8=======>

2022-03-01 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0628
151 of 151 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.74%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
32.5%
in alpha space · 90.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.81%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
UMAUMAEthereum9.4478.8036-6.81%7.832-17.10%0.0772✗1.421.9M2022-03-08
API3Api3Ethereum8.0947.6148-5.92%5.243-35.22%0.3063✓0.492.9M2022-03-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07030.066257-5.75%0.0566-19.49%0.0843✗1.7676.7M2022-03-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.42180.39901-5.40%0.3413-19.08%0.0691✗1.6414.7M2022-03-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004710.0045-4.46%0.00376-20.17%0.0449✓1.649.6M2022-03-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.25792.161-4.29%2.0561-8.94%0.0478✗0.7126k2022-03-08
LUNATerraTerra 289.7286.3308-3.78%85.48-4.73%0.1866✗1.434.8M2022-03-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.012490.012022-3.75%0.011366-9.00%0.0854✗1.0315k2022-03-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.165530.159431-3.68%0.14701-11.19%0.0821✗1.1924k2022-03-08
PROPropyEthereum1.841.777-3.42%1.54-16.30%0.0225✓1.21452k2022-03-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.277.9907-3.38%7.88-4.72%0.1118✗0.92461k2022-03-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.57242.4863-3.35%3.0589+18.91%0.3285✗0.882.7M2022-03-08
CELLCellframeEthereum1.70181.6482-3.15%1.3396-21.28%0.0338✓1.27278k2022-03-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.53940.523143-3.01%0.4042-25.06%0.0173✓2.012.1M2022-03-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.75820.736113-2.91%0.6773-10.67%0.1079✗1.392.5M2022-03-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum21,756.2421,131.14-2.87%19,352.13-11.05%0.0463✗0.985.9M2022-03-08
FIDABonfidaSolana1.811.7611-2.70%1.824+0.77%0.1526✗0.8676k2022-03-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.5462.4793-2.62%2.035-20.07%0.0028✓1.4613.6M2022-03-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07860.076542-2.62%0.0696-11.45%0.0839✗1.311.0M2022-03-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3180.309738-2.60%0.27-15.09%0.0416✗1.312.2M2022-03-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.991.9386-2.58%1.69-15.08%0.0446✗1.332.0M2022-03-08
FTTFTXEthereum46.2545.0691-2.55%40.57-12.28%0.0415✗1.0722.8M2022-03-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.1933.1123-2.53%3.365+5.39%0.2085✗0.95741k2022-03-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.7915.3938-2.51%16.34+3.48%0.1567✗0.712.2M2022-03-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.8630.0888-2.50%28.1-8.94%0.0588✗0.931.5M2022-03-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16150.157512-2.47%0.1485-8.05%0.0816✗1.03446k2022-03-08
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5821.5436-2.43%1.518-4.05%0.1272✗1.053.4M2022-03-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum57.1955.8027-2.43%46.4-18.87%0.0069✓1.306.7M2022-03-08
ORCAOrcaSolana2.582.518-2.40%2.19-15.12%0.0026✓1.00488k2022-03-08
STXStacksnative1.291.2592-2.39%1.06-17.83%0.0080✓1.20596k2022-03-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.826.6586-2.37%5.71-16.28%0.0401✗1.41942k2022-03-08
BANDBandEthereum4.2274.1283-2.34%3.473-17.84%0.0058✓1.301.8M2022-03-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6171.5802-2.27%1.529-5.44%0.1244✗1.151.8M2022-03-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.076330.074596-2.27%0.07699+0.86%0.2025✗1.2569k2022-03-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.30580.29894-2.24%0.2596-15.11%0.0395✗1.32328k2022-03-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.0913.7777-2.22%12.75-9.51%0.0724✗1.09331k2022-03-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.7715.6436-2.21%4.763-17.47%0.0261✓1.05181k2022-03-08
