8=======>

2022-04-27 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1869
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.07%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
87.0%
in alpha space · 82.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.07%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.2530.252344-0.26%0.2478-2.06%0.0360✓1.682.1M2022-05-04
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1540.153158-0.55%0.168+9.09%0.0878✗0.44190k2022-05-04
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.03060.030427-0.57%0.02852-6.80%0.0711✓0.60498k2022-05-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.135290.13429-0.74%0.12604-6.84%0.0713✓0.7515k2022-05-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0291420.028902-0.82%0.024465-16.05%0.1775✓1.024.4M2022-05-04
UOSUltraEthereum0.849620.842116-0.88%0.80809-4.89%0.0543✓1.231.6M2022-05-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.80325.7511-0.90%5.6389-2.83%0.0249✓0.49213k2022-05-04
GTGateEthereum6.1286.0704-0.94%6.523+6.45%0.0670✗0.464.7M2022-05-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.04330.042889-0.95%0.04253-1.78%0.0171✓0.82350k2022-05-04
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.5030.498189-0.96%0.4811-4.35%0.0372✓0.22717k2022-05-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.81423.7772-0.97%3.3664-11.74%0.1209✓0.545.6M2022-05-04
ETHEthereumEthereum2,889.782,858.57-1.08%2,939.98+1.74%0.0175✗1.00448.2M2022-05-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin100.6399.4588-1.16%106.25+5.58%0.0554✗1.0118.7M2022-05-04
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.16420.162188-1.23%0.1544-5.97%0.0719✓2.14384k2022-05-04
TRXTRONTron0.0632110.062412-1.26%0.086397+36.68%0.3187✗0.61296k2022-05-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.142.1117-1.32%2.12-0.93%0.0066✓0.99137k2022-05-04
GITCOINGITCOIN5.4825.4088-1.33%5.147-6.11%0.0649✓1.4418k2022-05-04
KCSKuCoinnative19.03318.7767-1.35%18.408-3.28%0.0280✓0.775.4M2022-05-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana11.4111.25-1.40%9.68-15.16%0.1544✓0.381.9M2022-05-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.725.6396-1.41%5.34-6.64%0.0615✓0.661.3M2022-05-04
XTZTezosTezos2.81882.7778-1.46%2.7028-4.12%0.0383✓1.03873k2022-05-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.21810.214909-1.46%0.213-2.34%0.0176✓0.821.6M2022-05-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.087060.085778-1.47%0.08485-2.54%0.0191✓0.7734k2022-05-04
CBKCobakEthereum2.0662.0354-1.48%1.935-6.34%0.0581✓0.7124k2022-05-04
XMRMoneroMonero229.66226.2319-1.49%225.24-1.92%0.0141✓0.923.3M2022-05-04
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1461.1288-1.50%1.115-2.71%0.0232✓1.023.8M2022-05-04
WOOWOOEthereum0.41450.408282-1.50%0.3846-7.21%0.0634✓0.345,3242022-05-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.8294.7531-1.57%4.68-3.09%0.0253✓0.9264k2022-05-04
RADRadworksEthereum4.174.104-1.58%4.01-3.84%0.0321✓0.85685k2022-05-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000023420.00002304-1.62%0.00002178-7.00%0.0673✓1.041.8M2022-05-04
DIADIAEthereum0.810.796591-1.66%0.81+0.00%0.0116✓0.4875k2022-05-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,251.1138,595.39-1.67%39,669.56+1.07%0.0168✓1.00565.5M2022-05-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos21.4521.0744-1.75%19.91-7.18%0.0680✓1.0521.5M2022-05-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.04120.040463-1.79%0.04109-0.27%0.0069✓0.8060k2022-05-04
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum5.9565.8494-1.79%5.395-9.42%0.0927✓1.12201k2022-05-04
QNTQuantEthereum101.2699.436-1.80%101.58+0.32%0.0128✓0.803.4M2022-05-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum12.7412.5105-1.80%12.2-4.24%0.0367✓1.0924.3M2022-05-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,133.2038,421.48-1.82%39,665.50+1.36%0.0221✗0.9325k2022-05-04
