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2022-07-25 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0200
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.26%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
27.2%
in alpha space · 6.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+9.20%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BORABORAKlay Token0.293060.295778+0.93%0.34549+17.89%0.0373✓1.349,2162022-08-01
GITCOINGITCOIN2.26452.2839+0.86%2.859+26.25%0.0863✓1.579,0562022-08-01
CBKCobakEthereum0.985390.990024+0.47%1.1991+21.69%0.0920✓1.138,4242022-08-01
GTGateEthereum3.96963.9604-0.23%4.4164+11.26%0.0459✗0.72919k2022-08-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0204790.02041-0.34%0.023621+15.34%0.0585✗1.006,1832022-08-01
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11940.118968-0.36%0.1438+20.44%0.0721✗1.3447k2022-08-01
ZECZcashZcash54.253.9863-0.39%62.87+16.00%0.0394✗1.281.4M2022-08-01
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.00e-78.96e-7-0.41%9.60e-7+6.67%0.0193✓1.0025k2022-08-01
XTZTezosTezos1.50841.5019-0.43%1.8199+20.65%0.0793✗1.28492k2022-08-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017920.01784-0.45%0.0179-0.11%0.0642✓0.77354k2022-08-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.0590.058716-0.48%0.0602+2.03%0.1010✓1.43328k2022-08-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.08625.0616-0.48%5.19+2.04%0.0080✗0.19214k2022-08-01
TRXTRONTron0.0636630.063343-0.50%0.069972+9.91%0.0295✗0.80373k2022-08-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash118.03117.4192-0.52%137.87+16.81%0.0586✗1.164.2M2022-08-01
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.093290.092797-0.53%0.09236-1.00%0.0927✓1.00706k2022-08-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2814470.279945-0.53%0.362765+28.89%0.1447✗1.301.1M2022-08-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.13160.130881-0.55%0.1647+25.15%0.1188✗1.2681k2022-08-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.448.3905-0.59%11.25+33.29%0.1912✗1.16243k2022-08-01
GLMGolemEthereum0.23210.230684-0.61%0.277+19.35%0.0856✗1.1161k2022-08-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019370.019252-0.61%0.02156+11.31%0.0204✗1.06129k2022-08-01
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07850.077983-0.66%0.0951+21.15%0.0905✗1.236,7862022-08-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.371.3606-0.69%1.63+18.98%0.0543✗1.44127k2022-08-01
AAVEAaveEthereum81.480.8314-0.70%96.58+18.65%0.0319✗1.668.1M2022-08-01
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6810.676226-0.70%0.727+6.75%0.0342✓1.21758k2022-08-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056290.005589-0.71%0.006321+12.30%0.0428✗0.912,9222022-08-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.05261.045-0.73%1.246+18.37%0.0792✗1.1045k2022-08-01
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.047940.047577-0.76%0.0805+67.92%0.3973✗1.46712k2022-08-01
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6740.668866-0.76%0.793+17.66%0.0599✗1.25149k2022-08-01
XVSVenusEthereum5.085.0404-0.78%6.51+28.15%0.1302✗1.43947k2022-08-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03370.033433-0.79%0.0413+22.55%0.1026✗1.2472k2022-08-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.013450.013343-0.79%0.015017+11.65%0.0381✗0.911.2M2022-08-01
FLOWFlownative1.6271.614-0.80%2.025+24.46%0.1158✗1.26332k2022-08-01
KCSKuCoinnative9.469.3833-0.81%9.963+5.32%0.0379✓1.112.1M2022-08-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2810.278718-0.81%0.335+19.22%0.0918✗1.05673k2022-08-01
PROPropyEthereum0.790.783581-0.81%0.78-1.27%0.0653✓0.6983k2022-08-01
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36240.359437-0.82%0.4239+16.97%0.0454✗1.3670k2022-08-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.30961.2986-0.84%1.5747+20.24%0.0647✗1.46561k2022-08-01
NANOnanopayBase0.9137150.90597-0.85%1.0185+11.47%0.0309✗0.9851k2022-08-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.0253.5599-0.85%59.47+10.09%0.0035✓1.1513.6M2022-08-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48880.484589-0.86%0.5574+14.03%0.0392✗1.15350k2022-08-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.09280.091988-0.87%0.1162+25.22%0.1158✗1.34502k2022-08-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09570.094859-0.88%0.1236+29.15%0.1438✗1.372.4M2022-08-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10780.106819-0.91%0.1207+11.97%0.0262✗1.09380k2022-08-01
MANADecentralandEthereum0.873470.865511-0.91%1.0163+16.35%0.0413✗1.36423k2022-08-01
