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2022-08-04 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2372
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.85%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
53.5%
in alpha space · 17.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+5.84%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
METISMetisEthereum46.0142.5794-7.46%44.8-2.63%0.0525✓1.82266k2022-08-11
FLOWFlownative2.62.4304-6.52%2.971+14.27%0.1293✗1.26448k2022-08-11
OPTIMOptimism1.9181.814-5.42%1.558-18.77%0.2640✓1.972.8M2022-08-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.28.7362-5.04%10.3+11.96%0.0860✗1.39334k2022-08-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.6220.6985-4.26%21.14-2.22%0.0268✓0.842.4M2022-08-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.9926.9355-3.77%36.12+29.05%0.2164✗1.36946k2022-08-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,646.8210,251.21-3.72%11,294.44+6.08%0.0161✓1.424.5M2022-08-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03390.995899-3.68%1.4845+43.58%0.3340✗1.151.0M2022-08-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.123.0165-3.32%3.13+0.32%0.0492✓1.52211k2022-08-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5580.539971-3.23%0.551-1.25%0.0447✓1.1414k2022-08-11
QNTQuantEthereum103.74100.3982-3.22%124.47+19.98%0.1588✗0.994.2M2022-08-11
API3Api3Ethereum2.2232.1533-3.13%2.184-1.75%0.0579✓1.27626k2022-08-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2522.1822-3.10%2.326+3.29%0.0150✓1.39172k2022-08-11
APEApeCoinEthereum7.4377.2168-2.96%6.929-6.83%0.1390✓1.7313.1M2022-08-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.57760.561077-2.86%0.5389-6.70%0.1184✓1.38234k2022-08-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.56770.55172-2.81%0.5522-2.73%0.0624✓1.1146k2022-08-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034970.034001-2.77%0.03161-9.61%0.1547✓1.4413.9M2022-08-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.37213.2822-2.67%3.3972+0.74%0.0161✓0.891.4M2022-08-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0630.061419-2.51%0.0749+18.89%0.1256✗1.28802k2022-08-11
UNIUniswapEthereum8.8198.5986-2.50%8.964+1.64%0.0374✓1.399.9M2022-08-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.18531.1559-2.48%1.127-4.92%0.0747✓0.874.1M2022-08-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7860.766648-2.46%0.769-2.16%0.0795✓1.463,1392022-08-11
XEMNEMnative0.050210.048998-2.41%0.053086+5.73%0.0122✓1.2035k2022-08-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032310.031536-2.40%0.05195+60.79%0.4293✗1.2314k2022-08-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05370.052414-2.40%0.0549+2.23%0.0263✓1.28284k2022-08-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016570.001618-2.35%0.001703+2.78%0.0074✓1.039,0682022-08-11
ORCAOrcaSolana1.01920.995268-2.35%1.0027-1.62%0.0898✓1.71241k2022-08-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06670.065145-2.33%0.0718+7.65%0.0440✗0.94183k2022-08-11
DODODODOEthereum0.17290.168876-2.33%0.1775+2.66%0.0195✓1.223.5M2022-08-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0090.008791-2.32%0.00871-3.22%0.0819✓1.28387k2022-08-11
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099250.00009696-2.31%0.00009727-1.99%0.1126✓2.04516k2022-08-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.14163.0694-2.30%3.2004+1.87%0.0015✓0.761.1M2022-08-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9823.8909-2.29%4.091+2.74%0.0016✓0.86922k2022-08-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3290.321491-2.28%0.4285+30.24%0.2234✗1.1377k2022-08-11
STEEMSteemnative0.25220.246445-2.28%0.2695+6.86%0.0235✗1.16768k2022-08-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.834.0184-2.25%42.06+20.86%0.1325✗1.4011.4M2022-08-11
BANDBandEthereum1.7551.7157-2.24%1.767+0.68%0.0517✓1.43341k2022-08-11
FTTFTXEthereum29.1428.4975-2.20%30.52+4.74%0.0147✓0.9510.0M2022-08-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08540.083527-2.19%0.0916+7.26%0.0270✗1.15126k2022-08-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.7773.6944-2.19%4.038+6.91%0.0099✓1.745.0M2022-08-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.32861.2996-2.18%1.3595+2.33%0.0397✓1.495.6M2022-08-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9671.9242-2.17%2.005+1.93%0.0390✓1.41266k2022-08-11
ELAElastosEthereum1.8141.7747-2.17%2.089+15.16%0.1272✗0.63206k2022-08-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6860.671147-2.17%0.691+0.73%0.0501✓1.4088k2022-08-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6164.5164-2.16%4.683+1.45%0.0043✓0.561.4M2022-08-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.7517.3679-2.15%18.45+3.94%0.0137✓1.311.3M2022-08-11
