8=======>

2022-04-20 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1207
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.83%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
84.0%
in alpha space · 92.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.14%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034710.034441-0.77%0.0306-11.84%0.0855✓0.62733k2022-04-27
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.96145.9025-0.99%5.8032-2.65%0.0079✓0.47192k2022-04-27
BFCBifrostEthereum0.148280.146808-0.99%0.13529-8.76%0.0402✓0.7918k2022-04-27
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.047670.04718-1.03%0.0433-9.17%0.0329✓1.00466k2022-04-27
GTGateEthereum6.52626.4483-1.19%6.128-6.10%0.0199✓0.594.7M2022-04-27
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2151.1993-1.29%1.146-5.68%0.0053✓0.963.6M2022-04-27
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.416.3267-1.30%5.72-10.76%0.0618✓0.741.6M2022-04-27
ETHEthereumEthereum3,077.063,036.79-1.31%2,889.78-6.09%0.0057✓1.05482.4M2022-04-27
TRXTRONTron0.0626380.061778-1.37%0.063211+0.91%0.0584✗0.67262k2022-04-27
WOOWOOEthereum0.48180.475118-1.39%0.4145-13.97%0.1244✓0.235,8622022-04-27
XTZTezosTezos3.14433.1001-1.40%2.8188-10.35%0.0403✓1.04989k2022-04-27
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.282.2472-1.44%2.14-6.14%0.0043✓1.01163k2022-04-27
UOSUltraEthereum1.02911.0136-1.50%0.84962-17.44%0.1065✓1.331.7M2022-04-27
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0340710.03352-1.62%0.029142-14.47%0.0814✓1.114.5M2022-04-27
LTCLitecoinLitecoin111.86109.9764-1.68%100.63-10.04%0.0346✓1.0320.5M2022-04-27
KCSKuCoinnative20.91520.5605-1.69%19.033-9.00%0.0318✓0.865.8M2022-04-27
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.28765.1966-1.72%3.8142-27.87%0.2827✓0.505.6M2022-04-27
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.19730.193895-1.73%0.1642-16.78%0.0468✓2.26568k2022-04-27
DEXEDeXeEthereum65.8954-1.74%6.18+3.00%0.0850✗0.721.0M2022-04-27
DKAdKargoEthereum0.095550.093868-1.76%0.08706-8.89%0.0299✓0.8636k2022-04-27
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24970.245266-1.78%0.2181-12.66%0.0730✓0.841.6M2022-04-27
GITCOINGITCOIN6.2386.1256-1.80%5.482-12.12%0.0326✓1.4918k2022-04-27
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.6520.639897-1.86%0.503-22.85%0.2192✓0.41814k2022-04-27
RADRadworksEthereum4.724.6308-1.89%4.17-11.65%0.0543✓0.96820k2022-04-27
SUNSun TokenTron0.014530.014249-1.94%0.013891-4.40%0.0226✗0.9151k2022-04-27
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.913.6276-1.96%11.41-17.91%0.1557✓0.412.0M2022-04-27
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024830.000024329-2.02%0.00002342-5.68%0.0217✗1.132.6M2022-04-27
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.044650.043742-2.03%0.0412-7.73%0.0135✓0.8867k2022-04-27
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,377.6140,532.72-2.04%39,251.11-5.14%0.0206✗1.00565.5M2022-04-27
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,418.2040,565.22-2.06%39,133.20-5.52%0.0142✓0.9525k2022-04-27
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5161.4846-2.07%1.307-13.79%0.0579✓1.32555k2022-04-27
CBKCobakEthereum2.3152.267-2.08%2.066-10.76%0.0504✓0.8026k2022-04-27
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos24.2723.7642-2.08%21.45-11.62%0.0433✓1.1231.7M2022-04-27
QNTQuantEthereum110.63108.2194-2.18%101.26-8.47%0.0180✓0.923.8M2022-04-27
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5853.5068-2.18%3.318-7.45%0.0207✓0.662.0M2022-04-27
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11320.110704-2.20%0.0974-13.96%0.0727✓1.051.9M2022-04-27
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51230.50084-2.24%0.4789-6.52%0.0027✓0.80461k2022-04-27
DIADIAEthereum0.920.899288-2.25%0.81-11.96%0.0792✓0.48154k2022-04-27
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.630.615737-2.26%0.52-17.46%0.0905✓1.49435k2022-04-27
