8=======>

2022-06-30 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 179 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2608
179 of 179 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+11.71%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
64.8%
in alpha space · 19.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+8.15%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (179 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash103.29103.8196+0.51%111.48+7.93%0.0203✗1.176.1M2022-07-07
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,842.3019,904.34+0.31%21,662.90+9.18%0.0075✓0.9843k2022-07-07
AAVEAaveEthereum57.0757.2427+0.30%71.12+24.62%0.0871✓1.667.8M2022-07-07
ZECZcashZcash54.4554.5226+0.13%59.83+9.88%0.0132✗1.352.1M2022-07-07
NEXONEXOEthereum0.5820.582171+0.03%0.667+14.60%0.0415✓1.211.0M2022-07-07
XMRMoneroMonero113112.9926-0.01%130.4+15.40%0.0507✗1.181.4M2022-07-07
GTGateEthereum4.124.1188-0.03%4.0325-2.12%0.0810✓0.761.2M2022-07-07
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07410.074048-0.07%0.0802+8.23%0.0216✓1.297,0142022-07-07
MOVRMoonriverBase10.832510.8196-0.12%12.5984+16.30%0.0511✗1.29276k2022-07-07
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0019720.001969-0.16%0.00159-19.37%0.2993✓1.097,2732022-07-07
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056340.005621-0.24%0.006119+8.59%0.0035✗1.043,8152022-07-07
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.18480.184301-0.27%0.2025+9.58%0.0204✓1.46167k2022-07-07
ETHEthereumEthereum1,070.081,067.04-0.28%1,237.13+15.61%0.0560✗1.17342.4M2022-07-07
TRXTRONTron0.064740.064522-0.34%0.068633+6.01%0.0083✓0.89736k2022-07-07
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09550.095142-0.37%0.1026+7.43%0.0330✓1.383.7M2022-07-07
XTZTezosTezos1.42121.4157-0.39%1.5719+10.60%0.0019✓1.31654k2022-07-07
CVCCivicEthereum0.13360.133082-0.39%0.147+10.03%0.0065✓1.35149k2022-07-07
KCSKuCoinnative9.9089.8684-0.40%8.944-9.73%0.1866✓1.133.0M2022-07-07
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6190.616383-0.42%0.689+11.31%0.0215✓1.70274k2022-07-07
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.39e-73.37e-7-0.43%4.01e-7+18.34%0.0946✗1.00647k2022-07-07
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49120.488768-0.50%0.5072+3.26%0.0535✓1.15154k2022-07-07
NANOnanopayBase0.8202430.816177-0.50%0.914728+11.52%0.0283✗1.09100k2022-07-07
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.123170.122557-0.50%0.13275+7.78%0.0509✓1.67203k2022-07-07
UOSUltraEthereum0.268410.267052-0.51%0.29145+8.58%0.0139✓1.29480k2022-07-07
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.26281.256-0.54%1.4217+12.58%0.0226✗1.29849k2022-07-07
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6140.610535-0.56%0.711+15.80%0.0464✗1.35207k2022-07-07
SUSHISushiEthereum0.990.984367-0.57%1.18+19.19%0.0589✗1.56846k2022-07-07
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.442.4261-0.57%2.392-1.97%0.0895✓0.96157k2022-07-07
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019370.019257-0.59%0.02531+30.67%0.1932✗1.02104k2022-07-07
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11230.111625-0.60%0.1256+11.84%0.0380✗1.024.0M2022-07-07
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.598.5382-0.60%10.43+21.42%0.0817✗1.511.2M2022-07-07
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.8153.4651-0.64%52.11-3.16%0.1206✓1.2118.4M2022-07-07
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.048750.048437-0.64%0.0526+7.90%0.0369✓1.521.1M2022-07-07
