8=======>

2022-04-26 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1998
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.75%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
89.5%
in alpha space · 92.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.03%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.26460.264844+0.09%0.2186-17.38%0.1742✗1.712.2M2022-05-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.265.2546-0.10%5.07-3.61%0.0291✓0.641.3M2022-05-03
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.029860.029766-0.32%0.0316+5.83%0.0659✗0.59514k2022-05-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.5863.5733-0.35%3.2092-10.51%0.1020✓0.535.6M2022-05-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.027480.027361-0.43%0.023305-15.19%0.1500✓1.014.4M2022-05-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.129840.129158-0.53%0.12171-6.26%0.0516✓0.7515k2022-05-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.042220.041954-0.63%0.03846-8.91%0.0784✓0.82370k2022-05-03
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1590.157799-0.76%0.151-5.03%0.0393✓0.45190k2022-05-03
UOSUltraEthereum0.86490.857763-0.83%0.71298-17.57%0.1720✓1.241.6M2022-05-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana10.7310.636-0.88%9.16-14.63%0.1455✓0.372.0M2022-05-03
GTGateEthereum6.13596.0819-0.88%6.3042+2.74%0.0408✗0.474.7M2022-05-03
ETHEthereumEthereum2,809.262,783.93-0.90%2,780.34-1.03%0.0091✗1.00448.2M2022-05-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.83995.787-0.91%5.6044-4.03%0.0269✓0.49213k2022-05-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin98.5997.672-0.93%99.35+0.77%0.0275✗1.0119.2M2022-05-03
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.16590.164152-1.05%0.1437-13.38%0.1103✓2.19395k2022-05-03
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.53730.531454-1.09%0.4012-25.33%0.2788✓0.23769k2022-05-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.072.0473-1.09%1.97-4.83%0.0282✓0.99137k2022-05-03
GITCOINGITCOIN5.2545.1962-1.10%4.698-10.58%0.0859✓1.4418k2022-05-03
MOVRMoonriverBase45.76845.2341-1.17%39.5666-13.55%0.1193✓1.40223k2022-05-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos20.3120.0701-1.18%17.56-13.54%0.1229✓1.0321.8M2022-05-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.0092.9732-1.19%2.942-2.23%0.0044✓0.591.8M2022-05-03
TRXTRONTron0.0618240.061067-1.22%0.072682+17.56%0.1805✗0.61302k2022-05-03
KCSKuCoinnative18.81718.5854-1.23%17.812-5.34%0.0345✓0.775.8M2022-05-03
WOOWOOEthereum0.40530.400294-1.24%0.3351-17.32%0.1743✓0.345,5292022-05-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.21510.212414-1.25%0.2042-5.07%0.0309✓0.821.6M2022-05-03
XTZTezosTezos2.72032.6854-1.28%2.4872-8.57%0.0660✓1.02893k2022-05-03
CBKCobakEthereum2.021.9934-1.32%1.826-9.60%0.0803✓0.7124k2022-05-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9282.8893-1.32%2.804-4.23%0.0231✓0.661.3M2022-05-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.50.493283-1.34%0.41-18.00%0.1699✓1.45395k2022-05-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.086220.085057-1.35%0.07951-7.78%0.0594✓0.7835k2022-05-03
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0891.0742-1.35%1.031-5.33%0.0305✓1.023.9M2022-05-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022980.000022665-1.37%0.00002035-11.44%0.0969✓1.052.0M2022-05-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.384.3189-1.40%4.26-2.74%0.0066✓0.691.2M2022-05-03
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04230.041703-1.41%0.0348-17.73%0.1640✓1.6331.5M2022-05-03
XMRMoneroMonero230.31227.027-1.43%206.93-10.15%0.0831✓0.923.3M2022-05-03
