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2022-08-06 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2282
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.68%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
69.7%
in alpha space · 24.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+6.51%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.610.0281-5.39%10.46-1.32%0.0467✓1.41358k2022-08-13
OPTIMOptimism1.9011.8095-4.81%1.542-18.88%0.2832✓1.953.1M2022-08-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.43230.41157-4.80%0.4375+1.20%0.0136✓1.1880k2022-08-13
ELAElastosEthereum2.2792.1719-4.70%2.107-7.55%0.1015✓1.13219k2022-08-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum31.7330.3104-4.47%40.15+26.54%0.1935✗1.39949k2022-08-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,723.9311,201.41-4.46%11,424.48-2.55%0.0718✓1.454.9M2022-08-13
FLOWFlownative2.572.4581-4.35%2.923+13.74%0.0932✗1.27466k2022-08-13
MOVRMoonriverBase18.505917.7067-4.32%17.0389-7.93%0.1096✓1.1353k2022-08-13
QNTQuantEthereum120.14115.0199-4.26%126.57+5.35%0.0342✓0.974.5M2022-08-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.6320.7322-4.15%21.34-1.34%0.0232✓0.832.6M2022-08-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.09451.0512-3.96%1.419+29.65%0.2276✗1.151.0M2022-08-13
METISMetisEthereum41.2339.6902-3.73%47.76+15.84%0.0674✗1.87293k2022-08-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3662.2866-3.36%2.328-1.61%0.0723✓1.43169k2022-08-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.26450.256091-3.18%0.2265-14.37%0.2052✓1.311,5612022-08-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.032.9347-3.15%3.24+6.93%0.0031✓1.52234k2022-08-13
PROPropyEthereum0.920.891496-3.10%0.82-10.87%0.1200✓0.5878k2022-08-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.2744.1449-3.02%3.972-7.07%0.1528✓1.755.2M2022-08-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.035250.034193-3.00%0.03126-11.32%0.1813✓1.4513.9M2022-08-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin9.4459.162-3.00%8.374-11.34%0.1555✓1.043.3M2022-08-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5490.533114-2.89%0.558+1.64%0.0266✓1.1516k2022-08-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.836.73-2.83%43.58+15.29%0.0813✗1.4213.0M2022-08-13
API3Api3Ethereum2.1192.0599-2.79%2.408+13.64%0.0758✗1.27619k2022-08-13
APEApeCoinEthereum7.2647.0652-2.74%6.66-8.31%0.1672✓1.7111.9M2022-08-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.44783.3543-2.71%3.4312-0.48%0.0326✓0.871.6M2022-08-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche26.6425.9449-2.61%29.19+9.57%0.0183✓1.5827.5M2022-08-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0710.069158-2.59%0.0716+0.85%0.0239✓0.93158k2022-08-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05470.053317-2.53%0.0554+1.28%0.0426✓1.28269k2022-08-13
COMPCompoundEthereum65.0563.4061-2.53%65.44+0.60%0.0574✓1.4138k2022-08-13
UNIUniswapEthereum8.788.5581-2.53%8.987+2.36%0.0389✓1.399.9M2022-08-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8020.781782-2.52%0.792-1.25%0.0793✓1.462,7912022-08-13
XEMNEMnative0.0518040.050503-2.51%0.054466+5.14%0.0001✓1.2037k2022-08-13
FTTFTXEthereum30.3929.6309-2.50%31.33+3.09%0.0044✓0.959.4M2022-08-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06470.063099-2.47%0.0714+10.36%0.0420✗1.29803k2022-08-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.37331.3395-2.46%1.4348+4.48%0.0279✓1.536.4M2022-08-13
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.56690.552996-2.45%0.5216-7.99%0.1418✓1.32234k2022-08-13
DODODODOEthereum0.18050.176081-2.45%0.1759-2.55%0.0792✓1.243.3M2022-08-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077790.075895-2.44%0.08281+6.45%0.0412✗0.739072022-08-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9931.9449-2.41%1.994+0.05%0.0633✓1.40253k2022-08-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21033.1333-2.40%3.4228+6.62%0.0405✗0.761.2M2022-08-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017090.001668-2.39%0.001748+2.28%0.0182✓1.039,0932022-08-13
STXStacksnative0.48450.473165-2.34%0.5095+5.16%0.0042✓1.24808k2022-08-13
BANDBandEthereum1.8281.7854-2.33%1.823-0.27%0.0697✓1.43371k2022-08-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.085850.083858-2.32%0.09698+12.96%0.0517✗1.481.1M2022-08-13
STEEMSteemnative0.25780.251837-2.31%0.2759+7.02%0.0171✓1.17768k2022-08-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.9316.5428-2.29%15.39-9.10%0.1611✓1.412.6M2022-08-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032650.031907-2.28%0.04514+38.25%0.2691✗1.2314k2022-08-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.034.9162-2.26%4.96-1.39%0.0354✓0.701.3M2022-08-13
