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2022-08-10 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2773
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+12.63%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
69.2%
in alpha space · 77.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.59%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.47091.341-8.83%1.4107-4.09%0.0779✓1.04907k2022-08-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum38.6836.6308-5.30%40.09+3.65%0.1217✗1.201.3M2022-08-17
CELLCellframeEthereum0.49510.46889-5.29%0.3741-24.44%0.1965✓1.1285k2022-08-17
METISMetisEthereum47.2445.1708-4.38%38.79-17.89%0.1025✓1.90362k2022-08-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.6110.1461-4.37%9.4-11.40%0.0467✓1.13562k2022-08-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015210.001455-4.29%0.001546+1.66%0.0834✗0.881.4M2022-08-17
OPTIMOptimism1.5691.5022-4.26%1.321-15.81%0.0782✓1.923.3M2022-08-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13620.130419-4.24%0.0997-26.80%0.2462✓0.85206k2022-08-17
FLOWFlownative3.0572.9308-4.13%2.565-16.09%0.0997✓1.28649k2022-08-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.1520.3263-3.89%19.42-8.18%0.0267✓0.722.4M2022-08-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,510.6011,084.97-3.70%11,164.62-3.01%0.0421✗1.335.8M2022-08-17
QNTQuantEthereum126.64122.2189-3.49%109.91-13.21%0.0832✓0.874.2M2022-08-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.8337.5489-3.30%40.29+3.76%0.1067✗1.3814.2M2022-08-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4522.3743-3.17%1.899-22.55%0.1929✓1.16177k2022-08-17
UNIUniswapEthereum9.228.942-3.01%7.961-13.66%0.0815✓1.329.9M2022-08-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.042.9512-2.92%2.92-3.95%0.0231✓1.28227k2022-08-17
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5320.51668-2.88%0.515-3.20%0.0232✓1.0113k2022-08-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1994.0819-2.79%3.505-16.53%0.1098✓1.625.2M2022-08-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.18361.1515-2.71%1.2042+1.74%0.0736✗1.1013k2022-08-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche29.1828.3992-2.68%25.56-12.41%0.0683✓1.4130.8M2022-08-17
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.104270.10151-2.65%0.08598-17.54%0.1324✓1.281.8M2022-08-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08270.080588-2.55%0.0778-5.93%0.0056✓1.131.4M2022-08-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0039610.00386-2.55%0.003936-0.63%0.0434✗0.91994k2022-08-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.5299.2866-2.54%8.372-12.14%0.0745✓1.1112.4M2022-08-17
STXStacksnative0.49790.485286-2.53%0.4567-8.27%0.0298✓1.18892k2022-08-17
XEMNEMnative0.0521340.050834-2.49%0.050295-3.53%0.0161✓1.0237k2022-08-17
FTTFTXEthereum31.3730.5901-2.49%30.11-4.02%0.0085✓0.9310.0M2022-08-17
APEApeCoinEthereum7.1166.94-2.47%6.107-14.18%0.0916✓1.3812.8M2022-08-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06860.066911-2.46%0.0599-12.68%0.0809✓1.13827k2022-08-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035180.034325-2.43%0.04685+33.17%0.3389✗1.0616k2022-08-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14620.142657-2.42%0.1226-16.14%0.1200✓1.203.4M2022-08-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0491.9994-2.42%1.854-9.52%0.0443✓1.19234k2022-08-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum9.0628.8432-2.41%8.061-11.05%0.0629✓1.1319.0M2022-08-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.3956.2412-2.40%5.616-12.18%0.1010✓0.173.4M2022-08-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.924.8021-2.40%4.94+0.41%0.0391✗0.411.3M2022-08-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.39643.3151-2.39%3.8114+12.22%0.1528✗0.511.9M2022-08-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.1984.0975-2.39%3.413-18.70%0.1631✓0.751.3M2022-08-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21083.1342-2.39%3.4712+8.11%0.1122✗0.381.5M2022-08-17
UOSUltraEthereum0.377990.369081-2.36%0.32972-12.77%0.0887✓0.91405k2022-08-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.38941.3567-2.35%1.1821-14.92%0.0998✓1.456.8M2022-08-17
API3Api3Ethereum2.0752.0262-2.35%2.266+9.20%0.1380✗0.99567k2022-08-17
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.089790.087684-2.35%0.0832-7.34%0.0464✓0.231.1M2022-08-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.5518.1159-2.34%16.88-9.00%0.0380✓1.241.4M2022-08-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.5455-2.34%8.75+0.00%0.0282✗0.171.8M2022-08-17
