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2022-02-23 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0127
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.09%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
81.3%
in alpha space · 10.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+17.83%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
API3Api3Ethereum6.3575.9522-6.37%7.3+14.83%0.1488✗0.342.0M2022-03-02
CELLCellframeEthereum1.74841.6758-4.15%1.6226-7.20%0.2803✓1.51229k2022-03-02
DIADIAEthereum1.11.0624-3.42%1.02-7.27%0.2048✓1.00286k2022-03-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1440.139123-3.39%0.116-19.44%0.3489✓1.0253k2022-03-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,320.9519,676.02-3.17%22,346.94+9.97%0.0419✓1.035.7M2022-03-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos25.1524.3613-3.14%32.25+28.23%0.0997✗1.1052.8M2022-03-02
LUNATerraTerra 259.5457.8144-2.90%92.43+55.24%0.2505✗1.334.5M2022-03-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.78530.765848-2.48%0.8204+4.47%0.1341✓1.2422.9M2022-03-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.5327.8257-2.47%30.37+6.45%0.0797✓1.021.5M2022-03-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.48490.473195-2.41%0.5665+16.83%0.0224✓0.96643k2022-03-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.2916.8907-2.31%19.31+11.68%0.0548✓1.1522.3M2022-03-02
FTTFTXEthereum40.7839.8725-2.23%46.16+13.19%0.0428✓1.1526.3M2022-03-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.012140.011877-2.16%0.012216+0.63%0.1598✓1.1539k2022-03-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.09755.9728-2.04%5.9424-2.54%0.0695✓0.39412k2022-03-02
PROPropyEthereum1.781.7447-1.98%1.82+2.25%0.2258✓1.63582k2022-03-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0491780.048238-1.91%0.04679-4.86%0.2374✓1.267.5M2022-03-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.43310.424934-1.89%0.5029+16.12%0.1416✓1.892.0M2022-03-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012230.012-1.88%0.01235+0.98%0.0956✓0.7615k2022-03-02
AVTAventusEthereum2.352.3061-1.87%2.35+0.00%0.1452✓1.00639k2022-03-02
FIDABonfidaSolana1.8071.7733-1.87%2.237+23.80%0.0682✗1.0076k2022-03-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2820.276924-1.80%0.308+9.22%0.1200✓1.382.0M2022-03-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13350.131145-1.76%0.1595+19.48%0.0291✗1.02467k2022-03-02
XEMNEMnative0.09430.092668-1.73%0.1064+12.83%0.0315✓1.0337k2022-03-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum37,524.2036,884.19-1.71%44,262.00+17.96%0.0237✗0.9739k2022-03-02
ORCAOrcaSolana2.582.5362-1.70%2.52-2.33%0.1705✓1.00671k2022-03-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.7112.4955-1.69%13.69+7.71%0.0775✓1.03369k2022-03-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.855.7515-1.68%6.64+13.50%0.0764✗0.411.3M2022-03-02
XYMSymbolnative0.1470.144553-1.66%0.149+1.36%0.1016✓0.80345k2022-03-02
BANDBandEthereum3.6553.5942-1.66%4.016+9.88%0.0966✓1.271.9M2022-03-02
DODODODOEthereum0.4430.435669-1.65%0.468+5.64%0.1528✓1.374.5M2022-03-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9380.9226-1.64%1.164+24.09%0.0305✗1.23934k2022-03-02
XLMStellarStellar0.1818880.178904-1.64%0.193624+6.45%0.0931✓1.0521.4M2022-03-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06930.068168-1.63%0.0754+8.80%0.0785✓1.09176k2022-03-02
BTTCBTTC0.00000190.000001869-1.61%0.00000196+3.16%0.1167✓1.0014.4M2022-03-02
UOSUltraEthereum1.19541.1762-1.60%1.389+16.20%0.0588✓1.372.6M2022-03-02
ADACardanoCardano0.86640.852739-1.58%0.9394+8.43%0.0919✓1.1597.3M2022-03-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010060.009902-1.57%0.01231+22.37%0.0325✓1.532.2M2022-03-02
