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2022-03-13 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 156 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3083
156 of 156 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.86%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
41.0%
in alpha space · 5.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+9.25%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (156 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum115.63115.3108-0.28%152.83+32.17%0.1728✗1.237.0M2022-03-20
MOVRMoonriverBase45.144.8894-0.47%59.6685+32.30%0.1662✗1.34160k2022-03-20
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash279.78278.1319-0.59%327.61+17.10%0.0809✗0.947.0M2022-03-20
MINAMina Protocolnative1.631.6198-0.63%2.12+30.06%0.1789✗1.02328k2022-03-20
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.40110.39858-0.63%0.4472+11.49%0.0035✓1.34377k2022-03-20
GTGateEthereum6.24886.2075-0.66%6.4475+3.18%0.0203✓0.662.8M2022-03-20
TRXTRONTron0.0592860.058867-0.71%0.061551+3.82%0.0147✓0.67259k2022-03-20
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7450.739621-0.72%0.847+13.69%0.0186✗1.322.0M2022-03-20
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.713.6823-0.75%4.45+19.95%0.0653✗1.40341k2022-03-20
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.046570.046181-0.83%0.04968+6.68%0.0227✓1.08467k2022-03-20
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.7312.6231-0.84%15.84+24.43%0.1162✗1.252.2M2022-03-20
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.1511.1412-0.85%1.465+27.28%0.1441✗1.202.2M2022-03-20
ETHEthereumEthereum2,516.412,494.89-0.86%2,862.44+13.75%0.0456✗1.04501.7M2022-03-20
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.252.2301-0.88%2.68+19.11%0.0898✗1.06534k2022-03-20
LPTLivepeerEthereum22.2622.049-0.95%26.24+17.88%0.0633✗1.25846k2022-03-20
XTZTezosTezos2.91172.8833-0.97%3.3362+14.58%0.0461✗1.131.2M2022-03-20
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.913.8701-1.02%5.219+33.48%0.1872✗1.262.3M2022-03-20
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.092.0685-1.03%2.35+12.44%0.0424✗0.96141k2022-03-20
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003360.003325-1.03%0.00365+8.63%0.0356✓1.465.2M2022-03-20
KCSKuCoinnative17.69117.5071-1.04%18.205+2.91%0.0439✓0.947.9M2022-03-20
XVSVenusEthereum8.268.174-1.04%8.96+8.47%0.0010✓1.053.2M2022-03-20
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.9191.8989-1.05%2.15+12.04%0.0093✓1.309.4M2022-03-20
COMPCompoundEthereum98.7997.7502-1.05%116.01+17.43%0.0730✗1.1144k2022-03-20
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.6294.5789-1.08%5.461+17.97%0.0940✗0.9376k2022-03-20
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0731.0614-1.09%1.194+11.28%0.0331✗0.962.9M2022-03-20
PROPropyEthereum1.51.4836-1.09%1.72+14.67%0.0498✗1.11295k2022-03-20
SUSHISushiEthereum2.782.7494-1.10%3.24+16.55%0.0617✗1.165.8M2022-03-20
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.474070.468817-1.11%0.549424+15.90%0.0667✗1.042.0M2022-03-20
RADRadworksEthereum4.434.3798-1.13%4.85+9.48%0.0246✗0.88590k2022-03-20
LTCLitecoinLitecoin101.69100.5308-1.14%114.88+12.97%0.0441✗1.0126.1M2022-03-20
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.016030.015847-1.14%0.01861+16.09%0.0729✗0.991.4M2022-03-20
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0157470.015566-1.15%0.024805+57.52%0.4055✗0.68143k2022-03-20
UNIUniswapEthereum8.28.1057-1.15%9.33+13.78%0.0502✗1.026.2M2022-03-20
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.03830.037853-1.17%0.04486+17.13%0.1033✗0.751.0M2022-03-20
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.68040.67238-1.18%0.7517+10.48%0.0249✗0.987.4M2022-03-20
GITCOINGITCOIN5.2255.1629-1.19%6.486+24.13%0.1143✗1.2925k2022-03-20
