8=======>

2022-03-03 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 152 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1543
152 of 152 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.53%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
52.0%
in alpha space · 85.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-7.14%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (152 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum129.96129.5236-0.34%119.26-8.23%0.0166✗1.346.8M2022-03-10
TRXTRONTron0.0600320.05976-0.45%0.059896-0.23%0.0593✗0.77307k2022-03-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash315.29313.393-0.60%289.59-8.15%0.0075✓0.977.3M2022-03-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.9412.923-0.61%2.69-8.53%0.0191✓0.86457k2022-03-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8822.8641-0.62%2.591-10.10%0.0340✓0.89239k2022-03-10
XVSVenusEthereum9.349.2684-0.77%8.5-8.99%0.0048✓1.233.6M2022-03-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.050730.05034-0.77%0.0474-6.56%0.0284✗1.20641k2022-03-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8520.845278-0.79%0.827-2.93%0.0800✗1.382.4M2022-03-10
GTGateEthereum6.79496.7383-0.83%6.3304-6.84%0.0113✓0.692.8M2022-03-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.49430.48998-0.87%0.4164-15.76%0.0589✓1.40465k2022-03-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.2315.185-0.88%4.672-10.69%0.0322✓0.9771k2022-03-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.015250.015112-0.90%0.01693+11.02%0.2268✗1.5312.7M2022-03-10
ETHEthereumEthereum2,833.662,808.00-0.91%2,608.22-7.96%0.0031✓1.04561.7M2022-03-10
MINAMina Protocolnative2.042.0211-0.93%1.79-12.25%0.0341✓1.18354k2022-03-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.426.3581-0.96%6.04-5.92%0.0084✓0.581.2M2022-03-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.385.3281-0.97%5.2-3.35%0.0400✗0.87566k2022-03-10
KCSKuCoinnative19.52619.3372-0.97%18.083-7.39%0.0065✓0.999.1M2022-03-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0202580.020059-0.98%0.015274-24.60%0.2091✓0.86135k2022-03-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5346190.529196-1.01%0.503035-5.91%0.0335✗1.142.8M2022-03-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV83.4582.5807-1.04%78.54-5.88%0.0119✗0.84908k2022-03-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4371.4218-1.06%1.374-4.38%0.0468✗1.09931k2022-03-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum25.1824.9093-1.08%24.22-3.81%0.0725✗1.361.4M2022-03-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.2490.246239-1.11%0.2216-11.00%0.0373✓0.922.0M2022-03-10
GITCOINGITCOIN6.3636.2913-1.13%5.737-9.84%0.0094✓1.3726k2022-03-10
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1741.1607-1.13%1.175+0.09%0.0995✗1.182.9M2022-03-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin111.69110.4243-1.13%102.58-8.16%0.0075✓1.1029.3M2022-03-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.039670.039218-1.14%0.03918-1.24%0.0712✗0.9729k2022-03-10
COMPCompoundEthereum116.89115.5313-1.16%103.46-11.49%0.0196✓1.2364k2022-03-10
SUSHISushiEthereum3.33.261-1.18%2.98-9.70%0.0028✓1.256.6M2022-03-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034350.033942-1.19%0.04023+17.12%0.2335✗0.861.1M2022-03-10
XMRMoneroMonero172.04169.9761-1.20%178.98+4.03%0.1254✗1.001.3M2022-03-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.75960.750465-1.20%0.732-3.63%0.0562✗1.109.7M2022-03-10
SCSiacoinnative0.009020.008908-1.24%0.00902+0.00%0.1041✗1.24563k2022-03-10
