8=======>

2022-05-14 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.4371
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+33.73%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
67.5%
in alpha space · 62.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.11%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000460.000184751-59.84%0.00013-71.74%0.2891✓2.938.4M2022-05-21
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.67441.6491-1.51%1.6831+0.52%0.0339✗0.6416k2022-05-21
MANADecentralandEthereum1.33181.3125-1.44%1.0948-17.79%0.1487✓1.531.1M2022-05-21
APEApeCoinEthereum8.6468.5263-1.38%8.019-7.25%0.0057✓2.6194.8M2022-05-21
FTTFTXEthereum31.5331.1338-1.26%30.1-4.54%0.0133✓0.9615.2M2022-05-21
XYMSymbolnative0.06970.068956-1.07%0.0655-6.03%0.0357✓0.74568k2022-05-21
XLMStellarStellar0.1381110.136837-0.92%0.130524-5.49%0.0244✓1.0713.6M2022-05-21
XEMNEMnative0.05680.056386-0.73%0.0532-6.34%0.0320✓1.23164k2022-05-21
STEEMSteemnative0.25420.252476-0.68%0.265+4.25%0.0697✗1.002.1M2022-05-21
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.065.0286-0.62%4.9351-2.47%0.0130✓0.27285k2022-05-21
QNTQuantEthereum72.1171.6975-0.57%68.27-5.33%0.0269✓1.033.6M2022-05-21
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.7313.7098-0.57%5.564+49.13%0.4276✗1.041.5M2022-05-21
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1211.1151-0.53%1.483+32.29%0.3141✗1.3614.9M2022-05-21
BTCBitcoinBitcoin30,041.8829,896.61-0.48%29,408.26-2.11%0.0048✗1.00672.6M2022-05-21
DOTPolkadotPolkadot11.2811.2298-0.44%9.97-11.61%0.0914✓1.3012.2M2022-05-21
TRXTRONTron0.072360.072051-0.43%0.074164+2.49%0.0461✗0.811.1M2022-05-21
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,968.5029,850.69-0.39%29,441.00-1.76%0.0069✗0.9768k2022-05-21
ZECZcashZcash105.67105.3038-0.35%104.31-1.29%0.0175✗1.275.3M2022-05-21
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0893580.08905-0.34%0.084297-5.66%0.0312✓1.116.3M2022-05-21
GTGateEthereum5.55515.536-0.34%5.7684+3.84%0.0526✗0.544.9M2022-05-21
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.4630.461491-0.33%0.4345-6.16%0.0349✓1.1914.3M2022-05-21
ADACardanoCardano0.53710.535774-0.25%0.5279-1.71%0.0125✗1.2846.3M2022-05-21
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8180.817057-0.12%0.852+4.16%0.0653✗1.103.3M2022-05-21
AMPAmpEthereum0.013760.013754-0.04%0.01331-3.27%0.0102✓1.063.2M2022-05-21
QTUMQtumQtum4.10784.1066-0.03%3.9129-4.74%0.0226✓1.21135k2022-05-21
ETHEthereumEthereum2,053.332,052.96-0.02%1,972.64-3.93%0.0180✓1.03494.1M2022-05-21
PROPropyEthereum1.111.1099-0.01%1.04-6.31%0.0504✓0.68470k2022-05-21
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04610.046095-0.01%0.04565-0.98%0.0109✗0.978,2452022-05-21
NEXONEXOEthereum1.3571.3576+0.04%1.319-2.80%0.0075✗1.005.2M2022-05-21
SUNSun TokenTron0.0093150.009325+0.11%0.00884-5.10%0.0315✗1.0327k2022-05-21
KCSKuCoinnative12.96812.9903+0.17%15.94+22.92%0.2245✓0.934.1M2022-05-21
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.629.6378+0.19%12.78+32.85%0.3153✓1.555.9M2022-05-21
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.417580.418632+0.25%0.38808-7.06%0.0487✗1.27199k2022-05-21
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08790.088127+0.26%0.0881+0.23%0.0176✓0.84169k2022-05-21
ZENHorizenBase21.2121.2653+0.26%20.49-3.39%0.0047✗1.52167k2022-05-21
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.7112.7462+0.28%12.87+1.26%0.0289✓0.90555k2022-05-21
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.421.4241+0.29%1.36-4.23%0.0230✗1.08140k2022-05-21
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.6410.6721+0.30%10.65+0.09%0.0297✓1.49136k2022-05-21
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7430.745478+0.33%0.688-7.40%0.0486✗1.48357k2022-05-21
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9380.941155+0.34%0.962+2.56%0.0455✓1.11769k2022-05-21
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.9754.1529+0.34%48.68-9.80%0.0860✗0.971.8M2022-05-21
