8=======>

2022-07-18 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 183 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1227
183 of 183 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.02%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
62.8%
in alpha space · 86.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.97%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (183 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.09930.088552-10.82%0.0642-35.35%0.2661✓1.09209k2022-07-25
OPTIMOptimism0.8170.767177-6.10%0.794-2.82%0.1309✗1.891.1M2022-07-25
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.323.9407-5.37%23.25-8.10%0.0366✓1.291.2M2022-07-25
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.477820.453953-5.00%0.40671-14.88%0.0342✓1.49808k2022-07-25
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.34131.279-4.64%1.1763-12.30%0.0068✓1.514.3M2022-07-25
QNTQuantEthereum103.9999.6356-4.19%87.87-15.50%0.0743✓1.012.7M2022-07-25
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.883.7296-3.88%4.08+5.15%0.1287✗0.76597k2022-07-25
METISMetisEthereum29.6828.5724-3.73%27.37-7.78%0.0080✓1.00128k2022-07-25
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0942.0189-3.59%1.934-7.64%0.0309✓1.45123k2022-07-25
FISStafiEthereum0.44830.432614-3.50%0.3702-17.42%0.1048✓1.004752022-07-25
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.8517.2274-3.49%20.55+15.13%0.2575✗1.59427k2022-07-25
LUNATerraTerra 20.000106260.0001028-3.26%0.00009221-13.22%0.0120✓1.90692k2022-07-25
FIDABonfidaSolana0.530.512872-3.23%0.504-4.91%0.0434✗1.1911k2022-07-25
ORCAOrcaSolana0.93760.908502-3.10%0.8258-11.92%0.0150✓1.58214k2022-07-25
APEApeCoinEthereum5.9925.8095-3.05%5.996+0.07%0.1218✗1.7711.7M2022-07-25
GMTGMTEthereum1.1291.095-3.01%0.915-18.95%0.0853✓1.85574k2022-07-25
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.7514.3086-2.99%17.78+20.54%0.2661✗0.961.8M2022-07-25
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6910.670469-2.97%0.789+14.18%0.2388✗1.493,6872022-07-25
API3Api3Ethereum1.9491.8955-2.74%1.596-18.11%0.1061✓1.29668k2022-07-25
UNIUniswapEthereum7.3277.136-2.61%7.047-3.82%0.0574✗1.375.7M2022-07-25
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.98150.956097-2.59%0.8396-14.46%0.0682✓1.211.1M2022-07-25
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.9723.3499-2.59%20.91-12.77%0.0302✓1.5725.2M2022-07-25
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.236.083-2.36%5.96-4.33%0.0477✗1.34263k2022-07-25
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.965290.942719-2.34%0.95357-1.21%0.0600✗0.954662022-07-25
FTTFTXEthereum29.8629.1651-2.33%27.01-9.54%0.0274✓0.9710.7M2022-07-25
KSMKusamaHydration63.8262.3831-2.25%58.49-8.35%0.0020✓1.23235k2022-07-25
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.853.7636-2.24%3.21-16.62%0.1330✓0.5182k2022-07-25
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05070.049566-2.24%0.0481-5.13%0.0315✗1.21276k2022-07-25
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.026370.025781-2.23%0.02448-7.17%0.0319✗1.6414.6M2022-07-25
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3891.3585-2.20%1.201-13.53%0.0602✓1.241.4M2022-07-25
AVTAventusEthereum1.61.5649-2.19%1.41-11.88%0.0917✓0.25485k2022-07-25
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07560.073948-2.19%0.0605-19.97%0.1500✓1.00229k2022-07-25
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.72.6412-2.18%2.25-16.67%0.0823✓1.53205k2022-07-25
XEMNEMnative0.0449280.043965-2.14%0.044703-0.50%0.0760✗1.1616k2022-07-25