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.11e-75.97e-7-2.20%0.000001432+134.40%1.0111✗1.001.1M2022-03-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.98611.9446-2.09%1.8748-5.61%0.1060✗1.0475k2022-03-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.3418.9416-2.06%16.86-12.82%0.0420✗1.1620.6M2022-03-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.57650.564682-2.05%0.5126-11.08%0.0280✗0.91642k2022-03-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.3615.049-2.02%13.09-14.78%0.0222✗1.1852.2M2022-03-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos31.1430.5166-2.00%27.87-10.50%0.0660✗1.1450.3M2022-03-08
DODODODOEthereum0.4790.46944-2.00%0.391-18.37%0.0064✓1.294.2M2022-03-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011460.01124-1.92%0.01185+3.40%0.2439✗1.392.8M2022-03-08
ADACardanoCardano0.96430.946356-1.86%0.8021-16.82%0.0129✓1.1197.3M2022-03-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13620.133679-1.85%0.1137-16.52%0.0146✓1.293.1M2022-03-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.291.2664-1.83%1.17-9.30%0.0638✗1.04885k2022-03-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.10480.102887-1.83%0.0836-20.23%0.0026✓1.50613k2022-03-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin44,439.9543,635.84-1.81%38,749.38-12.81%0.0183✓1.00632.3M2022-03-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.85690.841554-1.79%0.7402-13.62%0.0265✗1.1320.7M2022-03-08
HIVEHivenative1.03521.0167-1.79%0.8637-16.57%0.0000✓1.192.1M2022-03-08
MOVRMoonriverBase66.415665.2307-1.78%52.05-21.63%0.0362✓1.38223k2022-03-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.780.766261-1.76%0.6-23.08%0.0098✓1.711.0M2022-03-08
UOSUltraEthereum1.36521.3414-1.74%1.1917-12.71%0.0683✗1.362.8M2022-03-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.918.5709-1.74%16.97-10.21%0.0763✗1.2129.4M2022-03-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.9685.4536-1.73%72.98-16.08%0.0385✗1.43118.3M2022-03-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1989270.19557-1.69%0.173136-12.97%0.0244✗1.0720.5M2022-03-08
QNTQuantEthereum119.35117.3495-1.68%111.08-6.93%0.0805✗0.996.4M2022-03-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.864.7787-1.67%3.99-17.90%0.0267✗1.51456k2022-03-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum44,139.1043,401.41-1.67%38,942.90-11.77%0.0252✗0.9752k2022-03-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2451.2245-1.65%1.006-19.20%0.0508✓1.061.3M2022-03-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0494850.048685-1.62%0.040538-18.08%0.0368✓1.078.1M2022-03-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.9820.6437-1.60%18.04-14.01%0.0183✗1.129.1M2022-03-08
XECeCashnative0.000078960.000077713-1.58%0.00006915-12.42%0.0335✗1.104.5M2022-03-08
SOLSolanaSolana98.797.1523-1.57%82.35-16.57%0.0071✓1.26131.2M2022-03-08
DIADIAEthereum1.061.0434-1.56%0.92-13.21%0.0895✓0.27286k2022-03-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.149.9823-1.56%10.15+0.10%0.1074✗0.66928k2022-03-08
XEMNEMnative0.10970.107995-1.55%0.0953-13.13%0.0080✓0.9741k2022-03-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02820.027763-1.55%0.0246-12.77%0.0608✗1.33500k2022-03-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.09223.0449-1.53%2.9137-5.77%0.0769✗0.882.4M2022-03-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.83590.82314-1.53%0.734-12.19%0.0840✗1.45270k2022-03-08
XVGVergenative0.010440.010282-1.51%0.01031-1.25%0.1731✗1.241.3M2022-03-08
