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2022-05-23 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 168 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1323
168 of 168 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+16.24%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
80.4%
in alpha space · 33.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+9.04%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (168 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000160.000138828-13.23%0.00012556-21.53%0.3485✓2.876.3M2022-05-30
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2012.9312-8.43%2.583-19.31%0.1928✓0.77858k2022-05-30
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4441.3362-7.47%1.428-1.11%0.0560✓1.4110.1M2022-05-30
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.70440.653133-7.28%0.77616+10.19%0.0368✓1.57329k2022-05-30
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.20962.084-5.69%2.3387+5.84%0.0005✓1.347.1M2022-05-30
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6854.4281-5.48%4.438-5.27%0.0301✓0.372.8M2022-05-30
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.6182.491-4.85%2.419-7.60%0.1190✓1.04748k2022-05-30
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05390.051681-4.12%0.0544+0.93%0.0566✓1.251.3M2022-05-30
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.017.7047-3.81%7.7-3.87%0.0401✓0.461.2M2022-05-30
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4202640.404768-3.69%0.428413+1.94%0.0580✓1.335.6M2022-05-30
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.50732.4243-3.31%2.4274-3.19%0.0822✓0.962.7M2022-05-30
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.58091.5297-3.24%1.6463+4.14%0.0197✓0.6212k2022-05-30
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0830870.080471-3.15%0.08783+5.71%0.0096✓1.125.8M2022-05-30
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02570.024905-3.09%0.02403-6.50%0.2291✓2.2325.3M2022-05-30
STEEMSteemnative0.2650.257064-2.99%0.266+0.38%0.1152✓1.731.1M2022-05-30
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7030.683129-2.83%0.661-5.97%0.1629✓1.5016k2022-05-30
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00450.004385-2.56%0.0047+4.44%0.0257✓1.1013k2022-05-30
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0206480.020126-2.53%0.018213-11.79%0.1890✓1.033.2M2022-05-30
XYMSymbolnative0.06540.063754-2.52%0.0581-11.16%0.1586✓0.76229k2022-05-30
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.573.4806-2.50%4.32+21.01%0.1461✗0.81659k2022-05-30
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.22112.1657-2.49%2.3025+3.66%0.0162✓0.894.7M2022-05-30
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0176820.017283-2.26%0.014997-15.18%0.1976✓0.64205k2022-05-30
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.029750.029082-2.25%0.02442-17.92%0.2275✓0.61407k2022-05-30
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9362.8702-2.24%3.2+8.99%0.0222✓1.00163k2022-05-30
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.49413.4163-2.23%3.398-2.75%0.1360✓1.519.1M2022-05-30
BORABORAKlay Token0.414570.405375-2.22%0.45944+10.82%0.0229✓1.7126k2022-05-30
DKAdKargoEthereum0.056270.055041-2.18%0.06185+9.92%0.0238✗1.0718k2022-05-30
APEApeCoinEthereum7.7497.5799-2.18%7.215-6.89%0.2535✓2.3676.4M2022-05-30
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.870.852058-2.06%0.98+12.64%0.0063✓1.54578k2022-05-30
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2360.231299-1.99%0.229-2.97%0.1473✓1.592.0M2022-05-30
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0550.05391-1.98%0.0659+19.82%0.0968✗1.2085k2022-05-30
CBKCobakEthereum1.1691.1464-1.93%1.2478+6.74%0.0035✓1.0212k2022-05-30
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08960.087878-1.92%0.0891-0.56%0.1244✓1.60162k2022-05-30
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.027090.026588-1.85%0.029139+7.56%0.0035✓1.0218k2022-05-30
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.186.071-1.76%7.17+16.02%0.0463✗1.39610k2022-05-30
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.123.065-1.76%3.78+21.15%0.1244✗0.98557k2022-05-30
