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2022-08-01 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0849
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.23%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
38.4%
in alpha space · 21.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.33%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BORABORAKlay Token0.345490.351598+1.77%0.36941+6.92%0.0192✓1.3112k2022-08-08
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8592.902+1.50%3.0082+5.22%0.0000✓1.5612k2022-08-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0236210.023962+1.44%0.023579-0.18%0.0386✗0.989,6292022-08-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07050.070957+0.65%0.0826+17.16%0.1272✓1.08567k2022-08-08
CBKCobakEthereum1.19911.2038+0.39%1.1648-2.87%0.0582✗1.1010k2022-08-08
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.092360.092474+0.12%0.08629-6.57%0.0748✗0.241.1M2022-08-08
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.30e-7+0.08%3.37e-7+2.27%0.0005✓0.96178k2022-08-08
GTGateEthereum4.41644.4063-0.23%4.9055+11.07%0.0905✗0.73916k2022-08-08
ZECZcashZcash62.8762.6704-0.32%77.53+23.32%0.1840✗1.251.5M2022-08-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.06020.060003-0.33%0.0607+0.83%0.0207✓1.40339k2022-08-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063210.0063-0.33%0.006716+6.25%0.0432✗0.909,1592022-08-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01790.01784-0.33%0.01763-1.51%0.0298✓0.78229k2022-08-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.06410.063844-0.40%0.1545+141.03%0.8651✗0.81155k2022-08-08
TRXTRONTron0.0699720.069682-0.41%0.070047+0.11%0.0127✓0.78373k2022-08-08
PROPropyEthereum0.780.776619-0.43%0.79+1.28%0.0032✓0.6179k2022-08-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.195.1675-0.43%4.8-7.51%0.0786✓0.21210k2022-08-08
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7270.723413-0.49%0.774+6.46%0.0397✗1.21806k2022-08-08
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.55e-7-0.54%0.000001+4.17%0.0232✗1.0025k2022-08-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42390.421582-0.55%0.4704+10.97%0.0790✗1.33127k2022-08-08
UOSUltraEthereum0.309120.307283-0.59%0.33107+7.10%0.0477✗1.17398k2022-08-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021560.021431-0.60%0.029+34.51%0.2787✗1.03159k2022-08-08
KCSKuCoinnative9.9639.9015-0.62%10.767+8.07%0.0589✗1.082.1M2022-08-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4352.4197-0.63%2.626+7.84%0.0606✗0.92105k2022-08-08
RADRadworksEthereum2.392.374-0.67%2.74+14.64%0.1188✗1.07301k2022-08-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006650.006603-0.71%0.0063-5.26%0.0594✓0.5438k2022-08-08
NANOnanopayBase1.01851.0111-0.73%1.0843+6.46%0.0479✗0.9660k2022-08-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150170.014905-0.74%0.016131+7.42%0.0587✗0.881.6M2022-08-08
XYMSymbolnative0.0572340.056804-0.75%0.05725+0.03%0.0060✓0.6022k2022-08-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash137.87136.803-0.77%143.54+4.11%0.0207✗1.194.3M2022-08-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04830.047916-0.80%0.0517+7.04%0.0451✗1.347,6872022-08-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.008420.008351-0.82%0.00837-0.59%0.0188✓0.911.6M2022-08-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.07791.0691-0.82%1.1739+8.90%0.0699✗1.0313k2022-08-08
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030010.029761-0.83%0.03333+11.06%0.0832✗1.311,2932022-08-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23070.228774-0.84%0.2285-0.95%0.0353✓1.4897k2022-08-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.631.6162-0.84%1.85+13.50%0.1035✗1.37114k2022-08-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9343.8996-0.87%4.04+2.69%0.0188✗0.721.4M2022-08-08
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09510.094266-0.88%0.1038+9.15%0.0686✗1.216,7862022-08-08
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49660.492172-0.89%0.5796+16.71%0.1377✗1.1247k2022-08-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.55740.552223-0.93%0.6088+9.22%0.0713✗1.14341k2022-08-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.16.0433-0.93%6.04-0.98%0.0158✓0.66623k2022-08-08
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7930.785567-0.94%0.894+12.74%0.1009✗1.23218k2022-08-08
