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2022-07-31 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0639
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.67%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
17.7%
in alpha space · 19.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.56%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
FILFilecoinFilecoin9.7899.1195-6.84%8.792-10.18%0.0306✓1.062.3M2022-08-07
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.0719.7595-6.22%22.19+5.32%0.1209✗0.872.2M2022-08-07
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,863.9010,282.30-5.35%11,438.54+5.29%0.1143✗1.394.1M2022-08-07
OPTIMOptimism1.5831.5036-5.02%1.912+20.78%0.2514✗1.981.3M2022-08-07
TRBTellor TributesEthereum26.3725.2778-4.14%32.48+23.17%0.2585✗1.39585k2022-08-07
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.5032.4008-4.08%2.37-5.31%0.0050✓1.41172k2022-08-07
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.084020.080619-4.05%0.10727+27.67%0.2940✗1.50768k2022-08-07
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.777.4579-4.02%10.03+29.09%0.3039✗1.36256k2022-08-07
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.535.1732-3.64%37.71+3.32%0.0775✗1.415.4M2022-08-07
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.99490.959294-3.58%1.0439+4.93%0.0911✗1.171.2M2022-08-07
QNTQuantEthereum102.6199.2649-3.26%126.46+23.24%0.2478✗1.014.2M2022-08-07
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.23.096-3.25%3.06-4.38%0.0032✓1.52192k2022-08-07
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034230.033132-3.21%0.03436+0.38%0.0449✗1.5311.5M2022-08-07
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8750.847044-3.19%0.811-7.31%0.0352✓1.493,1392022-08-07
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.00960.009316-2.96%0.00906-5.62%0.0208✓1.26355k2022-08-07
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.5650.550221-2.62%0.5636-0.25%0.0319✗1.40234k2022-08-07
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.426660.415547-2.60%0.42719+0.12%0.0354✗1.39592k2022-08-07
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5280.51452-2.55%0.551+4.36%0.0749✗1.1513k2022-08-07
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.03972.9621-2.55%3.4736+14.27%0.1643✗0.891.2M2022-08-07
METISMetisEthereum34.6133.7512-2.48%44.22+27.77%0.2810✗1.94229k2022-08-07
APEApeCoinEthereum6.7336.5679-2.45%7.208+7.05%0.1027✗1.7310.6M2022-08-07
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9811.9324-2.45%1.998+0.86%0.0413✗1.42234k2022-08-07
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.9788.7625-2.40%8.249-8.12%0.0534✓1.256.5M2022-08-07
API3Api3Ethereum1.9481.9036-2.28%2.089+7.24%0.1000✗1.27637k2022-08-07
DODODODOEthereum0.17320.169396-2.20%0.1819+5.02%0.0782✗1.263.4M2022-08-07
FTTFTXEthereum30.3929.7318-2.17%30.67+0.92%0.0364✗0.9510.2M2022-08-07
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098070.000095975-2.14%0.00009956+1.52%0.0474✗1.92592k2022-08-07
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05420.053045-2.13%0.0544+0.37%0.0323✗1.25269k2022-08-07
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3278.1518-2.10%8.784+5.49%0.0825✗1.408.2M2022-08-07
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.31791.2904-2.09%1.4024+6.41%0.0917✗1.505.6M2022-08-07
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06690.065514-2.07%0.0735+9.87%0.1204✗0.96229k2022-08-07
ORCAOrcaSolana0.92660.907518-2.06%0.9885+6.68%0.0946✗1.64202k2022-08-07
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08840.086585-2.05%0.0893+1.02%0.0375✗1.18146k2022-08-07
