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2022-06-07 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 170 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0664
170 of 170 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-4.95%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
14.1%
in alpha space · 95.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-28.89%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (170 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AVTAventusEthereum2.31.9971-13.17%1.63-29.13%0.1087✓0.91152k2022-06-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7731.5876-10.46%1.429-19.40%0.4442✗1.615.0M2022-06-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.8051.6894-6.40%0.926-48.70%0.1347✗2.163.2M2022-06-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05420.051463-5.05%0.0375-30.81%0.1826✗1.46498k2022-06-14
PROPropyEthereum1.040.990302-4.78%0.93-10.58%0.2045✗0.78187k2022-06-14
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.50771.4371-4.68%1.0032-33.46%0.1083✓0.744,7612022-06-14
STEEMSteemnative0.26140.24983-4.43%0.1927-26.28%0.2562✗1.51585k2022-06-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.89631.8226-3.89%1.35-28.81%0.1721✗1.392.5M2022-06-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.2413.6887-3.87%11.75-17.49%0.5387✗2.03252k2022-06-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.837120.805315-3.80%0.46115-44.91%0.1998✗2.223.0M2022-06-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6774.507-3.63%3.625-22.49%0.0145✓0.686.4M2022-06-14
APEApeCoinEthereum6.0285.8113-3.60%3.615-40.03%0.2837✗2.2223.4M2022-06-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.06230.060207-3.36%0.0475-23.76%0.3716✗1.7940k2022-06-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2680.260246-2.89%0.216-19.40%0.4906✗1.991.4M2022-06-14
GMTGMTEthereum0.9580.930659-2.85%0.633-33.92%0.4000✗2.302.2M2022-06-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.0822.9946-2.84%3.195+3.67%0.3159✗0.742.6M2022-06-14
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9292.8478-2.77%1.909-34.82%0.2247✗1.83109k2022-06-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.364.241-2.73%3.96-9.17%0.1952✗0.771.5M2022-06-14
XECeCashnative0.000055710.000054204-2.70%0.00003807-31.66%0.1504✗1.483.4M2022-06-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.950.924656-2.67%0.69-27.37%0.3020✗1.74232k2022-06-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.51542.4556-2.38%2.1251-15.52%0.2214✗1.073.3M2022-06-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8092.7429-2.35%3.264+16.20%0.4978✗0.952.0M2022-06-14
XVSVenusEthereum5.815.6737-2.35%4.19-27.88%0.3565✗1.931.6M2022-06-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023410.022874-2.29%0.02014-13.97%0.7139✗2.4740.1M2022-06-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.457.2807-2.27%6.53-12.35%0.1105✗0.641.7M2022-06-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.82.7366-2.26%2.28-18.57%0.5375✗2.11294k2022-06-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.063.9694-2.23%3.49-14.04%0.1888✗0.931.3M2022-06-14
DODODODOEthereum0.17980.175792-2.23%0.1351-24.86%0.3172✗1.702.9M2022-06-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.039150.038288-2.20%0.02637-32.64%0.1431✗1.5120k2022-06-14
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3111.2827-2.16%0.883-32.65%0.0325✓1.001.2M2022-06-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.754.6483-2.14%4.03-15.16%0.1610✗0.89893k2022-06-14
XYMSymbolnative0.0579760.056762-2.09%0.050449-12.98%0.1613✗0.8292k2022-06-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.7058.5242-2.08%6.713-22.88%0.2765✗1.5132.1M2022-06-14
RADRadworksEthereum2.312.2622-2.07%1.61-30.30%0.0987✗1.29275k2022-06-14
ADACardanoCardano0.61360.601039-2.05%0.4828-21.32%0.3401✗1.6449.8M2022-06-14
FLOWFlownative2.4332.3838-2.02%1.595-34.44%0.0609✓1.00671k2022-06-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.23530.230575-2.01%0.1597-32.13%0.1692✗1.57664k2022-06-14
CBKCobakEthereum1.30311.2773-1.97%0.81622-37.36%0.0321✓1.226,7502022-06-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.526.3918-1.97%4.73-27.45%0.2284✗1.55420k2022-06-14