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,611.886,470.64-2.14%6,273.72-5.11%0.0372✗1.344.4M2022-07-25
XVGVergenative0.003830.003749-2.11%0.00345-9.92%0.0141✓1.36635k2022-07-25
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6612.6052-2.10%2.366-11.09%0.0074✓1.7484k2022-07-25
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4270.418104-2.08%0.4288+0.42%0.1045✗1.55191k2022-07-25
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9492.8879-2.07%2.968+0.64%0.1148✗1.723.8M2022-07-25
SOLSolanaSolana43.5542.656-2.05%36.64-15.87%0.0837✓1.3481.1M2022-07-25
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.45060.441538-2.01%0.42-6.79%0.0009✓1.00257k2022-07-25
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08820.08643-2.01%0.0816-7.48%0.0052✓1.23176k2022-07-25
DODODODOEthereum0.16280.15954-2.00%0.1417-12.96%0.0524✓1.302.8M2022-07-25
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.134.0488-1.97%4.33+4.84%0.0997✗0.64694k2022-07-25
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011960.000011727-1.95%0.00001069-10.62%0.0285✓1.261.2M2022-07-25
FORTFortaEthereum0.29070.285064-1.94%0.2741-5.71%0.0272✗1.30435k2022-07-25
CHRChromiaEthereum0.20550.201542-1.93%0.1842-10.36%0.0171✓1.432,7232022-07-25
ETHEthereumEthereum1,581.341,551.01-1.92%1,440.75-8.89%0.0099✓1.25326.5M2022-07-25
STORJStorjEthereum0.69860.685399-1.89%0.59797-14.40%0.0562✓1.57104k2022-07-25
UOSUltraEthereum0.360130.353357-1.88%0.34443-4.36%0.0387✗1.26411k2022-07-25
DIADIAEthereum0.448260.439869-1.87%0.40407-9.86%0.0471✓0.7453k2022-07-25
SUSHISushiEthereum1.51.4723-1.85%1.36-9.33%0.0023✓1.51856k2022-07-25
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum16.3516.0528-1.82%15.35-6.12%0.0251✗1.371.3M2022-07-25
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.5337.3967-1.81%6.203-17.66%0.1101✓1.295.5M2022-07-25
AAVEAaveEthereum96.2394.5046-1.79%81.4-15.41%0.0647✓1.6610.8M2022-07-25
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.414240.406839-1.79%0.359-13.34%0.0623✓1.23128k2022-07-25
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.9513.8804-1.79%3.781-4.30%0.0061✓0.631.5M2022-07-25
COMPCompoundEthereum57.6656.6389-1.77%50.24-12.87%0.0500✓1.3732k2022-07-25
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0386.9155-1.74%6.421-8.77%0.0096✓1.2717.9M2022-07-25
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35980.353542-1.74%0.3116-13.40%0.0668✓1.178.2M2022-07-25
HIVEHivenative0.47060.462435-1.73%0.519+10.28%0.1792✗1.251.2M2022-07-25
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8170.802951-1.72%0.693-15.18%0.0561✓1.796.5M2022-07-25
IMXImmutableEthereum1.02871.0111-1.71%0.8249-19.81%0.1299✓1.441.4M2022-07-25
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.3163.2594-1.71%3.228-2.65%0.0296✗0.77488k2022-07-25
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.076990.075679-1.70%0.071-7.78%0.0257✓0.751,9712022-07-25
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.3911.1975-1.69%12.51+9.83%0.1874✗1.501.1M2022-07-25
LRCLoopringEthereum0.43320.426004-1.66%0.3624-16.34%0.0934✓1.3482k2022-07-25
MOVRMoonriverBase14.335414.0991-1.65%12.6773-11.57%0.0449✓1.20238k2022-07-25
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188880.185784-1.64%0.1699-10.05%0.0393✗2.538962022-07-25
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26170.257421-1.64%0.261-0.27%0.0648✗1.0045k2022-07-25
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.5799.4227-1.63%8.973-6.33%0.0192✗1.3412.5M2022-07-25
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05470.053814-1.62%0.0476-12.98%0.0543✓1.34817k2022-07-25