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0213810.020952-2.01%0.019873-7.05%0.0500✓0.52167k2022-08-07
STEEMSteemnative0.25630.25119-1.99%0.2595+1.25%0.0389✗1.13701k2022-08-07
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.6338.4618-1.98%8.657+0.28%0.0297✗1.249.4M2022-08-07
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017510.001716-1.97%0.001729-1.26%0.0130✓1.0216k2022-08-07
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05870.057562-1.94%0.0643+9.54%0.1180✗1.30787k2022-08-07
WOOWOOEthereum0.2270.22261-1.93%0.2551+12.38%0.1439✗1.371,6972022-08-07
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3420.335517-1.90%0.339-0.88%0.0161✓1.03794k2022-08-07
HIVEHivenative0.53010.520453-1.82%0.5991+13.02%0.1472✗1.161.4M2022-08-07
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.5633.4983-1.81%4.08+14.51%0.1635✗1.735.0M2022-08-07
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.77522.7248-1.81%3.2183+15.97%0.1708✗0.77978k2022-08-07
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.7523.3267-1.78%27.9+17.47%0.1879✗1.5927.5M2022-08-07
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.0617.7421-1.76%18.49+2.38%0.0488✗1.351.3M2022-08-07
XEMNEMnative0.0494080.048543-1.75%0.051551+4.34%0.0668✗1.1938k2022-08-07
ELAElastosEthereum1.7931.7617-1.74%2.183+21.75%0.2180✗0.64206k2022-08-07
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.667.5265-1.74%8.34+8.88%0.1097✗1.2616.2M2022-08-07
AVTAventusEthereum1.541.5135-1.72%1.57+1.95%0.0379✗0.22268k2022-08-07
COMPCompoundEthereum57.0456.0574-1.72%63.85+11.94%0.1379✗1.3932k2022-08-07
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0024970.002454-1.71%0.002285-8.49%0.0659✓1.001.9M2022-08-07
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.393.3326-1.69%3.12-7.96%0.0632✓0.4981k2022-08-07
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.1984.1273-1.69%4.685+11.60%0.1300✗0.581.2M2022-08-07
ADACardanoCardano0.51650.507958-1.65%0.5277+2.17%0.0451✗1.2541.9M2022-08-07
BANDBandEthereum1.6811.6533-1.65%1.809+7.61%0.0981✗1.45327k2022-08-07
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16740.164689-1.62%0.1758+5.02%0.0723✗1.25475k2022-08-07
SOLSolanaSolana42.3841.6943-1.62%40.62-4.15%0.0185✓1.3681.1M2022-08-07
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.381.3577-1.61%1.425+3.26%0.0555✗1.282.4M2022-08-07
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.194230.191103-1.61%0.19598+0.90%0.0382✗2.311,2222022-08-07
RADRadworksEthereum2.592.5487-1.59%2.48-4.25%0.0213✓1.07258k2022-08-07
DIADIAEthereum0.4620.454645-1.59%0.47524+2.87%0.0487✗0.7863k2022-08-07
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.724.6451-1.59%6.829+44.68%0.3884✗0.552.0M2022-08-07
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.80.787336-1.58%0.759-5.13%0.0283✓1.4980k2022-08-07
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6140.604295-1.58%0.682+11.07%0.1288✗1.4086k2022-08-07
XVGVergenative0.003710.003652-1.57%0.00374+0.81%0.0312✗1.31570k2022-08-07
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.080910.079642-1.57%0.07969-1.51%0.0047✓0.731,0512022-08-07
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12840.126403-1.56%0.1294+0.78%0.0290✗0.995,2722022-08-07
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.5211.3422-1.54%11.74+1.91%0.0413✗1.21241k2022-08-07
GMTGMTEthereum0.9550.940329-1.54%0.931-2.51%0.0001✓1.77513k2022-08-07
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.35710.1988-1.53%11.374+9.82%0.1167✗1.3714.4M2022-08-07
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7620.750365-1.53%0.807+5.91%0.0783✗0.98360k2022-08-07
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1280.126052-1.52%0.1283+0.23%0.0254✗1.382.6M2022-08-07
