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2022-08-09 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3646
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+14.79%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
58.9%
in alpha space · 42.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.02%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.3536.8579-6.33%40.61+3.20%0.0607✓1.221.3M2022-08-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014790.001405-5.02%0.001587+7.27%0.0955✗0.881.3M2022-08-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13360.127113-4.86%0.1024-23.35%0.2416✓0.85203k2022-08-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.319.8301-4.66%10.19-1.16%0.0021✓1.14482k2022-08-16
FLOWFlownative2.9972.8582-4.63%2.685-10.41%0.1009✓1.29587k2022-08-16
OPTIMOptimism1.6181.548-4.33%1.454-10.14%0.1208✓1.953.1M2022-08-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.44530.426166-4.30%0.3985-10.51%0.0998✓1.1080k2022-08-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.5719.7901-3.79%20.32-1.22%0.0051✓0.722.6M2022-08-16
QNTQuantEthereum125.81121.0932-3.75%116.11-7.71%0.0683✓0.884.2M2022-08-16
METISMetisEthereum42.6541.1349-3.55%38.9-8.79%0.1117✓1.88328k2022-08-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,188.0110,793.00-3.53%11,010.19-1.59%0.0198✓1.345.4M2022-08-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.4616.2382-3.45%6.018-6.86%0.0414✓0.183.4M2022-08-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03821.0031-3.38%1.4706+41.65%0.3543✗0.95907k2022-08-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.3874.2463-3.21%3.62-17.48%0.1825✓0.771.1M2022-08-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.102850.099597-3.16%0.08996-12.53%0.1401✓1.291.6M2022-08-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3372.2633-3.15%2.016-13.74%0.1502✓1.16172k2022-08-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.504186-2.85%0.545+5.01%0.0478✗1.0113k2022-08-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.435.3718-2.82%39.88+9.56%0.0790✗1.3813.5M2022-08-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.892.8084-2.82%3.26+12.80%0.1109✗1.28227k2022-08-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.14511.1138-2.73%1.1875+3.71%0.0314✗1.1013k2022-08-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.17650.171753-2.69%0.1546-12.41%0.1265✓0.713.9M2022-08-16
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.08250.080354-2.60%0.08258+0.10%0.0043✓0.779072022-08-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0321.9793-2.59%1.924-5.31%0.0640✓1.20234k2022-08-16
APEApeCoinEthereum7.0246.8447-2.55%6.197-11.77%0.1409✓1.3911.9M2022-08-16
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9540.929646-2.55%0.84-11.95%0.1313✓1.01263k2022-08-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.758.5308-2.51%8.453-3.39%0.0429✓1.1318.6M2022-08-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.4326.7554-2.46%27.11-1.17%0.0287✓1.4030.7M2022-08-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08110.079138-2.42%0.0784-3.33%0.0430✓1.131.4M2022-08-16
ELAElastosEthereum2.1012.0502-2.42%2.061-1.90%0.0253✓1.03261k2022-08-16
FTTFTXEthereum29.8829.1641-2.40%30.67+2.64%0.0229✓0.929.4M2022-08-16
RADRadworksEthereum2.632.5672-2.39%2.36-10.27%0.1128✓0.96726k2022-08-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.9028.6897-2.38%8.839-0.71%0.0157✓1.1011.8M2022-08-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07120.069503-2.38%0.0688-3.37%0.0342✓0.81151k2022-08-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05380.052519-2.38%0.0539+0.19%0.0051✓1.04248k2022-08-16
XEMNEMnative0.0493070.048135-2.38%0.051969+5.40%0.0465✗1.0137k2022-08-16
UNIUniswapEthereum8.4398.2406-2.35%8.346-1.10%0.0263✓1.319.9M2022-08-16
STXStacksnative0.47780.466572-2.35%0.4762-0.33%0.0146✓1.18892k2022-08-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06420.062701-2.34%0.0642+0.00%0.0099✓1.13827k2022-08-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13960.13637-2.31%0.1301-6.81%0.0827✓1.203.1M2022-08-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026320.025715-2.30%0.02539-3.53%0.0375✓0.83159k2022-08-16
HIVEHivenative0.60670.592851-2.28%0.6115+0.79%0.0001✓1.042.4M2022-08-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08810.086091-2.28%0.0811-7.95%0.0861✓0.89127k2022-08-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.032150.031418-2.28%0.02789-13.25%0.1497✓1.0313.9M2022-08-16
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.089460.087436-2.26%0.08578-4.11%0.0261✓0.231.1M2022-08-16
