8=======>

2022-04-28 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1227
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.23%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
85.2%
in alpha space · 96.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-8.07%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19450.178952-7.99%0.143-26.48%0.1239✓1.198.1M2022-05-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.3465.9147-6.80%5.336-15.92%0.0506✓0.621.6M2022-05-05
APEApeCoinEthereum23.71422.2337-6.24%13.688-42.28%0.3009✓2.1945.8M2022-05-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.684.3923-6.15%3.82-18.38%0.0263✓1.35385k2022-05-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.444.2109-5.16%3.643-17.95%0.0039✓1.681.7M2022-05-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.465.1882-4.98%4.57-16.30%0.0042✓1.46382k2022-05-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.35830.341164-4.78%0.3012-15.94%0.0249✓1.199.3M2022-05-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.69910.666477-4.67%0.6344-9.25%0.0271✓0.9110.9M2022-05-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.9341.8518-4.25%1.236-36.09%0.3198✓1.0078k2022-05-05
XVGVergenative0.00930.00891-4.19%0.00803-13.66%0.0151✓1.061.2M2022-05-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.016140.015469-4.16%0.01415-12.33%0.0154✓0.881.5M2022-05-05
ADACardanoCardano0.84330.808531-4.12%0.7884-6.51%0.0618✗1.0343.8M2022-05-05
DASHDashDash96.4392.5625-4.01%87.47-9.29%0.0274✓1.001.4M2022-05-05
BANDBandEthereum3.5093.3697-3.97%2.939-16.24%0.0357✓1.20612k2022-05-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum17,884.9417,182.78-3.93%16,867.45-5.69%0.0647✗0.993.1M2022-05-05
SOLSolanaSolana98.2294.3666-3.92%84.52-13.95%0.0095✓1.20106.8M2022-05-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.940.903187-3.92%0.72-23.40%0.1392✓1.04546k2022-05-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.21650.208427-3.73%0.1929-10.90%0.0275✓1.252.5M2022-05-05
UNIUniswapEthereum8.177.8655-3.73%7.34-10.16%0.0168✓1.025.3M2022-05-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum15.1314.5671-3.72%12.71-15.99%0.0476✓1.069.9M2022-05-05
QTUMQtumQtum6.05775.8388-3.61%5.4859-9.44%0.0315✓1.12135k2022-05-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.84070.81056-3.59%0.7414-11.81%0.0130✓1.21424k2022-05-05
PROPropyEthereum1.821.7549-3.58%1.67-8.24%0.0036✓0.55298k2022-05-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.117.4529-3.58%13.98-22.76%0.1364✓1.029.9M2022-05-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.28590.275775-3.54%0.2551-10.77%0.0132✓1.08428k2022-05-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3031.257-3.53%1.287-1.23%0.1088✗1.01547k2022-05-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.30760.296895-3.48%0.2692-12.48%0.0106✓1.29941k2022-05-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.791.7282-3.45%1.48-17.32%0.0470✓1.281.6M2022-05-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV78.2275.5336-3.43%73.79-5.66%0.0432✗0.792.7M2022-05-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.1511.7347-3.42%11.08-8.81%0.0281✓1.021.1M2022-05-05
SUSHISushiEthereum2.992.888-3.41%2.28-23.75%0.1351✓1.204.2M2022-05-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.724.5595-3.40%4.19-11.23%0.0249✓0.711.2M2022-05-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.11120.10742-3.40%0.101-9.17%0.0131✓0.89573k2022-05-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5220.504537-3.35%0.421-19.35%0.0969✓1.004.5M2022-05-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1053.0013-3.34%2.892-6.86%0.0193✓0.671.3M2022-05-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum38.0336.7685-3.32%28.96-23.85%0.1386✓1.194.6M2022-05-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.7282.6377-3.31%1.91-29.99%0.2415✓0.9713.0M2022-05-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6450.624096-3.24%0.571-11.47%0.0259✓0.752.1M2022-05-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.074.9063-3.23%4.62-8.88%0.0055✓0.65756k2022-05-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum18.7218.1193-3.21%18.95+1.23%0.1560✗1.322.2M2022-05-05
