8=======>

2022-04-05 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0162
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.40%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
79.0%
in alpha space · 91.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-11.91%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013250.013428+1.35%0.01191-10.11%0.0374✗0.6519k2022-04-12
LRCLoopringEthereum1.10271.1117+0.82%0.9183-16.72%0.0203✗1.35856k2022-04-12
XYMSymbolnative0.14390.144936+0.72%0.1148-20.22%0.1476✗0.67736k2022-04-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV95.4195.8103+0.42%82.88-13.13%0.0476✗0.772.8M2022-04-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.051210.051332+0.24%0.04342-15.21%0.0674✗0.7931k2022-04-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.087310.087392+0.09%0.07681-12.03%0.0306✗0.7846k2022-04-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08750.0875+0.00%0.0676-22.74%0.1105✗1.16447k2022-04-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.8352.8341-0.03%2.235-21.16%0.1283✓0.8687k2022-04-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.34540.344392-0.29%0.2793-19.14%0.0726✓1.08389k2022-04-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.35.2844-0.29%4.24-20.00%0.0454✓1.38824k2022-04-12
QTUMQtumQtum7.8157.7917-0.30%6.4455-17.52%0.0477✓1.12202k2022-04-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.75025.7304-0.34%5.711-0.68%0.0589✗0.49163k2022-04-12
TRXTRONTron0.0692720.069022-0.36%0.059892-13.54%0.0643✓0.61331k2022-04-12
ORCAOrcaSolana2.232.2204-0.43%1.88-15.70%0.0796✓0.68282k2022-04-12
XVSVenusEthereum12.612.5431-0.45%9.69-23.10%0.1223✓1.073.9M2022-04-12
DODODODOEthereum0.5050.502524-0.49%0.385-23.76%0.1233✓1.134.2M2022-04-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum27.3527.2008-0.55%23.83-12.87%0.0383✗1.35752k2022-04-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum61.6461.2969-0.56%47.29-23.28%0.0995✓1.266.3M2022-04-12
MANADecentralandEthereum2.56322.5487-0.57%2.153-16.00%0.0264✓1.121.5M2022-04-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.027340.027185-0.57%0.02318-15.22%0.0616✓0.774.5M2022-04-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.167510.166531-0.58%0.14203-15.21%0.0552✓0.8218k2022-04-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.5475.5133-0.61%5.074-8.53%0.0385✗0.9684k2022-04-12
GTGateEthereum6.98146.9389-0.61%6.3887-8.49%0.0091✓0.584.7M2022-04-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8057680.800497-0.65%0.711725-11.67%0.0181✗1.071.9M2022-04-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.055950.055574-0.67%0.05116-8.56%0.0472✗1.02572k2022-04-12
PROPropyEthereum1.561.5488-0.72%1.3-16.67%0.0471✓1.01167k2022-04-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash365.33362.6959-0.72%304.99-16.52%0.0551✓0.938.5M2022-04-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative44.444.0783-0.72%38.13-14.12%0.0134✓1.0413.3M2022-04-12
KCSKuCoinnative21.06520.91-0.74%19.16-9.04%0.0239✗0.885.4M2022-04-12
UNIUniswapEthereum11.1211.0338-0.78%9.31-16.28%0.0387✓1.037.7M2022-04-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.1331.1241-0.79%0.843-25.60%0.1243✓1.292.8M2022-04-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.0410.040672-0.80%0.03826-6.68%0.0256✗0.68987k2022-04-12
XTZTezosTezos3.67633.6449-0.85%3.064-16.66%0.0415✓1.041.0M2022-04-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.82310.815221-0.96%0.6654-19.16%0.0768✓1.007.9M2022-04-12
RADRadworksEthereum5.615.5559-0.96%4.67-16.76%0.0561✓0.93533k2022-04-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.147.069-0.99%6.02-15.69%0.0703✓0.711.1M2022-04-12
SUSHISushiEthereum4.094.0493-1.00%3.22-21.27%0.0783✓1.197.6M2022-04-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin122.76121.4956-1.03%104.92-14.53%0.0194✓1.0026.1M2022-04-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.24860.246018-1.04%0.2014-18.99%0.0747✓0.99259k2022-04-12