PROPropyEthereum1.041.0221-1.72%1.02-1.92%0.0639✓0.71369k2022-05-30
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana43.9336-1.66%4.56+14.00%0.0779✗0.81812k2022-05-30
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.047060.0463-1.62%0.05182+10.11%0.0281✗0.986,4572022-05-30
STXStacksnative0.620.609993-1.61%0.57-8.06%0.1626✓1.10260k2022-05-30
LRCLoopringEthereum0.55030.541491-1.60%0.5697+3.53%0.0756✓1.46211k2022-05-30
DODODODOEthereum0.1460.143689-1.58%0.1844+26.30%0.1194✗1.503.0M2022-05-30
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.11940.117513-1.58%0.1132-5.19%0.1901✓1.76604k2022-05-30
XEMNEMnative0.05540.054558-1.52%0.053343-3.71%0.1410✓1.3756k2022-05-30
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9380.92393-1.50%1.152+22.81%0.0857✗1.566.1M2022-05-30
DIADIAEthereum0.489590.482335-1.48%0.48531-0.87%0.0424✓0.5691k2022-05-30
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.16750.165045-1.47%0.1674-0.06%0.0724✓1.004,0132022-05-30
SUSHISushiEthereum1.531.5077-1.46%1.69+10.46%0.0138✓1.483.1M2022-05-30
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3810.375646-1.41%0.3897+2.28%0.0754✓1.3068k2022-05-30
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.8712.6892-1.40%12.86-0.08%0.0647✓0.90568k2022-05-30
FTTFTXEthereum29.6829.2721-1.37%29.16-1.75%0.0868✓0.9610.6M2022-05-30
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.562.5249-1.37%2.85+11.33%0.0331✓1.78390k2022-05-30
UMAUMAEthereum3.4593.4118-1.36%3.393-1.91%0.1502✓1.672.2M2022-05-30
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5550.547567-1.34%0.52-6.31%0.1532✓1.1733k2022-05-30
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08010.079028-1.34%0.0703-12.23%0.2592✓1.642.5M2022-05-30
XLMStellarStellar0.1287080.126998-1.33%0.143437+11.44%0.0286✗1.0812.0M2022-05-30
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.012410.012246-1.32%0.01316+6.04%0.0566✓1.4934.7M2022-05-30
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.665.5871-1.29%5.45-3.71%0.0887✓0.743.3M2022-05-30
ADACardanoCardano0.51290.506487-1.25%0.5697+11.07%0.0018✓1.3448.2M2022-05-30
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.7112.5523-1.24%12.58-1.02%0.1328✓1.566.9M2022-05-30
SUNSun TokenTron0.008590.008484-1.24%0.00966+12.46%0.0419✗1.0211k2022-05-30
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.793.7433-1.23%3.404-10.18%0.1780✓0.962.0M2022-05-30
API3Api3Ethereum1.7481.7266-1.22%1.79+2.40%0.0994✓1.571.8M2022-05-30
XECeCashnative0.000048150.000047573-1.20%0.00005117+6.27%0.0392✓1.295.7M2022-05-30
QTUMQtumQtum4.10254.0538-1.19%4.1804+1.90%0.0698✓1.16113k2022-05-30
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25670.253674-1.18%0.2796+8.92%0.0111✓1.25305k2022-05-30
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.41650.411604-1.18%0.4199+0.82%0.0850✓1.2115.9M2022-05-30
QNTQuantEthereum67.9167.1434-1.13%73.65+8.45%0.0009✓1.063.5M2022-05-30
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV5150.4342-1.11%55.674+9.16%0.0163✗0.951.5M2022-05-30
XMRMoneroMonero185.61183.5627-1.10%203.87+9.84%0.0121✗1.072.7M2022-05-30
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.168.0706-1.10%8.2+0.49%0.0947✓1.285.0M2022-05-30
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2921.2782-1.06%1.319+2.09%0.0552✓1.003.3M2022-05-30
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004720.00467-1.06%0.00433-8.26%0.1770✓1.171.9M2022-05-30
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.038650.038244-1.05%0.03929+1.66%0.0924✓1.3844k2022-05-30
KCSKuCoinnative16.316.1335-1.02%17.06+4.66%0.0282✓0.976.5M2022-05-30
AVTAventusEthereum1.181.1681-1.00%1.17-0.85%0.0678✓0.80192k2022-05-30
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9510.941592-0.99%1.006+5.78%0.0269✓1.08658k2022-05-30
XVGVergenative0.005070.00502-0.98%0.00544+7.30%0.0429✓1.42845k2022-05-30
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.889.7837-0.97%10.47+5.97%0.0480✓1.3413.8M2022-05-30
BANDBandEthereum1.7081.6914-0.97%1.809+5.91%0.0612✓1.48433k2022-05-30
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14390.142509-0.97%0.157+9.10%0.0471✓1.6697k2022-05-30
