8=======>

2022-02-28 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0266
151 of 151 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.56%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
45.0%
in alpha space · 91.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.04%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07030.065775-6.44%0.0544-22.62%0.0384✓1.7876.7M2022-03-07
API3Api3Ethereum7.5297.0926-5.80%5.302-29.58%0.2304✓0.472.3M2022-03-07
LUNATerraTerra 291.3886.6162-5.21%77.85-14.81%0.0801✗1.464.5M2022-03-07
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.36570.348572-4.68%0.3173-13.23%0.1133✗1.6214.6M2022-03-07
BFCBifrostEthereum0.166390.159797-3.96%0.14835-10.84%0.0812✗1.2127k2022-03-07
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3173.1899-3.83%3.353+1.09%0.1739✗0.97741k2022-03-07
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004390.004223-3.81%0.00392-10.71%0.1343✗1.639.6M2022-03-07
PROPropyEthereum1.841.7716-3.72%1.59-13.59%0.0483✗1.22483k2022-03-07
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.19292.113-3.64%1.9115-12.83%0.0095✓0.7126k2022-03-07
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.1815.6081-3.53%17.31+6.98%0.1959✗0.722.2M2022-03-07
SUNSun TokenTron0.0121480.011731-3.43%0.011201-7.80%0.0861✗1.0316k2022-03-07
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.557.292-3.42%7.76+2.78%0.1772✗0.90461k2022-03-07
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.43912.3567-3.38%2.469+1.23%0.1592✗0.882.7M2022-03-07
YFIyearn.financeEthereum21,589.2920,864.84-3.36%18,376.27-14.88%0.0009✓0.985.7M2022-03-07
CELLCellframeEthereum1.67541.623-3.12%1.3125-21.66%0.0491✓1.27272k2022-03-07
FIDABonfidaSolana1.8361.7805-3.03%1.725-6.05%0.0805✗0.8776k2022-03-07
UMAUMAEthereum7.2287.0132-2.97%7.8+7.91%0.2796✗1.351.9M2022-03-07
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.5040.489083-2.96%0.4075-19.15%0.0740✗2.002.1M2022-03-07
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.4422.3714-2.89%1.98-18.92%0.0069✓1.4613.6M2022-03-07
FTTFTXEthereum45.9544.6328-2.87%39.76-13.47%0.0225✓1.0820.8M2022-03-07
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16120.15664-2.83%0.1422-11.79%0.0356✗1.03446k2022-03-07
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3080.299322-2.82%0.268-12.99%0.0570✗1.312.1M2022-03-07
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.930.0404-2.78%28.16-8.87%0.0553✗0.941.5M2022-03-07
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.213.8115-2.74%12.47-12.18%0.0392✗1.10331k2022-03-07
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0780.075873-2.73%0.0672-13.85%0.0478✗1.321.0M2022-03-07
STXStacksnative1.251.2165-2.68%1.04-16.80%0.0036✓1.19610k2022-03-07
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.796.6097-2.66%5.62-17.23%0.0198✓1.421.1M2022-03-07
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.40e-76.24e-7-2.60%0.000001442+125.18%0.9663✗1.001.2M2022-03-07
ORCAOrcaSolana2.642.5714-2.60%2.28-13.64%0.0080✓1.00490k2022-03-07
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.861.8124-2.56%1.7-8.60%0.1051✗1.321.9M2022-03-07
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.8755.725-2.55%4.783-18.59%0.0437✓1.06189k2022-03-07
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos31.3830.5943-2.50%28.29-9.85%0.0697✗1.1550.3M2022-03-07
CVCCivicEthereum0.29450.287298-2.45%0.2527-14.19%0.0411✗1.32367k2022-03-07
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum54.4253.1002-2.43%46.15-15.20%0.0252✗1.296.7M2022-03-07
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5641.5263-2.41%1.585+1.34%0.1727✗1.053.4M2022-03-07
