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2022-08-16 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0289
188 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-6.27%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
70.2%
in alpha space · 88.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.76%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.260469-0.28%0.2605-0.27%0.0015✓0.0159k2022-08-23
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9670.964224-0.29%0.893-7.65%0.0272✓0.484.4M2022-08-23
TRXTRONTron0.0697640.06933-0.62%0.066225-5.07%0.0168✗0.61182k2022-08-23
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.25075.2143-0.69%5.389+2.63%0.0469✗0.14225k2022-08-23
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017530.017398-0.75%0.01736-0.97%0.0795✗0.79153k2022-08-23
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0246040.024418-0.75%0.021625-12.11%0.0385✓0.8113k2022-08-23
XVSVenusEthereum5.965.9142-0.77%5.74-3.69%0.0773✗1.041.5M2022-08-23
GTGateEthereum4.89324.8555-0.77%4.5224-7.58%0.0032✓0.72912k2022-08-23
PROPropyEthereum0.810.803574-0.79%0.74-8.64%0.0414✓0.40105k2022-08-23
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.025390.025176-0.84%0.02359-7.09%0.0229✗0.86271k2022-08-23
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.0000019.91e-7-0.86%9.00e-7-10.00%0.0183✓0.7621k2022-08-23
BORABORAKlay Token0.355270.352111-0.89%0.29912-15.80%0.0557✓1.0514k2022-08-23
C98Coin98Ethereum0.50470.500202-0.89%0.41-18.76%0.0821✓1.1460k2022-08-23
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04450.044081-0.94%0.0408-8.31%0.0163✗0.9111k2022-08-23
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9590.949304-1.01%0.973+1.46%0.1497✗1.221.3M2022-08-23
CBKCobakEthereum1.15611.1444-1.01%0.94089-18.62%0.1001✓0.9312k2022-08-23
KCSKuCoinnative10.3910.283-1.03%9.713-6.52%0.0433✗0.982.0M2022-08-23
SUNSun TokenTron0.0067670.006696-1.05%0.005889-12.97%0.0557✓0.713,2222022-08-23
WOOWOOEthereum0.2070.204825-1.05%0.1725-16.67%0.0628✓1.061,7402022-08-23
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.870.860705-1.07%0.722-17.01%0.0299✓1.424.6M2022-08-23
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash136.34134.8696-1.08%133.41-2.15%0.1021✗1.105.1M2022-08-23
SCSiacoinnative0.004760.004708-1.08%0.00408-14.29%0.0388✓1.02158k2022-08-23
NANOnanopayBase1.02261.0114-1.10%0.943427-7.75%0.0064✓0.7477k2022-08-23
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.751.7306-1.11%1.4-20.00%0.1090✓1.00190k2022-08-23
FORTFortaEthereum0.30190.298499-1.13%0.2756-8.71%0.0306✗1.07178k2022-08-23
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1230.121568-1.16%0.1087-11.63%0.0341✓0.764,2082022-08-23
AVTAventusEthereum1.471.4527-1.18%1.43-2.72%0.0173✓-0.01124k2022-08-23
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031360.030989-1.18%0.02647-15.59%0.0246✓1.293,2032022-08-23
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.18830.186039-1.20%0.16294-13.47%0.0969✗2.236712022-08-23
AAVEAaveEthereum109.79108.4517-1.22%89.48-18.50%0.0349✓1.536.4M2022-08-23
KSMKusamaHydration56.0755.3859-1.22%49.54-11.65%0.0071✓1.02645k2022-08-23
ETHEthereumEthereum1,876.571,853.64-1.22%1,665.93-11.22%0.0287✗1.32534.1M2022-08-23
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04260.042052-1.29%0.0382-10.33%0.0035✓0.9776k2022-08-23
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046810.046201-1.30%0.039-16.68%0.0879✓0.792,5822022-08-23
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069370.006846-1.31%0.006696-3.47%0.0246✗0.4655k2022-08-23
ZECZcashZcash75.9574.952-1.31%66.35-12.64%0.0090✓1.102.1M2022-08-23
