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2022-07-28 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0803
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.14%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
25.5%
in alpha space · 46.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.15%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011460.01043-8.99%0.009-21.47%0.0804✓1.27352k2022-08-04
OPTIMOptimism1.4481.3409-7.40%1.918+32.46%0.4620✗1.971.1M2022-08-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.227.639-7.07%9.2+11.92%0.2580✗1.36256k2022-08-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.8338.4788-5.76%34.8-14.77%0.0253✓1.421.3M2022-08-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,140.608,680.98-5.03%10,646.82+16.48%0.2771✗1.384.0M2022-08-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1353.9497-4.48%3.777-8.66%0.0476✗1.753.8M2022-08-04
UNIUniswapEthereum9.2758.8886-4.17%8.819-4.92%0.0667✗1.416.7M2022-08-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4072.3132-3.90%2.252-6.44%0.0488✗1.43160k2022-08-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.54481.4863-3.78%1.3286-14.00%0.0324✓1.515.6M2022-08-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.4316.7807-3.73%21.62+24.04%0.2996✗0.882.4M2022-08-04
RADRadworksEthereum2.792.6879-3.66%2.48-11.11%0.0235✓1.08175k2022-08-04
QNTQuantEthereum103.78100.2522-3.40%103.74-0.04%0.0878✗1.014.1M2022-08-04
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8460.818533-3.25%0.786-7.09%0.0387✗1.503,1392022-08-04
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.072110.069818-3.18%0.0809+12.19%0.2276✗1.52768k2022-08-04
QTUMQtumQtum4.48454.3453-3.10%3.9592-11.71%0.0348✓1.1028k2022-08-04
METISMetisEthereum36.335.1996-3.03%46.01+26.75%0.3701✗1.94181k2022-08-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.0111.6681-2.85%11.07-7.83%0.0118✓1.22241k2022-08-04
APEApeCoinEthereum6.9246.7323-2.77%7.437+7.41%0.1882✗1.6811.5M2022-08-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.425470.41404-2.69%0.41954-1.39%0.0878✗1.41592k2022-08-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.94160.91692-2.62%1.0339+9.80%0.1825✗1.181.2M2022-08-04
ORCAOrcaSolana0.97640.950952-2.61%1.0192+4.38%0.1558✗1.64209k2022-08-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.872.7983-2.50%3.12+8.71%0.1901✗1.54192k2022-08-04
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8531.8099-2.32%1.967+6.15%0.1593✗1.44217k2022-08-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8450.825801-2.27%0.846+0.12%0.1159✗1.745.2M2022-08-04
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100260.000098121-2.13%0.00009925-1.01%0.1145✗1.95662k2022-08-04
BANDBandEthereum1.7561.7189-2.11%1.755-0.06%0.0977✗1.46316k2022-08-04
DODODODOEthereum0.16380.160337-2.11%0.1729+5.56%0.1431✗1.282.8M2022-08-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05240.051314-2.07%0.0537+2.48%0.1089✗1.20263k2022-08-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash155.69152.4928-2.05%134.34-13.71%0.0637✓1.193.9M2022-08-04
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7832.7271-2.01%2.728-1.98%0.0765✗1.4443k2022-08-04
FTTFTXEthereum30.2429.6516-1.95%29.14-3.64%0.0330✗0.9510.8M2022-08-04
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.48290.473522-1.94%0.5776+19.61%0.2515✗1.00224k2022-08-04
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0209380.020541-1.90%0.020525-1.97%0.0260✗0.51165k2022-08-04
API3Api3Ethereum1.8281.7934-1.89%2.223+21.61%0.2828✗1.29626k2022-08-04
SUSHISushiEthereum1.571.5405-1.88%1.47-6.37%0.0300✗1.451.0M2022-08-04
FISStafiEthereum0.43520.427031-1.88%–pending––0.912142022-08-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.30992.2678-1.83%2.1899-5.20%0.0309✗1.2524k2022-08-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.2323.7975-1.79%23.37-3.55%0.0666✗1.6027.5M2022-08-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02730.026813-1.78%0.03497+28.10%0.3472✗1.5411.5M2022-08-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.114.8311-1.78%15.86+5.03%0.1419✗1.421.5M2022-08-04
HIVEHivenative0.55270.542858-1.78%0.5813+5.17%0.1300✗1.161.5M2022-08-04
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5527-1.73%1.58+0.00%0.0312✗0.26283k2022-08-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.46540.45738-1.72%0.4388-5.72%0.0366✗1.48220k2022-08-04
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21920.215426-1.72%0.1995-8.99%0.0032✓1.391,1792022-08-04