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.62650.618931-1.21%0.9266+47.90%0.2926✗1.253.1M2022-03-20
KSMKusamaHydration117.74116.3127-1.21%152.19+29.26%0.1697✗1.12649k2022-03-20
UOSUltraEthereum1.09991.0865-1.21%1.119+1.73%0.0860✓1.312.6M2022-03-20
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV75.3674.4411-1.22%85.03+12.83%0.0664✗0.75905k2022-03-20
COTICOTIEthereum0.19390.19151-1.23%0.2056+6.03%0.0447✓1.312.0M2022-03-20
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.755.6771-1.27%6.71+16.70%0.1041✗0.71931k2022-03-20
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.70950.700498-1.27%0.7809+10.06%0.0793✗0.33878k2022-03-20
CTSICartesiEthereum0.28980.286073-1.29%0.3429+18.32%0.0673✗1.29857k2022-03-20
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum15.7515.5439-1.31%16.77+6.48%0.0142✓1.0214.7M2022-03-20
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.5417.3087-1.32%19.62+11.86%0.0106✓1.30260k2022-03-20
BTTCBTTC0.000001740.000001717-1.33%0.00000182+4.60%0.0038✓0.6213.3M2022-03-20
SCSiacoinnative0.00830.008189-1.33%0.00918+10.60%0.0172✗1.10489k2022-03-20
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6050.59687-1.34%0.64+5.79%0.0116✓0.922.4M2022-03-20
AMPAmpEthereum0.024330.024003-1.34%0.02552+4.89%0.0044✓0.743.1M2022-03-20
SOLSolanaSolana78.7577.6754-1.36%88.64+12.56%0.0206✗1.2696.5M2022-03-20
MANADecentralandEthereum2.2562.2251-1.37%2.3992+6.35%0.0287✓1.182.1M2022-03-20
LRCLoopringEthereum0.68290.673438-1.39%0.8221+20.38%0.0818✗1.33106k2022-03-20
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.33410.329463-1.39%0.3905+16.88%0.0646✗1.197.6M2022-03-20
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.22660.223398-1.41%0.2472+9.09%0.0304✗0.801.9M2022-03-20
HIVEHivenative0.8290.817259-1.42%0.9064+9.34%0.0045✓1.121.7M2022-03-20
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.037680.037144-1.42%0.04113+9.16%0.0262✗0.8625k2022-03-20
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.83355.7503-1.43%6.0638+3.95%0.0180✗0.40186k2022-03-20
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3121.2931-1.44%1.555+18.52%0.0975✗0.98672k2022-03-20
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.31.2812-1.45%1.444+11.08%0.0013✓1.37569k2022-03-20
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.022450.022124-1.45%0.02543+13.27%0.0449✗1.07323k2022-03-20
ZENHorizenBase36.3635.823-1.48%41.02+12.82%0.0230✗1.27244k2022-03-20
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.2525.8561-1.50%27.83+6.02%0.0269✓1.1443.1M2022-03-20
DODODODOEthereum0.3640.358506-1.51%0.419+15.11%0.0586✗1.103.2M2022-03-20
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.29370.289262-1.51%0.3394+15.56%0.0226✗1.5510.3M2022-03-20
BTCBitcoinBitcoin37,793.0137,214.97-1.53%41,287.24+9.25%0.0154✗1.00645.2M2022-03-20
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.051.0339-1.53%1.12+6.67%0.0094✓1.01569k2022-03-20
LINKChainlinkEthereum12.7112.515-1.53%14.56+14.56%0.0569✗1.0744.7M2022-03-20
AVTAventusEthereum2.142.1071-1.54%2.43+13.55%0.1073✗0.40272k2022-03-20
CVCCivicEthereum0.24590.242105-1.54%0.2994+21.76%0.1123✗1.13204k2022-03-20
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche67.9766.9064-1.56%84.85+24.83%0.1209✗1.32116.5M2022-03-20
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9260.911477-1.57%1.437+55.18%0.3793✗0.861.0M2022-03-20
XMRMoneroMonero176.15173.3673-1.58%194.71+10.54%0.0346✗0.921.5M2022-03-20
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.68130.670455-1.59%0.7418+8.88%0.0109✓1.0218.2M2022-03-20
DIADIAEthereum0.870.85581-1.63%0.94+8.05%0.0627✗0.35274k2022-03-20
CBKCobakEthereum2.0662.0322-1.64%2.227+7.79%0.0226✗0.7819k2022-03-20
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06780.066688-1.64%0.0749+10.47%0.0428✗0.8311k2022-03-20