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34930.350569+0.36%0.3296-5.64%0.0350✗1.258.5M2022-05-21
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053370.053571+0.38%0.05145-3.60%0.0192✗0.9925k2022-05-21
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.0521.1317+0.39%20.32-3.47%0.0124✗1.264.2M2022-05-21
GLMGolemEthereum0.25650.257525+0.40%0.2542-0.90%0.0168✓1.40180k2022-05-21
GMTGMTEthereum1.5331.5393+0.41%1.36-11.29%0.1025✗1.008.1M2022-05-21
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.73291.74+0.41%2.7082+56.28%0.4686✓1.239.6M2022-05-21
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.0193.0315+0.41%2.903-3.84%0.0210✗1.0596k2022-05-21
HIVEHivenative0.50930.511454+0.42%0.488-4.18%0.0203✗1.251.5M2022-05-21
LSKLiskEthereum1.19581.201+0.43%1.1672-2.40%0.0061✗1.0598k2022-05-21
CTSICartesiEthereum0.20080.201738+0.47%0.1857-7.52%0.0516✗1.47649k2022-05-21
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04720.047435+0.50%0.0557+18.01%0.1854✓1.161.5M2022-05-21
LTCLitecoinLitecoin68.8169.1593+0.51%69.78+1.41%0.0334✓1.1518.2M2022-05-21
UMAUMAEthereum2.9923.0074+0.51%3.442+15.04%0.1705✓1.672.4M2022-05-21
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.257.2875+0.52%7.04-2.90%0.0066✗1.3118.3M2022-05-21
XMRMoneroMonero153.49154.3069+0.53%175.95+14.63%0.1532✓1.033.2M2022-05-21
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4175280.419767+0.54%0.439813+5.34%0.0751✓1.346.1M2022-05-21
XTZTezosTezos1.83041.8403+0.54%1.8207-0.53%0.0162✓1.26878k2022-05-21
FIDABonfidaSolana0.6210.624408+0.55%0.582-6.28%0.0448✗1.2040k2022-05-21
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum22.422.5266+0.57%21.03-6.12%0.0382✗1.433.5M2022-05-21
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.038980.039208+0.59%0.03885-0.33%0.0199✓1.3694k2022-05-21
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.533.551+0.60%3.54+0.28%0.0126✓0.74777k2022-05-21
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.9215.013+0.62%14.99+0.47%0.0263✓1.31822k2022-05-21
CVCCivicEthereum0.18290.184045+0.63%0.1819-0.55%0.0187✓1.43375k2022-05-21
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.630.634086+0.65%0.722+14.60%0.1632✓1.571.7M2022-05-21
BTTCBTTC0.000001110.000001117+0.65%0.00000111+0.00%0.0103✓0.797.9M2022-05-21
CBKCobakEthereum1.1411.1488+0.69%1.119-1.93%0.0053✓0.9924k2022-05-21
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.4131.4229+0.70%1.211-14.30%0.1307✗1.436.6M2022-05-21
DASHDashDash60.8661.291+0.71%57.01-6.33%0.0472✗1.181.1M2022-05-21
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.538.5929+0.74%8-6.21%0.0418✗1.408.0M2022-05-21
BRISEBitgertEthereum5.58e-75.62e-7+0.75%7.24e-7+29.91%0.2652✓0.521.4M2022-05-21
GALAGALAEthereum0.09940.100226+0.83%0.0856-13.88%0.1215✗1.70215k2022-05-21
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.58832.6104+0.85%2.5122-2.94%0.0121✗1.23173k2022-05-21
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.73262.7564+0.87%3.522+28.89%0.2797✓1.628.0M2022-05-21
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.026460.026693+0.88%0.0269+1.66%0.0293✓1.0126k2022-05-21
SCSiacoinnative0.005120.005166+0.89%0.00506-1.17%0.0103✓1.45403k2022-05-21
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13750.138723+0.89%0.1439+4.65%0.0720✓1.66109k2022-05-21
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0119920.012102+0.92%0.021582+79.97%0.5943✓0.74198k2022-05-21
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.28640.289162+0.96%0.239-16.55%0.1803✗0.48458k2022-05-21
LRCLoopringEthereum0.47580.480689+1.03%0.4904+3.07%0.0514✓1.47307k2022-05-21
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.7710.8808+1.03%11.03+2.41%0.0421✓1.3320.1M2022-05-21
SOLSolanaSolana52.3752.9116+1.03%50.25-4.05%0.0219✗1.3987.4M2022-05-21
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.27590.27882+1.06%0.3224+16.85%0.1721✓1.26463k2022-05-21
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24970.252343+1.06%0.2538+1.64%0.0323✓1.25292k2022-05-21
