8=======>

2022-04-12 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0992
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.84%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
61.7%
in alpha space · 28.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.54%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.4112.2069-8.47%3.099+28.54%0.3027✗1.063.5M2022-04-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13110.125221-4.48%0.1168-10.91%0.1074✓1.09294k2022-04-19
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2650.25471-3.88%0.22-16.98%0.1693✓0.6644k2022-04-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4620.448045-3.02%0.662+43.29%0.3496✗1.177.5M2022-04-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000026910.000026105-2.99%0.00002543-5.50%0.0663✓1.162.7M2022-04-19
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0270520.026263-2.92%0.026467-2.16%0.0159✓0.68194k2022-04-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.955.7777-2.90%6.19+4.03%0.0172✓1.49665k2022-04-19
APEApeCoinEthereum11.58911.2605-2.83%13.39+15.54%0.1385✗1.0056.7M2022-04-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.83873.7318-2.78%4.3291+12.78%0.1207✗0.803.7M2022-04-19
API3Api3Ethereum4.1043.9937-2.69%4.632+12.87%0.1261✗0.643.5M2022-04-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana15.4215.0083-2.67%14.97-2.92%0.0199✓0.503.7M2022-04-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.077890.075827-2.65%0.07664-1.60%0.0263✓1.07121k2022-04-19
UMAUMAEthereum6.4576.2875-2.62%6.397-0.93%0.0339✓1.473.1M2022-04-19
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.81745.6647-2.62%5.4567-6.20%0.0793✓1.2116.8M2022-04-19
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.46712.4036-2.58%2.497+1.21%0.0115✓0.7711k2022-04-19
COMPCompoundEthereum129.07125.8106-2.53%142.4+10.33%0.0828✗1.1866k2022-04-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.2712.935-2.52%13.73+3.47%0.0184✓1.191.4M2022-04-19
ADACardanoCardano0.95450.930746-2.49%0.9524-0.22%0.0123✓1.0268.9M2022-04-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.41320.403278-2.40%0.3979-3.70%0.0772✓1.832.3M2022-04-19
FTTFTXEthereum41.7840.7804-2.39%43.48+4.07%0.0283✗1.0314.2M2022-04-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7893.6995-2.36%3.583-5.44%0.0589✓0.772.6M2022-04-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.981.9333-2.36%2.07+4.55%0.0218✓1.341.4M2022-04-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.72620.709141-2.35%0.7593+4.56%0.0350✗0.9618.7M2022-04-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.03223.938-2.34%3.9891-1.07%0.0103✓0.676.6M2022-04-19
BANDBandEthereum3.7893.7009-2.33%3.962+4.57%0.0259✗1.22733k2022-04-19
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.6743.5904-2.27%4.212+14.64%0.1130✗1.34657k2022-04-19
XVGVergenative0.010150.009926-2.21%0.01091+7.49%0.0534✗1.191.8M2022-04-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5161.4825-2.21%1.541+1.65%0.0037✓1.011.3M2022-04-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.7264.6216-2.21%5.024+6.31%0.0480✗1.02108k2022-04-19
LUNATerraTerra 284.6182.7678-2.18%95.57+12.95%0.0991✗1.299.1M2022-04-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.4125.837-2.17%26.84+1.63%0.0065✓0.91651k2022-04-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.588.395-2.16%6.71-21.79%0.2495✓0.732.2M2022-04-19
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.2360.230916-2.15%0.2435+3.18%0.0047✓1.39368k2022-04-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.722140.706637-2.15%0.77569+7.42%0.0565✗1.06226k2022-04-19
BORABORAKlay Token0.824480.806859-2.14%0.81992-0.55%0.0187✓1.00187k2022-04-19
DASHDashDash102.38100.1977-2.13%109.73+7.18%0.0551✗1.032.4M2022-04-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2790.273195-2.08%0.27-3.23%0.0423✓0.8843k2022-04-19
XLMStellarStellar0.1926040.188637-2.06%0.203903+5.87%0.0432✗1.0018.8M2022-04-19