ZENHorizenBase38.1837.6928-1.28%42.28+10.74%0.2209✗1.43280k2022-03-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.382.3495-1.28%2.2-7.56%0.0079✓1.00254k2022-03-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7140.70481-1.29%0.618-13.45%0.0533✓1.062.6M2022-03-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.62065.547-1.31%5.8363+3.84%0.0737✗0.31335k2022-03-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4184.3599-1.31%4.112-6.93%0.0043✓0.85453k2022-03-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.36470.359887-1.32%0.3255-10.75%0.0007✓1.378.7M2022-03-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025070.000024737-1.33%0.00002262-9.77%0.0039✓1.263.9M2022-03-10
MANADecentralandEthereum2.63682.6018-1.33%2.3707-10.09%0.0059✓1.183.2M2022-03-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.7719.5029-1.35%18.43-6.78%0.0503✗1.44325k2022-03-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.71130.701604-1.36%0.68631-3.51%0.0779✗1.35200k2022-03-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.336.2433-1.37%6.06-4.27%0.0362✗0.89486k2022-03-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018770.018512-1.38%0.01703-9.27%0.0016✓1.102.2M2022-03-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.314.1028-1.38%14-2.10%0.1006✗1.462.2M2022-03-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07250.0715-1.38%0.0702-3.17%0.0549✗0.9914k2022-03-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.952.9092-1.38%2.8703-2.70%0.0508✗0.873.6M2022-03-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.424.3586-1.39%4.08-7.69%0.0438✗1.48471k2022-03-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1180.11632-1.42%0.107-9.32%0.0443✓0.5344k2022-03-10
XYMSymbolnative0.1460.143921-1.42%0.1369-6.23%0.0090✓0.80296k2022-03-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.8083.7537-1.43%4.473+17.46%0.2678✗1.252.1M2022-03-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche78.4977.3678-1.43%73.95-5.78%0.0635✗1.47120.2M2022-03-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.0950.093637-1.43%0.0821-13.58%0.0213✓1.49613k2022-03-10
STORJStorjEthereum1.04761.0325-1.44%1.0319-1.50%0.0958✗1.30175k2022-03-10
ZECZcashZcash129.17127.2997-1.45%157.3+21.78%0.2924✗1.097.4M2022-03-10
RADRadworksEthereum5.515.43-1.45%4.46-19.06%0.1242✓0.98828k2022-03-10
CBKCobakEthereum2.2122.1799-1.45%2.141-3.21%0.0505✗0.9326k2022-03-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.027530.027128-1.46%0.02578-6.36%0.0057✓0.774.0M2022-03-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4791.4572-1.48%1.33-10.07%0.0150✗1.44797k2022-03-10
BTTCBTTC0.00000190.000001872-1.49%0.00000181-4.74%0.0158✗0.6713.5M2022-03-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,572.6041,937.29-1.49%39,505.90-7.20%0.0123✓0.9759k2022-03-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012360.012175-1.50%0.01203-2.67%0.0463✗0.7913k2022-03-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.19710.194122-1.51%0.1964-0.36%0.1119✗1.352.7M2022-03-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.78640.774344-1.53%0.7156-9.00%0.0272✗1.43238k2022-03-10
XTZTezosTezos3.39373.3414-1.54%3.0579-9.89%0.0061✓1.281.8M2022-03-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02830.027861-1.55%0.02397-15.30%0.0530✓1.32503k2022-03-10
QTUMQtumQtum6.39226.2907-1.59%6.006-6.04%0.0524✗1.33257k2022-03-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0720.070855-1.59%0.068-5.56%0.0348✗1.02157k2022-03-10
DASHDashDash96.7595.1981-1.60%104.65+8.17%0.1786✗1.131.5M2022-03-10
NANOnanopayBase1.8681.838-1.61%1.6882-9.63%0.0033✓1.19177k2022-03-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.22830.22462-1.61%0.2025-11.30%0.0043✓1.462.5M2022-03-10
UNIUniswapEthereum9.559.3954-1.62%8.68-9.11%0.0071✓1.179.6M2022-03-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.2529.76-1.62%26.7-11.74%0.0295✓1.075.3M2022-03-10