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.6571.6302-1.62%1.545-6.76%0.0209✗1.46194k2022-07-25
ADACardanoCardano0.490.482096-1.61%0.4749-3.08%0.0496✗1.2743.9M2022-07-25
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17090.168161-1.60%0.1472-13.87%0.0675✓1.29349k2022-07-25
WOOWOOEthereum0.20110.197917-1.58%0.174-13.48%0.0575✓1.402,2022022-07-25
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0174120.017137-1.58%0.018726+7.55%0.1138✗0.49175k2022-07-25
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.6547.5346-1.56%6.757-11.72%0.0457✓1.249.0M2022-07-25
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047510.04678-1.54%0.04403-7.32%0.0141✓0.916,5622022-07-25
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.8523.7929-1.53%3.705-3.82%0.0054✓0.572.2M2022-07-25
C98Coin98Ethereum0.52250.51453-1.53%0.4354-16.67%0.1112✓1.0949k2022-07-25
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.273.2206-1.51%5.015+53.36%0.4989✗1.10552k2022-07-25
ELAElastosEthereum1.5941.5704-1.48%1.557-2.32%0.0424✗1.00178k2022-07-25
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5720.56363-1.46%0.53-7.34%0.0104✓1.4184k2022-07-25
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.31152.2778-1.46%2.2439-2.92%0.0257✗0.80947k2022-07-25
BANDBandEthereum1.5121.49-1.46%1.4-7.41%0.0110✓1.44382k2022-07-25
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1893.1433-1.43%3.091-3.07%0.0155✗0.631.9M2022-07-25
XLMStellarStellar0.1141840.112549-1.43%0.105988-7.18%0.0090✓1.007.2M2022-07-25
STXStacksnative0.42560.419529-1.43%0.4007-5.85%0.0184✗1.26381k2022-07-25
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03920.038643-1.42%0.0337-14.03%0.0733✓1.2595k2022-07-25
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.220.21688-1.42%0.193-12.27%0.0373✓1.56881k2022-07-25
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana76.9011-1.41%6.94-0.86%0.0307✗0.49670k2022-07-25
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13220.130336-1.41%0.1232-6.81%0.0039✓1.033.3M2022-07-25
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.720.709885-1.40%0.623-13.47%0.0810✓0.97443k2022-07-25
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030040.002962-1.39%0.003099+3.16%0.0981✗1.041.2M2022-07-25
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.9395.8563-1.39%5.238-11.80%0.0552✓1.111.9M2022-07-25
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3351.3167-1.37%1.248-6.52%0.0131✓1.312.6M2022-07-25
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24760.244258-1.35%0.2221-10.30%0.0315✓1.25139k2022-07-25
XECeCashnative0.000042160.000041598-1.33%0.00003829-9.18%0.0223✓1.191.9M2022-07-25
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.14932.1207-1.33%2.131-0.85%0.0511✗0.91857k2022-07-25
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.067540.066664-1.30%0.06193-8.31%0.0120✓1.212.0M2022-07-25
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.028960.028585-1.29%0.02571-11.22%0.0349✓1.401,4722022-07-25
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.974.9061-1.29%4.76-4.23%0.0040✓0.67574k2022-07-25
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.434.3737-1.27%4.26-3.84%0.0063✓0.64579k2022-07-25
ZENHorizenBase17.7417.5147-1.27%15.25-14.04%0.0672✓1.4081k2022-07-25
CHZChilizEthereum0.11460.113182-1.24%0.1014-11.52%0.0534✓1.11560k2022-07-25
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,427.5622,151.28-1.23%21,313.41-4.97%0.0124✗1.00398.7M2022-07-25