QTUMQtumQtum6.70536.6054-1.49%5.7399-14.40%0.0434✗1.34226k2022-03-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.020450.020149-1.47%0.01691-17.31%0.0263✓1.092.2M2022-03-08
XTZTezosTezos3.49183.4409-1.46%3.0102-13.79%0.0420✗1.282.1M2022-03-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.3529.9088-1.45%26.77-11.80%0.0367✗1.085.2M2022-03-08
AVTAventusEthereum2.332.2962-1.45%2.36+1.29%0.1644✗1.00443k2022-03-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.0221.7009-1.45%18.57-15.67%0.0413✗1.44328k2022-03-08
BTTCBTTC0.000001990.000001961-1.44%0.00000181-9.05%0.0106✓0.6614.0M2022-03-08
KSMKusamaHydration138.55136.5507-1.44%122.46-11.61%0.0492✗1.15973k2022-03-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07430.073232-1.44%0.0685-7.81%0.0685✗0.99155k2022-03-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.6071.5839-1.44%1.338-16.74%0.0293✗1.45863k2022-03-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.516.4166-1.43%5.92-9.06%0.0400✗0.88452k2022-03-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.28044.2196-1.42%3.8173-10.82%0.0562✗1.14244k2022-03-08
MANADecentralandEthereum2.83712.7968-1.42%2.3938-15.62%0.0092✓1.203.3M2022-03-08
UNIUniswapEthereum10.3410.1933-1.42%8.83-14.60%0.0178✗1.1810.8M2022-03-08
CBKCobakEthereum2.3962.3623-1.41%2.146-10.43%0.0288✗0.9123k2022-03-08
DASHDashDash100.0198.6041-1.41%96.39-3.62%0.1321✗1.131.5M2022-03-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1230.121298-1.38%0.1-18.70%0.1185✓0.5444k2022-03-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.39960.394093-1.38%0.3058-23.47%0.0581✓1.431.3M2022-03-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1339910.132146-1.38%0.116967-12.70%0.0069✓0.943.7M2022-03-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1774.1198-1.37%3.912-6.34%0.1173✗1.232.3M2022-03-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.23180.228637-1.36%0.2009-13.33%0.0721✗1.472.6M2022-03-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.12173.0796-1.35%2.9495-5.52%0.0769✗0.883.6M2022-03-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0226820.022377-1.35%0.016926-25.38%0.1610✓0.86124k2022-03-08
SUSHISushiEthereum3.473.424-1.33%2.9-16.43%0.0068✓1.266.8M2022-03-08
XYMSymbolnative0.15230.150329-1.29%0.1326-12.93%0.0139✓0.81294k2022-03-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.94995.8729-1.29%5.6406-5.20%0.0017✓0.31433k2022-03-08
STORJStorjEthereum1.08461.0707-1.28%0.93442-13.85%0.0466✗1.33175k2022-03-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.6262.5924-1.28%2.467-6.05%0.1325✗1.33584k2022-03-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.755560.746044-1.26%0.65836-12.86%0.0628✗1.37206k2022-03-08
RADRadworksEthereum5.125.0559-1.25%4.34-15.23%0.0145✓1.01828k2022-03-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.092240.09109-1.25%0.08944-3.04%0.1269✗1.0643k2022-03-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.19540.192986-1.24%0.1948-0.31%0.1968✗1.372.8M2022-03-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000027130.000026798-1.22%0.0000229-15.59%0.0143✗1.253.9M2022-03-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034260.033841-1.22%0.03821+11.53%0.2446✗0.901.2M2022-03-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum27.2626.9284-1.22%23.39-14.20%0.0479✗1.381.6M2022-03-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.028850.028501-1.21%0.02495-13.52%0.0270✓0.774.1M2022-03-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07290.072021-1.21%0.07059-3.17%0.1182✗1.0112k2022-03-08
XMRMoneroMonero177.8175.6769-1.19%203.38+14.39%0.2834✗1.001.1M2022-03-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2420.239127-1.19%0.234-3.31%0.0956✗0.8659k2022-03-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5024.4486-1.19%4.219-6.29%0.0624✗0.84435k2022-03-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.525.4556-1.17%5.13-7.07%0.0558✗0.86510k2022-03-08
