8=======>

2022-05-19 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 168 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1761
168 of 168 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+8.74%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
60.7%
in alpha space · 68.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.66%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (168 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000140.000069095-50.65%0.00013202-5.70%0.7475✗2.687.3M2022-05-26
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.68712.3208-13.63%1.945-27.62%0.1273✓1.328.8M2022-05-26
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4291.3149-7.98%1.272-10.99%0.0194✓1.4113.5M2022-05-26
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7043.4498-6.86%4.096+10.58%0.1921✗0.552.4M2022-05-26
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.417.8629-6.51%7.24-13.91%0.0621✓0.551.2M2022-05-26
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.031980.030338-5.14%0.02388-25.33%0.2106✓0.77400k2022-05-26
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05810.055178-5.03%0.0483-16.87%0.0861✓1.261.5M2022-05-26
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.2515.0477-3.87%3.293-37.29%0.3879✓1.051.6M2022-05-26
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004690.004518-3.68%0.0042-10.45%0.0344✓1.0319k2022-05-26
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana7.176.922-3.46%5.37-25.10%0.2224✓0.852.9M2022-05-26
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.643.5145-3.45%3.68+1.10%0.0789✗0.88521k2022-05-26
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.67111.6149-3.36%1.4724-11.89%0.0705✓0.5914k2022-05-26
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.012520.012129-3.12%0.01116-10.86%0.0264✓1.5340.8M2022-05-26
DIADIAEthereum0.571170.553805-3.04%0.42439-25.70%0.2466✓0.5270k2022-05-26
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.21292.1513-2.78%2.4001+8.46%0.1488✗1.052.5M2022-05-26
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0181360.017637-2.75%0.016456-9.26%0.0432✓0.70199k2022-05-26
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.343.2495-2.71%3.56+6.59%0.1306✗1.05557k2022-05-26
XYMSymbolnative0.06690.065134-2.64%0.0571-14.65%0.1037✓0.75475k2022-05-26
STEEMSteemnative0.25990.253106-2.61%0.2446-5.89%0.0031✓1.001.3M2022-05-26
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0866380.08442-2.56%0.078018-9.95%0.0368✓1.136.3M2022-05-26
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.1382.0868-2.40%2.144+0.28%0.0674✗1.08730k2022-05-26
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.04341.997-2.27%2.3023+12.67%0.1793✗0.994.6M2022-05-26
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2590.253147-2.26%0.201-22.39%0.1708✓1.602.7M2022-05-26
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.063.9696-2.23%4.14+1.97%0.0745✗0.87798k2022-05-26
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.536.3855-2.21%6.91+5.82%0.1314✗1.41785k2022-05-26
RUNETHORChainTHORChain3.0092.9426-2.21%2.637-12.36%0.0723✓1.00183k2022-05-26
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.1880.183983-2.14%0.1658-11.81%0.0668✓1.004,0132022-05-26
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.28293.2167-2.02%3.1242-4.83%0.0291✗1.5610.1M2022-05-26
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.910.891873-1.99%0.79-13.19%0.0631✓1.56762k2022-05-26
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3900030.382633-1.89%0.386689-0.85%0.0623✗1.396.1M2022-05-26
APEApeCoinEthereum8.0557.9029-1.89%6.371-20.91%0.1245✓2.4494.8M2022-05-26
PROPropyEthereum1.141.1199-1.76%1.01-11.40%0.0784✓0.67395k2022-05-26
XVSVenusEthereum6.035.9358-1.56%4.38-27.36%0.2419✓1.662.7M2022-05-26
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.12380.121958-1.49%0.1067-13.81%0.0661✓1.81645k2022-05-26
FIDABonfidaSolana0.590.581345-1.47%0.48-18.64%0.1471✓1.1937k2022-05-26
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.672.631-1.46%2.391-10.45%0.0306✓1.746.1M2022-05-26