XECeCashnative0.000080420.000077844-3.20%0.00007207-10.38%0.0014✓0.939.1M2022-05-05
FTTFTXEthereum39.8438.5779-3.17%36.21-9.11%0.0118✓0.8916.1M2022-05-05
AAVEAaveEthereum166.2160.9378-3.17%141.32-14.97%0.0253✓1.2412.2M2022-05-05
XVSVenusEthereum9.79.3946-3.15%7.57-21.96%0.1323✓0.993.6M2022-05-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.3944.2562-3.14%3.292-25.08%0.1489✓1.2891k2022-05-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.070150.067954-3.13%0.06067-13.51%0.0281✓1.01114k2022-05-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum5.52685.3542-3.12%3.0675-44.50%0.4950✓0.749.8M2022-05-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003710.003595-3.10%0.00312-15.90%0.0522✓1.066.6M2022-05-05
MINAMina Protocolnative2.011.9481-3.08%1.79-10.95%0.0052✓1.071.3M2022-05-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011110.010768-3.08%0.00721-35.10%0.3529✓0.5728k2022-05-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.020820.020182-3.07%0.01784-14.31%0.0635✓0.714.2M2022-05-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.020030.019422-3.03%0.01722-14.03%0.0004✓1.4448.3M2022-05-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.7817.247-3.00%14.24-19.91%0.0802✓1.32163k2022-05-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04560.044241-2.98%0.0371-18.64%0.0399✓1.6230.9M2022-05-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000010830.000001051-2.97%9.15e-7-15.54%0.1453✓-0.08580k2022-05-05
SCSiacoinnative0.009620.009335-2.97%0.00804-16.42%0.0538✓1.14433k2022-05-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.5395.3751-2.96%4.535-18.13%0.0545✓1.379.1M2022-05-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.078920.076586-2.96%0.0643-18.53%0.1125✓0.7425k2022-05-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.2044.0804-2.94%3.518-16.32%0.1250✓0.282.5M2022-05-05
FIDABonfidaSolana1.2161.1803-2.94%1.017-16.37%0.0672✓0.9757k2022-05-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.20230.196434-2.90%0.1758-13.10%0.0174✓1.112.4M2022-05-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.173.0783-2.89%2.887-8.93%0.0137✓0.601.8M2022-05-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.16810.163323-2.84%0.1399-16.78%0.0581✓1.15204k2022-05-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24230.235464-2.82%0.1995-17.66%0.0585✓1.27164k2022-05-05
ZENHorizenBase33.3932.4586-2.79%30.98-7.22%0.0625✗1.30238k2022-05-05
KSMKusamaHydration157.92153.5388-2.77%127.39-19.33%0.0986✓1.051.1M2022-05-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7880.766141-2.77%0.639-18.91%0.0674✓1.361.7M2022-05-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06180.060086-2.77%0.0533-13.75%0.0261✓1.11244k2022-05-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.1330.2687-2.77%28.32-9.03%0.0237✓1.075.7M2022-05-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.5565.4046-2.73%4.7697-14.15%0.0301✓1.1311.2M2022-05-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0261860.025477-2.71%0.01861-28.93%0.2723✓0.50198k2022-05-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum25.1124.4329-2.70%22.31-11.15%0.0164✓0.89478k2022-05-05
NANOnanopayBase1.93521.8833-2.68%1.6305-15.75%0.0597✓1.00170k2022-05-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.656610.639075-2.67%0.58772-10.49%0.0008✓1.01145k2022-05-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.0220.994775-2.66%0.908-11.15%0.0031✓1.051.3M2022-05-05
MOVRMoonriverBase50.118148.7844-2.66%38.4703-23.24%0.1196✓1.40205k2022-05-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.1350.131421-2.65%0.1235-8.52%0.0179✓0.95184k2022-05-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1374840.13385-2.64%0.1281-6.83%0.0336✗0.926.0M2022-05-05