HIVEHivenative0.62610.611527-2.33%0.5961-4.79%0.0016✓1.042.4M2022-08-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.032960.032199-2.31%0.02575-21.87%0.1967✓1.0213.8M2022-08-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07390.072195-2.31%0.0662-10.42%0.0654✓0.81143k2022-08-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05480.053548-2.28%0.0509-7.12%0.0234✓1.04248k2022-08-17
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9760.953796-2.28%0.781-19.98%0.1736✓1.00271k2022-08-17
DODODODOEthereum0.18190.177774-2.27%0.159-12.59%0.0840✓1.052.7M2022-08-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0463.9554-2.24%4.144+2.42%0.0564✗0.371.6M2022-08-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09190.089849-2.23%0.0793-13.71%0.1015✓0.89130k2022-08-17
QTUMQtumQtum4.19474.1018-2.21%4.012-4.36%0.0047✓1.0253k2022-08-17
STEEMSteemnative0.2660.260153-2.20%0.2756+3.61%0.0825✗0.94629k2022-08-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008960.008763-2.20%0.00814-9.15%0.0440✓1.13457k2022-08-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.15320.149835-2.20%0.2222+45.04%0.4176✗0.901.1M2022-08-17
ADACardanoCardano0.53760.525796-2.20%0.5386+0.19%0.0528✗1.0942.6M2022-08-17
BANDBandEthereum1.8491.8086-2.19%1.563-15.47%0.1106✓1.35401k2022-08-17
ELAElastosEthereum2.1082.0624-2.17%1.991-5.55%0.0089✓1.00261k2022-08-17
COMPCompoundEthereum65.263.7909-2.16%58.31-10.57%0.0559✓1.2935k2022-08-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8830.864112-2.14%0.773-12.46%0.0865✓0.95377k2022-08-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.790.773309-2.11%0.654-17.22%0.1347✓1.252,7912022-08-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.98611.7329-2.11%11.75-1.97%0.0336✗1.2214.7M2022-08-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.464290.454494-2.11%0.40986-11.72%0.0759✓1.05127k2022-08-17
RADRadworksEthereum2.592.536-2.09%2.37-8.49%0.0428✓0.95636k2022-08-17
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.5370.525888-2.07%0.4371-18.60%0.1502✓1.32245k2022-08-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.3488.1754-2.07%7.38-11.60%0.0746✓1.065.7M2022-08-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017570.001721-2.06%0.00168-4.38%0.0027✓0.819,0932022-08-17
SUSHISushiEthereum1.581.5476-2.05%1.37-13.29%0.0876✓1.311.2M2022-08-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.17040.166919-2.04%0.1453-14.73%0.1204✓0.704.2M2022-08-17
SOLSolanaSolana42.541.6355-2.03%40.55-4.59%0.0065✓1.2581.8M2022-08-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.7524.6557-2.03%5.966+25.55%0.2546✗0.251.2M2022-08-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6970.682925-2.02%0.643-7.75%0.0275✓1.2591k2022-08-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36440.357089-2.01%0.3408-6.48%0.0207✓0.998.4M2022-08-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18610.182383-2.00%0.1697-8.81%0.0426✓1.12553k2022-08-17
XVGVergenative0.003830.003754-1.99%0.00378-1.31%0.0364✗1.12517k2022-08-17
XLMStellarStellar0.1259820.123494-1.97%0.121305-3.71%0.0065✓0.937.2M2022-08-17
ZENHorizenBase21.9321.4992-1.96%19.01-13.32%0.0914✓1.20118k2022-08-17
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9282.8711-1.94%2.476-15.44%0.1021✓1.75134k2022-08-17
DIADIAEthereum0.489510.480149-1.91%0.46051-5.92%0.0282✓0.5170k2022-08-17
GMTGMTEthereum0.980.961269-1.91%0.967-1.33%0.0452✗1.50469k2022-08-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.1715.8613-1.91%15.74-2.66%0.0240✗1.212.6M2022-08-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4441.4166-1.90%1.36-5.82%0.0118✓1.102.6M2022-08-17
XECeCashnative0.000046430.000045548-1.90%0.00004333-6.68%0.0270✓0.871.9M2022-08-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2290.224656-1.90%0.217-5.24%0.0019✓1.25703k2022-08-17
ORCAOrcaSolana0.97910.960599-1.89%0.9842+0.52%0.0663✗1.60296k2022-08-17
DASHDashDash54.653.5771-1.87%52.87-3.17%0.0131✓1.00552k2022-08-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.179750.176388-1.87%0.15873-11.69%0.0708✓1.32227k2022-08-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14280.140146-1.86%0.1381-3.29%0.0144✓1.1150k2022-08-17
BTTCBTTC0.000001019.91e-7-1.85%9.60e-7-4.95%0.0117✓0.786.0M2022-08-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.61340.60215-1.83%0.5401-11.95%0.0791✓1.13318k2022-08-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.340.333828-1.82%0.303-10.88%0.0747✓0.851.1M2022-08-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.12190.119695-1.81%0.1091-10.50%0.0643✓1.08566k2022-08-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,962.1823,529.51-1.81%23,341.17-2.59%0.0182✗1.00472.7M2022-08-17
