8=======>

2022-05-31 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 169 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0092
169 of 169 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.22%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
59.2%
in alpha space · 72.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.13%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (169 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash204.51204.0634-0.22%181.8-11.10%0.0889✓1.244.6M2022-06-07
ZECZcashZcash93.2892.9138-0.39%93.47+0.20%0.0347✗1.344.6M2022-06-07
XVSVenusEthereum5.014.9901-0.40%5.81+15.97%0.1920✗1.851.8M2022-06-07
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.8612.8086-0.40%12.07-6.14%0.0317✓1.29584k2022-06-07
GTGateEthereum5.66275.6365-0.46%5.4736-3.34%0.0176✓0.554.1M2022-06-07
WOOWOOEthereum0.17390.173085-0.47%0.1797+3.34%0.0690✗1.461,8582022-06-07
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.331.3233-0.50%1.3-2.26%0.0065✗1.1399k2022-06-07
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001170.000011638-0.53%0.00001073-8.29%0.0511✓1.401.0M2022-06-07
MOVRMoonriverBase22.977522.8545-0.54%20.1594-12.26%0.0912✓1.59247k2022-06-07
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.67050.666849-0.54%0.6069-9.49%0.0638✓1.414.1M2022-06-07
COMPCompoundEthereum63.6763.3118-0.56%57.12-10.29%0.0702✓1.5231k2022-06-07
CVCCivicEthereum0.17440.173402-0.57%0.2017+15.65%0.1833✗1.49260k2022-06-07
BFCBifrostEthereum0.074050.07361-0.59%0.07019-5.21%0.0222✓1.1817k2022-06-07
AVTAventusEthereum1.081.0733-0.62%2.3+112.96%0.7783✗0.75172k2022-06-07
NANOnanopayBase1.20081.1933-0.62%1.1738-2.25%0.0122✗1.33174k2022-06-07
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.9492.9307-0.62%3.109+5.43%0.0823✗1.0872k2022-06-07
ETHEthereumEthereum1,940.591,928.49-0.62%1,811.89-6.63%0.0389✓1.09407.6M2022-06-07
ORCAOrcaSolana0.870.86456-0.63%0.82-5.75%0.0288✓1.1291k2022-06-07
LTCLitecoinLitecoin68.3267.8545-0.68%63.77-6.66%0.0346✓1.2819.8M2022-06-07
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.31815.2805-0.71%5.3187+0.01%0.0138✗0.30285k2022-06-07
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.023220.023053-0.72%0.02389+2.89%0.0479✗0.57582k2022-06-07
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.343.3158-0.72%3.42+2.40%0.0535✗1.05663k2022-06-07
CHZChilizEthereum0.1220.121112-0.73%0.1232+0.98%0.0468✗1.38985k2022-06-07
STORJStorjEthereum0.589760.585463-0.73%0.58497-0.81%0.0335✗1.5964k2022-06-07
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.029520.029302-0.74%0.02843-3.69%0.0087✓1.00188k2022-06-07
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9590.951911-0.74%0.857-10.64%0.0695✓1.65741k2022-06-07
AAVEAaveEthereum112.72111.8766-0.75%99.19-12.00%0.0826✓1.758.9M2022-06-07
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001330.00132-0.77%0.001238-6.92%0.0283✓1.662.0M2022-06-07
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche26.4126.2057-0.77%24.56-7.00%0.0316✓1.5553.9M2022-06-07
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0173680.017231-0.79%0.014954-13.90%0.1168✓1.163.1M2022-06-07
XTZTezosTezos2.08552.0686-0.81%2.0679-0.84%0.0283✗1.331.0M2022-06-07
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009850.00977-0.81%0.00905-8.12%0.0529✓1.10943k2022-06-07
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13140.13032-0.82%0.129-1.83%0.0160✗1.2214k2022-06-07
LCXLCXEthereum0.07080.070214-0.83%0.0666-5.93%0.0268✓1.21406k2022-06-07
LSKLiskEthereum1.29621.2854-0.83%1.3839+6.76%0.0994✗1.1950k2022-06-07
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.3210.2339-0.83%9.187-10.98%0.0763✓1.4718.3M2022-06-07
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.32790.325132-0.84%0.3143-4.15%0.0044✓1.37420k2022-06-07
UNIUniswapEthereum5.695.6395-0.89%5.211-8.42%0.0486✓1.412.8M2022-06-07
AMPAmpEthereum0.012560.012446-0.91%0.01159-7.72%0.0476✓1.101.9M2022-06-07
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.038750.038398-0.91%0.03915+1.03%0.0503✗1.4332k2022-06-07