ETHEthereumEthereum3,407.003,371.17-1.05%3,027.82-11.13%0.0281✗1.07491.5M2022-04-12
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.72e-77.64e-7-1.06%8.33e-7+7.85%0.0411✗-0.36959k2022-04-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.034240.033877-1.06%0.02637-22.98%0.1117✓1.09248k2022-04-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.112730.1115-1.09%0.0952-15.55%0.0559✓0.8127k2022-04-12
SCSiacoinnative0.012630.012491-1.10%0.01007-20.27%0.0729✓1.12540k2022-04-12
BANDBandEthereum5.0464.9902-1.11%3.789-24.91%0.1256✓1.18663k2022-04-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.840890.831553-1.11%0.72214-14.12%0.0094✓1.04244k2022-04-12
CTKShentuOsmosis1.4491.4328-1.12%1.264-12.77%0.0142✓0.883.1M2022-04-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.1316.0614-1.14%4.953-19.21%0.0407✓1.276.1M2022-04-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.682.6494-1.14%2.28-14.93%0.0242✓0.99160k2022-04-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.97960.968355-1.15%0.817-16.60%0.1191✓0.40676k2022-04-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.25910.256069-1.17%0.2275-12.20%0.0278✗1.153.1M2022-04-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.1736.1007-1.17%4.726-23.44%0.1301✓0.99101k2022-04-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.560.553344-1.19%0.4628-17.36%0.1669✓0.095,2242022-04-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.780.770702-1.19%0.64-17.95%0.0103✓1.55438k2022-04-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1474.0969-1.21%3.671-11.48%0.0310✓0.623.1M2022-04-12
UOSUltraEthereum1.28491.2693-1.21%1.0452-18.66%0.0268✓1.321.4M2022-04-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.516.4307-1.22%5.9-9.37%0.0035✓0.711.7M2022-04-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum6.6026.5208-1.23%4.559-30.95%0.2311✓1.002.6M2022-04-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.59270.585286-1.25%0.5188-12.47%0.0315✓0.70440k2022-04-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.51430.507854-1.25%0.4197-18.39%0.0638✓1.00858k2022-04-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum21.0620.7956-1.26%16.61-21.13%0.0982✓1.0018.5M2022-04-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum18.8618.6225-1.26%14.27-24.34%0.1012✓1.302.9M2022-04-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.76.615-1.27%5.99-10.60%0.0008✓0.781.9M2022-04-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.8391.8155-1.28%1.516-17.56%0.0594✓0.951.3M2022-04-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos29.328.9188-1.30%24.64-15.90%0.0208✓1.1037.0M2022-04-12
BTTCBTTC0.000002120.000002092-1.30%0.00000183-13.68%0.0514✓0.6510.9M2022-04-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.090850.089655-1.32%0.07789-14.27%0.0156✓0.99116k2022-04-12
XEMNEMnative0.11470.113185-1.32%0.0987-13.95%0.0265✓0.8755k2022-04-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.83480.823703-1.33%0.7262-13.01%0.0062✓0.9418.6M2022-04-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.45960.453472-1.33%0.373-18.84%0.0515✓1.1312.3M2022-04-12
STORJStorjEthereum1.27831.261-1.35%1.0448-18.27%0.0501✓1.09156k2022-04-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.890.877882-1.36%0.782-12.13%0.0012✓0.902.0M2022-04-12
DIADIAEthereum1.061.0455-1.37%0.89-16.04%0.1111✓0.39172k2022-04-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.020990.020702-1.37%0.01763-16.01%0.0336✓1.002.1M2022-04-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.28980.285792-1.38%0.2456-15.25%0.0448✓0.841.8M2022-04-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.342.3076-1.39%1.98-15.38%0.0110✓1.29984k2022-04-12
COMPCompoundEthereum153.42151.2577-1.41%129.07-15.87%0.0160✓1.1262k2022-04-12
ZENHorizenBase46.0945.4404-1.41%38.22-17.08%0.0071✓1.31508k2022-04-12
HIVEHivenative1.06991.0548-1.41%0.9106-14.89%0.0125✓1.062.1M2022-04-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.43580.429578-1.43%0.3448-20.88%0.0365✓1.4510.3M2022-04-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin24.8724.5106-1.44%19.46-21.75%0.0969✓1.067.7M2022-04-12
