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2022-08-12 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1341
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+8.56%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
74.2%
in alpha space · 88.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-14.66%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0513.7678-6.99%3.13-22.74%0.0492✓0.86102k2022-08-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.048430.045465-6.12%0.0386-20.30%0.0014✓1.0219k2022-08-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.42591.349-5.39%1.2326-13.56%0.0696✗1.01907k2022-08-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.3837.4249-4.96%41.75+6.02%0.2963✗1.181.5M2022-08-19
OPTIMOptimism1.6511.5727-4.74%1.222-25.98%0.0519✗1.923.6M2022-08-19
METISMetisEthereum49.0746.9223-4.38%32.4-33.97%0.0653✓1.92385k2022-08-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.710.2674-4.04%7.67-28.32%0.1167✓1.10638k2022-08-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.1520.3278-3.89%17.46-17.45%0.0389✓0.712.4M2022-08-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative43.4141.747-3.83%32.98-24.03%0.0171✓1.3816.2M2022-08-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,508.5711,084.87-3.68%8,613.21-25.16%0.0408✓1.336.2M2022-08-19
CELLCellframeEthereum0.44490.428658-3.65%0.3103-30.25%0.1449✓1.1295k2022-08-19
API3Api3Ethereum2.4262.3428-3.43%1.914-21.10%0.0470✓0.98588k2022-08-19
QNTQuantEthereum128.24123.9757-3.33%99.28-22.58%0.0829✓0.884.0M2022-08-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.253.1427-3.30%2.3-29.23%0.1115✓1.27269k2022-08-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0045230.004379-3.18%0.003321-26.58%0.1393✓0.87994k2022-08-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3412.2694-3.06%1.661-29.05%0.1299✓1.15172k2022-08-19
FLOWFlownative2.9452.8558-3.03%2.121-27.98%0.0954✓1.27711k2022-08-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.868.6018-2.91%9.57+8.01%0.1321✗0.161.8M2022-08-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08270.080305-2.90%0.0657-20.56%0.0217✓1.131.4M2022-08-19
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.22931.1937-2.89%1.1177-9.08%0.1092✗1.1013k2022-08-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.1640.159414-2.80%0.1961+19.57%0.3488✗0.891.1M2022-08-19
XEMNEMnative0.0556990.054186-2.72%0.045265-18.73%0.0203✓1.0144k2022-08-19
UNIUniswapEthereum9.218.9604-2.71%6.895-25.14%0.0525✓1.3210.0M2022-08-19
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5540.538999-2.71%0.429-22.56%0.0703✓1.0015k2022-08-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.084.943-2.70%5.39+6.10%0.1513✗0.411.3M2022-08-19
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.1270.123592-2.68%0.1096-13.70%0.0143✓0.85209k2022-08-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.31093.2229-2.66%5.0422+52.29%0.5030✗0.351.5M2022-08-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.5946.4196-2.65%6.927+5.05%0.0997✗0.153.5M2022-08-19
STXStacksnative0.50990.496625-2.60%0.3909-23.34%0.0546✓1.17808k2022-08-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07330.071404-2.59%0.051-30.42%0.1591✓1.12877k2022-08-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015090.00147-2.58%0.001441-4.55%0.1175✗0.871.4M2022-08-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.154.045-2.53%2.801-32.51%0.1110✓1.625.3M2022-08-19
RARESuperRareEthereum0.30240.294853-2.50%0.2054-32.08%0.2029✓1.00108k2022-08-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche29.3528.6243-2.47%22.44-23.54%0.0213✓1.4030.7M2022-08-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.44433.3592-2.47%6.7571+96.18%0.7748✗0.481.9M2022-08-19
