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2022-08-03 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2029
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.36%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
37.8%
in alpha space · 15.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+4.98%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.739.8485-8.22%10.61-1.12%0.0073✓1.38334k2022-08-10
OPTIMOptimism1.9931.8727-6.03%1.569-21.27%0.2728✓1.972.4M2022-08-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.9820.9299-4.78%21.15-3.78%0.0308✓0.852.2M2022-08-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,725.0410,309.01-3.88%11,510.60+7.32%0.0410✗1.424.4M2022-08-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.6426.6253-3.67%38.68+39.94%0.3075✗1.36773k2022-08-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.01780.980946-3.62%1.4709+44.52%0.3493✗1.151.1M2022-08-10
QNTQuantEthereum105.18101.64-3.37%126.64+20.40%0.1718✗0.994.2M2022-08-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.037490.036286-3.21%0.03296-12.08%0.1661✓1.4413.9M2022-08-10
METISMetisEthereum35.334.206-3.10%47.24+33.82%0.2295✗1.92251k2022-08-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2462.1809-2.90%2.452+9.17%0.0499✗1.38177k2022-08-10
APEApeCoinEthereum7.1686.97-2.76%7.116-0.73%0.0636✓1.7312.2M2022-08-10
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5170.502977-2.71%0.532+2.90%0.0003✓1.1513k2022-08-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.0635.0927-2.68%38.83+7.68%0.0329✗1.409.4M2022-08-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.26543.1802-2.61%3.2108-1.67%0.0275✓0.761.1M2022-08-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.35773.2712-2.58%3.3964+1.15%0.0056✓0.891.3M2022-08-10
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00270.976921-2.57%0.9791-2.35%0.0812✓1.72211k2022-08-10
UNIUniswapEthereum8.9078.6792-2.56%9.22+3.51%0.0071✓1.399.8M2022-08-10
API3Api3Ethereum1.9971.9461-2.55%2.075+3.91%0.0023✓1.27626k2022-08-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.812.7397-2.50%3.04+8.19%0.0302✗1.52198k2022-08-10
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0241.9739-2.48%2.049+1.24%0.0312✓1.41255k2022-08-10
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54110.527992-2.42%0.537-0.76%0.0513✓1.40222k2022-08-10
HIVEHivenative0.5960.581578-2.42%0.6261+5.05%0.0163✓1.181.5M2022-08-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017040.001663-2.39%0.001757+3.11%0.0047✓1.039,4962022-08-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.4416.0467-2.39%16.17-1.64%0.0607✓1.412.3M2022-08-10
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.780.761389-2.39%0.79+1.28%0.0338✓1.453,6872022-08-10
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06820.066585-2.37%0.0739+8.36%0.0586✗0.94229k2022-08-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05460.053312-2.36%0.0548+0.37%0.0347✓1.28284k2022-08-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0877.9033-2.27%8.306+2.71%0.0011✓1.042.4M2022-08-10
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099970.000097707-2.26%0.00009856-1.41%0.0904✓2.04536k2022-08-10
DODODODOEthereum0.17080.167025-2.21%0.1819+6.50%0.0260✗1.223.5M2022-08-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.436.2885-2.20%5.43-15.55%0.1764✓0.611.4M2022-08-10
STEEMSteemnative0.24950.244018-2.20%0.266+6.61%0.0296✗1.17768k2022-08-10
XEMNEMnative0.0492910.048215-2.18%0.052134+5.77%0.0200✓1.2035k2022-08-10
ELAElastosEthereum1.7991.7601-2.16%2.108+17.18%0.1495✗0.64189k2022-08-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08610.084251-2.15%0.0919+6.74%0.0310✗1.15128k2022-08-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3341.3054-2.15%1.3894+4.15%0.0104✓1.506.4M2022-08-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.405920.397253-2.14%0.41642+2.59%0.0200✓1.38583k2022-08-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05850.057277-2.09%0.0686+17.26%0.1180✗1.28799k2022-08-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9053.8239-2.08%4.198+7.50%0.0517✗0.86922k2022-08-10
FTTFTXEthereum29.128.4998-2.06%31.37+7.80%0.0498✗0.9510.8M2022-08-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.713.6337-2.06%4.199+13.18%0.0600✗1.745.0M2022-08-10
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.081210.07954-2.06%0.10427+28.40%0.1984✗1.49786k2022-08-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4784.3877-2.02%4.752+6.12%0.0523✗0.561.3M2022-08-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008680.008507-2.00%0.00896+3.23%0.0103✓1.28375k2022-08-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3591.3321-1.98%1.444+6.25%0.0185✓1.282.5M2022-08-10