LCXLCXEthereum0.05940.059016-0.65%0.0625+5.22%0.0600✓1.50403k2022-07-07
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,985.6219,850.36-0.68%21,614.60+8.15%0.0068✗1.00508.7M2022-07-07
ETCEthereum Classicnative1514.8978-0.68%15.91+6.07%0.0319✓1.252.0M2022-07-07
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8611.8483-0.68%2.381+27.94%0.1220✗1.67101k2022-07-07
ZENHorizenBase13.0712.979-0.70%16.86+29.00%0.1493✗1.4359k2022-07-07
DASHDashDash42.2341.934-0.70%46.09+9.14%0.0048✓1.14766k2022-07-07
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche16.9716.8509-0.70%20.18+18.92%0.0610✗1.5232.6M2022-07-07
GLMGolemEthereum0.22770.22606-0.72%0.2478+8.83%0.0018✓1.2087k2022-07-07
KSMKusamaHydration48.2847.9246-0.74%52.68+9.11%0.0006✓1.20722k2022-07-07
SCSiacoinnative0.003690.003662-0.75%0.004+8.40%0.0242✓1.43176k2022-07-07
LSKLiskEthereum1.08411.0758-0.76%1.0869+0.26%0.0793✓1.1456k2022-07-07
COTICOTIEthereum0.09410.093382-0.76%0.0947+0.64%0.1005✓1.46791k2022-07-07
GALAGALAEthereum0.05430.053881-0.77%0.0571+5.16%0.0628✓1.54138k2022-07-07
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.68670.681388-0.77%1.0505+52.98%0.3215✗1.423.7M2022-07-07
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26950.267371-0.79%0.2876+6.72%0.0247✓1.253.2M2022-07-07
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04760.047221-0.80%0.0495+3.99%0.0631✓1.411.1M2022-07-07
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05040.049994-0.81%0.0537+6.55%0.0099✗0.79233k2022-07-07
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.83991.825-0.81%1.9178+4.24%0.0528✓1.3162k2022-07-07
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8020.795413-0.82%0.892+11.22%0.0449✗0.891.6M2022-07-07
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05150.051076-0.82%0.082+59.22%0.3798✗1.20100k2022-07-07
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50390.499734-0.83%0.5163+2.46%0.0666✓1.27719k2022-07-07
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana5.965.91-0.84%6.28+5.37%0.0209✗0.511.1M2022-07-07
QTUMQtumQtum2.81452.7907-0.85%2.9966+6.47%0.0201✓1.1733k2022-07-07
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006590.006534-0.85%0.00685+3.95%0.0333✓1.03421k2022-07-07
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018420.018261-0.86%0.02047+11.13%0.0510✗0.81369k2022-07-07
XVGVergenative0.00280.002776-0.86%0.00331+18.21%0.0665✗1.40650k2022-07-07
UNIUniswapEthereum5.0024.9587-0.87%5.73+14.55%0.0367✗1.385.5M2022-07-07
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.42832.4067-0.89%2.4723+1.81%0.0594✓1.101.7M2022-07-07
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.68155.1787-0.90%55.861+0.32%0.0542✓0.851.1M2022-07-07
CELLCellframeEthereum0.23830.236145-0.90%0.2583+8.39%0.0067✓1.2327k2022-07-07
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11520.114154-0.91%0.1002-13.02%0.1979✓0.86209k2022-07-07
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.843.8051-0.91%4.13+7.55%0.0300✗0.661.2M2022-07-07
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2760.273484-0.91%0.29+5.07%0.0236✓1.05746k2022-07-07
SOLSolanaSolana33.7433.431-0.92%38.43+13.90%0.0341✗1.34101.1M2022-07-07
XVSVenusEthereum4.834.7857-0.92%5.24+8.49%0.0289✓1.531.4M2022-07-07
CHZChilizEthereum0.09750.09659-0.93%0.1037+6.36%0.0217✓1.18647k2022-07-07
FLOWFlownative1.5081.4939-0.93%1.666+10.48%0.0132✗1.22319k2022-07-07
BTTCBTTC8.10e-78.02e-7-0.95%9.30e-7+14.81%0.0814✗0.855.3M2022-07-07