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14370.141517-1.52%0.1588+10.51%0.1207✗0.993.5M2022-08-07
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3081.2882-1.51%1.319+0.84%0.0306✗1.241.2M2022-08-07
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8732.8296-1.51%2.798-2.61%0.0033✓1.4247k2022-08-07
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3884020.38256-1.50%0.354473-8.74%0.0690✓1.301.0M2022-08-07
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2140.210789-1.50%0.225+5.14%0.0737✗1.51803k2022-08-07
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4640.457094-1.49%0.466+0.43%0.0275✗1.47273k2022-08-07
SUSHISushiEthereum1.441.4186-1.49%1.5+4.17%0.0638✗1.441.1M2022-08-07
STORJStorjEthereum0.685450.675293-1.48%0.68843+0.43%0.0277✗1.5188k2022-08-07
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011720.000011547-1.47%0.00001202+2.56%0.0470✗1.23951k2022-08-07
XLMStellarStellar0.1176240.115894-1.47%0.123873+5.31%0.0721✗0.996.8M2022-08-07
XECeCashnative0.000043840.000043199-1.46%0.00004532+3.38%0.0544✗1.161.9M2022-08-07
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010310.01016-1.46%0.01046+1.45%0.0345✗0.964.7M2022-08-07
ZENHorizenBase18.9518.6749-1.45%19.17+1.16%0.0338✗1.37116k2022-08-07
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.257433-1.44%0.2614+0.08%0.0154✗0.0128k2022-08-07
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.400650.394882-1.44%0.4338+8.27%0.1008✗1.21113k2022-08-07
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.848713-1.43%0.871+1.16%0.0356✗1.725.2M2022-08-07
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8113.7571-1.42%4.012+5.27%0.0706✗0.89754k2022-08-07
DKAdKargoEthereum0.049060.048384-1.38%0.05378+9.62%0.1108✗0.9015k2022-08-07
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,307.4422,990.90-1.36%23,177.39-0.56%0.0137✗1.00414.2M2022-08-07
CHZChilizEthereum0.12190.120253-1.35%0.1513+24.12%0.2358✗1.10685k2022-08-07
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031290.003087-1.35%0.003423+9.40%0.1091✗1.01999k2022-08-07
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.691.6673-1.35%1.81+7.10%0.0898✗1.37114k2022-08-07
MOVRMoonriverBase14.833514.6343-1.34%18.2973+23.35%0.2300✗1.1870k2022-08-07
QTUMQtumQtum4.06894.0146-1.33%4.0919+0.57%0.0252✗1.0934k2022-08-07
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.755.6734-1.33%5.65-1.74%0.0007✓0.611.1M2022-08-07
BTTCBTTC9.80e-79.67e-7-1.32%9.70e-7-1.02%0.0076✓0.836.1M2022-08-07
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33610.331684-1.31%0.3559+5.89%0.0768✗1.137.7M2022-08-07
FORTFortaEthereum0.2940.290157-1.31%0.308+4.76%0.0660✗1.13303k2022-08-07
IMXImmutableEthereum1.08221.0681-1.31%1.1387+5.22%0.0719✗1.411.4M2022-08-07
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.3314.143-1.31%16.88+17.79%0.1849✗1.421.7M2022-08-07
DASHDashDash51.1750.5058-1.30%53.35+4.26%0.0610✗1.11574k2022-08-07
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08360.082517-1.30%0.08386+0.31%0.0237✗1.3429k2022-08-07
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.17960.3922-1.29%61.878+1.14%0.0290✗0.85369k2022-08-07
UMAUMAEthereum2.872.8336-1.27%3.033+5.68%0.0743✗1.11619k2022-08-07
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.068140.06728-1.26%0.06896+1.20%0.0311✗1.151.7M2022-08-07
ETHEthereumEthereum1,679.311,658.38-1.25%1,700.42+1.26%0.0321✗1.26387.0M2022-08-07
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9860.973753-1.24%1.111+12.68%0.1358✗0.701.3M2022-08-07
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5972.5648-1.24%2.792+7.51%0.0947✗1.7592k2022-08-07