COMPCompoundEthereum57.9756.9962-1.68%56-3.40%0.0559✗1.3932k2022-08-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.2657.1441-1.66%7.98+9.84%0.1775✗1.265.5M2022-08-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.85810.6799-1.64%10.359-4.60%0.0421✗1.3714.4M2022-08-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7730.760652-1.60%0.799+3.36%0.1020✗1.00360k2022-08-04
GMTGMTEthereum1.0120.996124-1.57%0.909-10.18%0.0020✓1.77551k2022-08-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.5618.2693-1.57%27.99+50.81%0.5002✗1.39534k2022-08-04
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8582.8136-1.55%2.596-9.17%0.0123✓1.7692k2022-08-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084060.082755-1.55%0.08615+2.49%0.1109✗1.3428k2022-08-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16450.161948-1.55%0.1642-0.18%0.0804✗1.26411k2022-08-04
AAVEAaveEthereum100.4198.8541-1.55%96.34-4.05%0.0625✗1.679.0M2022-08-04
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08460.083299-1.54%0.0854+0.95%0.0882✗1.20155k2022-08-04
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3571.3362-1.53%1.297-4.42%0.0358✗1.241.2M2022-08-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.028.8816-1.53%8.75-2.99%0.0133✓0.53918k2022-08-04
SOLSolanaSolana42.9342.2744-1.53%38.82-9.57%0.0128✓1.3781.8M2022-08-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.227.1103-1.52%7.364+1.99%0.1020✗1.2716.2M2022-08-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.275.1907-1.51%5.59+6.07%0.1071✗0.62786k2022-08-04
ADACardanoCardano0.51290.505205-1.50%0.4997-2.57%0.0553✗1.2543.2M2022-08-04
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06550.064521-1.49%0.0667+1.83%0.0839✗0.96183k2022-08-04
FIDABonfidaSolana0.50.492586-1.48%0.558+11.60%0.1852✗1.1413k2022-08-04
STEEMSteemnative0.25050.246791-1.48%0.2522+0.68%0.0830✗1.16643k2022-08-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6120.603016-1.47%0.686+12.09%0.2035✗1.4184k2022-08-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.408860.403086-1.41%0.40433-1.11%0.0677✗1.22118k2022-08-04
ETHEthereumEthereum1,725.191,701.24-1.39%1,608.16-6.78%0.0103✓1.26383.0M2022-08-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.1816.9417-1.39%17.75+3.32%0.1190✗1.371.3M2022-08-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.42952.396-1.38%3.1416+29.31%0.3123✗0.78884k2022-08-04
FORTFortaEthereum0.29510.291095-1.36%0.302+2.34%0.0968✗1.13323k2022-08-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.12070.119104-1.32%0.1447+19.88%0.2534✗1.11617k2022-08-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011850.000011695-1.31%0.00001185+0.00%0.0790✗1.25986k2022-08-04
XECeCashnative0.000044280.000043702-1.31%0.00004294-3.03%0.0445✗1.181.7M2022-08-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV63.1362.3075-1.30%60.269-4.53%0.0117✓0.85386k2022-08-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2160.213192-1.30%0.218+0.93%0.1021✗1.51786k2022-08-04
XEMNEMnative0.0492890.048653-1.29%0.05021+1.87%0.0941✗1.1832k2022-08-04
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.183560.181197-1.29%0.18887+2.89%0.1641✗2.321,1272022-08-04
DIADIAEthereum0.446410.440706-1.28%0.45707+2.39%0.0774✗0.7853k2022-08-04
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030570.030184-1.26%0.03038-0.62%0.0756✗1.311,3002022-08-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.4362.6374-1.25%59.65-5.96%0.0124✓1.1613.5M2022-08-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.365.2941-1.23%5.82+8.58%0.1300✗0.67514k2022-08-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.8567.7597-1.23%8.092+3.00%0.1084✗1.269.4M2022-08-04
ELAElastosEthereum1.7091.6882-1.22%1.814+6.14%0.1061✗0.65223k2022-08-04
DASHDashDash52.4851.8507-1.20%49.4-5.87%0.0108✓1.12594k2022-08-04
XMRMoneroMonero162.51160.572-1.19%159.25-2.01%0.0497✗1.101.3M2022-08-04
ZENHorizenBase18.4618.2406-1.19%17.32-6.18%0.0212✗1.38100k2022-08-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,851.7023,571.93-1.17%22,623.94-5.15%0.0118✓1.00429.5M2022-08-04
KSMKusamaHydration65.4464.6764-1.17%61.12-6.60%0.0064✓1.19244k2022-08-04
XVGVergenative0.003690.003647-1.16%0.00377+2.17%0.1024✗1.31505k2022-08-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.32022.2933-1.16%3.3721+45.34%0.4332✗0.90979k2022-08-04
XLMStellarStellar0.1166880.115358-1.14%0.113921-2.37%0.0403✗1.006.8M2022-08-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.9913.946-1.13%4.616+15.66%0.1884✗0.601.1M2022-08-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3741.3585-1.13%1.399+1.82%0.0974✗1.292.4M2022-08-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.9780.967015-1.12%1.1853+21.20%0.2518✗0.913.9M2022-08-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1164.0698-1.12%5.156+25.27%0.2657✗0.552.0M2022-08-04
