2022-02-23 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

-0.0127

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-2.09%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

81.3%

in alpha space · 10.1% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+17.83%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.27	2.3617	+4.04%	2.895	+27.53%	0.0240	✓	1.39	579k	2022-03-02
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01802	0.018456	+2.42%	0.01634	-9.32%	0.3892	✗	1.63	11.1M	2022-03-02
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.19	1.2029	+1.09%	1.27	+6.72%	0.1576	✗	1.29	934k	2022-03-02
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.554	1.5644	+0.67%	1.464	-5.79%	0.2492	✗	1.11	3.4M	2022-03-02
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.4391	0.441543	+0.56%	0.5144	+17.15%	0.0858	✗	1.45	572k	2022-03-02
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3293	0.330412	+0.34%	0.4033	+22.47%	0.0767	✗	1.68	16.0M	2022-03-02
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.294	1.2955	+0.11%	1.359	+5.02%	0.1792	✗	1.38	1.8M	2022-03-02
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.23	4.2221	-0.19%	4.65	+9.93%	0.0835	✓	1.10	456k	2022-03-02
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	288.37	287.7613	-0.21%	320.43	+11.12%	0.0562	✓	1.00	7.3M	2022-03-02
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00444	0.004428	-0.27%	0.00469	+5.63%	0.2518	✓	1.89	12.6M	2022-03-02
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	2.9331	2.9248	-0.28%	3.494	+19.12%	0.0349	✓	1.30	2.0M	2022-03-02
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2039	0.20327	-0.31%	0.2308	+13.19%	0.1249	✓	1.54	3.3M	2022-03-02
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.748	3.7351	-0.35%	3.976	+6.08%	0.1455	✓	1.27	2.3M	2022-03-02
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04486	0.044684	-0.39%	0.04875	+8.67%	0.1286	✓	1.31	768k	2022-03-02
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0476	0.047397	-0.43%	0.0655	+37.61%	0.0321	✗	1.78	64.3M	2022-03-02
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.1538	2.1445	-0.43%	2.2311	+3.59%	0.1036	✓	0.87	28k	2022-03-02
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	130.67	130.1036	-0.43%	137.7	+5.38%	0.1805	✓	1.45	6.5M	2022-03-02
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.599	2.5869	-0.47%	2.98	+14.66%	0.0031	✓	0.84	198k	2022-03-02
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.779	0.775003	-0.51%	0.917	+17.72%	0.0557	✓	1.36	2.1M	2022-03-02
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	97.51	97.0069	-0.52%	125.91	+29.13%	0.0697	✗	1.16	7.6M	2022-03-02
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.1482	6.1154	-0.53%	6.803	+10.65%	0.0273	✓	0.82	3.0M	2022-03-02
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0845	0.084032	-0.55%	0.0991	+17.28%	0.0753	✓	1.46	668k	2022-03-02
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.90329	0.898268	-0.56%	1.0742	+18.92%	0.0016	✓	1.10	160k	2022-03-02
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	22.18	22.0545	-0.57%	26.56	+19.75%	0.0505	✓	1.44	1.8M	2022-03-02
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.060784	0.060409	-0.62%	0.061505	+1.19%	0.1217	✓	0.85	286k	2022-03-02
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,580.97	2,564.16	-0.65%	2,948.56	+14.24%	0.0386	✓	1.09	561.7M	2022-03-02
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.4922	0.488973	-0.66%	0.7291	+48.13%	0.1777	✗	1.35	2.2M	2022-03-02
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	14.24	14.1466	-0.66%	15.16	+6.46%	0.1865	✓	1.56	2.3M	2022-03-02
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.022758	0.022603	-0.68%	0.021073	-7.40%	0.2432	✓	1.06	111k	2022-03-02
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.34	8.2819	-0.70%	9.78	+17.27%	0.0461	✓	1.29	3.1M	2022-03-02
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.038	1.0303	-0.74%	1.202	+15.80%	0.0522	✓	1.26	2.8M	2022-03-02
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.526579	0.522643	-0.75%	0.570611	+8.36%	0.1032	✓	1.16	3.2M	2022-03-02
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	123.58	122.6522	-0.75%	138.31	+11.92%	0.0756	✓	1.19	930k	2022-03-02
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.0366	0.036322	-0.76%	0.03397	-7.19%	0.2127	✓	0.89	1.7M	2022-03-02
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	2.878	2.8561	-0.76%	3.114	+8.20%	0.0686	✓	0.95	460k	2022-03-02