GITCOINGITCOIN7.3947.2863-1.46%5.944-19.61%0.0229✓1.4322k2022-04-12
AAVEAaveEthereum221.05217.8225-1.46%164.52-25.57%0.1231✓1.2414.4M2022-04-12
FIDABonfidaSolana1.9561.9274-1.46%1.461-25.31%0.1672✓0.8753k2022-04-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16680.164321-1.49%0.1391-16.61%0.0383✓1.01227k2022-04-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.6971.6716-1.50%1.559-8.13%0.0981✗1.32463k2022-04-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum26.5226.1161-1.52%20.17-23.94%0.0940✓1.30298k2022-04-12
ZECZcashZcash165.55163.0205-1.53%147.35-10.99%0.0178✗0.9415.7M2022-04-12
QNTQuantEthereum133.48131.4361-1.53%116.24-12.92%0.0085✓0.904.3M2022-04-12
CBKCobakEthereum2.6052.5648-1.54%2.219-14.82%0.0505✓0.7420k2022-04-12
MOVRMoonriverBase77.525876.3095-1.57%58.2436-24.87%0.0868✓1.45175k2022-04-12
KSMKusamaHydration179.78176.9575-1.57%153.75-14.48%0.0040✓1.08974k2022-04-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum16.7516.4855-1.58%13.97-16.60%0.0272✓1.0926.4M2022-04-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0415170.040859-1.58%0.035245-15.11%0.0148✓1.053.9M2022-04-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche91.0789.6271-1.58%76.36-16.15%0.0026✓1.28103.7M2022-04-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum45,530.8044,800.77-1.60%40,155.10-11.81%0.0118✓0.9630k2022-04-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.979280.96344-1.62%0.82448-15.81%0.0289✓1.00398k2022-04-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.0161740.015912-1.62%0.014431-10.78%0.0110✓0.8620k2022-04-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.45330.445902-1.63%0.3589-20.83%0.0581✓1.251.7M2022-04-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.9321.9003-1.64%2.411+24.79%0.3579✗0.953.5M2022-04-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin45,506.5044,760.27-1.64%40,086.23-11.91%0.0165✓1.00643.4M2022-04-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.1340.131766-1.67%0.1148-14.33%0.0119✓1.18987k2022-04-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.31250.307149-1.71%0.2498-20.06%0.0465✓1.262.0M2022-04-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.451.425-1.72%1.08-25.52%0.1336✓1.13978k2022-04-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.8062.7574-1.73%2.22-20.88%0.0492✓1.329.4M2022-04-12
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.27410.269336-1.74%0.236-13.90%0.0053✓1.00483k2022-04-12
FTTFTXEthereum48.5547.7042-1.74%41.78-13.94%0.0019✓1.0314.3M2022-04-12
LSKLiskEthereum2.43352.391-1.75%2.1208-12.85%0.0175✓0.81166k2022-04-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000026760.000026292-1.75%0.00002691+0.56%0.1667✗1.132.4M2022-04-12
SOLSolanaSolana126.9124.6806-1.75%103.31-18.59%0.0314✓1.2498.1M2022-04-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.811.778-1.77%1.359-24.92%0.1180✓1.193.7M2022-04-12
XMRMoneroMonero222.25218.1934-1.83%232.3+4.52%0.1770✗0.901.5M2022-04-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.00932.9543-1.83%3.8387+27.56%0.3561✗0.743.6M2022-04-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.005060.004967-1.84%0.00413-18.38%0.0217✓1.287.3M2022-04-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.330.7137-1.87%26.41-15.62%0.0377✓0.89690k2022-04-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.014130.013864-1.89%0.01118-20.88%0.0657✓1.184.1M2022-04-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3180.31195-1.90%0.279-12.26%0.0080✓0.8233k2022-04-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0753.9972-1.91%3.789-7.02%0.0425✗0.762.5M2022-04-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot21.7821.364-1.91%17.77-18.41%0.0497✓1.0622.8M2022-04-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum7.5917.4459-1.91%6.455-14.97%0.0121✓1.03441k2022-04-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.9515.6442-1.92%13.27-16.80%0.0129✓1.201.2M2022-04-12