STORJStorjEthereum0.671380.663965-1.10%0.66591-0.81%0.0836✗1.5379k2022-08-04
WOOWOOEthereum0.19860.196409-1.10%0.2175+9.52%0.1745✗1.371,5612022-08-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05470.0541-1.10%0.063+15.17%0.2216✗1.31765k2022-08-04
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2620.259174-1.08%0.2611-0.34%0.0080✓0.0131k2022-08-04
UMAUMAEthereum2.8642.8338-1.05%2.982+4.12%0.1093✗1.10597k2022-08-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.774.7202-1.04%5.54+16.14%0.1929✗0.62587k2022-08-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.7243.6854-1.04%3.982+6.93%0.1239✗0.88754k2022-08-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13590.134497-1.03%0.1392+2.43%0.0877✗1.013.2M2022-08-04
BTTCBTTC9.50e-79.40e-7-1.03%9.60e-7+1.05%0.0650✗0.845.9M2022-08-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031070.003076-1.00%0.003069-1.22%0.0505✗1.001.0M2022-08-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12160.120392-0.99%0.1269+4.36%0.1053✗1.005,8712022-08-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047440.046975-0.98%0.0491+3.50%0.0922✗0.9115k2022-08-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0691040.068428-0.98%0.067353-2.53%0.0450✗1.151.7M2022-08-04
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11731.1064-0.98%1.0505-5.98%0.0028✓1.0312k2022-08-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33630.333019-0.98%0.3361-0.06%0.0698✗1.157.7M2022-08-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03870.038328-0.96%0.0421+8.79%0.1589✗1.2368k2022-08-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010980.001087-0.95%0.001089-0.82%0.0699✗1.301.6M2022-08-04
IMXImmutableEthereum0.95280.943779-0.95%1.1273+18.31%0.2532✗1.431.4M2022-08-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31360.310645-0.94%0.3306+5.42%0.1253✗1.192.7M2022-08-04
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8840.875868-0.92%1.214+37.33%0.3642✗0.711.2M2022-08-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.160010.158559-0.91%0.16-0.01%0.0907✗1.55205k2022-08-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.3573.3283-0.86%3.844+14.51%0.1759✗0.601.5M2022-08-04
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.075340.074722-0.82%0.07693+2.11%0.0680✗0.741,3772022-08-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,875.3023,679.96-0.82%22,495.20-5.78%0.0004✓0.9819k2022-08-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11480.113866-0.81%0.1202+4.70%0.1273✗1.382.5M2022-08-04
STXStacksnative0.43440.430997-0.78%0.4737+9.05%0.1609✗1.26606k2022-08-04
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7490.743229-0.77%0.727-2.94%0.0575✗1.5180k2022-08-04
MOVRMoonriverBase14.286314.1769-0.77%14.6359+2.45%0.0949✗1.1970k2022-08-04
XVSVenusEthereum5.65.558-0.75%6.43+14.82%0.2203✗1.41959k2022-08-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.24060.238814-0.74%0.2263-5.94%0.0249✗1.4999k2022-08-04
SCSiacoinnative0.004420.004389-0.71%0.00454+2.71%0.1038✗1.32106k2022-08-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.935.8881-0.71%8.092+36.46%0.3762✗1.102.0M2022-08-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24420.242487-0.70%0.2485+1.76%0.0899✗1.24110k2022-08-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015240.001513-0.69%0.001657+8.73%0.1443✗1.0120k2022-08-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.34.2704-0.69%4.83+12.33%0.1611✗0.72685k2022-08-04
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.273.2479-0.68%3.09-5.50%0.0234✓0.5082k2022-08-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.51.49-0.67%1.502+0.13%0.0837✗1.43561k2022-08-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043190.042914-0.64%0.04386+1.55%0.0730✗0.971,9372022-08-04
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49940.496432-0.59%0.5677+13.68%0.1934✗1.1242k2022-08-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1170.116315-0.59%0.1168-0.17%0.0609✗1.07357k2022-08-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.008950.008898-0.58%0.00822-8.16%0.0308✓0.921.6M2022-08-04
NANOnanopayBase0.9965430.991041-0.55%1.0151+1.87%0.0757✗0.9857k2022-08-04
MANADecentralandEthereum0.980390.975083-0.54%0.99245+1.23%0.0885✗1.34399k2022-08-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.57640.573301-0.54%0.5965+3.49%0.1015✗1.17624k2022-08-04
