8=======>

2022-03-02 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 152 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0485
152 of 152 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.88%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
61.2%
in alpha space · 81.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.46%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (152 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06550.062183-5.06%0.0648-1.07%0.1220✗1.7772.8M2022-03-09
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.40330.383969-4.79%0.3619-10.27%0.0157✓1.6414.7M2022-03-09
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004690.004473-4.62%0.0039-16.84%0.0625✓1.649.6M2022-03-09
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.23112.1345-4.33%2.1758-2.48%0.0516✗0.7126k2022-03-09
API3Api3Ethereum7.36.9852-4.31%5.441-25.47%0.2270✓0.504.1M2022-03-09
FIDABonfidaSolana2.2372.1456-4.09%1.786-20.16%0.1475✓0.7976k2022-03-09
BFCBifrostEthereum0.165420.159167-3.78%0.15435-6.69%0.0233✓1.1822k2022-03-09
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.77512.6727-3.69%3.1069+11.96%0.1905✗0.882.7M2022-03-09
UMAUMAEthereum8.4218.1112-3.68%8.061-4.28%0.0587✗1.421.9M2022-03-09
LUNATerraTerra 292.4389.067-3.64%99.22+7.35%0.1732✗1.434.8M2022-03-09
SUNSun TokenTron0.0122160.011785-3.52%0.011931-2.33%0.0595✗1.0414k2022-03-09
PROPropyEthereum1.821.7583-3.39%1.67-8.24%0.0035✓1.21411k2022-03-09
CELLCellframeEthereum1.62261.5767-2.83%1.5521-4.34%0.0422✗1.27293k2022-03-09
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3080.299546-2.74%0.279-9.42%0.0115✓1.312.2M2022-03-09
YFIyearn.financeEthereum22,346.9421,735.02-2.74%20,404.96-8.69%0.0186✓0.985.9M2022-03-09
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.50290.489482-2.67%0.4297-14.56%0.0385✓2.012.2M2022-03-09
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.1515.7191-2.67%14.6-9.60%0.0417✓0.702.3M2022-03-09
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07750.07545-2.65%0.0717-7.48%0.0084✓1.301.0M2022-03-09
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.931.8802-2.58%1.79-7.25%0.0115✓1.332.0M2022-03-09
FTTFTXEthereum46.1644.9796-2.56%42.75-7.39%0.0021✓1.0722.8M2022-03-09
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.6472.5793-2.56%2.159-18.44%0.1115✓1.4513.6M2022-03-09
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.947.7387-2.53%8+0.76%0.0751✗0.92461k2022-03-09
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.0385.8857-2.52%5.029-16.71%0.1095✓1.05166k2022-03-09
ORCAOrcaSolana2.522.4573-2.49%2.2-12.70%0.0650✓1.00445k2022-03-09
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.3729.6261-2.45%28.87-4.94%0.0166✓0.931.5M2022-03-09
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15950.155597-2.45%0.1627+2.01%0.0915✗1.03420k2022-03-09
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.2923.2125-2.42%5.1595+56.73%0.5194✗1.0019.7M2022-03-09
STXStacksnative1.251.2203-2.38%1.12-10.40%0.0310✓1.20585k2022-03-09
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.29e-76.14e-7-2.36%0.000001482+135.47%0.9259✗1.001.1M2022-03-09
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.646.483-2.36%6.31-4.97%0.0373✗1.41942k2022-03-09
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum55.5954.2861-2.35%48.63-12.52%0.0508✓1.306.5M2022-03-09
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.56650.553436-2.31%0.5284-6.73%0.0045✓0.92607k2022-03-09
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.591.5537-2.28%1.586-0.25%0.0731✗1.152.0M2022-03-09
BANDBandEthereum4.0163.9255-2.25%3.737-6.95%0.0107✓1.311.8M2022-03-09
IMXImmutableEthereum1.4641.4313-2.23%1.602+9.43%0.1608✗1.063.4M2022-03-09