RADRadworksEthereum2.592.5263-2.46%2.29-11.58%0.0497✗0.93636k2022-08-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.535.3945-2.45%6.23+12.66%0.1931✗0.312.1M2022-08-19
APEApeCoinEthereum7.0356.8632-2.44%5.106-27.42%0.0774✓1.3811.9M2022-08-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1514.0497-2.44%4.701+13.25%0.2029✗0.341.7M2022-08-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.42311.3886-2.42%1.0504-26.19%0.0505✓1.446.7M2022-08-19
QTUMQtumQtum4.29254.1887-2.42%3.3477-22.01%0.0639✓1.0153k2022-08-19
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.032620.031836-2.40%0.0224-31.33%0.1899✓1.0213.8M2022-08-19
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.100470.098056-2.40%0.07173-28.61%0.1110✓1.272.0M2022-08-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.4849.2563-2.40%7.303-23.00%0.0651✓1.0813.2M2022-08-19
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.087260.085177-2.39%0.08741+0.17%0.0626✗0.231.1M2022-08-19
STEEMSteemnative0.27770.27116-2.35%0.2304-17.03%0.0202✓0.90629k2022-08-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.326.1712-2.35%6.87+8.70%0.1633✗0.351.2M2022-08-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.6618.2214-2.35%14.23-23.74%0.0529✓1.231.4M2022-08-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05690.05558-2.32%0.0447-21.44%0.0547✓1.03254k2022-08-19
FTTFTXEthereum31.2230.4997-2.31%26.41-15.41%0.0029✓0.9310.8M2022-08-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum9.3339.1178-2.31%6.899-26.08%0.0996✓1.1319.3M2022-08-19
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15350.149966-2.30%0.1221-20.46%0.0339✓1.0850k2022-08-19
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0341.988-2.26%1.506-25.96%0.0912✓1.18220k2022-08-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.174.0758-2.26%3-28.06%0.1894✓0.741.3M2022-08-19
HIVEHivenative0.63480.620516-2.25%0.5569-12.27%0.0512✗1.002.4M2022-08-19
SOLSolanaSolana45.544.4875-2.23%35.82-21.27%0.0194✓1.2481.1M2022-08-19
GLMGolemEthereum0.29560.289112-2.19%0.2516-14.88%0.0120✓0.9570k2022-08-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14720.143991-2.18%0.1055-28.33%0.1299✓1.143.8M2022-08-19
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07270.071134-2.15%0.0562-22.70%0.1076✓0.81128k2022-08-19
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.55310.541191-2.15%0.3796-31.37%0.1449✓1.32232k2022-08-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.07390.072309-2.15%0.0635-14.07%0.0632✗1.22367k2022-08-19
ELAElastosEthereum2.0752.0304-2.15%1.87-9.88%0.0749✗0.99261k2022-08-19
ADACardanoCardano0.54070.529093-2.15%0.4497-16.83%0.0100✓1.0942.0M2022-08-19
DODODODOEthereum0.18090.177024-2.14%0.1293-28.52%0.1493✓1.042.7M2022-08-19
UOSUltraEthereum0.392780.384369-2.14%0.29551-24.76%0.1203✓0.90439k2022-08-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.3948.2145-2.14%6.409-23.65%0.0797✓1.065.5M2022-08-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008920.00873-2.13%0.00743-16.70%0.0175✓1.13463k2022-08-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09190.089977-2.09%0.0618-32.75%0.2436✓0.83127k2022-08-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.880.861915-2.06%0.678-22.95%0.0910✓0.94377k2022-08-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1960.192012-2.03%0.1513-22.81%0.0642✓1.10570k2022-08-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8754.7773-2.00%13.488+176.68%1.0768✗0.251.1M2022-08-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.06111.8205-1.99%10.759-10.80%0.0990✗1.2214.4M2022-08-19
XVGVergenative0.003920.003842-1.98%0.0032-18.37%0.0067✓1.11534k2022-08-19
