8=======>

2022-05-05 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 164 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0008
164 of 164 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-6.44%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
95.1%
in alpha space · 98.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-20.79%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (164 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.2871.2344-4.09%0.807-37.30%0.1861✓1.03462k2022-05-12
STEEMSteemnative0.40070.385949-3.68%0.1771-55.80%0.5460✓1.007.0M2022-05-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV73.7971.1839-3.53%49.62-32.76%0.1617✓0.852.1M2022-05-12
AVTAventusEthereum2.112.0361-3.50%0.73-65.40%0.8983✓0.55272k2022-05-12
UNIUniswapEthereum7.347.1026-3.23%4.65-36.65%0.1610✓1.134.3M2022-05-12
DASHDashDash87.4784.6462-3.23%53.75-38.55%0.2031✓1.081.2M2022-05-12
XECeCashnative0.000072070.000069752-3.22%0.00003173-55.97%0.5472✓1.037.7M2022-05-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.63440.61451-3.14%0.4222-33.45%0.1396✓1.0110.9M2022-05-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.19290.186928-3.10%0.0997-48.32%0.3028✓1.402.1M2022-05-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum4.574.4293-3.08%2.15-52.95%0.3620✓1.55339k2022-05-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.481.4351-3.03%0.72-51.35%0.3708✓1.37951k2022-05-12
ADACardanoCardano0.78840.764703-3.01%0.4724-40.08%0.2102✓1.1641.1M2022-05-12
SOLSolanaSolana84.5281.9883-3.00%44.65-47.17%0.3208✓1.2385.8M2022-05-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1420.137757-2.99%0.065-54.23%0.6245✓0.54132k2022-05-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative28.3227.4749-2.98%18.89-33.30%0.0925✓1.214.9M2022-05-12
MINAMina Protocolnative1.791.7374-2.94%0.95-46.93%0.3306✓1.17987k2022-05-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1430.138855-2.90%0.0773-45.94%0.2792✓1.325.0M2022-05-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.1010.098132-2.84%0.052-48.51%0.4337✓0.86425k2022-05-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.74140.72106-2.74%0.3939-46.87%0.2893✓1.35311k2022-05-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.5710.555348-2.74%0.309-45.88%0.4023✓0.791.4M2022-05-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum11.0810.7764-2.74%4.63-58.21%0.6015✓1.04963k2022-05-12
QTUMQtumQtum5.48595.3373-2.71%3.628-33.87%0.1153✓1.1698k2022-05-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0910.088543-2.70%0.0389-57.25%0.6246✓0.852.6M2022-05-12
XVGVergenative0.008030.007813-2.70%0.00413-48.57%0.3702✓1.15943k2022-05-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.12810.124677-2.67%0.082269-35.78%0.1945✓0.957.1M2022-05-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.3365.1939-2.66%2.677-49.83%0.5121✓0.651.4M2022-05-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.823.7187-2.65%1.59-58.38%0.5095✓1.46385k2022-05-12
ZENHorizenBase30.9830.1685-2.62%19.04-38.54%0.1430✓1.36173k2022-05-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8922.8167-2.60%1.264-56.29%0.6318✓0.73915k2022-05-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.25510.248565-2.56%0.1302-48.96%0.3671✓1.20391k2022-05-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.05330.051936-2.56%0.0302-43.34%0.2615✓1.20179k2022-05-12
BANDBandEthereum2.9392.8646-2.53%1.514-48.49%0.3348✓1.30537k2022-05-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.4542.3924-2.51%1.304-46.86%0.2959✓1.335.1M2022-05-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum16,867.4516,454.83-2.45%9,878.00-41.44%0.2759✓1.012.6M2022-05-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.4340.423405-2.44%0.2835-34.68%0.3026✓0.42572k2022-05-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.911.864-2.41%0.896-53.09%0.4690✓1.1317.4M2022-05-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.30120.293991-2.39%0.1337-55.61%0.4933✓1.266.8M2022-05-12