MOVRMoonriverBase46.732245.8743-1.84%43.5734-6.76%0.0663✓1.40219k2022-05-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.186.0652-1.86%5.56-10.03%0.0929✓0.561.0M2022-05-04
STXStacksnative1.061.0399-1.89%0.99-6.60%0.0591✓0.94407k2022-05-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.60933.5409-1.89%3.2118-11.01%0.1038✓0.594.6M2022-05-04
API3Api3Ethereum4.0393.9616-1.92%3.652-9.58%0.0913✓0.932.8M2022-05-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.47220.463142-1.92%0.4415-6.50%0.0593✓1.08665k2022-05-04
BTTCBTTC0.000001760.000001726-1.93%0.00000178+1.14%0.0233✗0.708.8M2022-05-04
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.09e-78.91e-7-1.94%9.57e-7+5.36%0.0730✗-0.11576k2022-05-04
LSKLiskEthereum2.08062.0396-1.97%1.8765-9.81%0.0922✓0.8496k2022-05-04
IMXImmutableEthereum1.7191.6844-2.01%1.817+5.70%0.0652✗1.008.2M2022-05-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3071.2804-2.03%1.182-9.56%0.0930✓1.22470k2022-05-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.47890.469145-2.04%0.4526-5.49%0.0450✓0.86436k2022-05-04
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.9922.9305-2.06%2.764-7.62%0.0744✓1.50896k2022-05-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.0138910.013602-2.08%0.013631-1.87%0.0071✓0.8753k2022-05-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.09740.095368-2.09%0.0973-0.10%0.0105✓0.902.6M2022-05-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.520.509147-2.09%0.46-11.54%0.1169✓1.45355k2022-05-04
UMAUMAEthereum5.625.5016-2.11%5.67+0.89%0.0149✓1.432.2M2022-05-04
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.37412.3234-2.14%2.4779+4.37%0.0578✗0.6311k2022-05-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.61690.603666-2.15%0.5538-10.23%0.0964✓0.968.4M2022-05-04
HIVEHivenative0.88190.862788-2.17%0.8291-5.99%0.0500✓0.961.8M2022-05-04
XLMStellarStellar0.184320.180308-2.18%0.184721+0.22%0.0140✓0.9617.1M2022-05-04
XEMNEMnative0.09210.09009-2.18%0.0917-0.43%0.0080✓0.9283k2022-05-04
ORCAOrcaSolana1.931.8871-2.22%1.87-3.11%0.0166✓0.71199k2022-05-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche69.8668.2988-2.23%67.28-3.69%0.0274✓1.1756.8M2022-05-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash307.39300.4601-2.25%299.95-2.42%0.0119✓0.965.8M2022-05-04
COMPCompoundEthereum124.46121.6514-2.26%114.56-7.95%0.0719✓1.1260k2022-05-04
XYMSymbolnative0.10150.099171-2.29%0.0959-5.52%0.0404✓0.65806k2022-05-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.0851.06-2.30%1.0448-3.71%0.0275✓1.239.3M2022-05-04
MANADecentralandEthereum1.8451.8021-2.32%1.6585-10.11%0.0944✓1.071.2M2022-05-04
GLMGolemEthereum0.39870.389423-2.33%0.372-6.70%0.0592✓1.27269k2022-05-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.2131.184-2.39%1.14-6.02%0.0501✓1.152.5M2022-05-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.19744.0962-2.41%4.2374+0.95%0.0236✓0.97266k2022-05-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2650.258592-2.42%0.237-10.57%0.0942✓0.6634k2022-05-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.9516.5371-2.44%16.32-3.72%0.0239✓1.0013.1M2022-05-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum24.7224.1165-2.44%23.95-3.11%0.0202✓1.25685k2022-05-04
STORJStorjEthereum0.993190.968743-2.46%0.9575-3.59%0.0236✓1.12133k2022-05-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.0110.986109-2.46%1.006-0.49%0.0088✓1.051.3M2022-05-04
DODODODOEthereum0.3620.353036-2.48%0.323-10.77%0.1006✓1.107.7M2022-05-04
BORABORAKlay Token0.722690.70454-2.51%0.67548-6.53%0.0536✓1.08127k2022-05-04
ZECZcashZcash149.27145.5083-2.52%134.35-10.00%0.0906✓1.026.7M2022-05-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.4892.4262-2.52%2.596+4.30%0.0541✗1.287.8M2022-05-04
NANOnanopayBase1.91631.8678-2.53%1.8061-5.75%0.0442✓1.00177k2022-05-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.2830.4844-2.54%30.61-2.14%0.0073✓1.086.9M2022-05-04