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum20.1319.6467-2.40%16.42-18.43%0.0287✓1.1821.3M2022-03-07
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5711.5338-2.37%1.435-8.66%0.0807✗1.151.8M2022-03-07
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.159.9135-2.33%10.23+0.79%0.1170✗0.67928k2022-03-07
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.56070.547979-2.27%0.4925-12.16%0.0098✓0.91641k2022-03-07
BANDBandEthereum3.9343.845-2.26%3.496-11.13%0.0707✗1.291.8M2022-03-07
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.66.4509-2.26%5.93-10.15%0.0300✗0.89452k2022-03-07
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.11043.0402-2.26%2.8397-8.70%0.0459✗0.892.4M2022-03-07
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.361.3301-2.20%1.13-16.91%0.0266✓1.06932k2022-03-07
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.1414.8087-2.19%12.7-16.12%0.0017✓1.1853.4M2022-03-07
CBKCobakEthereum2.4772.4238-2.15%2.085-15.83%0.0312✓0.9321k2022-03-07
AVTAventusEthereum2.522.4661-2.14%2.32-7.94%0.0672✗1.00486k2022-03-07
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.072010.070495-2.10%0.06777-5.89%0.1194✗1.2469k2022-03-07
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.86840.850217-2.09%0.7277-16.20%0.0086✓1.1520.7M2022-03-07
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.02140.020954-2.08%0.01691-20.98%0.0727✓1.112.2M2022-03-07
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.7221.2703-2.07%17.82-17.96%0.0314✓1.148.6M2022-03-07
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1320.129295-2.05%0.1-24.24%0.1831✓0.5844k2022-03-07
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010990.010765-2.04%0.01182+7.55%0.2716✗1.392.7M2022-03-07
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.9518.5635-2.04%16.4-13.46%0.0328✗1.2227.9M2022-03-07
ADACardanoCardano0.9640.944429-2.03%0.7932-17.72%0.0308✓1.1296.0M2022-03-07
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.515.3986-2.02%5.01-9.07%0.0358✗0.86510k2022-03-07
DODODODOEthereum0.4610.451866-1.98%0.381-17.35%0.0062✓1.284.2M2022-03-07
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0290.028429-1.97%0.0248-14.48%0.0351✗1.34494k2022-03-07
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5654.4759-1.95%4.234-7.25%0.0538✗0.85435k2022-03-07
UNIUniswapEthereum10.5310.327-1.93%8.31-21.08%0.0647✓1.1910.8M2022-03-07
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,192.6642,363.54-1.92%37,994.00-12.04%0.0194✗1.00630.5M2022-03-07
LRCLoopringEthereum0.8230.807342-1.90%0.7051-14.33%0.0511✗1.45270k2022-03-07
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2361.2125-1.90%0.976-21.04%0.0795✓1.071.2M2022-03-07
MOVRMoonriverBase67.76366.4998-1.86%52.8584-22.00%0.0506✓1.40214k2022-03-07
XLMStellarStellar0.1976750.194026-1.85%0.169685-14.16%0.0033✓1.0719.8M2022-03-07
SOLSolanaSolana99.7497.9033-1.84%81.66-18.13%0.0177✓1.28127.4M2022-03-07
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13030.127902-1.84%0.1105-15.20%0.0183✓1.282.9M2022-03-07
UOSUltraEthereum1.32781.3036-1.82%1.1872-10.59%0.0812✗1.362.7M2022-03-07
DIADIAEthereum1.071.0505-1.82%0.93-13.08%0.0869✓0.27286k2022-03-07
XVGVergenative0.010370.010182-1.81%0.00883-14.85%0.0177✓1.251.2M2022-03-07
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,136.2042,354.04-1.81%37,523.40-13.01%0.0040✓0.9846k2022-03-07
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1153.0586-1.81%2.706-13.13%0.0072✓0.90218k2022-03-07
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche84.5983.066-1.80%71.75-15.18%0.0376✗1.44116.5M2022-03-07
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.750.736572-1.79%0.6-20.00%0.0149✓1.72995k2022-03-07
