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2022-07-26 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0375
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-3.62%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
36.2%
in alpha space · 6.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+8.13%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
RADRadworksEthereum2.652.4991-5.69%2.46-7.17%0.1014✓1.10157k2022-08-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.7820.9693-3.72%27.79+27.59%0.1618✗1.53454k2022-08-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.403990.390355-3.38%0.3926-2.82%0.1101✓1.48592k2022-08-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.115.5797-3.23%21.17+31.49%0.2370✗0.892.2M2022-08-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9113.7856-3.21%3.951+1.02%0.0317✓0.95638k2022-08-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.904410.876383-3.10%1.0569+16.86%0.1096✗0.9910k2022-08-02
FISStafiEthereum0.45780.443792-3.06%0.381-16.78%0.2508✓1.263902022-08-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0772.014-3.03%2.285+10.01%0.0127✓1.45132k2022-08-02
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7520.72977-2.96%0.816+8.51%0.0089✓1.543,6872022-08-02
OPTIMOptimism0.8260.801939-2.91%1.635+97.94%0.5730✗1.781.1M2022-08-02
QNTQuantEthereum92.9690.4081-2.75%103.43+11.26%0.0539✗1.033.7M2022-08-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.614.4955-2.48%6.51+41.21%0.3240✗0.59713k2022-08-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,861.886,693.59-2.45%10,752.27+56.70%0.3677✗1.364.0M2022-08-02
QTUMQtumQtum3.68813.5982-2.44%3.9681+7.59%0.0138✓1.0826k2022-08-02
HIVEHivenative0.50060.488506-2.42%0.5942+18.70%0.1028✗1.191.5M2022-08-02
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4720.460699-2.39%0.519+9.96%0.0267✗1.1811k2022-08-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.95.7613-2.35%8.1+37.29%0.2377✗1.32248k2022-08-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0186060.018177-2.30%0.021484+15.47%0.1293✗0.48163k2022-08-02
LUNATerraTerra 20.000092060.000089963-2.28%0.00010013+8.77%0.0400✓1.88715k2022-08-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6780.663358-2.16%0.823+21.39%0.0779✗1.765.2M2022-08-02
APEApeCoinEthereum5.7585.6347-2.14%6.638+15.28%0.0299✗1.7111.5M2022-08-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.262.2137-2.05%2.72+20.35%0.0874✗1.52184k2022-08-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.16861.1447-2.04%1.3359+14.32%0.0390✗1.485.1M2022-08-02
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.42250.413941-2.03%0.5474+29.56%0.2013✗1.00224k2022-08-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14870.145692-2.02%0.1596+7.33%0.0094✓1.29379k2022-08-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025070.024566-2.01%0.03854+53.73%0.3260✗1.5912.6M2022-08-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04730.046363-1.98%0.0531+12.26%0.0398✗1.23256k2022-08-02
DODODODOEthereum0.14280.139988-1.97%0.1716+20.17%0.1025✗1.292.8M2022-08-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.41540.40726-1.96%0.4462+7.41%0.0261✓1.50220k2022-08-02
FTTFTXEthereum27.0726.5546-1.90%29.4+8.61%0.0274✗0.9510.5M2022-08-02
XEMNEMnative0.0445030.043657-1.90%0.048695+9.42%0.0152✓1.2022k2022-08-02
STEEMSteemnative0.23350.229066-1.90%0.2502+7.15%0.0033✓1.17768k2022-08-02
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.256841-1.89%0.2618+0.00%0.0181✓0.0131k2022-08-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.1624.7046-1.81%36.59+45.43%0.2914✗1.301.3M2022-08-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.033.9575-1.80%5.05+25.31%0.1871✗0.73612k2022-08-02
FORTFortaEthereum0.29010.284892-1.80%0.3039+4.76%0.0299✓1.21337k2022-08-02
AVTAventusEthereum1.41.3751-1.78%1.55+10.71%0.1012✗0.24319k2022-08-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014320.001407-1.76%0.001664+16.20%0.0855✗1.0520k2022-08-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.5876.4715-1.75%8+21.45%0.1118✗1.285.3M2022-08-02
ADACardanoCardano0.46830.460145-1.74%0.4966+6.04%0.0233✓1.2741.4M2022-08-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030040.002952-1.74%0.003157+5.09%0.0122✓1.021.0M2022-08-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07880.07744-1.73%0.0857+8.76%0.0047✓1.24162k2022-08-02
METISMetisEthereum27.7627.2828-1.72%33.21+19.63%0.1185✗1.00164k2022-08-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044310.043552-1.71%0.04946+11.62%0.0546✗0.9315k2022-08-02