GMTGMTEthereum1.3651.3523-0.93%1.248-8.57%0.1668✓1.004.1M2022-05-30
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9311.9131-0.93%2.098+8.65%0.0725✓1.90756k2022-05-30
HIVEHivenative0.48940.484884-0.92%0.5199+6.23%0.0412✓1.281.5M2022-05-30
DYDXdYdXCosmos21.982-0.90%1.978-1.10%0.1337✓1.5295k2022-05-30
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.03e-76.96e-7-0.90%7.04e-7+0.24%0.0722✓0.971.5M2022-05-30
DASHDashDash59.8359.2968-0.89%63.19+5.62%0.0378✓1.171.1M2022-05-30
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.016.9481-0.88%7.45+6.28%0.0459✓1.3418.8M2022-05-30
UNIUniswapEthereum5.625.5705-0.88%5.64+0.36%0.0911✓1.202.8M2022-05-30
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,082.5228,827.75-0.88%31,711.42+9.04%0.0088✓1.00749.9M2022-05-30
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0870.086239-0.87%0.0905+4.02%0.0196✓0.78212k2022-05-30
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.7921.6009-0.87%24.8+13.81%0.0320✗1.233.6M2022-05-30
WOOWOOEthereum0.22420.222256-0.87%0.1926-14.09%0.2345✓1.061,8912022-05-30
TRXTRONTron0.0760520.075394-0.86%0.083152+9.34%0.0296✗0.791.2M2022-05-30
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum20.9820.7994-0.86%23.98+14.30%0.0228✗1.383.3M2022-05-30
GITCOINGITCOIN2.5312.5094-0.85%2.845+12.41%0.0322✓1.8221k2022-05-30
GLMGolemEthereum0.25690.254741-0.84%0.2807+9.26%0.0224✓1.38156k2022-05-30
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,122.5028,878.38-0.84%31,731.20+8.96%0.0098✗0.9876k2022-05-30
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.2971.2862-0.84%1.385+6.78%0.0400✓1.327.5M2022-05-30
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.52232.5015-0.82%2.731+8.28%0.0192✓1.2494k2022-05-30
BTTCBTTC0.00000110.000001091-0.80%0.00000113+2.73%0.0339✓0.807.5M2022-05-30
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12650.125482-0.80%0.1345+6.32%0.0284✓1.1317k2022-05-30
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6760.670657-0.79%0.671-0.74%0.1280✓1.49294k2022-05-30
ZENHorizenBase19.919.7441-0.78%22.81+14.62%0.0099✗1.55156k2022-05-30
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,924.648,855.98-0.77%8,376.52-6.14%0.1590✓1.193.4M2022-05-30
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.208770.207191-0.76%0.21633+3.62%0.0995✓1.65298k2022-05-30
AMPAmpEthereum0.012870.012776-0.73%0.01263-1.86%0.1010✓1.032.5M2022-05-30
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6470.642302-0.73%0.697+7.73%0.0482✓1.501.7M2022-05-30
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.38390.381113-0.73%0.40164+4.62%0.0584✓1.28197k2022-05-30
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009880.009809-0.72%0.00992+0.40%0.0812✓1.071.2M2022-05-30
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.767.7041-0.72%8.11+4.51%0.0771✓1.487.8M2022-05-30
SCSiacoinnative0.005130.005093-0.72%0.00579+12.87%0.0054✓1.54367k2022-05-30
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13240.131448-0.72%0.1374+3.78%0.0525✓1.12997k2022-05-30
LSKLiskEthereum1.23041.2216-0.71%1.3381+8.75%0.0078✓1.1465k2022-05-30
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.1311.0518-0.70%10.51-5.57%0.1734✓1.4221.0M2022-05-30
KSMKusamaHydration82.8582.2751-0.69%77.84-6.05%0.1614✓1.221.4M2022-05-30
COMPCompoundEthereum68.8968.4178-0.69%62.98-8.58%0.2029✓1.3928k2022-05-30
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3770.374593-0.64%0.387+2.65%0.0603✓1.071.0M2022-05-30
COTICOTIEthereum0.11540.114683-0.62%0.1229+6.50%0.0701✓1.611.4M2022-05-30
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13530.134475-0.61%0.1459+7.83%0.0571✓1.605.5M2022-05-30
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33150.329509-0.60%0.3488+5.22%0.0546✓1.298.6M2022-05-30
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.91794.8895-0.58%5.2454+6.66%0.0505✗0.23307k2022-05-30
CVCCivicEthereum0.17570.174716-0.56%0.1766+0.51%0.1081✓1.37372k2022-05-30
LCXLCXEthereum0.06640.066035-0.55%0.0678+2.11%0.0769✓1.19404k2022-05-30
SOLSolanaSolana49.1148.8455-0.54%47.2-3.89%0.1599✓1.4593.8M2022-05-30