STORJStorjEthereum0.597970.592506-0.91%0.71157+19.00%0.0454✗1.5686k2022-08-01
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.57e-73.54e-7-0.93%3.29e-7-7.87%0.1593✓0.99234k2022-08-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21570.213681-0.94%0.2307+6.95%0.0548✓1.4999k2022-08-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008430.008351-0.94%0.01021+21.12%0.1143✗0.994.5M2022-08-01
GALAGALAEthereum0.04760.047148-0.95%0.0648+36.13%0.1875✗1.48119k2022-08-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.10140.100429-0.96%0.1494+47.34%0.2998✗1.11617k2022-08-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27480.272117-0.98%0.336+22.27%0.1052✗1.202.7M2022-08-01
ETHEthereumEthereum1,440.751,426.68-0.98%1,630.82+13.19%0.0243✗1.24344.6M2022-08-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006550.006486-0.98%0.00938+43.21%0.2801✗1.01355k2022-08-01
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43540.431134-0.98%0.4966+14.06%0.0428✗1.1241k2022-08-01
MOVRMoonriverBase12.677312.5528-0.98%15.1343+19.38%0.0815✗1.2078k2022-08-01
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82490.816662-1.00%1.0789+30.79%0.1520✗1.441.4M2022-08-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.52560.520323-1.00%0.6196+17.88%0.0689✗1.20642k2022-08-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026750.02648-1.01%0.03204+19.78%0.0785✗1.2718k2022-08-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08550.084635-1.01%0.0641-25.03%0.3516✓0.84148k2022-08-01
WOOWOOEthereum0.1740.172239-1.01%0.2106+21.03%0.0754✗1.431,7562022-08-01
ZENHorizenBase15.2515.0953-1.01%18.16+19.08%0.0628✗1.3997k2022-08-01
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025710.025445-1.03%0.03001+16.73%0.0459✗1.351,3002022-08-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010690.00001058-1.03%0.00001197+11.97%0.0125✗1.261.1M2022-08-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22210.219741-1.06%0.2631+18.46%0.0692✗1.26119k2022-08-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04140.040952-1.08%0.0483+16.67%0.0458✗1.357,5232022-08-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.27570.272712-1.08%0.3238+17.45%0.0711✗1.1465k2022-08-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00099010.000979368-1.08%0.001096+10.71%0.0022✓1.311.7M2022-08-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.008450.008358-1.09%0.00842-0.36%0.0743✓0.931.3M2022-08-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.83871.8181-1.12%2.2681+23.36%0.1133✗1.2324k2022-08-01
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.2982.2722-1.12%2.7968+21.71%0.1196✗1.00863k2022-08-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6230.615915-1.14%0.772+23.92%0.1407✗0.97387k2022-08-01
SCSiacoinnative0.003970.003925-1.14%0.00478+20.40%0.0791✗1.34106k2022-08-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4172.3895-1.14%2.435+0.74%0.0617✓0.92105k2022-08-01
XMRMoneroMonero144.12142.4759-1.14%160.69+11.50%0.0229✗1.111.1M2022-08-01
COMPCompoundEthereum50.2449.6644-1.15%58.9+17.24%0.0490✗1.3832k2022-08-01
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1772.152-1.15%2.947+35.37%0.1897✗1.4237k2022-08-01
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7980.788664-1.17%1.08+35.34%0.2481✗0.751.1M2022-08-01
SOLSolanaSolana36.6436.2105-1.17%41.67+13.73%0.0205✗1.3680.3M2022-08-01
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.70e-7-1.18%9.70e-7+10.23%0.0355✗0.845.9M2022-08-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.3590.354761-1.18%0.41938+16.82%0.0591✗1.23113k2022-08-01
XECeCashnative0.000038290.000037821-1.22%0.00004514+17.89%0.0724✗1.191.9M2022-08-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.9738.8631-1.22%10.399+15.89%0.0392✗1.3713.0M2022-08-01
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.3662.3369-1.23%2.565+8.41%0.0608✓1.7587k2022-08-01
DASHDashDash44.8844.3169-1.25%49.75+10.85%0.0183✗1.11498k2022-08-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,313.4121,045.87-1.26%23,273.86+9.20%0.0126✓1.00374.5M2022-08-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12320.121646-1.26%0.1541+25.08%0.1477✗1.013.1M2022-08-01
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.0710.070101-1.27%0.07898+11.24%0.0548✗0.731,6422022-08-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.2385.1714-1.27%8.776+67.54%0.4312✗1.111.9M2022-08-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.530.523101-1.30%0.646+21.89%0.0848✗1.4384k2022-08-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.264.2044-1.30%5.81+36.38%0.2686✗0.62504k2022-08-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,619.2021,336.81-1.31%23,172.70+7.19%0.0034✓0.9820k2022-08-01