ORCAOrcaSolana1.02481.0045-1.98%0.8698-15.12%0.1099✗1.60296k2022-08-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4961.4664-1.98%1.206-19.39%0.0247✓1.082.6M2022-08-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36560.358414-1.97%0.303-17.12%0.0127✓0.988.4M2022-08-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.70.686323-1.95%0.562-19.71%0.0070✓1.22100k2022-08-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.016280.015962-1.95%0.01381-15.17%0.0331✓0.702.1M2022-08-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.47640.467179-1.94%0.36-24.43%0.0477✓1.34242k2022-08-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.17450.171136-1.93%0.1279-26.70%0.1803✓0.704.4M2022-08-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.0315.7217-1.92%12.8-20.15%0.0140✓1.212.6M2022-08-19
COMPCompoundEthereum65.1263.8755-1.91%49.91-23.36%0.0434✓1.2838k2022-08-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.466350.457465-1.91%0.36149-22.49%0.0724✓1.03107k2022-08-19
XLMStellarStellar0.1264130.124015-1.90%0.108067-14.51%0.0077✓0.927.2M2022-08-19
DIADIAEthereum0.482460.473327-1.89%0.38673-19.84%0.1221✓0.5070k2022-08-19
XECeCashnative0.000047840.000046934-1.89%0.00003843-19.67%0.0649✓0.852.0M2022-08-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2360.231541-1.89%0.186-21.19%0.0243✓1.23657k2022-08-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.182990.179572-1.87%0.13844-24.35%0.0510✓1.32236k2022-08-19
BTTCBTTC0.000001030.000001011-1.86%8.70e-7-15.53%0.0268✓0.785.9M2022-08-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.136.0168-1.85%7.02+14.52%0.2098✗0.351.0M2022-08-19
DASHDashDash56.1655.124-1.84%44.86-20.12%0.0487✓0.99544k2022-08-19
SUSHISushiEthereum1.561.5313-1.84%1.18-24.36%0.0532✓1.311.2M2022-08-19
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7920.777474-1.83%0.574-27.53%0.1032✓1.262,9182022-08-19
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017060.001675-1.83%0.001479-13.31%0.0018✓0.809,0932022-08-19
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9642.9101-1.82%2.112-28.74%0.0435✓1.75143k2022-08-19
GMTGMTEthereum0.9830.965197-1.81%0.776-21.06%0.0158✓1.48440k2022-08-19
GALAGALAEthereum0.0660.064807-1.81%0.0532-19.39%0.0237✓1.09207k2022-08-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.12370.121467-1.80%0.0975-21.18%0.0486✓1.08529k2022-08-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.27870.273685-1.80%0.2209-20.74%0.0543✓1.0191k2022-08-19
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4760.467443-1.80%0.3724-21.76%0.0435✓1.16174k2022-08-19
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9472.8949-1.77%2.151-27.01%0.1060✓1.2059k2022-08-19
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.01682.9635-1.77%3.7255+23.49%0.3147✗0.541.3M2022-08-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.36310.356732-1.75%0.2828-22.12%0.0692✓1.033.6M2022-08-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin24,415.1823,987.69-1.75%20,834.94-14.66%0.0177✓1.00472.7M2022-08-19
BANDBandEthereum1.8011.7695-1.75%1.325-26.43%0.0769✓1.34432k2022-08-19
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9380.921622-1.75%0.708-24.52%0.1069✓0.99280k2022-08-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7518.5985-1.74%6.466-26.11%0.1446✓0.896.2M2022-08-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001270.000012483-1.71%0.00001317+3.70%0.2094✗0.98744k2022-08-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0723220.071086-1.71%0.067937-6.06%0.1185✗1.031.7M2022-08-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.09160.090035-1.71%0.07429-18.90%0.0153✓1.1229k2022-08-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.68511.6568-1.68%1.7825+5.78%0.2749✗1.27540k2022-08-19