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21130.208512-1.32%0.1727-18.27%0.0422✓1.421,3972022-08-23
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.3360.5171-1.33%57.1-6.90%0.0464✗1.0213.5M2022-08-23
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25560.252209-1.33%0.2192-14.24%0.0029✓1.34131k2022-08-23
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3620390.357195-1.34%0.310587-14.21%0.0329✓1.04962k2022-08-23
LSKLiskEthereum1.25351.2368-1.34%1.1311-9.77%0.0003✓0.8756k2022-08-23
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10690.105452-1.35%0.0914-14.50%0.0389✓1.0110k2022-08-23
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.942.8998-1.37%2.79-5.10%0.0151✗0.5296k2022-08-23
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.56770.559917-1.37%0.4933-13.11%0.0126✓1.11388k2022-08-23
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.58970.581598-1.37%0.5139-12.85%0.0396✓0.82784k2022-08-23
DKAdKargoEthereum0.052050.051333-1.38%0.04645-10.76%0.0277✓0.7016k2022-08-23
XTZTezosTezos1.88871.8624-1.39%1.5941-15.60%0.0417✓1.11488k2022-08-23
STORJStorjEthereum0.692520.682861-1.39%0.57919-16.36%0.0324✓1.2951k2022-08-23
MOVRMoonriverBase15.077914.8658-1.41%13.7842-8.58%0.0228✗0.9658k2022-08-23
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.710.699929-1.42%0.592-16.62%0.0454✓1.192,7912022-08-23
BANDBandEthereum1.6751.6508-1.44%1.373-18.03%0.0512✓1.30520k2022-08-23
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.14891.1323-1.45%1.0251-10.78%0.0351✓0.633.9M2022-08-23
AMPAmpEthereum0.008280.008157-1.49%0.00708-14.49%0.0763✓0.641.6M2022-08-23
MANADecentralandEthereum1.02991.0145-1.50%0.83469-18.95%0.0979✓0.95623k2022-08-23
IMXImmutableEthereum1.02211.0067-1.51%0.8686-15.02%0.0255✓1.192.3M2022-08-23
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2711.2518-1.51%1.067-16.05%0.0328✓1.241.1M2022-08-23
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.16860.2426-1.51%56.254-8.03%0.0028✓0.69365k2022-08-23
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10240.100838-1.53%0.1015-0.88%0.0920✗0.83220k2022-08-23
COTICOTIEthereum0.11380.11205-1.54%0.1008-11.42%0.0034✓1.00456k2022-08-23
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3160.310988-1.59%0.287-9.18%0.0037✓0.751.0M2022-08-23
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.3612.1633-1.59%10.63-14.00%0.0199✓1.12313k2022-08-23
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.70.688861-1.59%0.617-11.86%0.0139✓1.21135k2022-08-23
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33920.333767-1.60%0.2977-12.23%0.0151✓0.973.6M2022-08-23
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.082580.081255-1.60%0.07069-14.40%0.0603✓0.778802022-08-23
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.169550.16683-1.60%0.14275-15.81%0.0277✓1.25250k2022-08-23
LUNATerraTerra 20.00009710.00009554-1.61%0.00010583+8.99%0.2000✗0.95336k2022-08-23
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.429220.422311-1.61%0.37206-13.32%0.0257✓0.9896k2022-08-23
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.6351.6085-1.62%1.9086+16.73%0.3015✗1.27598k2022-08-23
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6512.6081-1.62%2.153-18.79%0.0140✓1.73144k2022-08-23
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.408580.401948-1.62%0.39145-4.19%0.0669✗0.91446k2022-08-23
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12650.12444-1.63%0.1117-11.70%0.0192✓0.86317k2022-08-23
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0383.9705-1.67%5.147+27.46%0.2845✗0.242.1M2022-08-23
SUSHISushiEthereum1.411.3863-1.68%1.2121-14.04%0.0051✓1.261.2M2022-08-23
DASHDashDash52.4651.5752-1.69%48.5-7.55%0.0382✗0.97595k2022-08-23