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.04e-76.98e-7-0.92%5.34e-7-24.15%0.2486✓0.871.2M2022-06-07
GLMGolemEthereum0.27410.271563-0.93%0.2952+7.70%0.1128✗1.36100k2022-06-07
MANADecentralandEthereum1.08581.0758-0.93%1.0211-5.96%0.0153✓1.711.1M2022-06-07
MASKMask NetworkEthereum2.072.0505-0.94%1.78-14.01%0.1017✓1.85580k2022-06-07
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.16340.161852-0.95%0.1547-5.32%0.0100✓1.636.6M2022-06-07
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9680.958724-0.96%0.845-12.71%0.1008✓1.18487k2022-06-07
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3910.387239-0.96%0.361-7.67%0.0445✓1.191.0M2022-06-07
GALAGALAEthereum0.08270.081904-0.96%0.0781-5.56%0.0075✓1.86159k2022-06-07
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008640.008557-0.97%0.00855-1.04%0.0164✗0.80176k2022-06-07
SOLSolanaSolana45.7545.3076-0.97%39.28-14.14%0.1105✓1.50112.7M2022-06-07
SCSiacoinnative0.005650.005595-0.97%0.00565+0.00%0.0455✗1.66317k2022-06-07
KSMKusamaHydration79.879.0255-0.97%67.25-15.73%0.1330✓1.321.6M2022-06-07
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.35280.349319-0.99%0.3526-0.06%0.0388✗1.377.9M2022-06-07
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13860.137224-0.99%0.1306-5.77%0.0222✓1.271.0M2022-06-07
ZENHorizenBase22.2722.0408-1.03%19.8-11.09%0.0715✓1.6691k2022-06-07
ETCEthereum Classicnative23.7323.4853-1.03%21.53-9.27%0.0589✓1.303.7M2022-06-07
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.580.573983-1.04%0.477-17.76%0.1468✓1.78763k2022-06-07
BTTCBTTC0.000001130.000001118-1.05%0.00000108-4.42%0.0156✓0.887.6M2022-06-07
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.401960.397703-1.06%0.39279-2.28%0.0171✗1.37147k2022-06-07
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.72082.6915-1.07%2.6327-3.24%0.0068✓1.3485k2022-06-07
UOSUltraEthereum0.38880.384587-1.08%0.37599-3.29%0.0088✓1.46713k2022-06-07
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8940.884311-1.08%0.811-9.28%0.0613✓1.172.4M2022-06-07
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.3193.283-1.08%3.534+6.48%0.0947✗0.981.6M2022-06-07
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum3.1343.0995-1.10%2.749-12.28%0.0846✓1.64271k2022-06-07
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6960.68832-1.10%0.626-10.06%0.0607✓1.59204k2022-06-07
QTUMQtumQtum4.17884.1322-1.12%4.0001-4.28%0.0061✓1.2358k2022-06-07
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.275.2107-1.13%5.42+2.85%0.0556✗0.752.6M2022-06-07
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.8511.7151-1.14%11.93+0.68%0.0558✗1.755.7M2022-06-07
UMAUMAEthereum3.2893.2513-1.15%3.017-8.27%0.0460✓1.342.0M2022-06-07
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15630.154484-1.16%0.1638+4.80%0.0934✗1.6289k2022-06-07
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3841.3674-1.20%1.187-14.23%0.1113✓1.406.8M2022-06-07
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15040.148581-1.21%0.1569+4.32%0.0904✗1.674.7M2022-06-07
DIADIAEthereum0.46820.462487-1.22%0.46793-0.06%0.0253✗0.63165k2022-06-07
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.278.1688-1.22%6.828-17.44%0.1446✓1.618.1M2022-06-07
CTSICartesiEthereum0.21010.207516-1.23%0.2353+11.99%0.1591✗1.55489k2022-06-07
STXStacksnative0.570.562928-1.24%0.5421-4.89%0.0130✓1.15203k2022-06-07
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.26353.5795-1.26%57.494+5.95%0.0930✗1.051.2M2022-06-07
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08920.08807-1.27%0.0905+1.46%0.0436✗0.76252k2022-06-07
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0147830.014595-1.27%0.014967+1.24%0.0411✗0.74198k2022-06-07
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.087.977-1.27%7.322-9.38%0.0537✓1.483.8M2022-06-07
DASHDashDash64.563.6768-1.28%58.33-9.57%0.0611✓1.241.0M2022-06-07
TRXTRONTron0.0843860.08329-1.30%0.081995-2.83%0.0029✓0.861.5M2022-06-07
XVGVergenative0.005320.005251-1.30%0.0049-7.89%0.0357✓1.55793k2022-06-07
COTICOTIEthereum0.13410.132345-1.31%0.1268-5.44%0.0063✓1.701.3M2022-06-07
QNTQuantEthereum70.9370.0009-1.31%64.45-9.14%0.0579✓1.152.6M2022-06-07