ZENHorizenBase21.3520.9928-1.67%16.17-24.26%0.0722✓1.19118k2022-08-19
UMAUMAEthereum3.2233.1692-1.67%2.82-12.50%0.0204✗0.86587k2022-08-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.412.1974-1.63%9.77-21.21%0.0392✓1.15313k2022-08-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1390.136741-1.63%0.1065-23.38%0.1119✓0.874,5542022-08-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.39812.3592-1.62%1.8825-21.50%0.0539✓1.0838k2022-08-19
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3341.3124-1.62%1.045-21.66%0.0322✓1.231.1M2022-08-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1764.1092-1.60%4.972+19.06%0.2312✗0.262.3M2022-08-19
XMRMoneroMonero166.92164.2589-1.59%142.31-14.74%0.0187✗1.021.1M2022-08-19
ETHEthereumEthereum1,959.911,928.86-1.58%1,608.72-17.92%0.0276✗1.32522.8M2022-08-19
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021910.002156-1.58%0.001717-21.63%0.0693✓1.001.0M2022-08-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.60740.597978-1.55%0.4754-21.73%0.0506✓1.13332k2022-08-19
AAVEAaveEthereum114.79113.0104-1.55%83.37-27.37%0.0552✓1.577.9M2022-08-19
IMXImmutableEthereum1.14671.129-1.55%0.879-23.35%0.0525✓1.252.3M2022-08-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13040.128401-1.53%0.1085-16.79%0.0316✓0.86350k2022-08-19
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098090.000096618-1.50%0.00008591-12.42%0.0063✓0.78353k2022-08-19
MOVRMoonriverBase17.124116.868-1.50%12.9755-24.23%0.0990✓1.0359k2022-08-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3883630.38265-1.47%0.302298-22.16%0.0611✓1.10916k2022-08-19
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7410.730246-1.45%0.609-17.81%0.0293✗1.33135k2022-08-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010390.010241-1.43%0.00905-12.90%0.0072✓0.735.5M2022-08-19
SCSiacoinnative0.005110.005037-1.43%0.00412-19.37%0.0263✓1.10112k2022-08-19
MANADecentralandEthereum1.06861.0535-1.42%0.84451-20.97%0.0597✓1.02543k2022-08-19
AVTAventusEthereum1.591.5675-1.42%1.38-13.21%0.1210✓0.04143k2022-08-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.15641.14-1.41%1.0221-11.61%0.0050✓0.723.9M2022-08-19
WOOWOOEthereum0.24340.239989-1.40%0.1767-27.40%0.1311✓1.101,7402022-08-19
STORJStorjEthereum0.726560.71645-1.39%0.5697-21.59%0.0137✓1.3659k2022-08-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV63.53662.6621-1.38%51.302-19.26%0.0856✓0.72344k2022-08-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.426970.421169-1.36%0.33831-20.76%0.0541✓1.04502k2022-08-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.9562.105-1.34%54.02-14.19%0.0271✗1.0513.7M2022-08-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25370.250316-1.33%0.2125-16.24%0.0539✗1.37116k2022-08-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6440.635496-1.32%0.4967-22.87%0.1155✓0.83755k2022-08-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04450.043916-1.31%0.0347-22.02%0.0702✓1.0476k2022-08-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3290.324681-1.31%0.272-17.33%0.0423✓0.851.1M2022-08-19
XTZTezosTezos1.92491.9005-1.27%1.5782-18.01%0.0051✓1.14467k2022-08-19
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.049530.048902-1.27%0.03963-19.99%0.0794✓0.822,5822022-08-19
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0200890.019835-1.26%0.025967+29.26%0.2977✗0.18223k2022-08-19
NANOnanopayBase1.10831.0944-1.25%0.884025-20.23%0.0890✓0.7963k2022-08-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,153.8023,854.22-1.24%21,334.30-11.67%0.0417✗0.9711k2022-08-19
