8=======>

2022-03-20 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 160 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1788
160 of 160 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.22%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
43.1%
in alpha space · 5.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+13.47%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (160 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.8140.750202-7.84%0.617-24.20%0.3419✓1.162.1M2022-03-27
API3Api3Ethereum4.7734.5001-5.72%5.854+22.65%0.1834✗0.637.4M2022-03-27
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain9.20078.6931-5.52%7.954-13.55%0.2153✓1.0048.8M2022-03-27
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.032550.030824-5.30%0.03666+12.63%0.0385✓1.6813.3M2022-03-27
AUCTIONBounceEthereum17.3516.44-5.24%16.11-7.15%0.1724✓1.20426k2022-03-27
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.2136.235-5.17%48.03+25.70%0.1586✗0.973.8M2022-03-27
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0248050.02355-5.06%0.040217+62.13%0.4406✗0.75202k2022-03-27
CELLCellframeEthereum1.47131.3998-4.86%1.5221+3.45%0.0970✓1.43217k2022-03-27
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07050.067082-4.85%0.0842+19.43%0.0774✗1.19337k2022-03-27
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.2385.9402-4.77%6.324+1.38%0.0034✓0.475.1M2022-03-27
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.4371.3742-4.37%1.768+23.03%0.1241✗1.011.4M2022-03-27
HIGHHighstreetEthereum5.6925.4451-4.34%6.359+11.72%0.0288✓1.00464k2022-03-27
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.16882.0821-4.00%2.6409+21.77%0.1469✗0.7213k2022-03-27
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000023120.000022197-3.99%0.00002557+10.60%0.0070✓1.172.5M2022-03-27
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06620.063604-3.92%0.0803+21.30%0.0161✓1.7243.9M2022-03-27
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.496.2372-3.90%7.41+14.18%0.0034✓1.39447k2022-03-27
IMXImmutableEthereum2.1862.1028-3.80%2.32+6.13%0.0252✓0.983.8M2022-03-27
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.640.616221-3.72%0.73+14.06%0.0205✓1.50477k2022-03-27
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.8844.7064-3.64%5.701+16.73%0.0726✗0.94102k2022-03-27
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0400720.038636-3.58%0.043509+8.58%0.0028✓0.964.1M2022-03-27
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.000001180.00000114-3.39%0.000001225+3.86%0.1264✗-0.431.7M2022-03-27
PROPropyEthereum1.721.6634-3.29%1.74+1.16%0.0834✓1.02228k2022-03-27
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.0928.1452-3.25%31.17+7.15%0.0128✓0.91767k2022-03-27
QTUMQtumQtum6.97876.7573-3.17%8.5079+21.91%0.0901✗1.1197k2022-03-27
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.24193.1419-3.08%3.1908-1.58%0.0878✓0.824.1M2022-03-27
FIDABonfidaSolana1.6471.5969-3.04%1.995+21.13%0.1198✗0.8155k2022-03-27
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.40420.392485-2.90%0.5139+27.14%0.0256✓1.932.1M2022-03-27
LUNATerraTerra 290.4387.8394-2.86%94.25+4.22%0.1046✓1.399.1M2022-03-27
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum49.8748.4465-2.85%68.29+36.94%0.1846✗1.264.8M2022-03-27
DASHDashDash115.63112.3923-2.80%133.07+15.08%0.0448✗0.981.7M2022-03-27
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12470.121244-2.77%0.168+34.72%0.1764✗1.192.1M2022-03-27
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.86744.7344-2.73%5.4302+11.56%0.0187✓0.94208k2022-03-27
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.20464.0912-2.70%4.2578+1.27%0.0426✓0.654.7M2022-03-27
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.881.8304-2.64%2.28+21.28%0.0572✗1.291.1M2022-03-27
BFCBifrostEthereum0.153170.149133-2.64%0.16715+9.13%0.0051✓0.8614k2022-03-27