PROPropyEthereum1.671.6305-2.36%0.88-47.31%0.4748✓0.61470k2022-05-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.016760.01637-2.33%0.0108-35.56%0.2189✓0.85238k2022-05-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum12.7112.4153-2.32%7.22-43.19%0.2511✓1.258.7M2022-05-12
XYMSymbolnative0.08930.087237-2.31%0.0664-25.64%0.1127✓0.69675k2022-05-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.17580.171741-2.31%0.0968-44.94%0.2928✓1.201.4M2022-05-12
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.16750.163634-2.31%0.0653-61.01%0.6856✓1.003.9M2022-05-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.03780.036932-2.30%0.02176-42.43%0.3279✓0.8634k2022-05-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06430.062868-2.23%0.03867-39.86%0.2899✓0.8412k2022-05-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.26920.263205-2.23%0.1695-37.04%0.1272✓1.34735k2022-05-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum3.6433.562-2.22%1.548-57.51%0.4344✓1.711.4M2022-05-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.624.52-2.16%2.19-52.60%0.5651✓0.68575k2022-05-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003120.003053-2.16%0.00121-61.22%0.6539✓1.164.1M2022-05-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.060670.059371-2.14%0.03169-47.77%0.3688✓1.1177k2022-05-12
XEMNEMnative0.08360.081855-2.09%0.0411-50.84%0.4601✓0.9869k2022-05-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.587720.575515-2.08%0.36057-38.65%0.2093✓1.11130k2022-05-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin13.9813.6898-2.08%8.1-42.06%0.2570✓1.157.5M2022-05-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12350.120959-2.06%0.0863-30.12%0.1433✓0.83156k2022-05-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum18.9518.5602-2.06%8.59-54.67%0.4518✓1.372.2M2022-05-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.605130.592801-2.04%0.28864-52.30%0.4412✓1.1960k2022-05-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4210.41251-2.02%0.189-55.11%0.5198✓1.124.3M2022-05-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.4452.3957-2.02%1.133-53.66%0.3852✓1.56713k2022-05-12
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.3652.3174-2.01%1.6077-32.02%0.2141✓0.6515k2022-05-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum22.3121.8629-2.00%11.58-48.10%0.4600✓0.75412k2022-05-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.014150.013868-1.99%0.00786-44.45%0.3580✓0.901.1M2022-05-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.017220.01689-1.91%0.00889-48.37%0.2658✓1.6149.4M2022-05-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.22430.220009-1.91%0.0785-65.00%0.6217✓1.751.2M2022-05-12
APEApeCoinEthereum13.68813.428-1.90%7.785-43.13%0.0853✓1.9775.7M2022-05-12
DODODODOEthereum0.2840.278642-1.89%0.135-52.46%0.4217✓1.305.1M2022-05-12
FTTFTXEthereum36.2135.5288-1.88%29.67-18.06%0.0338✗0.9211.7M2022-05-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.00830.008147-1.84%0.00359-56.75%0.5453✓1.182.3M2022-05-12
XLMStellarStellar0.1710620.167977-1.80%0.120434-29.60%0.0968✓1.0113.8M2022-05-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.0119260.011711-1.80%0.007887-33.87%0.1842✓0.9142k2022-05-12
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5741.5457-1.80%0.775-50.76%0.3641✓1.408.3M2022-05-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.017840.017522-1.78%0.012-32.74%0.2018✓0.763.5M2022-05-12
SCSiacoinnative0.008040.007898-1.77%0.00425-47.14%0.3321✓1.23382k2022-05-12
NANOnanopayBase1.63051.6019-1.76%0.997494-38.82%0.2083✓1.14149k2022-05-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7167120.704183-1.75%0.334376-53.35%0.4846✓1.125.5M2022-05-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.5354.4557-1.75%2.486-45.18%0.2297✓1.527.5M2022-05-12
KSMKusamaHydration127.39125.1642-1.75%68.74-46.04%0.3390✓1.121.0M2022-05-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.37430.367773-1.74%0.2085-44.30%0.3056✓1.12188k2022-05-12
ORCAOrcaSolana1.781.7491-1.74%0.82-53.93%0.5949✓0.70153k2022-05-12
TRXTRONTron0.0747070.073413-1.73%0.066988-10.33%0.0851✗0.76297k2022-05-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.74233.678-1.72%2.3863-36.24%0.1752✓1.10177k2022-05-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos3.2923.2356-1.71%1.729-47.48%0.2830✓1.4779k2022-05-12
