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2022-08-17 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0214
187 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.29%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
58.8%
in alpha space · 85.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-8.46%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.87e-76.36e-7-7.40%8.05e-7+17.06%0.2904✗0.63164k2022-08-24
CHZChilizEthereum0.22220.211548-4.79%0.2424+9.09%0.2115✗0.851.2M2022-08-24
TRBTellor TributesEthereum40.0938.261-4.56%37.33-6.88%0.0682✗1.051.8M2022-08-24
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.65774.4869-3.67%4.5679-1.93%0.1063✗1.00140k2022-08-24
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.4295-3.66%9.29+6.17%0.1325✗0.401.8M2022-08-24
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.41071.3602-3.58%1.5383+9.05%0.2064✗0.941.0M2022-08-24
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,164.6210,770.75-3.53%9,349.19-16.26%0.0239✓1.336.8M2022-08-24
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.49.0718-3.49%8.04-14.47%0.0249✓1.08523k2022-08-24
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07780.075131-3.43%0.0669-14.01%0.0117✓1.181.4M2022-08-24
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.4218.756-3.42%18.34-5.56%0.0375✗0.682.2M2022-08-24
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.9665.7626-3.41%14.339+140.35%0.9440✗0.371.2M2022-08-24
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.2939.0263-3.14%35.45-12.01%0.0262✓1.3816.5M2022-08-24
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.08320.080603-3.12%0.08425+1.26%0.0662✗0.251.0M2022-08-24
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.525.3491-3.10%6.1+10.51%0.1643✗0.372.0M2022-08-24
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.046850.045418-3.06%0.04016-14.28%0.0367✓0.9821k2022-08-24
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,298.3022,593.85-3.02%21,418.40-8.07%0.0325✗0.977,5932022-08-24
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.20421.1684-2.98%0.06201-94.85%2.8353✓1.1412k2022-08-24
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.6823.5731-2.96%4.724+28.30%0.3550✗0.86124k2022-08-24
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.922.8377-2.82%2.41-17.47%0.0580✓1.19269k2022-08-24
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.47123.377-2.71%5.6172+61.82%0.5366✗0.311.8M2022-08-24
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.944.8063-2.71%5.19+5.06%0.1114✗0.391.1M2022-08-24
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000014760.000014364-2.69%0.00001305-11.59%0.0109✓0.96827k2022-08-24
OPTIMOptimism1.3211.286-2.65%1.226-7.19%0.1225✗1.933.6M2022-08-24
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.81143.7119-2.61%5.8769+54.19%0.5002✗0.462.0M2022-08-24
QTUMQtumQtum4.0123.908-2.59%3.4798-13.26%0.0299✓0.9848k2022-08-24
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04390.042784-2.54%0.0377-14.12%0.0429✓0.9576k2022-08-24
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1444.0394-2.52%4.876+17.66%0.2151✗0.301.5M2022-08-24
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.8991.8515-2.50%1.766-7.00%0.0627✗1.25142k2022-08-24
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.226.065-2.49%6.94+11.58%0.1669✗0.361.1M2022-08-24
METISMetisEthereum38.7937.827-2.48%35.76-7.81%0.1169✗1.96408k2022-08-24
FTTFTXEthereum30.1129.3633-2.48%27.55-8.50%0.0184✓0.939.1M2022-08-24
XEMNEMnative0.0502950.049056-2.46%0.046228-8.09%0.0198✓0.9043k2022-08-24
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5150.502367-2.45%0.452-12.23%0.0180✓0.999,8012022-08-24
CELLCellframeEthereum0.37410.364937-2.45%0.3737-0.11%0.1219✗1.11105k2022-08-24