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.82580.815632-1.23%0.9017+9.19%0.1515✗1.003.5M2022-07-25
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11310.11171-1.23%0.1145+1.24%0.0738✗0.966,1432022-07-25
QTUMQtumQtum3.20123.1621-1.22%3.2836+2.57%0.0935✗1.1026k2022-07-25
BTTCBTTC9.30e-79.19e-7-1.22%8.80e-7-5.38%0.0004✓0.845.8M2022-07-25
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.146230.144462-1.21%0.14017-4.14%0.0521✗1.62176k2022-07-25
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3130.309263-1.19%0.281-10.22%0.0419✓1.06599k2022-07-25
DASHDashDash48.8648.279-1.19%44.88-8.15%0.0172✓1.10616k2022-07-25
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.55356.8766-1.18%54.13-5.95%0.0065✓0.84387k2022-07-25
RADRadworksEthereum1.811.7888-1.17%1.88+3.87%0.1063✗1.11133k2022-07-25
COTICOTIEthereum0.10740.106145-1.17%0.0928-13.59%0.0668✓1.33526k2022-07-25
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11010.108816-1.17%0.0957-13.08%0.0590✓1.362.4M2022-07-25
XYMSymbolnative0.0531780.052562-1.16%0.053405+0.43%0.0477✗0.6214k2022-07-25
XVSVenusEthereum5.475.4068-1.16%5.08-7.13%0.0101✓1.421.2M2022-07-25
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.056850.056193-1.16%0.04794-15.67%0.0843✓1.46773k2022-07-25
LCXLCXEthereum0.07330.072464-1.14%0.059-19.51%0.1339✓1.41312k2022-07-25
UMAUMAEthereum2.7372.7067-1.11%2.629-3.95%0.0271✗1.10704k2022-07-25
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11740.116099-1.11%0.1078-8.18%0.0187✓1.09380k2022-07-25
STEEMSteemnative0.220.217596-1.09%0.2309+4.95%0.1196✗1.18705k2022-07-25
LTCLitecoinLitecoin58.5857.942-1.09%54.02-7.78%0.0113✓1.1514.8M2022-07-25
XMRMoneroMonero147.68146.0887-1.08%144.12-2.41%0.0439✗1.131.3M2022-07-25
SCSiacoinnative0.004280.004235-1.06%0.00397-7.24%0.0036✓1.34127k2022-07-25
FLOWFlownative1.6881.6705-1.03%1.627-3.61%0.0350✗1.21287k2022-07-25
AMPAmpEthereum0.009260.009164-1.03%0.00845-8.75%0.0347✓0.911.2M2022-07-25
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010420.001031-1.03%0.0009901-5.00%0.0238✗1.271.7M2022-07-25
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0221540.021929-1.02%0.020479-7.56%0.0182✓0.991,5692022-07-25
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29630.293342-1.00%0.2748-7.26%0.0048✓1.192.9M2022-07-25
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.690.683122-1.00%0.663-3.91%0.0470✗1.51108k2022-07-25
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.59472.5689-0.99%2.298-11.43%0.0610✓0.991.1M2022-07-25
GALAGALAEthereum0.05610.055546-0.99%0.0476-15.15%0.0792✓1.48108k2022-07-25
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.5530.547625-0.97%0.5256-4.95%0.0209✗1.22456k2022-07-25
NANOnanopayBase0.9790620.969935-0.93%0.913715-6.67%0.0075✓1.0363k2022-07-25
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.44671.4332-0.93%1.3096-9.48%0.0184✓1.41684k2022-07-25
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3752.3529-0.93%2.177-8.34%0.0057✓1.4143k2022-07-25
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.088780.087956-0.93%0.09329+5.08%0.1098✗1.00456k2022-07-25
MINAMina Protocolnative0.720.713341-0.92%0.674-6.39%0.0071✓1.25127k2022-07-25
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.007070.007007-0.89%0.006689-5.39%0.0172✓0.5765k2022-07-25
XTZTezosTezos1.73361.7183-0.88%1.5084-12.99%0.0653✓1.27519k2022-07-25
MANADecentralandEthereum0.921060.91292-0.88%0.87347-5.17%0.0240✗1.34399k2022-07-25
BFCBifrostEthereum0.063130.062579-0.87%0.06782+7.43%0.1484✗1.3325k2022-07-25
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029260.029005-0.87%0.02675-8.58%0.0167✓1.2623k2022-07-25
