8=======>

2022-03-25 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 160 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2540
160 of 160 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+15.72%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
24.4%
in alpha space · 10.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+4.43%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (160 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0375740.034918-7.07%0.031092-17.25%0.1515✓0.82199k2022-04-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.14680.137145-6.58%0.1322-9.95%0.0922✓1.28568k2022-04-01
API3Api3Ethereum5.3885.054-6.20%5.239-2.77%0.0087✓0.634.8M2022-04-01
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain8.4748.048-5.03%6.9211-18.33%0.2002✓1.1428.1M2022-04-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.6626.3303-4.98%6.198-6.96%0.0420✓0.488.7M2022-04-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6120.58274-4.78%0.611-0.16%0.0014✓1.123.2M2022-04-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.08080.077001-4.70%0.0717-11.26%0.1460✓1.7244.4M2022-04-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum71.6268.5251-4.32%66.2-7.57%0.0914✓1.314.9M2022-04-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.039130.037536-4.07%0.03272-16.38%0.2048✓1.5629.6M2022-04-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.6471.5861-3.70%1.853+12.51%0.1119✗1.011.6M2022-04-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.60752.5137-3.60%2.6091+0.06%0.0049✓0.7514k2022-04-01
CELLCellframeEthereum1.43361.3825-3.56%1.4107-1.60%0.0380✓1.34201k2022-04-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative48.1746.5421-3.38%47.2-2.01%0.0317✓1.054.2M2022-04-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08030.077727-3.20%0.0887+10.46%0.0805✗1.19308k2022-04-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.17821.143-2.99%1.2623+7.14%0.0458✗1.238.4M2022-04-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.36024.2344-2.88%4.4336+1.68%0.0176✓0.665.5M2022-04-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.026.833-2.66%8.1+15.38%0.1105✗1.37458k2022-04-01
UMAUMAEthereum7.6257.4264-2.60%7.979+4.64%0.0153✓1.306.1M2022-04-01
FTTFTXEthereum49.7148.4242-2.59%50.49+1.57%0.0034✓1.0414.1M2022-04-01
LUNATerraTerra 290.3488.0055-2.58%105.91+17.23%0.1276✗1.339.2M2022-04-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana14.4514.0795-2.56%17.97+24.36%0.2233✗0.482.8M2022-04-01
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000011290.000001101-2.51%9.33e-7-17.33%0.1441✓-0.481.2M2022-04-01
IMXImmutableEthereum2.2562.1994-2.51%2.493+10.51%0.0837✗0.966.0M2022-04-01
QTUMQtumQtum8.26658.0633-2.46%8.4381+2.08%0.0039✓1.14102k2022-04-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.42040.410069-2.46%0.6436+53.09%0.3717✗1.822.2M2022-04-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0411040.040101-2.44%0.043013+4.64%0.0290✗0.954.1M2022-04-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.670.653784-2.42%0.88+31.34%0.2309✗1.53403k2022-04-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.092.0397-2.40%2.53+21.05%0.1600✗1.28903k2022-04-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.13093.0559-2.40%3.2806+4.78%0.0361✗0.804.0M2022-04-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024140.000023567-2.37%0.00002614+8.29%0.0536✗1.152.3M2022-04-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.9629.2681-2.31%31.91+6.51%0.0474✗0.90710k2022-04-01
ZECZcashZcash195.35190.8904-2.28%186.01-4.78%0.0686✓0.9915.7M2022-04-01
FIDABonfidaSolana1.8431.8015-2.25%2.042+10.80%0.0893✗0.8350k2022-04-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.24720.241691-2.23%0.2815+13.88%0.1025✗1.152.3M2022-04-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.9925.8603-2.20%8.79+46.70%0.3759✗0.681.1M2022-04-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.2245.1093-2.20%6.483+24.10%0.1973✗0.9493k2022-04-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.513.2065-2.17%14.42+6.81%0.0699✗0.423.0M2022-04-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.012230.011967-2.15%0.01399+14.39%0.1032✗1.223.4M2022-04-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02970.029068-2.13%0.0384+29.29%0.2302✗1.11197k2022-04-01