STEEMSteemnative0.27560.268951-2.41%0.2353-14.62%0.0571✓0.87550k2022-08-24
API3Api3Ethereum2.2662.2117-2.40%1.936-14.56%0.0515✓0.92680k2022-08-24
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015460.001509-2.36%0.001535-0.71%0.0869✗0.791.6M2022-08-24
APEApeCoinEthereum6.1075.964-2.34%5.312-13.02%0.0042✓1.3611.8M2022-08-24
QNTQuantEthereum109.91107.3553-2.32%108-1.74%0.0790✗0.833.6M2022-08-24
RARESuperRareEthereum0.24860.24292-2.28%0.2201-11.46%0.0103✓1.00111k2022-08-24
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001680.001642-2.26%0.0016-4.76%0.0350✗0.699,5772022-08-24
ADACardanoCardano0.53860.526514-2.24%0.4577-15.02%0.0491✓1.0343.6M2022-08-24
FISStafiEthereum0.41420.404995-2.22%–pending––0.901922022-08-24
UNIUniswapEthereum7.9617.7857-2.20%7.045-11.51%0.0150✓1.3010.3M2022-08-24
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0219640.021484-2.19%0.023439+6.72%0.1046✗0.20233k2022-08-24
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.09833.0313-2.16%4.3422+40.15%0.4038✗0.501.3M2022-08-24
HIVEHivenative0.59610.583265-2.15%0.5577-6.44%0.0388✗0.952.0M2022-08-24
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.7415.4059-2.12%13.83-12.13%0.0116✓1.092.6M2022-08-24
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.3728.1947-2.12%7.565-9.64%0.0107✓1.0314.4M2022-08-24
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum16.8816.5232-2.11%14.55-13.80%0.0185✓1.231.6M2022-08-24
STXStacksnative0.45670.447048-2.11%0.3867-15.33%0.0465✓1.11808k2022-08-24
XLMStellarStellar0.1213050.118776-2.09%0.109482-9.75%0.0028✓0.897.8M2022-08-24
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.18211.1575-2.08%1.1766-0.47%0.1509✗1.525.6M2022-08-24
FLOWFlownative2.5652.512-2.07%2.147-16.30%0.0439✓1.281.0M2022-08-24
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.387.228-2.06%6.406-13.20%0.0352✓0.975.4M2022-08-24
RADRadworksEthereum2.372.3212-2.06%2.34-1.27%0.0873✗0.90636k2022-08-24
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.7511.5099-2.04%13.019+10.80%0.2230✗1.1312.0M2022-08-24
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008140.007974-2.04%0.0082+0.74%0.1261✗1.11456k2022-08-24
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0039360.003856-2.04%0.003426-12.96%0.0482✓0.791.0M2022-08-24
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34080.33389-2.03%0.3023-11.30%0.0172✓0.938.3M2022-08-24
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0151840.014879-2.01%0.014302-5.81%0.0134✓0.602.1M2022-08-24
ELAElastosEthereum1.9911.9511-2.01%1.827-8.24%0.0225✗1.00181k2022-08-24
CVCCivicEthereum0.17690.173353-2.01%0.1481-16.28%0.0683✓1.01140k2022-08-24
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05090.04988-2.00%0.0464-8.84%0.0139✓0.98212k2022-08-24
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.0617.8998-2.00%7.122-11.65%0.0080✓1.0820.0M2022-08-24
DIADIAEthereum0.460510.451384-1.98%0.40312-12.46%0.0331✓0.9170k2022-08-24
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0801150.078538-1.97%0.067837-15.33%0.0557✓1.031.9M2022-08-24
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06620.064898-1.97%0.0606-8.46%0.0005✓0.78116k2022-08-24
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07930.077752-1.95%0.0676-14.75%0.0701✓0.79130k2022-08-24
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche25.5625.0612-1.95%23.01-9.98%0.0355✗1.3728.7M2022-08-24
XVGVergenative0.003780.003706-1.95%0.00321-15.08%0.0537✓1.02528k2022-08-24
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010860.01065-1.94%0.0091-16.21%0.0917✓0.745.8M2022-08-24
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8541.8181-1.94%1.548-16.50%0.0619✓1.12170k2022-08-24