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0124420.012324-0.95%0.0124-0.34%0.0612✓0.861.6M2022-07-07
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.2862.264-0.96%2.666+16.62%0.0196✗1.843.0M2022-07-07
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3288560.325676-0.97%0.314984-4.22%0.1378✓1.332.6M2022-07-07
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024440.024203-0.97%0.02907+18.94%0.1049✗1.002,1812022-07-07
STXStacksnative0.40770.403739-0.97%0.4106+0.71%0.0865✓1.32318k2022-07-07
WOOWOOEthereum0.16040.15884-0.97%0.1885+17.52%0.0642✗1.374,0222022-07-07
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.73341.7163-0.99%1.842+6.27%0.0036✓0.861.4M2022-07-07
MANADecentralandEthereum0.882240.873533-0.99%0.93517+6.00%0.0398✓1.38655k2022-07-07
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.349.2469-1.00%9-3.64%0.1208✓1.20398k2022-07-07
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.8142.7857-1.00%2.911+3.45%0.0190✓0.801.1M2022-07-07
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos7.5677.4909-1.01%9.36+23.69%0.1148✗1.3815.0M2022-07-07
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.44.3555-1.01%4.57+3.86%0.0050✓0.681.2M2022-07-07
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0646.9913-1.03%7.3+3.34%0.0567✓1.2813.5M2022-07-07
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2441.231-1.05%1.448+16.40%0.0425✗1.53169k2022-07-07
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.80415.7426-1.06%5.784-0.35%0.0097✓0.21255k2022-07-07
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.355.2933-1.06%6.245+16.73%0.0593✗1.359.0M2022-07-07
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009420.00932-1.06%0.0111+17.83%0.0972✗0.996.4M2022-07-07
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11380.112583-1.07%0.1309+15.03%0.0419✗1.3934k2022-07-07
UMAUMAEthereum2.5052.4778-1.08%2.695+7.58%0.0145✓1.26873k2022-07-07
QNTQuantEthereum53.7453.1541-1.09%64.36+19.76%0.1153✗0.971.9M2022-07-07
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10430.103157-1.10%0.1073+2.88%0.0516✓1.16515k2022-07-07
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04450.044009-1.10%0.0453+1.80%0.0809✓1.4012k2022-07-07
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38580.38149-1.12%0.4192+8.66%0.0187✓1.44115k2022-07-07
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3975.3365-1.12%5.796+7.39%0.0127✓1.222.3M2022-07-07
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3182.2917-1.13%2.426+4.66%0.0563✓1.4477k2022-07-07
PROPropyEthereum0.880.869919-1.15%0.85-3.41%0.0800✓0.73159k2022-07-07
BANDBandEthereum1.3071.2917-1.17%1.422+8.80%0.0218✓1.50430k2022-07-07
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006490.006414-1.17%0.006963+7.29%0.0291✗0.68134k2022-07-07
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00095290.000941704-1.17%0.001001+5.02%0.0469✓1.372.9M2022-07-07
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.2776.2032-1.18%6.636+5.72%0.0359✓1.3239.1M2022-07-07
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.692.6584-1.18%2.82+4.83%0.0304✓1.14659k2022-07-07
XECeCashnative0.000038290.000037836-1.18%0.00004304+12.41%0.0295✗1.272.6M2022-07-07
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039210.038744-1.19%0.04137+5.51%0.0175✓1.063,1732022-07-07
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5814.4067-1.19%15.35+5.28%0.0469✓1.411.6M2022-07-07
DODODODOEthereum0.11670.11529-1.21%0.1356+16.20%0.0567✗1.353.6M2022-07-07