RADRadworksEthereum4.144.0807-1.43%3.81-7.97%0.0598✓0.85741k2022-05-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3763.3275-1.44%3.0843-8.64%0.0699✓0.574.6M2022-05-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,113.8237,564.41-1.44%37,719.59-1.03%0.0145✗1.00565.5M2022-05-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7144.6453-1.46%5.398+14.51%0.1558✗0.541.6M2022-05-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.47080.463855-1.48%0.3925-16.63%0.1557✓1.09690k2022-05-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum12.3712.1855-1.49%11.12-10.11%0.0801✓1.0925.8M2022-05-03
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum5.7515.662-1.55%4.92-14.45%0.1289✓1.12216k2022-05-03
DIADIAEthereum0.810.797396-1.56%0.76-6.17%0.0431✓0.4777k2022-05-03
STXStacksnative1.031.0137-1.58%0.92-10.68%0.0872✓0.94418k2022-05-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.8964.8176-1.60%4.346-11.23%0.0934✓0.9364k2022-05-03
PROPropyEthereum1.51.476-1.60%1.57+4.67%0.0666✗0.46267k2022-05-03
API3Api3Ethereum3.93.8369-1.62%3.401-12.79%0.1109✓0.942.8M2022-05-03
QNTQuantEthereum100.6999.0574-1.62%93.03-7.61%0.0544✓0.813.4M2022-05-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.04070.04001-1.70%0.0381-6.39%0.0405✓0.8163k2022-05-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche68.767.5198-1.72%59.63-13.20%0.1121✓1.1762.7M2022-05-03
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.90e-78.75e-7-1.72%9.43e-7+5.97%0.0742✗-0.11590k2022-05-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.5311.3307-1.73%11.89+3.12%0.0530✗0.472.9M2022-05-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.0132680.013038-1.73%0.012073-9.01%0.0680✓0.8653k2022-05-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,008.8037,349.63-1.73%37,647.20-0.95%0.0176✗0.9325k2022-05-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.2731.2509-1.74%1.063-16.50%0.1500✓1.23494k2022-05-03
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.6751.6457-1.75%1.351-19.34%0.1871✓0.9881k2022-05-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.1311.1112-1.75%1.036-8.40%0.0582✓1.142.6M2022-05-03
UMAUMAEthereum5.5325.4347-1.76%5.339-3.49%0.0028✓1.442.5M2022-05-03
BTTCBTTC0.000001750.000001719-1.77%0.00000171-2.29%0.0021✓0.719.0M2022-05-03
LSKLiskEthereum1.98491.9495-1.78%1.7373-12.47%0.1066✓0.8396k2022-05-03
IMXImmutableEthereum1.6661.6358-1.81%1.578-5.28%0.0257✓0.998.7M2022-05-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.025.9109-1.81%5.37-10.80%0.0901✓0.561.0M2022-05-03
MANADecentralandEthereum1.80741.7745-1.82%1.4756-18.36%0.1733✓1.081.2M2022-05-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash296.43291.0042-1.83%279.33-5.77%0.0310✓0.966.0M2022-05-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.60010.589071-1.84%0.502-16.35%0.1500✓0.968.8M2022-05-03
MINAMina Protocolnative1.951.9136-1.87%1.77-9.23%0.0669✓1.071.3M2022-05-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.27470.269541-1.88%0.225-18.09%0.1661✓1.408.8M2022-05-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7480.733828-1.89%0.657-12.17%0.0965✓1.361.9M2022-05-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9860.9673-1.90%0.925-6.19%0.0337✓1.061.3M2022-05-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.46740.458525-1.90%0.419-10.36%0.0812✓0.86479k2022-05-03
HIVEHivenative0.84020.823936-1.94%0.7743-7.84%0.0522✓0.961.8M2022-05-03
COMPCompoundEthereum121.78119.4091-1.95%102.6-15.75%0.1401✓1.1265k2022-05-03
HIGHHighstreetEthereum3.9623.8839-1.97%3.778-4.64%0.0103✓1.671.8M2022-05-03
XLMStellarStellar0.1804670.176907-1.97%0.171962-4.71%0.0184✓0.9618.1M2022-05-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.730.09-1.99%26.82-12.64%0.1038✓1.087.8M2022-05-03
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.0663.0049-1.99%2.449-20.12%0.1889✓1.51896k2022-05-03
XEMNEMnative0.08890.087108-2.02%0.0878-1.24%0.0174✓0.9283k2022-05-03
ZENHorizenBase32.2131.553-2.04%30.26-6.05%0.0283✓1.30261k2022-05-03
GLMGolemEthereum0.39320.385174-2.04%0.3424-12.92%0.1043✓1.29282k2022-05-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15810.154863-2.05%0.1406-11.07%0.0844✓1.188.5M2022-05-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.0523.9681-2.07%3.65-9.92%0.0808✓0.272.5M2022-05-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.05990.058658-2.07%0.057-4.84%0.0172✓1.11279k2022-05-03
