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2022-08-14 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0853
187 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-8.61%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
69.5%
in alpha space · 88.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-11.51%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000016880.00001589-5.86%0.00001348-20.14%0.0471✓0.96679k2022-08-21
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.048790.04638-4.94%0.03818-21.75%0.0700✓1.0220k2022-08-21
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.2737.4337-4.68%44.36+12.96%0.3055✗1.111.7M2022-08-21
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.45881.3916-4.61%1.3019-10.76%0.0556✗1.001.0M2022-08-21
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.9325.6689-4.44%12.738+114.73%0.8356✗0.211.1M2022-08-21
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.269.8381-4.11%8.2-20.08%0.0460✓1.11638k2022-08-21
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.9443.7858-4.01%5.094+29.16%0.4025✗0.86124k2022-08-21
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.2420.4309-3.81%18.97-10.69%0.0108✓0.702.2M2022-08-21
CHZChilizEthereum0.18110.174204-3.81%0.1872+3.37%0.1766✗0.861.1M2022-08-21
FISStafiEthereum0.49050.472879-3.59%0.3715-24.26%0.1370✓0.851382022-08-21
OPTIMOptimism1.441.3888-3.56%1.176-18.33%0.0680✗1.923.7M2022-08-21
ETCEthereum Classicnative41.5740.1336-3.46%33.76-18.79%0.0038✓1.3816.5M2022-08-21
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,226.8310,843.09-3.42%8,749.39-22.07%0.0517✓1.336.5M2022-08-21
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.978.6658-3.39%8.93-0.45%0.0440✗0.111.8M2022-08-21
CELLCellframeEthereum0.41180.398116-3.32%0.3366-18.26%0.0328✓1.10100k2022-08-21
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.53783.421-3.30%4.9686+40.44%0.4135✗0.331.6M2022-08-21
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08090.078269-3.25%0.0675-16.56%0.0080✓1.151.4M2022-08-21
METISMetisEthereum43.2641.8632-3.23%34.76-19.65%0.0526✗1.95385k2022-08-21
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.69323.5747-3.21%5.9198+60.29%0.5599✗0.451.9M2022-08-21
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.1872.1219-2.98%1.724-21.17%0.0680✓1.14169k2022-08-21
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.26e-74.13e-7-2.91%7.12e-7+67.40%0.6283✗0.68150k2022-08-21
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.062.9739-2.81%2.48-18.95%0.0258✓1.27244k2022-08-21
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.2071.1736-2.77%1.0512-12.91%0.0247✓1.1013k2022-08-21
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085720.083399-2.71%0.09106+6.23%0.1168✗0.241.1M2022-08-21
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.064.9258-2.65%5.04-0.40%0.0716✗0.401.3M2022-08-21
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.425.2769-2.64%5.94+9.59%0.1513✗0.272.0M2022-08-21
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12750.124141-2.63%0.1006-21.10%0.1026✓0.88220k2022-08-21
QNTQuantEthereum118.61115.4918-2.63%110.77-6.61%0.0644✗0.873.8M2022-08-21
QTUMQtumQtum4.19064.0815-2.60%3.4692-17.22%0.0402✓1.0053k2022-08-21
API3Api3Ethereum2.3872.3256-2.57%1.914-19.82%0.0758✓0.97607k2022-08-21
FLOWFlownative2.8322.7592-2.57%2.163-23.62%0.0876✓1.27754k2022-08-21
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5340.520677-2.49%0.47-11.99%0.0205✓1.0014k2022-08-21
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1544.0505-2.49%4.479+7.82%0.1407✗0.331.7M2022-08-21
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.16083.0825-2.48%3.6812+16.46%0.2394✗0.511.3M2022-08-21
