8=======>

2022-05-04 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 163 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0201
163 of 163 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.51%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
97.5%
in alpha space · 100.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-26.97%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (163 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1680.158054-5.92%0.057-66.07%0.8866✓0.42132k2022-05-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.174.8917-5.38%2.35-54.55%0.2663✓1.49339k2022-05-11
UNIUniswapEthereum7.947.5371-5.07%4.89-38.41%0.0891✓1.094.4M2022-05-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.24780.235446-4.99%0.1056-57.38%0.2667✓1.701.3M2022-05-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15920.151272-4.98%0.0833-47.68%0.1976✓1.275.3M2022-05-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.2220.211122-4.90%0.1138-48.74%0.2055✓1.312.1M2022-05-11
MINAMina Protocolnative2.011.9132-4.81%0.99-50.75%0.3075✓1.121.1M2022-05-11
XVGVergenative0.008960.008535-4.75%0.00436-51.34%0.3261✓1.10943k2022-05-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.48110.458735-4.65%0.3065-36.29%0.2813✓0.39580k2022-05-11
DASHDashDash95.8591.4456-4.60%58.06-39.43%0.1285✓1.041.2M2022-05-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.71530.683434-4.45%0.4525-36.74%0.1159✓0.9410.9M2022-05-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.6129.2717-4.37%19.91-34.96%0.0222✓1.164.9M2022-05-11
ADACardanoCardano0.89830.859108-4.36%0.5161-42.55%0.1684✓1.0941.1M2022-05-11
XECeCashnative0.000078520.000075096-4.36%0.0000364-53.64%0.4108✓1.007.8M2022-05-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.05980.0572-4.35%0.0314-47.49%0.2432✓1.13179k2022-05-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003530.003377-4.32%0.00125-64.59%0.6459✓1.114.2M2022-05-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.641.5695-4.30%0.82-50.00%0.2294✓1.34951k2022-05-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum14.2813.6735-4.25%7.42-48.04%0.2416✓1.188.7M2022-05-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6150.589206-4.19%0.318-48.29%0.3740✓0.771.4M2022-05-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum33.3331.9372-4.18%19.2-42.39%0.1034✓1.294.0M2022-05-11
BANDBandEthereum3.3423.2046-4.11%1.809-45.87%0.1725✓1.27537k2022-05-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.7642.6529-4.02%1.223-55.75%0.2716✓1.60719k2022-05-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.81620.783485-4.01%0.415-49.15%0.2314✓1.29311k2022-05-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.29790.285974-4.00%0.175-41.26%0.0810✓1.30763k2022-05-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV78.6375.4824-4.00%52.8-32.85%0.0959✓0.832.1M2022-05-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.820.787433-3.97%0.31-62.20%0.5715✓1.15430k2022-05-11
SOLSolanaSolana92.7689.0903-3.96%50.82-45.21%0.1824✓1.2185.8M2022-05-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.34380.330285-3.93%0.1517-55.88%0.4047✓1.196.8M2022-05-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.1243.9637-3.89%1.653-59.92%0.3281✓1.741.4M2022-05-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,332.5917,620.17-3.89%11,348.99-38.09%0.1405✓0.952.7M2022-05-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.11090.106599-3.88%0.056-49.50%0.3669✓0.88425k2022-05-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.25570.245978-3.80%0.1257-50.84%0.2180✓1.446.9M2022-05-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.394.224-3.78%1.74-60.36%0.4382✓1.43385k2022-05-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.1960.18865-3.75%0.107-45.41%0.2026✓1.161.5M2022-05-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.2821.2349-3.68%1.001-21.92%0.1200✗1.05462k2022-05-11