GITCOINGITCOIN2.92.8448-1.90%2.283-21.28%0.5131✗2.1515k2022-06-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.10720.105174-1.89%0.0896-16.42%0.4819✗1.88455k2022-06-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.06180.06065-1.86%0.04428-28.35%0.0795✗1.1615k2022-06-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03910.038375-1.86%0.0291-25.58%0.2832✗1.64257k2022-06-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.30170.296187-1.83%0.1982-34.31%0.0957✗1.46432k2022-06-14
HIVEHivenative0.59830.587388-1.82%0.3572-40.30%0.0114✓1.431.6M2022-06-14
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.053670.052705-1.80%0.0391-27.15%0.0688✗1.084,6802022-06-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.20170.198195-1.74%0.127-37.04%0.0809✗1.54199k2022-06-14
XEMNEMnative0.0521310.051232-1.73%0.040001-23.27%0.2893✗1.5754k2022-06-14
XLMStellarStellar0.1402330.13785-1.70%0.112638-19.68%0.2046✗1.1911.2M2022-06-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15690.154251-1.69%0.1259-19.76%0.3850✗1.733.6M2022-06-14
API3Api3Ethereum1.4771.4522-1.68%1.173-20.58%0.3743✗1.72826k2022-06-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.010190.010023-1.64%0.00656-35.62%0.0438✓1.112,4432022-06-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.2672.2303-1.62%1.8133-20.01%0.1483✗1.043.5M2022-06-14
FTTFTXEthereum27.0626.6256-1.61%23.96-11.46%0.2402✗1.019.6M2022-06-14
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2311.2115-1.58%0.75-39.07%0.1081✓1.091.2M2022-06-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.09050.089069-1.58%0.0643-28.95%0.0800✓0.72323k2022-06-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.39890.392599-1.58%0.3083-22.71%0.2481✗1.4414.9M2022-06-14
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.14960.147277-1.55%0.1366-8.69%0.2686✗1.01286k2022-06-14
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0870.085654-1.55%0.0559-35.75%0.0425✗1.38162k2022-06-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.49456.6111-1.54%53.965-6.14%0.3120✗1.061.2M2022-06-14
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4650.457893-1.53%0.338-27.31%0.1447✗1.3216k2022-06-14
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9690.954222-1.53%0.71-26.73%0.3559✗1.913.0M2022-06-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum11.6611.4824-1.52%8.31-28.73%0.0390✗1.06342k2022-06-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.080340.079124-1.51%0.05555-30.86%0.0782✗1.271.5M2022-06-14
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00470.00463-1.50%0.0032-31.91%0.0783✗1.316,8092022-06-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,602.197,488.29-1.50%4,887.88-35.70%0.0184✗1.313.9M2022-06-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.1093.0627-1.49%2.441-21.49%0.1580✗1.1372k2022-06-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004290.004226-1.49%0.00288-32.87%0.0360✗1.232.1M2022-06-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0284410.028026-1.46%0.018367-35.42%0.0184✓1.1912k2022-06-14
BANDBandEthereum1.7081.6834-1.44%1.453-14.93%0.4483✗1.75342k2022-06-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.9311.7608-1.42%8.22-31.10%0.3209✗1.993.8M2022-06-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6841.6604-1.40%1.177-30.11%0.2368✗1.7079k2022-06-14
DIADIAEthereum0.467930.461428-1.39%0.39753-15.04%0.0765✗0.66215k2022-06-14
GLMGolemEthereum0.29520.291105-1.39%0.2016-31.71%0.0852✗1.33107k2022-06-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.5343.485-1.39%2.992-15.34%0.1783✗0.971.5M2022-06-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06870.067759-1.37%0.058-15.57%0.4576✗1.801.8M2022-06-14
CELLCellframeEthereum0.33580.331312-1.34%0.2234-33.47%0.1217✗1.5132k2022-06-14
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.16380.161612-1.34%0.1016-37.97%0.0831✗1.6176k2022-06-14
XVGVergenative0.00490.004835-1.33%0.00303-38.16%0.0935✗1.64747k2022-06-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin31,106.9030,696.15-1.32%22,120.25-28.89%0.0133✓1.00656.1M2022-06-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.63272.5984-1.30%1.9235-26.94%0.1776✗1.4068k2022-06-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.2149.0941-1.30%7.349-20.24%0.3099✗1.5313.8M2022-06-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum31,177.9030,775.54-1.29%22,084.60-29.17%0.0008✓0.9865k2022-06-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.423.376-1.29%2.79-18.42%0.1868✗1.11663k2022-06-14
