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2022-03-14 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 156 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2386
156 of 156 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.87%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
14.7%
in alpha space · 5.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.39%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (156 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4210.38741-7.98%0.694+64.85%0.5450✗1.141.8M2022-03-21
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain8.5977.9633-7.37%8.9526+4.14%0.0838✗1.0028.1M2022-03-21
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.3125.0295-5.32%6.191+16.55%0.1928✗0.452.6M2022-03-21
CELLCellframeEthereum1.40821.3429-4.64%1.499+6.45%0.0638✗1.39289k2022-03-21
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0214740.020491-4.58%0.025644+19.42%0.1963✗0.84143k2022-03-21
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3154.1224-4.46%4.1232-4.44%0.0205✓0.622.4M2022-03-21
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.0331.9511-4.03%2.3043+13.34%0.1428✗0.7119k2022-03-21
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.019580.01884-3.78%0.03588+83.25%0.5921✗1.5612.7M2022-03-21
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.0713.9195-3.72%3.851-5.40%0.0377✓0.60457k2022-03-21
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05580.053773-3.63%0.0625+12.01%0.0941✗1.6943.0M2022-03-21
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000011260.000001086-3.59%0.00000118+4.79%0.0501✗1.001.7M2022-03-21
FIDABonfidaSolana1.611.558-3.23%1.687+4.78%0.0521✗0.8255k2022-03-21
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06630.064201-3.17%0.0712+7.39%0.0651✗1.15422k2022-03-21
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.38740.375226-3.14%0.41+5.83%0.0240✓1.942.1M2022-03-21
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.816.5996-3.09%6.4-6.02%0.0556✓0.75683k2022-03-21
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11860.11501-3.03%0.1326+11.80%0.1030✗1.182.7M2022-03-21
LUNATerraTerra 294.7991.9647-2.98%95.82+1.09%0.0058✓1.418.0M2022-03-21
IMXImmutableEthereum1.6511.602-2.97%2.141+29.68%0.2592✗0.933.4M2022-03-21
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.92.8148-2.94%3.1635+9.09%0.0891✗0.834.1M2022-03-21
STXStacksnative1.281.2425-2.93%1.3+1.56%0.0146✓0.92419k2022-03-21
SUNSun TokenTron0.011770.011425-2.93%0.012814+8.87%0.0832✗0.9511k2022-03-21
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.3726.5911-2.85%29.57+8.04%0.0764✗0.90866k2022-03-21
BFCBifrostEthereum0.14440.140304-2.84%0.15226+5.44%0.0542✗0.8315k2022-03-21
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.5224.3961-2.78%5.006+10.70%0.0990✗0.93116k2022-03-21
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum47.8946.5607-2.78%50.17+4.76%0.0332✗1.255.2M2022-03-21
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15270.148539-2.73%0.1524-0.20%0.0084✓1.02244k2022-03-21
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.580.564348-2.70%0.64+10.34%0.0762✗1.49632k2022-03-21
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0398550.038789-2.67%0.040344+1.23%0.0073✓0.965.1M2022-03-21
GALAGALAEthereum0.21860.212887-2.61%0.2358+7.87%0.0689✗1.00142k2022-03-21
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.445.2999-2.58%6.55+20.40%0.1684✗1.30545k2022-03-21
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum5.6365.4933-2.53%6.347+12.62%0.1111✗1.00462k2022-03-21
FTTFTXEthereum41.4740.4333-2.50%44.67+7.72%0.0650✗1.0415.8M2022-03-21
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022030.000021485-2.47%0.00002294+4.13%0.0266✗1.173.1M2022-03-21
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.4162.3581-2.40%2.599+7.57%0.0640✗1.0053k2022-03-21