CELLCellframeEthereum0.82790.80669-2.56%0.7522-9.14%0.0828✓1.22178k2022-05-04
AVTAventusEthereum2.282.2215-2.57%1.9-16.67%0.1616✓0.50320k2022-05-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.27450.267454-2.57%0.2829+3.06%0.0446✗1.09428k2022-05-04
LUNATerraTerra 289.0486.7393-2.58%86.09-3.31%0.0211✓1.2810.3M2022-05-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7840.763718-2.59%0.717-8.55%0.0776✓1.361.8M2022-05-04
ZENHorizenBase33.3332.4515-2.64%33.7+1.11%0.0239✓1.30248k2022-05-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13490.131331-2.65%0.1295-4.00%0.0242✓0.95192k2022-05-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.020580.020028-2.68%0.018-12.54%0.1175✓1.01362k2022-05-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04560.044375-2.69%0.0439-3.73%0.0280✓1.6230.9M2022-05-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.630.61293-2.71%0.615-2.38%0.0046✓0.752.4M2022-05-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06240.060708-2.71%0.0598-4.17%0.0268✓1.11254k2022-05-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.28490.277152-2.72%0.2557-10.25%0.0953✓1.398.6M2022-05-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana12.2211.8868-2.73%10.17-16.78%0.1610✓0.483.0M2022-05-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum25.124.4147-2.73%24.08-4.06%0.0232✓0.89508k2022-05-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.669750.651442-2.73%0.65135-2.75%0.0109✓1.01145k2022-05-04
FIDABonfidaSolana1.221.1866-2.73%1.114-8.69%0.0735✓0.9861k2022-05-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8756310.851489-2.76%0.800276-8.61%0.0726✓1.004.6M2022-05-04
KSMKusamaHydration158.07153.6727-2.78%140.48-11.13%0.1009✓1.051.1M2022-05-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.008620.00838-2.78%0.00934+8.35%0.0960✗1.173.1M2022-05-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.1734.056-2.80%3.8-8.94%0.0788✓1.28105k2022-05-04
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0266150.025868-2.81%0.02161-18.81%0.1850✓0.49199k2022-05-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.8717.3639-2.83%16.45-7.95%0.0682✓1.33163k2022-05-04
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24050.233684-2.83%0.222-7.69%0.0648✓1.28197k2022-05-04
SCSiacoinnative0.009530.009259-2.84%0.00898-5.77%0.0427✓1.14442k2022-05-04
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.7591.7088-2.85%1.474-16.20%0.1583✓0.9978k2022-05-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1398980.135872-2.88%0.135908-2.85%0.0095✓0.925.1M2022-05-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3183.2224-2.88%3.092-6.81%0.0478✓0.611.8M2022-05-04
MINAMina Protocolnative2.021.9615-2.90%2.01-0.50%0.0131✓1.071.3M2022-05-04
GALAGALAEthereum0.17260.167569-2.91%0.1613-6.55%0.0504✓1.16220k2022-05-04
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.0863.9662-2.93%4.124+0.93%0.0214✓1.661.7M2022-05-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011020.010688-3.01%0.0078-29.22%0.3209✓0.5529k2022-05-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.20940.203086-3.02%0.196-6.40%0.0474✓1.122.5M2022-05-04
XVSVenusEthereum9.639.3373-3.04%8.52-11.53%0.1021✓0.993.9M2022-05-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.16120.156286-3.05%0.1592-1.24%0.0060✓1.188.1M2022-05-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.10880.105453-3.08%0.1109+1.93%0.0410✗0.88601k2022-05-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003780.003663-3.08%0.00353-6.61%0.0485✓1.076.6M2022-05-04
FTTFTXEthereum39.5738.3441-3.10%39.56-0.03%0.0217✓0.9017.3M2022-05-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3484.2123-3.12%3.783-12.99%0.1105✓0.282.5M2022-05-04
XECeCashnative0.000081630.000079049-3.16%0.00007852-3.81%0.0167✓0.949.4M2022-05-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.069990.06777-3.17%0.06675-4.63%0.0259✓1.01117k2022-05-04