XEMNEMnative0.0538060.052502-2.42%0.046233-14.07%0.0130✓0.9343k2022-08-21
RADRadworksEthereum2.552.489-2.39%2.38-6.67%0.0690✗0.93636k2022-08-21
UNIUniswapEthereum8.8828.6698-2.39%7.211-18.81%0.0236✓1.3110.0M2022-08-21
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.5618.1211-2.36%14.47-22.04%0.0796✓1.191.6M2022-08-21
DIADIAEthereum0.492650.481029-2.36%0.41334-16.10%0.0943✓0.4770k2022-08-21
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.38921.3566-2.35%1.0248-26.23%0.1058✓1.436.4M2022-08-21
STXStacksnative0.49170.480213-2.34%0.395-19.67%0.0571✓1.13808k2022-08-21
ADACardanoCardano0.57010.556814-2.33%0.4624-18.89%0.0563✓1.0642.0M2022-08-21
FTTFTXEthereum30.8430.123-2.32%27.72-10.12%0.0310✗0.939.8M2022-08-21
RARESuperRareEthereum0.28540.278773-2.32%0.2119-25.75%0.1520✓1.00108k2022-08-21
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.08170.079809-2.31%0.069279-15.20%0.0158✓1.031.8M2022-08-21
HIVEHivenative0.62130.607521-2.22%0.5638-9.25%0.0462✗0.992.4M2022-08-21
GALAGALAEthereum0.07030.068747-2.21%0.054-23.19%0.1105✓1.07225k2022-08-21
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche28.1927.5688-2.20%22.97-18.52%0.0142✓1.3830.5M2022-08-21
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.9558.758-2.20%7.434-16.98%0.0337✓1.0713.7M2022-08-21
STEEMSteemnative0.27230.266322-2.20%0.2375-12.78%0.0011✓0.93551k2022-08-21
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017920.001753-2.17%0.001501-16.24%0.0626✓0.769,0932022-08-21
APEApeCoinEthereum6.3686.2302-2.16%5.19-18.50%0.0170✓1.3612.8M2022-08-21
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.51990.508723-2.15%0.3841-26.12%0.1188✓1.33213k2022-08-21
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0670.065573-2.13%0.0514-23.28%0.1100✓1.09877k2022-08-21
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05410.052957-2.11%0.0473-12.57%0.0082✓0.99237k2022-08-21
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.778.5856-2.10%7.08-19.27%0.0574✓1.1119.3M2022-08-21
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.47930.469234-2.10%0.3918-18.26%0.0185✓1.32242k2022-08-21
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.0017.8331-2.10%6.459-19.27%0.0679✓1.025.5M2022-08-21
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07210.070588-2.10%0.0597-17.20%0.0655✓0.83119k2022-08-21
SOLSolanaSolana44.8943.9488-2.10%36.48-18.73%0.0381✓1.2178.8M2022-08-21
XVGVergenative0.004030.003946-2.10%0.00326-19.11%0.0591✓1.08517k2022-08-21
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.8213.741-2.09%3.111-18.58%0.0099✓1.595.3M2022-08-21
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.3546.222-2.08%6.594+3.78%0.0707✗0.103.5M2022-08-21
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14770.144634-2.08%0.1243-15.84%0.0180✓1.0946k2022-08-21
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.176.042-2.07%6.56+6.32%0.1236✗0.341.0M2022-08-21
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008650.008472-2.06%0.00947+9.48%0.2485✗1.12463k2022-08-21
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36420.356756-2.04%0.3062-15.93%0.0345✓0.978.3M2022-08-21
ELAElastosEthereum2.0391.9978-2.02%1.876-7.99%0.0590✗1.00189k2022-08-21
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004190.004106-2.01%0.003742-10.69%0.0054✓0.801.0M2022-08-21
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9391.9004-1.99%1.562-19.44%0.0557✓1.15203k2022-08-21
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6990.685152-1.98%0.572-18.17%0.0333✓1.20115k2022-08-21
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014320.001403-1.98%0.001518+6.05%0.1836✗0.861.5M2022-08-21