API3Api3Ethereum1.961.9158-2.26%2.409+22.91%0.1997✗0.99588k2022-08-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28163.2076-2.26%3.7239+13.48%0.1342✗0.501.8M2022-08-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.824.7131-2.22%4.95+2.70%0.0368✗0.411.3M2022-08-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.06592.9979-2.22%3.514+14.62%0.1476✗0.381.4M2022-08-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7630.746115-2.21%0.71-6.95%0.0870✓1.262,7022022-08-16
BANDBandEthereum1.7671.7285-2.18%1.675-5.21%0.0715✓1.35383k2022-08-16
DODODODOEthereum0.17140.167679-2.17%0.1676-2.22%0.0315✓1.042.8M2022-08-16
ADACardanoCardano0.5130.501959-2.15%0.5571+8.60%0.0717✗1.0940.5M2022-08-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.29261.2649-2.15%1.2853-0.56%0.0268✓1.446.8M2022-08-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.5817.2031-2.14%17.95+2.10%0.0055✓1.241.4M2022-08-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.34890.34143-2.14%0.35342+1.30%0.0077✓0.90396k2022-08-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016570.001622-2.14%0.001761+6.28%0.0587✗0.808,9342022-08-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008710.008524-2.13%0.00854-1.95%0.0320✓1.14457k2022-08-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9273.8449-2.09%4.19+6.70%0.0749✗0.371.6M2022-08-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.38911.1526-2.08%11.396+0.06%0.0148✓1.2214.4M2022-08-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.435250.426331-2.05%0.42922-1.39%0.0242✓1.04124k2022-08-16
DIADIAEthereum0.481560.471726-2.04%0.47192-2.00%0.0149✓0.5268k2022-08-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.8123.7343-2.04%3.68-3.46%0.0627✓1.615.2M2022-08-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5644.4711-2.04%5.889+29.03%0.2681✗0.251.1M2022-08-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1220430.119561-2.03%0.12178-0.22%0.0093✓0.937.1M2022-08-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0033560.003288-2.03%0.004101+22.20%0.1950✗0.87988k2022-08-16
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.51630.505866-2.02%0.4749-8.02%0.1028✓1.33245k2022-08-16
QTUMQtumQtum4.01453.9337-2.01%4.0127-0.04%0.0105✓1.0257k2022-08-16
STEEMSteemnative0.25080.245764-2.01%0.27+7.66%0.0662✗0.94681k2022-08-16
XVGVergenative0.003680.003607-1.99%0.00401+8.97%0.0726✗1.12517k2022-08-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.670.656694-1.99%0.672+0.30%0.0141✓1.2591k2022-08-16
GMTGMTEthereum0.9490.930255-1.98%1.072+12.96%0.0972✗1.50469k2022-08-16
DASHDashDash52.9751.9263-1.97%52.46-0.96%0.0197✓1.00552k2022-08-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8080.792176-1.96%0.818+1.24%0.0043✓0.93377k2022-08-16
MOVRMoonriverBase17.038916.7059-1.95%15.0779-11.51%0.1332✓1.0358k2022-08-16
COMPCompoundEthereum59.2458.0867-1.95%61.09+3.12%0.0124✓1.2835k2022-08-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34520.338533-1.93%0.3526+2.14%0.0115✓0.988.4M2022-08-16
SOLSolanaSolana40.3539.5764-1.92%43.09+6.79%0.0479✗1.2579.4M2022-08-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.8257.6751-1.92%7.773-0.66%0.0186✓1.055.9M2022-08-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59180.580487-1.91%0.5677-4.07%0.0558✓1.13318k2022-08-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2190.21483-1.90%0.244+11.42%0.0902✗1.25716k2022-08-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.518.348-1.90%8.89+4.47%0.0578✗0.171.8M2022-08-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031560.03096-1.90%0.05113+62.01%0.4708✗1.0414k2022-08-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.14570.142947-1.89%0.2097+43.93%0.3566✗0.891.1M2022-08-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0690280.067738-1.87%0.087041+26.09%0.2199✗1.041.6M2022-08-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.000096780.000094981-1.86%0.0000971+0.33%0.0036✓0.62421k2022-08-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,209.6022,779.65-1.85%23,861.50+2.81%0.0175✓0.9712k2022-08-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.5019-1.84%1.47-3.92%0.0237✓0.07173k2022-08-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3651.3399-1.84%1.425+4.40%0.0289✗1.102.5M2022-08-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.173820.170633-1.83%0.16955-2.46%0.0458✓1.32216k2022-08-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.2360.231717-1.81%0.207-12.29%0.1463✓1.121,5612022-08-16
ZENHorizenBase19.9219.559-1.81%20.12+1.00%0.0071✓1.19118k2022-08-16