BANDBandEthereum1.6891.6556-1.98%1.849+9.47%0.0409✗1.43341k2022-08-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031270.030654-1.97%0.03518+12.50%0.0777✗1.2314k2022-08-10
XVGVergenative0.003730.003657-1.96%0.00383+2.68%0.0167✓1.29551k2022-08-10
ADACardanoCardano0.50090.491308-1.91%0.5376+7.33%0.0316✗1.2041.9M2022-08-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087710.08604-1.90%0.08743-0.32%0.0503✓1.3629k2022-08-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199490.019578-1.86%0.020275+1.63%0.0145✓0.42165k2022-08-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15880.155848-1.86%0.1861+17.19%0.1170✗1.24508k2022-08-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.0422.6125-1.86%29.18+26.65%0.1781✗1.5827.5M2022-08-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12880.12643-1.84%0.1324+2.80%0.0023✓1.004,9522022-08-10
DIADIAEthereum0.465640.457097-1.83%0.48951+5.13%0.0313✗0.7668k2022-08-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6330.621402-1.83%0.697+10.11%0.0468✗1.4088k2022-08-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7670.753224-1.80%0.883+15.12%0.1095✗1.02377k2022-08-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.1716.8634-1.79%18.55+8.04%0.0318✗1.311.3M2022-08-10
COMPCompoundEthereum55.7654.7664-1.78%65.2+16.93%0.1068✗1.3934k2022-08-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2130.209222-1.77%0.229+7.51%0.0168✓1.51786k2022-08-10
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022550.002215-1.77%0.002157-4.35%0.0752✓1.001.5M2022-08-10
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31820.312591-1.76%0.4951+55.59%0.4050✗1.1377k2022-08-10
FORTFortaEthereum0.31830.31269-1.76%0.3078-3.30%0.0697✓1.11294k2022-08-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.084.9905-1.76%4.92-3.15%0.0483✓0.701.3M2022-08-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.2857.1587-1.73%9.062+24.39%0.1749✗1.2518.3M2022-08-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011830.000011625-1.73%0.0000124+4.82%0.0039✓1.25986k2022-08-10
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.4938-1.72%1.52+0.00%0.0026✓0.30221k2022-08-10
SUSHISushiEthereum1.431.4055-1.71%1.58+10.49%0.0485✗1.411.1M2022-08-10
UMAUMAEthereum2.9642.914-1.69%3.098+4.52%0.0071✓1.11597k2022-08-10
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6722.627-1.68%2.928+9.58%0.0233✗1.75109k2022-08-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14480.142394-1.66%0.1704+17.68%0.1335✗0.953.6M2022-08-10
XLMStellarStellar0.1141840.112294-1.66%0.125982+10.33%0.0669✗0.997.0M2022-08-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031410.003089-1.65%0.003961+26.11%0.2006✗0.991.0M2022-08-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.1659.9974-1.65%11.986+17.91%0.1155✗1.3514.4M2022-08-10
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.256903-1.64%0.2616+0.15%0.0176✗0.0129k2022-08-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0037.8722-1.63%9.529+19.07%0.1317✗1.2211.0M2022-08-10
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.84852.8032-1.59%2.9592+3.89%0.0064✓0.981.2M2022-08-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9814.9025-1.58%6.395+28.39%0.2401✗0.532.2M2022-08-10
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078280.077047-1.58%0.08525+8.90%0.0656✗0.731,0202022-08-10
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13490.132787-1.57%0.1428+5.86%0.0110✓1.2761k2022-08-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.559.4019-1.55%8.75-8.38%0.0955✓0.491.7M2022-08-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.394220.388188-1.53%0.46429+17.77%0.1211✗1.19118k2022-08-10
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2591.2398-1.53%1.348+7.07%0.0232✗1.241.2M2022-08-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24610.242346-1.53%0.2649+7.64%0.0296✗1.22110k2022-08-10
XECeCashnative0.000042440.000041793-1.53%0.00004643+9.40%0.0490✗1.161.9M2022-08-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43990.433201-1.52%0.4553+3.50%0.0221✓1.48278k2022-08-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32670.321725-1.52%0.3644+11.54%0.0699✗1.138.1M2022-08-10
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188040.185181-1.52%0.19756+5.06%0.0478✓2.311,1512022-08-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.11090.109226-1.51%0.1219+9.92%0.0489✗1.25505k2022-08-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,844.1022,501.45-1.50%23,919.30+4.71%0.0135✓0.9814k2022-08-10