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0652.035-1.45%1.952-5.47%0.0315✗1.96850k2022-05-26
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.9131.8856-1.43%2.344+22.53%0.2537✗0.97793k2022-05-26
FTTFTXEthereum30.9130.4702-1.42%27.54-10.90%0.0653✓0.9612.3M2022-05-26
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.224.1614-1.39%3.01-28.67%0.2895✓0.92788k2022-05-26
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.026760.026398-1.35%0.02667-0.34%0.0486✗1.0324k2022-05-26
AVTAventusEthereum1.261.2434-1.32%1.12-11.11%0.0738✓0.82201k2022-05-26
XEMNEMnative0.05630.055565-1.31%0.0483-14.21%0.0903✓1.3478k2022-05-26
GMTGMTEthereum1.4951.4755-1.31%0.92-38.46%0.4351✓1.005.5M2022-05-26
SUNSun TokenTron0.009010.008895-1.28%0.009061+0.57%0.0573✗1.0412k2022-05-26
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.6312.4776-1.21%10.39-17.74%0.1221✓1.636.7M2022-05-26
NMRNumeraireEthereum13.413.2387-1.20%11.83-11.72%0.0769✓0.95622k2022-05-26
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.045280.044736-1.20%0.0487+7.55%0.1214✗0.988,0692022-05-26
XLMStellarStellar0.1304660.12895-1.16%0.12416-4.83%0.0028✓1.0912.9M2022-05-26
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7090.701297-1.09%0.616-13.12%0.0722✓1.541.9M2022-05-26
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8930.883365-1.08%0.835-6.49%0.0028✓1.586.7M2022-05-26
NEXONEXOEthereum1.3651.3504-1.07%1.224-10.33%0.0610✓1.004.2M2022-05-26
API3Api3Ethereum1.8751.8557-1.03%1.523-18.77%0.1375✓1.612.0M2022-05-26
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.44e-77.37e-7-1.03%5.80e-7-22.08%0.2097✓0.791.4M2022-05-26
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.45120.446611-1.02%0.3789-16.02%0.1187✓1.2315.4M2022-05-26
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13740.136036-0.99%0.1257-8.52%0.0389✓1.0820k2022-05-26
ADACardanoCardano0.53260.527359-0.98%0.4785-10.16%0.0467✓1.3648.2M2022-05-26
UMAUMAEthereum3.2433.212-0.96%3.074-5.21%0.0190✗1.692.2M2022-05-26
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.652.6249-0.95%2.3-13.21%0.0652✓1.79390k2022-05-26
GLMGolemEthereum0.26740.264967-0.91%0.2474-7.48%0.0173✓1.37167k2022-05-26
QNTQuantEthereum68.3867.77-0.89%63.46-7.20%0.0260✓1.063.6M2022-05-26
BTCBitcoinBitcoin30,274.5930,006.02-0.89%29,166.06-3.66%0.0089✗1.00686.2M2022-05-26
KCSKuCoinnative15.30715.1722-0.88%15.514+1.35%0.0589✗0.985.0M2022-05-26
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050670.050229-0.87%0.05878+16.01%0.1949✗1.0123k2022-05-26
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.1250.6762-0.87%48.987-4.17%0.0021✓0.971.6M2022-05-26
AMPAmpEthereum0.013680.013565-0.84%0.01228-10.23%0.0603✓1.053.2M2022-05-26
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08440.0837-0.83%0.0668-20.85%0.1636✓1.663.1M2022-05-26
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.2411.1477-0.82%8.75-22.15%0.1832✓1.58159k2022-05-26
XVGVergenative0.005280.005239-0.78%0.00479-9.28%0.0362✓1.43922k2022-05-26
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.379650.376706-0.78%0.6772+78.37%0.6524✗1.77327k2022-05-26
CBKCobakEthereum1.1221.1135-0.76%1.204+7.31%0.1159✗1.0117k2022-05-26
DODODODOEthereum0.150.148872-0.75%0.154+2.67%0.0900✗1.513.8M2022-05-26
XECeCashnative0.000047070.000046721-0.74%0.00004648-1.25%0.0444✗1.336.1M2022-05-26
ASTRAstarEthereum0.06030.059856-0.74%0.0601-0.33%0.0480✗1.18101k2022-05-26
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25680.254927-0.73%0.2525-1.67%0.0371✗1.25292k2022-05-26
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.09090.090251-0.71%0.0866-4.73%0.0112✓0.81184k2022-05-26
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037870.037605-0.70%0.03579-5.49%0.0024✓1.3967k2022-05-26
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8240.818305-0.69%0.785-4.73%0.0005✓1.133.2M2022-05-26
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.32290.320683-0.69%0.2849-11.77%0.0707✓1.28445k2022-05-26
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004780.004748-0.68%0.00406-15.06%0.1110✓1.221.9M2022-05-26
