2022-08-27
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05030.049672-1.25%0.0474-5.77%0.0054✓0.97827k2022-08-27
CVCCivicEthereum0.1470.145172-1.24%0.1419-3.47%0.0316✗1.01149k2022-08-27
SUSHISushiEthereum1.171.1556-1.23%1.0612-9.30%0.0197✓1.221.1M2022-08-27
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.69e-7-1.23%8.80e-7+0.00%0.0552✗0.8018k2022-08-27
ZENHorizenBase15.8415.6477-1.21%15.2-4.04%0.0301✗1.10125k2022-08-27
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86461.8422-1.20%1.7879-4.11%0.0266✗1.0636k2022-08-27
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6760.667893-1.20%0.652-3.55%0.0252✗0.92333k2022-08-27
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28420.28082-1.19%0.2796-1.62%0.0466✗0.953.6M2022-08-27
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86170.851587-1.17%0.7896-8.37%0.0176✓1.082.2M2022-08-27
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.041.028-1.16%0.9661-7.11%0.0027✓1.211.1M2022-08-27
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.47420.46876-1.15%0.4567-3.69%0.0332✗1.11386k2022-08-27
PROPropyEthereum0.730.721681-1.14%0.75+2.74%0.0594✗0.39105k2022-08-27
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0364.9787-1.14%4.757-5.54%0.0266✗1.3510.9M2022-08-27
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10640.105193-1.13%0.1035-2.73%0.0220✗0.713,9702022-08-27
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01770.017499-1.13%0.01518-14.24%0.1078✓0.64155k2022-08-27
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.139090.137529-1.12%0.1322-4.95%0.0260✗1.22250k2022-08-27
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31050.307023-1.12%0.3144+1.26%0.0847✗1.14110k2022-08-27
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.36990.365786-1.11%0.3492-5.60%0.0210✗1.26223k2022-08-27
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.356030.352104-1.10%0.33622-5.56%0.0057✓0.9795k2022-08-27
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38380.379605-1.09%0.3532-7.97%0.0033✓1.28190k2022-08-27
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1522.1286-1.09%2.028-5.76%0.0135✗1.1660k2022-08-27
NANOnanopayBase0.8965170.886903-1.07%0.882839-1.53%0.0371✗0.7877k2022-08-27
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10970.10853-1.07%0.1015-7.47%0.0211✓0.86274k2022-08-27
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.019.9044-1.06%10-0.10%0.0728✗1.18318k2022-08-27
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16730.165566-1.04%0.1693+1.20%0.0943✗1.341,3642022-08-27
BANDBandEthereum1.2991.2857-1.02%1.221-6.00%0.0148✗1.24518k2022-08-27
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12260.121352-1.02%0.1236+0.82%0.0488✗0.574.1M2022-08-27
DODODODOEthereum0.1310.129681-1.01%0.1246-4.89%0.0128✗0.992.1M2022-08-27
COTICOTIEthereum0.09560.094647-1.00%0.0908-5.02%0.0084✓0.93430k2022-08-27
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.8332.5082-0.98%33+0.52%0.0912✗1.4216.5M2022-08-27
LSKLiskEthereum1.07081.0604-0.97%1.0488-2.06%0.0355✗0.8756k2022-08-27
STORJStorjEthereum0.567470.561968-0.97%0.54155-4.57%0.0319✗1.2946k2022-08-27
NEXONEXOEthereum0.8690.860584-0.97%0.936+7.71%0.1486✗1.211.1M2022-08-27
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.153.5783-0.96%53.03-1.98%0.0430✗0.9913.1M2022-08-27
MANADecentralandEthereum0.831830.823826-0.96%0.77842-6.42%0.0070✓0.93560k2022-08-27
FORTFortaEthereum0.26760.265027-0.96%0.268+0.15%0.0637✗0.98145k2022-08-27
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.156860.155388-0.94%0.15762+0.48%0.1276✗2.126672022-08-27