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7690.764902-0.53%0.88+14.43%0.0440✗1.113.0M2022-05-30
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5450.542113-0.53%0.554+1.65%0.1144✓1.57904k2022-05-30
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.393.3722-0.53%3.34-1.47%0.0926✓0.96758k2022-05-30
STORJStorjEthereum0.560080.55728-0.50%0.59565+6.35%0.0608✓1.4787k2022-05-30
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8522.8381-0.49%3.239+13.57%0.0004✓1.53284k2022-05-30
XTZTezosTezos1.87271.8637-0.48%2.1365+14.09%0.0276✗1.261.1M2022-05-30
UOSUltraEthereum0.383050.381206-0.48%0.3827-0.09%0.1168✓1.391.1M2022-05-30
LTCLitecoinLitecoin68.9568.6212-0.48%69.07+0.17%0.0953✓1.1819.5M2022-05-30
CHZChilizEthereum0.11760.117043-0.47%0.1218+3.57%0.0742✓1.321.1M2022-05-30
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.9752.9611-0.47%2.87-3.53%0.1260✓1.0995k2022-05-30
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.361.3536-0.47%1.37+0.74%0.0820✓1.09132k2022-05-30
ETHEthereumEthereum1,971.061,962.22-0.45%1,998.30+1.38%0.0713✓1.03425.9M2022-05-30
RADRadworksEthereum1.931.9216-0.43%2.31+19.69%0.0879✗1.11240k2022-05-30
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.30220.300891-0.43%0.326+7.88%0.0281✓1.25438k2022-05-30
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.941.9316-0.43%2.03+4.64%0.0998✓1.73602k2022-05-30
GTGateEthereum5.67355.6503-0.41%5.6995+0.46%0.0353✓0.514.9M2022-05-30
TRBTellor TributesEthereum9.449.4017-0.41%13.8+46.19%0.2441✗1.61183k2022-05-30
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.66530.66267-0.40%0.6872+3.29%0.0869✓1.424.9M2022-05-30
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001410.001405-0.39%0.00137-2.84%0.1562✓1.523.1M2022-05-30
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03290.032776-0.38%0.0387+17.63%0.0449✗1.40189k2022-05-30
GALAGALAEthereum0.07970.079406-0.37%0.084+5.40%0.0916✓1.71215k2022-05-30
MANADecentralandEthereum1.02791.0242-0.35%1.0853+5.59%0.0769✓1.561.2M2022-05-30
ZECZcashZcash99.1898.8402-0.34%98.78-0.40%0.1135✓1.305.1M2022-05-30
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.21490.214194-0.33%0.1682-21.73%0.2986✓0.66369k2022-05-30
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.1314.0844-0.32%13.53-4.25%0.1472✓1.24812k2022-05-30
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009060.009031-0.32%0.00884-2.43%0.0897✓0.79184k2022-05-30
NANOnanopayBase1.14661.1433-0.28%1.1952+4.24%0.0636✓1.25157k2022-05-30
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027070.027005-0.24%0.02923+7.98%0.0010✓0.93180k2022-05-30
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17210.171696-0.23%0.2006+16.56%0.0262✗1.49572k2022-05-30
AAVEAaveEthereum99.2499.026-0.22%117.41+18.31%0.0402✗1.509.0M2022-05-30
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06590.065763-0.21%0.0724+9.86%0.0096✗1.003.0M2022-05-30
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche29.0428.9814-0.20%27.7-4.61%0.1722✓1.4752.0M2022-05-30
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3460.345325-0.20%1.009+191.62%0.9175✗1.791.8M2022-05-30
MOVRMoonriverBase24.288524.2486-0.16%23.4037-3.64%0.1592✓1.43222k2022-05-30
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.15460.154391-0.14%0.1566+1.29%0.1157✓1.508.8M2022-05-30
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.5872.5846-0.09%3.353+29.61%0.1108✗1.735.0M2022-05-30
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011670.000011663-0.06%0.00001218+4.37%0.0687✓1.301.1M2022-05-30
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.1611.1604-0.05%1.4+20.59%0.0430✗1.67490k2022-05-30
XVSVenusEthereum4.664.6587-0.03%4.97+6.65%0.0831✓1.712.5M2022-05-30
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9810.981643+0.07%0.986+0.51%0.1226✗1.47775k2022-05-30
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070370.070515+0.21%0.07258+3.14%0.0646✗1.0817k2022-05-30
ORCAOrcaSolana0.780.782208+0.28%0.88+12.82%0.0259✓1.0695k2022-05-30
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash191.72192.5645+0.44%196.88+2.69%0.0784✗1.164.9M2022-05-30
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.