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100020.000097775-2.24%0.00009674-3.28%0.1428✓2.10480k2022-08-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08690.08495-2.24%0.0916+5.41%0.0020✓1.16126k2022-08-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.9417.5394-2.23%19.24+7.25%0.0082✓1.341.3M2022-08-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9663.8789-2.20%4.065+2.50%0.0068✓0.85976k2022-08-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008850.008658-2.17%0.00886+0.11%0.0570✓1.27392k2022-08-13
ADACardanoCardano0.51140.500303-2.17%0.5598+9.46%0.0362✗1.2140.5M2022-08-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.5248.3419-2.14%9.31+9.22%0.0319✗1.2311.0M2022-08-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7947.6276-2.14%9.149+17.39%0.1023✗1.2616.9M2022-08-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.431.3995-2.13%1.485+3.85%0.0206✓1.272.5M2022-08-13
HIVEHivenative0.58410.571713-2.12%0.6334+8.44%0.0282✗1.182.1M2022-08-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.5835.4648-2.12%6.38+14.28%0.1221✗0.522.6M2022-08-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15840.155051-2.11%0.1717+8.40%0.0413✗0.963.6M2022-08-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6564.5582-2.10%4.814+3.39%0.0196✓0.551.3M2022-08-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.430780.421829-2.08%0.46097+7.01%0.0133✓1.20124k2022-08-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6780.664042-2.06%0.702+3.54%0.0326✓1.4090k2022-08-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1219030.11941-2.05%0.126836+4.05%0.0022✓0.997.0M2022-08-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13850.135698-2.02%0.1512+9.17%0.0286✗1.2661k2022-08-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2230.218503-2.02%0.235+5.38%0.0221✓1.50716k2022-08-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.4992-2.02%1.55+1.31%0.0149✓0.29242k2022-08-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.511.4799-1.99%1.54+1.99%0.0493✓1.411.2M2022-08-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98850.968906-1.98%1.0121+2.39%0.0624✓1.68296k2022-08-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8080.791984-1.98%0.872+7.92%0.0311✗1.03390k2022-08-13
XVGVergenative0.00370.003627-1.97%0.00389+5.14%0.0117✓1.30551k2022-08-13
DIADIAEthereum0.472490.463186-1.97%0.53395+13.01%0.0944✗0.7670k2022-08-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17430.170877-1.96%0.1908+9.47%0.0310✗1.26529k2022-08-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.33962.2936-1.96%2.4159+3.26%0.0246✓1.2137k2022-08-13
DASHDashDash52.5751.5406-1.96%57.07+8.56%0.0320✗1.11574k2022-08-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.63210.4238-1.96%11.906+11.98%0.0473✗1.3613.0M2022-08-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34920.342409-1.94%0.3686+5.56%0.0010✓1.158.2M2022-08-13
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002210.002168-1.90%0.002197-0.59%0.0498✓1.001.1M2022-08-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032410.00318-1.90%0.004633+42.95%0.3132✗1.001.0M2022-08-13
QTUMQtumQtum4.12754.0494-1.89%4.2917+3.98%0.0101✓1.0853k2022-08-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3390.332588-1.89%0.333-1.77%0.0637✓1.031.1M2022-08-13
C98Coin98Ethereum0.56940.558641-1.89%0.5584-1.93%0.0713✓1.1246k2022-08-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2858.1285-1.89%8.197-1.06%0.0693✓1.236.9M2022-08-13
KSMKusamaHydration66.4165.1569-1.89%61.18-7.88%0.1365✓1.16419k2022-08-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25860.253722-1.89%0.2745+6.15%0.0016✓1.2299k2022-08-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.14620.143448-1.88%0.1616+10.53%0.0512✗1.081.0M2022-08-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12780.125406-1.87%0.1441+12.75%0.0504✗1.402.9M2022-08-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45280.444325-1.87%0.462+2.03%0.0544✓1.48242k2022-08-13
XECeCashnative0.000044740.000043905-1.87%0.0000474+5.95%0.0030✓1.171.9M2022-08-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0158910.015595-1.86%0.01624+2.20%0.0165✓0.902.1M2022-08-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12980.127381-1.86%0.1341+3.31%0.0114✓1.004,7012022-08-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6982.6478-1.86%2.902+7.56%0.0193✓1.76118k2022-08-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.10841.0878-1.86%1.243+12.15%0.0677✗1.0413k2022-08-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0202380.019862-1.86%0.020481+1.20%0.0055✓0.40173k2022-08-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.762.7088-1.85%2.867+3.88%0.0339✓1.4447k2022-08-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8350.819548-1.85%0.917+9.82%0.0357✗1.21241k2022-08-13