ZENHorizenBase33.732.491-3.59%19.64-41.72%0.0799✓1.35173k2022-05-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin15.7115.1512-3.56%8.58-45.39%0.2320✓1.077.5M2022-05-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.0311.6079-3.51%4.83-59.85%0.5571✓1.02963k2022-05-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.015240.014708-3.49%0.00936-38.58%0.1675✓0.911.1M2022-05-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9942.8897-3.48%1.365-54.41%0.5259✓0.71915k2022-05-11
QTUMQtumQtum5.93685.731-3.47%4.0098-32.46%0.0105✓1.1798k2022-05-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.020560.019852-3.44%0.00948-53.89%0.2732✓1.4848.2M2022-05-11
STEEMSteemnative0.39660.382972-3.44%0.1956-50.68%0.3576✓1.003.9M2022-05-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.4515.8851-3.43%9.91-39.76%0.0311✓1.40145k2022-05-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.009340.00902-3.42%0.00457-51.07%0.3157✓1.162.3M2022-05-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.675480.652477-3.41%0.30717-54.53%0.3837✓1.1873k2022-05-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0180.017398-3.35%0.00973-45.94%0.2636✓1.01248k2022-05-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.7855.5921-3.33%2.623-54.66%0.5670✓0.601.5M2022-05-11
DODODODOEthereum0.3230.312495-3.25%0.166-48.61%0.2615✓1.185.1M2022-05-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4780.462457-3.25%0.197-58.79%0.5288✓1.034.3M2022-05-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.16130.156109-3.22%0.065-59.70%0.4681✓1.30180k2022-05-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.09730.094178-3.21%0.0412-57.66%0.5652✓0.832.8M2022-05-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.44150.427421-3.19%0.2258-48.86%0.2981✓1.08491k2022-05-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.651350.630953-3.13%0.37334-42.68%0.1891✓1.07126k2022-05-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.914.7571-3.11%2.25-54.18%0.5397✓0.67648k2022-05-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.75220.729194-3.06%0.3939-47.63%0.2249✓1.24110k2022-05-11
XVSVenusEthereum8.528.2596-3.06%3.68-56.81%0.4754✓1.063.0M2022-05-11
AAVEAaveEthereum159.43154.5611-3.05%82.28-48.39%0.2302✓1.279.8M2022-05-11
FTTFTXEthereum39.5638.3617-3.03%29.94-24.32%0.0298✓0.8811.7M2022-05-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.5962.518-3.01%1.502-42.14%0.0983✓1.335.1M2022-05-11
FIDABonfidaSolana1.1141.0808-2.98%0.574-48.47%0.3182✓1.0050k2022-05-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.019370.018807-2.91%0.01058-45.38%0.3437✓0.743.6M2022-05-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.28290.274722-2.89%0.143-49.45%0.3043✓1.11391k2022-05-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.066750.064827-2.88%0.03319-50.28%0.3332✓1.0775k2022-05-11
SUSHISushiEthereum2.622.5449-2.87%1.32-49.62%0.2542✓1.283.6M2022-05-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos3.83.6912-2.86%1.785-53.03%0.2981✓1.3679k2022-05-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.474.3436-2.83%2.28-48.99%0.4174✓0.72719k2022-05-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0762.0175-2.82%1.001-51.78%0.3665✓1.0616.1M2022-05-11
NANOnanopayBase1.80611.7552-2.82%1.0802-40.19%0.1489✓1.07149k2022-05-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04390.042665-2.81%0.014-68.11%0.5947✓1.6523.0M2022-05-11
MOVRMoonriverBase43.573442.3482-2.81%21.4392-50.80%0.2192✓1.47182k2022-05-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.460.44709-2.81%0.19-58.70%0.3895✓1.48293k2022-05-11
SCSiacoinnative0.008980.00873-2.78%0.00435-51.56%0.3252✓1.18382k2022-05-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1359080.132126-2.78%0.084774-37.62%0.1510✓0.937.1M2022-05-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.2220.215837-2.78%0.1188-46.49%0.1622✓1.38114k2022-05-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.91.8474-2.77%1.05-44.74%0.3969✓0.53272k2022-05-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0136310.013255-2.76%0.009172-32.71%0.0893✓0.8943k2022-05-11