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.00754.9741-0.67%4.9167-1.81%0.0031✓0.23299k2022-05-26
TRXTRONTron0.0733830.072917-0.64%0.082262+12.10%0.1500✗0.791.2M2022-05-26
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13450.133658-0.63%0.1378+2.45%0.0727✗1.131.2M2022-05-26
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.930.924254-0.62%0.913-1.83%0.0285✗1.09769k2022-05-26
HIVEHivenative0.49240.489392-0.61%0.4622-6.13%0.0091✓1.291.6M2022-05-26
BANDBandEthereum1.7691.7582-0.61%1.537-13.11%0.0782✓1.51463k2022-05-26
GITCOINGITCOIN2.652.6339-0.61%2.354-11.17%0.0453✓1.8022k2022-05-26
XMRMoneroMonero165.93164.9456-0.59%188.99+13.90%0.1769✗1.092.9M2022-05-26
DOTPolkadotPolkadot10.029.9607-0.59%9.12-8.98%0.0380✓1.3513.9M2022-05-26
BTTCBTTC0.000001120.000001113-0.59%0.00000106-5.36%0.0200✓0.787.7M2022-05-26
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.217.1679-0.58%6.57-8.88%0.0369✓1.3419.2M2022-05-26
QTUMQtumQtum3.97153.9486-0.58%3.7936-4.48%0.0043✓1.19133k2022-05-26
ZENHorizenBase2120.8806-0.57%19.6-6.67%0.0039✓1.59171k2022-05-26
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1410.140256-0.53%0.1409-0.07%0.0663✗1.65105k2022-05-26
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum21.7921.6755-0.53%19.48-10.60%0.0543✓1.413.4M2022-05-26
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum30,185.7030,027.94-0.52%29,530.70-2.17%0.0195✗0.9776k2022-05-26
ZECZcashZcash104.45103.9225-0.51%87.51-16.22%0.1226✓1.325.7M2022-05-26
LTCLitecoinLitecoin72.0271.6676-0.49%63.42-11.94%0.0780✓1.1919.5M2022-05-26
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01820.018115-0.47%0.0214+17.58%0.2531✗2.3223.0M2022-05-26
LRCLoopringEthereum0.48640.484139-0.46%0.5063+4.09%0.1020✗1.53289k2022-05-26
GTGateEthereum5.60315.5771-0.46%5.46-2.55%0.0012✓0.545.0M2022-05-26
ETCEthereum Classicnative20.920.8038-0.46%21.87+4.64%0.0974✗1.273.9M2022-05-26
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1960.195101-0.46%0.1817-7.30%0.0160✓1.48649k2022-05-26
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.70.696938-0.44%0.628-10.29%0.0480✓1.50315k2022-05-26
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.188.1443-0.44%7.3-10.76%0.0544✓1.488.0M2022-05-26
SCSiacoinnative0.005270.005247-0.44%0.00562+6.64%0.1259✗1.54398k2022-05-26
SUSHISushiEthereum1.361.3541-0.43%1.48+8.82%0.1457✗1.523.3M2022-05-26
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0163990.016328-0.43%0.017464+6.49%0.1093✗1.133.8M2022-05-26
BORABORAKlay Token0.363010.361471-0.42%0.44128+21.56%0.2622✗1.6826k2022-05-26
CHZChilizEthereum0.12280.12229-0.42%0.1125-8.39%0.0334✓1.341.1M2022-05-26
DASHDashDash58.5558.3122-0.41%58.11-0.75%0.0413✗1.201.1M2022-05-26
CVCCivicEthereum0.17650.17579-0.40%0.1629-7.71%0.0237✓1.41386k2022-05-26
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07670.0764-0.39%0.0855+11.47%0.1795✗1.80162k2022-05-26
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.24920.248248-0.38%0.2065-17.13%0.1626✓0.58386k2022-05-26
MANADecentralandEthereum1.11851.1144-0.37%0.98818-11.65%0.0614✓1.581.2M2022-05-26
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.49172.4827-0.36%2.3532-5.56%0.0067✓1.26123k2022-05-26
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.218.1805-0.36%7.62-7.19%0.0231✓1.285.4M2022-05-26
ETHEthereumEthereum2,017.572,010.39-0.36%1,790.65-11.25%0.0772✓1.03464.2M2022-05-26
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.69160.689311-0.33%0.5767-16.61%0.1236✓1.475.5M2022-05-26
LSKLiskEthereum1.17421.1704-0.33%1.1801+0.50%0.0492✗1.1080k2022-05-26
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum3.0413.0311-0.33%2.604-14.37%0.0949✓1.53271k2022-05-26
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,486.679,456.21-0.32%7,746.41-18.34%0.1548✓1.203.1M2022-05-26
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.391.3856-0.32%1.27-8.63%0.0464✓1.09138k2022-05-26
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3780.376841-0.31%0.346-8.47%0.0435✓1.121.1M2022-05-26
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.8210.7897-0.28%9.6-11.28%0.0625✓1.4620.1M2022-05-26