XLMStellarStellar0.1256460.12317-1.97%0.110977-11.67%0.0065✓0.917.2M2022-08-21
DODODODOEthereum0.1710.167643-1.96%0.1393-18.54%0.0620✓1.012.6M2022-08-21
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8653.7893-1.96%3.174-17.88%0.0912✓0.701.1M2022-08-21
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.092810.090994-1.96%0.06849-26.20%0.1354✓1.222.2M2022-08-21
LRCLoopringEthereum0.48370.474359-1.93%0.3848-20.45%0.0711✓1.13190k2022-08-21
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8870.869873-1.93%0.728-17.93%0.0606✓0.96280k2022-08-21
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.58811.3672-1.91%10.644-8.15%0.0771✗1.1713.2M2022-08-21
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0156770.015379-1.90%0.014659-6.49%0.0312✗0.652.1M2022-08-21
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4451.4176-1.89%1.243-13.98%0.0074✓1.022.6M2022-08-21
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13930.136667-1.89%0.108-22.47%0.0991✓1.123.9M2022-08-21
UOSUltraEthereum0.376550.369464-1.88%0.32001-15.02%0.0363✓0.88439k2022-08-21
LCXLCXEthereum0.07650.075067-1.87%0.0654-14.51%0.0112✓1.22350k2022-08-21
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.029260.028718-1.85%0.02263-22.66%0.1159✓1.0014.3M2022-08-21
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16410.161085-1.84%0.1381-15.84%0.0720✓0.674.4M2022-08-21
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08540.083836-1.83%0.0696-18.50%0.0771✓0.89130k2022-08-21
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8390.823639-1.83%0.7-16.57%0.0486✓0.93370k2022-08-21
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7530.739236-1.83%0.611-18.86%0.0397✓1.232,7912022-08-21
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00190.9837-1.82%0.8569-14.47%0.0556✗1.58296k2022-08-21
GMTGMTEthereum0.9810.963276-1.81%0.804-18.04%0.0025✓1.46407k2022-08-21
UMAUMAEthereum3.4463.3838-1.81%2.914-15.44%0.0436✓0.87640k2022-08-21
BTCBitcoinBitcoin24,316.7123,881.53-1.79%21,518.62-11.51%0.0181✓1.00472.7M2022-08-21
BTTCBTTC0.000001019.92e-7-1.78%9.00e-7-10.89%0.0025✓0.785.7M2022-08-21
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8082.7585-1.76%2.17-22.72%0.0261✓1.75144k2022-08-21
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.17730.174211-1.74%0.14385-18.87%0.0350✓1.28243k2022-08-21
XECeCashnative0.000046140.000045337-1.74%0.00003955-14.28%0.0262✓0.902.1M2022-08-21
DASHDashDash55.0854.1264-1.73%46.8-15.03%0.0255✓0.98574k2022-08-21
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.126.0142-1.73%6.35+3.76%0.0962✗0.341.4M2022-08-21
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18420.181037-1.72%0.1556-15.53%0.0167✓1.10586k2022-08-21
SUSHISushiEthereum1.481.4549-1.70%1.21-18.24%0.0259✓1.301.2M2022-08-21
COMPCompoundEthereum63.0461.9787-1.68%50.91-19.24%0.0407✓1.2835k2022-08-21
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5314.287-1.67%13.18-9.29%0.0696✗1.232.6M2022-08-21
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2250.221238-1.67%0.187-16.89%0.0195✓1.22657k2022-08-21
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.444750.437374-1.66%0.37086-16.61%0.0413✓1.01109k2022-08-21
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100140.000098484-1.65%0.00009038-9.75%0.0387✗1.02336k2022-08-21
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3411.319-1.64%1.072-20.06%0.0566✓1.231.1M2022-08-21
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08830.086863-1.63%0.07522-14.81%0.0057✓1.1329k2022-08-21
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1024.0353-1.63%5.101+24.35%0.2635✗0.242.2M2022-08-21
XMRMoneroMonero168.04165.3266-1.61%154.56-8.02%0.0543✗0.991.2M2022-08-21