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18290.180673-1.22%0.1915+4.70%0.0202✓1.004,1902022-07-07
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010310.000010183-1.23%0.00001131+9.70%0.0047✓1.281.0M2022-07-07
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0664250.065599-1.24%0.070619+6.31%0.0263✓1.282.0M2022-07-07
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5090.50266-1.25%0.556+9.23%0.0108✓1.42109k2022-07-07
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10330.102009-1.25%0.1117+8.13%0.0097✓1.037,0862022-07-07
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.213.1694-1.27%3.14-2.18%0.0877✓1.00143k2022-07-07
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.6410.5026-1.29%15.18+42.67%0.2423✗1.61427k2022-07-07
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2591.2427-1.30%1.332+5.80%0.0431✓1.444.3M2022-07-07
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.641.6187-1.30%1.55-5.49%0.1657✓1.56405k2022-07-07
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.002750.002714-1.31%0.00272-1.09%0.0823✓1.081.6M2022-07-07
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6940.684846-1.32%0.643-7.35%0.1394✓0.97520k2022-07-07
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0198450.019579-1.34%0.021168+6.67%0.0085✓1.101,8282022-07-07
STEEMSteemnative0.21770.214771-1.35%0.2195+0.83%0.0738✓1.22731k2022-07-07
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31460.310355-1.35%0.3224+2.48%0.0584✓1.2311.8M2022-07-07
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.137080.135202-1.37%0.201+46.63%0.3182✗1.008412022-07-07
COMPCompoundEthereum44.7844.164-1.38%48.65+8.64%0.0214✓1.5128k2022-07-07
XLMStellarStellar0.1123070.110741-1.39%0.11364+1.19%0.0571✓1.0611.2M2022-07-07
FTTFTXEthereum24.5924.2457-1.40%27.43+11.55%0.0489✗0.9511.3M2022-07-07
APEApeCoinEthereum4.6334.5674-1.42%5.105+10.19%0.0310✓1.8216.0M2022-07-07
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0146210.014411-1.44%0.015667+7.15%0.0418✗0.53469k2022-07-07
YFIyearn.financeEthereum5,412.375,333.69-1.45%6,584.14+21.65%0.1063✗1.334.1M2022-07-07
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.3641.344-1.47%1.932+41.64%0.2476✗1.4793k2022-07-07
ADACardanoCardano0.45980.453031-1.47%0.4774+3.83%0.0532✓1.3573.7M2022-07-07
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027550.027142-1.48%0.02961+7.48%0.0201✓1.3726k2022-07-07
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80130.789264-1.50%0.8089+0.95%0.0592✓1.073.6M2022-07-07
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.05952.0284-1.51%2.1851+6.10%0.0073✓0.862.1M2022-07-07
BFCBifrostEthereum0.057660.056786-1.52%0.05894+2.22%0.0724✓1.4047k2022-07-07
C98Coin98Ethereum0.46390.456806-1.53%0.519+11.88%0.0493✗1.00100k2022-07-07
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1231.1057-1.54%1.283+14.25%0.0599✗1.131.5M2022-07-07
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5183.4631-1.56%3.773+7.25%0.0326✗0.682.5M2022-07-07
DIADIAEthereum0.380650.374587-1.59%0.41554+9.17%0.0477✗0.71113k2022-07-07
BORABORAKlay Token0.313080.308014-1.62%0.3056-2.39%0.1211✓1.455,5012022-07-07
XYMSymbolnative0.05150.050665-1.62%0.053373+3.64%0.0006✓0.6728k2022-07-07
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02340.023006-1.68%0.0252+7.69%0.0471✓1.7628.8M2022-07-07
XEMNEMnative0.0381130.03747-1.69%0.041632+9.23%0.0075✓1.2520k2022-07-07
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044130.043367-1.73%0.04561+3.35%0.0274✓0.9911k2022-07-07