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.70661.6737-1.93%1.8503+8.42%0.2065✗1.20598k2022-08-24
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13810.135462-1.91%0.1249-9.56%0.0106✓1.0441k2022-08-24
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.5053.4382-1.91%3.034-13.44%0.0140✓1.575.2M2022-08-24
XYMSymbolnative0.0535190.052508-1.89%0.048259-9.83%0.0404✓0.5033k2022-08-24
DODODODOEthereum0.1590.15602-1.87%0.1408-11.45%0.0160✓0.982.1M2022-08-24
DASHDashDash52.8751.8795-1.87%49.13-7.07%0.0309✗0.97548k2022-08-24
GMTGMTEthereum0.9670.948909-1.87%0.7861-18.71%0.0619✓1.43469k2022-08-24
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.361.3346-1.87%1.24-8.82%0.0150✓1.002.5M2022-08-24
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05990.058784-1.86%0.0518-13.52%0.0352✓1.03877k2022-08-24
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2170.213044-1.82%0.186-14.29%0.0383✓1.10696k2022-08-24
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0019550.001919-1.82%0.001729-11.56%0.0161✓1.00950k2022-08-24
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.1938.0439-1.82%6.274-23.42%0.1767✓0.819.9M2022-08-24
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98420.966348-1.81%0.8151-17.18%0.0329✓1.55244k2022-08-24
SOLSolanaSolana40.5539.8169-1.81%34.88-13.98%0.0269✓1.1981.1M2022-08-24
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6430.631378-1.81%0.562-12.60%0.0138✓1.16105k2022-08-24
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.36.1867-1.80%6.85+8.73%0.1355✗0.381.6M2022-08-24
LCXLCXEthereum0.07080.069533-1.79%0.0641-9.46%0.0208✗1.16331k2022-08-24
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,341.1722,924.41-1.79%21,367.12-8.46%0.0180✓1.00482.6M2022-08-24
XMRMoneroMonero168.3165.3043-1.78%150.55-10.55%0.0091✓0.951.2M2022-08-24
GLMGolemEthereum0.29130.28616-1.76%0.2557-12.22%0.0305✓0.9381k2022-08-24
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0239350.023514-1.76%0.022261-6.99%0.0167✓0.8113k2022-08-24
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25350.249057-1.75%0.2197-13.33%0.0360✓1.0183k2022-08-24
GALAGALAEthereum0.0630.061898-1.75%0.0549-12.86%0.0297✓1.02253k2022-08-24
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.43e-7-1.74%9.10e-7-5.21%0.0337✗0.795.3M2022-08-24
UMAUMAEthereum3.2633.2063-1.74%2.932-10.14%0.0160✓0.83719k2022-08-24
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14530.142794-1.72%0.1328-8.60%0.0191✓0.614.4M2022-08-24
XECeCashnative0.000043330.000042587-1.71%0.00003875-10.57%0.0174✓0.871.9M2022-08-24
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7730.759947-1.69%0.721-6.73%0.0308✗0.94344k2022-08-24
SUSHISushiEthereum1.371.347-1.68%1.1971-12.62%0.0069✓1.261.1M2022-08-24
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12260.120557-1.67%0.1146-6.53%0.0472✗1.113.8M2022-08-24
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.20162.1652-1.66%1.9654-10.73%0.0039✓1.0536k2022-08-24
LUNATerraTerra 20.00009510.000093531-1.65%0.00009991+5.06%0.1549✗1.01336k2022-08-24
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08710.085674-1.64%0.07428-14.72%0.0413✓1.1529k2022-08-24
UOSUltraEthereum0.329720.324362-1.62%0.34078+3.35%0.1277✗0.89402k2022-08-24
ZENHorizenBase19.0118.7023-1.62%17.01-10.52%0.0041✓1.12130k2022-08-24
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16970.166965-1.61%0.1509-11.08%0.0067✓1.07616k2022-08-24
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV59.92258.9638-1.60%55.495-7.39%0.0017✓0.71365k2022-08-24
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6720.661315-1.59%0.6-10.71%0.0085✓1.20130k2022-08-24
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.893.8286-1.58%4.9+25.96%0.2635✗0.191.9M2022-08-24
