8=======>

2022-04-10 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0871
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.07%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
60.5%
in alpha space · 91.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.89%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13670.12871-5.85%0.1134-17.04%0.0609✓1.08273k2022-04-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.3070.290371-5.42%0.221-28.01%0.2382✓0.5737k2022-04-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5560.531398-4.42%0.62+11.51%0.2235✗1.148.0M2022-04-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.11523.9662-3.62%4.2838+4.10%0.1263✗0.813.6M2022-04-17
API3Api3Ethereum4.5334.3737-3.51%4.224-6.82%0.0007✓0.593.6M2022-04-17
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.97e-78.69e-7-3.14%9.58e-7+6.81%0.0719✗-0.43680k2022-04-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.15385.9651-3.07%5.3777-12.61%0.0365✓1.1118.9M2022-04-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.326.127-3.05%5.85-7.44%0.0439✗1.49665k2022-04-17
APEApeCoinEthereum12.05811.697-2.99%11.695-3.01%0.0605✗1.0056.9M2022-04-17
UMAUMAEthereum6.9896.788-2.88%6.16-11.86%0.0095✓1.443.5M2022-04-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.64182.5659-2.87%2.5535-3.34%0.0398✗0.7411k2022-04-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.325.169-2.84%4.793-9.91%0.0520✓0.396.7M2022-04-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0269770.026221-2.80%0.027257+1.04%0.0808✗0.69194k2022-04-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.0313.6582-2.65%13.28-5.35%0.0440✗1.191.4M2022-04-17
FTTFTXEthereum44.9843.7911-2.64%44.8-0.40%0.0850✗1.0314.0M2022-04-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.55484.4357-2.62%4.0029-12.12%0.0647✓0.637.9M2022-04-17
ADACardanoCardano1.02741.0006-2.61%0.9148-10.96%0.0282✓1.0163.0M2022-04-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana15.6615.257-2.57%14.87-5.04%0.0040✓0.493.8M2022-04-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.73695.5907-2.55%5.7783+0.72%0.0682✗0.586.6M2022-04-17
AVTAventusEthereum3.022.9444-2.50%2.6-13.91%0.0978✓0.44592k2022-04-17
DASHDashDash111.11108.4039-2.44%104.4-6.04%0.0227✓0.992.5M2022-04-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.4114.0642-2.40%14.56+1.04%0.0590✗0.402.4M2022-04-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.12850.125429-2.39%0.1168-9.11%0.0009✓1.16989k2022-04-17
XVGVergenative0.010920.010659-2.39%0.01036-5.13%0.0422✗1.171.9M2022-04-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.0013.9058-2.38%3.845-3.90%0.0579✗1.21464k2022-04-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.9173.8243-2.37%3.669-6.33%0.0063✓0.792.8M2022-04-17
CELLCellframeEthereum1.11111.0849-2.36%0.942-15.22%0.0552✓1.42224k2022-04-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3060.298832-2.34%0.267-12.75%0.0612✓0.8540k2022-04-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.43990.429646-2.33%0.37-15.89%0.0364✓1.862.3M2022-04-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.69730.681493-2.27%0.5731-17.81%0.0974✓1.25797k2022-04-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.8327.2-2.26%26.43-5.03%0.0261✗0.90651k2022-04-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.23910.233748-2.24%0.1957-18.15%0.0391✓2.28774k2022-04-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6821.6448-2.21%2.703+60.70%0.5567✗0.993.4M2022-04-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.70394.5998-2.21%4.5192-3.93%0.0403✗0.96261k2022-04-17
KSMKusamaHydration169.11165.3739-2.21%168.62-0.29%0.0842✗1.071.1M2022-04-17
LUNATerraTerra 291.9489.9264-2.19%77.28-15.95%0.0731✓1.299.3M2022-04-17
NANOnanopayBase2.46222.4085-2.18%2.074-15.77%0.0816✓1.12275k2022-04-17
COMPCompoundEthereum134.87131.9345-2.18%148.41+10.04%0.1869✗1.1462k2022-04-17