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021160.020976-0.87%0.01937-8.46%0.0255✓1.06123k2022-07-25
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.619.5272-0.86%8.44-12.17%0.0619✓1.16288k2022-07-25
GLMGolemEthereum0.25260.250436-0.86%0.2321-8.12%0.0204✓1.0960k2022-07-25
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22550.223644-0.82%0.2157-4.35%0.0396✗1.49117k2022-07-25
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009540.009462-0.82%0.00843-11.64%0.0656✓0.984.9M2022-07-25
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.52960.52528-0.82%0.4888-7.70%0.0135✓1.15311k2022-07-25
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.621.6069-0.81%1.37-15.43%0.0853✓1.46142k2022-07-25
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006980.006923-0.81%0.00655-6.16%0.0042✓1.01390k2022-07-25
CTKShentuOsmosis0.830.823398-0.80%0.798-3.86%0.0086✗0.781.1M2022-07-25
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0920.091282-0.78%0.0855-7.07%0.0253✓0.79144k2022-07-25
CBKCobakEthereum1.04631.0382-0.77%0.98539-5.82%0.0049✓1.124,7592022-07-25
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5362.5167-0.76%2.417-4.69%0.0057✓0.9188k2022-07-25
KCSKuCoinnative9.8549.7827-0.72%9.46-4.00%0.0231✗1.112.2M2022-07-25
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019480.019341-0.71%0.01792-8.01%0.0373✓0.77354k2022-07-25
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04410.043793-0.70%0.0414-6.12%0.0121✗1.347,2812022-07-25
LSKLiskEthereum1.11851.1111-0.66%1.0526-5.89%0.0008✓1.0848k2022-07-25
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3209430.318937-0.62%0.281447-12.31%0.0608✓1.261.4M2022-07-25
CELLCellframeEthereum0.26320.261565-0.62%0.2757+4.75%0.1106✗1.1442k2022-07-25
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0129810.012901-0.61%0.01345+3.61%0.0837✗0.831.2M2022-07-25
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.92811.9163-0.61%1.8387-4.64%0.0210✗1.2227k2022-07-25
ZECZcashZcash65.5765.1808-0.59%54.2-17.34%0.1175✓1.321.5M2022-07-25
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,641.5021,515.78-0.58%21,619.20-0.10%0.0540✗0.9729k2022-07-25
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.43595.4063-0.54%5.0862-6.43%0.0506✓0.20335k2022-07-25
CVCCivicEthereum0.15120.150476-0.48%0.1316-12.96%0.0705✓1.2587k2022-07-25
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08410.083703-0.47%0.0785-6.66%0.0018✓1.226,7832022-07-25
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13310.132538-0.42%0.1194-10.29%0.0372✓1.3234k2022-07-25
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash121.21120.7924-0.34%118.03-2.62%0.0344✗1.134.0M2022-07-25
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6570.654807-0.33%0.681+3.65%0.1007✗1.21858k2022-07-25
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.40e-79.37e-7-0.28%9.00e-7-4.26%0.0103✗1.0025k2022-07-25
TRXTRONTron0.0690930.068901-0.28%0.063663-7.86%0.0386✓0.79405k2022-07-25
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059220.005908-0.24%0.005629-4.95%0.0022✓0.912,9222022-07-25
GITCOINGITCOIN2.68832.6825-0.21%2.2645-15.76%0.0887✓1.585,9882022-07-25
GTGateEthereum4.28544.2798-0.13%3.9696-7.37%0.0388✓0.72930k2022-07-25
PROPropyEthereum0.80.799068-0.12%0.79-1.25%0.0249✗0.71111k2022-07-25
BORABORAKlay Token0.304870.304707-0.05%0.29306-3.87%0.0291✗1.343,2792022-07-25
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.64e-73.64e-7-0.05%3.57e-7-1.79%0.0334✗1.00316k2022-07-25
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.