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2022-08-07 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2706
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.34%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
78.0%
in alpha space · 38.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+4.92%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.040570.036775-9.35%0.02573-36.58%0.4062✓1.02159k2022-08-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.8296.4456-5.62%6.354-6.96%0.0351✓0.432.7M2022-08-14
CELLCellframeEthereum0.46930.443219-5.56%0.4118-12.25%0.1279✓1.1380k2022-08-14
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.107270.10181-5.09%0.09281-13.48%0.1636✓1.481.2M2022-08-14
OPTIMOptimism1.9121.8186-4.89%1.44-24.69%0.3269✓1.953.1M2022-08-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.4830.9885-4.59%39.27+20.91%0.1663✗1.471.1M2022-08-14
QNTQuantEthereum126.46120.8018-4.47%118.61-6.21%0.0625✓0.924.5M2022-08-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum22.1921.2444-4.26%21.24-4.28%0.0365✓0.762.6M2022-08-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.039.6079-4.21%10.26+2.29%0.0012✓1.34385k2022-08-14
METISMetisEthereum44.2242.3669-4.19%43.26-2.17%0.0690✓1.87293k2022-08-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,438.5410,983.06-3.98%11,226.83-1.85%0.0456✓1.415.2M2022-08-14
FLOWFlownative2.6242.5275-3.68%2.832+7.93%0.0529✗1.27505k2022-08-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.04391.0067-3.56%1.4588+39.75%0.3187✗1.09933k2022-08-14
ELAElastosEthereum2.1832.1082-3.43%2.039-6.60%0.0870✓1.12225k2022-08-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.372.2906-3.35%2.187-7.72%0.1087✓1.30160k2022-08-14
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.1090.105449-3.26%0.1275+16.97%0.1531✗0.77163k2022-08-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.062.9613-3.22%3.06+0.00%0.0358✓1.43234k2022-08-14
MOVRMoonriverBase18.297317.7133-3.19%16.2019-11.45%0.1422✓1.1053k2022-08-14
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5510.533852-3.11%0.534-3.09%0.0532✓1.1114k2022-08-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.7136.6125-2.91%41.57+10.24%0.0584✗1.4313.0M2022-08-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.927.1036-2.85%28.19+1.04%0.0353✓1.5529.2M2022-08-14
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07350.071414-2.84%0.0721-1.90%0.0355✓0.94158k2022-08-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034360.033413-2.76%0.02926-14.84%0.1957✓1.3113.9M2022-08-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.47363.3787-2.73%3.6932+6.32%0.0536✗0.741.7M2022-08-14
APEApeCoinEthereum7.2087.0128-2.71%6.368-11.65%0.1730✓1.6011.9M2022-08-14
UNIUniswapEthereum8.7848.5462-2.71%8.882+1.12%0.0276✓1.389.9M2022-08-14
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8110.789202-2.69%0.753-7.15%0.1140✓1.402,7022022-08-14
API3Api3Ethereum2.0892.0332-2.67%2.387+14.27%0.1065✗1.12606k2022-08-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.083.9727-2.63%3.821-6.35%0.1200✓1.695.2M2022-08-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.40241.3656-2.62%1.3892-0.94%0.0556✓1.526.4M2022-08-14
FTTFTXEthereum30.6729.8834-2.56%30.84+0.55%0.0142✓0.959.1M2022-08-14
STXStacksnative0.49070.478186-2.55%0.4917+0.20%0.0303✓1.21808k2022-08-14
XEMNEMnative0.0515510.050242-2.54%0.053806+4.37%0.0164✓1.0937k2022-08-14
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9981.9475-2.53%1.939-2.95%0.0704✓1.38234k2022-08-14
WOOWOOEthereum0.25510.248711-2.50%0.2284-10.47%0.1459✓1.271,5612022-08-14
DODODODOEthereum0.18190.177444-2.45%0.171-5.99%0.0944✓1.203.3M2022-08-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06430.062728-2.45%0.067+4.20%0.0062✓1.24799k2022-08-14
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017290.001687-2.44%0.001792+3.64%0.0147✓0.958,9342022-08-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05440.053078-2.43%0.0541-0.55%0.0387✓1.20256k2022-08-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.4918.0446-2.41%18.56+0.38%0.0343✓1.301.4M2022-08-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21833.1411-2.40%3.5378+9.93%0.0884✗0.641.2M2022-08-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.348.1399-2.40%8.77+5.16%0.0163✓1.2116.7M2022-08-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.074.9494-2.38%5.06-0.20%0.0072✓0.611.3M2022-08-14