BORABORAKlay Token0.712970.694301-2.62%0.60513-15.13%0.0479✓1.06121k2022-05-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.00820.007987-2.60%0.0083+1.22%0.1365✗1.173.1M2022-05-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.019840.019328-2.58%0.01676-15.52%0.0580✓1.01353k2022-05-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.27210.265125-2.56%0.229-15.84%0.0293✓1.398.4M2022-05-05
DODODODOEthereum0.3640.354734-2.55%0.284-21.98%0.1299✓1.107.7M2022-05-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.80410.783694-2.54%0.6722-16.40%0.0519✓1.21159k2022-05-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.9716.5416-2.52%14.59-14.02%0.0412✓1.0012.5M2022-05-05
LUNATerraTerra 289.0586.8076-2.52%82.42-7.45%0.0564✗1.299.9M2022-05-05
STORJStorjEthereum1.00880.983515-2.51%0.85534-15.21%0.0457✓1.12142k2022-05-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.7411.453-2.44%8.65-26.32%0.2411✓0.472.9M2022-05-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8152030.7953-2.44%0.716712-12.08%0.0210✓0.995.0M2022-05-05
ZECZcashZcash147143.4461-2.42%125.68-14.50%0.0466✓1.026.6M2022-05-05
AVTAventusEthereum2.142.0884-2.41%2.11-1.40%0.0517✗0.49303k2022-05-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.181.1516-2.40%1.035-12.29%0.0106✓1.142.3M2022-05-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.3992.3423-2.36%2.454+2.29%0.1535✗1.277.1M2022-05-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.14714.0493-2.36%3.7423-9.76%0.0018✓0.96256k2022-05-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum24.4123.8382-2.34%21.5-11.92%0.0011✓1.24669k2022-05-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.9972.9273-2.32%2.445-18.42%0.0535✓1.51807k2022-05-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2610.254944-2.32%0.22-15.71%0.0922✓0.6629k2022-05-05
XEMNEMnative0.09470.092514-2.31%0.0836-11.72%0.0240✓0.9266k2022-05-05
COMPCompoundEthereum124.85121.9769-2.30%104.67-16.16%0.0589✓1.1256k2022-05-05
MANADecentralandEthereum1.80141.7599-2.30%1.4683-18.49%0.0915✓1.071.2M2022-05-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash306.57299.5261-2.30%277.17-9.59%0.0030✓0.965.7M2022-05-05
GLMGolemEthereum0.39520.386138-2.29%0.3743-5.29%0.0751✗1.26249k2022-05-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche67.2865.7445-2.28%59.02-12.28%0.0105✓1.1654.4M2022-05-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.07991.0553-2.28%0.9653-10.61%0.0138✓1.228.7M2022-05-05
XYMSymbolnative0.10040.098122-2.27%0.0893-11.06%0.0406✓0.64823k2022-05-05
ORCAOrcaSolana21.9546-2.27%1.78-11.00%0.0335✓0.71191k2022-05-05
UMAUMAEthereum5.5695.4432-2.26%5.148-7.56%0.0642✗1.431.8M2022-05-05
XLMStellarStellar0.1858470.181693-2.24%0.171062-7.96%0.0204✓0.9616.4M2022-05-05
HIVEHivenative0.90690.886898-2.21%0.7673-15.39%0.0642✓0.961.8M2022-05-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.510.498787-2.20%0.41-19.61%0.0740✓1.45319k2022-05-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.61650.603145-2.17%0.4982-19.19%0.1106✓0.968.0M2022-05-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.46750.457609-2.12%0.3943-15.66%0.0582✓1.08616k2022-05-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.2951.2676-2.11%1.07-17.37%0.0671✓1.22438k2022-05-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.42022.3693-2.10%2.365-2.28%0.0497✗0.6112k2022-05-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.256.1212-2.06%4.871-22.06%0.1337✓1.13201k2022-05-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.47810.468401-2.03%0.407-14.87%0.0686✓0.85412k2022-05-05
BTTCBTTC0.000001780.000001745-1.98%0.00000168-5.62%0.0212✗0.708.6M2022-05-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0135880.01332-1.97%0.011926-12.23%0.0377✓0.8753k2022-05-05
IMXImmutableEthereum1.6821.649-1.96%1.574-6.42%0.0369✗0.997.8M2022-05-05
LSKLiskEthereum2.03791.9986-1.93%1.6972-16.72%0.0934✓0.8396k2022-05-05
STXStacksnative1.051.0299-1.91%0.89-15.24%0.0676✓0.93379k2022-05-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.583.5121-1.90%2.9655-17.16%0.1201✓0.584.6M2022-05-05