ZECZcashZcash161.12157.6317-2.17%137.47-14.68%0.0787✓0.9612.4M2022-04-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.728.532-2.16%7.01-19.61%0.1519✓0.732.4M2022-04-17
IMXImmutableEthereum2.0442.0001-2.15%1.729-15.41%0.0840✓1.027.0M2022-04-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05650.055302-2.12%0.0492-12.92%0.0144✓1.6940.5M2022-04-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.75110.735177-2.12%0.7108-5.37%0.0246✗0.9618.6M2022-04-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0290.028388-2.11%0.02283-21.28%0.1479✓1.15326k2022-04-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,158.8119,735.46-2.10%18,713.49-7.17%0.0152✓1.135.9M2022-04-17
XLMStellarStellar0.2003670.196163-2.10%0.196617-1.87%0.0634✗1.0118.8M2022-04-17
BORABORAKlay Token0.865830.84767-2.10%0.80955-6.50%0.0147✓1.00266k2022-04-17
XMRMoneroMonero235.44230.5032-2.10%242+2.79%0.1039✗0.911.6M2022-04-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.2318.8277-2.09%17.74-7.75%0.0057✓1.0720.9M2022-04-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2991.2719-2.09%1.197-7.85%0.0016✓0.971.6M2022-04-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024420.00002391-2.09%0.00002468+1.06%0.1013✗1.152.6M2022-04-17
XEMNEMnative0.10340.101243-2.09%0.0971-6.09%0.0129✓0.9061k2022-04-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0380040.037212-2.08%0.035182-7.43%0.0080✓1.064.1M2022-04-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.740720.725336-2.08%0.72479-2.15%0.0637✗1.06244k2022-04-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.9964.8925-2.07%4.513-9.67%0.0175✓1.04104k2022-04-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.21460.210158-2.07%0.1925-10.30%0.0218✓1.09276k2022-04-17
XECeCashnative0.000100250.000098198-2.05%0.00008878-11.44%0.0420✓0.979.4M2022-04-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15150.148402-2.05%0.1364-9.97%0.0223✓1.02227k2022-04-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.0120.5837-2.03%19.7-6.24%0.0230✗1.108.8M2022-04-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24380.238861-2.03%0.2351-3.57%0.0610✗1.27368k2022-04-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.456.3205-2.01%5.35-17.05%0.1191✓0.791.9M2022-04-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5861.5542-2.00%1.463-7.76%0.0002✓1.001.3M2022-04-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004660.004568-1.98%0.00406-12.88%0.0406✓1.279.6M2022-04-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.661.6274-1.96%1.422-14.34%0.0533✓1.34479k2022-04-17
BANDBandEthereum3.9543.8764-1.96%3.554-10.12%0.0128✓1.22733k2022-04-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.12731.1053-1.95%1.1949+6.00%0.1557✗1.2815.0M2022-04-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.246.1199-1.92%5.68-8.97%0.0310✓0.721.7M2022-04-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.2414.9476-1.92%13.72-9.97%0.0175✓1.1225.7M2022-04-17
STXStacksnative1.231.2064-1.92%1.13-8.13%0.0056✓0.99601k2022-04-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0167430.016425-1.90%0.014059-16.03%0.1030✓0.8738k2022-04-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018570.018218-1.90%0.01749-5.82%0.0199✗1.002.1M2022-04-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.3596.239-1.89%6.115-3.84%0.0207✗0.672.1M2022-04-17
SOLSolanaSolana111.07108.9851-1.88%100.18-9.80%0.0082✓1.25112.7M2022-04-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.566.4382-1.86%6.457-1.57%0.0715✗1.13435k2022-04-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.23530.230945-1.85%0.222-5.65%0.0329✗1.193.2M2022-04-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.850.83428-1.85%0.747-12.12%0.0563✓0.892.8M2022-04-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,359.4041,578.75-1.84%40,677.80-3.97%0.0359✗0.9530k2022-04-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.211.1878-1.84%1.03-14.88%0.0738✓1.13738k2022-04-17
FIDABonfidaSolana1.6471.6168-1.83%1.43-13.18%0.0652✓0.9561k2022-04-17