KSMKusamaHydration58.1357.1375-1.71%60.95+4.85%0.0297✓1.21231k2022-08-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.177.0478-1.70%9.54+33.05%0.2662✗0.47704k2022-08-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3446.236-1.70%7.179+13.16%0.0410✗1.2816.2M2022-08-02
ORCAOrcaSolana0.81220.798385-1.70%1.0822+33.24%0.1777✗1.62209k2022-08-02
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06210.061051-1.69%0.068+9.50%0.0303✗0.99156k2022-08-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.19862.1615-1.69%3.0467+38.57%0.2826✗0.78884k2022-08-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.94950.933488-1.69%0.9732+2.50%0.0325✓0.953.5M2022-08-02
UNIUniswapEthereum6.6556.543-1.68%8.248+23.94%0.1262✗1.355.7M2022-08-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.94.8181-1.67%6.03+23.06%0.1735✗0.65514k2022-08-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.84890.834736-1.67%0.9992+17.71%0.0854✗1.211.2M2022-08-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1970.19372-1.66%0.212+7.61%0.0311✓1.55834k2022-08-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.1514.8985-1.66%17.22+13.66%0.0366✗1.381.3M2022-08-02
DIADIAEthereum0.398220.391673-1.64%0.45527+14.33%0.0912✗0.7651k2022-08-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1783.1258-1.64%3.883+22.18%0.1694✗0.611.5M2022-08-02
XLMStellarStellar0.1055780.103871-1.62%0.115136+9.05%0.0242✗1.016.7M2022-08-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2721.2515-1.62%1.364+7.23%0.0170✓1.322.4M2022-08-02
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8510.837269-1.61%1.218+43.13%0.3163✗0.751.1M2022-08-02
GMTGMTEthereum0.9010.886485-1.61%0.908+0.78%0.1157✓1.79551k2022-08-02
XVGVergenative0.003420.003366-1.59%0.00371+8.48%0.0078✓1.35539k2022-08-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06580.064756-1.59%0.08676+31.85%0.1916✗1.2927k2022-08-02
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.173.12-1.58%3.18+0.32%0.0222✓0.5377k2022-08-02
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.028020.027582-1.56%0.0314+12.06%0.0235✗1.361,2882022-08-02
BANDBandEthereum1.4081.386-1.56%1.635+16.12%0.0516✗1.45303k2022-08-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.972.9236-1.56%3.801+27.98%0.1306✗1.693.7M2022-08-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5530.544358-1.56%0.608+9.95%0.0019✓1.4483k2022-08-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7513.6931-1.54%4.526+20.66%0.1561✗0.601.1M2022-08-02
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5211.4975-1.54%2.017+32.61%0.1845✗1.45212k2022-08-02
XMRMoneroMonero151.3148.9658-1.54%156.99+3.76%0.0348✓1.121.2M2022-08-02
XYMSymbolnative0.0524420.051643-1.52%0.05605+6.88%0.0333✗0.6218k2022-08-02
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6510.641093-1.52%0.709+8.91%0.0186✓1.5372k2022-08-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2613.2115-1.52%3.985+22.20%0.1618✗0.69488k2022-08-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068940.006789-1.52%0.006716-2.58%0.0547✓0.5642k2022-08-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.3110.306298-1.51%0.3267+5.05%0.0279✓1.187.5M2022-08-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.58553.7656-1.50%60.953+11.67%0.0597✗0.84369k2022-08-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.7826.6817-1.48%7.928+16.90%0.0735✗1.258.7M2022-08-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.812.6127-1.46%14.94+16.72%0.0589✗1.411.3M2022-08-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.364.2964-1.46%5.73+31.42%0.2404✗0.61555k2022-08-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0625680.061679-1.42%0.066529+6.33%0.0149✓1.161.8M2022-08-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06530.064375-1.42%0.0745+14.09%0.0615✗1.08264k2022-08-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.7120.4175-1.41%22.85+10.33%0.0127✓1.6027.5M2022-08-02
API3Api3Ethereum1.5811.5589-1.40%1.966+24.35%0.1316✗1.29619k2022-08-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.11282.0833-1.40%3.3336+57.78%0.4004✗0.89971k2022-08-02
STXStacksnative0.39480.389286-1.40%0.4398+11.40%0.0220✗1.28606k2022-08-02
WOOWOOEthereum0.1850.182437-1.39%0.225+21.62%0.0976✗1.431,6202022-08-02
UMAUMAEthereum2.5952.5591-1.38%2.934+13.06%0.0491✗1.12597k2022-08-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.14440.142402-1.38%0.1626+12.60%0.0089✓1.58176k2022-08-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11260.111043-1.38%0.1238+9.95%0.0299✗1.015,4502022-08-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.2279.0996-1.38%9.92+7.51%0.0206✓1.3713.2M2022-08-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3215.2476-1.38%8.196+54.03%0.3590✗1.111.9M2022-08-02