SCSiacoinnative0.009790.009676-1.17%0.00889-9.19%0.0872✗1.25563k2022-03-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.37530.370967-1.15%0.3352-10.68%0.0848✗1.368.7M2022-03-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3281.3127-1.15%1.274-4.07%0.1494✗1.312.0M2022-03-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.80.79096-1.13%0.7047-11.91%0.0342✗1.099.7M2022-03-08
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2241.2105-1.11%1.132-7.52%0.0968✗1.202.9M2022-03-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.462.4329-1.10%2.16-12.20%0.0183✗1.00263k2022-03-08
ZENHorizenBase39.3438.9087-1.10%39.86+1.32%0.2226✗1.45280k2022-03-08
COMPCompoundEthereum125.94124.5968-1.07%103-18.22%0.0235✓1.2258k2022-03-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.016560.016384-1.06%0.01098-33.70%0.1924✓1.5212.5M2022-03-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2033.1693-1.05%2.83-11.65%0.0034✓0.85477k2022-03-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0713.039-1.04%2.668-13.12%0.0085✓0.89218k2022-03-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25760.25492-1.04%0.2233-13.32%0.0073✓0.912.0M2022-03-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5735770.567625-1.04%0.497835-13.21%0.0242✗1.132.8M2022-03-08
ZECZcashZcash119.02117.7889-1.03%138.68+16.52%0.3177✗1.137.2M2022-03-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.72680.719288-1.03%0.7371+1.42%0.0717✗0.351.2M2022-03-08
KCSKuCoinnative20.74620.5322-1.03%18.038-13.05%0.0066✓0.999.5M2022-03-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012230.012105-1.03%0.01218-0.41%0.1076✗0.7413k2022-03-08
NANOnanopayBase1.92111.9022-0.99%1.6748-12.82%0.0339✗1.18179k2022-03-08
ETHEthereumEthereum2,977.722,948.93-0.97%2,576.72-13.47%0.0081✓1.04561.7M2022-03-08
GITCOINGITCOIN6.8236.7574-0.96%5.667-16.94%0.0151✗1.3927k2022-03-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin112.65111.572-0.96%100.75-10.56%0.0514✗1.1229.5M2022-03-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041870.041476-0.94%0.03904-6.76%0.0754✗0.9929k2022-03-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5221.5081-0.91%1.298-14.72%0.0028✓1.12939k2022-03-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6970.69063-0.91%0.641-8.03%0.0718✗1.072.5M2022-03-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.2615.1207-0.91%13.87-9.11%0.1164✗1.482.4M2022-03-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV87.6886.9069-0.88%78.77-10.16%0.0167✗0.84905k2022-03-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.52530.520701-0.88%0.4195-20.14%0.0277✓1.37484k2022-03-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.726.6648-0.82%6.17-8.18%0.0067✓0.511.2M2022-03-08
MINAMina Protocolnative2.182.1657-0.65%1.82-16.51%0.0143✓1.17354k2022-03-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.890.884392-0.63%0.805-9.55%0.0816✗1.282.3M2022-03-08
GTGateEthereum6.75536.714-0.61%6.5581-2.92%0.0730✗0.702.8M2022-03-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.4455.4153-0.55%4.714-13.43%0.0138✓0.9171k2022-03-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash328.78327.021-0.53%284.53-13.46%0.0062✓0.977.6M2022-03-08
XVSVenusEthereum9.359.3038-0.49%8.61-7.91%0.0889✗1.213.4M2022-03-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048680.048505-0.36%0.04783-1.75%0.1511✗1.20681k2022-03-08
AAVEAaveEthereum143.34142.881-0.32%121.68-15.11%0.0229✗1.346.8M2022-03-08
TRXTRONTron0.0621790.061982-0.32%0.060594-2.55%0.0825✗0.77299k2022-03-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.