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.72910.71284-2.23%0.7336+0.62%0.0927✗1.402.5M2022-03-09
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.012310.012043-2.17%0.01242+0.89%0.0942✗1.392.8M2022-03-09
CVCCivicEthereum0.29450.288308-2.10%0.2736-7.10%0.0077✓1.32317k2022-03-09
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.3118.9069-2.09%17.47-9.53%0.0264✓1.1520.0M2022-03-09
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.2914.9713-2.08%14.02-8.31%0.0119✓1.1850.8M2022-03-09
DODODODOEthereum0.4680.458289-2.08%0.407-13.03%0.0598✓1.294.2M2022-03-09
RADRadworksEthereum5.595.4746-2.07%4.63-17.17%0.1221✓1.00828k2022-03-09
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.072580.071093-2.05%0.07646+5.35%0.1299✗1.2569k2022-03-09
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos32.2531.5914-2.04%30.07-6.76%0.0029✓1.1550.3M2022-03-09
MOVRMoonriverBase71.5570.1006-2.03%54.9209-23.24%0.1810✓1.38231k2022-03-09
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.8952.8392-1.93%2.61-9.84%0.0247✓1.30584k2022-03-09
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.992.9325-1.92%3.427+14.62%0.1987✗0.94792k2022-03-09
ADACardanoCardano0.93940.921688-1.89%0.8495-9.57%0.0303✓1.1296.3M2022-03-09
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.6913.4324-1.88%13.1-4.31%0.0251✗1.10331k2022-03-09
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.271.2465-1.85%1.23-3.15%0.0342✗1.04824k2022-03-09
LSKLiskEthereum1.95921.9234-1.83%2.007+2.44%0.0900✗1.0477k2022-03-09
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.82040.805473-1.82%0.7672-6.48%0.0029✓1.1319.9M2022-03-09
UOSUltraEthereum1.3891.3639-1.81%1.2223-12.00%0.0479✓1.352.8M2022-03-09
LCXLCXEthereum0.09910.097308-1.81%0.0841-15.14%0.0780✓1.49613k2022-03-09
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.6118.2862-1.74%17.86-4.03%0.0318✗1.2128.4M2022-03-09
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12990.127644-1.74%0.1245-4.16%0.0342✗1.303.2M2022-03-09
HIVEHivenative0.99880.981535-1.73%0.9131-8.58%0.0182✓1.182.1M2022-03-09
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.750.737036-1.73%0.66-12.00%0.0321✓1.721.0M2022-03-09
XLMStellarStellar0.1936240.190291-1.72%0.188762-2.51%0.0409✗1.0719.8M2022-03-09
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,912.3443,159.19-1.72%41,953.97-4.46%0.0173✗1.00632.3M2022-03-09
QNTQuantEthereum117.95115.947-1.70%118.86+0.77%0.0700✗0.996.3M2022-03-09
SOLSolanaSolana100.7399.043-1.67%88.1-12.54%0.0597✓1.26131.2M2022-03-09
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum44,262.0043,548.77-1.61%41,967.60-5.18%0.0075✓0.9753k2022-03-09
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.7320.397-1.61%18.83-9.17%0.0289✓1.129.1M2022-03-09
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.4134.3423-1.60%3.9867-9.66%0.0336✓1.14244k2022-03-09
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.149.9779-1.60%10.46+3.16%0.0773✗0.66928k2022-03-09
DIADIAEthereum1.021.0037-1.60%0.94-7.84%0.0530✓0.28282k2022-03-09
XVGVergenative0.010370.010205-1.59%0.01052+1.45%0.0873✗1.251.3M2022-03-09
XECeCashnative0.000075940.000074758-1.56%0.00007564-0.40%0.0618✗1.104.5M2022-03-09
AVTAventusEthereum2.352.3136-1.55%2.39+1.70%0.0781✗1.00422k2022-03-09
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.046790.046065-1.55%0.041988-10.26%0.0439✓1.078.1M2022-03-09
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07540.074239-1.54%0.0713-5.44%0.0048✓0.99157k2022-03-09
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche83.4282.1375-1.54%77.65-6.92%0.0089✓1.43120.2M2022-03-09
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.1641.1462-1.53%1.024-12.03%0.0641✓1.071.4M2022-03-09
