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2022-06-10 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 172 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0188
172 of 172 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-8.27%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
11.6%
in alpha space · 95.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-29.64%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (172 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6781.5766-6.04%1.34-20.14%0.4254✗1.675.0M2022-06-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.7814.953-5.24%11.01-30.23%0.3897✗1.98252k2022-06-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.53.3301-4.85%2.36-32.57%0.3697✗2.03294k2022-06-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2421.1925-3.99%0.888-28.50%0.5007✗2.266.0M2022-06-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7863.6355-3.98%3.133-17.25%0.1494✗0.852.1M2022-06-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.0593.9054-3.78%2.849-29.81%0.0958✓0.623.8M2022-06-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04970.047852-3.72%0.0357-28.17%0.2373✗1.51425k2022-06-17
PROPropyEthereum0.990.95324-3.71%0.9-9.09%0.2164✗0.78183k2022-06-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.38611.3354-3.66%0.85035-38.65%0.1833✓0.762,8352022-06-17
STEEMSteemnative0.24970.240923-3.52%0.2011-19.46%0.3443✗1.49585k2022-06-17
AVTAventusEthereum1.321.2753-3.39%1.49+12.88%0.5197✗1.04153k2022-06-17
GITCOINGITCOIN3.4473.331-3.36%2.4165-29.90%0.4133✗2.0915k2022-06-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.77321.7193-3.04%1.3769-22.35%0.2541✗1.352.0M2022-06-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4694.3358-2.98%3.619-19.02%0.0868✗0.766.4M2022-06-17
BANDBandEthereum1.8751.821-2.88%1.372-26.83%0.3387✗1.77342k2022-06-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.655870.637716-2.77%0.55352-15.61%0.6430✗2.233.0M2022-06-17
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.075590.073578-2.66%0.05612-25.76%0.0807✗1.001,6002022-06-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.584.46-2.62%3.68-19.65%0.0850✗0.791.9M2022-06-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2460.239662-2.58%0.24-2.44%0.7114✗2.021.2M2022-06-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.817.6112-2.55%6.25-19.97%0.0229✓0.632.0M2022-06-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.870.848206-2.51%0.64-26.44%0.3393✗1.77212k2022-06-17
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1685.0415-2.45%3.741-27.61%0.4861✗2.2317.0M2022-06-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.57512.5123-2.44%2.1459-16.67%0.2265✗1.093.5M2022-06-17
API3Api3Ethereum1.4541.4209-2.28%1.276-12.24%0.5103✗1.76826k2022-06-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.07680.075073-2.25%0.0613-20.18%0.2657✗1.33396k2022-06-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.546.3931-2.25%4.78-26.91%0.2660✗1.58420k2022-06-17
OPTIMOptimism0.880.860266-2.24%0.518-41.14%0.1557✓1.007.9M2022-06-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.214.1167-2.22%3.12-25.89%0.0534✗0.941.7M2022-06-17
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6552.5972-2.18%1.727-34.95%0.2237✗1.80105k2022-06-17
FTTFTXEthereum27.627.0079-2.15%24.35-11.78%0.2503✗1.019.2M2022-06-17
XYMSymbolnative0.0543760.05323-2.11%0.050499-7.13%0.2392✗0.8367k2022-06-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.944.8362-2.10%3.96-19.84%0.1041✗0.861.2M2022-06-17
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1971.1726-2.04%0.857-28.40%0.0380✗1.001.3M2022-06-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5971.5652-1.99%1.166-26.99%0.3133✗1.7376k2022-06-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.8473.7706-1.99%2.92-24.10%0.0895✗0.981.8M2022-06-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.1780.174468-1.98%0.1304-26.74%0.0566✗0.99278k2022-06-17
CBKCobakEthereum1.16741.1444-1.97%0.87046-25.44%0.1669✗1.256,1812022-06-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.057740.056633-1.92%0.04657-19.35%0.2145✗1.1715k2022-06-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum10.9110.7014-1.91%8.03-26.40%0.0946✗1.09289k2022-06-17
FLOWFlownative2.2852.2414-1.91%1.392-39.08%0.1248✓1.00592k2022-06-17