NANOnanopayBase1.63731.6104-1.64%2.21+34.98%0.2215✗1.08125k2022-03-20
QTUMQtumQtum5.54915.457-1.66%6.9787+25.76%0.1449✗1.14133k2022-03-20
XYMSymbolnative0.1330.130789-1.66%0.1358+2.11%0.0335✓0.80296k2022-03-20
FILFilecoinFilecoin17.2516.9607-1.68%17.65+2.32%0.0473✓0.996.7M2022-03-20
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.4780.469982-1.68%0.5158+7.91%0.0263✗0.75436k2022-03-20
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1114940.109623-1.68%0.119124+6.84%0.0065✓0.872.9M2022-03-20
CHZChilizEthereum0.1940.190688-1.71%0.2035+4.90%0.0394✓1.182.3M2022-03-20
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1060.10418-1.72%0.106+0.00%0.0306✓0.5439k2022-03-20
LSKLiskEthereum2.03461.9993-1.73%2.1435+5.35%0.0044✓0.84112k2022-03-20
DASHDashDash93.7892.1234-1.77%115.63+23.30%0.1385✗1.001.6M2022-03-20
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,034.5617,715.27-1.77%19,923.17+10.47%0.0351✗0.935.0M2022-03-20
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.3824.928-1.78%38.21+50.55%0.3401✗0.984.5M2022-03-20
XEMNEMnative0.09130.089666-1.79%0.0995+8.98%0.0299✗0.8440k2022-03-20
ZECZcashZcash155152.2128-1.80%174.15+12.35%0.0499✗0.967.9M2022-03-20
XVGVergenative0.008830.008671-1.80%0.00932+5.55%0.0305✓1.161.4M2022-03-20
ORCAOrcaSolana2.042.0025-1.84%2.15+5.39%0.0104✓0.69192k2022-03-20
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011670.011454-1.85%0.0125+7.11%0.0226✗0.7311k2022-03-20
STORJStorjEthereum0.991470.972925-1.87%1.0804+8.97%0.0057✓1.12112k2022-03-20
QNTQuantEthereum111.99109.8841-1.88%118.64+5.94%0.0049✓0.924.8M2022-03-20
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06740.066124-1.89%0.0748+10.98%0.0408✗0.93151k2022-03-20
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.591.5598-1.90%1.88+18.24%0.0752✗1.261.3M2022-03-20
ADACardanoCardano0.78750.77244-1.91%0.879+11.62%0.0392✗1.0269.1M2022-03-20
DKAdKargoEthereum0.08880.087082-1.93%0.09509+7.08%0.0095✓0.8933k2022-03-20
XLMStellarStellar0.1763420.172925-1.94%0.197329+11.90%0.0421✗1.0219.3M2022-03-20
DOTPolkadotPolkadot17.2216.8837-1.95%18.66+8.36%0.0042✓1.0825.0M2022-03-20
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.9313.8537-1.96%4.8674+23.82%0.1506✗0.94204k2022-03-20
XECeCashnative0.000073480.000072018-1.99%0.00007941+8.07%0.0112✓0.984.2M2022-03-20
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2210.216596-1.99%0.244+10.41%0.0484✗0.8047k2022-03-20
UMAUMAEthereum7.3267.1768-2.04%7.574+3.39%0.0620✓1.315.4M2022-03-20
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.4413.1651-2.05%12.86-4.32%0.0621✓0.443.2M2022-03-20
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.671510.657467-2.09%0.82107+22.27%0.1236✗1.12118k2022-03-20
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011210.010971-2.13%0.01172+4.55%0.0420✓1.223.1M2022-03-20
BANDBandEthereum3.3083.2373-2.14%3.584+8.34%0.0027✓1.12796k2022-03-20
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.58392.5276-2.18%3.2419+25.47%0.1786✗0.793.6M2022-03-20
WOOWOOEthereum0.4720.461612-2.20%0.6004+27.20%0.1744✗1.004,6242022-03-20
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.06750.066011-2.21%0.07518+11.38%0.0352✗1.0758k2022-03-20
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000021530.000021047-2.24%0.00002312+7.39%0.0105✓1.183.3M2022-03-20
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3981.3666-2.24%1.566+12.02%0.0484✗0.991.6M2022-03-20
FTTFTXEthereum39.838.8951-2.27%44.03+10.63%0.0318✗1.0416.1M2022-03-20
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.2211.9407-2.29%17.35+41.98%0.2790✗1.07359k2022-03-20
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.255.1273-2.34%6.49+23.62%0.1201✗1.31564k2022-03-20
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum45.1844.1236-2.34%49.87+10.38%0.0124✓1.245.2M2022-03-20