STXStacksnative1.341.3117-2.11%1.47+9.70%0.0734✗0.94518k2022-04-01
ADACardanoCardano1.09661.0735-2.10%1.1654+6.27%0.0384✗1.0160.9M2022-04-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot20.5520.1203-2.09%22.07+7.40%0.0454✗1.0921.4M2022-04-01
BANDBandEthereum4.033.9467-2.07%5.114+26.90%0.2112✗1.11582k2022-04-01
QNTQuantEthereum137.44134.6385-2.04%141.54+2.98%0.0102✓0.924.2M2022-04-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.14020.137369-2.02%0.303+116.12%0.7404✗1.172.2M2022-04-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain4.19564.1114-2.01%5.0775+21.02%0.1850✗0.604.0M2022-04-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.16.9576-2.01%8.19+15.35%0.1303✗0.761.8M2022-04-01
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.896.7521-2.00%8.434+22.41%0.1791✗1.00475k2022-04-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004220.004136-2.00%0.00453+7.35%0.0338✗1.325.5M2022-04-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.88950.87174-2.00%0.939+5.56%0.0316✗0.9917.2M2022-04-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.13835.0363-1.99%5.9216+15.24%0.1218✗0.93264k2022-04-01
XLMStellarStellar0.2112960.207111-1.98%0.232705+10.13%0.0741✗0.9817.7M2022-04-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.079180.077625-1.96%0.09491+19.87%0.1554✗1.0579k2022-04-01
XVGVergenative0.01030.0101-1.95%0.01449+40.68%0.3116✗1.141.7M2022-04-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.1570.154006-1.91%0.1628+3.69%0.0105✓1.04215k2022-04-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6781.6463-1.89%2.074+23.60%0.1882✗0.992.5M2022-04-01
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.22270.218497-1.89%0.2534+13.79%0.1048✗1.001.5M2022-04-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0134280.013175-1.89%0.016699+24.36%0.1975✗0.9112k2022-04-01
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.23990.235394-1.88%0.2893+20.59%0.1628✗1.00368k2022-04-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.421.3936-1.86%1.66+16.90%0.1278✗1.09573k2022-04-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.468.3026-1.86%9.52+12.53%0.1060✗0.713.2M2022-04-01
XECeCashnative0.00008410.000082537-1.86%0.00009688+15.20%0.1184✗0.965.7M2022-04-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.66140.649183-1.85%0.6963+5.28%0.0141✓1.29447k2022-04-01
DASHDashDash126.29123.9674-1.84%128.12+1.45%0.0086✓0.961.8M2022-04-01
CBKCobakEthereum2.4382.3933-1.83%2.825+15.87%0.1315✗0.7920k2022-04-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche83.5882.0629-1.82%96.87+15.90%0.1103✗1.28113.5M2022-04-01
HIGHHighstreetEthereum6.0515.9425-1.79%7.05+16.51%0.1275✗1.00899k2022-04-01
DODODODOEthereum0.4360.42822-1.78%0.583+33.72%0.2608✗1.102.9M2022-04-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum44,293.4043,503.20-1.78%46,217.30+4.34%0.0187✗0.9753k2022-04-01
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.7642.7149-1.78%3.248+17.51%0.1359✗1.0054k2022-04-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,599.7620,236.34-1.76%23,488.59+14.02%0.1010✗1.116.0M2022-04-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin44,331.8543,551.44-1.76%46,296.34+4.43%0.0178✗1.00729.5M2022-04-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.8415.5628-1.75%16.38+3.41%0.0002✓1.18631k2022-04-01
SOLSolanaSolana98.6396.9059-1.75%134.55+36.42%0.2733✗1.2789.9M2022-04-01
LSKLiskEthereum2.2452.2058-1.75%2.6352+17.38%0.1438✗0.79131k2022-04-01
XMRMoneroMonero199.98196.563-1.71%218.3+9.16%0.0648✗0.931.7M2022-04-01