SOLSolanaSolana95.6194.0566-1.62%82.92-13.27%0.0337✓1.25127.4M2022-03-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.95192.9036-1.64%2.8775-2.52%0.0563✗0.882.4M2022-03-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.093370.091824-1.66%0.08882-4.87%0.0436✗1.0442k2022-03-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,464.4141,755.65-1.67%39,433.71-7.14%0.0168✗1.00645.2M2022-03-10
KSMKusamaHydration131.9129.6875-1.68%126.53-4.07%0.0608✗1.15953k2022-03-10
XECeCashnative0.000074490.00007324-1.68%0.00008054+8.12%0.1759✗1.094.5M2022-03-10
XEMNEMnative0.10290.101154-1.70%0.0965-6.22%0.0250✗0.9740k2022-03-10
HIVEHivenative0.97960.962967-1.70%0.928-5.27%0.0480✗1.152.1M2022-03-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.1319.785-1.71%17.9-11.08%0.0181✓1.119.1M2022-03-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1295790.127353-1.72%0.116797-9.86%0.0168✓0.943.7M2022-03-10
XVGVergenative0.010010.009836-1.74%0.00985-1.60%0.0940✗1.251.4M2022-03-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.26364.188-1.77%4.2989+0.83%0.1104✗1.14244k2022-03-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.3810.374196-1.79%0.2987-21.60%0.1171✓1.461.3M2022-03-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8732.8217-1.79%3.236+12.63%0.1960✗0.80864k2022-03-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.0317.7019-1.82%16.97-5.88%0.0476✗1.2127.0M2022-03-10
AVTAventusEthereum2.382.3366-1.82%2.29-3.78%0.0539✗1.00443k2022-03-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12210.11987-1.83%0.1198-1.88%0.0955✗1.303.2M2022-03-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0469370.046076-1.84%0.040695-13.30%0.0469✓1.048.1M2022-03-10
XLMStellarStellar0.1879010.18444-1.84%0.178633-4.93%0.0478✗1.0819.8M2022-03-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.079.8838-1.85%10.26+1.89%0.0856✗0.65928k2022-03-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.720.70657-1.87%0.61-15.28%0.0205✓1.71988k2022-03-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.1761.1538-1.89%0.979-16.75%0.0869✓1.051.3M2022-03-10
MOVRMoonriverBase66.587865.3278-1.89%51.3064-22.95%0.1395✓1.38231k2022-03-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.5451.5154-1.92%1.201-22.27%0.1446✓1.192.3M2022-03-10
UOSUltraEthereum1.40911.3817-1.94%1.1927-15.36%0.0486✓1.333.1M2022-03-10
DIADIAEthereum1.051.0291-1.99%0.91-13.33%0.1046✓0.25279k2022-03-10
DODODODOEthereum0.4480.439094-1.99%0.386-13.84%0.0336✓1.294.2M2022-03-10
ADACardanoCardano0.90210.883821-2.03%0.807-10.54%0.0090✓1.1194.8M2022-03-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.79670.780406-2.05%0.7308-8.27%0.0173✓1.1219.9M2022-03-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.28240.27662-2.05%0.2624-7.08%0.0428✗1.29284k2022-03-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.637.4723-2.07%7.54-1.18%0.0780✗0.93480k2022-03-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.069830.068373-2.09%0.07709+10.40%0.2112✗1.2364k2022-03-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.8650.846878-2.10%0.7483-13.49%0.1057✓0.241.2M2022-03-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.3213.0391-2.11%12.75-4.28%0.0637✗1.16312k2022-03-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011990.011732-2.15%0.01209+0.83%0.1316✗1.372.9M2022-03-10
QNTQuantEthereum127.04124.2487-2.20%116.66-8.17%0.0082✓0.966.3M2022-03-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.8914.5596-2.22%13.18-11.48%0.0122✓1.1850.4M2022-03-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.9719.5236-2.24%16.62-16.78%0.0769✓1.1420.0M2022-03-10