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.52e-7-1.81%9.70e-7+0.00%0.0047✓0.776.0M2022-08-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.431.4041-1.81%1.41-1.40%0.0342✓1.291.2M2022-08-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7022.6534-1.80%2.651-1.89%0.0528✓1.74131k2022-08-16
ORCAOrcaSolana0.95310.935972-1.80%0.967+1.46%0.0153✓1.61296k2022-08-16
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002140.002102-1.80%0.00202-5.61%0.0694✓1.001.2M2022-08-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,158.2722,745.92-1.78%23,857.93+3.02%0.0180✓1.00455.4M2022-08-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0201610.019803-1.78%0.025638+27.17%0.2532✗0.17215k2022-08-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.29562.255-1.76%2.2701-1.11%0.0259✓1.0938k2022-08-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13650.134098-1.76%0.1437+5.27%0.0362✗1.1155k2022-08-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7442.6958-1.76%2.752+0.29%0.0155✓1.2254k2022-08-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012050.00001184-1.75%0.00001581+31.20%0.2598✗0.99864k2022-08-16
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2941.2715-1.74%1.271-1.78%0.0373✓1.241.1M2022-08-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.5715.3011-1.73%15-3.66%0.0559✓1.212.6M2022-08-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16970.16677-1.73%0.1798+5.95%0.0423✗1.11548k2022-08-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0153410.015076-1.73%0.015966+4.07%0.0363✗0.712.1M2022-08-16
XECeCashnative0.00004340.000042661-1.70%0.00004498+3.64%0.0273✗0.861.9M2022-08-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3280.322431-1.70%0.316-3.66%0.0453✓0.841.1M2022-08-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.44990.442328-1.68%0.4559+1.33%0.0047✓1.17165k2022-08-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.085980.084535-1.68%0.09121+6.08%0.0423✗1.1329k2022-08-16
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21830.214711-1.64%0.2113-3.21%0.0583✓1.421,2802022-08-16
UMAUMAEthereum2.9452.8967-1.64%3.334+13.21%0.1149✗0.87585k2022-08-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.83682.7903-1.64%3.1212+10.03%0.0948✗0.581.2M2022-08-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0133.9476-1.63%4.038+0.62%0.0145✓0.272.2M2022-08-16
XMRMoneroMonero158.78156.2005-1.62%169.61+6.82%0.0518✗1.031.2M2022-08-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.11290.111066-1.62%0.1138+0.80%0.0076✓1.07566k2022-08-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1270.124995-1.58%0.123-3.15%0.0416✓0.864,5002022-08-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12320.121269-1.57%0.1265+2.68%0.0161✗0.88370k2022-08-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7160.70479-1.57%0.7-2.23%0.0464✓1.33137k2022-08-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25120.247287-1.56%0.2645+5.29%0.0365✗1.0491k2022-08-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.405040.398752-1.55%0.40858+0.87%0.0070✓1.05481k2022-08-16
ZECZcashZcash79.8178.5751-1.55%75.95-4.84%0.0703✓1.222.0M2022-08-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43170.425059-1.54%0.4464+3.41%0.0089✓1.35207k2022-08-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.32860.323548-1.54%0.3392+3.23%0.0163✗1.043.5M2022-08-16
IMXImmutableEthereum1.10741.091-1.48%1.0221-7.70%0.1027✓1.262.0M2022-08-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV59.71958.8458-1.46%61.168+2.43%0.0172✗0.72321k2022-08-16
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.190920.188134-1.46%0.1883-1.37%0.0664✓2.261,0642022-08-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.665210.655662-1.44%0.69252+4.11%0.0137✓1.3857k2022-08-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.855.7668-1.42%6.14+4.96%0.0517✗0.37894k2022-08-16
SCSiacoinnative0.004510.004446-1.41%0.00476+5.54%0.0349✗1.1299k2022-08-16
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031790.031341-1.41%0.03136-1.35%0.0380✓1.301,7322022-08-16
NANOnanopayBase1.03761.0231-1.41%1.0226-1.45%0.0242✓0.8056k2022-08-16
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.257625-1.41%0.2612-0.04%0.0134✓0.0135k2022-08-16
FORTFortaEthereum0.30380.29953-1.41%0.3019-0.63%0.0245✓1.09294k2022-08-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.05990.059064-1.40%0.0696+16.19%0.1308✗1.12185k2022-08-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.265.1868-1.39%5.44+3.42%0.0381✗0.322.1M2022-08-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.3611.2023-1.39%12.36+8.80%0.0645✗1.14306k2022-08-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.044640.044021-1.39%0.04681+4.86%0.0365✗0.842,3482022-08-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09770.096347-1.38%0.1069+9.42%0.0740✗1.017,6272022-08-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.52581.5047-1.38%1.635+7.16%0.0443✗1.30698k2022-08-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009870.009734-1.38%0.01154+16.92%0.1483✗0.745.3M2022-08-16