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.083310.082283-1.23%0.06643-20.26%0.0920✓0.779772022-08-19
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.1040.102727-1.22%0.0848-18.46%0.0309✓1.019,1182022-08-19
GITCOINGITCOIN3.23543.1965-1.20%2.3044-28.78%0.1171✓1.3313k2022-08-19
CHRChromiaEthereum0.22240.219727-1.20%0.1722-22.57%0.0178✓1.421,3132022-08-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash143.1141.4264-1.17%114.49-19.99%0.0331✓1.125.1M2022-08-19
XVSVenusEthereum6.666.5824-1.16%5.8-12.91%0.0459✗1.091.4M2022-08-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.17520.173163-1.16%0.1502-14.27%0.0213✗1.03131k2022-08-19
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood32.9651-1.16%2.75-8.33%0.0076✓0.5296k2022-08-19
FORTFortaEthereum0.30940.305816-1.16%0.2715-12.25%0.0528✗1.08203k2022-08-19
CBKCobakEthereum1.23181.2176-1.15%0.94175-23.54%0.1033✓0.9714k2022-08-19
LSKLiskEthereum1.28781.2731-1.14%1.068-17.07%0.0272✓0.9456k2022-08-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026640.026341-1.12%0.02251-15.50%0.0294✓0.81186k2022-08-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.008380.008287-1.11%0.00703-16.11%0.0620✓0.651.6M2022-08-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9440.933623-1.10%0.676-28.39%0.0902✓1.474.4M2022-08-19
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.198510.196378-1.07%0.16055-19.12%0.1526✗2.238742022-08-19
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.033630.033276-1.05%0.02581-23.25%0.0488✓1.292,7512022-08-19
C98Coin98Ethereum0.55740.551897-0.99%0.4043-27.47%0.1315✓1.1358k2022-08-19
KSMKusamaHydration61.1460.5503-0.96%48.63-20.46%0.0505✓1.06551k2022-08-19
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05020.049717-0.96%0.0398-20.72%0.0686✓0.9711k2022-08-19
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9420.932932-0.96%0.834-11.46%0.0775✗1.201.1M2022-08-19
ZECZcashZcash77.3476.5984-0.96%62.23-19.54%0.0221✓1.172.2M2022-08-19
KCSKuCoinnative10.65410.5552-0.93%9.359-12.16%0.0385✗1.002.0M2022-08-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.91.8826-0.92%1.32-30.53%0.1886✓1.05190k2022-08-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053960.0535-0.85%0.04452-17.49%0.0650✓0.7516k2022-08-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.0068930.006838-0.80%0.005861-14.97%0.0393✓0.723,4592022-08-19
GTGateEthereum5.0445.0045-0.78%4.373-13.30%0.0212✓0.72911k2022-08-19
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001030.000001022-0.73%8.70e-7-15.53%0.0391✓0.7721k2022-08-19
XYMSymbolnative0.0564110.056059-0.62%0.04825-14.47%0.0680✓0.5233k2022-08-19
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017810.017702-0.61%0.01707-4.15%0.0759✗0.71159k2022-08-19
BORABORAKlay Token0.370960.369127-0.49%0.29333-20.93%0.0568✓1.0913k2022-08-19
PROPropyEthereum0.830.826094-0.47%0.74-10.84%0.0390✓0.4591k2022-08-19
TRXTRONTron0.0704870.070231-0.36%0.063977-9.24%0.0028✓0.61182k2022-08-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068320.006817-0.22%0.006691-2.06%0.0605✗0.5053k2022-08-19
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.260928-0.18%0.2612-0.08%0.0032✗0.0144k2022-08-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0254660.025421-0.18%0.021066-17.28%0.0553✓0.8413k2022-08-19
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.20e-73.20e-7-0.11%6.08e-7+89.86%0.7496✗0.68150k2022-08-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.79724.7932-0.08%5.2071+8.54%0.1036✗0.13307k2022-08-19
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0131.0198+0.67%0.847-16.39%0.0987✗0.554.2M2022-08-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.