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.88.8971+1.10%8.16-7.27%0.0599✗1.257.4M2022-05-21
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,210.4910,323.26+1.10%9,260.50-9.30%0.0839✗1.162.7M2022-05-21
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03380.034182+1.13%0.0336-0.59%0.0114✓1.34179k2022-05-21
UNIUniswapEthereum5.175.2286+1.13%5.23+1.16%0.0258✓1.203.6M2022-05-21
BORABORAKlay Token0.399530.404075+1.14%0.41605+4.13%0.0650✓1.6832k2022-05-21
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash208.47210.8415+1.14%192.09-7.86%0.0691✗1.135.3M2022-05-21
DYDXdYdXCosmos22.0241+1.21%2.204+10.20%0.1204✓1.6687k2022-05-21
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.64010.647925+1.22%0.6627+3.53%0.0521✓1.396.1M2022-05-21
WOOWOOEthereum0.20080.203295+1.24%0.199-0.90%0.0008✓1.042,6012022-05-21
STXStacksnative0.560.567019+1.25%0.53-5.36%0.0440✗1.10296k2022-05-21
BANDBandEthereum1.7441.7659+1.26%1.753+0.52%0.0232✓1.43500k2022-05-21
COMPCompoundEthereum71.4572.3647+1.28%68.4-4.27%0.0272✗1.3730k2022-05-21
CHZChilizEthereum0.11710.118623+1.30%0.1207+3.07%0.0463✓1.361.2M2022-05-21
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.183.2234+1.36%4.11+29.25%0.2630✓0.94798k2022-05-21
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004710.004775+1.37%0.00495+5.10%0.0618✓1.211.8M2022-05-21
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8570.869053+1.41%0.944+10.15%0.1153✓1.537.6M2022-05-21
ASTRAstarEthereum0.07290.073929+1.41%0.057-21.81%0.2379✗1.04115k2022-05-21
API3Api3Ethereum1.8391.8651+1.42%1.965+6.85%0.0828✓1.442.5M2022-05-21
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0152870.015505+1.42%0.017217+12.63%0.1284✓1.114.3M2022-05-21
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11980.121537+1.45%0.128+6.84%0.0757✓1.121.1M2022-05-21
STORJStorjEthereum0.547610.555684+1.47%0.55586+1.51%0.0308✓1.4393k2022-05-21
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.135.2079+1.52%7.56+47.37%0.3912✓0.872.7M2022-05-21
LCXLCXEthereum0.06340.064367+1.52%0.063-0.63%0.0029✓1.14415k2022-05-21
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003950.00401+1.53%0.00455+15.19%0.1465✓0.9519k2022-05-21
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14290.145127+1.56%0.1362-4.69%0.0301✗1.576.2M2022-05-21
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.572.6117+1.62%3.68+43.19%0.3637✓0.98453k2022-05-21
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015660.015918+1.65%0.02974+89.91%0.6397✓0.69400k2022-05-21
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.010010.010176+1.66%0.00993-0.80%0.0075✓0.80269k2022-05-21
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.880.894776+1.68%0.89+1.14%0.0275✓1.54801k2022-05-21
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2280.231899+1.71%0.241+5.70%0.0701✓1.484.0M2022-05-21
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068470.069648+1.72%0.07213+5.35%0.0573✓1.0419k2022-05-21
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche33.8934.4741+1.72%29.86-11.89%0.1129✗1.4545.0M2022-05-21
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.582.6247+1.73%2.9+12.40%0.1372✓1.76378k2022-05-21
GITCOINGITCOIN2.4472.4894+1.73%2.9+18.51%0.1890✓1.7123k2022-05-21
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.64381.6734+1.80%2.3895+45.36%0.3796✓1.092.5M2022-05-21
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.19240.195873+1.81%0.1577-18.04%0.1837✗1.558.6M2022-05-21
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024960.025411+1.81%0.02825+13.18%0.1285✓1.06202k2022-05-21
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7532.8033+1.83%2.592-5.85%0.0427✗1.677.4M2022-05-21
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010130.010317+1.85%0.01308+29.12%0.2725✓1.6543.3M2022-05-21
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009440.009615+1.85%0.00963+2.01%0.0250✓1.101.1M2022-05-21