PROPropyEthereum1.721.6726-2.75%1.07-37.79%0.2565✓0.61470k2022-05-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.070790.068853-2.74%0.04295-39.33%0.2214✓0.8014k2022-05-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.0923.009-2.69%1.428-53.82%0.5563✓0.601.2M2022-05-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.1821.1504-2.67%0.62-47.55%0.2238✓1.25357k2022-05-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.23744.1246-2.66%2.5145-40.66%0.1766✓1.01173k2022-05-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7170.697998-2.65%0.299-58.30%0.4035✓1.411.6M2022-05-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.0734.9396-2.63%2.497-50.78%0.2283✓1.447.7M2022-05-11
KSMKusamaHydration140.48136.7901-2.63%72.92-48.09%0.2839✓1.10954k2022-05-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.4741.4354-2.62%0.54-63.36%0.6328✓1.1055k2022-05-11
TRXTRONTron0.0863970.084141-2.61%0.074146-14.18%0.0871✗0.68296k2022-05-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12950.126183-2.56%0.0924-28.65%0.0271✓0.91156k2022-05-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.0060.980594-2.53%0.471-53.18%0.3663✓1.171.1M2022-05-11
XYMSymbolnative0.09590.093502-2.50%0.0681-28.99%0.1050✓0.67706k2022-05-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum22.1521.6-2.48%9.48-57.20%0.4161✓1.302.2M2022-05-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum24.0823.4831-2.48%13.85-42.48%0.2475✓0.89417k2022-05-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.141.1123-2.43%0.486-57.37%0.4634✓1.162.2M2022-05-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche67.2865.6576-2.41%31.1-53.78%0.3736✓1.1944.2M2022-05-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.3215.933-2.37%9.05-44.55%0.2354✓1.0511.7M2022-05-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.021610.021099-2.36%0.012056-44.21%0.4095✓0.48193k2022-05-11
IMXImmutableEthereum1.8171.7741-2.36%0.856-52.89%0.3810✓1.118.2M2022-05-11
MANADecentralandEthereum1.65851.6196-2.34%0.76561-53.84%0.3933✓1.13886k2022-05-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.38460.375707-2.31%0.1885-50.99%0.5240✓0.534,1372022-05-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1847210.18054-2.26%0.125737-31.93%0.0544✓0.9813.8M2022-05-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041090.040164-2.25%0.02413-41.28%0.2452✓0.8436k2022-05-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.95750.936111-2.23%0.49716-48.08%0.2606✓1.1894k2022-05-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8002760.782513-2.22%0.3862-51.74%0.3831✓1.035.3M2022-05-11
ORCAOrcaSolana1.871.8288-2.20%0.91-51.34%0.4749✓0.71159k2022-05-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.04481.0218-2.20%0.5963-42.93%0.1442✓1.256.6M2022-05-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7833.7-2.19%1.587-58.05%0.7440✓0.332.4M2022-05-11
RADRadworksEthereum4.013.9222-2.19%1.84-54.11%0.4930✓0.84565k2022-05-11
XEMNEMnative0.09170.089694-2.19%0.049-46.56%0.3114✓0.9355k2022-05-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash299.95293.3931-2.19%193.96-35.34%0.1032✓0.995.3M2022-05-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.47792.4243-2.16%1.7025-31.29%0.1442✓0.6715k2022-05-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.9523.4356-2.15%14.26-40.46%0.0916✓1.29532k2022-05-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.07944.9704-2.15%1.8219-64.13%0.6407✓1.158.6M2022-05-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00780.007633-2.14%0.00367-52.95%0.5333✓0.6328k2022-05-11
COMPCompoundEthereum114.56112.1075-2.14%70.97-38.05%0.0910✓1.1733k2022-05-11
LUNATerraTerra 286.0984.2822-2.10%1.06-98.77%3.9815✓1.267.3M2022-05-11
ZECZcashZcash134.35131.589-2.06%83.09-38.15%0.1060✓1.135.5M2022-05-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21183.1465-2.03%1.1829-63.17%0.7831✓0.623.5M2022-05-11
DIADIAEthereum0.810.793549-2.03%0.35-56.79%0.6808✓0.4471k2022-05-11
APEApeCoinEthereum15.55715.2411-2.03%5.715-63.26%0.3437✓2.0363.9M2022-05-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.55380.542559-2.03%0.2974-46.30%0.2782✓1.038.0M2022-05-11
STXStacksnative0.990.970042-2.02%0.58-41.41%0.2116✓0.96274k2022-05-11
HIVEHivenative0.82910.812459-2.01%0.4772-42.44%0.2173✓1.001.5M2022-05-11