QNTQuantEthereum115.74113.6886-1.77%110.5-4.53%0.0979✗0.996.3M2022-03-07
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0492640.048392-1.77%0.041733-15.29%0.0106✓1.078.1M2022-03-07
XECeCashnative0.000078690.000077298-1.77%0.0000689-12.44%0.0265✗1.104.4M2022-03-07
XEMNEMnative0.10810.106188-1.77%0.0935-13.51%0.0024✓0.9740k2022-03-07
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.11963.0648-1.76%2.8817-7.63%0.0515✗0.883.6M2022-03-07
HIVEHivenative0.98030.963344-1.73%0.8412-14.19%0.0157✓1.182.0M2022-03-07
DASHDashDash100.5198.7766-1.72%85.9-14.54%0.0064✓1.141.5M2022-03-07
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2333.1784-1.69%2.878-10.98%0.0123✓0.87477k2022-03-07
BTTCBTTC0.000001990.000001957-1.64%0.00000177-11.06%0.0148✓0.6714.0M2022-03-07
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.5330.0306-1.64%26.15-14.35%0.0010✓1.095.1M2022-03-07
MANADecentralandEthereum2.85072.8041-1.63%2.3622-17.14%0.0161✓1.213.2M2022-03-07
XTZTezosTezos3.54833.4904-1.63%2.9274-17.50%0.0100✓1.292.1M2022-03-07
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.23454.166-1.62%3.6598-13.57%0.0171✗1.14244k2022-03-07
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1334510.1313-1.61%0.116934-12.38%0.0053✓0.943.7M2022-03-07
KSMKusamaHydration130.28128.1844-1.61%120.6-7.43%0.0857✗1.14930k2022-03-07
QTUMQtumQtum6.49256.3884-1.60%5.712-12.02%0.0597✗1.34184k2022-03-07
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0730.071833-1.60%0.0657-10.00%0.0376✗0.99160k2022-03-07
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1544.0879-1.59%3.62-12.86%0.0374✗1.242.3M2022-03-07
SUSHISushiEthereum3.543.4837-1.59%2.88-18.64%0.0271✓1.276.8M2022-03-07
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.864.7835-1.57%3.97-18.31%0.0084✓1.52430k2022-03-07
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0226550.022299-1.57%0.017437-23.03%0.1359✓0.86117k2022-03-07
COTICOTIEthereum0.23210.228461-1.57%0.1993-14.13%0.0538✗1.482.6M2022-03-07
XYMSymbolnative0.15310.150703-1.57%0.1333-12.93%0.0177✓0.82295k2022-03-07
DKAdKargoEthereum0.092130.090697-1.55%0.08764-4.87%0.1025✗1.0745k2022-03-07
CTSICartesiEthereum0.39430.388183-1.55%0.3195-18.97%0.0102✓1.441.2M2022-03-07
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5661.5417-1.55%1.307-16.54%0.0206✗1.45863k2022-03-07
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.442.4029-1.52%2.11-13.52%0.0009✓1.01254k2022-03-07
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.1620.8452-1.49%18.4-13.04%0.0594✗1.44325k2022-03-07
AMPAmpEthereum0.029370.028937-1.48%0.02497-14.98%0.0470✓0.784.1M2022-03-07
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.741170.730284-1.47%0.63315-14.57%0.0338✗1.38206k2022-03-07
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.92585.8391-1.46%5.3807-9.20%0.0421✓0.31385k2022-03-07
CHZChilizEthereum0.19250.189768-1.42%0.1942+0.88%0.1991✗1.372.8M2022-03-07
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.017960.017705-1.42%0.01158-35.52%0.2261✓1.5512.5M2022-03-07
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.035030.034537-1.41%0.03434-1.97%0.1103✗0.901.2M2022-03-07
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012310.012138-1.39%0.012-2.52%0.0841✗0.7512k2022-03-07
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2360.232728-1.39%0.231-2.12%0.1020✗0.8559k2022-03-07
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.37720.372093-1.35%0.3298-12.57%0.0550✗1.378.7M2022-03-07
STORJStorjEthereum1.04261.0288-1.33%0.89059-14.58%0.0263✗1.33162k2022-03-07
SCSiacoinnative0.009680.009551-1.33%0.00866-10.54%0.0634✗1.26546k2022-03-07