MOVRMoonriverBase17.717.3838-1.79%14.8272-16.23%0.1320✓1.0358k2022-08-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0157660.015486-1.77%0.015184-3.69%0.0012✓0.712.1M2022-08-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0712440.069982-1.77%0.080115+12.45%0.1624✗1.041.6M2022-08-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.38622.3441-1.77%2.2016-7.74%0.0340✓1.0938k2022-08-17
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3481.3243-1.76%1.218-9.64%0.0512✓1.241.1M2022-08-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.435.3347-1.76%5.52+1.66%0.0427✗0.322.1M2022-08-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001240.000012185-1.73%0.00001476+19.03%0.2175✗0.98864k2022-08-17
XMRMoneroMonero167.53164.6324-1.73%168.3+0.46%0.0491✗1.031.2M2022-08-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45530.447442-1.73%0.4188-8.02%0.0307✓1.35188k2022-08-17
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098560.0000969-1.68%0.0000951-3.51%0.0008✓0.69421k2022-08-17
CHRChromiaEthereum0.23830.23429-1.68%0.1954-18.00%0.1439✓1.431,3132022-08-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7660.75316-1.68%0.672-12.27%0.0789✓1.34137k2022-08-17
AAVEAaveEthereum111.17109.3097-1.67%100.14-9.92%0.0464✓1.578.2M2022-08-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8562.8083-1.67%2.525-11.59%0.0744✓1.2258k2022-08-17
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.085250.083833-1.66%0.07755-9.03%0.0576✓0.779772022-08-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34790.342136-1.66%0.3198-8.08%0.0400✓1.053.5M2022-08-17
UMAUMAEthereum3.0983.0467-1.66%3.263+5.33%0.0915✗0.87587k2022-08-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.46480.457152-1.65%0.4206-9.51%0.0526✓1.17174k2022-08-17
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021570.002122-1.64%0.001955-9.36%0.0555✓1.001.1M2022-08-17
SCSiacoinnative0.004850.004771-1.63%0.00468-3.51%0.0104✓1.13102k2022-08-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.95922.9112-1.62%3.0983+4.70%0.0777✗0.591.3M2022-08-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026610.026181-1.61%0.02486-6.58%0.0301✓0.83159k2022-08-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087430.086028-1.60%0.0871-0.38%0.0419✗1.1229k2022-08-17
STORJStorjEthereum0.717960.706512-1.59%0.65284-9.07%0.0427✓1.3857k2022-08-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,919.3023,541.21-1.58%23,298.30-2.60%0.0151✓0.9711k2022-08-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.7342.6909-1.58%3.682+34.67%0.3360✗0.8592k2022-08-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26490.260727-1.58%0.2535-4.30%0.0008✓1.0491k2022-08-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.06350.062506-1.56%0.063-0.79%0.0374✗1.13197k2022-08-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.24720.243333-1.56%0.1975-20.11%0.1791✓1.131,6562022-08-17
ETHEthereumEthereum1,854.121,825.26-1.56%1,834.61-1.05%0.0396✗1.31480.7M2022-08-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.62031.5953-1.55%1.7066+5.33%0.1018✗1.31619k2022-08-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.1611.9736-1.53%11.36-6.58%0.0225✓1.15313k2022-08-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12650.124567-1.53%0.1214-4.03%0.0027✓0.88370k2022-08-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0794.017-1.52%3.89-4.63%0.0250✓0.272.3M2022-08-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0202750.019968-1.51%0.021964+8.33%0.0997✗0.17215k2022-08-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13240.130396-1.51%0.1209-8.69%0.0530✓0.864,7012022-08-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16151.1439-1.51%1.092-5.98%0.0277✓0.714.4M2022-08-17
MANADecentralandEthereum1.0721.0565-1.45%0.96777-9.72%0.0587✓1.10558k2022-08-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.416420.410492-1.42%0.38327-7.96%0.0411✓1.05481k2022-08-17
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1331.1169-1.42%0.9651-14.82%0.1132✓1.252.3M2022-08-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.29261.4094-1.42%59.922-3.80%0.0054✓0.73321k2022-08-17
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.4985-1.42%1.4-7.89%0.0660✓0.07159k2022-08-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.975.8855-1.42%6.22+4.19%0.0650✗0.37894k2022-08-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010310.010165-1.41%0.01086+5.33%0.0856✗0.745.5M2022-08-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.65740.648189-1.40%0.5653-14.01%0.1131✓0.90755k2022-08-17