ELAElastosEthereum1.5571.5366-1.31%1.795+15.29%0.0991✗0.64223k2022-08-01
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.16990.167662-1.32%0.1925+13.30%0.0779✓2.451,1272022-08-01
UMAUMAEthereum2.6292.5944-1.32%2.96+12.59%0.0335✗1.12619k2022-08-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.061930.061112-1.32%0.068721+10.96%0.0157✗1.151.8M2022-08-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.83960.828384-1.34%1.0315+22.86%0.1132✗1.211.2M2022-08-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative23.2522.9392-1.34%35.02+50.62%0.3097✗1.291.3M2022-08-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.140170.138286-1.34%0.16541+18.01%0.0399✗1.58176k2022-08-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066890.006599-1.35%0.00665-0.58%0.0408✓0.5546k2022-08-01
API3Api3Ethereum1.5961.5744-1.35%2.022+26.69%0.1371✗1.29606k2022-08-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.1312.1021-1.36%3.2852+54.16%0.3672✗0.90971k2022-08-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.067820.066899-1.36%0.08419+24.14%0.1162✗1.2928k2022-08-01
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2011.1847-1.36%1.323+10.16%0.0010✓1.241.3M2022-08-01
STXStacksnative0.40070.395175-1.38%0.4613+15.12%0.0422✗1.28606k2022-08-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040.039448-1.38%0.04618+15.45%0.0708✗0.992,0302022-08-01
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18420.181646-1.39%0.207+12.38%0.0068✓1.411,0652022-08-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04760.04694-1.39%0.0612+28.57%0.1477✗1.34787k2022-08-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.5112.3361-1.39%14.18+13.35%0.0105✓1.461.2M2022-08-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7053.6534-1.39%4.919+32.77%0.2489✗0.552.1M2022-08-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.1353.3739-1.40%60.676+12.09%0.0544✗0.84369k2022-08-01
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06050.059655-1.40%0.0674+11.40%0.0356✗0.98156k2022-08-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2036.1157-1.41%8.34+34.45%0.1978✗1.285.3M2022-08-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.7576.6617-1.41%8.18+21.06%0.0960✗1.248.6M2022-08-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2283.182-1.43%3.934+21.87%0.1443✗0.77488k2022-08-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.764.6914-1.44%6.1+28.15%0.2044✗0.66514k2022-08-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06420.063268-1.45%0.0705+9.81%0.0134✓1.08239k2022-08-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.9120.6055-1.46%23.59+12.82%0.0053✓1.6027.0M2022-08-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11450.112832-1.46%0.1255+9.61%0.0177✗1.015,8712022-08-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.946.8381-1.47%9.85+41.93%0.3228✗0.48670k2022-08-01
BANDBandEthereum1.41.3794-1.47%1.718+22.71%0.0916✗1.45317k2022-08-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.90170.888329-1.48%0.9388+4.11%0.0277✓0.943.5M2022-08-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2481.2295-1.48%1.423+14.02%0.0296✗1.322.4M2022-08-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31160.30694-1.50%0.3424+9.88%0.0055✓1.187.5M2022-08-01
UOSUltraEthereum0.344430.33923-1.51%0.30912-10.25%0.1988✓1.20400k2022-08-01
XYMSymbolnative0.0534050.052599-1.51%0.057234+7.17%0.0300✗0.6218k2022-08-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9682.9222-1.54%3.605+21.46%0.0610✗1.693.7M2022-08-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7813.7227-1.54%4.364+15.42%0.1047✗0.621.2M2022-08-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1930.190003-1.55%0.221+14.51%0.0143✓1.55881k2022-08-01
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5451.5209-1.56%1.89+22.33%0.0898✗1.45212k2022-08-01
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.213.1598-1.56%3.33+3.74%0.0059✓0.5382k2022-08-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6630.652618-1.57%0.731+10.26%0.0196✓1.5179k2022-08-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0913.0426-1.57%3.849+24.52%0.1800✗0.631.5M2022-08-01
SUSHISushiEthereum1.361.3385-1.58%1.42+4.41%0.0689✓1.45856k2022-08-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044030.043332-1.58%0.05169+17.40%0.0949✗0.9315k2022-08-01
FORTFortaEthereum0.27410.269743-1.59%0.3059+11.60%0.0193✗1.21335k2022-08-01
XLMStellarStellar0.1059880.104302-1.59%0.118304+11.62%0.0374✗1.016.7M2022-08-01