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26930.264955-1.61%0.224-16.82%0.0454✓1.0091k2022-08-21
GLMGolemEthereum0.28680.282175-1.61%0.2628-8.37%0.0422✗0.9370k2022-08-21
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34670.341148-1.60%0.2949-14.94%0.0209✓1.023.6M2022-08-21
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.64811.6217-1.60%1.7908+8.66%0.2541✗1.27540k2022-08-21
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.31222.2754-1.59%1.9484-15.73%0.0236✓1.0838k2022-08-21
MANADecentralandEthereum1.07351.0565-1.58%0.85255-20.58%0.0926✓1.00574k2022-08-21
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021020.002069-1.56%0.001778-15.41%0.0294✓1.001.0M2022-08-21
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010370.010209-1.55%0.00945-8.87%0.0249✗0.845.6M2022-08-21
ZENHorizenBase20.1419.8287-1.55%16.73-16.93%0.0253✓1.18124k2022-08-21
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12840.126435-1.53%0.1115-13.16%0.0144✓0.91328k2022-08-21
IMXImmutableEthereum1.09621.0794-1.53%0.8737-20.30%0.0626✓1.222.3M2022-08-21
COTICOTIEthereum0.11660.114823-1.52%0.1011-13.29%0.0003✓1.04499k2022-08-21
MOVRMoonriverBase16.201915.9661-1.46%14.1071-12.93%0.0029✓0.9959k2022-08-21
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59470.586083-1.45%0.4896-17.67%0.0426✓1.12365k2022-08-21
ETHEthereumEthereum1,935.851,908.58-1.41%1,617.84-16.43%0.0033✓1.32522.8M2022-08-21
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7732.734-1.41%2.229-19.62%0.0604✓1.1862k2022-08-21
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3270.322431-1.40%0.288-11.93%0.0140✓0.811.1M2022-08-21
XYMSymbolnative0.0564530.055667-1.39%0.051048-9.57%0.0249✓0.5136k2022-08-21
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,209.7023,872.58-1.39%21,631.30-10.65%0.0198✗0.977,5932022-08-21
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.39161.5244-1.39%54.958-11.91%0.0238✓0.73354k2022-08-21
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.2358.1207-1.39%6.413-22.13%0.1307✓0.868.3M2022-08-21
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.1762.3009-1.38%55.68-11.86%0.0157✗1.0513.6M2022-08-21
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.8111.6492-1.36%10.41-11.85%0.0270✗1.14305k2022-08-21
DKAdKargoEthereum0.055380.054626-1.36%0.04674-15.60%0.0668✓0.7316k2022-08-21
BANDBandEthereum1.7321.7089-1.33%1.352-21.94%0.0721✓1.33460k2022-08-21
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3741170.369159-1.33%0.308829-17.45%0.0466✓1.08916k2022-08-21
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.12121.1064-1.32%1.0779-3.86%0.0573✗0.683.9M2022-08-21
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.404750.399426-1.32%0.37078-8.39%0.0435✗0.96479k2022-08-21
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0198460.019586-1.31%0.023427+18.04%0.2003✗0.17230k2022-08-21
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.081150.080096-1.30%0.07057-13.04%0.0325✓0.778802022-08-21
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.049420.048783-1.29%0.0402-18.66%0.0942✓0.812,5822022-08-21
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13080.129128-1.28%0.109-16.67%0.0723✓0.793,9702022-08-21
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25550.252266-1.27%0.2298-10.06%0.0716✗1.35132k2022-08-21
CVCCivicEthereum0.17160.169465-1.24%0.1499-12.65%0.0031✓1.03131k2022-08-21
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.982.9432-1.24%2.76-7.38%0.0002✓0.52102k2022-08-21
AMPAmpEthereum0.008250.008149-1.22%0.00718-12.97%0.0479✓0.641.6M2022-08-21
WOOWOOEthereum0.22840.225651-1.20%0.1768-22.59%0.1105✓1.091,7402022-08-21
STORJStorjEthereum0.710150.701647-1.20%0.58884-17.08%0.0123✓1.3349k2022-08-21