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01631.0067-0.95%1.0855+6.81%0.0450✗1.32525k2022-08-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.4758.9057-0.95%62.61+5.28%0.0344✗1.1613.6M2022-08-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7310.724016-0.96%0.767+4.92%0.0234✗1.4980k2022-08-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.61960.613679-0.96%0.6657+7.44%0.0548✗1.16642k2022-08-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3627650.359085-1.01%0.363104+0.09%0.0187✓1.301.0M2022-08-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.16470.163028-1.02%0.163-1.03%0.0288✓1.2494k2022-08-08
XTZTezosTezos1.81991.8013-1.02%1.894+4.07%0.0211✗1.26492k2022-08-08
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2070.204814-1.06%0.2282+10.24%0.0760✗1.401,1792022-08-08
GLMGolemEthereum0.2770.274021-1.08%0.2733-1.34%0.0274✓1.0867k2022-08-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.93880.928514-1.10%1.1662+24.22%0.2073✗0.903.2M2022-08-08
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.4384-1.10%6.92+6.30%0.0399✗1.401.1M2022-08-08
KSMKusamaHydration64.2363.511-1.12%64.6+0.58%0.0103✓1.18354k2022-08-08
AAVEAaveEthereum96.5895.4973-1.12%102.58+6.21%0.0333✗1.6610.2M2022-08-08
ETHEthereumEthereum1,630.821,611.62-1.18%1,777.36+8.99%0.0690✗1.26387.0M2022-08-08
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5652.5347-1.18%2.889+12.63%0.0904✗1.7595k2022-08-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12070.119273-1.18%0.1267+4.97%0.0358✗1.07352k2022-08-08
STXStacksnative0.46130.455837-1.18%0.5085+10.23%0.0807✗1.25778k2022-08-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.165410.163445-1.19%0.17585+6.31%0.0376✗1.54212k2022-08-08
DASHDashDash49.7549.154-1.20%56.22+13.01%0.1089✗1.11574k2022-08-08
IMXImmutableEthereum1.07891.0658-1.22%1.2133+12.46%0.0971✗1.411.4M2022-08-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57471.5553-1.23%1.6087+2.16%0.0007✓1.44589k2022-08-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.67659.9058-1.27%62.317+2.70%0.0200✗0.85345k2022-08-08
QTUMQtumQtum4.14614.0934-1.27%4.1656+0.47%0.0077✓1.0939k2022-08-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010210.010079-1.28%0.01044+2.25%0.0130✗0.974.7M2022-08-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.2461.23-1.28%1.2304-1.25%0.0241✓1.0643k2022-08-08
ZENHorizenBase18.1617.9263-1.29%19.15+5.45%0.0345✗1.37116k2022-08-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12360.122006-1.29%0.1491+20.63%0.1688✗1.382.8M2022-08-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.859.7229-1.29%8.84-10.25%0.1072✓0.521.7M2022-08-08
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.57e-7-1.29%9.90e-7+2.06%0.0143✗0.836.4M2022-08-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8493.7988-1.30%4.125+7.17%0.0687✗0.591.7M2022-08-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1813.9944-1.31%16.74+18.05%0.1467✗1.411.9M2022-08-08
CTKShentuOsmosis1.081.0658-1.31%1.084+0.37%0.0008✓0.701.5M2022-08-08
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078980.077938-1.32%0.08965+13.51%0.1232✗0.731,1722022-08-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,172.7022,866.48-1.32%23,846.60+2.91%0.0194✗0.9814k2022-08-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2511.1013-1.32%11.72+4.18%0.0263✗1.21243k2022-08-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0687210.06779-1.35%0.070056+1.94%0.0065✓1.151.7M2022-08-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010960.001081-1.35%0.001192+8.77%0.0681✗1.291.4M2022-08-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3350.330437-1.36%0.339+1.19%0.0018✓1.03959k2022-08-08
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.79682.7583-1.38%2.9975+7.18%0.0607✗0.981.0M2022-08-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.849075-1.39%0.898+4.30%0.0163✗1.735.0M2022-08-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046180.045538-1.39%0.04665+1.02%0.0020✓0.962,3002022-08-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,273.8622,950.21-1.39%23,815.65+2.33%0.0140✓1.00414.2M2022-08-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.040723-1.40%0.0454+9.93%0.0805✗1.2371k2022-08-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.051690.050966-1.40%0.05269+1.93%0.0125✓0.9015k2022-08-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084190.08301-1.40%0.08557+1.64%0.0005✓1.3429k2022-08-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.26812.2361-1.41%2.385+5.15%0.0361✗1.2329k2022-08-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12550.123707-1.43%0.1317+4.94%0.0398✗0.994,9522022-08-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3360.331187-1.43%0.3474+3.39%0.0206✗1.183.1M2022-08-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34240.337416-1.46%0.3629+5.99%0.0466✗1.147.7M2022-08-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.074.9959-1.46%5.02-0.99%0.0115✓0.711.2M2022-08-08