RADRadworksEthereum1.671.6411-1.73%1.72+2.99%0.0430✓1.15202k2022-07-07
FORTFortaEthereum0.27150.266782-1.74%0.2458-9.47%0.1603✓1.001.0M2022-07-07
CTSICartesiEthereum0.160.157199-1.75%0.1572-1.75%0.1103✓1.41717k2022-07-07
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.392740.385676-1.80%0.45268+15.26%0.0561✗1.33143k2022-07-07
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3580.351419-1.84%0.403+12.57%0.0445✗1.1811k2022-07-07
ORCAOrcaSolana0.73570.722135-1.84%0.8403+14.22%0.0690✗1.0573k2022-07-07
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.63.5314-1.90%3.85+6.94%0.0358✗0.651.2M2022-07-07
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2580.253026-1.93%0.275+6.59%0.0478✓1.671.2M2022-07-07
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066920.065592-1.98%0.07142+6.72%0.0227✗0.801,8752022-07-07
CBKCobakEthereum0.909230.890888-2.02%0.97043+6.73%0.0083✓1.204,6812022-07-07
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24170.236813-2.02%0.2299-4.88%0.1344✓1.34392k2022-07-07
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.718390.703862-2.02%0.84841+18.10%0.1189✗0.875002022-07-07
AMPAmpEthereum0.010260.010052-2.02%0.00932-9.16%0.1528✓0.981.2M2022-07-07
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.032.966-2.11%3.24+6.93%0.0314✗0.731.1M2022-07-07
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.3997-2.12%1.47+2.80%0.0187✓0.39637k2022-07-07
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.145.0271-2.20%5.95+15.76%0.0636✗1.34386k2022-07-07
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.012.9424-2.24%3.053+1.43%0.0156✓0.675.2M2022-07-07
GMTGMTEthereum0.8430.824054-2.25%1.014+20.28%0.0638✗1.83886k2022-07-07
IMXImmutableEthereum1.00220.978592-2.36%1.0044+0.22%0.0948✓1.542.8M2022-07-07
GITCOINGITCOIN2.80722.741-2.36%2.5398-9.53%0.2130✓1.7512k2022-07-07
API3Api3Ethereum1.7181.6764-2.42%2.102+22.35%0.1185✗1.37953k2022-07-07
OPTIMOptimism0.5450.531615-2.46%0.577+5.87%0.0036✓1.003.2M2022-07-07
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04570.044554-2.51%0.0495+8.32%0.0052✓1.41272k2022-07-07
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8510.829372-2.54%0.875+2.82%0.1065✓2.0423.8M2022-07-07
STORJStorjEthereum0.699720.681772-2.56%0.80564+15.14%0.0362✗1.6799k2022-07-07
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.962.8703-3.03%2.57-13.18%0.2392✓1.64314k2022-07-07
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04070.039447-3.08%0.0395-2.95%0.1025✓1.32192k2022-07-07
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09620.09301-3.32%0.1008+4.78%0.0291✓1.40179k2022-07-07
HIVEHivenative0.52290.505177-3.39%0.4659-10.90%0.1843✓1.321.2M2022-07-07
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43660.421611-3.43%0.4258-2.47%0.1236✓1.70210k2022-07-07
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.471670.454889-3.56%0.45682-3.15%0.1234✓1.632.4M2022-07-07
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3913.2677-3.64%3.504+3.33%0.0225✓0.603.2M2022-07-07
FISStafiEthereum0.42050.401246-4.58%0.3579-14.89%0.1927✓1.009832022-07-07
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7140.679716-4.80%0.727+1.82%0.0561✓1.572,9032022-07-07
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03860.970888-6.52%1.0105-2.71%0.0732✓1.44190k2022-07-07
NMRNumeraireEthereum24.5821.8186-11.23%16.65-32.26%0.3516✓1.04230k2022-07-07
LUNATerraTerra 20.000113070.00010034-11.26%0.0001126-0.42%0.0346✓1.91969k2022-07-07
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.