XMRMoneroMonero206.75203.2459-1.69%137.43-33.53%0.1751✓0.933.3M2022-05-12
COMPCompoundEthereum104.67102.903-1.69%60.88-41.84%0.2381✓1.2333k2022-05-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.13990.137552-1.68%0.0682-51.25%0.3924✓1.33180k2022-05-12
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.19950.196156-1.68%0.107-46.37%0.2869✓1.37114k2022-05-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum21.521.1404-1.67%14.06-34.60%0.1118✓1.27532k2022-05-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8872.8393-1.65%1.23-57.40%0.6844✓0.651.2M2022-05-12
FIDABonfidaSolana1.0171.0004-1.64%0.537-47.20%0.3639✓1.1150k2022-05-12
AAVEAaveEthereum141.32139.0131-1.63%76.75-45.69%0.2815✓1.349.8M2022-05-12
RADRadworksEthereum3.743.679-1.63%1.67-55.35%0.5876✓0.87564k2022-05-12
API3Api3Ethereum3.2583.2056-1.61%1.457-55.28%0.5358✓1.083.0M2022-05-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.194.1235-1.59%2.16-48.45%0.4687✓0.76690k2022-05-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.220.216514-1.58%0.108-50.91%0.5274✓0.7223k2022-05-12
CBKCobakEthereum1.7881.7598-1.58%0.949-46.92%0.4322✓0.8024k2022-05-12
DIADIAEthereum0.740.728377-1.57%0.32121-56.59%0.7108✓0.4670k2022-05-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.720.708708-1.57%0.28999-59.72%0.5974✓1.27426k2022-05-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum36,624.3036,054.78-1.56%29,197.00-20.28%0.0137✓0.9625k2022-05-12
LUNATerraTerra 282.4281.1433-1.55%0.0087-99.99%8.8361✓1.317.3M2022-05-12
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.15e-79.01e-7-1.53%4.63e-7-49.35%0.6660✓-0.01713k2022-05-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot14.5914.3724-1.49%8.68-40.51%0.2470✓1.1011.7M2022-05-12
UMAUMAEthereum5.1485.0721-1.47%2.483-51.77%0.3751✓1.461.6M2022-05-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96530.951102-1.47%0.5935-38.52%0.1670✓1.316.6M2022-05-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.96552.9223-1.46%1.0557-64.40%0.8636✓0.663.2M2022-05-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.32820.323473-1.44%0.1765-46.22%0.4551✓0.654,4692022-05-12
QNTQuantEthereum91.8890.5662-1.43%73.37-20.15%0.0214✗1.003.4M2022-05-12
BTTCBTTC0.000001680.000001657-1.40%0.00000104-38.10%0.3012✓0.717.7M2022-05-12
CELLCellframeEthereum0.67220.662948-1.38%0.3429-48.99%0.3717✓1.23105k2022-05-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.4070.401404-1.38%0.1911-53.05%0.5218✓0.95305k2022-05-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.071.0553-1.37%0.579-45.89%0.2945✓1.31358k2022-05-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.2414.0462-1.36%8.25-42.06%0.1958✓1.44145k2022-05-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.76974.7052-1.35%1.4271-70.08%0.9316✓1.128.6M2022-05-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5183.4718-1.31%1.421-59.61%0.8090✓0.362.4M2022-05-12
HIVEHivenative0.76730.757232-1.31%0.4037-47.39%0.3813✓1.061.5M2022-05-12
STXStacksnative0.890.878401-1.30%0.5-43.82%0.3298✓1.00274k2022-05-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum10.9210.7784-1.30%6.56-39.93%0.2193✓1.1918.3M2022-05-12
MOVRMoonriverBase38.470337.9727-1.29%21.3123-44.60%0.2416✓1.44182k2022-05-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.39430.389227-1.29%0.2135-45.85%0.3404✓1.12487k2022-05-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin36,537.2236,068.12-1.28%28,941.95-20.79%0.0129✗1.00553.2M2022-05-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.077340.076357-1.27%0.04348-43.78%0.3602✓0.8732k2022-05-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.0351.0219-1.26%0.381-63.19%0.6993✓1.232.2M2022-05-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.2290.226105-1.26%0.1345-41.27%0.1763✓1.476.7M2022-05-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03710.036654-1.20%0.0163-56.06%0.3826✓1.8423.0M2022-05-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.14020.138572-1.16%0.0648-53.78%0.2977✓1.98266k2022-05-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6390.631588-1.16%0.243-61.97%0.6168✓1.451.7M2022-05-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche59.0258.3474-1.14%30.19-48.85%0.3759✓1.2144.2M2022-05-12