XMRMoneroMonero225.24220.7619-1.99%140.01-37.84%0.1628✓0.933.5M2022-05-11
API3Api3Ethereum3.6523.5794-1.99%1.637-55.18%0.4701✓0.993.1M2022-05-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2370.232338-1.97%0.119-49.79%0.4510✓0.6925k2022-05-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.57e-79.38e-7-1.96%5.80e-7-39.41%0.5001✓-0.06646k2022-05-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.45260.443909-1.92%0.2219-50.97%0.4134✓0.89299k2022-05-11
QNTQuantEthereum101.5899.638-1.91%64.1-36.90%0.1682✓0.873.4M2022-05-11
BTTCBTTC0.000001780.000001746-1.90%0.00000121-32.02%0.1447✓0.717.7M2022-05-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum12.211.9713-1.87%6.93-43.20%0.1927✓1.1318.3M2022-05-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,665.5038,927.41-1.86%28,313.90-28.62%0.0225✓0.9425k2022-05-11
UMAUMAEthereum5.675.5654-1.85%2.847-49.79%0.2321✓1.391.6M2022-05-11
CBKCobakEthereum1.9351.9003-1.79%1.068-44.81%0.3388✓0.7624k2022-05-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.084850.083368-1.75%0.04918-42.04%0.2709✓0.8232k2022-05-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.3720.365506-1.75%0.2133-42.66%0.1202✓1.33188k2022-05-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.15440.151738-1.72%0.0782-49.35%0.0001✓2.11269k2022-05-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,669.5638,991.88-1.71%28,972.34-26.97%0.0172✓1.00553.2M2022-05-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000021780.000021418-1.66%0.00001195-45.13%0.2473✓1.071.4M2022-05-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos19.9119.5847-1.63%10.75-46.01%0.2644✓1.0719.4M2022-05-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1151.0968-1.63%0.8-28.25%0.0276✗1.093.6M2022-05-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.87651.8462-1.62%1.0189-45.70%0.3129✓0.9084k2022-05-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum5.3955.309-1.59%2.496-53.73%0.3753✓1.21184k2022-05-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.1710.0086-1.59%4.27-58.01%0.7336✓0.382.5M2022-05-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.565.4718-1.59%3.46-37.77%0.2826✓0.56869k2022-05-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.2130.209671-1.56%0.1157-45.68%0.3360✓0.821.2M2022-05-11
XTZTezosTezos2.70282.6618-1.52%1.7776-34.23%0.0706✓1.06855k2022-05-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.684.6106-1.48%2.897-38.10%0.1613✓0.9767k2022-05-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin106.25104.6766-1.48%66.31-37.59%0.1384✓1.0117.3M2022-05-11
GITCOINGITCOIN5.1475.0714-1.47%2.339-54.56%0.3115✓1.4719k2022-05-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.73243.6785-1.44%1.4486-61.19%0.6852✓0.7810.0M2022-05-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.122.0899-1.42%1.41-33.49%0.0780✓1.00124k2022-05-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.345.2654-1.40%2.86-46.44%0.3962✓0.681.1M2022-05-11
KCSKuCoinnative18.40818.1507-1.40%11.39-38.12%0.2225✓0.774.3M2022-05-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.042530.041939-1.39%0.0209-50.86%0.4440✓0.80236k2022-05-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.36643.3264-1.19%1.177-65.04%0.8607✓0.575.6M2022-05-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.808090.798641-1.17%0.37834-53.18%0.3535✓1.251.4M2022-05-11
ETHEthereumEthereum2,939.982,906.08-1.15%2,075.93-29.39%0.0194✓1.01438.2M2022-05-11
GTGateEthereum6.5236.4515-1.10%4.9785-23.68%0.1179✓0.454.2M2022-05-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.689.5866-0.96%4.61-52.38%0.5956✓0.431.6M2022-05-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.028520.028261-0.91%0.01772-37.87%0.3273✓0.44416k2022-05-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.63895.592-0.83%5.25-6.90%0.0823✗0.46251k2022-05-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.126040.125021-0.81%0.06818-45.91%0.3863✓0.7017k2022-05-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0244650.024275-0.78%0.014156-42.14%0.2168✓1.034.2M2022-05-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.