FLOWFlownative2.1242.1041-0.94%1.823-14.17%0.0733✓1.311.2M2022-08-27
WOOWOOEthereum0.16830.166759-0.92%0.1524-9.45%0.0360✓1.011,7442022-08-27
ETHEthereumEthereum1,575.761,561.43-0.91%1,491.22-5.37%0.0250✗1.33534.1M2022-08-27
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.6812.5655-0.90%11.9-6.15%0.0051✓1.112.6M2022-08-27
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0573.0294-0.90%2.682-12.27%0.0877✓0.64803k2022-08-27
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058660.005814-0.89%0.005618-4.23%0.0025✓0.692,6422022-08-27
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08490.08416-0.87%0.0845-0.47%0.0561✗0.979,9252022-08-27
TRXTRONTron0.0658570.065292-0.86%0.062935-4.44%0.0051✓0.59179k2022-08-27
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.07695.0334-0.86%5.1648+1.73%0.0334✗0.14171k2022-08-27
KCSKuCoinnative9.3729.292-0.85%9.134-2.54%0.0336✗0.951.9M2022-08-27
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10290.102066-0.81%0.1033+0.39%0.0692✗1.073.8M2022-08-27
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045160.044811-0.77%0.04518+0.04%0.0460✗0.7116k2022-08-27
COMPCompoundEthereum49.2348.8558-0.76%46.09-6.38%0.0074✓1.2316k2022-08-27
C98Coin98Ethereum0.41040.40732-0.75%0.376-8.38%0.0208✓1.1074k2022-08-27
XTZTezosTezos1.56291.5512-0.75%1.4676-6.10%0.0042✓1.11494k2022-08-27
ZECZcashZcash62.9262.4542-0.74%61.36-2.48%0.0427✗1.132.0M2022-08-27
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022440.022274-0.74%0.02261+0.76%0.0614✗0.87444k2022-08-27
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0962.0806-0.73%1.96-6.49%0.0317✗1.71122k2022-08-27
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3016860.299533-0.71%0.296889-1.59%0.0494✗1.09884k2022-08-27
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5251.5142-0.71%1.404-7.93%0.0109✓1.21156k2022-08-27
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7220.71687-0.71%0.659-8.73%0.0103✓1.384.8M2022-08-27
OPTIMOptimism1.1311.1238-0.64%1.025-9.37%0.0001✓1.723.7M2022-08-27
GTGateEthereum4.43554.4076-0.63%4.376-1.34%0.0339✗0.77836k2022-08-27
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.99950.993372-0.61%1.0479+4.84%0.1313✗1.455.0M2022-08-27
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5690.565698-0.58%0.509-10.54%0.0397✓1.232,9182022-08-27
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash114.78114.1312-0.57%115.26+0.42%0.0690✗1.105.0M2022-08-27
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5961.5873-0.55%1.63+2.13%0.0909✗1.20126k2022-08-27
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.341.3343-0.43%1.29-3.73%0.0182✗0.97182k2022-08-27
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8430.839803-0.38%0.84-0.36%0.0241✗0.454.4M2022-08-27
AAVEAaveEthereum82.7982.589-0.24%82.11-0.82%0.0754✗1.526.4M2022-08-27
BORABORAKlay Token0.297240.29754+0.10%0.28228-5.03%0.0038✓1.0513k2022-08-27
CBKCobakEthereum0.941440.943283+0.20%0.86406-8.22%0.0357✗0.9712k2022-08-27
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.068290.068465+0.26%0.06428-5.87%0.0032✗1.122.4M2022-08-27
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021520.021595+0.35%0.02303+7.02%0.1127✓0.9013.9M2022-08-27
GITCOINGITCOIN2.3142.3309+0.73%2.0859-9.86%0.0457✗1.2213k2022-08-27
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7462.7826+1.33%2.891+5.28%0.1216✓1.565.1M2022-08-27
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.2496.3342+1.36%5.829-6.72%0.0376✗0.8510.1M2022-08-27
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.