ORCAOrcaSolana1.881.841-2.08%1.82-3.19%0.0041✓0.71211k2022-05-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.6916.3421-2.08%14.73-11.74%0.0934✓1.0114.6M2022-05-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.84.6997-2.09%4.72-1.67%0.0110✓0.64756k2022-05-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.09984.0141-2.09%3.7386-8.81%0.0610✓0.97275k2022-05-03
GALAGALAEthereum0.16410.160667-2.09%0.1359-17.18%0.1555✓1.15242k2022-05-03
CELLCellframeEthereum0.83970.821749-2.14%0.6963-17.08%0.1529✓1.23184k2022-05-03
DODODODOEthereum0.3490.341463-2.16%0.285-18.34%0.1694✓1.098.0M2022-05-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.09860.096469-2.16%0.0942-4.46%0.0144✓0.912.6M2022-05-03
FIDABonfidaSolana1.21.174-2.16%1.056-12.00%0.0958✓0.9861k2022-05-03
STORJStorjEthereum0.957960.937157-2.17%0.8645-9.76%0.0691✓1.12154k2022-05-03
BORABORAKlay Token0.715690.700133-2.17%0.62172-13.13%0.1072✓1.11140k2022-05-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.07221.0488-2.18%0.9651-9.99%0.0704✓1.249.9M2022-05-03
ZECZcashZcash145.94142.7599-2.18%119.63-18.03%0.1661✓1.026.7M2022-05-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.2316.8538-2.18%14.57-15.44%0.1318✓1.33175k2022-05-03
XYMSymbolnative0.10120.098973-2.20%0.0911-9.98%0.0761✓0.65823k2022-05-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.19680.192407-2.23%0.178-9.55%0.0663✓1.112.6M2022-05-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.008560.008367-2.25%0.00855-0.12%0.0338✗1.183.1M2022-05-03
NANOnanopayBase1.89461.8516-2.27%1.6862-11.00%0.0831✓1.01188k2022-05-03
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.36282.309-2.28%2.3791+0.69%0.0364✗0.6211k2022-05-03
AAVEAaveEthereum158.02154.3921-2.30%141.02-10.76%0.0777✓1.2412.5M2022-05-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.20490.200171-2.31%0.1921-6.25%0.0280✓1.263.3M2022-05-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.3662.3112-2.32%2.154-8.96%0.0572✓1.278.3M2022-05-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.26880.262519-2.34%0.2587-3.76%0.0033✓1.09462k2022-05-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.3514.0114-2.36%21.96+53.03%0.4625✗1.262.2M2022-05-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.260.253813-2.38%0.227-12.69%0.1048✓0.6636k2022-05-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.5122.9439-2.41%21.82-7.19%0.0373✓1.25685k2022-05-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6370.621418-2.45%0.584-8.32%0.0543✓0.752.8M2022-05-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.0463.9462-2.47%3.394-16.11%0.1374✓1.28121k2022-05-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13280.129507-2.48%0.1266-4.67%0.0128✓0.96203k2022-05-03
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.22550.219892-2.49%0.2002-11.22%0.0808✓1.26223k2022-05-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.2960.288583-2.51%0.2716-8.24%0.0472✓1.291.2M2022-05-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.833.7339-2.51%3.71-3.13%0.0073✓1.32385k2022-05-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.656450.639887-2.52%0.57993-11.66%0.0878✓1.02152k2022-05-03
SCSiacoinnative0.009320.009083-2.55%0.00822-11.80%0.0879✓1.14453k2022-05-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum38.7437.7492-2.56%29.08-24.94%0.2485✓1.195.3M2022-05-03
AVTAventusEthereum2.332.2702-2.57%2-14.16%0.1214✓0.51322k2022-05-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003650.003555-2.60%0.003-17.81%0.1590✓1.037.1M2022-05-03
LUNATerraTerra 288.4786.1472-2.63%82.57-6.67%0.0291✓1.2810.4M2022-05-03
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.49235.3477-2.63%4.799-12.62%0.0965✓1.1311.2M2022-05-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.021150.020591-2.64%0.01708-19.24%0.1763✓1.03373k2022-05-03