XEMNEMnative0.10640.104774-1.53%0.101-5.08%0.0077✓0.9740k2022-03-09
DASHDashDash100.999.3666-1.52%99.72-1.17%0.0550✗1.131.5M2022-03-09
KSMKusamaHydration138.31136.2221-1.51%135.22-2.23%0.0450✗1.151.0M2022-03-09
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1330810.131076-1.51%0.121511-8.69%0.0328✓0.943.7M2022-03-09
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5481.5248-1.50%1.394-9.95%0.0237✓1.45842k2022-03-09
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.654.5809-1.49%4.25-8.60%0.0059✓1.51471k2022-03-09
CTSICartesiEthereum0.3970.39114-1.48%0.3204-19.29%0.1345✓1.421.3M2022-03-09
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.02972.9861-1.44%2.9949-1.15%0.0432✗0.882.4M2022-03-09
BTTCBTTC0.000001960.000001932-1.43%0.00000186-5.10%0.0076✓0.6613.7M2022-03-09
UNIUniswapEthereum10.059.9063-1.43%9.21-8.36%0.0188✓1.1910.4M2022-03-09
XTZTezosTezos3.4943.4442-1.43%3.1801-8.98%0.0214✓1.281.9M2022-03-09
ETCEthereum Classicnative29.5229.1002-1.42%28.04-5.01%0.0121✓1.085.2M2022-03-09
COTICOTIEthereum0.23080.227547-1.41%0.2116-8.32%0.0057✓1.472.5M2022-03-09
QTUMQtumQtum6.48676.3953-1.41%6.0487-6.75%0.0055✓1.34257k2022-03-09
LRCLoopringEthereum0.80820.796965-1.39%0.741-8.31%0.0068✓1.45270k2022-03-09
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02680.026428-1.39%0.024-10.45%0.0358✓1.33500k2022-03-09
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2470.243643-1.36%0.237-4.05%0.0114✓0.8566k2022-03-09
CHZChilizEthereum0.1970.194324-1.36%0.2005+1.78%0.0935✗1.362.8M2022-03-09
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.9763.9223-1.35%4.727+18.89%0.2430✗1.242.2M2022-03-09
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.7620.4852-1.32%20.31-2.17%0.0572✗1.44328k2022-03-09
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018920.018671-1.32%0.01738-8.14%0.0218✓1.092.2M2022-03-09
DKAdKargoEthereum0.0910.089805-1.31%0.09322+2.44%0.0856✗1.0643k2022-03-09
MANADecentralandEthereum2.75322.7172-1.31%2.4947-9.39%0.0306✓1.203.3M2022-03-09
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.94245.865-1.30%5.8487-1.58%0.0113✓0.31385k2022-03-09
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.436.3468-1.29%6.1-5.13%0.0006✓0.88478k2022-03-09
AMPAmpEthereum0.028320.027954-1.29%0.02596-8.33%0.0388✓0.774.0M2022-03-09
XYMSymbolnative0.1490.147079-1.29%0.1415-5.03%0.0017✓0.81294k2022-03-09
CBKCobakEthereum2.2982.2684-1.29%2.232-2.87%0.0254✗0.9123k2022-03-09
STORJStorjEthereum1.07421.0604-1.28%0.98649-8.17%0.0116✓1.33187k2022-03-09
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.03222.9933-1.28%2.9836-1.60%0.0366✗0.873.6M2022-03-09
ZECZcashZcash125.91124.2957-1.28%141.65+12.50%0.1818✗1.127.4M2022-03-09
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3591.3417-1.27%1.287-5.30%0.0164✗1.272.0M2022-03-09
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.730470.721395-1.24%0.68283-6.52%0.0076✓1.37200k2022-03-09
SUSHISushiEthereum3.413.3686-1.21%3.19-6.45%0.0031✓1.266.8M2022-03-09
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.37420.369668-1.21%0.3463-7.46%0.0034✓1.368.7M2022-03-09
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012350.012202-1.20%0.01282+3.81%0.0832✗0.7413k2022-03-09
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.016340.016144-1.20%0.01383-15.36%0.0853✓1.5212.7M2022-03-09
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1160.114616-1.19%0.104-10.34%0.0720✓0.5544k2022-03-09
SCSiacoinnative0.009570.009458-1.17%0.00949-0.84%0.0610✗1.26563k2022-03-09
XMRMoneroMonero177.46175.3881-1.17%188.71+6.34%0.1190✗1.001.2M2022-03-09
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.033970.033575-1.16%0.0398+17.16%0.2108✗0.891.1M2022-03-09