BTCBitcoinBitcoin31,784.0531,366.14-1.31%31,106.90-2.13%0.0132✓1.00708.0M2022-06-07
XECeCashnative0.000050710.00005004-1.32%0.00005571+9.86%0.1376✗1.414.2M2022-06-07
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,056.167,949.35-1.33%7,602.19-5.64%0.0164✓1.313.9M2022-06-07
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum31,746.0031,324.72-1.33%31,177.90-1.79%0.0163✗0.9778k2022-06-07
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004480.00442-1.35%0.00429-4.24%0.0044✓1.182.1M2022-06-07
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.1172.0885-1.35%1.952-7.79%0.0267✓1.90452k2022-06-07
KCSKuCoinnative17.91817.6756-1.35%16.189-9.65%0.0656✓1.036.6M2022-06-07
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.17110.168732-1.38%0.1547-9.59%0.0653✓1.003,4622022-06-07
DOTPolkadotPolkadot10.3410.1948-1.40%9.214-10.89%0.0697✓1.4614.2M2022-06-07
CBKCobakEthereum1.22961.2122-1.41%1.3031+5.97%0.0977✗1.187,1582022-06-07
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.17960.177051-1.42%0.1496-16.70%0.1495✓0.88335k2022-06-07
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.229770.226478-1.43%0.19731-14.13%0.0994✓1.79298k2022-06-07
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03810.037551-1.44%0.0391+2.62%0.0734✗1.53276k2022-06-07
BANDBandEthereum1.8091.7828-1.45%1.708-5.58%0.0076✓1.64418k2022-06-07
LRCLoopringEthereum0.56410.555888-1.46%0.5291-6.20%0.0147✓1.61208k2022-06-07
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.6912.5051-1.46%11.66-8.12%0.0491✓0.97461k2022-06-07
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.28160.277496-1.46%0.3017+7.14%0.1126✗1.35311k2022-06-07
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.587.4691-1.46%8.705+14.84%0.1844✗1.4522.3M2022-06-07
XEMNEMnative0.0531360.052334-1.51%0.052131-1.89%0.0287✗1.5142k2022-06-07
FTTFTXEthereum28.9428.5015-1.52%27.06-6.50%0.0303✓1.0010.5M2022-06-07
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.41080.404524-1.53%0.3989-2.90%0.0148✓1.3418.0M2022-06-07
RADRadworksEthereum2.282.2448-1.55%2.31+1.32%0.0549✗1.22275k2022-06-07
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.2953.244-1.55%3.134-4.89%0.0012✓1.666.1M2022-06-07
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.050940.050142-1.57%0.05367+5.36%0.0907✗1.054,6802022-06-07
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07120.070076-1.58%0.0687-3.51%0.0178✗1.752.0M2022-06-07
HIVEHivenative0.55650.54768-1.58%0.5983+7.51%0.1177✗1.361.3M2022-06-07
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.3671.3451-1.60%1.298-5.05%0.0047✓1.87467k2022-06-07
CELLCellframeEthereum0.37850.372415-1.61%0.3358-11.28%0.0696✓1.5740k2022-06-07
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0752.0387-1.75%1.684-18.84%0.1558✓1.6492k2022-06-07
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.10590.104047-1.75%0.1072+1.23%0.0687✗1.80492k2022-06-07
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.07910.077714-1.75%0.0695-12.14%0.0634✓2.242.9M2022-06-07
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.364.283-1.77%4.75+8.94%0.1193✗0.74835k2022-06-07
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.1233.0678-1.77%2.72-12.90%0.0773✓2.004.0M2022-06-07
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08970.088075-1.81%0.087-3.01%0.0209✗1.54166k2022-06-07
XMRMoneroMonero198194.3105-1.86%187.45-5.33%0.0116✓1.132.5M2022-06-07
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.3032.2598-1.87%2.809+21.97%0.2386✗0.98852k2022-06-07
API3Api3Ethereum1.821.7857-1.88%1.477-18.85%0.1539✓1.671.4M2022-06-07
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.24452.2021-1.89%2.267+1.00%0.0498✗0.963.6M2022-06-07
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.01350.013245-1.89%0.01223-9.41%0.0455✓1.5921.6M2022-06-07
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.7411.5146-1.92%14.24+21.29%0.2548✗1.97226k2022-06-07
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.633.5601-1.92%4.06+11.85%0.1510✗0.91843k2022-06-07