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.56360.550278-2.36%0.5199-7.75%0.1199✓1.32232k2022-08-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08930.087199-2.35%0.0854-4.37%0.0744✓1.12124k2022-08-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07940.077543-2.34%0.0809+1.89%0.0120✓1.131.3M2022-08-14
BANDBandEthereum1.8091.7668-2.33%1.732-4.26%0.0869✓1.40371k2022-08-14
COMPCompoundEthereum63.8562.3726-2.31%63.04-1.27%0.0552✓1.3738k2022-08-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009060.008851-2.31%0.00865-4.53%0.0813✓1.22421k2022-08-14
PROPropyEthereum0.840.820635-2.31%0.81-3.57%0.0408✓0.5878k2022-08-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033020.032263-2.29%0.04879+47.76%0.3572✗1.1814k2022-08-14
ADACardanoCardano0.52770.515645-2.28%0.5701+8.03%0.0450✗1.1539.5M2022-08-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,110.7022,584.34-2.28%24,209.70+4.76%0.0225✓0.9812k2022-08-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.0123.9215-2.26%3.865-3.66%0.0551✓0.85976k2022-08-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.6578.4617-2.26%8.955+3.44%0.0004✓1.1711.0M2022-08-14
STEEMSteemnative0.25950.253658-2.25%0.2723+4.93%0.0187✓1.09766k2022-08-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.8816.5002-2.25%14.53-13.92%0.1927✓1.372.6M2022-08-14
HIVEHivenative0.59910.585646-2.25%0.6213+3.71%0.0053✓1.122.1M2022-08-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.37411.124-2.20%11.588+1.88%0.0218✓1.3113.7M2022-08-14
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11241.0885-2.15%1.207+8.50%0.0504✗1.1013k2022-08-14
LRCLoopringEthereum0.48060.470283-2.15%0.4837+0.65%0.0341✓1.30155k2022-08-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034230.003351-2.12%0.00419+22.41%0.1777✗0.961.0M2022-08-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.15130.148103-2.11%0.1811+19.70%0.1525✗1.011.1M2022-08-14
XLMStellarStellar0.1238730.121267-2.10%0.125646+1.43%0.0113✓0.977.0M2022-08-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6854.587-2.09%5.932+26.62%0.2365✗0.431.2M2022-08-14
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099560.000097482-2.09%0.00010014+0.58%0.0590✓1.79466k2022-08-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15880.155495-2.08%0.1641+3.34%0.0137✓0.843.6M2022-08-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2250.220347-2.07%0.225+0.00%0.0471✓1.42703k2022-08-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4251.3956-2.06%1.445+1.40%0.0237✓1.222.5M2022-08-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011930.001168-2.06%0.001432+20.01%0.1465✗1.181.3M2022-08-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6820.668005-2.05%0.699+2.49%0.0193✓1.3590k2022-08-14
XVGVergenative0.003740.003663-2.05%0.00403+7.75%0.0345✗1.27534k2022-08-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.43380.424933-2.04%0.44475+2.52%0.0090✓1.14124k2022-08-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35590.348668-2.03%0.3642+2.33%0.0077✓1.078.2M2022-08-14
AVTAventusEthereum1.571.5382-2.03%1.5-4.46%0.0365✓0.24207k2022-08-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2498.0828-2.01%8.001-3.01%0.0677✓1.206.8M2022-08-14
SUSHISushiEthereum1.51.4698-2.01%1.48-1.33%0.0596✓1.391.2M2022-08-14
DIADIAEthereum0.475240.46569-2.01%0.49265+3.66%0.0241✗0.6770k2022-08-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0159520.015632-2.01%0.015677-1.72%0.0370✓0.832.1M2022-08-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4660.456663-2.00%0.4793+2.85%0.0249✓1.53207k2022-08-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0583.9769-2.00%4.154+2.37%0.0158✓0.581.6M2022-08-14
DASHDashDash53.3552.2854-2.00%55.08+3.24%0.0003✓1.08552k2022-08-14
QTUMQtumQtum4.09194.0106-1.99%4.1906+2.41%0.0079✓1.0853k2022-08-14
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022850.00224-1.98%0.002102-8.01%0.1114✓1.001.2M2022-08-14
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7922.7368-1.98%2.808+0.57%0.0595✓1.78126k2022-08-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8070.791095-1.97%0.839+3.97%0.0146✓0.92380k2022-08-14
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8580.841166-1.96%0.887+3.38%0.0032✓1.17246k2022-08-14
XECeCashnative0.000045320.000044445-1.93%0.00004614+1.81%0.0142✓1.081.8M2022-08-14
SOLSolanaSolana40.6239.8364-1.93%44.89+10.51%0.0548✗1.3579.4M2022-08-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17580.172421-1.92%0.1842+4.78%0.0103✓1.16529k2022-08-14