BORABORAKlay Token0.409510.40429-1.27%0.27244-33.47%0.1442✗1.5818k2022-06-14
QTUMQtumQtum4.00013.9494-1.27%2.776-30.60%0.0857✗1.2945k2022-06-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.425.3517-1.26%4.42-18.45%0.0897✗0.821.7M2022-06-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.6919.4421-1.26%14.07-28.54%0.2521✗1.693.0M2022-06-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.012230.012078-1.24%0.00934-23.63%0.2623✗1.5216.2M2022-06-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.3227.2313-1.24%5.468-25.32%0.2575✗1.582.7M2022-06-14
STXStacksnative0.54210.535403-1.24%0.3431-36.71%0.0395✓1.19180k2022-06-14
XMRMoneroMonero187.45185.155-1.22%118.2-36.94%0.0565✓1.152.3M2022-06-14
QNTQuantEthereum64.4563.6792-1.20%47.79-25.85%0.1212✗1.202.2M2022-06-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.392790.388159-1.18%0.29215-25.62%0.2027✗1.43125k2022-06-14
LSKLiskEthereum1.38391.3676-1.18%0.963038-30.41%0.0661✗1.2254k2022-06-14
LRCLoopringEthereum0.52910.522925-1.17%0.3815-27.90%0.2844✗1.76188k2022-06-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4084220.403727-1.15%0.250986-38.55%0.0419✗1.522.4M2022-06-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008550.008452-1.15%0.00686-19.77%0.0876✗0.87228k2022-06-14
TRXTRONTron0.0819950.081068-1.13%0.055589-32.20%0.0721✓0.90907k2022-06-14
GALAGALAEthereum0.07810.077225-1.12%0.0609-22.02%0.4571✗2.04154k2022-06-14
UMAUMAEthereum3.0172.9837-1.10%2.816-6.66%0.4387✗1.461.3M2022-06-14
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.2981.2837-1.10%0.867-33.20%0.3132✗2.07399k2022-06-14
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.1343.0994-1.10%2.6493-15.47%0.2656✗1.244.4M2022-06-14
SUSHISushiEthereum1.561.5429-1.10%1-35.90%0.1623✗1.751.4M2022-06-14
SCSiacoinnative0.005650.005588-1.10%0.00359-36.46%0.1489✗1.73259k2022-06-14
SOLSolanaSolana39.2838.8633-1.06%29.54-24.80%0.2761✗1.61117.0M2022-06-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6260.619373-1.06%0.454-27.48%0.2597✗1.67153k2022-06-14
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06950.068764-1.06%0.05078-26.94%0.4365✗2.172.4M2022-06-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0149670.014809-1.06%0.014658-2.06%0.2619✗0.80268k2022-06-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.12680.125462-1.06%0.0951-25.00%0.3254✗1.771.2M2022-06-14
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9521.9314-1.05%1.3-33.40%0.2571✗1.92291k2022-06-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8450.836095-1.05%0.593-29.82%0.0565✗1.17423k2022-06-14
DASHDashDash58.3357.7175-1.05%43.47-25.48%0.1497✗1.27907k2022-06-14
WOOWOOEthereum0.17970.177841-1.03%0.13-27.66%0.2223✗1.572,8762022-06-14
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5840.57813-1.01%0.402-31.16%0.2429✗1.785,3382022-06-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.011590.011474-1.00%0.00972-16.13%0.2271✗1.151.6M2022-06-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1290.127718-0.99%0.0988-23.41%0.1787✗1.2811k2022-06-14
BTTCBTTC0.000001080.000001069-0.99%8.10e-7-25.00%0.0290✗0.906.7M2022-06-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.35260.349114-0.99%0.2666-24.39%0.2204✗1.446.5M2022-06-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.8286.7609-0.98%5.558-18.60%0.4027✗1.7610.9M2022-06-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6990.692216-0.97%0.515-26.32%0.3062✗1.771.1M2022-06-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.15470.153207-0.97%0.1042-32.64%0.2111✗1.756.4M2022-06-14
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.15470.153213-0.96%0.1105-28.57%0.2745✗1.763,2022022-06-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.023890.023661-0.96%0.01919-19.67%0.0003✓0.62608k2022-06-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.197310.195495-0.92%0.13793-30.09%0.2851✗1.86298k2022-06-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.5624.3368-0.91%16.54-32.65%0.1893✗1.6954.6M2022-06-14