XVGVergenative0.003770.003689-2.14%0.00393+4.24%0.0103✓1.30551k2022-08-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3991.3693-2.12%1.456+4.07%0.0110✓1.282.6M2022-08-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5466-2.11%1.52-3.80%0.0342✓0.30242k2022-08-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.255595-2.11%0.2613+0.08%0.0214✗0.0129k2022-08-11
HIVEHivenative0.58130.569288-2.07%0.6302+8.41%0.0344✗1.181.8M2022-08-11
ADACardanoCardano0.49970.48938-2.07%0.5306+6.18%0.0126✓1.2040.5M2022-08-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7990.782578-2.06%0.864+8.14%0.0411✗1.02377k2022-08-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0205250.020111-2.02%0.019255-6.19%0.0673✓0.42167k2022-08-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.3722.9003-2.01%28.54+22.12%0.1305✗1.5826.1M2022-08-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.419540.411139-2.00%0.40616-3.19%0.0904✓1.38583k2022-08-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2180.213656-1.99%0.228+4.59%0.0208✓1.51782k2022-08-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.14470.141833-1.98%0.1497+3.46%0.0075✓1.08907k2022-08-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08090.07931-1.97%0.09833+21.55%0.1306✗1.49871k2022-08-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0927.9345-1.95%8.347+3.15%0.0086✓1.042.5M2022-08-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16420.161014-1.94%0.1949+18.70%0.1205✗1.24518k2022-08-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.8615.5546-1.93%15.6-1.64%0.0768✓1.412.5M2022-08-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.3647.2249-1.89%8.96+21.67%0.1443✗1.2516.9M2022-08-11
DIADIAEthereum0.457070.448528-1.87%0.47814+4.61%0.0206✗0.7668k2022-08-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.471.4427-1.86%1.54+4.76%0.0147✓1.411.2M2022-08-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12690.124544-1.86%0.134+5.59%0.0166✓1.004,7012022-08-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0927.9436-1.83%9.201+13.70%0.0777✗1.2211.0M2022-08-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.91752.8641-1.83%2.9337+0.56%0.0316✓0.981.2M2022-08-11
STXStacksnative0.47370.465053-1.83%0.5032+6.23%0.0085✓1.24808k2022-08-11
UMAUMAEthereum2.9822.9279-1.81%3.021+1.31%0.0322✓1.12591k2022-08-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.35910.1717-1.81%11.749+13.42%0.0673✗1.3513.7M2022-08-11
COMPCompoundEthereum5654.9969-1.79%63.11+12.70%0.0587✗1.3935k2022-08-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13470.132298-1.78%0.1474+9.43%0.0360✗1.2761k2022-08-11
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021890.00215-1.78%0.002212+1.05%0.0283✓1.001.4M2022-08-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.21750.213626-1.78%0.2554+17.43%0.1044✗1.311,5612022-08-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011850.000011639-1.78%0.00001233+4.05%0.0131✓1.25951k2022-08-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.086150.084617-1.78%0.08708+1.08%0.0487✓1.3629k2022-08-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.1565.0644-1.78%6.256+21.33%0.1814✗0.532.4M2022-08-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2971.2741-1.77%1.324+2.08%0.0320✓1.241.1M2022-08-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.404330.397203-1.76%0.4605+13.89%0.0803✗1.19107k2022-08-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1139210.111918-1.76%0.125283+9.97%0.0566✗0.996.9M2022-08-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33610.330211-1.75%0.3613+7.50%0.0258✗1.138.2M2022-08-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.18992.1521-1.73%2.3938+9.31%0.0384✗1.2032k2022-08-11
XECeCashnative0.000042940.000042201-1.72%0.00004644+8.15%0.0301✗1.161.9M2022-08-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188870.18562-1.72%0.1952+3.35%0.0809✓2.311,1512022-08-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24850.244283-1.70%0.2705+8.85%0.0326✗1.22101k2022-08-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7282.6819-1.69%2.849+4.44%0.0207✓1.4349k2022-08-11
XMRMoneroMonero159.25156.5955-1.67%160.49+0.78%0.0383✓1.111.2M2022-08-11
MOVRMoonriverBase14.635914.392-1.67%17.0874+16.75%0.1065✗1.1558k2022-08-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3330.327455-1.67%0.321-3.60%0.0788✓1.041.1M2022-08-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5962.5529-1.66%2.875+10.75%0.0194✗1.75109k2022-08-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0673530.066254-1.63%0.070882+5.24%0.0010✓1.171.7M2022-08-11