XVSVenusEthereum6.386.3013-1.23%6.84+7.21%0.0899✗1.401.0M2022-08-07
SCSiacoinnative0.004560.004504-1.23%0.00471+3.29%0.0521✗1.31112k2022-08-07
XMRMoneroMonero155.01153.1171-1.22%164.87+6.36%0.0801✗1.101.3M2022-08-07
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010870.001074-1.21%0.001193+9.74%0.1123✗1.281.5M2022-08-07
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.030290.029927-1.20%0.03302+9.01%0.1053✗1.2414k2022-08-07
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.72362.691-1.20%2.9884+9.72%0.1103✗0.981.0M2022-08-07
COTICOTIEthereum0.10960.108291-1.19%0.1192+8.76%0.1032✗1.30472k2022-08-07
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,400.0023,120.91-1.19%23,110.70-1.24%0.0050✓0.9814k2022-08-07
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.6793.6353-1.19%4.147+12.72%0.1350✗0.591.6M2022-08-07
FLOWFlownative1.9241.9012-1.19%2.624+36.38%0.3293✗1.27415k2022-08-07
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24990.246953-1.18%0.2595+3.84%0.0564✗1.2399k2022-08-07
AAVEAaveEthereum97.6396.486-1.17%101.31+3.77%0.0581✗1.6610.2M2022-08-07
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.166050.164114-1.17%0.17735+6.81%0.0862✗1.54207k2022-08-07
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12070.119295-1.16%0.1264+4.72%0.0638✗1.06352k2022-08-07
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.19622.1709-1.15%2.3326+6.21%0.0788✗1.2326k2022-08-07
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31750.313867-1.14%0.3431+8.06%0.0957✗1.193.0M2022-08-07
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0159540.015772-1.14%0.015952-0.01%0.0163✗0.881.2M2022-08-07
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.794.7359-1.13%5.07+5.85%0.0721✗0.711.1M2022-08-07
KSMKusamaHydration63.863.0856-1.12%65.42+2.54%0.0430✗1.18303k2022-08-07
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.044190.043704-1.10%0.04581+3.67%0.0524✗0.962,3002022-08-07
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62480.618147-1.06%0.6639+6.26%0.0779✗1.15624k2022-08-07
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.075.0174-1.04%5.77+13.81%0.1432✗0.61668k2022-08-07
AMPAmpEthereum0.00910.009006-1.03%0.00837-8.02%0.0681✓0.921.6M2022-08-07
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.54221.5263-1.03%1.5748+2.11%0.0394✗1.45589k2022-08-07
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03860.038204-1.03%0.0441+14.25%0.1503✗1.2268k2022-08-07
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2070.204883-1.02%0.2146+3.67%0.0541✗1.401,1792022-08-07
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.92120.911887-1.01%1.1663+26.61%0.2511✗0.893.2M2022-08-07
FISStafiEthereum0.38580.381934-1.00%0.3904+1.19%0.0272✗0.941922022-08-07
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09670.095739-0.99%0.1047+8.27%0.0962✗1.216,7862022-08-07
STXStacksnative0.43890.434553-0.99%0.4907+11.80%0.1285✗1.24643k2022-08-07
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13560.134294-0.96%0.1374+1.33%0.0300✗1.2855k2022-08-07
C98Coin98Ethereum0.50440.499542-0.96%0.5887+16.71%0.1705✗1.1245k2022-08-07
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.7659.1919-0.95%61.12+2.28%0.0385✗1.1613.5M2022-08-07
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.56270.557643-0.90%0.5927+5.33%0.0673✗1.14350k2022-08-07
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030560.030288-0.89%0.03172+3.80%0.0535✗1.311,3342022-08-07
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash139.37138.1936-0.84%140.98+1.16%0.0266✗1.194.2M2022-08-07
GALAGALAEthereum0.0570.056523-0.84%0.0606+6.32%0.0777✗1.43152k2022-08-07