MANADecentralandEthereum1.02111.0118-0.91%0.82109-19.58%0.4172✗1.84918k2022-06-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.1879.1043-0.90%6.357-30.80%0.1617✗1.5315.2M2022-06-14
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7492.7252-0.87%2.061-25.03%0.3151✗1.74263k2022-06-14
ZENHorizenBase19.819.6284-0.87%14.65-26.01%0.2816✗1.6878k2022-06-14
KSMKusamaHydration67.2566.674-0.86%51.18-23.90%0.1921✗1.341.4M2022-06-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1871.1769-0.86%0.731-38.42%0.0119✗1.435.8M2022-06-14
KCSKuCoinnative16.18916.0514-0.85%11.914-26.41%0.0656✗1.076.9M2022-06-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012380.001228-0.84%0.000824-33.44%0.1809✗1.701.8M2022-06-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.12320.122182-0.83%0.0943-23.46%0.2408✗1.47996k2022-06-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13060.129528-0.82%0.0982-24.81%0.1783✗1.34951k2022-06-14
XTZTezosTezos2.06792.0513-0.80%1.4566-29.56%0.1238✗1.37928k2022-06-14
UOSUltraEthereum0.375990.37299-0.80%0.24528-34.76%0.0864✗1.48546k2022-06-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3610.358123-0.80%0.26-27.98%0.1059✗1.251.0M2022-06-14
STORJStorjEthereum0.584970.580339-0.79%0.37199-36.41%0.1116✗1.6368k2022-06-14
UNIUniswapEthereum5.2115.1703-0.78%3.857-25.98%0.2135✗1.492.6M2022-06-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.31875.2775-0.78%5.4+1.53%0.1320✗0.32279k2022-06-14
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8110.804814-0.76%0.822+1.36%0.4420✗1.231.9M2022-06-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.31.2901-0.76%0.82-36.92%0.0619✓1.1574k2022-06-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.5321.3732-0.73%14.59-32.23%0.0810✗1.363.1M2022-06-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.722.7007-0.71%1.854-31.84%0.3126✗2.023.1M2022-06-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009050.008987-0.70%0.00658-27.29%0.0795✗1.15917k2022-06-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.781.7678-0.69%1.33-25.28%0.3826✗1.96603k2022-06-14
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8570.851135-0.68%0.655-23.57%0.3526✗1.80622k2022-06-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.06660.066155-0.67%0.0577-13.36%0.2940✗1.26396k2022-06-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.7763.3524-0.65%46.1-27.71%0.1284✗1.3118.4M2022-06-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4770.473878-0.65%0.296-37.95%0.1710✗1.88683k2022-06-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0149540.014863-0.61%0.012422-16.93%0.2368✗1.222.4M2022-06-14
ETHEthereumEthereum1,811.891,800.83-0.61%1,207.58-33.35%0.0248✓1.10363.3M2022-06-14
MOVRMoonriverBase20.159420.0393-0.60%15.1911-24.65%0.2689✗1.60239k2022-06-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.31430.312492-0.58%0.1768-43.75%0.1100✓1.35286k2022-06-14
ORCAOrcaSolana0.820.815369-0.56%0.62-24.39%0.1285✗1.1878k2022-06-14
NANOnanopayBase1.17381.1671-0.56%0.830219-29.27%0.1206✗1.35151k2022-06-14
COMPCompoundEthereum57.1256.804-0.55%34.25-40.04%0.0245✗1.5636k2022-06-14
ZECZcashZcash93.4792.9672-0.54%64.06-31.46%0.0814✗1.334.3M2022-06-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010730.000010674-0.52%0.00000819-23.67%0.2375✗1.47957k2022-06-14
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.028430.028294-0.48%0.0204-28.24%0.0296✗1.05170k2022-06-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.0712.0131-0.47%8.06-33.22%0.0346✗1.27541k2022-06-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.60690.604244-0.44%0.6004-1.07%0.4942✗1.472.9M2022-06-14
GTGateEthereum5.47365.4514-0.41%4.4459-18.78%0.0036✓0.613.7M2022-06-14
AAVEAaveEthereum99.1999.0739-0.12%62.11-37.38%0.1595✗1.848.9M2022-06-14
BRISEBitgertEthereum5.34e-75.34e-7-0.08%3.77e-7-29.33%0.0057✗1.03961k2022-06-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash181.8181.892+0.05%125.88-30.76%0.0629✓1.264.8M2022-06-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070190.070244+0.08%0.04722-32.73%0.0375✓1.2737k2022-06-14
LUNATerraTerra 20.000063240.000063468+0.36%0.00006063-4.13%1.0466✓3.202.5M2022-06-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.