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2871.2622-1.92%1.231-4.35%0.0012✓1.111.5M2022-06-07
XLMStellarStellar0.15060.147566-2.01%0.140233-6.88%0.0255✓1.1810.7M2022-06-07
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5030.492861-2.02%0.465-7.55%0.0307✓1.2822k2022-06-07
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023090.022613-2.07%0.02341+1.39%0.0845✗2.3230.9M2022-06-07
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum23.8623.3501-2.14%19.69-17.48%0.1365✓1.583.1M2022-06-07
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.5332.4782-2.16%3.082+21.67%0.2331✗0.701.4M2022-06-07
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0289880.028361-2.16%0.028441-1.89%0.0273✗1.1413k2022-06-07
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1021.0776-2.21%0.969-12.07%0.0684✓1.764.2M2022-06-07
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004780.004672-2.25%0.0047-1.67%0.0320✗1.219,4522022-06-07
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.32652.2738-2.27%2.5154+8.12%0.1236✗1.052.8M2022-06-07
ADACardanoCardano0.62630.611685-2.33%0.6136-2.03%0.0357✗1.5144.7M2022-06-07
BORABORAKlay Token0.450730.440044-2.37%0.40951-9.15%0.0366✓1.6419k2022-06-07
XYMSymbolnative0.0597690.058344-2.38%0.057976-3.00%0.0109✓0.80119k2022-06-07
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.154.0495-2.42%4.36+5.06%0.0895✗0.731.0M2022-06-07
DKAdKargoEthereum0.05970.058241-2.44%0.0618+3.52%0.0847✗1.1815k2022-06-07
FLOWFlownative2.7172.6504-2.45%2.433-10.45%0.0641✓1.00879k2022-06-07
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.197.0047-2.58%6.52-9.32%0.0405✓1.45509k2022-06-07
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.467.2662-2.60%7.45-0.13%0.0337✗0.411.3M2022-06-07
SUSHISushiEthereum1.871.8195-2.70%1.56-16.58%0.1183✓1.652.0M2022-06-07
SUNSun TokenTron0.010230.009952-2.72%0.01019-0.39%0.0475✗1.114,2982022-06-07
APEApeCoinEthereum6.7736.584-2.79%6.028-11.00%0.0388✓2.2936.0M2022-06-07
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7040.684131-2.82%0.584-17.05%0.1222✓1.6810k2022-06-07
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.980.950947-2.96%0.95-3.06%0.0350✗1.67316k2022-06-07
DODODODOEthereum0.16780.162459-3.18%0.1798+7.15%0.1381✗1.702.6M2022-06-07
RUNETHORChainTHORChain32.8984-3.39%2.929-2.37%0.0320✓1.00138k2022-06-07
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.8670.836955-3.47%0.699-19.38%0.1453✓1.621.7M2022-06-07
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.2224.0741-3.50%4.677+10.78%0.1498✗0.554.1M2022-06-07
LUNATerraTerra 20.000114820.00011076-3.54%0.00006324-44.92%0.4946✓3.064.9M2022-06-07
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0858220.082393-3.99%0.08034-6.39%0.0009✓1.212.1M2022-06-07
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4204070.403196-4.09%0.408422-2.85%0.0446✗1.473.0M2022-06-07
PROPropyEthereum1.061.0135-4.39%1.04-1.89%0.0438✓0.83203k2022-06-07
GMTGMTEthereum1.1811.1272-4.55%0.958-18.88%0.1119✓2.363.3M2022-06-07
STEEMSteemnative0.270.257412-4.66%0.2614-3.19%0.0510✗1.66710k2022-06-07
ASTRAstarEthereum0.06520.06211-4.74%0.0623-4.45%0.0395✓1.6967k2022-06-07
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.6471.5671-4.85%1.5077-8.46%0.0209✓0.824,8222022-06-07
GITCOINGITCOIN3.473.2981-4.95%2.9-16.43%0.0854✓2.0116k2022-06-07
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.463.271-5.46%2.8-19.08%0.1132✓1.96324k2022-06-07
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8590.808804-5.84%1.805+110.13%0.8488✗2.142.0M2022-06-07
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.81580.767656-5.90%0.83712+2.61%0.1297✗2.00397k2022-06-07
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.21742.085-5.97%1.8963-14.48%0.0659✓1.344.9M2022-06-07
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05580.052067-6.69%0.0542-2.87%0.0707✗1.42801k2022-06-07
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4251.3179-7.51%1.773+24.42%0.3297✗1.536.3M2022-06-07
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3360.305926-8.95%0.268-20.24%0.0937✓1.791.3M2022-06-07
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.