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.33e-78.16e-7-2.05%0.00000123+47.70%0.4222✗-0.33645k2022-04-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.42794.3372-2.05%4.8096+8.62%0.0699✗0.96261k2022-04-19
AVTAventusEthereum2.552.4979-2.04%2.53-0.78%0.0055✓0.53592k2022-04-19
GALAGALAEthereum0.20140.197286-2.04%0.2-0.70%0.0256✓1.13304k2022-04-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.22750.222862-2.04%0.2299+1.05%0.0102✓1.193.1M2022-04-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.24615.1396-2.03%5.3111+1.24%0.0141✓0.546.1M2022-04-19
QTUMQtumQtum6.44556.3162-2.01%6.8299+5.96%0.0375✗1.17206k2022-04-19
XMRMoneroMonero232.3227.6484-2.00%254.39+9.51%0.0800✗0.891.6M2022-04-19
XEMNEMnative0.09870.096733-1.99%0.1013+2.63%0.0142✓0.9261k2022-04-19
NANOnanopayBase2.26882.2239-1.98%2.1529-5.11%0.0717✓1.13275k2022-04-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.7313.4599-1.97%15.02+9.40%0.0954✗0.412.1M2022-04-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51880.508684-1.95%0.5231+0.83%0.0013✓0.77461k2022-04-19
XECeCashnative0.000091050.000089288-1.94%0.00009242+1.50%0.0003✓1.009.6M2022-04-19
KSMKusamaHydration153.75150.7785-1.93%176.41+14.74%0.1199✗1.071.2M2022-04-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.026370.025861-1.93%0.02344-11.11%0.1385✓1.16348k2022-04-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.0851.0641-1.93%1.2147+11.95%0.0874✗1.3015.0M2022-04-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,841.7618,479.92-1.92%19,429.29+3.12%0.0109✓1.136.0M2022-04-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.11480.112609-1.91%0.1165+1.48%0.0068✓1.17989k2022-04-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.62260.610723-1.91%0.5999-3.65%0.0623✓1.28910k2022-04-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.9835.8697-1.89%6.045+1.04%0.0057✓0.681.8M2022-04-19
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05240.051413-1.88%0.0548+4.58%0.0045✓1.7140.5M2022-04-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5591.5296-1.88%1.518-2.63%0.0540✓1.33555k2022-04-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.95.789-1.88%5.76-2.37%0.0301✓0.721.5M2022-04-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017630.017301-1.87%0.01792+1.64%0.0005✓1.002.1M2022-04-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.4619.0971-1.86%20.41+4.88%0.0271✗1.1310.5M2022-04-19
SOLSolanaSolana103.31101.3984-1.85%108.55+5.07%0.0244✗1.26147.4M2022-04-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011180.010974-1.85%0.01096-1.97%0.0426✓1.194.3M2022-04-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7820.767677-1.83%0.751-3.96%0.0534✓0.902.9M2022-04-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.35890.3524-1.81%0.3628+1.09%0.0156✓1.291.9M2022-04-19
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.4556.3387-1.80%6.787+5.14%0.0290✗1.13430k2022-04-19
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.8170.802301-1.80%0.678-17.01%0.1849✓0.48777k2022-04-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.34480.33866-1.78%0.3525+2.23%0.0097✓1.4310.3M2022-04-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot17.7717.4545-1.78%18.88+6.25%0.0410✗1.0820.9M2022-04-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1380990.13566-1.77%0.142753+3.37%0.0211✗0.864.5M2022-04-19
QNTQuantEthereum116.24114.1866-1.77%114.35-1.63%0.0310✓0.934.1M2022-04-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0352450.034623-1.76%0.034926-0.91%0.0300✓1.114.3M2022-04-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06760.066412-1.76%0.0695+2.81%0.0037✓1.20555k2022-04-19
DIADIAEthereum0.890.874594-1.73%0.93+4.49%0.0452✗0.47186k2022-04-19
HIVEHivenative0.91060.894863-1.73%0.93+2.13%0.0007✓1.092.0M2022-04-19
IMXImmutableEthereum1.8381.8065-1.72%1.975+7.45%0.0515✗1.087.0M2022-04-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.3730.366674-1.70%0.3612-3.16%0.0560✓1.1812.5M2022-04-19