XVGVergenative0.009380.009236-1.54%0.01037+10.55%0.0950✓1.291.2M2022-03-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1273610.125408-1.53%0.133081+4.49%0.1068✓1.013.7M2022-03-02
QNTQuantEthereum108.35106.6936-1.53%117.95+8.86%0.0676✓1.026.6M2022-03-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3311.3109-1.51%1.59+19.46%0.0048✓1.151.6M2022-03-02
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.92990.915878-1.51%0.7242-22.12%0.3355✓0.611.5M2022-03-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.037440.036877-1.50%0.04078+8.92%0.0788✓1.0931k2022-03-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.591.5664-1.48%1.93+21.38%0.0129✓1.352.0M2022-03-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.4318.1593-1.47%20.73+12.48%0.0672✓1.229.2M2022-03-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum48.7948.0738-1.47%55.59+13.94%0.0718✓1.327.5M2022-03-02
QTUMQtumQtum5.74015.6562-1.46%6.4867+13.01%0.1007✓1.45153k2022-03-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.3635.2852-1.45%6.038+12.59%0.0378✓1.04241k2022-03-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12060.11885-1.45%0.1299+7.71%0.1299✓1.332.9M2022-03-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.72071.696-1.44%2.7751+61.28%0.4071✗0.522.7M2022-03-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.082870.081688-1.43%0.091+9.81%0.0741✓1.1147k2022-03-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.78752.7484-1.40%3.0297+8.69%0.0687✓1.012.3M2022-03-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.23960.236239-1.40%0.2945+22.91%0.0292✗1.17410k2022-03-02
DASHDashDash88.2887.0451-1.40%100.9+14.30%0.0441✓1.171.5M2022-03-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.289.1521-1.38%10.14+9.27%0.0162✓0.72758k2022-03-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.3514.1528-1.37%16.15+12.54%0.0098✓0.751.8M2022-03-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2340.230795-1.37%0.247+5.56%0.0776✓0.8959k2022-03-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.765.6828-1.34%6.43+11.63%0.0202✓0.88425k2022-03-02
RADRadworksEthereum4.864.7949-1.34%5.59+15.02%0.0093✓0.99682k2022-03-02
STXStacksnative1.131.1149-1.34%1.25+10.62%0.1020✓1.32725k2022-03-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot15.9715.7579-1.33%18.61+16.53%0.0522✓1.3327.9M2022-03-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1354.0801-1.33%4.505+8.95%0.0414✓0.86395k2022-03-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024840.000024512-1.32%0.00002591+4.31%0.1708✓1.383.7M2022-03-02
UMAUMAEthereum4.9774.9118-1.31%8.421+69.20%0.3750✗1.001.8M2022-03-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.8118.5644-1.31%20.76+10.37%0.1415✓1.54334k2022-03-02
XECeCashnative0.000070220.000069308-1.30%0.00007594+8.15%0.1005✓1.174.4M2022-03-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06220.061392-1.30%0.0714+14.79%0.0244✓1.0714k2022-03-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018760.018521-1.27%0.01892+0.85%0.1642✓1.132.1M2022-03-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3182.2889-1.26%2.99+28.99%0.0595✗1.27772k2022-03-02
CBKCobakEthereum2.0071.9819-1.25%2.298+14.50%0.0234✓1.0419k2022-03-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02530.024985-1.25%0.0268+5.93%0.1637✓1.43497k2022-03-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.5326.2067-1.22%29.52+11.27%0.0598✓1.094.9M2022-03-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2852.2574-1.21%2.647+15.84%0.0979✓1.5713.2M2022-03-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche73.572.6152-1.20%83.42+13.50%0.1073✓1.50106.7M2022-03-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin37,268.1936,819.63-1.20%43,912.34+17.83%0.0121✗1.00632.3M2022-03-02