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.7811.8146+1.89%4.92+176.25%1.0126✓0.711.9M2022-05-21
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.48951.5181+1.92%2.2912+53.82%0.4346✓1.084.3M2022-05-21
XVGVergenative0.004770.004862+1.93%0.00515+7.97%0.0861✓1.34885k2022-05-21
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012570.000012823+2.01%0.00001174-6.60%0.0602✗1.311.3M2022-05-21
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08660.088373+2.05%0.0806-6.93%0.0595✗1.533.6M2022-05-21
COTICOTIEthereum0.11090.113202+2.08%0.1102-0.63%0.0064✓1.561.7M2022-05-21
DIADIAEthereum0.376460.384278+2.08%0.52041+38.24%0.3196✓0.7770k2022-05-21
NANOnanopayBase1.15951.1845+2.15%1.1499-0.83%0.0028✓1.26161k2022-05-21
UOSUltraEthereum0.377370.385557+2.17%0.3706-1.79%0.0075✓1.501.4M2022-05-21
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.12070.123324+2.17%0.1437+19.06%0.1929✓1.88694k2022-05-21
SUSHISushiEthereum1.311.3392+2.23%1.45+10.69%0.1107✓1.463.6M2022-05-21
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.5982.6559+2.23%2.989+15.05%0.1506✓1.52221k2022-05-21
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.635.7575+2.27%6.37+13.14%0.1305✓1.38572k2022-05-21
XECeCashnative0.000042570.000043545+2.29%0.00004593+7.89%0.0826✓1.376.5M2022-05-21
DODODODOEthereum0.1580.161622+2.29%0.142-10.13%0.0984✗1.454.4M2022-05-21
XVSVenusEthereum4.64.71+2.39%4.79+4.13%0.0477✓1.452.8M2022-05-21
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.42.4574+2.39%3.27+36.25%0.3080✓1.05548k2022-05-21
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.0740.075781+2.41%0.0678-8.38%0.0900✗1.003.8M2022-05-21
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11710.120076+2.54%0.1254+7.09%0.0628✓0.9119k2022-05-21
KSMKusamaHydration74.376.2121+2.57%80+7.67%0.0744✓1.221.2M2022-05-21
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.196760.20187+2.60%0.19935+1.32%0.0218✓1.61262k2022-05-21
ORCAOrcaSolana0.90.923509+2.61%0.84-6.67%0.0749✗0.93137k2022-05-21
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana5.085.2155+2.67%9.15+80.12%0.5795✓0.821.3M2022-05-21
AAVEAaveEthereum86.4488.8171+2.75%91.14+5.44%0.0576✓1.497.8M2022-05-21
MINAMina Protocolnative1.0921.1221+2.75%1.008-7.69%0.0776✗1.39760k2022-05-21
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6350.652478+2.75%0.901+41.89%0.3537✓1.4517k2022-05-21
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.231.2642+2.78%1.177-4.31%0.0355✗1.69582k2022-05-21
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3330.342557+2.87%0.38+14.11%0.1251✓1.001.1M2022-05-21
MOVRMoonriverBase22.493223.1445+2.90%23.6852+5.30%0.0540✓1.45195k2022-05-21
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07140.073574+3.04%0.114+59.66%0.4780✓1.88176k2022-05-21
RADRadworksEthereum1.891.9476+3.05%2.06+8.99%0.0779✓1.02381k2022-05-21
CELLCellframeEthereum0.36470.375875+3.06%0.3653+0.16%0.0015✓1.2793k2022-05-21
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8271.8838+3.11%2.203+20.58%0.1986✓1.98973k2022-05-21
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.531.5778+3.13%2.102+37.39%0.3090✓1.04683k2022-05-21
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.351630.362934+3.21%1.0801+207.16%1.1253✓1.63331k2022-05-21
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.831.8895+3.25%2.27+24.04%0.2197✓1.70418k2022-05-21
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.5141.5663+3.45%1.867+23.32%0.1960✓0.95779k2022-05-21
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01710.017694+3.47%0.0319+86.55%0.6370✓2.2325.3M2022-05-21
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3050.315842+3.55%0.363+19.02%0.1761✓1.731.8M2022-05-21
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4960.514745+3.78%0.612+23.39%0.2039✓1.45869k2022-05-21
AVTAventusEthereum0.950.985955+3.78%1.22+28.42%0.2298✓0.79201k2022-05-21
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001340.0014+4.50%0.00144+7.46%0.0597✓1.493.8M2022-05-21
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.