SUNSun TokenTron0.014170.013799-2.62%0.01504+6.14%0.0277✓0.9011k2022-03-27
FTTFTXEthereum44.0342.8951-2.58%51.99+18.08%0.0617✗1.0314.3M2022-03-27
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.2186.0598-2.54%7.661+23.21%0.1081✗1.00462k2022-03-27
LRCLoopringEthereum0.82210.801354-2.52%1.1104+35.07%0.1534✗1.37106k2022-03-27
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.23220.226369-2.51%0.27+16.28%0.0499✗1.00387k2022-03-27
BANDBandEthereum3.5843.494-2.51%4.57+27.51%0.1270✗1.12622k2022-03-27
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.075180.073297-2.51%0.08788+16.89%0.0470✗1.0657k2022-03-27
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15220.148393-2.50%0.1655+8.74%0.0219✓1.04205k2022-03-27
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche84.8582.7348-2.49%89.91+5.96%0.0830✓1.31116.0M2022-03-27
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.92660.904436-2.39%1.3598+46.75%0.2541✗1.224.7M2022-03-27
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.22750.222071-2.39%0.2272-0.13%0.1036✓1.001.8M2022-03-27
STXStacksnative1.261.23-2.38%1.45+15.08%0.0455✗0.94444k2022-03-27
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.821070.801608-2.37%0.90403+10.10%0.0213✓1.12111k2022-03-27
DODODODOEthereum0.4190.409085-2.37%0.49+16.95%0.0404✗1.112.8M2022-03-27
UMAUMAEthereum7.5747.3962-2.35%7.939+4.82%0.0928✓1.296.0M2022-03-27
RADRadworksEthereum4.854.7362-2.35%5.33+9.90%0.0083✓0.87567k2022-03-27
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5661.5295-2.33%1.952+24.65%0.1179✗1.002.2M2022-03-27
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018610.018183-2.29%0.02076+11.55%0.0009✓1.041.4M2022-03-27
AVTAventusEthereum2.432.3744-2.29%2.49+2.47%0.0009✓0.38309k2022-03-27
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003650.003568-2.24%0.00436+19.45%0.0239✗1.405.2M2022-03-27
WOOWOOEthereum0.60040.586967-2.24%0.62+3.26%0.0716✓1.005,0372022-03-27
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.6232.5646-2.23%2.913+11.06%0.0010✓1.0053k2022-03-27
GALAGALAEthereum0.23320.228055-2.21%0.2635+12.99%0.0181✓1.00176k2022-03-27
XLMStellarStellar0.1973290.193032-2.18%0.229866+16.49%0.0492✗0.9918.0M2022-03-27
NANOnanopayBase2.212.1619-2.17%2.5487+15.33%0.0198✓1.15139k2022-03-27
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011720.011466-2.17%0.01417+20.90%0.0572✗1.223.2M2022-03-27
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,609.4040,708.13-2.17%46,722.30+12.29%0.0166✓0.9646k2022-03-27
UNIUniswapEthereum9.339.1287-2.16%11.42+22.40%0.0943✗1.036.0M2022-03-27
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.2195.1065-2.16%5.413+3.72%0.1034✓1.282.5M2022-03-27
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.044860.043896-2.15%0.04272-4.77%0.1098✓0.65963k2022-03-27
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.716.5662-2.14%7.13+6.26%0.0100✓0.73822k2022-03-27
KSMKusamaHydration152.19148.943-2.13%173.98+14.32%0.0137✓1.12671k2022-03-27
GLMGolemEthereum0.49560.485054-2.13%0.5415+9.26%0.0163✓1.001.4M2022-03-27
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.6618.263-2.13%22.48+20.47%0.0713✗1.0824.4M2022-03-27
ADACardanoCardano0.8790.860323-2.12%1.1845+34.76%0.1923✗1.0162.5M2022-03-27
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2440.238821-2.12%0.271+11.07%0.0243✗0.8129k2022-03-27
QNTQuantEthereum118.64116.1592-2.09%148.67+25.31%0.1300✗0.924.2M2022-03-27
MOVRMoonriverBase59.668558.4294-2.08%67.174+12.58%0.0300✓1.34154k2022-03-27
CVCCivicEthereum0.29940.293184-2.08%0.3422+14.30%0.0113✓1.13183k2022-03-27
ORCAOrcaSolana2.152.1055-2.07%2.33+8.37%0.0161✓0.67182k2022-03-27
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,923.1719,518.29-2.03%22,263.59+11.75%0.0034✓1.075.7M2022-03-27
SOLSolanaSolana88.6486.8541-2.01%107.09+20.81%0.0507✗1.2692.6M2022-03-27
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.01250.012252-1.99%0.01382+10.56%0.0313✗0.709,3002022-03-27