ZENHorizenBase19.2718.9136-1.85%20.82+8.04%0.0099✓1.36118k2022-08-13
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.256479-1.84%0.261-0.11%0.0167✓0.0131k2022-08-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9613.8883-1.84%4.086+3.16%0.0060✓0.691.5M2022-08-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.321.2958-1.83%1.326+0.45%0.0553✓1.241.1M2022-08-13
UMAUMAEthereum3.0342.9784-1.83%3.746+23.47%0.1582✗1.13572k2022-08-13
SOLSolanaSolana40.0739.3439-1.81%46.63+16.37%0.0836✗1.3780.8M2022-08-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7690.755275-1.78%0.733-4.68%0.1228✓1.47135k2022-08-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0413.9689-1.78%4.099+1.44%0.0040✓0.571.9M2022-08-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0686410.067418-1.78%0.072906+6.21%0.0039✓1.181.6M2022-08-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011950.000011737-1.78%0.00001262+5.61%0.0059✓1.24934k2022-08-13
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.198360.194864-1.76%0.20197+1.82%0.1089✓2.291,1202022-08-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.11410.11209-1.76%0.1229+7.71%0.0125✓1.26505k2022-08-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16681.1465-1.74%1.1627-0.35%0.0401✓0.864.1M2022-08-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34110.33523-1.72%0.3595+5.39%0.0037✓1.173.6M2022-08-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.9230.907135-1.72%0.974+5.53%0.0422✓1.80469k2022-08-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.086090.084614-1.71%0.09127+6.02%0.0097✓1.3529k2022-08-13
XMRMoneroMonero160.51157.7588-1.71%168.13+4.75%0.0073✓1.121.1M2022-08-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.169290.166411-1.70%0.18116+7.01%0.0129✓1.55212k2022-08-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.691750.679989-1.70%0.72052+4.16%0.0375✓1.5178k2022-08-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.055230.054298-1.69%0.05467-1.01%0.0486✓0.8816k2022-08-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,221.9022,834.40-1.67%24,547.20+5.71%0.0106✓0.9812k2022-08-13
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.54e-7-1.66%0.00000102+5.15%0.0138✓0.846.1M2022-08-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.42460.4131-1.65%63.346+3.13%0.0056✓0.84321k2022-08-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,960.9322,586.06-1.63%24,456.49+6.51%0.0165✗1.00427.9M2022-08-13
FORTFortaEthereum0.3130.307899-1.63%0.3084-1.47%0.0676✓1.10300k2022-08-13
RADRadworksEthereum2.512.4692-1.63%2.66+5.98%0.0069✓1.07507k2022-08-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.412090.405399-1.62%0.41477+0.65%0.0639✓1.38507k2022-08-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.97582.928-1.61%2.999+0.78%0.0376✓0.981.2M2022-08-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011170.001099-1.60%0.001473+31.89%0.2144✗1.241.3M2022-08-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10140.099793-1.59%0.1028+1.38%0.0463✓1.205,6912022-08-13
SCSiacoinnative0.004680.004606-1.57%0.00504+7.69%0.0073✓1.31112k2022-08-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046510.045781-1.57%0.04922+5.83%0.0134✓0.932,3002022-08-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12120.119308-1.56%0.1296+6.93%0.0145✓1.08370k2022-08-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04440.043708-1.56%0.0442-0.45%0.0667✓1.2376k2022-08-13
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21550.212202-1.53%0.2195+1.86%0.0555✓1.421,2762022-08-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.55891.5354-1.50%1.7029+9.24%0.0160✗1.39619k2022-08-13
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12911.1122-1.49%1.138+0.79%0.0637✓1.371.5M2022-08-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.6311.4575-1.48%12.18+4.73%0.0151✓1.21290k2022-08-13
MANADecentralandEthereum1.04721.0317-1.48%1.0614+1.35%0.0543✓1.31532k2022-08-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.655.5671-1.47%5.4-4.42%0.0688✓0.611.5M2022-08-13
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031370.03091-1.47%0.03326+6.02%0.0083✓1.291,3502022-08-13
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.13.0547-1.46%3.03-2.26%0.0398✓0.50116k2022-08-13