XECeCashnative0.00003920.000038661-1.38%0.00004282+9.23%0.0094✓1.191.8M2022-08-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.6913.6403-1.37%5.16+39.80%0.3072✗0.531.9M2022-08-02
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18020.177772-1.35%0.202+12.10%0.0179✗1.411,0652022-08-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.03940.038872-1.34%0.044+11.68%0.0472✗0.981,9372022-08-02
ELAElastosEthereum1.5451.5244-1.33%1.796+16.25%0.1139✗0.64223k2022-08-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.366150.361281-1.33%0.39795+8.68%0.0002✓1.24113k2022-08-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04660.045981-1.33%0.0581+24.68%0.1293✗1.34765k2022-08-02
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1831.1674-1.32%1.27+7.35%0.0129✓1.241.2M2022-08-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,261.5720,990.28-1.28%22,989.40+8.13%0.0128✗1.00395.4M2022-08-02
SUSHISushiEthereum1.271.2539-1.27%1.36+7.09%0.0325✓1.46912k2022-08-02
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2042.1763-1.26%2.716+23.23%0.1107✗1.4237k2022-08-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6360.628042-1.25%0.744+16.98%0.0937✗0.97360k2022-08-02
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.162440.160417-1.25%0.18917+16.46%0.0268✓2.451,1272022-08-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12050.119018-1.23%0.1435+19.09%0.1084✗1.013.1M2022-08-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86271.8399-1.23%2.1689+16.44%0.0685✗1.2324k2022-08-02
DASHDashDash43.9943.4519-1.22%48.53+10.32%0.0240✗1.11517k2022-08-02
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3152.2869-1.21%2.8083+21.31%0.1277✗0.99806k2022-08-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22450.22179-1.21%0.2502+11.45%0.0218✗1.26119k2022-08-02
CELLCellframeEthereum0.27980.276445-1.20%0.318+13.65%0.0499✗1.1570k2022-08-02
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.3292.3013-1.19%2.6+11.64%0.0146✓1.7592k2022-08-02
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.60e-7-1.19%9.70e-7+11.49%0.0550✗0.845.9M2022-08-02
SOLSolanaSolana36.2935.8608-1.18%39.81+9.70%0.0022✓1.3781.1M2022-08-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0141890.014023-1.17%0.015628+10.14%0.0377✗0.901.2M2022-08-02
SCSiacoinnative0.003960.003914-1.16%0.00462+16.67%0.0606✗1.35106k2022-08-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010870.000010747-1.13%0.00001175+8.10%0.0097✓1.271.0M2022-08-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.53720.53113-1.13%0.6132+14.15%0.0504✗1.19642k2022-08-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,133.3020,898.19-1.11%23,023.60+8.94%0.0206✗0.9819k2022-08-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026830.026532-1.11%0.03144+17.18%0.0703✗1.2715k2022-08-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.008370.008279-1.09%0.00839+0.24%0.0593✓0.931.4M2022-08-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.10350.102377-1.08%0.1359+31.30%0.1973✗1.10617k2022-08-02
UOSUltraEthereum0.317390.313979-1.07%0.30205-4.83%0.1335✓1.21400k2022-08-02
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068690.067956-1.07%0.0777+13.12%0.0769✗0.731,5492022-08-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04060.040169-1.06%0.0463+14.04%0.0350✗1.377,5232022-08-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008680.008588-1.05%0.00965+11.18%0.0392✗0.994.2M2022-08-02
ZENHorizenBase15.1715.0122-1.04%17.17+13.18%0.0258✗1.3997k2022-08-02
MANADecentralandEthereum0.878770.869659-1.04%0.95943+9.18%0.0081✓1.36392k2022-08-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27630.273447-1.03%0.3198+15.74%0.0626✗1.202.7M2022-08-02
GALAGALAEthereum0.04770.04721-1.03%0.0595+24.74%0.1157✗1.48109k2022-08-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.09490.093925-1.03%0.1134+19.49%0.0839✗1.34491k2022-08-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.35121.3374-1.02%1.4894+10.23%0.0057✓1.45540k2022-08-02
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43510.430646-1.02%0.4841+11.26%0.0295✗1.1242k2022-08-02
IMXImmutableEthereum0.81580.807481-1.02%1.0451+28.11%0.1454✗1.441.4M2022-08-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00097250.000962633-1.01%0.001085+11.56%0.0177✗1.301.7M2022-08-02
ETHEthereumEthereum1,449.631,434.97-1.01%1,631.28+12.53%0.0309✗1.25354.3M2022-08-02