SCSiacoinnative0.010070.0099-1.69%0.01087+7.94%0.0522✗1.19540k2022-04-19
LSKLiskEthereum2.12082.085-1.69%2.2396+5.60%0.0411✗0.87111k2022-04-19
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.076810.07552-1.68%0.0768-0.01%0.0121✓0.8350k2022-04-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum40,155.1039,480.73-1.68%41,490.50+3.33%0.0164✓0.9640k2022-04-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13910.136794-1.66%0.1386-0.36%0.0223✓1.02228k2022-04-19
ZENHorizenBase38.2237.5877-1.65%38.77+1.44%0.0154✓1.33467k2022-04-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.995.8915-1.64%5.33-11.02%0.1267✓0.761.8M2022-04-19
STXStacksnative1.151.1315-1.61%1.22+6.09%0.0407✗1.00562k2022-04-19
UNIUniswapEthereum9.319.1618-1.59%9.54+2.47%0.0033✓1.078.8M2022-04-19
CBKCobakEthereum2.2192.184-1.58%2.379+7.21%0.0580✗0.7925k2022-04-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8074.7312-1.58%4.665-2.95%0.0276✓0.395.9M2022-04-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.6116.351-1.56%17.43+4.94%0.0273✗1.0518.5M2022-04-19
FIDABonfidaSolana1.4611.4384-1.55%1.443-1.23%0.0309✓0.9861k2022-04-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.9713.7538-1.55%14.25+2.00%0.0047✓1.1625.8M2022-04-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.640.630155-1.54%0.64+0.00%0.0371✓1.51539k2022-04-19
BTTCBTTC0.000001830.000001802-1.52%0.00000193+5.46%0.0437✗0.7210.2M2022-04-19
STORJStorjEthereum1.04481.029-1.51%1.2566+20.27%0.1602✗1.14143k2022-04-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.9534.8789-1.50%6.167+24.51%0.1882✗1.336.7M2022-04-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004130.004069-1.49%0.00425+2.91%0.0003✓1.269.7M2022-04-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.023180.022841-1.46%0.0222-4.23%0.0566✓0.814.9M2022-04-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin40,086.2339,502.77-1.46%41,503.85+3.54%0.0147✗1.00593.1M2022-04-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.0144310.014225-1.43%0.014582+1.05%0.0069✓0.9148k2022-04-19
SUSHISushiEthereum3.223.1741-1.43%3.36+4.35%0.0138✓1.247.2M2022-04-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche76.3675.2769-1.42%80.32+5.19%0.0206✗1.27103.7M2022-04-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24560.242149-1.41%0.2438-0.73%0.0235✓0.872.0M2022-04-19
CELLCellframeEthereum1.03061.0162-1.40%0.8912-13.53%0.1803✓1.41231k2022-04-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7117250.701846-1.39%0.730876+2.69%0.0022✓1.102.3M2022-04-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.09520.093879-1.39%0.09588+0.71%0.0088✓0.8630k2022-04-19
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.19960.196845-1.38%0.2086+4.51%0.0229✓2.33662k2022-04-19
GLMGolemEthereum0.41970.413943-1.37%0.4338+3.36%0.0039✓1.46567k2022-04-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.1719.8943-1.37%21.36+5.90%0.0237✗1.36266k2022-04-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.1337.6108-1.36%37.81-0.84%0.0332✓1.1116.0M2022-04-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.222.1901-1.35%2.311+4.10%0.0071✓1.348.8M2022-04-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.0745.0058-1.34%5.752+13.36%0.1044✗0.9981k2022-04-19
LRCLoopringEthereum0.91830.906142-1.32%0.9604+4.58%0.0099✓1.39870k2022-04-19
RADRadworksEthereum4.674.6087-1.31%4.76+1.93%0.0006✓0.95686k2022-04-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.081.066-1.30%1.12+3.70%0.0083✓1.18798k2022-04-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.8323.5239-1.28%24.1+1.13%0.0222✓1.34833k2022-04-19
ZECZcashZcash147.35145.4582-1.28%158.67+7.68%0.0521✗1.0011.0M2022-04-19
MOVRMoonriverBase58.243657.4967-1.28%60.1688+3.31%0.0058✓1.47210k2022-04-19