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.54e-7-1.69%9.10e-7-6.19%0.0335✗0.785.4M2022-08-23
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002020.001986-1.69%0.001746-13.56%0.0260✓1.00901k2022-08-23
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.27012.2317-1.69%1.9643-13.47%0.0194✓1.0538k2022-08-23
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17980.176753-1.69%0.1575-12.40%0.0052✓1.07616k2022-08-23
XYMSymbolnative0.0548020.053869-1.70%0.048516-11.47%0.0542✓0.4936k2022-08-23
UMAUMAEthereum3.3343.2767-1.72%2.977-10.71%0.0100✓0.84696k2022-08-23
COMPCompoundEthereum61.0960.0384-1.72%50.74-16.94%0.0421✓1.2323k2022-08-23
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7522.7044-1.73%2.25-18.24%0.0653✓1.1564k2022-08-23
ZENHorizenBase20.1219.772-1.73%17.42-13.42%0.0103✓1.13121k2022-08-23
LRCLoopringEthereum0.45590.447982-1.74%0.3851-15.53%0.0377✓1.10190k2022-08-23
XMRMoneroMonero169.61166.6483-1.75%154.81-8.73%0.0252✗0.961.2M2022-08-23
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.44640.43857-1.75%0.3844-13.89%0.0030✓1.25255k2022-08-23
ORCAOrcaSolana0.9670.950033-1.75%0.8205-15.15%0.0133✓1.56244k2022-08-23
XECeCashnative0.000044980.000044185-1.77%0.00003947-12.25%0.0232✓0.872.0M2022-08-23
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.296.1783-1.78%7.04+11.92%0.1691✗0.371.4M2022-08-23
UOSUltraEthereum0.353420.347134-1.78%0.32919-6.86%0.0369✗0.88402k2022-08-23
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,857.9323,432.09-1.78%21,528.34-9.76%0.0180✗1.00482.6M2022-08-23
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.623.5549-1.80%3.142-13.20%0.0527✓0.69976k2022-08-23
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,861.5023,430.54-1.81%21,511.10-9.85%0.0142✓0.977,5932022-08-23
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.47490.466307-1.81%0.39-17.88%0.0398✓1.35211k2022-08-23
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26450.259682-1.82%0.2228-15.77%0.0503✓1.0091k2022-08-23
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13010.127725-1.83%0.1138-12.53%0.0041✓1.083.9M2022-08-23
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0185.908-1.83%6.803+13.04%0.1515✗0.103.4M2022-08-23
LCXLCXEthereum0.07340.072046-1.84%0.0652-11.17%0.0192✗1.16331k2022-08-23
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.089960.088294-1.85%0.07289-18.98%0.0746✓1.142.4M2022-08-23
BFCBifrostEthereum0.091210.089514-1.86%0.07645-16.18%0.0401✓1.1529k2022-08-23
MINAMina Protocolnative0.840.824377-1.86%0.733-12.74%0.0221✓0.93280k2022-08-23
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15460.151719-1.86%0.1294-16.30%0.0959✓0.624.4M2022-08-23
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8180.802744-1.87%0.725-11.37%0.0066✓0.93357k2022-08-23
RADRadworksEthereum2.362.3157-1.88%2.3-2.54%0.0874✗0.92520k2022-08-23
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08110.079566-1.89%0.0678-16.40%0.0754✓0.82134k2022-08-23
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.39611.1796-1.90%12.135+6.48%0.1990✗1.1413.2M2022-08-23
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum1514.7144-1.90%13.6-9.33%0.0401✗1.162.6M2022-08-23
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6720.659073-1.92%0.569-15.33%0.0271✓1.17115k2022-08-23
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06880.067464-1.94%0.0622-9.59%0.0007✓0.80119k2022-08-23
GLMGolemEthereum0.30010.294271-1.94%0.2559-14.73%0.0454✓0.9281k2022-08-23
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.4268.2617-1.95%6.378-24.31%0.1740✓0.839.5M2022-08-23
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.027890.027342-1.96%0.02356-15.53%0.0512✓0.9514.3M2022-08-23