METISMetisEthereum27.3726.933-1.60%33.62+22.84%0.1338✗1.00151k2022-08-01
XVGVergenative0.003450.003395-1.60%0.00375+8.70%0.0187✓1.34566k2022-08-01
DIADIAEthereum0.404070.397441-1.64%0.48714+20.56%0.1371✗0.7551k2022-08-01
GMTGMTEthereum0.9150.899937-1.65%0.955+4.37%0.0979✓1.79591k2022-08-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.3515.0957-1.66%17.88+16.48%0.0482✗1.381.3M2022-08-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14720.144754-1.66%0.172+16.85%0.0594✗1.28379k2022-08-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014790.001454-1.69%0.001697+14.74%0.0616✗1.0620k2022-08-01
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.386-1.70%1.56+10.64%0.0979✗0.23319k2022-08-01
KSMKusamaHydration58.4957.4955-1.70%64.23+9.81%0.0048✓1.20227k2022-08-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.24392.2056-1.71%2.9451+31.25%0.2199✗0.79895k2022-08-01
ORCAOrcaSolana0.82580.811566-1.72%1.1398+38.02%0.1976✗1.61214k2022-08-01
FISStafiEthereum0.37020.363776-1.74%–pending––1.273902022-08-01
ADACardanoCardano0.47490.466578-1.75%0.5128+7.98%0.0172✓1.2741.4M2022-08-01
QTUMQtumQtum3.28363.2259-1.76%4.1461+26.27%0.1569✗1.0725k2022-08-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.4216.3065-1.78%7.574+17.96%0.0709✗1.2816.7M2022-08-01
STEEMSteemnative0.23090.226754-1.80%0.2657+15.07%0.0517✗1.21701k2022-08-01
DODODODOEthereum0.14170.139137-1.81%0.1776+25.34%0.1303✗1.292.8M2022-08-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.024480.024036-1.81%0.0368+50.33%0.2854✗1.6013.4M2022-08-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08160.080113-1.82%0.0858+5.15%0.0387✓1.22172k2022-08-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,273.726,158.96-1.83%11,611.32+85.08%0.5151✗1.354.0M2022-08-01
FTTFTXEthereum27.0126.5149-1.83%30.75+13.85%0.0646✗0.9510.6M2022-08-01
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.420.412171-1.86%0.5401+28.60%0.1823✗1.00234k2022-08-01
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.256104-1.88%0.2618+0.31%0.0208✗0.0135k2022-08-01
XEMNEMnative0.0447030.043861-1.88%0.051446+15.08%0.0537✗1.2021k2022-08-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030990.00304-1.89%0.003256+5.07%0.0205✓1.011.0M2022-08-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.252.2062-1.95%2.86+27.11%0.1261✗1.52205k2022-08-01
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0476.9025-2.05%8.365+18.70%0.0737✗1.355.6M2022-08-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04810.047113-2.05%0.0532+10.60%0.0145✓1.22263k2022-08-01
RADRadworksEthereum1.881.8406-2.10%2.39+27.13%0.1662✗1.08157k2022-08-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6930.678475-2.10%0.861+24.24%0.0834✗1.765.3M2022-08-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.17631.1515-2.11%1.3062+11.04%0.0041✓1.484.9M2022-08-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.083.9934-2.12%5.07+24.26%0.1726✗0.75597k2022-08-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42880.419125-2.26%0.471+9.84%0.0152✓1.50208k2022-08-01
APEApeCoinEthereum5.9965.8601-2.27%6.644+10.81%0.0259✓1.7211.9M2022-08-01
LUNATerraTerra 20.000092210.000090094-2.30%0.00010479+13.64%0.0161✓1.90735k2022-08-01
QNTQuantEthereum87.8785.8137-2.34%103.46+17.74%0.0969✗1.023.2M2022-08-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0187260.018286-2.35%0.019998+6.79%0.0474✗0.48163k2022-08-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.965.8174-2.39%8+34.23%0.2030✗1.31248k2022-08-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.334.2246-2.43%6.53+50.81%0.3823✗0.60694k2022-08-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.9341.8851-2.53%2.416+24.92%0.1207✗1.45132k2022-08-01
OPTIMOptimism0.7940.773174-2.62%1.512+90.43%0.5138✗1.781.1M2022-08-01
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5040.490075-2.76%0.519+2.98%0.0466✓1.1811k2022-08-01
HIVEHivenative0.5190.504133-2.86%0.7745+49.23%0.3243✗1.191.4M2022-08-01
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7890.76257-3.35%0.831+5.32%0.0500✓1.544,1662022-08-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.953570.921529-3.36%1.0779+13.04%0.0696✗0.998,9622022-08-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.406710.392893-3.40%0.4128+1.50%0.0801✓1.47602k2022-08-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.5519.8492-3.41%28.44+38.39%0.2253✗1.53440k2022-08-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.7817.0837-3.92%19.2+7.99%0.0391✓0.882.1M2022-08-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.0154.6607-7.06%3.877-22.69%0.2684✓0.96584k2022-08-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.