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.81945.6346-3.18%5.0794-12.72%0.1158✓1.1411.7M2022-05-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.185.0149-3.19%4.91-5.21%0.0281✓0.65756k2022-05-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum38.8137.5724-3.19%33.33-14.12%0.1324✓1.194.8M2022-05-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.021560.020864-3.23%0.01937-10.16%0.0819✓0.724.2M2022-05-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.30560.295707-3.24%0.2979-2.52%0.0063✓1.291.0M2022-05-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV77.9175.3777-3.25%78.63+0.92%0.0338✗0.792.8M2022-05-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.081160.078508-3.27%0.07079-12.78%0.1114✓0.7529k2022-05-04
SUSHISushiEthereum2.992.892-3.28%2.62-12.37%0.1116✓1.214.3M2022-05-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.020970.020282-3.28%0.02056-1.96%0.0017✓1.4448.3M2022-05-04
AAVEAaveEthereum168.44162.847-3.32%159.43-5.35%0.0345✓1.2512.5M2022-05-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.781.7205-3.34%1.64-7.87%0.0616✓1.291.6M2022-05-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin17.7217.1278-3.34%15.71-11.34%0.0972✓1.0210.5M2022-05-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.692.6001-3.34%2.076-22.83%0.2354✓0.9711.2M2022-05-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum5.55695.3706-3.35%3.7324-32.83%0.3717✓0.749.5M2022-05-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5420.523456-3.42%0.478-11.81%0.1015✓1.014.9M2022-05-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.21470.207345-3.43%0.222+3.40%0.0549✗1.262.8M2022-05-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.8575.6558-3.44%5.073-13.39%0.1234✓1.389.1M2022-05-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.3211.8931-3.46%12.03-2.35%0.0006✓1.021.1M2022-05-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.233.1177-3.48%2.994-7.31%0.0477✓0.681.3M2022-05-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3221.276-3.48%1.282-3.03%0.0061✓1.02547k2022-05-04
UNIUniswapEthereum8.237.9353-3.58%7.94-3.52%0.0103✓1.035.4M2022-05-04
QTUMQtumQtum6.11845.8967-3.62%5.9368-2.97%0.0051✓1.12135k2022-05-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.940.905787-3.64%0.82-12.77%0.1105✓1.04565k2022-05-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum15.314.7413-3.65%14.28-6.67%0.0430✓1.0610.6M2022-05-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum18.5917.9111-3.65%22.15+19.15%0.1983✗1.332.2M2022-05-04
LRCLoopringEthereum0.85820.826791-3.66%0.8162-4.89%0.0258✓1.22431k2022-05-04
BANDBandEthereum3.4433.3145-3.73%3.342-2.93%0.0045✓1.20644k2022-05-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum17,725.8417,062.28-3.74%18,332.59+3.42%0.0614✗0.993.6M2022-05-04
DASHDashDash95.6492.0398-3.76%95.85+0.22%0.0299✓1.001.5M2022-05-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana54.8072-3.86%4.47-10.60%0.0803✓0.721.2M2022-05-04
SOLSolanaSolana98.3594.544-3.87%92.76-5.68%0.0318✓1.20109.2M2022-05-04
ADACardanoCardano0.84050.8069-4.00%0.8983+6.88%0.0963✗1.0348.8M2022-05-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.016150.015469-4.21%0.01524-5.63%0.0243✓0.881.5M2022-05-04
XVGVergenative0.009480.00908-4.22%0.00896-5.49%0.0245✓1.061.3M2022-05-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.264.0797-4.23%4.39+3.05%0.0591✗1.34385k2022-05-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.67150.642651-4.30%0.7153+6.52%0.0975✗0.9110.9M2022-05-04
APEApeCoinEthereum19.42418.5424-4.54%15.557-19.91%0.1979✓2.1145.8M2022-05-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.515.2387-4.92%5.17-6.17%0.0287✓1.47451k2022-05-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.36770.349339-4.99%0.3438-6.50%0.0286✓1.199.3M2022-05-04
PROPropyEthereum2.192.0687-5.54%1.72-21.46%0.1906✓0.57267k2022-05-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.736.2144-7.66%5.785-14.04%0.0783✓0.631.6M2022-05-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.