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.197560.194863-1.37%0.1794-9.19%0.0238✓2.241,0642022-08-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.6160.7876-1.33%60.52-1.77%0.0232✗1.0513.7M2022-08-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3690050.364171-1.31%0.348082-5.67%0.0155✓1.13855k2022-08-17
FORTFortaEthereum0.30780.303805-1.30%0.294-4.48%0.0043✓1.08274k2022-08-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04410.043528-1.30%0.0439-0.45%0.0361✗1.0577k2022-08-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046650.046048-1.29%0.04518-3.15%0.0031✓0.842,4562022-08-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.685.6074-1.28%6.3+10.92%0.1259✗0.361.1M2022-08-17
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.022.9816-1.27%2.92-3.31%0.0073✓0.52110k2022-08-17
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10080.099534-1.26%0.1018+0.99%0.0488✗1.008,4352022-08-17
KSMKusamaHydration62.9262.1489-1.23%54.77-12.95%0.0984✓1.07525k2022-08-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.008370.008268-1.22%0.00794-5.14%0.0231✓0.661.6M2022-08-17
XTZTezosTezos1.87331.8504-1.22%1.8847+0.61%0.0485✗1.15513k2022-08-17
NANOnanopayBase1.07221.0592-1.20%0.97823-8.76%0.0585✓0.8058k2022-08-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash142.18140.4701-1.20%133.83-5.87%0.0187✓1.135.0M2022-08-17
GLMGolemEthereum0.27160.268347-1.20%0.2913+7.25%0.1079✗0.9865k2022-08-17
NEXONEXOEthereum0.8840.873611-1.18%0.928+4.98%0.0919✗1.20984k2022-08-17
ZECZcashZcash78.777.7837-1.16%74.22-5.69%0.0153✓1.202.2M2022-08-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.06070.060006-1.14%0.0708+16.64%0.1982✗1.25339k2022-08-17
XVSVenusEthereum6.716.637-1.09%6-10.58%0.0717✓1.111.5M2022-08-17
KCSKuCoinnative10.77910.6655-1.05%10.256-4.85%0.0125✓1.022.0M2022-08-17
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.032490.032153-1.04%0.0299-7.97%0.0388✓1.291,7322022-08-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018930.018735-1.03%0.01808-4.49%0.0170✓0.71167k2022-08-17
LSKLiskEthereum1.22511.2127-1.02%1.2119-1.08%0.0244✗0.9552k2022-08-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.880.87113-1.01%0.804-8.64%0.0413✓1.484.4M2022-08-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04950.049004-1.00%0.0427-13.74%0.1121✓0.9810k2022-08-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23260.230278-1.00%0.241+3.61%0.0819✗1.39107k2022-08-17
C98Coin98Ethereum0.54710.541772-0.97%0.4701-14.07%0.1121✓1.1454k2022-08-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.3068.2258-0.97%8.193-1.36%0.0192✗0.885.8M2022-08-17
XYMSymbolnative0.0575080.056953-0.96%0.053519-6.94%0.0485✓0.5230k2022-08-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.821.8025-0.96%1.61-11.54%0.0848✓1.07164k2022-08-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.16520.163629-0.95%0.1769+7.08%0.1063✗1.08115k2022-08-17
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001030.000001021-0.90%9.70e-7-5.83%0.0307✓0.7722k2022-08-17
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26160.259395-0.84%0.2613-0.11%0.0077✓0.0135k2022-08-17
GTGateEthereum4.93774.897-0.82%4.8449-1.88%0.0080✓0.71894k2022-08-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0066340.006584-0.75%0.00652-1.73%0.0092✗0.733,9632022-08-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.052570.052175-0.75%0.05073-3.50%0.0078✓0.7717k2022-08-17
PROPropyEthereum0.770.765406-0.60%0.78+1.30%0.0310✗0.4686k2022-08-17
TRXTRONTron0.0703070.069979-0.47%0.068126-3.10%0.0109✓0.61192k2022-08-17
GITCOINGITCOIN3.02853.0193-0.30%2.9261-3.38%0.0036✗1.3313k2022-08-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0060780.006061-0.28%0.00675+11.06%0.1205✗0.4951k2022-08-17
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.34e-73.33e-7-0.25%6.87e-7+105.84%0.7424✗0.68150k2022-08-17
CBKCobakEthereum1.1451.1429-0.19%1.1115-2.93%0.0020✓0.9812k2022-08-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.74.6935-0.14%5.3011+12.79%0.1250✗0.13367k2022-08-17
BORABORAKlay Token0.367670.368037+0.10%0.34491-6.19%0.0351✗1.1413k2022-08-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0242120.024319+0.44%0.023935-1.14%0.0067✓0.8612k2022-08-17
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0461.0525+0.62%0.909-13.10%0.1322✗0.554.2M2022-08-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.