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	105.41	104.6074	-0.76%	110.35	+4.69%	0.1449	✓	1.21	29.5M	2022-03-02
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3536	0.350859	-0.78%	0.3742	+5.83%	0.1679	✓	1.42	8.4M	2022-03-02
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1703	0.16897	-0.78%	0.197	+15.68%	0.0783	✓	1.41	2.9M	2022-03-02
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.12	2.1034	-0.78%	2.13	+0.47%	0.1901	✓	1.24	324k	2022-03-02
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		5.858	5.8112	-0.80%	6.7	+14.37%	0.0823	✗	0.37	29k	2022-03-02
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.67	0.664564	-0.81%	0.75	+11.94%	0.1969	✓	1.94	1.0M	2022-03-02
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3651	0.362135	-0.81%	0.397	+8.74%	0.1402	✓	1.41	1.3M	2022-03-02
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.14949	0.148272	-0.81%	0.16542	+10.66%	0.1132	✓	1.36	29k	2022-03-02
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.17	2.1519	-0.83%	2.43	+11.98%	0.0448	✓	1.01	275k	2022-03-02
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.27	5.2254	-0.85%	7.94	+50.66%	0.2750	✗	0.87	367k	2022-03-02
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06016	0.059627	-0.89%	0.07258	+20.64%	0.0622	✗	0.82	75k	2022-03-02
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.181	5.1348	-0.89%	5.551	+7.14%	0.0535	✓	0.80	65k	2022-03-02
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	8.75	8.6709	-0.90%	10.05	+14.86%	0.0691	✓	1.32	10.8M	2022-03-02
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.221	0.219	-0.90%	0.2571	+16.33%	0.0042	✓	1.00	1.8M	2022-03-02
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7513	0.744461	-0.91%	0.8082	+7.57%	0.1701	✓	1.54	317k	2022-03-02
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.68	4.6365	-0.93%	5.57	+19.02%	0.0518	✗	0.80	431k	2022-03-02
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.389	1.376	-0.94%	1.548	+11.45%	0.1243	✓	1.48	928k	2022-03-02
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	67.7591	67.12	-0.94%	71.55	+5.59%	0.1826	✓	1.50	243k	2022-03-02
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0687	0.06805	-0.95%	0.0775	+12.81%	0.0953	✓	1.37	1.1M	2022-03-02
ZEN	Horizen	Base	32.84	32.529	-0.95%	38.92	+18.51%	0.0796	✓	1.58	309k	2022-03-02
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	109.49	108.4373	-0.96%	122.45	+11.84%	0.0904	✓	1.29	64k	2022-03-02
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8185	0.810526	-0.97%	0.9988	+22.03%	0.0169	✓	1.38	1.7M	2022-03-02
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.8418	2.8139	-0.98%	3.0322	+6.70%	0.0918	✓	1.01	2.6M	2022-03-02
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.749	18.5572	-1.02%	20.355	+8.57%	0.0946	✓	1.14	9.6M	2022-03-02
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0084	0.008313	-1.03%	0.00957	+13.93%	0.0279	✓	1.03	525k	2022-03-02
XMR	Monero	Monero	149.01	147.4591	-1.04%	177.46	+19.09%	0.0208	✗	1.00	966k	2022-03-02
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.383	1.3686	-1.04%	1.496	+8.17%	0.1114	✓	1.22	1.0M	2022-03-02
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		82.17	81.3095	-1.05%	86.11	+4.79%	0.0901	✓	0.90	946k	2022-03-02
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	3.8658	3.8247	-1.06%	4.413	+14.16%	0.0549	✓	1.21	283k	2022-03-02
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.65943	0.652304	-1.08%	0.73047	+10.77%	0.1240	✓	1.45	246k	2022-03-02
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.28	3.2444	-1.08%	3.41	+3.96%	0.1787	✓	1.39	7.0M	2022-03-02
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.71	6.6354	-1.11%	6.71	+0.00%	0.0251	✓	0.22	1.2M	2022-03-02
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.667	0.659498	-1.12%	0.703	+5.40%	0.1180	✓	1.11	2.0M	2022-03-02
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7126	0.704534	-1.13%	0.7872	+10.47%	0.0764	✓	1.14	9.7M	2022-03-02
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.5516	2.5225	-1.14%	2.7532	+7.90%	0.1243	✓	1.29	3.2M	2022-03-02
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02593	0.025631	-1.15%	0.02832	+9.22%	0.0273	✓	0.77	4.4M	2022-03-02
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.5861	1.5676	-1.16%	1.9592	+23.52%	0.0473	✗	1.07	72k	2022-03-02
SOL	Solana	Solana	84.64	83.6469	-1.17%	100.73	+19.01%	0.0183	✓	1.24	132.7M	2022-03-02
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	13.34	13.1834	-1.17%	15.29	+14.62%	0.0514	✓	1.22	60.6M	2022-03-02