QNTQuantEthereum120.96118.7512-1.83%110.99-8.24%0.0108✓0.943.9M2022-04-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011810.0116-1.78%0.0104-11.94%0.0374✓1.184.3M2022-04-17
DIADIAEthereum0.940.923359-1.77%0.88-6.38%0.0213✓0.44172k2022-04-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1480570.145439-1.77%0.139371-5.87%0.0091✓0.853.9M2022-04-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,165.9641,421.86-1.76%39,683.54-5.89%0.0178✓1.00588.1M2022-04-17
SCSiacoinnative0.010880.010689-1.75%0.01013-6.89%0.0172✓1.17540k2022-04-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.961.9257-1.75%1.93-1.53%0.0835✗1.341.2M2022-04-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.86070.845734-1.74%0.6939-19.38%0.1674✓0.50690k2022-04-17
ZENHorizenBase41.440.6802-1.74%36.47-11.91%0.0280✓1.34467k2022-04-17
QTUMQtumQtum6.80966.6916-1.73%6.5324-4.07%0.0463✗1.16206k2022-04-17
CBKCobakEthereum2.3212.281-1.73%2.195-5.43%0.0083✓0.7721k2022-04-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.53020.521083-1.72%0.4969-6.28%0.0036✓0.72376k2022-04-17
LSKLiskEthereum2.1652.1279-1.71%2.074-4.20%0.0264✗0.86111k2022-04-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07030.069103-1.70%0.0664-5.55%0.0331✗1.20471k2022-04-17
BTTCBTTC0.000001960.000001928-1.65%0.0000019-3.06%0.0269✗0.6810.2M2022-04-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche80.9979.6631-1.64%75.45-6.84%0.0236✗1.29103.7M2022-04-17
MINAMina Protocolnative2.972.9216-1.63%2.28-23.23%0.1835✓1.061.2M2022-04-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.4062.3668-1.63%2.194-8.81%0.0062✓1.358.8M2022-04-17
GLMGolemEthereum0.44790.440661-1.62%0.4194-6.36%0.0351✗1.39727k2022-04-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9473.8842-1.59%3.597-8.87%0.0378✓0.643.5M2022-04-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.690.679062-1.59%0.62-10.14%0.0022✓1.54510k2022-04-17
STORJStorjEthereum1.09891.0815-1.58%1.0359-5.73%0.0254✗1.13150k2022-04-17
MOVRMoonriverBase64.6163.5979-1.57%57.2276-11.43%0.0171✓1.46192k2022-04-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.26610.261933-1.57%0.2385-10.37%0.0414✓0.862.1M2022-04-17
UNIUniswapEthereum9.899.7355-1.56%9.25-6.47%0.0132✓1.068.8M2022-04-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.075780.074623-1.53%0.07235-4.53%0.0324✗1.04116k2022-04-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.4981.4752-1.52%1.328-11.35%0.0283✓1.273.9M2022-04-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.492.4521-1.52%2.24-10.04%0.0296✓1.00161k2022-04-17
HIVEHivenative0.9190.905232-1.50%0.8858-3.61%0.0442✗1.092.0M2022-04-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.5126.1134-1.50%23.23-12.37%0.0490✓1.1231.7M2022-04-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.4521.1456-1.42%19.64-8.44%0.0086✓1.36266k2022-04-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.100340.09892-1.42%0.09237-7.94%0.0171✓0.8528k2022-04-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.50790.500859-1.39%0.4737-6.73%0.0459✓0.166,2412022-04-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.3617.1203-1.38%16.41-5.47%0.0212✗1.0518.5M2022-04-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.38420.378938-1.37%0.3486-9.27%0.0124✓1.1712.7M2022-04-17
GITCOINGITCOIN6.3066.2209-1.35%5.921-6.11%0.0401✗1.4819k2022-04-17
SUSHISushiEthereum3.43.3543-1.34%3.2-5.88%0.0282✗1.247.2M2022-04-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.024570.02424-1.34%0.02224-9.48%0.0383✓0.794.7M2022-04-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.34760.342939-1.34%0.3234-6.96%0.0306✗1.479.4M2022-04-17
UOSUltraEthereum1.12021.1054-1.32%0.918-18.05%0.1063✓1.311.4M2022-04-17
RADRadworksEthereum4.994.924-1.32%4.6-7.82%0.0118✓0.93650k2022-04-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.36940.364522-1.32%0.335-9.31%0.0046✓1.321.9M2022-04-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.28040.276794-1.29%0.2333-16.80%0.0911✓1.322.8M2022-04-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0780.077019-1.26%0.0746-4.36%0.0179✗0.8250k2022-04-17