ADACardanoCardano0.57370.562871-1.89%0.4868-15.15%0.4380✗1.6649.8M2022-06-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09650.094713-1.85%0.08-17.10%0.5072✗1.92436k2022-06-17
XEMNEMnative0.0466790.045815-1.85%0.039899-14.52%0.4269✗1.6139k2022-06-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.28420.278963-1.84%0.2132-24.98%0.2473✗1.47330k2022-06-17
LUNATerraTerra 20.000070280.000068998-1.82%0.00005853-16.72%1.0242✗3.382.2M2022-06-17
DODODODOEthereum0.16440.161407-1.82%0.1244-24.33%0.3474✗1.732.9M2022-06-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.23060.226432-1.81%0.1486-35.56%0.1254✗1.55696k2022-06-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05420.053223-1.80%0.0462-14.76%0.5242✗1.8923k2022-06-17
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4560.447831-1.79%0.346-24.12%0.2012✗1.3115k2022-06-17
XLMStellarStellar0.1329610.130592-1.78%0.111803-15.91%0.2682✗1.2010.3M2022-06-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.034780.034165-1.77%0.02675-23.09%0.3083✗1.5718k2022-06-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.26556.2598-1.76%54.432-4.95%0.3312✗1.041.1M2022-06-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.0337.8932-1.74%6.356-20.88%0.3284✗1.5532.1M2022-06-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.00970.009532-1.73%0.006055-37.57%0.0569✓1.132,4432022-06-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08740.085915-1.70%0.0586-32.95%0.1358✓0.70299k2022-06-17
DIADIAEthereum0.495560.487152-1.70%0.38556-22.20%0.0027✓0.67249k2022-06-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020130.01979-1.69%0.02196+9.09%0.9844✗2.5037.4M2022-06-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.29422.256-1.66%1.741-24.11%0.1139✗1.063.5M2022-06-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.48852.4472-1.66%1.8611-25.21%0.2533✗1.5068k2022-06-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0752880.074048-1.65%0.056877-24.45%0.1891✗1.291.3M2022-06-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004330.004259-1.64%0.002904-32.93%0.0862✗1.335,7382022-06-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.425.3314-1.63%4.11-24.17%0.0337✗0.841.6M2022-06-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.050.049196-1.61%0.0401-19.80%0.1816✗1.104,5412022-06-17
XECeCashnative0.000047860.000047093-1.60%0.00003796-20.69%0.3353✗1.573.2M2022-06-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36880.362974-1.58%0.31-15.94%0.3514✗1.4514.6M2022-06-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004080.004018-1.53%0.00275-32.60%0.0579✗1.242.1M2022-06-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,054.396,947.93-1.51%4,789.56-32.11%0.0896✗1.313.7M2022-06-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.922.8762-1.50%2.413-17.36%0.2115✗1.1072k2022-06-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008560.008432-1.50%0.006945-18.87%0.1157✗0.88180k2022-06-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0256320.025258-1.46%0.019788-22.80%0.1821✗1.2111k2022-06-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11930.117593-1.43%0.1066-10.65%0.3597✗1.308,4042022-06-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.362980.357812-1.42%0.33827-6.81%0.4633✗1.48111k2022-06-17
QNTQuantEthereum61.1660.2997-1.41%46.56-23.87%0.1691✗1.222.0M2022-06-17
HIVEHivenative0.50510.497996-1.41%0.3627-28.19%0.2092✗1.501.4M2022-06-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.643.5889-1.41%2.71-25.55%0.1079✗1.11686k2022-06-17
STXStacksnative0.49560.488656-1.40%0.3817-22.98%0.2469✗1.40165k2022-06-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.6528.5309-1.40%7.269-15.98%0.3912✗1.5713.5M2022-06-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06510.064195-1.39%0.052-20.12%0.4370✗1.841.7M2022-06-17
QTUMQtumQtum3.6743.6231-1.39%2.744-25.31%0.1898✗1.3333k2022-06-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,029.0028,629.41-1.38%20,457.00-29.53%0.0069✓0.9836k2022-06-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.8166.7239-1.35%5.333-21.76%0.3296✗1.602.5M2022-06-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03550.035024-1.34%0.0282-20.56%0.3716✗1.67257k2022-06-17
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30780.303671-1.34%0.2378-22.74%0.2915✗1.5231k2022-06-17