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.9093	1.8865	-1.19%	1.8782	-1.63%	0.2060	✓	1.23	206k	2022-03-02
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	37,268.19	36,819.63	-1.20%	43,912.34	+17.83%	0.0121	✗	1.00	632.3M	2022-03-02
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	73.5	72.6152	-1.20%	83.42	+13.50%	0.1073	✓	1.50	106.7M	2022-03-02
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.285	2.2574	-1.21%	2.647	+15.84%	0.0979	✓	1.57	13.2M	2022-03-02
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	26.53	26.2067	-1.22%	29.52	+11.27%	0.0598	✓	1.09	4.9M	2022-03-02
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0253	0.024985	-1.25%	0.0268	+5.93%	0.1637	✓	1.43	497k	2022-03-02
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.007	1.9819	-1.25%	2.298	+14.50%	0.0234	✓	1.04	19k	2022-03-02
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.318	2.2889	-1.26%	2.99	+28.99%	0.0595	✗	1.27	772k	2022-03-02
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.01876	0.018521	-1.27%	0.01892	+0.85%	0.1642	✓	1.13	2.1M	2022-03-02
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0622	0.061392	-1.30%	0.0714	+14.79%	0.0244	✓	1.07	14k	2022-03-02
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007022	0.000069308	-1.30%	0.00007594	+8.15%	0.1005	✓	1.17	4.4M	2022-03-02
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.81	18.5644	-1.31%	20.76	+10.37%	0.1415	✓	1.54	334k	2022-03-02
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	4.977	4.9118	-1.31%	8.421	+69.20%	0.3750	✗	1.00	1.8M	2022-03-02
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002484	0.000024512	-1.32%	0.00002591	+4.31%	0.1708	✓	1.38	3.7M	2022-03-02
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.135	4.0801	-1.33%	4.505	+8.95%	0.0414	✓	0.86	395k	2022-03-02
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	15.97	15.7579	-1.33%	18.61	+16.53%	0.0522	✓	1.33	27.9M	2022-03-02
STX	Stacks	native	1.13	1.1149	-1.34%	1.25	+10.62%	0.1020	✓	1.32	725k	2022-03-02
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	4.86	4.7949	-1.34%	5.59	+15.02%	0.0093	✓	0.99	682k	2022-03-02
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.76	5.6828	-1.34%	6.43	+11.63%	0.0202	✓	0.88	425k	2022-03-02
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.234	0.230795	-1.37%	0.247	+5.56%	0.0776	✓	0.89	59k	2022-03-02
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.35	14.1528	-1.37%	16.15	+12.54%	0.0098	✓	0.75	1.8M	2022-03-02
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.28	9.1521	-1.38%	10.14	+9.27%	0.0162	✓	0.72	758k	2022-03-02
DASH	Dash	Dash	88.28	87.0451	-1.40%	100.9	+14.30%	0.0441	✓	1.17	1.5M	2022-03-02
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2396	0.236239	-1.40%	0.2945	+22.91%	0.0292	✗	1.17	410k	2022-03-02
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.7875	2.7484	-1.40%	3.0297	+8.69%	0.0687	✓	1.01	2.3M	2022-03-02
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08287	0.081688	-1.43%	0.091	+9.81%	0.0741	✓	1.11	47k	2022-03-02
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.7207	1.696	-1.44%	2.7751	+61.28%	0.4071	✗	0.52	2.7M	2022-03-02
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1206	0.11885	-1.45%	0.1299	+7.71%	0.1299	✓	1.33	2.9M	2022-03-02
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.363	5.2852	-1.45%	6.038	+12.59%	0.0378	✓	1.04	241k	2022-03-02
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.7401	5.6562	-1.46%	6.4867	+13.01%	0.1007	✓	1.45	153k	2022-03-02
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	48.79	48.0738	-1.47%	55.59	+13.94%	0.0718	✓	1.32	7.5M	2022-03-02
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	18.43	18.1593	-1.47%	20.73	+12.48%	0.0672	✓	1.22	9.2M	2022-03-02
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.59	1.5664	-1.48%	1.93	+21.38%	0.0129	✓	1.35	2.0M	2022-03-02
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03744	0.036877	-1.50%	0.04078	+8.92%	0.0788	✓	1.09	31k	2022-03-02
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.9299	0.915878	-1.51%	0.7242	-22.12%	0.3355	✓	0.61	1.5M	2022-03-02
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.331	1.3109	-1.51%	1.59	+19.46%	0.0048	✓	1.15	1.6M	2022-03-02
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	108.35	106.6936	-1.53%	117.95	+8.86%	0.0676	✓	1.02	6.6M	2022-03-02
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.127361	0.125408	-1.53%	0.133081	+4.49%	0.1068	✓	1.01	3.7M	2022-03-02