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.60940.602132-1.19%0.5133-15.77%0.0665✓0.76784k2022-08-21
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04280.042303-1.16%0.0377-11.92%0.0088✓1.0176k2022-08-21
XVSVenusEthereum6.426.3455-1.16%5.91-7.94%0.0582✗1.061.4M2022-08-21
LSKLiskEthereum1.26061.246-1.16%1.0912-13.43%0.0207✓0.9256k2022-08-21
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.70.691956-1.15%0.636-9.14%0.0736✗1.29137k2022-08-21
AAVEAaveEthereum107.44106.2118-1.14%85.89-20.06%0.0213✓1.567.1M2022-08-21
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0080.996901-1.10%0.919-8.83%0.0673✗1.221.3M2022-08-21
SCSiacoinnative0.004990.004936-1.07%0.00421-15.63%0.0294✓1.06145k2022-08-21
GITCOINGITCOIN3.0773.0442-1.06%2.478-19.47%0.0423✓1.3413k2022-08-21
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash139.45137.9686-1.06%119.67-14.18%0.0054✓1.125.1M2022-08-21
CBKCobakEthereum1.20581.1931-1.06%0.96387-20.07%0.0950✓0.9712k2022-08-21
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21120.208968-1.06%0.1759-16.71%0.0019✓1.421,3132022-08-21
NANOnanopayBase1.05681.0457-1.05%0.927762-12.21%0.0256✓0.7777k2022-08-21
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19170.189692-1.05%0.16409-14.40%0.1282✗2.236712022-08-21
AVTAventusEthereum1.51.4845-1.03%1.38-8.00%0.0720✓0.01132k2022-08-21
KCSKuCoinnative10.64610.5365-1.03%9.628-9.56%0.0292✗0.982.0M2022-08-21
XTZTezosTezos1.82261.804-1.02%1.6327-10.42%0.0387✗1.13467k2022-08-21
KSMKusamaHydration58.8758.2701-1.02%50.64-13.98%0.0135✓1.04524k2022-08-21
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09950.098518-0.99%0.0898-9.75%0.0338✗1.039,7202022-08-21
ZECZcashZcash73.7172.9991-0.96%64.62-12.33%0.0188✗1.152.3M2022-08-21
FORTFortaEthereum0.29960.296859-0.91%0.2705-9.71%0.0396✗1.08189k2022-08-21
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8740.866119-0.90%0.722-17.39%0.0030✓1.464.4M2022-08-21
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.025730.025503-0.88%0.02257-12.28%0.0179✓0.85209k2022-08-21
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.032290.032018-0.84%0.0271-16.07%0.0085✓1.292,9912022-08-21
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04720.046806-0.83%0.0412-12.71%0.0094✓0.9711k2022-08-21
GTGateEthereum5.05495.0132-0.83%4.5693-9.61%0.0035✓0.73882k2022-08-21
C98Coin98Ethereum0.53440.530028-0.82%0.4286-19.80%0.0738✓1.1359k2022-08-21
SUNSun TokenTron0.0067130.006662-0.77%0.005915-11.89%0.0309✓0.723,2222022-08-21
BORABORAKlay Token0.367520.364708-0.77%0.30199-17.83%0.0555✓1.0913k2022-08-21
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001010.000001003-0.68%9.30e-7-7.92%0.0183✗0.7721k2022-08-21
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017620.01751-0.62%0.01736-1.48%0.0781✗0.71155k2022-08-21
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.751.7392-0.62%1.39-20.57%0.0967✓1.04190k2022-08-21
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006720.006679-0.60%0.006771+0.76%0.0684✗0.4555k2022-08-21
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0255820.025459-0.48%0.02191-14.35%0.0469✓0.8413k2022-08-21
TRXTRONTron0.0703490.070032-0.45%0.065924-6.29%0.0138✗0.61192k2022-08-21
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.12745.106-0.42%5.1185-0.17%0.0189✗0.13233k2022-08-21
PROPropyEthereum0.810.806684-0.41%0.73-9.88%0.0493✓0.41105k2022-08-21
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.261119+0.01%0.2611+0.00%0.0016✓0.0155k2022-08-21
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9320.940589+0.92%0.876-6.01%0.0070✓0.524.4M2022-08-21
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.