ORCAOrcaSolana1.991.9445-2.29%1.93-3.02%0.0301✗0.71261k2022-04-27
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.01140.011136-2.31%0.01102-3.33%0.0216✓0.6136k2022-04-27
XEMNEMnative0.10060.098269-2.32%0.0921-8.45%0.0162✓0.9267k2022-04-27
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.0313.7048-2.32%12.74-9.19%0.0136✓1.1326.2M2022-04-27
BTTCBTTC0.00000190.000001855-2.36%0.00000176-7.37%0.0150✓0.729.8M2022-04-27
AVTAventusEthereum2.52.4399-2.40%2.28-8.80%0.0419✓0.49421k2022-04-27
LSKLiskEthereum2.20752.1544-2.41%2.0806-5.75%0.0104✓0.8699k2022-04-27
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.175.0448-2.42%5-3.29%0.0303✗0.741.2M2022-04-27
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.3854.2786-2.43%5.5569+26.73%0.3020✗0.776.1M2022-04-27
XMRMoneroMonero266.68260.1933-2.43%229.66-13.88%0.0761✓0.921.9M2022-04-27
STXStacksnative1.181.1512-2.44%1.06-10.17%0.0290✓1.02440k2022-04-27
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.48992.4287-2.46%2.3741-4.65%0.0174✓0.7611k2022-04-27
MOVRMoonriverBase58.961357.5006-2.48%46.7322-20.74%0.1295✓1.48223k2022-04-27
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.03913.9384-2.49%3.6093-10.64%0.0523✓0.664.6M2022-04-27
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1405830.137073-2.50%0.139898-0.49%0.0654✗0.855.1M2022-04-27
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13770.134215-2.53%0.1349-2.03%0.0587✗1.02215k2022-04-27
NANOnanopayBase2.12032.0665-2.54%1.9163-9.62%0.0171✓1.11231k2022-04-27
XLMStellarStellar0.200340.195253-2.54%0.18432-8.00%0.0052✓0.9919.5M2022-04-27
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.67770.660472-2.54%0.6169-8.97%0.0130✓1.059.4M2022-04-27
BORABORAKlay Token0.811670.791016-2.54%0.72269-10.96%0.0376✓1.00153k2022-04-27
HIVEHivenative0.91240.888972-2.57%0.8819-3.34%0.0481✗1.061.9M2022-04-27
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.3312.2709-2.58%2.489+6.78%0.1619✗1.336.9M2022-04-27
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.8416.6644-2.58%5.956-12.94%0.0534✓1.12306k2022-04-27
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.1052.0501-2.61%1.759-16.44%0.1020✓0.9794k2022-04-27
MANADecentralandEthereum2.10772.0525-2.62%1.845-12.46%0.0469✓1.131.6M2022-04-27
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7430.72346-2.63%0.63-15.21%0.0920✓0.882.9M2022-04-27
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche78.2476.1795-2.63%69.86-10.71%0.0201✓1.2690.8M2022-04-27
FIDABonfidaSolana1.461.4215-2.63%1.22-16.44%0.1010✓0.9862k2022-04-27
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.4122.7923-2.64%24.72+5.60%0.1499✗1.30669k2022-04-27
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.28131.2474-2.64%1.085-15.32%0.0742✓1.2411.9M2022-04-27
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02290.022291-2.66%0.02058-10.13%0.0200✓1.14423k2022-04-27
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.4925.774-2.70%25.1-5.25%0.0205✓0.89517k2022-04-27
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash330.55321.6109-2.70%307.39-7.01%0.0069✓0.996.7M2022-04-27
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.6314.2302-2.73%18.59+27.07%0.3362✗1.312.3M2022-04-27
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2850.277129-2.76%0.265-7.02%0.0010✓0.8336k2022-04-27
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.076050.073923-2.80%0.08116+6.72%0.1367✗0.8244k2022-04-27
GLMGolemEthereum0.43930.426777-2.85%0.3987-9.24%0.0074✓1.43360k2022-04-27
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.4551.4132-2.87%1.213-16.63%0.0862✓1.263.1M2022-04-27
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00420.004079-2.89%0.00378-10.00%0.0106✓1.248.6M2022-04-27
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2160.209748-2.89%0.154-28.70%0.2763✓0.62132k2022-04-27
CVCCivicEthereum0.30260.293833-2.90%0.2745-9.29%0.0068✓1.16495k2022-04-27