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98850.969503-1.92%1.0019+1.36%0.0502✓1.73296k2022-08-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.177350.173948-1.92%0.1773-0.03%0.0541✓1.53207k2022-08-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.33262.2879-1.92%2.3122-0.87%0.0454✓1.1738k2022-08-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12830.125841-1.92%0.1393+8.57%0.0364✗1.362.9M2022-08-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.11920.116916-1.92%0.1166-2.18%0.0603✓1.20529k2022-08-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1474.0677-1.91%4.102-1.09%0.0143✓0.471.9M2022-08-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3390.332561-1.90%0.327-3.54%0.0655✓1.011.1M2022-08-14
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13740.134805-1.89%0.1477+7.50%0.0337✗1.2061k2022-08-14
XMRMoneroMonero164.87161.7872-1.87%168.04+1.92%0.0122✓1.041.1M2022-08-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25950.254652-1.87%0.2693+3.78%0.0004✓1.1698k2022-08-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12940.126986-1.87%0.1308+1.08%0.0208✓1.054,5002022-08-14
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7982.7462-1.85%2.773-0.89%0.0566✓1.3848k2022-08-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.068960.067693-1.84%0.0817+18.47%0.1338✗1.131.6M2022-08-14
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3191.295-1.82%1.341+1.67%0.0246✓1.241.1M2022-08-14
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.079690.078241-1.82%0.08115+1.83%0.0014✓0.738502022-08-14
KSMKusamaHydration65.4264.2303-1.82%58.87-10.01%0.1418✓1.14419k2022-08-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012020.000011805-1.79%0.00001688+40.43%0.3033✗1.13926k2022-08-14
ZENHorizenBase19.1718.8289-1.78%20.14+5.06%0.0050✓1.30118k2022-08-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.948.7812-1.78%8.97+0.34%0.0046✓0.351.8M2022-08-14
GMTGMTEthereum0.9310.914509-1.77%0.981+5.37%0.0071✓1.61462k2022-08-14
UMAUMAEthereum3.0332.9794-1.77%3.446+13.62%0.0963✗1.02585k2022-08-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,177.3922,771.65-1.75%24,316.71+4.92%0.0177✓1.00414.2M2022-08-14
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7590.745738-1.75%0.7-7.77%0.1325✓1.44135k2022-08-14
RADRadworksEthereum2.482.4367-1.75%2.55+2.82%0.0062✓1.08507k2022-08-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12640.124195-1.74%0.1284+1.58%0.0148✓1.00398k2022-08-14
C98Coin98Ethereum0.58870.578448-1.74%0.5344-9.22%0.1332✓1.1346k2022-08-14
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10470.102884-1.73%0.0995-4.97%0.0880✓1.145,6912022-08-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34310.337159-1.73%0.3467+1.05%0.0264✓1.133.6M2022-08-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0198730.019531-1.72%0.019846-0.14%0.0017✓0.30173k2022-08-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16631.1463-1.71%1.1212-3.87%0.0610✓0.814.1M2022-08-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7928.6415-1.71%8.235-6.34%0.0956✓0.994.0M2022-08-14
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.54e-7-1.70%0.00000101+4.12%0.0177✗0.836.0M2022-08-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.427190.419956-1.69%0.40475-5.25%0.0983✓1.28507k2022-08-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59270.58274-1.68%0.5947+0.34%0.0352✓1.16303k2022-08-14
FISStafiEthereum0.39040.383849-1.68%0.4905+25.64%0.2001✗0.941492022-08-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.87860.8576-1.65%62.391+0.83%0.0132✓0.79306k2022-08-14
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.257127-1.63%0.2611-0.11%0.0147✓0.0131k2022-08-14
STORJStorjEthereum0.688430.677182-1.63%0.71015+3.16%0.0230✓1.4769k2022-08-14
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.195980.192794-1.63%0.1917-2.18%0.1155✓2.291,0642022-08-14
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.98842.9399-1.62%3.1608+5.77%0.0321✗0.841.2M2022-08-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010460.010292-1.61%0.01037-0.86%0.0367✓0.925.1M2022-08-14
SCSiacoinnative0.004710.004635-1.58%0.00499+5.94%0.0134✓1.26102k2022-08-14
IMXImmutableEthereum1.13871.1212-1.54%1.0962-3.73%0.0879✓1.361.7M2022-08-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57481.5506-1.54%1.6481+4.65%0.0060✓1.40619k2022-08-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.083860.082572-1.54%0.0883+5.29%0.0044✓1.3129k2022-08-14
MANADecentralandEthereum1.05961.0435-1.52%1.0735+1.32%0.0315✓1.25532k2022-08-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.7411.5627-1.51%11.81+0.60%0.0368✓1.21263k2022-08-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05120.050433-1.50%0.0472-7.81%0.1262✓1.2510k2022-08-14