FORTFortaEthereum0.30590.301399-1.47%0.3126+2.19%0.0106✓1.12300k2022-08-08
WOOWOOEthereum0.21060.207486-1.48%0.2677+27.11%0.2235✗1.361,6972022-08-08
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9472.9034-1.48%2.9-1.59%0.0340✓1.4349k2022-08-08
MOVRMoonriverBase15.134314.9091-1.49%19.4666+28.63%0.2397✗1.1868k2022-08-08
UMAUMAEthereum2.962.9158-1.49%3.052+3.11%0.0199✗1.12619k2022-08-08
SUSHISushiEthereum1.421.3987-1.50%1.56+9.86%0.0760✗1.441.1M2022-08-08
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.257857-1.51%0.2614-0.15%0.0134✓0.0128k2022-08-08
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.333.2797-1.51%3.05-8.41%0.0839✓0.4994k2022-08-08
SCSiacoinnative0.004780.004707-1.53%0.00474-0.84%0.0233✓1.32112k2022-08-08
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19250.189534-1.54%0.19653+2.09%0.0170✓2.311,2222022-08-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.348.2108-1.55%8.259-0.97%0.0228✓1.246.8M2022-08-08
GALAGALAEthereum0.06480.063792-1.56%0.062-4.32%0.0616✓1.44154k2022-08-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1183040.116453-1.56%0.130156+10.02%0.0884✗0.996.8M2022-08-08
XMRMoneroMonero160.69158.1518-1.58%167.1+3.99%0.0295✗1.111.3M2022-08-08
GMTGMTEthereum0.9550.939903-1.58%0.944-1.15%0.0364✓1.77513k2022-08-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7720.759783-1.58%0.835+8.16%0.0717✗0.99377k2022-08-08
SOLSolanaSolana41.6741.0074-1.59%42.2+1.27%0.0026✓1.3681.1M2022-08-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4710.463499-1.59%0.4659-1.08%0.0287✓1.47273k2022-08-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.39910.2333-1.59%11.817+13.64%0.1123✗1.3714.4M2022-08-08
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3231.3018-1.60%1.351+2.12%0.0085✓1.241.2M2022-08-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.188.0486-1.61%9.276+13.40%0.1134✗1.2410.0M2022-08-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.11620.114309-1.63%0.1199+3.18%0.0178✗1.30472k2022-08-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2210.217397-1.63%0.23+4.07%0.0215✗1.51821k2022-08-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9194.8378-1.65%6.031+22.61%0.2078✗0.552.0M2022-08-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032560.003202-1.65%0.003433+5.44%0.0462✗1.021.0M2022-08-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.8817.5817-1.67%18.67+4.42%0.0290✗1.351.3M2022-08-08
XECeCashnative0.000045140.000044386-1.67%0.00004589+1.66%0.0066✓1.161.9M2022-08-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011970.000011769-1.68%0.00001229+2.67%0.0149✓1.23986k2022-08-08
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0024290.002388-1.68%0.00224-7.78%0.0870✓1.001.8M2022-08-08
ADACardanoCardano0.51280.504082-1.70%0.5372+4.76%0.0349✗1.2541.9M2022-08-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26310.258626-1.70%0.2624-0.27%0.0138✓1.23101k2022-08-08
FLOWFlownative2.0251.9905-1.71%3.023+49.28%0.3886✗1.27415k2022-08-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.5747.4443-1.71%8.607+13.64%0.1160✗1.2616.9M2022-08-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.419380.412193-1.71%0.42996+2.52%0.0143✓1.21118k2022-08-08
STORJStorjEthereum0.711570.699349-1.72%0.69895-1.77%0.0354✓1.5188k2022-08-08
XVGVergenative0.003750.003686-1.72%0.00377+0.53%0.0074✓1.31559k2022-08-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32380.318219-1.72%0.5111+57.84%0.4475✗1.1576k2022-08-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1720.169028-1.73%0.1759+2.27%0.0111✓1.25491k2022-08-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8773.81-1.73%3.99+2.91%0.0258✗0.88754k2022-08-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6460.63448-1.78%0.697+7.89%0.0617✗1.4088k2022-08-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4231.3976-1.79%1.438+1.05%0.0007✓1.272.5M2022-08-08
BANDBandEthereum1.7181.6872-1.79%1.875+9.14%0.0721✗1.45327k2022-08-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016970.001666-1.80%0.001764+3.95%0.0334✗1.0211k2022-08-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199980.019638-1.80%0.018974-5.12%0.0462✓0.51165k2022-08-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.5923.1646-1.80%27.92+18.36%0.1500✗1.6027.5M2022-08-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15410.151312-1.81%0.1674+8.63%0.0783✗0.993.5M2022-08-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032040.031454-1.83%0.0332+3.62%0.0255✗1.2414k2022-08-08