COMPCompoundEthereum146.98142.6828-2.92%124.46-15.32%0.0748✓1.1776k2022-04-27
COTICOTIEthereum0.2450.237817-2.93%0.2147-12.37%0.0309✓1.353.3M2022-04-27
CHZChilizEthereum0.22580.219133-2.95%0.2094-7.26%0.0168✓1.183.2M2022-04-27
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.543.4352-2.96%3.23-8.76%0.0224✓0.742.2M2022-04-27
IMXImmutableEthereum2.011.9505-2.96%1.719-14.48%0.0701✓1.077.8M2022-04-27
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01080.010479-2.97%0.00862-20.19%0.1345✓1.153.0M2022-04-27
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24220.234928-3.00%0.2405-0.70%0.0953✗1.36290k2022-04-27
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0265190.025718-3.02%0.026615+0.36%0.0696✗0.67195k2022-04-27
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.715.5369-3.03%5.18-9.28%0.0290✓0.711.1M2022-04-27
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.8315.6535-3.04%4.829-17.18%0.1054✓0.9972k2022-04-27
ZENHorizenBase37.7336.5739-3.06%33.33-11.66%0.0219✓1.35375k2022-04-27
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.75374.6075-3.08%4.1974-11.70%0.0419✓0.97280k2022-04-27
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.0763.9502-3.09%2.992-26.59%0.2001✓1.47741k2022-04-27
AMPAmpEthereum0.022660.021958-3.10%0.02156-4.85%0.0231✓0.784.7M2022-04-27
DODODODOEthereum0.4290.415668-3.11%0.362-15.62%0.0762✓1.187.9M2022-04-27
GALAGALAEthereum0.19610.189955-3.13%0.1726-11.98%0.0355✓1.14262k2022-04-27
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.118.4943-3.17%16.95-11.26%0.0316✓1.0519.0M2022-04-27
PROPropyEthereum1.831.7716-3.19%2.19+19.67%0.2593✗0.90179k2022-04-27
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07060.068327-3.22%0.0624-11.61%0.0283✓1.18471k2022-04-27
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana14.8514.369-3.24%12.22-17.71%0.1364✓0.482.8M2022-04-27
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.760660.735527-3.30%0.66975-11.95%0.0387✓1.04201k2022-04-27
XECeCashnative0.000091190.000088161-3.32%0.00008163-10.48%0.0242✓1.009.5M2022-04-27
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV85.3482.5022-3.33%77.91-8.71%0.0152✓0.803.5M2022-04-27
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.2720.5574-3.35%17.87-15.98%0.0691✓1.35220k2022-04-27
CELLCellframeEthereum0.95190.919661-3.39%0.8279-13.03%0.0307✓1.41231k2022-04-27
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000011020.000001065-3.39%9.09e-7-17.56%0.1706✓-0.23602k2022-04-27
KSMKusamaHydration180.41174.2772-3.40%158.07-12.38%0.0422✓1.051.1M2022-04-27
LUNATerraTerra 294.7791.5361-3.41%89.04-6.05%0.0413✗1.319.0M2022-04-27
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.60610.5853-3.43%0.4722-22.09%0.1494✓1.24914k2022-04-27
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.5435.2828-3.44%31.28-14.40%0.0633✓1.0813.7M2022-04-27
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.8464.6789-3.45%4.173-13.89%0.0581✓1.07140k2022-04-27
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.041.9684-3.51%1.78-12.75%0.0306✓1.331.6M2022-04-27
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,161.3618,487.94-3.51%17,725.84-7.49%0.0166✓1.115.0M2022-04-27
LCXLCXEthereum0.1190.114816-3.52%0.1088-8.57%0.0057✓1.13988k2022-04-27
UMAUMAEthereum6.3376.1116-3.56%5.62-11.31%0.0068✓1.462.7M2022-04-27
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.35180.339023-3.63%0.2849-19.02%0.0978✓1.449.2M2022-04-27
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.618.888-3.63%17.72-9.59%0.0054✓1.1110.8M2022-04-27
FTTFTXEthereum42.7741.2033-3.66%39.57-7.48%0.0122✓1.0019.5M2022-04-27
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8770.844485-3.71%0.784-10.60%0.0028✓1.362.4M2022-04-27
SCSiacoinnative0.010860.010452-3.76%0.00953-12.25%0.0297✓1.19601k2022-04-27
XYMSymbolnative0.12030.115755-3.78%0.1015-15.63%0.0950✓0.69864k2022-04-27