DIADIAEthereum0.471920.462637-1.97%0.4051-14.16%0.0544✓0.7670k2022-08-23
SOLSolanaSolana43.0942.2368-1.98%35.67-17.22%0.0480✓1.1881.1M2022-08-23
XLMStellarStellar0.121780.119362-1.99%0.110676-9.12%0.0148✓0.887.8M2022-08-23
DODODODOEthereum0.16760.164242-2.00%0.1397-16.65%0.0634✓0.962.3M2022-08-23
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4251.3964-2.00%1.242-12.84%0.0144✓1.002.5M2022-08-23
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14370.140819-2.01%0.124-13.71%0.0199✓1.0443k2022-08-23
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.4538.2783-2.07%7.241-14.34%0.0233✓1.0820.0M2022-08-23
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06420.062869-2.07%0.0517-19.47%0.0892✓1.04877k2022-08-23
GITCOINGITCOIN3.30123.2327-2.07%2.4359-26.21%0.1553✓1.2413k2022-08-23
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35260.345268-2.08%0.3076-12.76%0.0206✓0.928.3M2022-08-23
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.683.6035-2.08%3.05-17.12%0.0065✓1.565.3M2022-08-23
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.1126.5437-2.09%23.51-13.28%0.0164✓1.3430.5M2022-08-23
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0041010.004015-2.10%0.003625-11.61%0.0215✓0.781.0M2022-08-23
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9241.8835-2.10%1.57-18.40%0.0666✓1.12170k2022-08-23
ELAElastosEthereum2.0612.0175-2.11%1.847-10.38%0.0134✓0.99181k2022-08-23
XVGVergenative0.004010.003925-2.12%0.00324-19.20%0.0859✓1.03554k2022-08-23
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.7737.6073-2.13%6.378-17.95%0.0757✓0.985.4M2022-08-23
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.146.0085-2.14%7.16+16.61%0.2171✗0.411.1M2022-08-23
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.12123.0542-2.15%4.3642+39.82%0.4105✗0.521.3M2022-08-23
GALAGALAEthereum0.06960.068096-2.16%0.0546-21.55%0.1149✓1.03253k2022-08-23
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.011540.011288-2.19%0.00923-20.02%0.1243✓0.755.8M2022-08-23
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3468.1634-2.19%7.109-14.82%0.0060✓1.2910.1M2022-08-23
HIVEHivenative0.61150.598087-2.19%0.5572-8.88%0.0256✗0.942.1M2022-08-23
STEEMSteemnative0.270.264074-2.19%0.2343-13.22%0.0308✓0.86550k2022-08-23
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0159660.015616-2.20%0.01447-9.37%0.0126✓0.622.1M2022-08-23
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05390.052716-2.20%0.047-12.80%0.0134✓0.99220k2022-08-23
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.28531.257-2.20%1.1837-7.90%0.0852✗1.416.4M2022-08-23
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008540.008352-2.21%0.00808-5.39%0.0783✗1.08463k2022-08-23
APEApeCoinEthereum6.1976.0574-2.25%5.245-15.36%0.0073✓1.3312.6M2022-08-23
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.8398.6383-2.27%7.635-13.62%0.0186✓1.0214.8M2022-08-23
STXStacksnative0.47620.46537-2.27%0.3899-18.12%0.0638✓1.10808k2022-08-23
FLOWFlownative2.6852.6239-2.28%2.143-20.19%0.0713✓1.28873k2022-08-23
RARESuperRareEthereum0.26360.257588-2.28%0.2209-16.20%0.0509✓1.00111k2022-08-23
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.9517.5378-2.30%14.66-18.33%0.0562✓1.201.7M2022-08-23
ADACardanoCardano0.55710.544246-2.31%0.466-16.35%0.0500✓1.0243.6M2022-08-23
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017610.00172-2.32%0.001585-9.99%0.0056✓0.749,4152022-08-23
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2440.238202-2.38%0.185-24.18%0.1353✓1.14696k2022-08-23
GMTGMTEthereum1.0721.0465-2.38%0.7906-26.25%0.1346✓1.42469k2022-08-23
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0870410.084926-2.43%0.068797-20.96%0.1067✓1.011.8M2022-08-23