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4310.428744-0.52%0.4162-3.43%0.0418✗1.35104k2022-08-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009230.009182-0.52%0.00979+6.07%0.1153✗0.974.7M2022-08-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029930.029774-0.52%0.03231+7.95%0.1480✗1.2514k2022-08-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0154290.01535-0.51%0.015595+1.08%0.0630✗0.891.2M2022-08-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3309680.3293-0.50%0.340211+2.79%0.1007✗1.291.0M2022-08-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.1060.105498-0.47%0.1096+3.40%0.1076✗1.32491k2022-08-04
KCSKuCoinnative10.34310.298-0.43%10.035-2.98%0.0319✗1.092.4M2022-08-04
FLOWFlownative1.8761.8681-0.42%2.6+38.59%0.3979✗1.27413k2022-08-04
GLMGolemEthereum0.25470.253734-0.38%0.2606+2.32%0.0841✗1.0963k2022-08-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069010.006876-0.36%0.0067-2.91%0.0024✓0.5440k2022-08-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54660.544671-0.35%0.5454-0.22%0.0615✗1.14350k2022-08-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020990.020922-0.32%0.02113+0.67%0.0644✗1.03136k2022-08-04
UOSUltraEthereum0.325690.324637-0.32%0.31338-3.78%0.0268✗1.18407k2022-08-04
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08360.083347-0.30%0.0731-12.56%0.0876✓0.83155k2022-08-04
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.50212.4946-0.30%2.9175+16.60%0.2086✗0.98863k2022-08-04
XTZTezosTezos1.71661.7117-0.29%1.8249+6.31%0.1305✗1.26492k2022-08-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.32295.31-0.24%5-6.07%0.0492✓0.21214k2022-08-04
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018830.018787-0.23%0.01758-6.64%0.0262✓0.76263k2022-08-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.591.5865-0.22%1.7+6.92%0.1423✗1.38114k2022-08-04
LSKLiskEthereum1.13561.1332-0.21%1.1502+1.28%0.0716✗1.0743k2022-08-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.6342.6287-0.20%2.415-8.31%0.0359✓0.93105k2022-08-04
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7230.721743-0.17%0.738+2.07%0.0860✗1.21806k2022-08-04
ZECZcashZcash63.6463.5485-0.14%64.38+1.16%0.0804✗1.271.5M2022-08-04
TRXTRONTron0.0697620.069738-0.03%0.068981-1.12%0.0307✗0.79376k2022-08-04
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.60e-7-0.01%9.50e-7-1.04%0.0424✗1.0024k2022-08-04
GALAGALAEthereum0.05320.05327+0.13%0.0593+11.47%0.1842✓1.46109k2022-08-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061790.006188+0.15%0.006146-0.54%0.0400✓0.894,8812022-08-04
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13060.13083+0.18%0.1347+3.14%0.0976✓1.3049k2022-08-04
PROPropyEthereum0.80.801413+0.18%0.74-7.50%0.0473✗0.6179k2022-08-04
XYMSymbolnative0.0550410.055166+0.23%0.054264-1.41%0.0159✓0.6120k2022-08-04
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04430.044411+0.25%0.0482+8.80%0.1527✓1.347,1312022-08-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.4983.5076+0.27%3.83+9.49%0.1252✓0.71497k2022-08-04
GTGateEthereum4.29644.3082+0.27%4.55+5.90%0.0928✓0.72968k2022-08-04
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7530.755082+0.28%0.782+3.85%0.1009✓1.25178k2022-08-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07010.0703+0.29%0.0733+4.56%0.0981✓1.07299k2022-08-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3040.304979+0.32%0.333+9.54%0.1429✓1.04681k2022-08-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.14980.150285+0.32%0.1561+4.21%0.1039✓1.2587k2022-08-04
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.64e-73.65e-7+0.34%3.56e-7-2.07%0.0262✓0.96195k2022-08-04
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30140.302501+0.37%0.329+9.16%0.1445✓1.1575k2022-08-04
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.094340.094819+0.51%0.08541-9.47%0.0907✗0.26859k2022-08-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.06290.063277+0.60%0.0616-2.07%0.0474✓1.41337k2022-08-04
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08490.08541+0.60%0.0975+14.84%0.1965✓1.216,3652022-08-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0218760.022146+1.23%0.022448+2.61%0.0656✓0.988,3682022-08-04
GITCOINGITCOIN2.84362.8897+1.62%3.1854+12.02%0.1812✓1.5810k2022-08-04
CBKCobakEthereum1.0441.0621+1.73%1.1129+6.60%0.1054✓1.119,1202022-08-04
BORABORAKlay Token0.317510.325295+2.45%0.36281+14.27%0.1786✓1.3111k2022-08-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.