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.5626.2516-1.16%25.07-5.61%0.0167✗1.381.5M2022-03-09
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.1614.9856-1.15%14.69-3.10%0.0474✗1.482.4M2022-03-09
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5054.4537-1.14%4.263-5.37%0.0054✓0.84453k2022-03-09
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.78720.778246-1.14%0.7395-6.06%0.0008✓1.109.7M2022-03-09
ZENHorizenBase38.9238.4813-1.13%41.61+6.91%0.1441✗1.45280k2022-03-09
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07140.070595-1.13%0.073+2.24%0.0795✗1.0113k2022-03-09
COMPCompoundEthereum122.45121.0837-1.12%108.96-11.02%0.0498✓1.2258k2022-03-09
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2021.1889-1.09%1.185-1.41%0.0508✗1.192.9M2022-03-09
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.432.4035-1.09%2.3-5.35%0.0016✓1.00268k2022-03-09
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.72420.716371-1.08%0.76+4.94%0.0747✗0.341.2M2022-03-09
NANOnanopayBase1.87821.858-1.08%1.7476-6.95%0.0075✓1.18179k2022-03-09
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.575.5111-1.06%5.23-6.10%0.0134✓0.85540k2022-03-09
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25710.254396-1.05%0.2319-9.80%0.0510✓0.912.0M2022-03-09
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7030.695662-1.04%0.662-5.83%0.0005✓1.082.6M2022-03-09
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025910.000025642-1.03%0.00002383-8.03%0.0162✓1.253.9M2022-03-09
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5706110.564743-1.03%0.524645-8.06%0.0220✓1.132.8M2022-03-09
GITCOINGITCOIN6.76.6314-1.02%6.28-6.27%0.0090✓1.3927k2022-03-09
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0210730.020857-1.02%0.015975-24.19%0.2272✓0.87135k2022-03-09
KCSKuCoinnative20.35520.1542-0.99%18.777-7.75%0.0257✓0.999.1M2022-03-09
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4961.4814-0.98%1.376-8.02%0.0231✓1.11939k2022-03-09
LTCLitecoinLitecoin110.35109.2928-0.96%106.99-3.04%0.0298✗1.1229.5M2022-03-09
ETHEthereumEthereum2,948.562,920.92-0.94%2,727.60-7.49%0.0209✓1.04581.4M2022-03-09
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040780.040403-0.92%0.04098+0.49%0.0594✗0.9929k2022-03-09
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV86.1185.3203-0.92%83.31-3.25%0.0146✗0.84905k2022-03-09
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.716.65-0.89%6.19-7.75%0.0484✓0.511.2M2022-03-09
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.51440.510011-0.85%0.4455-13.39%0.0725✓1.37484k2022-03-09
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.1143.0879-0.84%2.89-7.19%0.0278✓0.84477k2022-03-09
XVSVenusEthereum9.789.6981-0.84%8.93-8.69%0.0271✓1.213.5M2022-03-09
MINAMina Protocolnative2.132.1127-0.81%1.89-11.27%0.0583✓1.16354k2022-03-09
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9170.909965-0.77%0.921+0.44%0.0706✗1.282.4M2022-03-09
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.5515.5106-0.73%5.1-8.12%0.0353✓0.9271k2022-03-09
GTGateEthereum6.8036.7565-0.68%6.654-2.19%0.0168✗0.702.8M2022-03-09
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.982.9603-0.66%2.732-8.32%0.0397✓0.89223k2022-03-09
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash320.43318.8717-0.49%307.25-4.11%0.0072✗0.977.3M2022-03-09
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048750.048557-0.40%0.04842-0.68%0.0520✗1.20641k2022-03-09
TRXTRONTron0.0615050.061302-0.33%0.060814-1.12%0.0271✗0.77307k2022-03-09
AAVEAaveEthereum137.7137.2967-0.29%127.5-7.41%0.0128✓1.346.8M2022-03-09
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.