QTUMQtumQtum4.01273.9142-2.46%3.5261-12.13%0.0045✓0.9750k2022-08-23
XEMNEMnative0.0519690.050683-2.47%0.046576-10.38%0.0072✓0.8943k2022-08-23
FTTFTXEthereum30.6729.91-2.48%27.78-9.42%0.0211✓0.929.2M2022-08-23
QNTQuantEthereum116.11113.2209-2.49%109.96-5.30%0.0550✗0.823.6M2022-08-23
API3Api3Ethereum2.4092.3486-2.51%1.962-18.56%0.0836✓0.94680k2022-08-23
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.194.0846-2.52%5.224+24.68%0.2826✗0.361.6M2022-08-23
METISMetisEthereum38.937.9181-2.52%34.76-10.64%0.1165✗1.98408k2022-08-23
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.72393.6268-2.61%6.0884+63.50%0.5678✗0.481.9M2022-08-23
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015870.001545-2.62%0.001591+0.28%0.1121✗0.811.6M2022-08-23
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.954.8202-2.62%5.38+8.69%0.1544✗0.431.2M2022-08-23
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0161.9619-2.68%1.817-9.87%0.0444✗1.18157k2022-08-23
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5450.530331-2.69%0.444-18.53%0.0769✓0.9811k2022-08-23
FISStafiEthereum0.45140.43924-2.69%0.301-33.32%0.2885✓0.871922022-08-23
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.18751.155-2.74%0.04351-96.34%3.1630✓1.1313k2022-08-23
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5143.4164-2.78%5.9126+68.26%0.5822✗0.331.7M2022-08-23
CVCCivicEthereum0.18610.180862-2.81%0.1488-20.04%0.0916✓1.01140k2022-08-23
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.445.2828-2.89%6.39+17.46%0.2279✗0.372.0M2022-08-23
CELLCellframeEthereum0.39850.386753-2.95%0.3902-2.08%0.1215✗1.10101k2022-08-23
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085780.083136-3.08%0.08526-0.61%0.0492✗0.231.1M2022-08-23
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0256380.024845-3.09%0.02313-9.78%0.0523✓0.19232k2022-08-23
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.8838.625-3.15%34.36-13.84%0.0241✓1.3716.5M2022-08-23
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.263.1507-3.35%2.44-25.15%0.1301✓1.22269k2022-08-23
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.8763.7459-3.36%4.429+14.27%0.2546✗0.85124k2022-08-23
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07840.075735-3.40%0.0673-14.16%0.0017✓1.171.4M2022-08-23
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,010.1910,635.10-3.41%9,225.54-16.21%0.0063✓1.326.5M2022-08-23
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.8895.686-3.45%13.538+129.89%0.8956✗0.271.2M2022-08-23
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000015810.000015254-3.51%0.00001332-15.75%0.0388✓0.94827k2022-08-23
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.3219.6014-3.54%18.01-11.37%0.0152✓0.682.2M2022-08-23
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.898.5704-3.60%9.49+6.75%0.1349✗0.321.8M2022-08-23
OPTIMOptimism1.4541.4011-3.64%1.335-8.18%0.1485✗1.923.7M2022-08-23
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.47061.4106-4.08%1.3042-11.32%0.0201✓0.961.0M2022-08-23
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.199.7571-4.25%7.88-22.67%0.1019✓1.09592k2022-08-23
TRBTellor TributesEthereum40.6138.7202-4.65%41.17+1.38%0.1730✗1.091.8M2022-08-23
CHZChilizEthereum0.20970.19983-4.71%0.2505+19.46%0.3139✗0.861.2M2022-08-23
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.051130.048681-4.79%0.03743-26.79%0.1634✓0.9721k2022-08-23
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.09874.849-4.90%4.6501-8.80%0.0609✗1.00111k2022-08-23
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.44e-76.79e-7-8.73%8.22e-7+10.50%0.2576✗0.65164k2022-08-23
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.