XVG	Verge	native	0.00938	0.009236	-1.54%	0.01037	+10.55%	0.0950	✓	1.29	1.2M	2022-03-02
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01006	0.009902	-1.57%	0.01231	+22.37%	0.0325	✓	1.53	2.2M	2022-03-02
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.8664	0.852739	-1.58%	0.9394	+8.43%	0.0919	✓	1.15	97.3M	2022-03-02
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1954	1.1762	-1.60%	1.389	+16.20%	0.0588	✓	1.37	2.6M	2022-03-02
BTTC	BTTC		0.0000019	0.000001869	-1.61%	0.00000196	+3.16%	0.1167	✓	1.00	14.4M	2022-03-02
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0693	0.068168	-1.63%	0.0754	+8.80%	0.0785	✓	1.09	176k	2022-03-02
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.181888	0.178904	-1.64%	0.193624	+6.45%	0.0931	✓	1.05	21.4M	2022-03-02
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.938	0.9226	-1.64%	1.164	+24.09%	0.0305	✗	1.23	934k	2022-03-02
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.443	0.435669	-1.65%	0.468	+5.64%	0.1528	✓	1.37	4.5M	2022-03-02
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.655	3.5942	-1.66%	4.016	+9.88%	0.0966	✓	1.27	1.9M	2022-03-02
XYM	Symbol	native	0.147	0.144553	-1.66%	0.149	+1.36%	0.1016	✓	0.80	345k	2022-03-02
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	5.85	5.7515	-1.68%	6.64	+13.50%	0.0764	✗	0.41	1.3M	2022-03-02
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.71	12.4955	-1.69%	13.69	+7.71%	0.0775	✓	1.03	369k	2022-03-02
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.58	2.5362	-1.70%	2.52	-2.33%	0.1705	✓	1.00	671k	2022-03-02
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	37,524.20	36,884.19	-1.71%	44,262.00	+17.96%	0.0237	✗	0.97	39k	2022-03-02
XEM	NEM	native	0.0943	0.092668	-1.73%	0.1064	+12.83%	0.0315	✓	1.03	37k	2022-03-02
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1335	0.131145	-1.76%	0.1595	+19.48%	0.0291	✗	1.02	467k	2022-03-02
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.282	0.276924	-1.80%	0.308	+9.22%	0.1200	✓	1.38	2.0M	2022-03-02
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.807	1.7733	-1.87%	2.237	+23.80%	0.0682	✗	1.00	76k	2022-03-02
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.35	2.3061	-1.87%	2.35	+0.00%	0.1452	✓	1.00	639k	2022-03-02
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01223	0.012	-1.88%	0.01235	+0.98%	0.0956	✓	0.76	15k	2022-03-02
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4331	0.424934	-1.89%	0.5029	+16.12%	0.1416	✓	1.89	2.0M	2022-03-02
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.049178	0.048238	-1.91%	0.04679	-4.86%	0.2374	✓	1.26	7.5M	2022-03-02
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.78	1.7447	-1.98%	1.82	+2.25%	0.2258	✓	1.63	582k	2022-03-02
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	6.0975	5.9728	-2.04%	5.9424	-2.54%	0.0695	✓	0.39	412k	2022-03-02
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01214	0.011877	-2.16%	0.012216	+0.63%	0.1598	✓	1.15	39k	2022-03-02
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.78	39.8725	-2.23%	46.16	+13.19%	0.0428	✓	1.15	26.3M	2022-03-02
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	17.29	16.8907	-2.31%	19.31	+11.68%	0.0548	✓	1.15	22.3M	2022-03-02
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4849	0.473195	-2.41%	0.5665	+16.83%	0.0224	✓	0.96	643k	2022-03-02
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.53	27.8257	-2.47%	30.37	+6.45%	0.0797	✓	1.02	1.5M	2022-03-02
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.7853	0.765848	-2.48%	0.8204	+4.47%	0.1341	✓	1.24	22.9M	2022-03-02
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	59.54	57.8144	-2.90%	92.43	+55.24%	0.2505	✗	1.33	4.5M	2022-03-02
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	25.15	24.3613	-3.14%	32.25	+28.23%	0.0997	✗	1.10	52.8M	2022-03-02
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	20,320.95	19,676.02	-3.17%	22,346.94	+9.97%	0.0419	✓	1.03	5.7M	2022-03-02
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.144	0.139123	-3.39%	0.116	-19.44%	0.3489	✓	1.02	53k	2022-03-02
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.1	1.0624	-3.42%	1.02	-7.27%	0.2048	✓	1.00	286k	2022-03-02
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.7484	1.6758	-4.15%	1.6226	-7.20%	0.2803	✓	1.51	229k	2022-03-02
API3	Api3	Ethereum	6.357	5.9522	-6.37%	7.3	+14.83%	0.1488	✗	0.34	2.0M	2022-03-02

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.