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.79670.786229-1.31%0.694-12.89%0.0158✗1.109.6M2022-03-07
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041940.04139-1.31%0.03834-8.58%0.0514✗1.0029k2022-03-07
NANOnanopayBase1.93811.9128-1.31%1.6162-16.61%0.0161✓1.19179k2022-03-07
XMRMoneroMonero170.31168.0844-1.31%157.95-7.26%0.0652✗0.991.0M2022-03-07
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06950.068592-1.31%0.0671-3.45%0.1066✗1.0012k2022-03-07
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3521.3346-1.29%1.243-8.06%0.0979✗1.322.0M2022-03-07
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.3626.0304-1.25%22.43-14.91%0.0285✗1.381.6M2022-03-07
COMPCompoundEthereum120.75119.2599-1.23%98.5-18.43%0.0358✓1.2164k2022-03-07
GITCOINGITCOIN6.756.667-1.23%5.615-16.81%0.0076✓1.4027k2022-03-07
ZENHorizenBase37.9137.4441-1.23%33.73-11.03%0.0805✗1.44280k2022-03-07
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.6642.6313-1.23%2.56-3.90%0.1440✗1.34584k2022-03-07
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5750510.567999-1.23%0.472233-17.88%0.0383✓1.142.8M2022-03-07
KCSKuCoinnative20.67720.4278-1.21%17.761-14.10%0.0114✓1.009.3M2022-03-07
ZECZcashZcash118.68117.2626-1.19%109.5-7.74%0.0773✗1.147.2M2022-03-07
LSKLiskEthereum1.71631.6958-1.19%1.8793+9.50%0.2322✗1.0172k2022-03-07
LCXLCXEthereum0.08570.084679-1.19%0.0802-6.42%0.1337✗1.47613k2022-03-07
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV88.6787.6377-1.16%76.42-13.82%0.0283✓0.85905k2022-03-07
LTCLitecoinLitecoin113.82112.502-1.16%98.35-13.59%0.0105✓1.1329.3M2022-03-07
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1641.1505-1.16%1.085-6.79%0.0967✗1.212.9M2022-03-07
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6970.688981-1.15%0.649-6.89%0.0782✗1.082.4M2022-03-07
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5051.4878-1.15%1.274-15.35%0.0112✓1.12931k2022-03-07
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.635.5661-1.13%4.618-17.98%0.0665✓0.9468k2022-03-07
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.75840.749913-1.12%0.73-3.74%0.0188✗0.361.3M2022-03-07
RADRadworksEthereum4.854.7959-1.11%4.4-9.28%0.0419✗1.00828k2022-03-07
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24540.242676-1.11%0.2184-11.00%0.0107✓0.911.9M2022-03-07
ETHEthereumEthereum2,923.082,892.53-1.05%2,491.58-14.76%0.0151✓1.05540.3M2022-03-07
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025790.000025523-1.04%0.00002279-11.63%0.0460✗1.243.8M2022-03-07
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.3715.2141-1.01%13.71-10.80%0.0864✗1.492.4M2022-03-07
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56960.563848-1.01%0.6711+17.82%0.3439✗1.322.4M2022-03-07
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash339.27335.9662-0.97%273.86-19.28%0.0779✓0.997.3M2022-03-07
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.66.5361-0.97%6.17-6.52%0.0079✓0.511.1M2022-03-07
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.50070.496158-0.91%0.4144-17.24%0.0044✓1.37484k2022-03-07
MINAMina Protocolnative2.212.1901-0.90%1.84-16.74%0.0232✓1.18343k2022-03-07
GTGateEthereum6.716.6564-0.80%6.77+0.89%0.1080✗0.712.8M2022-03-07
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8770.870122-0.78%0.762-13.11%0.0322✗1.292.2M2022-03-07
XVSVenusEthereum9.339.263-0.72%8.37-10.29%0.0551✗1.223.1M2022-03-07
AAVEAaveEthereum145.83144.928-0.62%116.88-19.85%0.0416✓1.356.6M2022-03-07
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048710.048424-0.59%0.04852-0.39%0.1574✗1.21686k2022-03-07
TRXTRONTron0.0617860.061504-0.46%0.058556-5.23%0.0498✗0.77286k2022-03-07
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.