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,373.2038,434.93-2.38%41,105.80+4.40%0.0353✗0.9646k2022-03-21
API3Api3Ethereum4.7654.6526-2.36%4.917+3.19%0.0347✗0.627.4M2022-03-21
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.4533.3716-2.36%3.313-4.05%0.0410✓0.71344k2022-03-21
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4591.4246-2.36%1.618+10.90%0.0948✗0.971.6M2022-03-21
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.6612.3633-2.34%16.52+30.49%0.2539✗1.08359k2022-03-21
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.06940.067779-2.34%0.07422+6.95%0.0552✗1.0758k2022-03-21
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.721860.705001-2.34%0.81655+13.12%0.1095✗1.12111k2022-03-21
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.856.6933-2.29%6.22-9.20%0.0984✓0.75692k2022-03-21
BANDBandEthereum3.3663.2911-2.22%3.749+11.38%0.0939✗1.09681k2022-03-21
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011430.011178-2.21%0.01178+3.06%0.0119✓1.223.1M2022-03-21
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003630.00355-2.21%0.00441+21.49%0.1677✗1.485.2M2022-03-21
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.3211.0744-2.17%13.7+21.02%0.1955✗0.521.2M2022-03-21
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.691.6534-2.17%1.89+11.83%0.0915✗1.271.3M2022-03-21
DOTPolkadotPolkadot17.6917.3232-2.07%18.75+5.99%0.0431✗1.0824.2M2022-03-21
ADACardanoCardano0.80280.786211-2.07%0.9179+14.34%0.1214✗1.0166.9M2022-03-21
UMAUMAEthereum7.5747.4178-2.06%7.575+0.01%0.0228✓1.315.6M2022-03-21
XECeCashnative0.000075920.000074358-2.06%0.00008042+5.93%0.0464✗0.964.2M2022-03-21
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.31170.305291-2.06%0.3439+10.33%0.0683✗1.5210.3M2022-03-21
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.66773.5929-2.04%3.772+2.84%0.0289✗0.593.7M2022-03-21
WOOWOOEthereum0.46080.451431-2.03%0.599+29.99%0.2495✗1.004,5242022-03-21
AVTAventusEthereum2.32.2535-2.02%2.27-1.30%0.0073✓0.44277k2022-03-21
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2280.223395-2.02%0.254+11.40%0.1011✗0.8242k2022-03-21
XLMStellarStellar0.1800750.176466-2.00%0.203692+13.12%0.1103✗1.0018.9M2022-03-21
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5414.4503-2.00%4.983+9.73%0.0911✗0.66522k2022-03-21
ORCAOrcaSolana21.9601-1.99%2.15+7.50%0.0704✗0.66192k2022-03-21
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.03623.9561-1.98%4.8275+19.60%0.1682✗0.93198k2022-03-21
XEMNEMnative0.09470.092844-1.96%0.1071+13.09%0.1151✗0.8340k2022-03-21
XVGVergenative0.009160.008984-1.92%0.0099+8.08%0.0585✗1.161.5M2022-03-21
DKAdKargoEthereum0.090140.088407-1.92%0.09486+5.24%0.0412✗0.8830k2022-03-21
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,523.0818,168.50-1.91%20,359.40+9.91%0.0831✗0.924.6M2022-03-21
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.2613.007-1.91%12.88-2.87%0.0240✓0.433.2M2022-03-21
QNTQuantEthereum113.5111.3393-1.90%119.55+5.33%0.0401✗0.934.7M2022-03-21
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9420.924357-1.87%1.518+61.15%0.4683✗0.831.0M2022-03-21
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.067.9092-1.87%8.09+0.37%0.0008✓0.701.3M2022-03-21
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.9225.4385-1.86%38.41+48.19%0.3797✗0.974.4M2022-03-21
LCXLCXEthereum0.08940.08774-1.86%0.0897+0.34%0.0190✓1.23504k2022-03-21
DASHDashDash98.2496.421-1.85%123.68+25.90%0.2156✗1.001.7M2022-03-21
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06830.067039-1.85%0.0752+10.10%0.0841✗0.92151k2022-03-21
NANOnanopayBase1.70561.6743-1.84%2.212+29.69%0.2423✗1.09119k2022-03-21
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.36550.358875-1.81%0.4118+12.67%0.0977✗1.207.9M2022-03-21