DASHDashDash49.448.5956-1.63%55.61+12.57%0.0726✗1.10574k2022-08-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.076930.075682-1.62%0.08332+8.31%0.0546✗0.739772022-08-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43880.431683-1.62%0.4591+4.63%0.0223✓1.48278k2022-08-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030690.003019-1.62%0.004951+61.32%0.4383✗0.991.0M2022-08-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.987.8509-1.62%8.186+2.58%0.0275✓1.227.0M2022-08-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.26959.3116-1.59%61.928+2.75%0.0041✓0.83321k2022-08-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.665910.655335-1.59%0.7242+8.75%0.0142✓1.5188k2022-08-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13920.137002-1.58%0.1646+18.25%0.1297✗0.953.6M2022-08-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.10960.107881-1.57%0.1215+10.86%0.0477✗1.25505k2022-08-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8443.7839-1.56%4.034+4.94%0.0309✗0.581.9M2022-08-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.9090.894831-1.56%0.967+6.38%0.0225✓1.76496k2022-08-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.834.7548-1.56%4.8-0.62%0.0303✓0.701.3M2022-08-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8460.832885-1.55%0.889+5.08%0.0335✓1.744.6M2022-08-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33060.32549-1.55%0.3493+5.66%0.0045✓1.173.5M2022-08-11
QTUMQtumQtum3.95923.8981-1.54%4.2149+6.46%0.0165✗1.0945k2022-08-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0155950.015355-1.54%0.015949+2.27%0.0127✓0.892.1M2022-08-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12020.118351-1.54%0.1425+18.55%0.1079✗1.372.9M2022-08-11
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12731.1102-1.52%1.1274+0.01%0.0623✓1.371.4M2022-08-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.3020.297441-1.51%0.3078+1.92%0.0290✓1.11300k2022-08-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010890.001072-1.51%0.001521+39.72%0.2792✗1.241.3M2022-08-11
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.46e-7-1.51%0.00000101+5.21%0.0184✗0.846.4M2022-08-11
SOLSolanaSolana38.8238.2357-1.51%42.8+10.25%0.0352✗1.3781.1M2022-08-11
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.093.0439-1.49%2.93-5.18%0.0662✓0.49109k2022-08-11
SCSiacoinnative0.004540.004473-1.48%0.00517+13.88%0.0707✗1.31112k2022-08-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,623.9422,289.60-1.48%23,944.86+5.84%0.0149✓1.00427.9M2022-08-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04210.041482-1.47%0.0439+4.28%0.0129✓1.2376k2022-08-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09750.096076-1.46%0.0988+1.33%0.0403✓1.207,1482022-08-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7270.716443-1.45%0.74+1.79%0.0511✓1.47121k2022-08-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7820.77076-1.44%0.924+18.16%0.1130✗1.20225k2022-08-11
ZENHorizenBase17.3217.0731-1.43%21.63+24.88%0.1581✗1.38116k2022-08-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030380.029947-1.42%0.03187+4.90%0.0117✓1.301,4012022-08-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0710.9125-1.42%11.8+6.59%0.0101✓1.20263k2022-08-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.160.157731-1.42%0.17809+11.31%0.0344✗1.53212k2022-08-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11680.115174-1.39%0.1263+8.13%0.0312✗1.08370k2022-08-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043860.043253-1.38%0.04793+9.28%0.0494✗0.942,0262022-08-11
KSMKusamaHydration61.1260.2793-1.38%60.91-0.34%0.0562✓1.17379k2022-08-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2141.1977-1.34%0.993-18.20%0.2243✓0.651.9M2022-08-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009790.009659-1.34%0.01006+2.76%0.0093✓0.885.1M2022-08-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,495.2022,196.26-1.33%24,153.10+7.37%0.0289✗0.9813k2022-08-11
XTZTezosTezos1.82491.8009-1.31%1.9022+4.24%0.0173✓1.27530k2022-08-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.5021.4824-1.30%1.6643+10.81%0.0364✗1.40594k2022-08-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.71.6786-1.26%1.91+12.35%0.0543✗1.32122k2022-08-11
XVSVenusEthereum6.436.3492-1.26%6.61+2.80%0.0386✓1.391.2M2022-08-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.833.7819-1.26%4.044+5.59%0.0276✗0.691.5M2022-08-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.6558.9043-1.25%61.89+3.76%0.0161✓1.1513.6M2022-08-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00670.006616-1.25%0.006698-0.03%0.0169✓0.5140k2022-08-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19950.197024-1.24%0.2226+11.58%0.0428✗1.401,2762022-08-11