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.9295.7035-3.80%6.73+13.51%0.2002✗0.662.0M2022-04-27
STORJStorjEthereum1.18961.1443-3.80%0.99319-16.51%0.0802✓1.16156k2022-04-27
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.38350.368849-3.82%0.253-34.03%0.2827✓1.792.3M2022-04-27
MINAMina Protocolnative2.422.3271-3.84%2.02-16.53%0.0833✓1.101.3M2022-04-27
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8764.6795-4.03%4.348-10.83%0.0551✓0.353.3M2022-04-27
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.81535.5807-4.03%5.8194+0.07%0.1048✗1.1910.7M2022-04-27
ZECZcashZcash156.61150.286-4.04%149.27-4.69%0.0480✗1.048.2M2022-04-27
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6220.596725-4.06%0.542-12.86%0.0389✓1.095.9M2022-04-27
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.116.396-4.12%15.3-10.53%0.0154✓1.0218.4M2022-04-27
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.9513.3727-4.14%12.32-11.68%0.0226✓1.131.4M2022-04-27
SOLSolanaSolana105.59101.1744-4.18%98.35-6.86%0.0374✓1.24147.4M2022-04-27
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017750.017007-4.19%0.01615-9.01%0.0009✓1.001.8M2022-04-27
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.7824.5807-4.21%4.086-14.55%0.0238✓1.722.4M2022-04-27
XVSVenusEthereum10.7810.32-4.27%9.63-10.67%0.0086✓1.154.7M2022-04-27
QTUMQtumQtum6.75126.4628-4.27%6.1184-9.37%0.0063✓1.16206k2022-04-27
API3Api3Ethereum5.2655.0374-4.32%4.039-23.29%0.1881✓0.623.3M2022-04-27
CTSICartesiEthereum0.3530.337675-4.34%0.3056-13.43%0.0307✓1.311.4M2022-04-27
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.076710.073345-4.39%0.06999-8.76%0.0085✓1.05132k2022-04-27
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.444.2451-4.39%4.26-4.05%0.0777✗1.41642k2022-04-27
UNIUniswapEthereum9.328.9098-4.40%8.23-11.70%0.0238✓1.058.8M2022-04-27
ADACardanoCardano0.93670.894927-4.46%0.8405-10.27%0.0087✓1.0268.9M2022-04-27
DASHDashDash107.03102.2337-4.48%95.64-10.64%0.0122✓1.032.1M2022-04-27
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum46.244.1134-4.52%38.81-16.00%0.0607✓1.288.8M2022-04-27
BANDBandEthereum3.9463.7676-4.52%3.443-12.75%0.0244✓1.25745k2022-04-27
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.74210.708377-4.54%0.6715-9.51%0.0043✓0.9316.6M2022-04-27
AAVEAaveEthereum186.29177.6985-4.61%168.44-9.58%0.0149✓1.3012.5M2022-04-27
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.3630.34609-4.66%0.3677+1.29%0.1226✗1.1810.5M2022-04-27
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05320.050667-4.76%0.0456-14.29%0.0168✓1.6839.8M2022-04-27
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.4391.37-4.80%1.011-29.74%0.2503✓1.021.3M2022-04-27
XVGVergenative0.010740.010217-4.87%0.00948-11.73%0.0139✓1.161.5M2022-04-27
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1990.189007-5.02%0.1612-18.99%0.0948✓1.229.4M2022-04-27
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.11.0447-5.03%0.94-14.55%0.0436✓1.17761k2022-04-27
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5431.4654-5.03%1.322-14.32%0.0494✓1.01753k2022-04-27
LRCLoopringEthereum0.95380.902062-5.42%0.8582-10.02%0.0225✓1.37824k2022-04-27
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.295.9436-5.51%5.51-12.40%0.0035✓1.50579k2022-04-27
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.832.6693-5.68%2.69-4.95%0.0609✗1.014.4M2022-04-27
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.6116.2247-5.84%5.857-11.41%0.0088✓1.327.5M2022-04-27
SUSHISushiEthereum3.513.2982-6.03%2.99-14.81%0.0323✓1.256.4M2022-04-27
APEApeCoinEthereum16.72615.6513-6.43%19.424+16.13%0.3278✗2.1245.4M2022-04-27
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum1.09511.0185-7.00%0.875631-20.04%0.0934✓1.093.6M2022-04-27
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.02410.022048-8.51%0.02097-12.99%0.0298✓1.5148.3M2022-04-27
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.