XVGVergenative0.009320.009135-1.98%0.01253+34.44%0.1703✗1.151.6M2022-03-27
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07480.073322-1.98%0.0851+13.77%0.0298✗0.94146k2022-03-27
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana12.8612.6073-1.96%13.48+4.82%0.0147✓0.413.0M2022-03-27
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.5614.277-1.94%16.87+15.87%0.0324✗1.0633.9M2022-03-27
DIADIAEthereum0.940.921745-1.94%1.07+13.83%0.1030✗0.37258k2022-03-27
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.025430.024938-1.93%0.03351+31.77%0.1581✗1.09248k2022-03-27
XECeCashnative0.000079410.000077892-1.91%0.0000982+23.66%0.1106✗0.964.7M2022-03-27
XEMNEMnative0.09950.097612-1.90%0.1176+18.19%0.0794✗0.8540k2022-03-27
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,287.2440,505.61-1.89%46,850.01+13.47%0.0191✗1.00680.6M2022-03-27
GITCOINGITCOIN6.4866.3635-1.89%7.352+13.35%0.0287✓1.3725k2022-03-27
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07490.07352-1.84%0.08599+14.81%0.0565✗0.799,2172022-03-27
STORJStorjEthereum1.08041.0607-1.82%1.3301+23.12%0.0799✗1.16128k2022-03-27
LSKLiskEthereum2.14352.1045-1.82%2.4727+15.36%0.0598✗0.80130k2022-03-27
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana12.2211.9981-1.82%14.36+17.51%0.1157✗0.511.8M2022-03-27
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.33940.33326-1.81%0.3911+15.23%0.0239✓1.469.9M2022-03-27
CBKCobakEthereum2.2272.1868-1.81%2.589+16.26%0.0697✗0.7820k2022-03-27
MANADecentralandEthereum2.39922.3559-1.81%2.7417+14.27%0.0036✓1.171.3M2022-03-27
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.74180.728427-1.80%0.9498+28.04%0.1380✗1.0116.6M2022-03-27
FILFilecoinFilecoin17.6517.3361-1.78%23.71+34.33%0.1903✗0.975.7M2022-03-27
XMRMoneroMonero194.71191.2513-1.78%216.11+10.99%0.0040✓0.931.7M2022-03-27
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.121.1004-1.75%1.54+37.50%0.2065✗1.03522k2022-03-27
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1034.0319-1.73%4.074-0.71%0.0679✓0.62656k2022-03-27
XTZTezosTezos3.33623.2784-1.73%3.8564+15.59%0.0256✗1.081.1M2022-03-27
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.8327.3507-1.72%29.95+7.62%0.0518✓1.1340.2M2022-03-27
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51580.506925-1.72%0.585+13.42%0.0484✗0.75399k2022-03-27
DKAdKargoEthereum0.095090.093456-1.72%0.11008+15.76%0.0527✗0.8828k2022-03-27
CHZChilizEthereum0.20350.20003-1.71%0.2692+32.29%0.1508✗1.162.3M2022-03-27
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5551.5285-1.70%1.749+12.48%0.0071✓1.01639k2022-03-27
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5494240.540105-1.70%0.728031+32.51%0.1667✗1.041.6M2022-03-27
CTSICartesiEthereum0.34290.337107-1.69%0.4246+23.83%0.0632✗1.33965k2022-03-27
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4441.4198-1.68%1.796+24.38%0.0626✗1.36492k2022-03-27
HIVEHivenative0.90640.891351-1.66%1.1454+26.37%0.1087✗1.122.1M2022-03-27
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1191240.117164-1.64%0.144798+21.55%0.1087✗0.822.7M2022-03-27
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.80113.739-1.63%4.1683+9.66%0.0317✗0.613.9M2022-03-27
MINAMina Protocolnative2.122.0856-1.62%2.79+31.60%0.1601✗1.04343k2022-03-27
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9654.8847-1.62%6.005+20.95%0.1243✗0.65629k2022-03-27
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.39050.384209-1.61%0.4313+10.45%0.0356✓1.208.9M2022-03-27
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV85.0383.6751-1.59%95+11.73%0.0321✗0.751.0M2022-03-27
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.78090.768569-1.58%0.9207+17.90%0.1373✗0.34626k2022-03-27
XYMSymbolnative0.13580.133657-1.58%0.1543+13.62%0.0445✗0.78296k2022-03-27
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.4651.4422-1.56%1.595+8.87%0.0621✓1.293.6M2022-03-27