XTZTezosTezos1.87771.8504-1.45%1.9104+1.74%0.0489✓1.28530k2022-08-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05050.049778-1.43%0.0501-0.79%0.0751✓1.2910k2022-08-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.43530.429081-1.43%0.4939+13.46%0.0577✗1.31134k2022-08-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010060.009916-1.43%0.01031+2.49%0.0168✓0.885.2M2022-08-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.888.7537-1.42%8.81-0.79%0.0237✓0.481.8M2022-08-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.831.804-1.42%1.85+1.09%0.0585✓1.33129k2022-08-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6520.642772-1.42%0.6271-3.82%0.0977✓1.16755k2022-08-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.8459.9864-1.40%63.86+4.96%0.0111✓1.1713.5M2022-08-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8710.858918-1.39%0.912+4.71%0.0501✓1.744.4M2022-08-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.316260.311877-1.39%0.3817+20.69%0.1318✗1.11366k2022-08-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.27080.267122-1.36%0.2886+6.57%0.0075✓1.1165k2022-08-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,690.811,667.98-1.35%1,984.75+17.38%0.0927✗1.29407.7M2022-08-13
NANOnanopayBase1.04631.0322-1.35%1.0828+3.48%0.0116✓0.9458k2022-08-13
XVSVenusEthereum6.626.5312-1.34%6.65+0.45%0.0691✓1.381.4M2022-08-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07740.076362-1.34%0.1176+51.94%0.3857✗0.73159k2022-08-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.57290.565263-1.33%0.6153+7.40%0.0123✓1.15318k2022-08-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.116.0295-1.32%6.06-0.82%0.0373✓0.67754k2022-08-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3534720.34886-1.30%0.387693+9.68%0.0255✗1.271.0M2022-08-13
AAVEAaveEthereum99.0897.7975-1.29%110.5+11.53%0.0172✗1.6610.0M2022-08-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.755.6764-1.28%6.12+6.43%0.0380✗0.59878k2022-08-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23530.232311-1.27%0.2699+14.70%0.0572✗1.4789k2022-08-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023020.022731-1.26%0.02741+19.07%0.1234✗1.01159k2022-08-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.008340.008236-1.25%0.00828-0.72%0.0523✓0.911.6M2022-08-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.06040.059656-1.23%0.0784+29.80%0.1843✗1.41350k2022-08-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash141.34139.6681-1.18%144.43+2.19%0.0427✓1.214.7M2022-08-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.452.4214-1.17%4.135+68.78%0.4788✗0.8992k2022-08-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.06010.059418-1.13%0.0672+11.81%0.0351✗1.39179k2022-08-13
XYMSymbolnative0.054630.054015-1.13%0.056988+4.32%0.0178✗0.5725k2022-08-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.16260.160815-1.10%0.1743+7.20%0.0019✓1.25102k2022-08-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.19371.1807-1.09%1.2916+8.20%0.0232✗1.0543k2022-08-13
KCSKuCoinnative10.50110.3881-1.08%10.697+1.87%0.0403✓1.102.0M2022-08-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064590.006393-1.02%0.006824+5.65%0.0341✗0.4944k2022-08-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07440.073643-1.02%0.0823+10.62%0.0417✗1.101.1M2022-08-13
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.60e-7-0.99%0.00000101+4.12%0.0051✓0.7225k2022-08-13
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.08640.085585-0.94%0.08755+1.33%0.0055✓0.271.1M2022-08-13
ZECZcashZcash67.6567.0138-0.94%76.21+12.65%0.0486✗1.271.7M2022-08-13
GTGateEthereum4.77754.7341-0.91%5.1095+6.95%0.0290✗0.75908k2022-08-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063240.006269-0.88%0.006994+10.59%0.0551✗0.864,5222022-08-13
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1781.1688-0.78%0.991-15.87%0.2051✓0.632.1M2022-08-13
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7490.743462-0.74%1.038+38.58%0.2567✗1.22963k2022-08-13
TRXTRONTron0.069510.069056-0.65%0.069903+0.57%0.0326✓0.71327k2022-08-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.954.9224-0.56%4.8922-1.17%0.0171✓0.17228k2022-08-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017710.017613-0.55%0.01788+0.96%0.0370✓0.83176k2022-08-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.37e-73.35e-7-0.47%3.22e-7-4.51%0.1025✓0.97153k2022-08-13
CBKCobakEthereum1.15881.1611+0.20%1.2311+6.24%0.0108✗1.1012k2022-08-13
GITCOINGITCOIN3.00293.0105+0.25%3.2141+7.03%0.0330✗1.5613k2022-08-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0232040.023359+0.67%0.025853+11.42%0.0409✓0.9612k2022-08-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.360270.363331+0.85%0.37115+3.02%0.0601✗1.2913k2022-08-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.