NANOnanopayBase1.90931.8865-1.19%1.8782-1.63%0.2060✓1.23206k2022-03-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.3413.1834-1.17%15.29+14.62%0.0514✓1.2260.6M2022-03-02
SOLSolanaSolana84.6483.6469-1.17%100.73+19.01%0.0183✓1.24132.7M2022-03-02
LSKLiskEthereum1.58611.5676-1.16%1.9592+23.52%0.0473✗1.0772k2022-03-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.025930.025631-1.15%0.02832+9.22%0.0273✓0.774.4M2022-03-02
MANADecentralandEthereum2.55162.5225-1.14%2.7532+7.90%0.1243✓1.293.2M2022-03-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.71260.704534-1.13%0.7872+10.47%0.0764✓1.149.7M2022-03-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6670.659498-1.12%0.703+5.40%0.1180✓1.112.0M2022-03-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.716.6354-1.11%6.71+0.00%0.0251✓0.221.2M2022-03-02
SUSHISushiEthereum3.283.2444-1.08%3.41+3.96%0.1787✓1.397.0M2022-03-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.659430.652304-1.08%0.73047+10.77%0.1240✓1.45246k2022-03-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.86583.8247-1.06%4.413+14.16%0.0549✓1.21283k2022-03-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV82.1781.3095-1.05%86.11+4.79%0.0901✓0.90946k2022-03-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3831.3686-1.04%1.496+8.17%0.1114✓1.221.0M2022-03-02
XMRMoneroMonero149.01147.4591-1.04%177.46+19.09%0.0208✗1.00966k2022-03-02
SCSiacoinnative0.00840.008313-1.03%0.00957+13.93%0.0279✓1.03525k2022-03-02
KCSKuCoinnative18.74918.5572-1.02%20.355+8.57%0.0946✓1.149.6M2022-03-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.84182.8139-0.98%3.0322+6.70%0.0918✓1.012.6M2022-03-02
HIVEHivenative0.81850.810526-0.97%0.9988+22.03%0.0169✓1.381.7M2022-03-02
COMPCompoundEthereum109.49108.4373-0.96%122.45+11.84%0.0904✓1.2964k2022-03-02
ZENHorizenBase32.8432.529-0.95%38.92+18.51%0.0796✓1.58309k2022-03-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06870.06805-0.95%0.0775+12.81%0.0953✓1.371.1M2022-03-02
MOVRMoonriverBase67.759167.12-0.94%71.55+5.59%0.1826✓1.50243k2022-03-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3891.376-0.94%1.548+11.45%0.1243✓1.48928k2022-03-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.684.6365-0.93%5.57+19.02%0.0518✗0.80431k2022-03-02
LRCLoopringEthereum0.75130.744461-0.91%0.8082+7.57%0.1701✓1.54317k2022-03-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.2210.219-0.90%0.2571+16.33%0.0042✓1.001.8M2022-03-02
UNIUniswapEthereum8.758.6709-0.90%10.05+14.86%0.0691✓1.3210.8M2022-03-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.1815.1348-0.89%5.551+7.14%0.0535✓0.8065k2022-03-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.060160.059627-0.89%0.07258+20.64%0.0622✗0.8275k2022-03-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.275.2254-0.85%7.94+50.66%0.2750✗0.87367k2022-03-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.172.1519-0.83%2.43+11.98%0.0448✓1.01275k2022-03-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.149490.148272-0.81%0.16542+10.66%0.1132✓1.3629k2022-03-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.36510.362135-0.81%0.397+8.74%0.1402✓1.411.3M2022-03-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.670.664564-0.81%0.75+11.94%0.1969✓1.941.0M2022-03-02
GITCOINGITCOIN5.8585.8112-0.80%6.7+14.37%0.0823✗0.3729k2022-03-02