COMPCompoundEthereum58.3157.3967-1.57%51.17-12.24%0.0056✓1.2420k2022-08-24
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.41880.41225-1.56%0.3738-10.74%0.0136✓1.26239k2022-08-24
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09970.098144-1.56%0.1052+5.52%0.1404✗0.80215k2022-08-24
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.085980.084644-1.55%0.07101-17.41%0.0727✓1.172.4M2022-08-24
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7810.768956-1.54%0.727-6.91%0.0260✗0.93280k2022-08-24
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.43710.430379-1.54%0.4098-6.25%0.0736✗1.39209k2022-08-24
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3030.298358-1.53%0.285-5.94%0.0177✗0.721.0M2022-08-24
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.4133.3608-1.53%3-12.10%0.0578✓0.63853k2022-08-24
KSMKusamaHydration54.7753.9355-1.52%48.99-10.55%0.0065✓1.01595k2022-08-24
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025750.025358-1.52%0.02382-7.50%0.0154✗0.8814.3M2022-08-24
XTZTezosTezos1.88471.8564-1.50%1.6006-15.07%0.0499✓1.11488k2022-08-24
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2181.1998-1.50%1.0444-14.25%0.0293✓1.241.1M2022-08-24
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.383270.377542-1.49%0.36571-4.58%0.0455✗0.88435k2022-08-24
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12140.119587-1.49%0.1104-9.06%0.0035✓0.87311k2022-08-24
AMPAmpEthereum0.007940.007822-1.49%0.00698-12.09%0.0572✓0.641.6M2022-08-24
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.6165.5334-1.47%6.816+21.37%0.2156✗0.083.4M2022-08-24
MOVRMoonriverBase14.827214.6092-1.47%13.8671-6.48%0.0321✗0.9553k2022-08-24
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050730.049988-1.46%0.04656-8.22%0.0075✓0.7216k2022-08-24
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.5252.4882-1.46%2.264-10.34%0.0099✓1.1864k2022-08-24
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.409860.403898-1.45%0.36794-10.23%0.0056✓0.9995k2022-08-24
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006750.006652-1.44%0.00668-1.04%0.0437✗0.4555k2022-08-24
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.158730.156447-1.44%0.14186-10.63%0.0114✓1.24250k2022-08-24
COTICOTIEthereum0.10910.107534-1.44%0.099-9.26%0.0048✓0.99456k2022-08-24
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31980.315216-1.43%0.2983-6.72%0.0323✗0.993.6M2022-08-24
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.922.8784-1.42%2.77-5.14%0.0077✓0.5296k2022-08-24
IMXImmutableEthereum0.96510.951674-1.39%0.8581-11.09%0.0003✓1.182.2M2022-08-24
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42060.414823-1.37%0.3871-7.96%0.0287✗1.11190k2022-08-24
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.4762.4421-1.37%2.176-12.12%0.0399✗1.76134k2022-08-24
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.5259.6984-1.36%56.46-6.71%0.0327✗1.0013.5M2022-08-24
MANADecentralandEthereum0.967770.954699-1.35%0.8327-13.96%0.0537✓0.94623k2022-08-24
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.3611.2078-1.34%11.09-2.38%0.0900✗1.14313k2022-08-24
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.56530.557771-1.33%0.5089-9.98%0.0193✓0.82755k2022-08-24
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.045180.04458-1.33%0.04014-11.16%0.0341✓0.802,6002022-08-24
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077550.07652-1.33%0.07009-9.62%0.0192✓0.789142022-08-24
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.0921.0777-1.31%1.0301-5.67%0.0098✓0.623.9M2022-08-24
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54010.533065-1.30%0.4861-10.00%0.0068✓1.12388k2022-08-24