WOOWOOEthereum0.2070.203902-1.50%0.2472+19.42%0.1291✗1.311,6972022-08-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.17592.1434-1.49%2.3862+9.66%0.0489✗1.2032k2022-08-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3320.327043-1.49%0.34+2.41%0.0116✓1.041.1M2022-08-10
MOVRMoonriverBase14.622114.4039-1.49%17.7+21.05%0.1502✗1.1563k2022-08-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.13380.131807-1.49%0.1532+14.50%0.0976✗1.09779k2022-08-10
XMRMoneroMonero157.11154.7699-1.49%167.53+6.63%0.0256✗1.101.2M2022-08-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.31159.417-1.48%62.292+3.28%0.0067✓0.83330k2022-08-10
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.173.123-1.48%3.02-4.73%0.0575✓0.49102k2022-08-10
STXStacksnative0.46630.459435-1.47%0.4979+6.78%0.0201✗1.24892k2022-08-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010870.001071-1.46%0.001521+39.94%0.2906✗1.241.3M2022-08-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8160.80405-1.46%0.88+7.84%0.0057✓1.744.8M2022-08-10
GMTGMTEthereum0.9050.891748-1.46%0.98+8.29%0.0084✓1.77513k2022-08-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8263.77-1.46%4.079+6.61%0.0502✗0.591.9M2022-08-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03431.0193-1.45%1.1615+12.30%0.0880✗0.883.9M2022-08-10
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.03080.030356-1.44%0.03249+5.49%0.0047✓1.301,3502022-08-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,825.0022,496.86-1.44%23,962.18+4.98%0.0145✗1.00427.9M2022-08-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.06620.065252-1.43%0.071244+7.62%0.0309✗1.171.7M2022-08-10
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.6952.6566-1.42%2.856+5.97%0.0029✓1.4349k2022-08-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.163040.160734-1.41%0.17975+10.25%0.0372✗1.53212k2022-08-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.8617.7499-1.41%8.348+6.20%0.0150✗1.227.0M2022-08-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.040717-1.41%0.0441+6.78%0.0202✗1.2376k2022-08-10
DASHDashDash48.7748.0831-1.41%54.6+11.95%0.0738✗1.10574k2022-08-10
SCSiacoinnative0.004560.004496-1.40%0.00485+6.36%0.0122✓1.31112k2022-08-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.825.7393-1.39%5.68-2.41%0.0391✓0.59873k2022-08-10
IMXImmutableEthereum1.08341.0685-1.38%1.133+4.58%0.0081✓1.371.4M2022-08-10
STORJStorjEthereum0.648990.640087-1.37%0.71796+10.63%0.0413✗1.5188k2022-08-10
SOLSolanaSolana38.5538.0253-1.36%42.5+10.25%0.0448✗1.3781.8M2022-08-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0157850.01557-1.36%0.015766-0.12%0.0310✓0.892.1M2022-08-10
MINAMina Protocolnative0.790.779278-1.36%0.976+23.54%0.1667✗1.20225k2022-08-10
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.47e-7-1.35%0.00000101+5.21%0.0237✗0.846.4M2022-08-10
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09720.095921-1.32%0.1008+3.70%0.0089✓1.206,5342022-08-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.320.315804-1.31%0.3479+8.72%0.0401✗1.173.5M2022-08-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.8210.6803-1.29%12.16+12.38%0.0715✗1.20259k2022-08-10
ZENHorizenBase17.1516.9324-1.27%21.93+27.87%0.1919✗1.37116k2022-08-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1180.116509-1.26%0.1462+23.90%0.1603✗1.372.9M2022-08-10
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1251.1109-1.25%1.046-7.02%0.0919✓0.651.8M2022-08-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9783.9284-1.25%4.046+1.71%0.0043✓0.691.5M2022-08-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009760.009639-1.24%0.01031+5.64%0.0245✗0.885.0M2022-08-10
FLOWFlownative1.841.8172-1.24%3.057+66.14%0.4580✗1.28430k2022-08-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043450.042917-1.23%0.04665+7.36%0.0377✗0.942,3002022-08-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066980.006617-1.20%0.006078-9.26%0.1101✓0.5239k2022-08-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1160.114605-1.20%0.1265+9.05%0.0465✗1.07370k2022-08-10
ETHEthereumEthereum1,618.821,599.38-1.20%1,854.12+14.54%0.0857✗1.28404.0M2022-08-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4752.4453-1.20%2.734+10.46%0.0683✗0.89110k2022-08-10
KSMKusamaHydration61.3160.5867-1.18%62.92+2.63%0.0192✓1.17379k2022-08-10
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19990.197558-1.17%0.2383+19.21%0.1196✗1.401,1742022-08-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23110.228454-1.15%0.2326+0.65%0.0535✓1.4789k2022-08-10