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.3814.2781-2.35%4.884+11.48%0.0502✗0.93121k2022-03-20
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum5.4915.362-2.35%6.218+13.24%0.0597✗1.00460k2022-03-20
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.580.566237-2.37%0.64+10.34%0.0159✓1.56711k2022-03-20
API3Api3Ethereum4.8354.7195-2.39%4.773-1.28%0.0432✓0.627.4M2022-03-20
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14460.141125-2.40%0.1522+5.26%0.0150✓1.02244k2022-03-20
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0393530.038406-2.41%0.040072+1.83%0.0436✓0.975.1M2022-03-20
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06360.062033-2.46%0.0705+10.85%0.0262✗1.15445k2022-03-20
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.012790.012467-2.52%0.03255+154.50%0.8366✗1.3912.7M2022-03-20
BFCBifrostEthereum0.142620.138974-2.56%0.15317+7.40%0.0233✓0.8416k2022-03-20
SUNSun TokenTron0.0111380.010853-2.56%0.01417+27.22%0.1838✗0.9411k2022-03-20
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.566.3913-2.57%6.14-6.40%0.1063✓0.75683k2022-03-20
LUNATerraTerra 287.4685.1611-2.63%90.43+3.40%0.0641✓1.407.8M2022-03-20
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum37,704.3036,711.94-2.63%41,609.40+10.36%0.0401✗0.9642k2022-03-20
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.4432.377-2.70%2.623+7.37%0.0100✓1.0054k2022-03-20
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.227.9973-2.71%7.97-3.04%0.0670✓0.721.1M2022-03-20
GALAGALAEthereum0.21720.211312-2.71%0.2332+7.37%0.0101✓1.00168k2022-03-20
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.2226.4769-2.73%29.09+6.87%0.0141✓0.91893k2022-03-20
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.3640.354032-2.74%0.4042+11.04%0.0366✓1.912.2M2022-03-20
STXStacksnative1.221.1843-2.93%1.26+3.28%0.0188✓0.91419k2022-03-20
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11310.10978-2.94%0.1247+10.26%0.0230✓1.182.8M2022-03-20
FIDABonfidaSolana1.5781.5312-2.97%1.647+4.37%0.0011✓0.8462k2022-03-20
LCXLCXEthereum0.09620.093307-3.01%0.0911-5.30%0.1383✓1.29504k2022-03-20
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8234.6752-3.06%4.965+2.94%0.0026✓0.71522k2022-03-20
CELLCellframeEthereum1.31.2597-3.10%1.4713+13.18%0.0422✗1.28289k2022-03-20
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.5763.4648-3.11%3.301-7.69%0.1136✓0.74337k2022-03-20
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.7711.4025-3.12%12.22+3.82%0.0212✓0.541.2M2022-03-20
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.91843.7929-3.20%3.8011-2.99%0.0533✓0.633.4M2022-03-20
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.276.0665-3.25%6.31+0.64%0.0238✓0.71612k2022-03-20
IMXImmutableEthereum1.6931.6379-3.25%2.186+29.12%0.2039✗0.963.3M2022-03-20
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05390.052091-3.36%0.0662+22.82%0.0884✗1.7144.0M2022-03-20
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.02461.9463-3.87%2.1688+7.12%0.0451✗0.7120k2022-03-20
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.000001170.000001123-4.01%0.00000118+0.88%0.0387✓1.001.7M2022-03-20
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.3994.1635-5.35%4.103-6.73%0.0719✓0.65436k2022-03-20
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3540.334661-5.46%0.814+129.94%0.7933✗1.081.8M2022-03-20
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.5475.1996-6.26%6.238+12.46%0.1411✗0.461.9M2022-03-20
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.86544.4919-7.68%4.2046-13.58%0.1267✓0.692.4M2022-03-20
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.73927.1438-7.69%9.2007+18.88%0.1646✗1.0025.2M2022-03-20
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.