BANDBandEthereum1.5631.5427-1.30%1.364-12.73%0.0100✓1.28529k2022-08-24
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2410.237889-1.29%0.2239-7.10%0.0614✗1.38117k2022-08-24
LSKLiskEthereum1.21191.1965-1.27%1.1172-7.81%0.0089✓0.8855k2022-08-24
ZECZcashZcash74.2273.277-1.27%67.69-8.80%0.0182✗1.102.0M2022-08-24
STORJStorjEthereum0.652840.644555-1.27%0.58763-9.99%0.0235✗1.3147k2022-08-24
GITCOINGITCOIN2.92612.8894-1.25%2.4403-16.60%0.0620✓1.2113k2022-08-24
SCSiacoinnative0.004680.004621-1.25%0.00409-12.61%0.0332✓1.01158k2022-08-24
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12090.11939-1.25%0.1118-7.53%0.0031✓0.714,2082022-08-24
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3480820.343753-1.24%0.308844-11.27%0.0145✓1.05916k2022-08-24
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018080.017861-1.21%0.01734-4.09%0.0248✗0.62153k2022-08-24
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02990.029547-1.18%0.02692-9.97%0.0216✗1.302,9912022-08-24
ETHEthereumEthereum1,834.611,813.46-1.15%1,656.74-9.70%0.0269✗1.33534.1M2022-08-24
FORTFortaEthereum0.2940.290619-1.15%0.27-8.16%0.0210✗1.07160k2022-08-24
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10180.100637-1.14%0.091-10.61%0.0128✓0.9912k2022-08-24
AVTAventusEthereum1.41.384-1.14%1.38-1.43%0.0083✓-0.06124k2022-08-24
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19540.193176-1.14%0.171-12.49%0.0046✓1.431,3972022-08-24
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash133.83132.3546-1.10%130.34-2.61%0.0821✗1.105.1M2022-08-24
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.17940.177465-1.08%0.16688-6.98%0.1359✗2.236712022-08-24
KCSKuCoinnative10.25610.1459-1.07%9.631-6.09%0.0336✗0.971.9M2022-08-24
NANOnanopayBase0.978230.967756-1.07%0.935146-4.40%0.0317✗0.7577k2022-08-24
XVSVenusEthereum65.9363-1.06%5.72-4.67%0.0434✗0.911.5M2022-08-24
WOOWOOEthereum0.19750.195488-1.02%0.1725-12.66%0.0321✓1.051,7922022-08-24
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6540.647459-1.00%0.588-10.09%0.0089✓1.192,9182022-08-24
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04270.042279-0.99%0.0402-5.85%0.0322✗0.9411k2022-08-24
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9280.918843-0.99%0.956+3.02%0.1479✗1.221.1M2022-08-24
SUNSun TokenTron0.006520.006456-0.98%0.005761-11.63%0.0519✓0.703,0362022-08-24
BORABORAKlay Token0.344910.341561-0.97%0.2979-13.63%0.0449✓1.0413k2022-08-24
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.61e-7-0.94%9.20e-7-5.15%0.0247✗0.7721k2022-08-24
AAVEAaveEthereum100.1499.2091-0.93%88.41-11.71%0.0200✗1.536.4M2022-08-24
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8040.796708-0.91%0.727-9.58%0.0332✗1.414.6M2022-08-24
PROPropyEthereum0.780.773012-0.90%0.74-5.13%0.0061✓0.42105k2022-08-24
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.611.596-0.87%1.42-11.80%0.0315✓0.97182k2022-08-24
CBKCobakEthereum1.11151.102-0.86%0.94669-14.83%0.0685✓0.9412k2022-08-24
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.30115.2562-0.85%5.386+1.60%0.0363✗0.14217k2022-08-24
GTGateEthereum4.84494.8039-0.85%4.4922-7.28%0.0025✓0.73882k2022-08-24
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024860.02465-0.85%0.02359-5.11%0.0349✗0.89310k2022-08-24
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47010.466295-0.81%0.4107-12.64%0.0258✓1.1464k2022-08-24
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.259382-0.73%0.2599-0.54%0.0031✓0.0165k2022-08-24
TRXTRONTron0.0681260.067663-0.68%0.06482-4.85%0.0112✗0.61182k2022-08-24
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9090.90916+0.02%0.886-2.53%0.0147✓0.464.4M2022-08-24
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.