XECeCashnative0.000078590.000076506-2.65%0.00007188-8.54%0.0527✓0.939.6M2022-05-03
KSMKusamaHydration154.99150.8073-2.70%127.65-17.64%0.1558✓1.051.1M2022-05-03
UNIUniswapEthereum87.7796-2.75%6.85-14.37%0.1166✓1.025.6M2022-05-03
SUSHISushiEthereum2.912.8292-2.78%2.32-20.27%0.1859✓1.204.4M2022-05-03
FTTFTXEthereum38.7137.6297-2.79%37.79-2.38%0.0136✓0.9018.9M2022-05-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.066730.064859-2.80%0.06107-8.48%0.0497✓1.01121k2022-05-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8325780.80914-2.82%0.694683-16.56%0.1422✓0.994.6M2022-05-03
XVSVenusEthereum9.559.2773-2.86%7.78-18.53%0.1656✓1.004.5M2022-05-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV76.5374.3149-2.89%72.68-5.03%0.0140✓0.793.1M2022-05-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.110.106776-2.93%0.1073-2.45%0.0141✓0.89658k2022-05-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.291.2522-2.93%1.172-9.15%0.0556✓1.02573k2022-05-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin17.3116.8019-2.94%14.62-15.54%0.1285✓1.0210.6M2022-05-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum25.5424.79-2.94%22.8-10.73%0.0741✓0.92517k2022-05-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.010860.01054-2.94%0.00751-30.85%0.3331✓0.5730k2022-05-03
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.026940.02614-2.97%0.019229-28.62%0.3019✓0.49199k2022-05-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum5.23435.0788-2.97%3.4808-33.50%0.3702✓0.738.7M2022-05-03
LRCLoopringEthereum0.81930.794868-2.98%0.7228-11.78%0.0825✓1.21454k2022-05-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.425.2571-3.00%4.642-14.35%0.1102✓1.378.7M2022-05-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1376190.133471-3.01%0.129503-5.90%0.0206✓0.925.1M2022-05-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.741.6871-3.04%1.48-14.94%0.1175✓1.291.6M2022-05-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.021160.020504-3.10%0.01808-14.56%0.1183✓0.724.2M2022-05-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum15.0214.5527-3.11%12.8-14.78%0.1173✓1.0611.7M2022-05-03
BANDBandEthereum3.3073.2034-3.13%2.975-10.04%0.0615✓1.20666k2022-05-03
DASHDashDash93.2790.3234-3.16%88.09-5.55%0.0146✓1.001.5M2022-05-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.020750.020091-3.17%0.01782-14.12%0.1049✓1.4549.4M2022-05-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.1311.7442-3.18%11.39-6.10%0.0199✓1.031.2M2022-05-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.940.90971-3.22%0.75-20.21%0.1822✓1.04595k2022-05-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5120.495275-3.27%0.441-13.87%0.1057✓1.004.9M2022-05-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.5352.4507-3.33%1.92-24.26%0.2340✓0.9610.9M2022-05-03
QTUMQtumQtum6.00985.8097-3.33%5.3906-10.30%0.0632✓1.12147k2022-05-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum17,482.3916,898.43-3.34%17,468.60-0.08%0.0435✗0.994.0M2022-05-03
SOLSolanaSolana95.7492.4005-3.49%85.85-10.33%0.0611✓1.20127.9M2022-05-03
ADACardanoCardano0.82590.796944-3.51%0.7711-6.64%0.0222✓1.0353.5M2022-05-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.01590.015332-3.57%0.01436-9.69%0.0564✓0.881.5M2022-05-03
XVGVergenative0.009270.008929-3.68%0.00812-12.41%0.0840✓1.061.3M2022-05-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.65620.631302-3.79%0.6707+2.21%0.0700✗0.9112.2M2022-05-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.33710.32414-3.84%0.3191-5.34%0.0035✓1.179.9M2022-05-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.285.0657-4.06%4.75-10.04%0.0492✓1.46494k2022-05-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.078090.074879-4.11%0.0656-15.99%0.1246✓0.7431k2022-05-03
APEApeCoinEthereum18.09217.318-4.28%14.152-21.78%0.1798✓2.1345.8M2022-05-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.