COMPCompoundEthereum48.1447.6564-1.00%56.33+17.01%0.0590✗1.3932k2022-08-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09720.096249-0.98%0.1168+20.16%0.0871✗1.362.4M2022-08-02
STORJStorjEthereum0.607290.601357-0.98%0.65971+8.63%0.0299✓1.5780k2022-08-02
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08310.082291-0.97%0.073-12.15%0.1866✓0.85148k2022-08-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10760.106579-0.95%0.1155+7.34%0.0051✓1.09362k2022-08-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3012.2792-0.95%2.419+5.13%0.0126✓0.92105k2022-08-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058670.005812-0.94%0.006204+5.75%0.0057✓0.913,1552022-08-02
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36680.363415-0.92%0.4029+9.84%0.0029✓1.3673k2022-08-02
KCSKuCoinnative9.6649.575-0.92%9.938+2.84%0.0501✓1.122.1M2022-08-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48870.484213-0.92%0.5396+10.42%0.0189✗1.14350k2022-08-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019890.019712-0.90%0.02154+8.30%0.0061✓1.06136k2022-08-02
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.049050.048618-0.88%0.08648+76.31%0.4616✗1.46747k2022-08-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.953.4261-0.88%58.09+7.77%0.0064✓1.1513.5M2022-08-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006290.006237-0.84%0.00928+47.54%0.3183✗1.01352k2022-08-02
MOVRMoonriverBase12.190512.088-0.84%14.5774+19.58%0.0935✗1.2073k2022-08-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2760.273716-0.83%0.328+18.84%0.0984✗1.06620k2022-08-02
LSKLiskEthereum1.05691.0483-0.81%1.163+10.05%0.0182✗1.1045k2022-08-02
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6620.656702-0.80%0.774+16.92%0.0664✗1.25149k2022-08-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.391.3789-0.80%1.57+12.95%0.0188✗1.42122k2022-08-02
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.43e-73.40e-7-0.79%3.39e-7-1.10%0.0801✓0.99229k2022-08-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20850.206862-0.79%0.2308+10.70%0.0079✓1.5099k2022-08-02
GLMGolemEthereum0.23690.235087-0.77%0.2636+11.27%0.0276✗1.1162k2022-08-02
FLOWFlownative1.5961.5839-0.76%1.874+17.42%0.0696✗1.26379k2022-08-02
NANOnanopayBase0.8970470.890385-0.74%1.0235+14.10%0.0626✗0.9857k2022-08-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03310.032855-0.74%0.0396+19.64%0.0903✗1.2368k2022-08-02
AAVEAaveEthereum81.2680.6765-0.72%93.42+14.96%0.0172✗1.668.1M2022-08-02
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07630.075761-0.71%0.0936+22.67%0.1156✗1.236,3652022-08-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.13440.133474-0.69%0.1674+24.55%0.1275✗1.2784k2022-08-02
PROPropyEthereum0.760.754772-0.69%0.76+0.00%0.0402✓0.6083k2022-08-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2894490.287495-0.68%0.34061+17.68%0.0681✗1.301.0M2022-08-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0201520.020017-0.67%0.024372+20.94%0.1188✗1.006,9032022-08-02
XTZTezosTezos1.55611.5461-0.64%1.7139+10.14%0.0028✓1.28492k2022-08-02
XVSVenusEthereum4.984.9486-0.63%6.57+31.93%0.1712✗1.44939k2022-08-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash118.94118.2216-0.60%133.77+12.47%0.0331✗1.164.0M2022-08-02
TRXTRONTron0.0653390.064955-0.59%0.06831+4.55%0.0120✓0.80382k2022-08-02
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6490.645363-0.56%0.742+14.33%0.0449✗1.21758k2022-08-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.288.2351-0.54%11.02+33.09%0.2011✗1.15241k2022-08-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.05860.058285-0.54%0.0612+4.44%0.0641✓1.44342k2022-08-02
ZECZcashZcash55.7555.4564-0.53%61.49+10.30%0.0027✓1.291.4M2022-08-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.09465.0688-0.51%5.0698-0.49%0.0152✓0.20219k2022-08-02
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11950.118901-0.50%0.1378+15.31%0.0436✗1.3354k2022-08-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017410.017341-0.40%0.01794+3.04%0.0259✓0.77324k2022-08-02
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.67e-7-0.32%0.00000101+16.09%0.0743✗1.0025k2022-08-02
GTGateEthereum4.01664.0039-0.32%4.3491+8.28%0.0263✗0.72919k2022-08-02
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.09040.090135-0.29%0.08996-0.49%0.0801✓1.00722k2022-08-02
CBKCobakEthereum0.964640.966455+0.19%1.126+16.73%0.0642✓1.139,1202022-08-02
GITCOINGITCOIN2.26932.2868+0.77%2.7482+21.10%0.0609✓1.579,1162022-08-02
BORABORAKlay Token0.292850.29596+1.06%0.34832+18.94%0.0575✓1.359,6072022-08-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.