UOSUltraEthereum1.04521.0319-1.27%1.061+1.51%0.0172✓1.291.5M2022-04-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.025.9451-1.24%5.91-1.83%0.0314✓0.731.1M2022-04-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.24980.246751-1.22%0.2531+1.32%0.0210✓1.343.5M2022-04-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.27930.275892-1.22%0.3014+7.91%0.0479✗1.17566k2022-04-19
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2641.2486-1.22%1.288+1.90%0.0024✓0.963.6M2022-04-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.66540.657301-1.22%0.6867+3.20%0.0075✓1.048.8M2022-04-19
MANADecentralandEthereum2.1532.127-1.21%2.1654+0.58%0.0220✓1.151.6M2022-04-19
GITCOINGITCOIN5.9445.873-1.19%6.219+4.63%0.0059✓1.4818k2022-04-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos24.6424.3456-1.19%24.67+0.12%0.0263✓1.1432.2M2022-04-19
KCSKuCoinnative19.1618.9319-1.19%20.958+9.38%0.0715✗0.875.6M2022-04-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.282.2531-1.18%2.3+0.88%0.0150✓1.03165k2022-04-19
WOOWOOEthereum0.46280.457351-1.18%0.4965+7.28%0.0751✗0.207,0452022-04-19
XYMSymbolnative0.11480.113457-1.17%0.1098-4.36%0.0567✓0.69840k2022-04-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3591.3434-1.15%1.368+0.66%0.0264✓1.283.9M2022-04-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum47.2946.7635-1.11%47.4+0.23%0.0312✓1.298.8M2022-04-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.6713.6304-1.11%3.62-1.39%0.0261✓0.673.3M2022-04-19
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.2352.211-1.07%2.069-7.43%0.1004✓0.98100k2022-04-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.051160.050619-1.06%0.04893-4.36%0.0705✓1.05574k2022-04-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.1291.1171-1.05%1.265+12.05%0.0889✗1.021.6M2022-04-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.043420.042968-1.04%0.04512+3.92%0.0189✗0.8645k2022-04-19
ETHEthereumEthereum3,027.822,996.38-1.04%3,102.26+2.46%0.0020✓1.06551.3M2022-04-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.18790.185971-1.03%0.2015+7.24%0.0376✗1.238.5M2022-04-19
XVSVenusEthereum9.699.5908-1.02%10.76+11.04%0.0754✗1.144.8M2022-04-19
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011910.011792-0.99%0.01153-3.19%0.0450✓0.6532k2022-04-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin104.92103.883-0.99%113.81+8.47%0.0560✗1.0225.1M2022-04-19
XTZTezosTezos3.0643.0345-0.96%3.2342+5.55%0.0270✗1.061.1M2022-04-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash304.99302.1024-0.95%340.62+11.68%0.0863✗0.978.3M2022-04-19
DODODODOEthereum0.3850.381392-0.94%0.408+5.97%0.0260✗1.196.8M2022-04-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV82.8882.1057-0.93%86.17+3.97%0.0207✗0.803.5M2022-04-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.244.2005-0.93%4.52+6.60%0.0241✗1.42824k2022-04-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.7115.658-0.93%5.8627+2.66%0.0188✗0.48177k2022-04-19
ORCAOrcaSolana1.881.8626-0.93%1.93+2.66%0.0107✗0.71268k2022-04-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.2714.139-0.92%14.91+4.48%0.0067✓1.342.8M2022-04-19
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.038260.037915-0.90%0.03461-9.54%0.1133✓0.64942k2022-04-19
MINAMina Protocolnative2.42.3785-0.90%2.45+2.08%0.0080✓1.081.4M2022-04-19
GTGateEthereum6.38876.3333-0.87%6.5237+2.11%0.0092✗0.594.5M2022-04-19
PROPropyEthereum1.31.2901-0.76%1.88+44.62%0.3421✗0.99160k2022-04-19
AAVEAaveEthereum164.52163.2737-0.76%183+11.23%0.0684✗1.3117.5M2022-04-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8430.836812-0.73%0.882+4.63%0.0052✓1.362.7M2022-04-19
TRXTRONTron0.0598920.059497-0.66%0.063223+5.56%0.0380✗0.65312k2022-04-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.142030.141105-0.65%0.14532+2.32%0.0020✓0.7918k2022-04-19
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.5594.5993+0.88%4.862+6.65%0.0054✓1.752.5M2022-04-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.020480.020747+1.30%0.02273+10.99%0.0396✓1.4961.0M2022-04-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.