APEApeCoinEthereum11.63111.4068-1.93%11.589-0.36%0.1427✗1.0064.8M2022-04-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.72280.708688-1.95%0.6226-13.86%0.0356✗1.30695k2022-04-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06190.06069-1.95%0.0524-15.35%0.0634✗1.6644.1M2022-04-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.5011.4716-1.96%1.129-24.78%0.1508✓0.901.4M2022-04-12
NANOnanopayBase2.71112.6572-1.99%2.2688-16.31%0.0159✓1.12246k2022-04-12
XLMStellarStellar0.2250570.220578-1.99%0.192604-14.42%0.0119✓0.9819.6M2022-04-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.46815.3591-1.99%4.4279-19.02%0.0775✓0.89268k2022-04-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,562.7023,092.84-1.99%18,841.76-20.04%0.0648✓1.096.5M2022-04-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.27030.264833-2.02%0.1996-26.16%0.1560✓1.001.2M2022-04-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1726890.16912-2.07%0.138099-20.03%0.1031✓0.783.1M2022-04-12
STXStacksnative1.41.3707-2.09%1.15-17.86%0.0548✓0.95610k2022-04-12
ADACardanoCardano1.17051.1454-2.14%0.9545-18.45%0.0584✓0.9863.5M2022-04-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.469.2549-2.17%8.58-9.30%0.0142✓0.712.4M2022-04-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana7.2087.0513-2.17%5.983-17.00%0.0839✓0.632.0M2022-04-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.028940.028306-2.19%0.02048-29.23%0.1308✓1.5252.9M2022-04-12
DASHDashDash126.99124.2029-2.19%102.38-19.38%0.0770✓0.922.7M2022-04-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.52840.516798-2.20%0.4132-21.80%0.0079✓1.832.3M2022-04-12
CELLCellframeEthereum1.41061.3792-2.23%1.0306-26.94%0.1135✓1.40211k2022-04-12
XVGVergenative0.012680.012393-2.27%0.01015-19.95%0.0535✓1.152.2M2022-04-12
IMXImmutableEthereum2.3342.2811-2.27%1.838-21.25%0.0901✓0.9910.0M2022-04-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.6314.2968-2.28%13.73-6.15%0.0058✓0.363.0M2022-04-12
UMAUMAEthereum7.8417.6606-2.30%6.457-17.65%0.0074✓1.414.7M2022-04-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0293980.028717-2.32%0.027052-7.98%0.0405✗0.79187k2022-04-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana16.1615.7796-2.35%15.42-4.58%0.0344✗0.453.7M2022-04-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.38025.2505-2.41%5.2461-2.49%0.0676✗0.545.7M2022-04-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.26661.2358-2.43%1.085-14.34%0.0250✗1.2214.9M2022-04-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.24760.241282-2.55%0.1879-24.11%0.1054✓1.143.1M2022-04-12
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.63552.5676-2.58%2.4671-6.39%0.0509✗0.7212k2022-04-12
XECeCashnative0.000110970.000108077-2.61%0.00009105-17.95%0.0526✓0.949.0M2022-04-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.367.1613-2.70%5.95-19.16%0.0017✓1.45665k2022-04-12
MINAMina Protocolnative3.253.162-2.71%2.4-26.15%0.1419✓1.06877k2022-04-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.3474.2271-2.76%3.674-15.48%0.0069✓1.16417k2022-04-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.56664.4359-2.86%4.0322-11.70%0.0180✓0.615.5M2022-04-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.95.7198-3.05%4.807-18.53%0.1277✓0.366.3M2022-04-12
LUNATerraTerra 2116.27112.5628-3.19%84.61-27.23%0.1201✓1.309.3M2022-04-12
AVTAventusEthereum3.163.0507-3.46%2.55-19.30%0.1253✓0.43376k2022-04-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5450.52548-3.58%0.462-15.23%0.0072✓1.077.0M2022-04-12
API3Api3Ethereum5.6315.4114-3.90%4.104-27.12%0.2026✓0.583.9M2022-04-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.71937.3988-4.15%5.8174-24.64%0.1180✓0.9728.7M2022-04-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2180.208428-4.39%0.265+21.56%0.3129✗0.5730k2022-04-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11850.113237-4.44%0.1311+10.63%0.2775✗1.03201k2022-04-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.