XVSVenusEthereum7.577.4849-1.12%3.62-52.18%0.4603✓1.142.9M2022-05-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.855340.845887-1.11%0.44316-48.19%0.3562✓1.2588k2022-05-12
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9990.988033-1.10%0.8-19.92%0.0459✗1.103.6M2022-05-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000020290.000020072-1.08%0.00001081-46.72%0.3603✓1.111.4M2022-05-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash277.17274.1962-1.07%193.69-30.12%0.1119✓1.015.2M2022-05-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.19410.192039-1.06%0.1008-48.07%0.4420✓0.871.2M2022-05-12
KCSKuCoinnative17.2717.087-1.06%10.951-36.59%0.2637✓0.784.3M2022-05-12
GITCOINGITCOIN4.5544.5059-1.06%2.172-52.31%0.3771✓1.5119k2022-05-12
ZECZcashZcash125.68124.3663-1.05%86.4-31.25%0.0897✓1.185.5M2022-05-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9080.898753-1.02%0.405-55.40%0.4927✓1.311.1M2022-05-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.931.9105-1.01%1.35-30.05%0.1054✓1.04128k2022-05-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum4.8714.8219-1.01%2.184-55.16%0.5109✓1.21184k2022-05-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin96.8495.8812-0.99%64.26-33.64%0.1577✓1.0417.5M2022-05-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos17.8317.6539-0.99%9.62-46.05%0.3386✓1.1519.4M2022-05-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2034.1624-0.97%2.683-36.16%0.1985✓1.0373k2022-05-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.410.406054-0.96%0.17236-57.96%0.5226✓1.43284k2022-05-12
MANADecentralandEthereum1.46831.4545-0.94%0.70895-51.72%0.4333✓1.22886k2022-05-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.49820.493662-0.91%0.2948-40.83%0.2542✓1.128.1M2022-05-12
GTGateEthereum6.33616.2791-0.90%5.3674-15.29%0.0528✓0.454.5M2022-05-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.69721.6821-0.89%0.989391-41.71%0.3162✓0.9284k2022-05-12
XTZTezosTezos2.48952.4686-0.84%1.6845-32.34%0.1203✓1.12855k2022-05-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.018610.018456-0.83%0.010713-42.43%0.4106✓0.57195k2022-05-12
ETHEthereumEthereum2,747.432,724.74-0.83%1,954.39-28.86%0.0989✓1.00438.2M2022-05-12
SUSHISushiEthereum2.282.2612-0.82%1.13-50.44%0.3788✓1.353.6M2022-05-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.007210.007153-0.79%0.00359-50.21%0.5467✓0.6127k2022-05-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum28.9628.7327-0.78%19.31-33.32%0.0712✓1.404.0M2022-05-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.974.9317-0.77%2.6-47.69%0.4710✓0.731.0M2022-05-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.039240.038941-0.76%0.02133-45.64%0.4063✓0.84227k2022-05-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.884.844-0.74%3.26-33.20%0.2534✓0.61869k2022-05-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.13425.0994-0.68%5.13-0.08%0.0806✗0.32262k2022-05-12
UOSUltraEthereum0.710320.705542-0.67%0.32972-53.58%0.4497✓1.331.3M2022-05-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.11813.0992-0.61%1.057-66.10%0.9296✓0.635.4M2022-05-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0235240.023386-0.59%0.01502-36.15%0.2170✓0.974.3M2022-05-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.798.7529-0.42%4.29-51.19%0.5995✓0.491.4M2022-05-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.11520.114717-0.42%0.05891-48.86%0.4929✓0.7417k2022-05-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.026210.026103-0.41%0.01505-42.58%0.4436✓0.46416k2022-05-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.2361.2357-0.02%0.583-52.83%0.4783✓1.1751k2022-05-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana8.658.7498+1.15%4.09-52.72%0.6461✗0.492.5M2022-05-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.06753.1112+1.42%1.2954-57.77%0.6511✗0.9710.2M2022-05-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.