ORCAOrcaSolana2.262.2221-1.68%2.37+4.87%0.0346✗0.69201k2022-04-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.615.3388-1.67%17.36+11.28%0.0787✗1.0429.8M2022-04-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.6161.5889-1.67%1.855+14.79%0.0963✗1.35451k2022-04-01
NANOnanopayBase2.40682.3666-1.67%2.5328+5.23%0.0187✗1.13154k2022-04-01
UNIUniswapEthereum10.5810.4033-1.67%11.59+9.55%0.0639✗1.026.2M2022-04-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013110.012891-1.67%0.01331+1.53%0.0022✓0.699,5812022-04-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.020410.02007-1.66%0.02145+5.10%0.0218✗1.031.4M2022-04-01
GALAGALAEthereum0.24520.241149-1.65%0.2615+6.65%0.0377✗1.00182k2022-04-01
GLMGolemEthereum0.50320.494887-1.65%0.5645+12.18%0.0883✗1.001.3M2022-04-01
KSMKusamaHydration166.41163.6743-1.64%189.39+13.81%0.0973✗1.12719k2022-04-01
HIVEHivenative1.00290.986457-1.64%1.2217+21.82%0.1657✗1.112.0M2022-04-01
XEMNEMnative0.10770.105936-1.64%0.1229+14.11%0.1128✗0.8240k2022-04-01
STORJStorjEthereum1.17171.1525-1.64%1.3762+17.45%0.1283✗1.13124k2022-04-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.834160.820643-1.62%0.89424+7.20%0.0393✗1.08118k2022-04-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.54040.531747-1.60%0.7179+32.85%0.2685✗0.73359k2022-04-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.160130.157601-1.58%0.16647+3.96%0.0182✗0.8414k2022-04-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.8318.5341-1.57%25.53+35.58%0.2777✗0.986.3M2022-04-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2550.251136-1.52%0.305+19.61%0.1588✗0.8222k2022-04-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.0986.0058-1.51%6.007-1.49%0.0410✓0.9585k2022-04-01
WOOWOOEthereum0.57390.565392-1.48%0.6386+11.27%0.0784✗1.005,0542022-04-01
DIADIAEthereum0.980.965601-1.47%1.11+13.27%0.1231✗0.38169k2022-04-01
RADRadworksEthereum5.034.9565-1.46%6.31+25.45%0.2035✗0.87493k2022-04-01
MANADecentralandEthereum2.59212.5544-1.46%2.6486+2.18%0.0140✓1.161.3M2022-04-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.5321.217-1.45%27.8+29.12%0.2131✗1.32246k2022-04-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07680.0757-1.43%0.087+13.28%0.0981✗0.95151k2022-04-01
GITCOINGITCOIN6.9386.8389-1.43%8.035+15.81%0.1024✗1.3624k2022-04-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25930.255785-1.36%0.3011+16.12%0.1274✗0.821.9M2022-04-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1308250.129057-1.35%0.141231+7.95%0.0546✗0.822.6M2022-04-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.5041.4838-1.35%1.694+12.63%0.0791✗1.233.9M2022-04-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6960.686755-1.33%0.958+37.64%0.2925✗0.931.9M2022-04-01
SCSiacoinnative0.009990.009859-1.31%0.01355+35.64%0.2708✗1.09441k2022-04-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.8340.823067-1.31%1.0677+28.02%0.2452✗0.35620k2022-04-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.4090.403656-1.31%0.4854+18.68%0.1346✗1.1510.2M2022-04-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.1527.7822-1.31%29.41+4.48%0.0085✓1.1241.1M2022-04-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.101440.100119-1.30%0.12361+21.86%0.1725✗0.8828k2022-04-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin124122.3902-1.30%124.88+0.71%0.0236✓1.0126.1M2022-04-01
LRCLoopringEthereum1.0581.0443-1.29%1.1878+12.27%0.0713✗1.33114k2022-04-01
MINAMina Protocolnative2.482.4479-1.29%2.76+11.29%0.0754✗1.03386k2022-04-01
SUSHISushiEthereum3.623.5734-1.29%4.51+24.59%0.1841✗1.126.5M2022-04-01
XTZTezosTezos3.51733.4722-1.28%3.9089+11.13%0.0712✗1.091.1M2022-04-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2852.2558-1.28%2.801+22.58%0.1588✗1.339.1M2022-04-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.04370.043143-1.27%0.05332+22.01%0.1754✗0.8423k2022-04-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.35540.350875-1.27%0.4809+35.31%0.2522✗1.458.9M2022-04-01