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.640.630062-1.55%0.745+16.41%0.0528✗0.912.0M2022-03-27
UOSUltraEthereum1.1191.1017-1.55%1.2328+10.17%0.0517✓1.301.9M2022-03-27
ZECZcashZcash174.15171.4591-1.55%210.67+20.97%0.0825✗0.9813.0M2022-03-27
ZENHorizenBase41.0240.3871-1.54%50.08+22.09%0.0495✗1.31267k2022-03-27
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24720.243392-1.54%0.275+11.25%0.0173✗0.832.1M2022-03-27
SCSiacoinnative0.009180.009039-1.53%0.0124+35.08%0.1759✗1.11441k2022-03-27
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.6219.326-1.50%24.3+23.85%0.0614✗1.33246k2022-03-27
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.682.64-1.49%2.864+6.87%0.0648✓1.16514k2022-03-27
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.4615.3795-1.49%6.421+17.58%0.0583✗0.9479k2022-03-27
LTCLitecoinLitecoin114.88113.1706-1.49%129.68+12.88%0.0100✓1.0025.9M2022-03-27
LCXLCXEthereum0.09110.089747-1.48%0.1288+41.38%0.2070✗1.22522k2022-03-27
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.2425.8508-1.48%29.14+11.05%0.0432✓1.29735k2022-03-27
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1060.104472-1.44%0.114+7.55%0.0194✗0.5432k2022-03-27
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.152.1194-1.43%2.621+21.91%0.0429✗1.349.5M2022-03-27
SUSHISushiEthereum3.243.1939-1.42%3.99+23.15%0.0750✗1.176.0M2022-03-27
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041130.040546-1.42%0.0495+20.35%0.0930✗0.8424k2022-03-27
COTICOTIEthereum0.20560.2027-1.41%0.2582+25.58%0.0788✗1.291.8M2022-03-27
XVSVenusEthereum8.968.8355-1.39%10.9+21.65%0.0785✗1.043.0M2022-03-27
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.75170.74128-1.39%0.875+16.40%0.0418✗0.987.2M2022-03-27
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.7716.5391-1.38%21.9+30.59%0.1528✗1.0114.0M2022-03-27
AMPAmpEthereum0.025520.025169-1.37%0.02786+9.17%0.0061✓0.762.7M2022-03-27
BTTCBTTC0.000001820.000001795-1.37%0.00000214+17.58%0.0969✗0.6212.1M2022-03-27
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.8415.6253-1.36%18.45+16.48%0.0023✓1.302.4M2022-03-27
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash327.61323.2473-1.33%376.78+15.01%0.0355✗0.936.7M2022-03-27
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1941.1783-1.32%1.444+20.94%0.0769✗1.002.8M2022-03-27
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.352.3194-1.30%2.73+16.17%0.0396✗0.98142k2022-03-27
COMPCompoundEthereum116.01114.5131-1.29%126.01+8.62%0.0511✓1.1648k2022-03-27
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.454.3954-1.23%5.47+22.92%0.0406✗1.41375k2022-03-27
ETHEthereumEthereum2,862.442,827.85-1.21%3,296.29+15.16%0.0213✗1.04492.6M2022-03-27
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.06385.9941-1.15%6.1368+1.20%0.0282✓0.41179k2022-03-27
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.977.8816-1.11%8.4+5.40%0.0252✓0.702.6M2022-03-27
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.316.2405-1.10%7.01+11.09%0.0254✗0.721.6M2022-03-27
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8470.837831-1.08%1.058+24.91%0.0655✗1.332.0M2022-03-27
KCSKuCoinnative18.20518.0082-1.08%19.247+5.72%0.0472✓0.906.2M2022-03-27
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.049680.049167-1.03%0.05681+14.35%0.0063✓1.09459k2022-03-27
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.44720.442765-0.99%0.7181+60.58%0.3222✗1.28440k2022-03-27
AAVEAaveEthereum152.83151.4236-0.92%169.24+10.74%0.0509✓1.288.0M2022-03-27
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.146.0945-0.74%6.49+5.70%0.0272✓0.711.3M2022-03-27
TRXTRONTron0.0615510.061123-0.69%0.069166+12.37%0.0430✗0.64259k2022-03-27
GTGateEthereum6.44756.4044-0.67%6.5917+2.24%0.0518✓0.643.4M2022-03-27
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.3013.301+0.00%3.779+14.48%0.0437✓0.72894k2022-03-27
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.