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23390.231973-0.82%0.2392+2.27%0.0390✗1.4897k2022-08-07
NANOnanopayBase1.01361.0053-0.82%1.0549+4.07%0.0535✗0.9658k2022-08-07
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.685.6339-0.81%6.04+6.34%0.0733✗0.66588k2022-08-07
GLMGolemEthereum0.26330.261171-0.81%0.2711+2.96%0.0433✗1.0865k2022-08-07
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0480.047617-0.80%0.0512+6.67%0.0800✗1.337,5232022-08-07
LSKLiskEthereum1.17851.1699-0.73%1.2162+3.20%0.0448✗1.0643k2022-08-07
MANADecentralandEthereum0.976480.969516-0.71%1.0596+8.51%0.0962✗1.32487k2022-08-07
XYMSymbolnative0.0570680.056662-0.71%0.055055-3.53%0.0254✓0.6022k2022-08-07
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.07921.0715-0.71%1.1124+3.08%0.0433✗1.0313k2022-08-07
XTZTezosTezos1.74081.7285-0.71%1.888+8.46%0.0953✗1.26492k2022-08-07
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006770.006725-0.66%0.006331-6.48%0.0574✓0.5439k2022-08-07
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7730.768206-0.62%0.858+11.00%0.1174✗1.23212k2022-08-07
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30590.304009-0.62%0.4693+53.42%0.4405✗1.1375k2022-08-07
KCSKuCoinnative10.059.9887-0.61%10.602+5.49%0.0657✗1.082.4M2022-08-07
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.19.0452-0.60%8.94-1.76%0.0088✓0.531.4M2022-08-07
UOSUltraEthereum0.312690.310894-0.57%0.31695+1.36%0.0258✗1.17398k2022-08-07
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.65e-7-0.55%9.80e-7+1.03%0.0213✗1.0024k2022-08-07
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021210.021103-0.51%0.04057+91.28%0.6594✗1.03159k2022-08-07
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.713.6918-0.49%4.058+9.38%0.0986✗0.721.3M2022-08-07
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07160.071254-0.48%0.109+52.23%0.4297✗0.82148k2022-08-07
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41870.416702-0.48%0.4806+14.78%0.1501✗1.33112k2022-08-07
LCXLCXEthereum0.06290.062627-0.43%0.0605-3.82%0.0267✓1.40339k2022-08-07
ZECZcashZcash64.3964.1255-0.41%70.26+9.12%0.0984✗1.251.5M2022-08-07
NEXONEXOEthereum0.710.70722-0.39%0.751+5.77%0.0669✗1.22776k2022-08-07
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018410.018341-0.38%0.01788-2.88%0.0212✓0.76248k2022-08-07
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.01034.995-0.31%4.899-2.22%0.0182✓0.21210k2022-08-07
CVCCivicEthereum0.15080.150378-0.28%0.1618+7.29%0.0801✗1.2490k2022-08-07
TRXTRONTron0.0689340.068751-0.27%0.069658+1.05%0.0174✗0.77373k2022-08-07
GTGateEthereum4.45154.4412-0.23%4.7602+6.93%0.0734✗0.73920k2022-08-07
PROPropyEthereum0.760.758319-0.22%0.84+10.53%0.1057✗0.6079k2022-08-07
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3662.361-0.21%2.458+3.89%0.0454✗0.92105k2022-08-07
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062840.006276-0.13%0.006475+3.04%0.0363✗0.909,1592022-08-07
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.41e-73.42e-7+0.07%3.42e-7+0.30%0.0076✓0.95178k2022-08-07
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.096250.096384+0.14%0.08532-11.36%0.1206✗0.241.1M2022-08-07
GITCOINGITCOIN3.16883.1926+0.75%3.0557-3.57%0.0351✗1.5611k2022-08-07
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06780.068481+1.00%0.0794+17.11%0.1539✓1.07432k2022-08-07
CBKCobakEthereum1.12031.1323+1.07%1.1657+4.05%0.0352✓1.1010k2022-08-07
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0226140.022966+1.56%0.023491+3.88%0.0281✓0.989,2332022-08-07
BORABORAKlay Token0.323170.330137+2.16%0.35815+10.82%0.0888✓1.3111k2022-08-07
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.