ZENHorizenBase44.7744.2115-1.25%51.27+14.52%0.0918✗1.30396k2022-04-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum18.7718.5383-1.23%21.61+15.13%0.1112✗0.9714.8M2022-04-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.5717.3542-1.23%18.43+4.89%0.0032✓1.312.8M2022-04-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.736.6479-1.22%6.95+3.27%0.0121✓0.75814k2022-04-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.30390.300223-1.21%0.3752+23.46%0.1739✗1.13268k2022-04-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.552.5199-1.18%2.73+7.06%0.0376✗0.98146k2022-04-01
XVSVenusEthereum9.969.8426-1.18%15.84+59.04%0.4301✗1.052.9M2022-04-01
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2821.267-1.17%1.542+20.28%0.1546✗0.972.9M2022-04-01
UOSUltraEthereum1.16171.148-1.17%1.308+12.60%0.0754✗1.271.5M2022-04-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.78220.773048-1.17%0.8913+13.95%0.1019✗0.937.2M2022-04-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5848550.578139-1.15%0.815288+39.40%0.2990✗1.031.6M2022-04-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.22870.226075-1.15%0.2859+25.01%0.1805✗1.251.8M2022-04-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.0575.0005-1.12%7.712+52.50%0.3786✗1.263.4M2022-04-01
ETHEthereumEthereum3,104.153,070.79-1.07%3,456.48+11.35%0.0724✗1.06513.4M2022-04-01
BTTCBTTC0.000001920.0000019-1.06%0.00000218+13.54%0.1103✗0.6312.1M2022-04-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.077590.07678-1.04%0.09199+18.56%0.1464✗0.7914k2022-04-01
MOVRMoonriverBase58.524557.9139-1.04%72.8802+24.53%0.1719✗1.34154k2022-04-01
AVTAventusEthereum2.482.4545-1.03%2.61+5.24%0.0436✗0.41373k2022-04-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.36380.360068-1.03%0.5004+37.55%0.2729✗1.301.2M2022-04-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum27.7827.4965-1.02%28.82+3.74%0.0081✓1.27735k2022-04-01
PROPropyEthereum1.571.5546-0.98%1.63+3.82%0.0040✓1.00217k2022-04-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.7462.7194-0.97%3.47+26.37%0.1938✗1.15417k2022-04-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1090.107963-0.95%0.257+135.78%0.8430✗0.5623k2022-04-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash365.21361.7506-0.95%377.35+3.32%0.0007✓0.968.0M2022-04-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.044.9928-0.94%6.07+20.44%0.1341✗1.41430k2022-04-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5731.559-0.89%1.882+19.64%0.1462✗0.97739k2022-04-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9430.934637-0.89%1.172+24.28%0.1682✗1.342.4M2022-04-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.026080.025856-0.86%0.02737+4.95%0.0241✗0.763.0M2022-04-01
KCSKuCoinnative18.67418.5276-0.78%20.903+11.94%0.0827✗0.875.4M2022-04-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.04110.040795-0.74%0.04225+2.80%0.0058✓0.67985k2022-04-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV89.7989.1451-0.72%95.88+6.78%0.0401✗0.751.4M2022-04-01
AAVEAaveEthereum162.53161.4225-0.68%244.76+50.59%0.3627✗1.2410.2M2022-04-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.93585.896-0.67%6.0102+1.25%0.0016✓0.41179k2022-04-01
XYMSymbolnative0.14860.14782-0.52%0.146-1.75%0.0462✓0.78309k2022-04-01
TRXTRONTron0.0643890.06406-0.51%0.074976+16.44%0.1297✗0.64267k2022-04-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.486.4508-0.45%6.67+2.93%0.0021✓0.721.7M2022-04-01
GTGateEthereum6.53476.5071-0.42%6.861+4.99%0.0256✗0.634.2M2022-04-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.055180.054976-0.37%0.05528+0.18%0.0404✓1.06541k2022-04-01
COMPCompoundEthereum116.03115.7254-0.26%156.99+35.30%0.2557✗1.1451k2022-04-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8013.8032+0.06%3.962+4.24%0.0081✓0.762.0M2022-04-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1064.1192+0.32%4.127+0.51%0.0251✗0.622.0M2022-04-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.