API3Api3Ethereum3.9813.9072-1.85%3.258-18.16%0.1026✓0.942.8M2022-05-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,816.8039,079.85-1.85%36,624.30-8.02%0.0130✓0.9325k2022-05-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041370.040604-1.85%0.0378-8.63%0.0039✓0.8056k2022-05-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.246.1251-1.84%4.88-21.79%0.1801✓0.56993k2022-05-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum12.6512.4175-1.84%10.92-13.68%0.0372✓1.0922.4M2022-05-05
QNTQuantEthereum100.2398.3893-1.84%91.88-8.33%0.0013✓0.803.4M2022-05-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos20.7420.3612-1.83%17.83-14.03%0.0446✓1.0521.5M2022-05-05
DIADIAEthereum0.820.80532-1.79%0.74-9.76%0.0451✓0.4775k2022-05-05
RADRadworksEthereum4.294.2157-1.73%3.74-12.82%0.0483✓0.85685k2022-05-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.09410.092479-1.72%0.091-3.29%0.0588✗0.892.6M2022-05-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,743.2239,061.06-1.72%36,537.22-8.07%0.0173✓1.00565.5M2022-05-05
CBKCobakEthereum2.1012.0662-1.66%1.788-14.90%0.0851✓0.7124k2022-05-05
WOOWOOEthereum0.41430.407653-1.60%0.3282-20.78%0.1880✓0.345,5292022-05-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022950.000022593-1.55%0.00002029-11.59%0.0200✓1.041.6M2022-05-05
XTZTezosTezos2.80592.7627-1.54%2.4895-11.28%0.0181✓1.02873k2022-05-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.088550.087189-1.54%0.07734-12.66%0.0551✓0.7732k2022-05-05
XMRMoneroMonero227.38223.9418-1.51%206.75-9.07%0.0030✓0.913.3M2022-05-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.22310.219735-1.51%0.1941-13.00%0.0550✓0.821.5M2022-05-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.535.4477-1.49%4.97-10.13%0.0368✓0.651.3M2022-05-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.6554.5862-1.48%4.203-9.71%0.0107✓0.9164k2022-05-05
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1251.1086-1.45%0.999-11.20%0.0183✓1.023.8M2022-05-05
KCSKuCoinnative19.41519.1343-1.45%17.27-11.05%0.0381✓0.775.0M2022-05-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.152.1201-1.39%1.93-10.23%0.0108✓0.99137k2022-05-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.16610.163854-1.35%0.1402-15.59%0.0235✗2.13328k2022-05-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin103.33101.9647-1.32%96.84-6.28%0.0332✗1.0118.7M2022-05-05
GITCOINGITCOIN5.4265.3545-1.32%4.554-16.07%0.0414✓1.4318k2022-05-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana11.0310.8896-1.27%8.79-20.31%0.1822✓0.381.9M2022-05-05
TRXTRONTron0.0637420.062935-1.27%0.074707+17.20%0.2230✗0.61273k2022-05-05
ETHEthereumEthereum2,935.912,902.25-1.15%2,747.43-6.42%0.0290✗1.00448.2M2022-05-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.79693.7557-1.08%3.1181-17.88%0.1407✓0.545.6M2022-05-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1550.153424-1.02%0.142-8.39%0.0424✓0.42175k2022-05-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.041940.041527-0.98%0.03924-6.44%0.0118✗0.81329k2022-05-05
GTGateEthereum6.19476.1341-0.98%6.3361+2.28%0.0715✗0.464.7M2022-05-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.70325.6508-0.92%5.1342-9.98%0.0547✓0.49221k2022-05-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.134360.133136-0.91%0.1152-14.26%0.0826✓0.7416k2022-05-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.2490.246755-0.90%0.2243-9.92%0.0454✗1.672.1M2022-05-05
UOSUltraEthereum0.833920.826437-0.90%0.71032-14.82%0.0489✓1.221.6M2022-05-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0281430.027923-0.78%0.023524-16.41%0.0859✓1.024.3M2022-05-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.030450.030263-0.61%0.02621-13.92%0.0955✓0.57458k2022-05-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.46460.462484-0.46%0.434-6.59%0.0470✓0.20656k2022-05-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.