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.123.0734-1.49%2.98-4.49%0.0550✓0.50116k2022-08-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04410.043447-1.48%0.0428-2.95%0.0703✓1.1577k2022-08-14
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21460.211427-1.48%0.2112-1.58%0.0689✓1.411,1742022-08-14
XVSVenusEthereum6.846.7394-1.47%6.42-6.14%0.1093✓1.271.4M2022-08-14
FORTFortaEthereum0.3080.303473-1.47%0.2996-2.73%0.0654✓1.10300k2022-08-14
XTZTezosTezos1.8881.8604-1.46%1.8226-3.46%0.0781✓1.20530k2022-08-14
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031720.031258-1.46%0.03229+1.80%0.0295✓1.291,3502022-08-14
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.045810.045146-1.45%0.04942+7.88%0.0461✗0.922,3482022-08-14
UOSUltraEthereum0.316950.312378-1.44%0.37655+18.80%0.1388✗1.00366k2022-08-14
GLMGolemEthereum0.27110.267203-1.44%0.2868+5.79%0.0194✗1.0765k2022-08-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.1260.2502-1.42%63.17+3.35%0.0059✓1.1113.5M2022-08-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.655.5701-1.41%5.42-4.07%0.0526✓0.532.1M2022-08-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.66390.65459-1.40%0.6094-8.21%0.1232✓1.08726k2022-08-14
NANOnanopayBase1.05491.0402-1.39%1.0568+0.18%0.0267✓0.8951k2022-08-14
ETHEthereumEthereum1,700.421,676.84-1.39%1,935.85+13.85%0.0804✗1.32407.7M2022-08-14
AAVEAaveEthereum101.3199.9326-1.36%107.44+6.05%0.0058✓1.639.9M2022-08-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23920.236003-1.34%0.2555+6.81%0.0069✓1.5189k2022-08-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8710.859524-1.32%0.874+0.34%0.0650✓1.704.3M2022-08-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.008370.008262-1.29%0.00825-1.43%0.0378✓0.761.6M2022-08-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3544730.349937-1.28%0.374117+5.54%0.0089✓1.211.0M2022-08-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.06050.059735-1.26%0.0765+26.45%0.1795✗1.42339k2022-08-14
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085320.084243-1.26%0.08572+0.47%0.0044✓0.271.1M2022-08-14
GALAGALAEthereum0.06060.059844-1.25%0.0703+16.01%0.0970✗1.34179k2022-08-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.775.6991-1.23%6.12+6.07%0.0467✗0.51964k2022-08-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.811.7879-1.22%1.75-3.31%0.0818✓1.26132k2022-08-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.045.9682-1.19%6.17+2.15%0.0051✓0.59887k2022-08-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash140.98139.3148-1.18%139.45-1.09%0.0556✓1.184.7M2022-08-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4582.4292-1.17%3.944+60.46%0.4420✗0.8992k2022-08-14
LSKLiskEthereum1.21621.2023-1.15%1.2606+3.64%0.0018✓1.0243k2022-08-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053780.053175-1.13%0.05538+2.98%0.0009✓0.8616k2022-08-14
XYMSymbolnative0.0550550.054447-1.11%0.056453+2.54%0.0078✓0.5926k2022-08-14
ZECZcashZcash70.2669.4877-1.10%73.71+4.91%0.0002✓1.231.8M2022-08-14
KCSKuCoinnative10.60210.486-1.09%10.646+0.42%0.0369✓1.091.9M2022-08-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.16180.16014-1.03%0.1716+6.06%0.0132✗1.16102k2022-08-14
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.80e-79.70e-7-0.99%0.00000101+3.06%0.0056✓0.7225k2022-08-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.0064750.006414-0.93%0.006713+3.68%0.0079✓0.784,5222022-08-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063310.006275-0.88%0.00672+6.14%0.0440✗0.5148k2022-08-14
GTGateEthereum4.76024.7198-0.85%5.0549+6.19%0.0320✗0.76887k2022-08-14
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7510.74517-0.78%1.008+34.22%0.2415✗1.26963k2022-08-14
TRXTRONTron0.0696580.069202-0.65%0.070349+0.99%0.0131✓0.61279k2022-08-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017880.017774-0.59%0.01762-1.45%0.0459✓0.78175k2022-08-14
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.42e-73.41e-7-0.52%4.26e-7+24.32%0.1804✗0.88150k2022-08-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.8994.8748-0.49%5.1274+4.66%0.0420✗0.18234k2022-08-14
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1111.1084-0.23%0.932-16.11%0.2021✓0.602.1M2022-08-14
CBKCobakEthereum1.16571.1642-0.12%1.2058+3.45%0.0168✓1.0812k2022-08-14
GITCOINGITCOIN3.05573.0539-0.06%3.077+0.70%0.0634✓1.4813k2022-08-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0234910.023625+0.57%0.025582+8.90%0.0340✓0.9512k2022-08-14
BORABORAKlay Token0.358150.360547+0.67%0.36752+2.62%0.0408✗1.2513k2022-08-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.