AAVEAaveEthereum96.3495.1536-1.23%107.55+11.64%0.0285✗1.6610.2M2022-08-11
MANADecentralandEthereum0.992450.980251-1.23%1.0527+6.07%0.0024✓1.30532k2022-08-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04820.047612-1.22%0.0488+1.24%0.0492✓1.307,5232022-08-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.313380.309595-1.21%0.38689+23.46%0.1591✗1.12396k2022-08-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.05930.058584-1.21%0.0621+4.72%0.0208✓1.39172k2022-08-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,608.161,588.78-1.20%1,881.04+16.97%0.0964✗1.28407.7M2022-08-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41620.411314-1.17%0.458+10.04%0.0329✗1.31127k2022-08-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4152.3869-1.16%3.611+49.52%0.3634✗0.89110k2022-08-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.008220.008125-1.16%0.00834+1.46%0.0251✓0.901.6M2022-08-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05051.0384-1.15%1.2255+16.66%0.1062✗1.0513k2022-08-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07310.072264-1.14%0.1304+78.39%0.5489✗0.73159k2022-08-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.06160.0609-1.14%0.078+26.62%0.1664✗1.43350k2022-08-11
NANOnanopayBase1.01511.0036-1.13%1.0862+7.00%0.0256✗0.9460k2022-08-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.26060.257649-1.13%0.3041+16.69%0.1026✗1.1165k2022-08-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54540.539321-1.11%0.5937+8.86%0.0316✗1.14333k2022-08-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.482.4532-1.08%2.58+4.03%0.0107✓1.08507k2022-08-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.545.4808-1.07%5.8+4.69%0.0231✗0.59873k2022-08-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3402110.336578-1.07%0.376118+10.55%0.0390✗1.271.0M2022-08-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.59650.590143-1.07%0.6487+8.75%0.0298✗1.14690k2022-08-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22630.223918-1.05%0.2297+1.50%0.0577✓1.4787k2022-08-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0542640.053703-1.03%0.057169+5.35%0.0297✗0.5825k2022-08-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.15021.1389-0.98%1.2591+9.48%0.0407✗1.0543k2022-08-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.595.536-0.97%5.28-5.55%0.0821✓0.611.4M2022-08-11
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.50e-79.41e-7-0.92%0.00000102+7.37%0.0236✗1.0025k2022-08-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.825.7672-0.91%5.91+1.55%0.0139✓0.68746k2022-08-11
KCSKuCoinnative10.0359.9442-0.91%10.512+4.75%0.0071✓1.102.0M2022-08-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash134.34133.1474-0.89%142.98+6.43%0.0033✓1.204.6M2022-08-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.56e-73.53e-7-0.84%3.27e-7-8.29%0.1341✓0.99164k2022-08-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.15610.154867-0.79%0.1701+8.97%0.0240✗1.23107k2022-08-11
PROPropyEthereum0.740.7342-0.78%0.85+14.86%0.1125✗0.6079k2022-08-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061460.006098-0.78%0.006618+7.67%0.0337✗0.857,1222022-08-11
ZECZcashZcash64.3863.9001-0.75%79.26+23.11%0.1445✗1.251.6M2022-08-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum54.9639-0.72%4.7078-5.84%0.0629✓0.17219k2022-08-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021130.02098-0.71%0.02718+28.63%0.2013✗1.02159k2022-08-11
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7380.73275-0.71%0.911+23.44%0.1489✗1.21968k2022-08-11
GTGateEthereum4.554.5197-0.67%4.9372+8.51%0.0460✗0.75920k2022-08-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.6982-0.59%8.57-2.06%0.0425✓0.491.8M2022-08-11
TRXTRONTron0.0689810.068586-0.57%0.070371+2.02%0.0137✓0.69345k2022-08-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017580.017493-0.49%0.01787+1.65%0.0253✓0.82193k2022-08-11
GITCOINGITCOIN3.18543.1736-0.37%3.1366-1.53%0.1004✓1.5612k2022-08-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04910.048919-0.37%0.05344+8.84%0.0381✗0.8915k2022-08-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07330.073136-0.22%0.0819+11.73%0.0504✗1.111.1M2022-08-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085410.08526-0.18%0.08746+2.40%0.0101✗0.271.1M2022-08-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0224480.022619+0.76%0.024997+11.36%0.0453✓0.9611k2022-08-11
CBKCobakEthereum1.11291.1222+0.84%1.1706+5.18%0.0205✗1.1111k2022-08-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.362810.366553+1.03%0.36776+1.36%0.0707✗1.3013k2022-08-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.