DIADIAEthereum0.487140.478208-1.83%0.48293-0.86%0.0082✓0.7863k2022-08-08
AVTAventusEthereum1.561.5311-1.85%1.55-0.64%0.0073✓0.22268k2022-08-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3644.2829-1.86%4.707+7.86%0.0810✗0.581.2M2022-08-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6053.5369-1.89%4.095+13.59%0.1067✗1.735.0M2022-08-08
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.891.8539-1.91%2.058+8.89%0.0716✗1.42234k2022-08-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08580.084163-1.91%0.0896+4.43%0.0355✗1.18137k2022-08-08
COMPCompoundEthereum58.957.7735-1.91%62.01+5.28%0.0387✗1.3932k2022-08-08
ELAElastosEthereum1.7951.7601-1.95%2.06+14.76%0.1426✗0.64189k2022-08-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.815.6935-2.01%5.71-1.72%0.0111✓0.61732k2022-08-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.94512.8857-2.02%3.2115+9.05%0.0892✗0.77978k2022-08-08
XEMNEMnative0.0514460.050397-2.04%0.052476+2.00%0.0131✓1.1938k2022-08-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.30621.2794-2.05%1.4281+9.33%0.0753✗1.515.6M2022-08-08
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3658.1879-2.12%8.791+5.09%0.0388✗1.408.5M2022-08-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.862.799-2.13%3.02+5.59%0.0410✗1.52192k2022-08-08
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14380.140723-2.14%0.1447+0.63%0.0017✓1.2859k2022-08-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05320.05206-2.14%0.0543+2.07%0.0133✓1.25269k2022-08-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06120.059874-2.17%0.068+11.11%0.0972✗1.30799k2022-08-08
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.065922-2.19%0.0737+9.35%0.0895✗0.96229k2022-08-08
DODODODOEthereum0.17760.173596-2.25%0.1804+1.58%0.0095✓1.263.5M2022-08-08
FTTFTXEthereum30.7530.0505-2.27%31.49+2.41%0.0249✗0.9510.2M2022-08-08
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6446.491-2.30%7.314+10.08%0.0795✗1.7311.3M2022-08-08
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54010.527494-2.33%0.561+3.87%0.0291✗1.41234k2022-08-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.536.3716-2.43%5.62-13.94%0.1398✓0.621.2M2022-08-08
API3Api3Ethereum2.0221.9729-2.43%2.141+5.89%0.0524✗1.28637k2022-08-08
LUNATerraTerra 20.000104790.000102221-2.45%0.00009929-5.25%0.0738✓1.94592k2022-08-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.41280.402665-2.46%0.42203+2.24%0.0149✓1.39583k2022-08-08
STEEMSteemnative0.26570.259171-2.46%0.2624-1.24%0.0136✓1.13768k2022-08-08
METISMetisEthereum33.6232.7934-2.46%45.63+35.72%0.2856✗1.94229k2022-08-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009380.009148-2.47%0.00911-2.88%0.0332✓1.26359k2022-08-08
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.506098-2.49%0.553+6.55%0.0623✗1.1513k2022-08-08
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08050.0784-2.61%0.11272+40.02%0.3286✗1.50773k2022-08-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.0233.9943-2.93%38.06+8.68%0.0805✗1.416.9M2022-08-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.14940.144764-3.10%0.1526+2.14%0.0273✓1.11698k2022-08-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28523.1824-3.13%3.4773+5.85%0.0681✗0.891.2M2022-08-08
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8310.803743-3.28%0.841+1.20%0.0111✓1.493,6872022-08-08
QNTQuantEthereum103.46100.0348-3.31%128.79+24.48%0.2293✗1.014.2M2022-08-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4162.3296-3.58%2.498+3.39%0.0373✗1.41177k2022-08-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03680.035478-3.59%0.03513-4.54%0.0449✓1.5212.6M2022-08-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03150.993603-3.67%1.0662+3.36%0.0437✗1.171.1M2022-08-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum87.6999-3.75%10.19+27.37%0.2487✗1.37263k2022-08-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum28.4427.2577-4.16%30.04+5.63%0.0651✗1.39641k2022-08-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.218.3957-4.19%21.84+13.75%0.1518✗0.862.2M2022-08-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7768.3989-4.30%8.73-0.52%0.0142✓1.062.4M2022-08-08
ORCAOrcaSolana1.13981.0889-4.46%0.9875-13.36%0.1357✓1.65205k2022-08-08
OPTIMOptimism1.5121.4408-4.71%1.899+25.60%0.2305✗1.981.7M2022-08-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,611.3210,983.20-5.41%11,448.81-1.40%0.0094✓1.404.2M2022-08-08
HIVEHivenative0.77450.716841-7.44%0.6064-21.70%0.1941✓1.171.4M2022-08-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.