MINAMina Protocolnative2.122.1034-0.78%2.13+0.47%0.1901✓1.24324k2022-03-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.17030.16897-0.78%0.197+15.68%0.0783✓1.412.9M2022-03-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.35360.350859-0.78%0.3742+5.83%0.1679✓1.428.4M2022-03-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin105.41104.6074-0.76%110.35+4.69%0.1449✓1.2129.5M2022-03-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8782.8561-0.76%3.114+8.20%0.0686✓0.95460k2022-03-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.03660.036322-0.76%0.03397-7.19%0.2127✓0.891.7M2022-03-02
KSMKusamaHydration123.58122.6522-0.75%138.31+11.92%0.0756✓1.19930k2022-03-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5265790.522643-0.75%0.570611+8.36%0.1032✓1.163.2M2022-03-02
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0381.0303-0.74%1.202+15.80%0.0522✓1.262.8M2022-03-02
XVSVenusEthereum8.348.2819-0.70%9.78+17.27%0.0461✓1.293.1M2022-03-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0227580.022603-0.68%0.021073-7.40%0.2432✓1.06111k2022-03-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.2414.1466-0.66%15.16+6.46%0.1865✓1.562.3M2022-03-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.49220.488973-0.66%0.7291+48.13%0.1777✗1.352.2M2022-03-02
ETHEthereumEthereum2,580.972,564.16-0.65%2,948.56+14.24%0.0386✓1.09561.7M2022-03-02
TRXTRONTron0.0607840.060409-0.62%0.061505+1.19%0.1217✓0.85286k2022-03-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum22.1822.0545-0.57%26.56+19.75%0.0505✓1.441.8M2022-03-02
STORJStorjEthereum0.903290.898268-0.56%1.0742+18.92%0.0016✓1.10160k2022-03-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.08450.084032-0.55%0.0991+17.28%0.0753✓1.46668k2022-03-02
GTGateEthereum6.14826.1154-0.53%6.803+10.65%0.0273✓0.823.0M2022-03-02
ZECZcashZcash97.5197.0069-0.52%125.91+29.13%0.0697✗1.167.6M2022-03-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7790.775003-0.51%0.917+17.72%0.0557✓1.362.1M2022-03-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.5992.5869-0.47%2.98+14.66%0.0031✓0.84198k2022-03-02
AAVEAaveEthereum130.67130.1036-0.43%137.7+5.38%0.1805✓1.456.5M2022-03-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.15382.1445-0.43%2.2311+3.59%0.1036✓0.8728k2022-03-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04760.047397-0.43%0.0655+37.61%0.0321✗1.7864.3M2022-03-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.044860.044684-0.39%0.04875+8.67%0.1286✓1.31768k2022-03-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.7483.7351-0.35%3.976+6.08%0.1455✓1.272.3M2022-03-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.20390.20327-0.31%0.2308+13.19%0.1249✓1.543.3M2022-03-02
XTZTezosTezos2.93312.9248-0.28%3.494+19.12%0.0349✓1.302.0M2022-03-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004440.004428-0.27%0.00469+5.63%0.2518✓1.8912.6M2022-03-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash288.37287.7613-0.21%320.43+11.12%0.0562✓1.007.3M2022-03-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.234.2221-0.19%4.65+9.93%0.0835✓1.10456k2022-03-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.2941.2955+0.11%1.359+5.02%0.1792✗1.381.8M2022-03-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.32930.330412+0.34%0.4033+22.47%0.0767✗1.6816.0M2022-03-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.43910.441543+0.56%0.5144+17.15%0.0858✗1.45572k2022-03-02
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5541.5644+0.67%1.464-5.79%0.2492✗1.113.4M2022-03-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.191.2029+1.09%1.27+6.72%0.1576✗1.29934k2022-03-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.018020.018456+2.42%0.01634-9.32%0.3892✗1.6311.1M2022-03-02
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.272.3617+4.04%2.895+27.53%0.0240✓1.39579k2022-03-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.