XVSVenusEthereum6.436.3569-1.14%6.71+4.35%0.0135✓1.391.2M2022-08-10
AAVEAaveEthereum94.9793.8996-1.13%111.17+17.06%0.0883✗1.6610.2M2022-08-10
QTUMQtumQtum3.89863.8553-1.11%4.1947+7.59%0.0316✗1.0945k2022-08-10
NANOnanopayBase1.02431.0133-1.08%1.0722+4.67%0.0109✗0.9460k2022-08-10
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47440.469504-1.03%0.5471+15.32%0.0984✗1.1246k2022-08-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.45891.4439-1.03%1.6203+11.06%0.0473✗1.40675k2022-08-10
XYMSymbolnative0.0557310.055159-1.03%0.057508+3.19%0.0135✗0.5824k2022-08-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54530.539722-1.02%0.6134+12.49%0.0728✗1.14335k2022-08-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6860.679092-1.01%0.766+11.66%0.0487✗1.47106k2022-08-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.008190.008108-1.00%0.00837+2.20%0.0120✓0.901.6M2022-08-10
GALAGALAEthereum0.05830.05772-0.99%0.0635+8.92%0.0278✗1.39167k2022-08-10
GLMGolemEthereum0.25980.257233-0.99%0.2716+4.54%0.0001✓1.1265k2022-08-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.7857.2097-0.99%61.61+6.63%0.0180✗1.1513.7M2022-08-10
RADRadworksEthereum2.472.4457-0.98%2.59+4.86%0.0049✓1.08398k2022-08-10
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.03721.027-0.98%1.1836+14.12%0.0907✗1.0513k2022-08-10
UOSUltraEthereum0.309310.306297-0.97%0.37799+22.20%0.1555✗1.13398k2022-08-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.60360.598055-0.92%0.6574+8.91%0.0392✗1.14690k2022-08-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.995.936-0.90%5.97-0.33%0.0273✓0.68725k2022-08-10
MANADecentralandEthereum0.960.951396-0.90%1.072+11.67%0.0562✗1.30532k2022-08-10
XTZTezosTezos1.72041.7052-0.88%1.8733+8.89%0.0324✗1.27530k2022-08-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3358930.332941-0.88%0.369005+9.86%0.0411✗1.271.1M2022-08-10
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.80e-79.72e-7-0.87%0.00000103+5.10%0.0098✗1.0025k2022-08-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40220.398727-0.86%0.4648+15.56%0.0893✗1.32127k2022-08-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.61.5863-0.86%1.82+13.75%0.0732✗1.32122k2022-08-10
LSKLiskEthereum1.13851.1289-0.84%1.2251+7.61%0.0307✗1.0547k2022-08-10
KCSKuCoinnative10.0289.9443-0.83%10.779+7.49%0.0269✗1.102.0M2022-08-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07730.076669-0.82%0.0827+6.99%0.0220✗1.11952k2022-08-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash133.7132.6989-0.75%142.18+6.34%0.0108✗1.204.5M2022-08-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.05870.058264-0.74%0.0607+3.41%0.0284✓1.43350k2022-08-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062080.006163-0.73%0.006634+6.87%0.0329✗0.848,9962022-08-10
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7440.738558-0.73%0.884+18.82%0.1206✗1.22895k2022-08-10
PROPropyEthereum0.740.734755-0.71%0.77+4.05%0.0180✗0.5983k2022-08-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02130.021152-0.70%0.02661+24.93%0.1802✗1.02159k2022-08-10
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.49e-73.47e-7-0.69%3.34e-7-4.32%0.0853✓0.99170k2022-08-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.01514.9816-0.67%4.7-6.28%0.0665✓0.17219k2022-08-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.15520.154174-0.66%0.1652+6.44%0.0092✗1.23102k2022-08-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04580.04551-0.63%0.0495+8.08%0.0207✗1.309,0132022-08-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0620.061611-0.63%0.1362+119.68%0.7575✗0.74159k2022-08-10
GTGateEthereum4.50944.485-0.54%4.9377+9.50%0.0599✗0.75920k2022-08-10
ZECZcashZcash61.8561.5337-0.51%78.7+27.24%0.1853✗1.251.5M2022-08-10
TRXTRONTron0.0677990.067489-0.46%0.070307+3.70%0.0076✗0.69364k2022-08-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.048340.048124-0.45%0.05257+8.75%0.0452✗0.8915k2022-08-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017680.017602-0.44%0.01893+7.07%0.0326✗0.82207k2022-08-10
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.088010.088-0.01%0.08979+2.02%0.0074✗0.261.1M2022-08-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0230560.023219+0.71%0.024212+5.01%0.0050✓0.9611k2022-08-10
CBKCobakEthereum1.10561.1164+0.98%1.145+3.56%0.0285✗1.1111k2022-08-10
GITCOINGITCOIN2.73812.775+1.35%3.0285+10.61%0.0114✓1.5612k2022-08-10
BORABORAKlay Token0.349220.354315+1.46%0.36767+5.28%0.0265✗1.3113k2022-08-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.