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.390350.389282-0.27%0.37219-4.65%0.0035✗1.30208k2022-05-26
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06990.069726-0.25%0.0635-9.16%0.0562✓1.003.0M2022-05-26
STXStacksnative0.530.528809-0.22%0.53+0.00%0.0451✗1.15274k2022-05-26
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.9652.9587-0.21%2.702-8.87%0.0503✓1.0899k2022-05-26
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.9581.9542-0.20%1.74-11.13%0.0583✓1.5599k2022-05-26
SOLSolanaSolana52.1352.0284-0.19%43.42-16.71%0.1272✓1.4493.8M2022-05-26
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34060.339949-0.19%0.3091-9.25%0.0469✓1.299.0M2022-05-26
RADRadworksEthereum2.072.0661-0.19%2.35+13.53%0.1683✗1.06280k2022-05-26
COMPCompoundEthereum67.5167.3855-0.18%59.25-12.24%0.0761✓1.4130k2022-05-26
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03430.034245-0.16%0.0312-9.04%0.0403✓1.42198k2022-05-26
UNIUniswapEthereum5.185.1741-0.11%4.94-4.63%0.0001✓1.243.5M2022-05-26
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.204760.204624-0.07%0.18825-8.06%0.0219✓1.65280k2022-05-26
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5840.583616-0.07%0.587+0.51%0.0626✗1.5216k2022-05-26
STORJStorjEthereum0.553870.55357-0.05%0.52703-4.85%0.0060✗1.4891k2022-05-26
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027190.027179-0.04%0.02729+0.37%0.0394✗0.95188k2022-05-26
CELLCellframeEthereum0.35340.353299-0.03%0.3453-2.29%0.0256✗1.3085k2022-05-26
WOOWOOEthereum0.20270.202642-0.03%0.1739-14.21%0.1114✓1.112,1752022-05-26
XTZTezosTezos1.7541.7536-0.02%1.8642+6.28%0.1089✗1.281.1M2022-05-26
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13430.134276-0.02%0.1285-4.32%0.0165✗1.625.8M2022-05-26
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5380.53796-0.01%0.511-5.02%0.0065✗1.55967k2022-05-26
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.3214.3212+0.01%12.08-15.64%0.1218✗1.30822k2022-05-26
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009240.009244+0.05%0.00918-0.65%0.0354✓1.141.3M2022-05-26
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.891.8918+0.10%1.69-10.58%0.0475✗1.75495k2022-05-26
COTICOTIEthereum0.11470.114828+0.11%0.112-2.35%0.0361✓1.641.7M2022-05-26
LCXLCXEthereum0.06260.06267+0.11%0.0603-3.67%0.0068✓1.22406k2022-05-26
UOSUltraEthereum0.374410.37499+0.15%0.36594-2.26%0.0279✓1.401.3M2022-05-26
GALAGALAEthereum0.08570.085857+0.18%0.0728-15.05%0.1004✗1.73215k2022-05-26
ORCAOrcaSolana0.910.911805+0.20%0.86-5.49%0.0201✗1.03112k2022-05-26
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075460.075698+0.32%0.06674-11.56%0.0865✗1.0618k2022-05-26
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche30.3730.469+0.33%23.4-22.95%0.2088✗1.4848.8M2022-05-26
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3370.338152+0.34%0.339+0.59%0.0696✓1.801.7M2022-05-26
AAVEAaveEthereum91.6591.9853+0.37%100.94+10.14%0.1508✓1.559.2M2022-05-26
NANOnanopayBase1.09961.1037+0.37%1.0454-4.92%0.0070✗1.26161k2022-05-26
MINAMina Protocolnative1.0421.046+0.39%0.86-17.47%0.1412✗1.46775k2022-05-26
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009390.009429+0.41%0.00867-7.67%0.0536✗0.81195k2022-05-26
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.2081.2134+0.45%1.163-3.73%0.0232✓1.76527k2022-05-26
KSMKusamaHydration80.4580.8299+0.47%69.65-13.42%0.1016✗1.271.6M2022-05-26
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.0791.0841+0.48%1.205+11.68%0.1569✓1.377.4M2022-05-26
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011830.000011889+0.49%0.00001064-10.06%0.0615✗1.331.2M2022-05-26
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.16030.161242+0.59%0.1378-14.04%0.1005✗1.529.0M2022-05-26
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001370.001379+0.65%0.00125-8.76%0.0417✗1.513.4M2022-05-26
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash196.24197.5945+0.69%179.2-8.68%0.0541✗1.175.3M2022-05-26
MOVRMoonriverBase23.053823.3293+1.19%21.8386-5.27%0.0116✓1.46210k2022-05-26
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.