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8890.877175-1.33%0.759-14.62%0.5463✗1.972.7M2022-06-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.0217.7811-1.33%13.84-23.20%0.3553✗1.722.5M2022-06-17
NEXONEXOEthereum1.1731.158-1.28%0.646-44.93%0.2052✓1.081.0M2022-06-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0152670.015073-1.27%0.015393+0.83%0.3022✗0.80273k2022-06-17
RADRadworksEthereum2.052.0239-1.27%1.55-24.39%0.1963✗1.32268k2022-06-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,063.1128,697.09-1.26%20,447.86-29.64%0.0127✗1.00602.3M2022-06-17
UMAUMAEthereum2.7672.7331-1.22%2.649-4.26%0.4797✗1.451.2M2022-06-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0780.077049-1.22%0.0615-21.15%0.2339✗1.31153k2022-06-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.11970.118257-1.21%0.0892-25.48%0.3446✗1.781.1M2022-06-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5810.574001-1.20%0.441-24.10%0.3349✗1.70120k2022-06-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.010940.010808-1.20%0.00897-18.01%0.2296✗1.181.5M2022-06-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7570.748037-1.18%0.59-22.06%0.1913✗1.22372k2022-06-17
GLMGolemEthereum0.27120.26803-1.17%0.2207-18.62%0.2791✗1.35105k2022-06-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.06910.068299-1.16%0.0568-17.80%0.5484✗2.08142k2022-06-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.65830.650672-1.16%0.7237+9.93%0.6145✗1.452.9M2022-06-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.94322.9092-1.15%2.4336-17.31%0.3405✗1.483.4M2022-06-17
XVGVergenative0.0040.003954-1.15%0.00291-27.25%0.2767✗1.66705k2022-06-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.7511.731-1.14%1.283-26.73%0.3787✗1.93264k2022-06-17
GMTGMTEthereum0.9070.89676-1.13%0.616-32.08%0.4215✗2.272.0M2022-06-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.50995.4483-1.12%5.055-8.26%0.0371✗0.32253k2022-06-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.6482.6185-1.11%2.038-23.04%0.3671✗1.76187k2022-06-17
DASHDashDash53.8653.2606-1.11%43.53-19.18%0.2670✗1.33837k2022-06-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.410.2846-1.11%8.24-20.77%0.4982✗2.052.8M2022-06-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.1330.131538-1.10%0.1214-8.72%0.5379✗1.763.3M2022-06-17
SOLSolanaSolana37.1336.7222-1.10%30.69-17.34%0.3950✗1.63107.6M2022-06-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.47860.473444-1.08%0.376-21.44%0.4019✗1.80159k2022-06-17
BORABORAKlay Token0.369440.365473-1.07%0.29309-20.67%0.3324✗1.5716k2022-06-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010840.010724-1.07%0.00913-15.77%0.4328✗1.6914.1M2022-06-17
BTTCBTTC0.000001019.99e-7-1.07%7.60e-7-24.75%0.0490✗0.926.0M2022-06-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.0936.0287-1.06%5.437-10.77%0.5248✗1.7910.6M2022-06-17
ZENHorizenBase17.7917.6059-1.03%14.08-20.85%0.3889✗1.7465k2022-06-17
UOSUltraEthereum0.352020.348381-1.03%0.26334-25.19%0.2542✗1.52480k2022-06-17
SCSiacoinnative0.00490.004851-0.99%0.00354-27.76%0.3073✗1.77239k2022-06-17
TRXTRONTron0.0787320.077965-0.97%0.0598-24.05%0.0577✗0.92682k2022-06-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.32190.318781-0.97%0.266-17.37%0.3409✗1.486.3M2022-06-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.161.1488-0.96%0.697-39.91%0.2479✗2.13356k2022-06-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.16740.165789-0.96%0.131-21.74%0.3247✗1.59183k2022-06-17
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7820.774652-0.94%0.761-2.69%0.4271✗1.271.8M2022-06-17
SUSHISushiEthereum1.381.3673-0.92%1.01-26.81%0.3208✗1.771.2M2022-06-17
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.062350.061778-0.92%0.04779-23.35%0.4974✗2.142.0M2022-06-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011050.001095-0.91%0.000777-29.68%0.2632✗1.721.8M2022-06-17
XTZTezosTezos1.96441.9466-0.90%1.3879-29.35%0.1559✗1.41928k2022-06-17
LSKLiskEthereum1.23361.2225-0.90%0.98783-19.92%0.2527✗1.3248k2022-06-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.0978.0245-0.89%6.373-21.29%0.3164✗1.5615.2M2022-06-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6220.61646-0.89%0.505-18.81%0.4308✗1.79886k2022-06-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1370.135786-0.89%0.0984-28.18%0.3042✗1.785.9M2022-06-17