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01981.0058-1.37%1.0299+0.99%0.0091✓1.10543k2022-08-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.10271.0876-1.37%1.1489+4.19%0.0337✗0.714.4M2022-08-16
KSMKusamaHydration60.2659.4358-1.37%56.07-6.95%0.0900✓1.07489k2022-08-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5392.5043-1.37%3.876+52.66%0.4117✗0.8486k2022-08-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04280.042216-1.37%0.0426-0.47%0.0223✓1.0577k2022-08-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.008250.008139-1.35%0.00828+0.36%0.0025✓0.661.6M2022-08-16
ETHEthereumEthereum1,703.351,680.41-1.35%1,876.57+10.17%0.0716✗1.30453.9M2022-08-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.1858.4233-1.28%61.33+3.63%0.0173✗1.0513.7M2022-08-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.05890.058156-1.26%0.0734+24.62%0.1955✗1.25339k2022-08-16
XYMSymbolnative0.0552930.0546-1.25%0.054802-0.89%0.0116✓0.5229k2022-08-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62340.615627-1.25%0.5897-5.41%0.0697✓0.90755k2022-08-16
XTZTezosTezos1.80571.7833-1.24%1.8887+4.60%0.0233✗1.15530k2022-08-16
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.872.8353-1.21%2.94+2.44%0.0213✗0.50110k2022-08-16
AAVEAaveEthereum97.9696.79-1.19%109.79+12.08%0.0799✗1.558.2M2022-08-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.515.4445-1.19%6.29+14.16%0.1338✗0.361.1M2022-08-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8560.846012-1.17%0.87+1.64%0.0164✓1.494.4M2022-08-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.26010.257106-1.15%0.3001+15.38%0.1254✗0.9865k2022-08-16
PROPropyEthereum0.780.771054-1.15%0.81+3.85%0.0354✗0.4783k2022-08-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3441840.340249-1.14%0.362039+5.19%0.0287✗1.12875k2022-08-16
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.436-1.14%5.96-8.45%0.1101✓1.121.4M2022-08-16
KCSKuCoinnative10.53610.4185-1.12%10.39-1.39%0.0331✓1.021.9M2022-08-16
C98Coin98Ethereum0.51710.511347-1.11%0.5047-2.40%0.0467✓1.1350k2022-08-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04750.046988-1.08%0.0445-6.32%0.0834✓0.9810k2022-08-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22610.223727-1.05%0.2556+13.05%0.0917✗1.3997k2022-08-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.16891.157-1.01%1.2535+7.24%0.0519✗0.9552k2022-08-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash134.7133.3376-1.01%136.34+1.22%0.0112✓1.135.0M2022-08-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.711.6928-1.01%1.75+2.34%0.0016✓1.06140k2022-08-16
NEXONEXOEthereum0.810.801964-0.99%0.959+18.40%0.1436✗1.18968k2022-08-16
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.61e-7-0.95%0.000001+3.09%0.0183✗0.7322k2022-08-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0064850.006427-0.89%0.006767+4.35%0.0299✗0.734,4282022-08-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0447.9731-0.88%8.426+4.75%0.0290✗0.885.7M2022-08-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0061810.006128-0.86%0.006937+12.23%0.1092✗0.5050k2022-08-16
GTGateEthereum4.77384.7329-0.86%4.8932+2.50%0.0121✗0.71887k2022-08-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.15480.15353-0.82%0.1861+20.22%0.1605✗1.07110k2022-08-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050770.050394-0.74%0.05205+2.52%0.0095✗0.7717k2022-08-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01750.017386-0.65%0.01753+0.17%0.0123✓0.69167k2022-08-16
TRXTRONTron0.0684650.068082-0.56%0.069764+1.90%0.0064✗0.60216k2022-08-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.02184.9943-0.55%5.2507+4.56%0.0458✗0.14367k2022-08-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.28e-7-0.44%7.44e-7+125.94%0.7992✗0.68150k2022-08-16
GITCOINGITCOIN2.89562.8984+0.10%3.3012+14.01%0.0904✓1.3313k2022-08-16
CBKCobakEthereum1.10541.1066+0.11%1.1561+4.59%0.0145✓0.9812k2022-08-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.355090.356389+0.37%0.35527+0.05%0.0370✗1.1413k2022-08-16
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0181.023+0.49%0.967-5.01%0.0725✗0.543.7M2022-08-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0228290.02296+0.57%0.024604+7.78%0.0438✓0.8512k2022-08-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.