KCSKuCoinnative20.09819.8476-1.25%19.932-0.83%0.0573✗0.875.4M2022-04-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.71310.704235-1.24%0.6449-9.56%0.0253✓1.037.9M2022-04-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.3239.8234-1.23%36.58-9.28%0.0180✓1.1016.0M2022-04-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.053740.053081-1.23%0.04978-7.37%0.0015✓1.03579k2022-04-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.0865.024-1.22%4.775-6.11%0.0105✓1.0179k2022-04-17
ETHEthereumEthereum3,203.053,164.26-1.21%2,988.40-6.70%0.0073✓1.06483.3M2022-04-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7495790.740623-1.19%0.687666-8.26%0.0077✓1.102.2M2022-04-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.186.1063-1.19%5.74-7.12%0.0180✓0.721.1M2022-04-17
XVSVenusEthereum10.710.5753-1.17%9.76-8.79%0.0131✓1.114.7M2022-04-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.95920.948046-1.16%0.854-10.97%0.0210✓1.38870k2022-04-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.025130.024843-1.14%0.01799-28.41%0.2334✓1.4757.1M2022-04-17
MANADecentralandEthereum2.26062.2352-1.12%2.0532-9.17%0.0156✓1.141.5M2022-04-17
ORCAOrcaSolana2.042.0172-1.12%1.86-8.82%0.0386✓0.70268k2022-04-17
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2751.261-1.10%1.239-2.82%0.0407✗0.963.1M2022-04-17
PROPropyEthereum1.411.3946-1.10%1.93+36.88%0.3861✗1.01150k2022-04-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin110.26109.0557-1.09%108.78-1.34%0.0598✗1.0325.1M2022-04-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.4272.4016-1.04%2.126-12.40%0.0649✓0.94114k2022-04-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19420.192192-1.03%0.18-7.31%0.0075✓1.206.2M2022-04-17
GTGateEthereum6.68226.6154-1.00%6.4168-3.97%0.0056✓0.594.5M2022-04-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum24.1223.8798-1.00%22.23-7.84%0.0108✗1.36833k2022-04-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.0845.0346-0.97%5.004-1.57%0.0730✗1.306.1M2022-04-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.1414.9932-0.97%13.71-9.45%0.0081✓1.342.8M2022-04-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.9855.9294-0.93%5.8959-1.49%0.0218✗0.45156k2022-04-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash319.95317.0044-0.92%328.18+2.57%0.0928✗0.968.3M2022-04-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.038640.038294-0.90%0.03421-11.46%0.0720✓0.67895k2022-04-17
XTZTezosTezos3.11163.0861-0.82%3.09-0.69%0.0665✗1.08989k2022-04-17
AAVEAaveEthereum176.37174.9321-0.82%167.03-5.30%0.0327✗1.3017.5M2022-04-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.151650.15048-0.77%0.14317-5.59%0.0014✓0.8018k2022-04-17
TRXTRONTron0.0625150.062097-0.67%0.060149-3.78%0.0071✗0.64312k2022-04-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.29050.288625-0.65%0.2832-2.51%0.0510✗1.15524k2022-04-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.045570.045308-0.58%0.04362-4.28%0.0129✗0.8443k2022-04-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8880.883082-0.55%0.806-9.23%0.0085✓1.372.7M2022-04-17
DODODODOEthereum0.4020.399778-0.55%0.378-5.97%0.0175✗1.216.6M2022-04-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.464.4364-0.53%4.12-7.62%0.0124✗1.42824k2022-04-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum49.0348.8397-0.39%45.47-7.26%0.0076✗1.308.6M2022-04-17
XYMSymbolnative0.11940.118941-0.38%0.1117-6.45%0.0202✓0.70820k2022-04-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012740.012719-0.17%0.01168-8.32%0.0457✓0.6532k2022-04-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV85.3385.2268-0.12%83.62-2.00%0.0290✗0.793.3M2022-04-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum5.0785.091+0.26%4.567-10.06%0.0049✗1.712.5M2022-04-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.