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.14510.143819-0.88%0.0799-44.93%0.0264✗1.753,5392022-06-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3360.333054-0.88%0.266-20.83%0.2210✗1.27890k2022-06-17
XVSVenusEthereum4.674.6291-0.88%4.16-10.92%0.6013✗2.011.6M2022-06-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.11360.112611-0.87%0.0943-16.99%0.3512✗1.50844k2022-06-17
UNIUniswapEthereum4.8084.7668-0.86%3.931-18.24%0.3385✗1.512.6M2022-06-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.177240.175727-0.85%0.12862-27.43%0.3479✗1.88276k2022-06-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12140.120367-0.85%0.0924-23.89%0.2121✗1.36828k2022-06-17
MANADecentralandEthereum0.88840.88086-0.85%0.83828-5.64%0.6116✗1.88789k2022-06-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14240.1412-0.84%0.1118-21.49%0.3255✗1.5951k2022-06-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5250.520599-0.84%0.385-26.67%0.3303✗1.804,3562022-06-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative19.9919.8264-0.82%14.37-28.11%0.1619✗1.382.6M2022-06-17
KCSKuCoinnative15.53815.4119-0.81%11.096-28.59%0.0513✗1.086.2M2022-06-17
ORCAOrcaSolana0.810.803484-0.80%0.49-39.51%0.0788✓1.1869k2022-06-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.21.1904-0.80%0.56-53.33%0.3410✓1.1871k2022-06-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.014250.014136-0.80%0.012048-15.45%0.2737✗1.232.1M2022-06-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.022580.0224-0.80%0.01777-21.30%0.0004✓0.66608k2022-06-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.0521.8739-0.80%15.98-27.53%0.2917✗1.7250.1M2022-06-17
KSMKusamaHydration58.5558.0894-0.79%48.97-16.36%0.3108✗1.371.1M2022-06-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.14820.147042-0.78%0.1492+0.67%0.5917✗1.641,7522022-06-17
MOVRMoonriverBase18.441218.2991-0.77%11.6249-36.96%0.1132✗1.61229k2022-06-17
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7630.757153-0.77%0.611-19.92%0.4316✗1.84578k2022-06-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3601920.357461-0.76%0.267879-25.63%0.2576✗1.552.3M2022-06-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.0271.0195-0.73%0.66-35.74%0.0804✗1.475.1M2022-06-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.641.6282-0.72%1.31-20.12%0.4827✗1.99580k2022-06-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.420.417027-0.71%0.291-30.71%0.3183✗1.93609k2022-06-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008110.008053-0.71%0.00671-17.26%0.2379✗1.20637k2022-06-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010120.000010049-0.70%0.00000816-19.37%0.3145✗1.49850k2022-06-17
GTGateEthereum5.36415.3271-0.69%3.9598-26.18%0.0872✓0.603.2M2022-06-17
COMPCompoundEthereum51.6651.3119-0.67%32.83-36.45%0.1101✗1.5828k2022-06-17
STORJStorjEthereum0.507690.504292-0.67%0.47267-6.90%0.5395✗1.7263k2022-06-17
ZECZcashZcash88.8588.2854-0.64%62.52-29.63%0.1553✗1.423.8M2022-06-17
XMRMoneroMonero174.19173.1154-0.62%114.16-34.46%0.0110✓1.152.1M2022-06-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin56.6256.2804-0.60%47.55-16.02%0.3040✗1.3417.5M2022-06-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2111.143-0.60%7.72-31.13%0.0857✗1.29524k2022-06-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.452.436-0.57%1.715-30.00%0.3723✗2.063.0M2022-06-17
ETHEthereumEthereum1,660.781,651.32-0.57%1,085.76-34.62%0.0258✓1.12340.5M2022-06-17
NANOnanopayBase1.05631.0506-0.54%0.808399-23.47%0.2287✗1.40129k2022-06-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.27080.269708-0.40%0.1644-39.29%0.0122✓1.37230k2022-06-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.025920.025839-0.31%0.0204-21.30%0.1423✗1.08156k2022-06-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash167.29167.2867-0.00%121.36-27.46%0.1280✗1.284.4M2022-06-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.066060.06607+0.01%0.04599-30.38%0.1081✓1.3455k2022-06-17
AAVEAaveEthereum87.9587.9956+0.05%57.31-34.84%0.2270✓1.877.5M2022-06-17
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.20e-74.23e-7+0.56%3.34e-7-20.45%0.1256✓1.02877k2022-06-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.