CTSICartesiEthereum0.32230.316465-1.81%0.3415+5.96%0.0323✗1.32857k2022-03-21
DIADIAEthereum0.890.87413-1.78%0.94+5.62%0.0607✗0.36271k2022-03-21
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,674.1738,971.15-1.77%41,017.71+3.39%0.0179✓1.00645.2M2022-03-21
CVCCivicEthereum0.25840.253835-1.77%0.2933+13.51%0.1068✗1.13192k2022-03-21
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011740.011534-1.75%0.01262+7.50%0.0664✗0.719,9942022-03-21
FILFilecoinFilecoin17.4617.1553-1.74%17.82+2.06%0.0056✓0.976.5M2022-03-21
QTUMQtumQtum5.75685.6566-1.74%6.8236+18.53%0.1498✗1.13113k2022-03-21
STORJStorjEthereum0.99390.976603-1.74%1.1049+11.17%0.0865✗1.11112k2022-03-21
DODODODOEthereum0.3690.362599-1.73%0.419+13.55%0.1084✗1.092.9M2022-03-21
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.4113.1776-1.73%15+11.86%0.0939✗1.0742.8M2022-03-21
LSKLiskEthereum2.05642.0208-1.73%2.1544+4.76%0.0370✗0.81117k2022-03-21
XMRMoneroMonero185.79182.5799-1.73%191.87+3.27%0.0187✗0.931.6M2022-03-21
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1139130.111948-1.73%0.119184+4.63%0.0359✗0.802.9M2022-03-21
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.70630.694199-1.71%0.828+17.23%0.1426✗1.0118.1M2022-03-21
CBKCobakEthereum2.0982.0622-1.71%2.211+5.39%0.0439✗0.7721k2022-03-21
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche68.9867.8074-1.70%86.26+25.05%0.1981✗1.28116.5M2022-03-21
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.48890.480785-1.66%0.5105+4.42%0.0350✗0.75420k2022-03-21
CHZChilizEthereum0.19550.192278-1.65%0.2032+3.94%0.0166✓1.162.3M2022-03-21
UNIUniswapEthereum8.488.342-1.63%9.35+10.26%0.0805✗1.016.1M2022-03-21
XYMSymbolnative0.13220.130055-1.62%0.1371+3.71%0.0265✗0.79296k2022-03-21
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1040.102318-1.62%0.103-0.96%0.0107✓0.5239k2022-03-21
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.8326.3973-1.61%27.93+4.10%0.0188✗1.1341.1M2022-03-21
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.23840.234579-1.60%0.2506+5.12%0.0387✗0.822.0M2022-03-21
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.041.0234-1.60%1.12+7.69%0.0569✗1.00569k2022-03-21
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.068770.067677-1.59%0.07444+8.24%0.0680✗0.829,6412022-03-21
ZENHorizenBase38.5437.9321-1.58%43.59+13.10%0.0964✗1.28244k2022-03-21
SOLSolanaSolana81.2479.9696-1.56%88.62+9.08%0.0611✗1.2596.5M2022-03-21
MANADecentralandEthereum2.30682.271-1.55%2.4089+4.43%0.0199✗1.172.1M2022-03-21
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02280.02245-1.53%0.02575+12.94%0.1019✗1.06305k2022-03-21
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.6418.3555-1.53%19.75+5.95%0.0298✗1.30280k2022-03-21
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.039120.038532-1.50%0.04126+5.47%0.0400✗0.8526k2022-03-21
SCSiacoinnative0.008770.008638-1.50%0.00956+9.01%0.0648✗1.10486k2022-03-21
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6220.612721-1.49%0.657+5.63%0.0392✗0.922.4M2022-03-21
HIVEHivenative0.84270.830168-1.49%0.9143+8.50%0.0593✗1.121.8M2022-03-21
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3271.3073-1.48%1.433+7.99%0.0465✗1.36565k2022-03-21
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3361.3165-1.46%1.531+14.60%0.1189✗0.96625k2022-03-21
LRCLoopringEthereum0.69630.686272-1.44%0.8075+15.97%0.1189✗1.31103k2022-03-21
UOSUltraEthereum1.13481.1187-1.42%1.1654+2.69%0.0023✓1.302.4M2022-03-21
GITCOINGITCOIN5.4365.3597-1.40%6.529+20.11%0.1546✗1.2825k2022-03-21
BTTCBTTC0.000001750.000001726-1.40%0.00000183+4.57%0.0386✗0.6013.3M2022-03-21
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.89515.8137-1.38%6.1969+5.12%0.0502✗0.41186k2022-03-21
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.1815.9568-1.38%16.97+4.88%0.0278✗1.0113.9M2022-03-21