LSKLiskEthereum2.10752.0589-2.31%2.1814+3.51%0.1325✗1.0179k2022-03-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.0843.0128-2.31%2.532-17.90%0.0820✓1.24612k2022-03-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5231.4874-2.34%1.536+0.85%0.1182✗1.162.0M2022-03-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos34.0133.1895-2.41%28.05-17.52%0.0783✓1.2150.3M2022-03-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.346.1868-2.42%5.7-10.09%0.0209✓1.39909k2022-03-10
BANDBandEthereum3.9623.8662-2.42%3.473-12.34%0.0113✓1.301.7M2022-03-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07250.070734-2.44%0.0684-5.66%0.0631✗1.301.0M2022-03-10
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.012.9359-2.46%6.6334+120.38%0.8892✗1.0014.1M2022-03-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum53.3151.9837-2.49%46.78-12.25%0.0089✓1.306.5M2022-03-10
IMXImmutableEthereum1.461.4237-2.49%1.512+3.56%0.1373✗1.043.4M2022-03-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.5082.4453-2.50%2.046-18.42%0.0707✓1.4513.2M2022-03-10
STXStacksnative1.211.1796-2.51%1.51+24.79%0.3350✗1.19552k2022-03-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15590.151974-2.52%0.1518-2.63%0.0753✗1.03366k2022-03-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.241.2083-2.56%1.12-9.68%0.0006✓1.03782k2022-03-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.5845.4397-2.58%4.75-14.94%0.0575✓1.05179k2022-03-10
ORCAOrcaSolana2.462.3964-2.58%2.11-14.23%0.0671✓0.81402k2022-03-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.55010.535702-2.62%0.5014-8.85%0.0007✓0.88561k2022-03-10
FTTFTXEthereum44.8643.6842-2.62%40.75-9.16%0.0096✓1.0720.8M2022-03-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum21,698.8621,125.70-2.64%19,059.42-12.16%0.0306✓0.986.1M2022-03-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.851.8009-2.65%1.67-9.73%0.0267✓1.382.0M2022-03-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.0529.2499-2.66%27.97-6.92%0.0254✓0.951.5M2022-03-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.47220.459536-2.68%0.4126-12.62%0.0413✗2.012.2M2022-03-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2730.265304-2.82%0.23-15.75%0.0816✓0.8366k2022-03-10
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.88e-76.68e-7-2.94%0.000001307+90.00%0.7458✗1.001.0M2022-03-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.4215.9273-3.00%13.72-16.44%0.0966✓0.712.6M2022-03-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2950.28593-3.07%0.266-9.83%0.0254✓1.322.2M2022-03-10
CELLCellframeEthereum1.64971.5975-3.16%1.4191-13.98%0.0258✓1.25293k2022-03-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80580.780084-3.19%0.6973-13.46%0.0116✓1.362.7M2022-03-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.7732.6836-3.22%2.7676-0.19%0.0943✗0.862.9M2022-03-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.0119530.011565-3.25%0.011453-4.18%0.0670✗1.0414k2022-03-10
LUNATerraTerra 290.5687.2968-3.60%101.21+11.76%0.2532✗1.425.0M2022-03-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.161470.155645-3.61%0.15896-1.55%0.1013✗1.0821k2022-03-10
FIDABonfidaSolana1.9761.9033-3.68%1.676-15.18%0.0637✓0.8676k2022-03-10
PROPropyEthereum1.921.8397-4.18%1.6-16.67%0.0537✓1.16411k2022-03-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.36870.353076-4.24%0.3311-10.20%0.0590✗1.6714.6M2022-03-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004560.004365-4.28%0.00366-19.74%0.0559✓1.627.7M2022-03-10
API3Api3Ethereum7.3156.9996-4.31%5.224-28.59%0.2559✓0.505.7M2022-03-10
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.28992.1821-4.71%2.155-5.89%0.0379✓0.6826k2022-03-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06370.060665-4.77%0.0588-7.69%0.0987✗1.7568.8M2022-03-10
UMAUMAEthereum9.5989.0809-5.39%7.407-22.83%0.1004✓1.401.9M2022-03-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.