ZECZcashZcash149.64147.5797-1.38%181.56+21.33%0.1765✗0.928.1M2022-03-21
AMPAmpEthereum0.024670.024334-1.36%0.02617+6.08%0.0482✗0.743.1M2022-03-21
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.855.7712-1.35%6.45+10.26%0.0873✗0.72927k2022-03-21
LTCLitecoinLitecoin105.58104.1622-1.34%116.13+9.99%0.0754✗1.0025.9M2022-03-21
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.71210.702741-1.31%0.7443+4.52%0.0248✗0.987.4M2022-03-21
COTICOTIEthereum0.19450.191969-1.30%0.212+9.00%0.0564✗1.292.0M2022-03-21
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1441.1293-1.29%1.228+7.34%0.0518✗0.962.9M2022-03-21
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.64270.634474-1.28%0.9468+47.32%0.3591✗1.243.1M2022-03-21
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV75.6374.6769-1.26%84.98+12.36%0.1045✗0.74939k2022-03-21
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4902440.484076-1.26%0.550176+12.22%0.0935✗1.042.0M2022-03-21
KSMKusamaHydration120.47118.9716-1.24%154.99+28.65%0.2274✗1.11649k2022-03-21
SUSHISushiEthereum2.92.8643-1.23%3.31+14.14%0.1060✗1.165.7M2022-03-21
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.016190.015995-1.21%0.01896+17.11%0.1368✗1.001.3M2022-03-21
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.70460.696111-1.20%0.7969+13.10%0.1243✗0.33826k2022-03-21
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.774.7126-1.20%6.034+26.50%0.2162✗0.9376k2022-03-21
XTZTezosTezos3.00012.9641-1.20%3.2407+8.02%0.0528✗1.091.2M2022-03-21
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.2361.2212-1.20%1.608+30.10%0.2340✗1.242.5M2022-03-21
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.9521.9291-1.17%2.196+12.50%0.0869✗1.289.4M2022-03-21
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.182.1544-1.17%2.37+8.72%0.0632✗0.96139k2022-03-21
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.9653.919-1.16%4.971+25.37%0.1963✗1.252.3M2022-03-21
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.4223.1546-1.13%26.75+14.22%0.1025✗1.26801k2022-03-21
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.3682.3413-1.13%2.763+16.68%0.1298✗1.08534k2022-03-21
KCSKuCoinnative18.08717.8863-1.11%18.09+0.02%0.0190✓0.917.5M2022-03-21
XVSVenusEthereum8.498.3975-1.09%9.37+10.37%0.0748✗1.053.2M2022-03-21
RADRadworksEthereum4.394.3422-1.09%4.74+7.97%0.0588✗0.87590k2022-03-21
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.5213.3816-1.02%15.85+17.23%0.1270✗1.272.2M2022-03-21
COMPCompoundEthereum99.5998.6339-0.96%113.52+13.99%0.1039✗1.1044k2022-03-21
ETHEthereumEthereum2,590.232,565.57-0.95%2,891.08+11.61%0.0850✗1.03501.7M2022-03-21
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.036250.035925-0.90%0.03903+7.67%0.0591✗0.72979k2022-03-21
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7680.761325-0.87%0.85+10.68%0.0663✗1.322.0M2022-03-21
PROPropyEthereum1.431.4179-0.85%1.59+11.19%0.0793✗1.06268k2022-03-21
MOVRMoonriverBase46.929546.5332-0.84%62.2596+32.67%0.2469✗1.33160k2022-03-21
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.733.7-0.80%4.42+18.50%0.1321✗1.37341k2022-03-21
MINAMina Protocolnative1.671.657-0.78%2.09+25.15%0.1982✗1.02328k2022-03-21
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash289.43287.1818-0.78%334.93+15.72%0.1228✗0.936.8M2022-03-21
TRXTRONTron0.0600640.059632-0.72%0.06179+2.87%0.0135✗0.66265k2022-03-21
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.046110.045781-0.71%0.05358+16.20%0.1219✗1.06452k2022-03-21
GTGateEthereum6.3466.302-0.69%6.3691+0.36%0.0110✓0.652.9M2022-03-21
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.38580.384031-0.46%0.6232+61.53%0.4419✗1.27394k2022-03-21
AAVEAaveEthereum118.38117.9005-0.41%153.89+30.00%0.2259✗1.227.0M2022-03-21
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.